Periodo Demanda Yt At Tt St Yt' Error

-2 1
-1 1
0 1
1 6450 6450.00 0 1
2 7100 6840.00 78.00 1.0038 6450.00 650.00
3 6830 6865.20 67.44 0.9995 6918.00 88.00
4 7260 7129.06 106.72 1.0018 6932.64 327.36
5 7260 7250.31 109.63 1.0001 7263.28 3.28
6 7615 7495.67 136.78 1.0050 7356.17 258.83
7 7610 7621.32 134.55 0.9994 7646.47 36.47 12000

8 7210 7420.42 67.46 0.9988 7756.91 546.91 10000

9 7580 7542.54 78.39 1.0006 7525.41 54.59
10 7290 7400.56 34.32 1.0030 7616.29 326.29 8000

11 6300 6756.26 -101.41 0.9927 7426.08 1126.08 6000

12 6196 6383.94 -155.59 0.9960 6658.96 462.96
13 6340 6293.00 -142.66 1.0013 6247.15 92.85 4000

14 6220 6180.91 -136.55 1.0033 6105.43 114.57 2000

15 6239 6188.68 -107.68 0.9942 6020.13 218.87
16 6220 6179.42 -88.00 0.9970 6088.92 131.08 0
1 3 5 7
17 6460 6307.53 -44.78 1.0036 6111.82 348.18
18 6582 6441.12 -9.10 1.0052 6226.69 355.31
19 7095 6854.46 75.39 0.9983 6413.04 681.96
20 7280 7152.87 119.99 0.9991 6954.72 325.28
21 7396 7330.87 131.59 1.0041 7310.68 85.32
22 5863 6484.59 -63.98 0.9951 7449.98 1586.98
23 7220 6907.50 33.40 1.0030 6414.96 805.04
24 8000 7580.58 161.33 1.0047 6969.49 1030.51
25 7935 7838.24 180.60 1.0049 7703.94 231.06
26 7123 7502.40 77.31 0.9905 8043.03 920.03
27 7133 7298.81 21.13 1.0004 7615.66 482.66
28 8520 8015.85 160.31 1.0106 7356.11 1163.89
29 8110 8112.54 147.59 1.0044 8098.72 11.28
30 8590 8507.33 197.03 0.9924 8263.79 326.21
31 7431 7938.37 43.83 0.9940 8796.26 1365.26
32 8032 7961.73 39.74 1.0104 8017.44 14.56
33 7863 7897.65 18.97 1.0035 7941.04 78.04
34 9627 8986.80 233.01 1.0003 7869.18 1757.82
35 9268 9282.24 245.50 0.9945 9315.56 47.56
36 9260 9309.99 201.95 1.0088 9561.43 301.43
37 7952 8559.17 11.39 0.9961 9515.04 1563.04
38 6952 7598.06 -183.11 0.9918 8523.03 1571.03
39 7763 7649.76 -136.15 0.9965 7480.27 282.73
40 7484.22
41 7348.61
42 7212.99
43 7077.38

MAD 520.35
Alpha 0.6
Beta 0.2
Gamma 0.1
L 4
p 1

Tendencia
12000

10000

8000

6000

4000

2000

0
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39

Column B Column F
Periodo Demanda Yt At Tt St Yt' Error
1 6450
2 7100
3 6830
4 7260
5 7260
6 7615
7 7610
8 7210
9 7580
10 7290
11 6300
12 6196
13 6340
14 6220
15 6239
16 6220
17 6460
18 6582
19 7095
20 7280
21 7396
22 5863
23 7220
24 8000 Chart Title
25 7935 12000
26 7123 10000
27 7133
28 8520 8000
29 8110
6000
30 8590
31 7431 4000
32 8032
2000
33 7863
34 9627 0
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27
35 9268
36 9260
Column B Linear (Col
37 7952
38 6952
39 7763
 Chart Title

13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39

Column B Linear (Column B)