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Letters

Apparently, the Sept. 2002 guest editorial, “Let’s Get Facts Over Emotions
Serious About Carbon Dioxide Emissions Now,” by Charles To the Editor:
Stokes (p.7) struck a nerve with our readers. We were inun- I take exception to Charles Stokes’ guest editorial. How
dated with letters. Since we have limited space, we have dare he simply accept the argument that reduction in CO2
decided to publish a handful of the letters that are represen- emissions is necessary? His rationale, that “arguing against
tative of the responses we received. the perceived CO2 threat is no longer politically acceptable
in the civilized world” is not worthy of a scientific profes-
A Taxing Solution to Global Warming sion that purports to deal with facts instead of perceptions
To the Editor: and political acceptability — these were never a part of the
Charles Stokes’ statement about putting the burden chemical engineering curriculum when I went to school.
where it belongs — on the consumer, as opposed to govern- His argument rests on the fallacy that one can prove a
ments or industry, is “right on.” Carrying his ideas to the negative. The statement, “We cannot prove that man-made
next level make even more sense. I would propose: CO2 emissions will not cause climate change in the future”
• taxing all forms of energy at the source or point of production. is a spurious argument. This statement takes the view that
• taxing energy as a percentage of its commercial value since it is impossible to prove that X will not influence Y
• reducing income tax dollar-for-dollar. sometime in the future, we may as well change X in the way
The amount of gas, oil and coal produced in and imported we feel it may have a beneficial effect on Y. This argument
into this country is already accounted for by our government, cedes the debate to those who have the force of emotion on
so collecting taxes based on that information would not require their side, rather than the force of facts. Once emotion rules,
all that much new accounting. In the interest of fairness, I facts will never stand a chance.
would also include nuclear fuel in the list of fuels being taxed. It is too bad that Stokes feels the U.S. is an embarrass-
The fair market value of fuel is well determined by the ment in regards to this matter. Does he really believe that if
marketplace. Therefore, taxing as a percentage of the fair the U.S. were to accept some obligation, the U.S. would not
market value should be the preferred approach. Btu taxes and be the object of disdain from the developing world? The
carbon taxes would add an unnecessary level of complexity. fact is that only developed wealthy countries can afford to
The amount of the energy tax is a decision that needs to place environmental protection high on their to-do lists.
be made by our society. I would propose 50%, implement- This is the most generous nation in the history of the world
ed as a 5% increase per year for 10 years. When oil was when it comes to assisting other countries in economic
$20/bbl, I calculated that a $10/bbl energy tax would gener- development, medical assistance, disaster relief and world
ate money equal to half the money collected from U.S. peace. If those great acts are overlooked and the world
income tax. So, if I currently pay $20,000 in income tax, judges the U.S. by its reluctance to do something about a
that would be reduced to $10,000. perceived problem without proof, then addressing that
The flip side is that I would pay an additional $10,000 to issue will only leave them searching for something else to
purchase fuel, goods and services. Since $10,000 is a lot of complain about.
money to me, I will be inclined to make intelligent choices To add insult to injury, he states that “we may decide
when purchasing a furnace or insulation for my home, a car that reducing CO 2 for the benefit of the climate was not
for transportation, or appliances like a washing machine critical… We would then have solved the wrong problem
and refrigerator. but have gotten the right answer.” What would that “wrong
Exported goods, on average, should not go up in price. problem” be? If CO2 emissions actually have little to no
The increase in energy tax should be offset by a reduction in effect on the long-term climate, then he has placed a tax
the corporate income tax. burden on the nation for no good cause — except, of
As an engineer, I don’t need research grants for CO 2 course, to fill the coffers of government so they can waste
abatement technology. I need return-on-investment (ROI) to money on consultants.
reduce CO 2 emissions. Reducing CO 2 emissions can be Keith Dackson, Ph.D.
done by improving the efficiency of chemical plant designs, East Aurora, NY
but not without an ROI.
Not to put down the good things that accountants do, but ChEs, Put Your Skills to Work
would not our society be better served if half the tax accoun- To the Editor:
tants and half the IRS employees were gainfully employed Charles Stokes’ guest editorial brings up an important
as chemical engineers, improving the energy efficiency of matter when he says, “Lets Get Serious about Carbon
our society? Dioxide Emissions Now.” Research on the best methods to
James E. Clark, P.E. reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions points to the pro-
Dow Chemical (ret. 1999) posed sequestering and storage of carbon dioxide in stack
Ludington, MI gases. But the most practical starting point is the implemen-

