Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
Land Acquisition..................................................................................................................... 9
Research ................................................................................................................................ 18
Procurement ......................................................................................................................... 19
Construction .......................................................................................................................... 20
Maintenance ........................................................................................................................ 20
Advocacy .............................................................................................................................. 20
Partnerships............................................................................................................................ 21
Evaluation .................................................................................................................................. 21
References ................................................................................................................................. 25
1
Summary
Canals, man-made waterways that allow boats and ships to pass from one water
body to another, have contributed significantly to the facilitation of trade
between countries all over the world. Different countries have traded in a range
of goods, including electronics, cars, clothing, spices, and much more.1 Canals
complement the contribution of water bodies, such as oceans, seas, and rivers to
world transportation. This facilitates efficiency in domestic and cross border trade
around the globe. Currently, water facilitates ship transportation of over 90
percent of raw and manufactured products sold globally. 2
Canals are constructed by creating shorter, faster ways through the land. In
addition to enabling water transport within and outside landlocked countries
(sovereign states that do not have territory connected to the World Ocean and
are completely surrounded by other nations), canals shorten shipping distances,
save time, and significant amounts in transportation costs. Cumulatively, these
serve to increase efficiencies in global trade value chains.3 Some of the world’s
major canals include the Panama Canal and the Suez Canal.
The Panama Canal, for instance, links the Atlantic Ocean through the Caribbean
Sea to the Pacific Ocean. It serves over 144 trade routes globally. This 48 miles
(77km) stretch of waterway enables ships to take roughly 6 to 8 hours along the
canal, thus reducing the shipping distance between the East and the US East
Coast by approximately 3,000 miles (4828km). Further, it provides an additional
benefit by evading the erratic weather patterns experienced between Cape
Horn and South America.
2
The Suez Canal, located in Egypt, connects the Mediterranean Sea to the Red
Sea, one of the world’s most popular shipping routes. This Canal has reduced
shipping distances between Europe and South Asia by approximately 4,300 miles
(7,000km). The 193km-canal enables ships to travel this distance without having
to go around Africa.
3
Fig 1: An aerial view of Suez Canal Egypt
The Kiel Canal is located at the root of the Jutland Peninsula near the
border between Germany and Denmark. It is formally called the North Sea-Baltic
Sea Canal (Nord-Ostsee Kanal) and is ranked among the world's three
major canals with the Suez and Panama Canals.7 Feb 2006
Project description
The proposed Ethio - Eritrea shipping canal will link Ethiopia’s Lake Afrera with the
red sea, a body of water that lies between Arabia and Africa and forms part of
the Global Ocean (an interconnected system of Earth's oceanic waters, covering
361,132,000 square kilometers, 70.8% of the Earth's surface). A highly saline lake,
Lake Afrera is Located in Afar Region Administrative Zone 2. It is one of the lakes
of the Danakil Depression with a surface area of 100 km2. The lake was chosen
because of strategic location and its potential for expansion to accommodate
4
larger ship without the need to build locks. As well its location in the Danakil
Depression makes it one of the best tourist attraction sites.
Ethiopia became landlocked in the 19th century, following two major historical
events. One of them was the independence of Eritrea in 1991, which led Ethiopia
to lose express access to the Red Sea’s ports of Mitsiwa and Aseb. Another factor
was the 1885 Berlin conference, which awarded the Democratic Republic of the
Congo, a narrow piece of borderland cutting through Angola, leading to Ethiopia
to lose access to the sea.
Consequently, Ethiopia’s sole access to the sea was mainly through the Ethiopian
National Railway Network, and road transport linked Ethiopia's capital of Addis
Ababa with Djibouti and its Port of Doraleh and different dry ports throughout the
country.
5
The absence of sea transport is curtailing transport, economic and political
integration between Ethiopia and other countries and overburdening the existing
transport systems. There are inadequate knowledge and funding for the
development and implementation of alternative transport systems. The project
address questions to overcoming transport challenges within Ethiopia as well as
with other countries outside it.
The project’s objectives include opportunity it brings to both Ethiopia and Eritrea
in terms of economic, social and economic stability.
