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Reliable Methodology: Total CDC Mortality Data Questions Cov-19 Cause of Death Diagnoses
Here is my reliable 3-step methodology for conclusively determining whether Cov-19 is really
causing mass deaths or whether this 2019-20 ‘flu season coinciding with Cov-19’ looks exactly
like previous years using total mortality data from the CDC.
Step 1: Use CDC data here and here to create a table comparing 2019-20 total
deaths (from any cause) to previous years during the exact same weeks of
the year (i.e., the ‘flu season’). See Attachment A.
A. If Cov-19 was really causing mass deaths, then we’d first need to see a
spike in total 2019-20 death numbers that is a significantly higher
spike than previous years. But if there is no such spike in total death
numbers in 2019-20 (as the preliminary data above shows), then
2019-20 looks the same as previous years, so the data suggests Cov-19
is not causing mass deaths but rather is just another ‘flu season’.
B. After the above analysis is complete (to put Cov-19 into perspective),
then one can look at cause of death diagnoses to question whether
there are lower flu diagnosis cause of death numbers in 2019-20,
lower cancer diagnosis cause of death numbers in 2019-20, etc.,
because if so then such data further confirms healthcare workers
misdiagnosing causes of death (which incidentally has been a
notorious problem with flu death reporting).
Note this 3-step methodology can only be implemented using the exact same weeks of the year
for comparison between years, because mortality is seasonally affected; fortunately the CDC
publishes weekly results and updates the results regularly as new data comes in; unfortunately
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the lag in time between when the death occurred and when the death certificate is completed,
submitted to NCHS and processed for reporting purposes can range from 1 week to 8 weeks or
more, depending on the jurisdiction, age, and cause of death.
I will need to provide an update to this document as new CDC data arrives in the coming weeks.
For example, given the aforementioned data lag time, we don't know how that fateful winter of
2017 will compare to this fateful April/May of 2020, as the numbers are not complete yet.
Similar to the ‘flu season’ in 2017-2018, the weeks ending on 4/4 and 4/11 have about 64,000
deaths, which is more than usual for this time year. In particular, we need to know whether the
elevated number of April deaths will continue through May.
Whatever the case may be, fortunately, this 3-step methodology using CDC total mortality data
makes it nearly impossible for politically motivated persons to deceive people. In other words,
this 3-step methodology will help prove whether Cov-19 ‘cause of death’ numbers are being
artificially inflated by those relying on disputable ‘diagnoses’ (i.e., death by Cov-19) rather than
reliable mortality data (death by any cause). Indeed, many physicians, news commentators, and
concerned Citizens have already reported on this phenomenon of ‘suspicious cause of death’
diagnoses, where Cov-19 is listed as the cause of death even though the patient very likely died
of other causes (such as pneumonia or cancer complications). Example 1; Example 2.
Fortunately, the total number of deaths published by the CDC does not rely on
questionable/uncertain diagnoses from healthcare workers, but rather involves simple bean
counting of death certificates. In other words, whether a person died and received a death
certificate is basically indisputable because it must surely be 99%+ reliable that they did in fact
die of something and received a death certificate. By contrast, whether any given person’s cause
of death was pneumonia, or Cov-19, or cancer complications, or some other cause is routinely
disputable and fraught with human error, scientific bias, absence of testing, fallibility of testing,
and even politics to some extents. So the best way to explore whether people are really dying
from Cov-19 is to go back to the 99%+ reliable number. That is why, to keep the media honest,
we need to compare the total number of death certificates in previous years to the total number of
death certificates this year.
Greg Glaser
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Attachment A
NCHS Mortality Surveillance Data
Data as of April 23, 2020
For the Week Ending April 11, 2020 (Week 15)
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/covid-data/covidview/index.html
https://gis.cdc.gov/grasp/fluview/mortality.html