8 www.cepmagazine.org December 2002 CEP


We look forward to getting letters from you.
Please send them to cepedit@aiche.org

tation of established technologies. We have demonstrated seem quite remote. The fact that ~40% has remained strong-
know-how in designing energy-efficient power plants, elec- ly suggests that our rates of atmospheric disposal have
tric motors and appliances. We have also designed cars that exceeded the CO2-processing capacity of the environment.
boast 40–80 mpg, which could replace many of the gas-guz- While this does not prove that anthropogenic CO2 emis-
zling SUVs and light trucks. sions pose an environmental threat, given our knowledge
As the world’s economic leader, our nation should be insti- about these emissions, atmospheric CO2, and large-scale
tuting the financial incentives, rules and regulations that would environmental changes, it is irrational to believe that these
position us at the forefront of this vital long run global activity. emissions produce no significant environmental effects,
John Burton have not done so, and will not do so. Magnitude, mecha-
Washington, NJ nisms and modifications are there.
Looking ahead, we currently have known fossil-fuel
Don’t Avoid the Argument reserves of about 140 Gt of crude oil, 100 Gt of natural gas,
To the Editor: and 980 Gt of various ranks of coal (see
While I largely agree with Charles A. Stokes’ proposal in http://www.eia.doe.gov). These reserves represent about
“Let’s Get Serious About CO2 Emissions Now,” I am puz- 2,600 Gt of future CO2 emissions — a value quite sensitive
zled that he “sidestep[s] the argument over whether it is nec- to the assumed carbon content of the coal reserves — and
essary to reduce CO2 emissions because they contribute to constitute about 90% of today’s ~2,900 Gt of atmospheric
global warming and simply accept[s] that the argument is CO2. If 40% of this reserve CO2 ends up in the atmosphere,
over because arguing against the perceived CO2 threat is no the atmosphere will then contain about 3,900 Gt of CO2 at
longer politically acceptable in the civilized world.” about 500 ppmv, and based on the exponential function, this
Why avoid an essentially technical argument and con- should occur around 2070. Because more reserves will be
cede it merely because of political considerations? found, these figures represent minimum values.
I find it rather astonishing and ironic that the significance In summary, “sidestepping” and “simply accepting” are
of anthropogenic CO2 emissions has been a topic largely not necessary. The magnitude of anthropogenic CO2 emis-
avoided by the chemical engineering community. Knowing sions is demonstrably significant, and between the resulting
their magnitude can tell us whether they pose an actual accumulation of atmospheric CO 2 and climate change,
threat or merely a perceived one. mechanisms exist that should produce the environmental
In preindustrial times (circa 1750), the atmospheric CO2 modifications already in evidence.
concentration was about 280 ppmv (parts per million by vol- In conclusion, Stokes is correct that we should “get seri-
ume); today, it is about 370 ppmv. In terms of mass, these ous about CO2 emissions now,” and his proposal has much
respective concentrations represent about 2,200 and 2,900 Gt merit. Yet, his apparent reluctance to agree that anthro-
(gigatonne = 1012 kg) of atmospheric CO2; therefore, about pogenic CO 2 emissions pose a real threat strikes me as
700 Gt have been added over the past 250 years of increasing rather curious. Such a position, as I have observed, is usual-
industrial activity, an increase of more than 30%. ly maintained by those who fear the logical consequences of
The quantity of anthropogenic CO2 emitted during this such agreement. It seems to me that some intellectual hon-
period can be estimated by integrating the function charac- esty is needed here to distinguish and to separate analysis
terizing annual worldwide CO2 emissions. This function, from response.
derived from 1980–2000 data for annual worldwide CO2 David L. Wagger, Ph.D.
emissions from fossil-fuel consumption and flaring (see Bethesda, MD
http://www.eia.doe.gov), has a pre-exponential factor of
about 18.4 Gt and an annual growth rate of about 1.3%. Corrections
Integrating from 1750 to 2002 yields a value of about 1,800 In the article, “Designing Plate-and-Frame Heat
Gt for cumulative worldwide CO2 emissions. Thus, industri- Exchangers,” by Graham Polley and Christopher Haslego
al activities since 1750 have released a quantity of CO 2 (Sept. 2002, pp. 32–37), there is an error in the calculations
equal to about 80% of the preindustrial quantity of atmo- used to determine the overall heat-transfer coefficient of a
spheric CO 2 (~2,200 Gt), and about 40% (~700 Gt) has heat exchanger (U). In Step 5 (p. 34), the value of x/k for 5-
remained in the atmosphere. mm thick stainless steel should be 0.000189 h-ft2-°F/Btu
Clearly, our large mass-transfer experiment — removing and not 0.00189. The error has no bearing on the U value
energy-rich carbonaceous material from long-term storage, calculated in the example. U is correctly computed as 49
extracting its energy, and discarding the waste CO2 into the Btu/h-ft2-°F. The online version of the article is correct and
atmosphere — has not resulted in a small perturbation to can be downloaded from www.cepmagazine.org. Thanks to
preindustrial conditions. If the above result had been only Kimberly Chong for finding the mistake.
1%, then the environment would seem able to process our The website listed for the Stainless Valve Co. in the Aug.
CO2 emissions at our rates of atmospheric disposal, and the 2002 issue (p. 30) was changed after the issue went to press.
likelihood of anthropogenic climate change would indeed It is now www.stainlessvalveco.com.
CEP December 2002 www.cepmagazine.org 9

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