PRE-TASK - PRE-KNOWLEDGE OF THE COURSE

YAIR JOSE INSIGNARES

CODIGO 1045745856

TUTOR

RICARDO JAVIER PINEDA

UNIVERSIDAD NACIONAL ABIERTA Y A DISTANCIA UNAD

2020
Activities to develop

Next, you will find 3 exercises that make up the pre-task to develop
individually.

Exercise 1. Probabilities of a given event:

To develop the tasks it is necessary to consult the bibliographical

references:

Sharma, J. (2016). Operations Research : Theory and Applications. (pp.

347-360), New Delhi: Laxmi Publications Pvt Ltd, v. Sixth edition.
Available in the knowledge environment of the course.

In a bag there are 10 balls numbered from 11 to 20, some red and
others green.

Consider, then, a sample space that has 10 elements:

E = {11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20}

With the above data, answer:

a) We take out without looking at a ball, what is the probability of
getting a prime number?

b)

The probability of drawing a prime number between the 10 balls is 4/10

which simplified is 2/5. There are 6 green balls and 4 red balls

Probability:

Probability = Number of favorable events / Number of possible events

a)

Number of favorable cases = 4 are the prime numbers within the

possible outcomes (The numbers 11, 13, 17 and 19 are prime)

Number of possible cases. = 10 (All numbers from 11 to 20)

P = 4/10 = 2/8

The probability of drawing a prime number between the 10 balls is 4/10

which simplified is 2/5
b)

The number of possible cases, that is, the number of balls that can
come out, remains 10.

The number of favorable cases, that is, the number of green balls (our
event) is one of the things we want to calculate.

3/5 = 6/10

In total there are 6 green balls in the bag. So we can deduce that the
rest, 4, are red balls.

There are 6 green balls and 4 red balls

Exercise 2. Graphic solution of equations:

Using the algebraic graphical method, determine the cut-off point and
solution that satisfies the following systems of equations:

1. Y = -4X + 6
2. Y = -2X + 1

For values of 1 and 0 of the variable x in each of the equations. That is,
replacing in each equation first if x takes value of 1 and if it takes the
value of zero to graph its lines.
Exercise 3. Matrix operations:

The Markov chains use probabilities of previous states, from there that
the matrix multiplication is very important to solve this type of
problems. Given the following matrices of size (n * m) or (m * m) solve
the product of them.

0.3 0.4 0.3

1. A= [0.1 0.5 0.4] B= 0.5 0.3 0.2

0.3 0.3 0.4

SOLUCION

AXB=[ 0.4 0.31 0.29 ]

0.5 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.2

2. A= 0.1 0.5 0.4 B= 0.1 0.2 0.7

0.6 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5

SOLUCION

0.23 0.38 0.39

AXB=0.16 0.27 0.57
0.23 0.39 0.38

In the previous exercises, solve the matrix operation (A * B)

 REFERENCES

Sharma, J. (2016). Operations Research : Theory and Applications. (pp.

347-378), New Delhi: Laxmi Publications Pvt Ltd, v. Sixth edition.
Retrieved from http://bibliotecavirtual.unad.edu.co/login?
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