4
https://knoema.com/atlas/Ethiopia/topics/Tourism/Travel-and-Tourism-Total-Contribution-to-GDP/Contribution-of-travel-and-tourism-to-GDP-percent-of-GDP
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reduced transit travel time between Djibouti and Addis Ababa, but this effort by
itself will not be enough to serve future demand for its fast growing economy
This is has become urgent in light of the country’s increasingly vibrant external
trade, which has continued to grow since the late 2007 s. The country has
continued to put in place measures to spur growth in different sectors ranging
from education, health and agriculture, industries, and trade, with progress in
some areas. For instance, reforms in the education sector which now offers free
primary and tertiary education in Ethiopia has significantly increased school
enrollment for its population, 50 percent of which comprises people under the
age of 18.
Future challenges
Ethiopia, the most populous country, has continued to witness population growth.
The United Nations reports Ethiopia's population to be 115 million in 2020 and is
expected to surpass 200 million by the end of 2049, arising from its 2.7 percent
annual population growth. This increment, coupled with increased output from
educational institutes, has led to a high unemployment rate, which was estimated
at 1.8 percent in 2018. (United Nations).This population has necessitated that the
country creates 14 million jobs annually by 2025. (World Africa)
7
The country’s economy is predominantly agricultural, which contributes 34.8
percent of the country’s gross domestic product (GDP), which was estimated at
$3.23 billion in 2017. Faye, McArthur, &Thomas (2007).
The major agricultural activities include livestock, cash crop, and subsistence
farming. Its most common cash crops include wheat, barley, oats, sorghum,
maize, millet, and pulses (such as chickpeas, peas, beans, and lentils). (The World
Fact Book).
8
The country imports machinery and aircraft, metal and metal products, electrical
materials, petroleum products, motor vehicles, chemicals, and fertilizers from
China, accounting for 24.1 percent of its imports, Saudi Arabia, India percent,
Kuwait, and France at 5.2 percent. The resulting value of Ethiopia’s imports was
valued at 15.59 billion in 2017.
Land Acquisition
Requisite access land through Eritrea will be acquired through an intensive
negotiation and agreement with Eritrea. Different options should be layout for
Eritrea to choose. As it’s for its survival Ethiopia needs to be ready to offer any
thing that convince Eritrea to allow the project.
Land swap (arising from Eritrea’s need for fertile land), land lease, equal
partnership and revenue sharing between the two countries; or as will be
appropriately proposed by Eritrea. , for instance, apply ship charges to any ship
that passes through the Canal. In the case of a land swap, Ethiopia may offer
Eritrea a resource of its choice including electricity, freshwater (this will be
instrumental in dealing with its present water shortage which is projected to
worsen in future in Eritrea), agricultural land (which can act as Eritrean state farm),
direct foreign currency revenue from the canal or job opportunities for its citizens
in the construction process and future operations.
9
Problem Statement
Economic
An analysis of Ethiopia’s annual revenue reveals that the country loses 95 percent
of its revenue from external trade, on port charges, about 14 percent of its annual
budget estimated at 13.79 billion. (International Finance Corporation). This arises
from the country’s landlocked status, which continues to pose a challenge to its
access to global markets. These losses come in the form of port payment to
Ethiopia’s neighboring country of Djibouti whose port of Doraleh handles
Ethiopia’s exports and imports. A spot check on statistics at Doraleh port reveals
that Ethiopia’s external trade accounts for 70 percent of the port’s activities.
Records of Ethiopia’s expenses reveal that the country paid to Djibouti port fees
of between 1.5 and 2 billion dollars in 2018. This ranks higher than the country’s
expenditure on crucial sectors such as health, on which 1.4 billion dollars was
spent.
Transformation into industrial economies has been a major source of jobs for most
of these developed economies. Indeed, job creation remains a priority for
Ethiopia, which had a high unemployment rate of 1.8 percent in 2018, a figure
which is projected to rise in light of population increase. (United Nations). The
(World Africa) reports indicate that Ethiopia needs to create 14 million jobs
annually by 2025 in order to deal with the problem of unemployment.
Accordingly, the proposed Ethio - Eritrea shipping canal will provide job
opportunities to both Ethiopian and Eritrean nationals. It will also open up
Ethiopia’s sea transport; this will attract investment along the sea route, which will
attract both local and foreign investment. In addition, the project will spur the
processing and semi processing of some of the raw materials and equipment
required for the construction of the Canal. This will also contribute to the country’s
transformation from an agricultural to an industrial economy.
10
In spite of Ethiopia’s development efforts, its debt ratio (its national debt in relation
to its Gross Domestic Product) has continued to rise; for instance, it rose from 54.46
percent in 2015 to 61.04 percent in 2018 (static.com).The higher the debt-to-GDP
ratio, the less likely the country will pay back its debt, and the higher its risk of
default. A study by the World Bank found that if the debt-to-GDP ratio of a
country exceeds 77% for an extended period of time, it slows economic growth
and reduces its likelihood of repaying the debt. This creates an urgent need to
build the proposed Ethio - Eritrea shipping canal, which will spur Ethiopia’s
economic growth.
Construction of the Canal removes the above risks from Ethiopia, which is
currently building a naval force to deal with insecurity arising from piracy, which
continues to pose a threat to its shipping activities, trade, and economic growth.
Therefore, this Canal will offer it access to sea route, and a good operating
ground and reduced costs of managing its naval force.
Further research on development trajectories reveals that one way in which these
countries have achieved efficient global trade routes is through the building of
canals, man-made waterways that allow boats and ships to pass from one water
body to another. (The International Finance Corporation).Water facilitates ship
transportation of over 90 percent of raw and manufactured products sold
globally. (The World Factbook). Canals shorten shipping distances, save time,
and significant amounts in transportation costs.
11
Political
A country that has its own port gets high political advantage arising from reduced
regional disputes like the 1998 territorial dispute between Ethiopia and Eritrea.
Research on global development trajectories reveals that most developed
landlocked countries like Austria, Andorra, Belarus, Czech Republic, Slovakia,
Macedonia, Moldova, Switzerland have attained their development status by
reducing the financial, social, political and environmental problems that arise
from their landlocked status. (The World Fact Book) these include the
development of efficient trade routes (which have effectively reduced
transportation costs), increased freedom of trade, and foreign trade, hence
transforming them into industrial economies. On the other hand, a landlocked
status and overdependence on neighbors’ infrastructure have been cited to be
cause border wars. For instance, the Paraguayan War may have arisen from
Paraguay's lack of direct access to the oceans. Accordingly, the Canal will
cushion Ethiopia from potential conflicts that may be caused as a result of being
landlocked. (Faye, McArthur, &Thomas (2007).
This contributes to a need for a sea route in Ethiopia to enable its benefits from
the above-named development trajectories. And will help ease the tension and
future conflict between the two countries. The project also will help Ethiopia
become a formidable regional force with its own naval farce at the port of afraas.
The Ethio-Eritrea shipping canal will link Ethiopia to the global ocean through a
canal that links Ethiopia to its African neighbors and the rest of the world using
existing shipping routes; and enable the country to deal with the region security
such as terrorism and piracy actively with other global partners.
12
Fig 2: Ethiopian Lake Afrera
Environmental
Reduced shipping distances will reduce time, costs, and emissions (of
greenhouses gases, mostly carbon dioxide and methane, which contribute to
global warming). Like other countries in the region, climate change continues to
impact Ethiopia’s agriculture, livestock, water, and human health as it is heavily
dependent from diesel driven heavy vehicles for its goods transportation.
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commitment is also embodied in its Proposed National Action Plan, a blueprint
which it will use to achieve this. As such, the reduction of green housed emissions
due to reduced shipping distanced due to the Canal help Ethiopia to achieve its
goals in this regard.
14
Funding legal issue
Its construction will take account of the broader social, political and economic
context surrounding trans-boundary water transport practices in accordance
with the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea which governs the use
of global waters, the latest development being giving landlocked countries a
right of access to and from the sea without taxation of traffic through transit states.
56
The canal will build on the country’s existing strengths; exploit development
opportunities while combating its looming threats to avoid its weaknesses. The
project will be done in collaboration with the Ethiopian and Eritrean government,
as well as the local and international partners that value-efficient transportation
and efficient trade systems for the region political and economic sustainability.
Project will be funded by public-private partnership including international private
investors and the sale of public bonds (open to Ethiopian and Eritrean nationals).
Which will be out lined in detail in the feasibility study.
Project objectives
Given the project’s goal of increasing the country’s GDP, it is unlikely that
demonstrable results will be possible in the first two years. This period will be
marked with construction, recruitment, quality assurance, and advocacy and
training activities.
To assess the extent to which the proposed project provides a solution to the
problems highlighted above, it will be necessary to set quantifiable objectives
that can be measured. The following are the project objectives:
5
UN Report Archived 2011-09-28 at the Wayback Machine
6 https://www.un.org/Depts/los/convention_agreements/texts/unclos/part10.htm
15
i) To increase Ethiopia’s GDP by 10 percent during the third year of the
project.
At the initial phase, it is estimated that the country will realize 80 percent savings
on shipping costs to Djibouti, accounting for 14 percent of its current GDP.
(International Finance Corporation). It is anticipated that access to red sea will
increase external trade generate revenue in the form of tourism, fishing, and other
related industries.
ii) To reduce transportation costs by 50 percent during the third year of the
project increasing efficiency in import and export activities.
It is estimated that the Ethio- Eritrea shipping canal will reduce shipping distances
by over five times. (International Waterway Governance). This will lead to a
reduction in transportation costs by the third year.
The project will create jobs for locals in constructaction, professionals, and non-
skilled workers within the shipping value chain. This will help the country deal with
the challenge of joblessness and spark development.
This will arise from the reduced transportation distances arising from the use of the
Canal. Develop tourist sites; it has recently relaxed tourism, customs, and visa-
related regulations and provided tax holidays in a bid to encourage investments
in hotel and tour services.7 Opening up Ethiopia to the sea will provide alternative
transportation to tourists, expand opportunities for sea voyages, encourage
7
https://knoema.com/atlas/Ethiopia/topics/Tourism/Travel-and-Tourism-Total-Contribution-to-GDP/Contribution-of-travel-and-tourism-to-GDP-percent-of-GDP
16
investment, and consequently boost the government’s efforts to increase
revenue earnings from this sector.
Source: https://en.googlemaps.com/Lake_Afrera
This will provide Ethiopia access to affordable, sustainable, and effective water
transport. The new Canal is poised to turn Ethiopia into a regional hub for the Red
Sea, Indian Ocean, Europe, Africa, and Asia, like her neighboring country of
Djibouti. The new Canal will fill the earlier stated gaps in Ethiopia’s transport
17
system, financial systems, create employment, and expand the country’s
economic activities.8
Project activities
The project construction process will entail different but related activities,
including:
Research
The onset of the project will be marked by an additional feasibility study.
For instance, it will explore the best inland route between Ethiopia and
Eritrea, or if there is any other potential route will be explored in detail.
The most efficient construction materials and tools that will suit the existing
topographical conditions.
8
"WHOI Calculates Volume and Depth of World's Oceans". Ocean Power Magazine. Archived from the original on July 13, 2012. Retrieved February 28, 2012
18
Recruitment of the project team
This will entail recruitment and putting together the project team. The project
initial activity will be managed by the Ethiopian government its partners such as
World Bank and other relevant bodies, which will set up an independent body to
manage it’s execute. This will reduce potential risks of political interference and
corruption from government departments and authority.
Other individual professionals from both Ethiopia and Eritrea will be recruited
through a competitive bidding process to form part of the team. They may
include engineers, values and other unskilled laborers.
Procurement
This entails the purchase of machinery and construction material such as stones,
concrete, wood, and water. These materials will be utilized for the actualization
of the project and it will be used to track and determine the needed mediums to
substantiate the plan.
Fig 7: A graphical illustration of the land connection between Ethiopia and Eritrea
19
Construction
This will involve creating an access route between Ethiopia and Eritrea. The route
will pass through the eastern plateau wall in Eritrea, which runs parallel to the Red
Sea from Ras Kadar (18° N) to Annesley Bay (15° N). The project will take
advantage of a break in the wall, which occurs at 9° N through which the Awash
River (3,281 ft. below the level of the mountains) flows eastward. It will turn south
into Ethiopia and follow the line of 40° E for approximately 600 km from where it
will link to lake Afrera and ultimately to the global ocean.
Maintenance
This will entail ensuring that water level equals that of the sea access all seasons.
Any wear and tear will be fixed as necessary. In addition, the water routes will be
trailed regularly for its security and will be aided immediately if problems occur.
Advocacy
At the onset of the project, stakeholders within the transport value chain (in
Ethiopia and beyond) will be sensitized on the existence of the new Canal, its
usage, its connection points as well as its destinations. The advocacy efforts will
emphasize the future stability and peaceful co-existence within the region. It will
also highlight the regional and international economic, political, and social
benefits of the project, all-important in achieving its goodwill. Ethiopians in all walk
of life need to advocate the ‘’’’’’’’’’’’’’’’’’’’’’’
20
Partnerships
This will be formed with local authorities, other maritime bodies, and other players
within the global sea transport systems. Local investors and citizens from Ethiopia
and Eritrea will be encouraged to buy bonds in order to participate, own and
benefit more from the project
Evaluation
To determine whether project objectives are being met, a team of independent
people will evaluate the project. The project will be assessed based on:
Process evaluation
This will determine the extent to which the project is of high quality and meets
stipulated safety standards and regulations. Itis established that these standards
are not being met; the project director will be informed so that he can ensure that
the necessary changes are made.
Outcome Evaluation
It is important to determine whether the project will actually increase Ethiopia’s
GDP and increase jobs. To determine this growth, the current incremental
increase in GDP will be tracked as recorded by the country’s department of
finance.
Future Funding
Although most of the costs involve procurement of machinery, equipment and
actual construction, there is a need to plan for future funding of certain
components of the project. These include costs on maintenance on the Canal.
The Canal will sustain itself since money levied from ships using the Canal will be
used for maintenance and other operational costs.
21
Proposed time frame
Component/Activity Major milestones 1st 2nd
year year
Construction Putting together the construction X X
team, setting up structural,
logistical, and administrative units.
Procurement
Securing of necessary contracts
Actual construction.
22
Estimated Proposed budget
Budget line Yr 1, ($) Yr2 ($)
23
Ethiopia: National debt from 2017 to 2020
(In Billion U.S. Dollars)
57.03
51.02
34.6 43.97
Source: https://www.statista.com/statistics/531575/national-debt-of-ethiopia/
(2015-2018)
6.81
2018
2017
9.504
2016
9.433
2015
10.392
Source: https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG
24
References
https://journals.openedition.org/echogeo/11370?lang=en
https://www.monde-diplomatique.fr/2017/11/PIOT/58045
Maasho, Aaron (December 17, 2011). "Ethiopia signs Djibouti railway deal with
China". Reuters.
25
Elias (October 5, 2016). "Ethiopia's new coastal rail link runs through restive region".
Associated Press.Meseret.
Djibouti Starts Construction of Two Major Ports". World Maritime News. September
13, 2013
DPFZA". Djibouti Ports & Free Zones Authority. Archived from the original on 29
September 2013. Retrieved 29 September 2013
https://journals.openedition.org/echogeo/11370?lang=en
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Landlocked_country
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Geography_of_Ethiopia
https://knoema.com/atlas/Ethiopia/topics/Tourism/Travel-and-Tourism-Total-
Contribution-to-GDP/Contribution-of-travel-and-tourism-to-GDP-percent-
of-GDP
Rosenberg, Matt (May 1, 2005). "Do You Know the World's Newest Ocean?".
ThoughtCo. Retrieved December 16, 2017
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