The distribution of World of Darkness dice rolls

Ralf Hüls
(huels@amadeus.statistik.uni-dortmund.de)

August 21, 1996

CAVEAT KITHAIN: Here there be banality!!!

Abstract
What follows is a description of the probabilities of dice rolls in the “World of Dark-
ness” line of role playing games by White Wolf Game Studio. This paper is aimed at
storytellers who might want this information to review their difficulty rulings as well as
players who might want to estimate their chances of success for a given difficulty. The
probability function for the number of successes for given dice pool size and difficulty is
given and explained (math alert). A procedure in C code to calculate probabilities for
given combinations of difficulty/dice pool/number of successes is presented. Finally
extensive tables of relevant values are shown.

1 Introduction
In the World of Darkness line of role playing games by White Wolf Game Studio (Vampire:
The Masquerade, Werewolf: The Apocalypse, Mage: The Ascension, Wraith: The Oblivion
and Changeling: The Dreaming) conflict is resolved by use of a varying number of ten-sided
dice. This number is called a character’s dice pool, and is determined by the character’s
traits. To resolve a critical situation, the player rolls a number of dice according to his
dice pool for the problem at hand. Prior to the roll the game master (or storyteller) sets
a difficulty for the task, which is a number between 2 and 10 (usually 6). The number of
dice equal to or higher than the selected difficulty is counted as successes. The number of
ones rolled is subtracted from this number. The final number of successes is the result of
this subtraction. If the number of ones is greater than the number of successes, the result
is called a “botch” and the action has a catastrophic result.
This paper examines the probabilities for different numbers of successes under different
conditions.
Use of terms and game mechanics possibly copyrighted to White Wolf Inc. is not
intended as a challenge to these copyrights.
This document may be freely distributed provided that no charge is made for the dis-
tribution.
I’m currently working on my thesis for a degree in statistics at Dortmund University,
Germany. My role playing characters include a Malkavian, a Pooka and a Sluagh (my
favorite).

1
2 The probability function
[. . . ] a man who confines knowledge to formulae necessary for the solution of
an algebraic or other perplexity, the same deserves to be shot with a Fusil or
old-fashioned light musket.

Flann O’Brien — At Swim-Two-Birds

(Math alert: I’ll try to keep it simple, but if you’re not interested in the theory, skip
this chapter!)
To score exactly a certain number, say s of successes, you have to roll s dice higher than
the difficulty (say d). The remaining dice may all be lower than d and higher than 1, or
come in pairs of one die that is higher than d and one die that is 1.
For example: to roll 5 successes with a dice pool of 10 we may roll any of the following
combinations:

• 5 successes, no 1
• 6 successes, one 1
• 7 successes, two ones

The maximum number of pairs is the largest whole number smaller than or equal to
p−s
(where p is the dice pool). Let that number be denoted by p−s

2 2
Thus, in order to calculate the probability of s successes, we have to add up the proba-
bilities of the possible combinations of successes, fails and ones:

p−s
[X2 ]

P (S = s) = (Prob. of rolling s + i successes, i ones and p − s − 2 ∗ i others) (1)

i=0

In the example this is:

[ 10−5
X 2 ]

P (S = 5) = (Prob. of rolling 5 + i successes, i ones and 10 − 5 − 2 ∗ i others)

i=0
2
X
= (Prob. of rolling 5 + i successes, i ones and 10 − 5 − 2 ∗ i others)
i=0
= (Prob. of rolling 5 successes, 0 ones and 5 others) +
(Prob. of rolling 6 successes, 1 one and 3 others) +
(Prob. of rolling 7 successes, 2 ones and 1 other)

Now, what we still need to find is the probability for a specific combination of successes,
ones, and others.

2
 1
The probability of rolling a 1 on a ten-sided die is of course 10 . The probability of
10−d+1
rolling a success is 10 . Finally, the probability of rolling a number that is neither a 1
nor a success is d−2
10 . For example on a difficulty of 6 you may roll 6, 7, 8, 9 or 10 to score a
success, which is 10 − 6 + 1 = 5 out of 10. To fail you roll 2, 3, 4 or five, which is d − 2 = 4
out of 10. And you botch on a 1, which is one out of 10.
If you roll more than one die and want the probability to roll a success, failure or 1 in a
specific sequence, all you have to do is multiply the probabilities for the single roll. Thus,
the probability to roll, say, a successes, b failures and c ones in a given sequence would be:
 a  b  c
10 − d + 1 d−2 1
.
10 10 10
This, however, doesn’t take permutations into account. The storyteller doesn’t care in
what sequence you roll successes and ones. There are (a + b + c)! permutations. (n! =
1 · 2 · . . . · n − 1 · n; 0! := 1). a! of these are the same, because all you do is shuffle around
the successes. b! are the same, because all you do is shuffle the failures. And—you guessed
it—c! of the permutations are the same. So the actual number of distinct permutations is:

(a + b + c)!
.
a!b!c!
So, we have the probability for a given sequence, and every one of the permutations given
above is one such sequence. Thus we have to multiply the probability with the number of
permutations to find the probability for the case where sequence is irrelevant:
 a  b  c
(a + b + c)! 10 − d + 1 d−2 1
P (a, b, c) = .
a!b!c! 10 10 10
A random experiment that follows the above law of probability, by the way, is said to
have a Multinomial Distribution.
Now all we have to do is remember equation (1) and substitute (s + i) for a, i for c and
(p − s − 2i) for b. We also find that a + b + c = (s + i) + i + (p − s − 2i) = p which is hardly
surprising, as the total number of dice rolled is the dice pool.
So finally we’ve reached the conclusion that the probability to score s successes against
a difficulty of d with a dice pool of p is:

p−s
[X2 ]  s+i  i  p−s−2i
p! 11 − d 1 d−2
P (S = s) = (2)
i=0
(s + i)! i! (p − s − 2i)! 10 10 10

To continue our example to the bitter end, the probability to score exactly 5 successes
against a difficulty of 6 with a dice pool of 10 dice is (hold your hat :-) :

[ 10−5
2 ]  5+i  i  10−5−2i
X 10! 11 − 6 1 6−2
P (S = 5) =
i=0
(5 + i)! i! (10 − 5 − 2i)! 10 10 10

3
 [ 52 ]  5+i  i  5−2i
X 10! 5 1 4
=
i=0
(5 + i)! i! (5 − 2i)! 10 10 10
2  5+i  i  5−2i
X 3628800 5 1 4
=
i=0
(5 + i)! i! (5 − 2i)! 10 10 10
 5  0  5
3628800 5 1 4
= +
5! 0! 5! 10 10 10
 6  1  3
3628800 5 1 4
+
6! 1! 3! 10 10 10
 7  2  1
3628800 5 1 4
7! 2! 1! 10 10 10
3628800
= · 0.03125 · 1 · 0.01024 +
120 · 1 · 120
3628800
· 0.015625 · 0.1 · 0.064 +
720 · 1 · 6
3628800
· 0.0078125 · 0.01 · 0.4
5040 · 2 · 1
3628800 3628800 3628800
= · 0.00032 + · 0.0001 + · 0.00003125
14400 4320 10080
= 252 · 0.00032 + 840 · 0.0001 + 360 · 0.00003125
= 0.08064 + 0.084 + 0.01125
= 0.17589

Obviously this is a task for a computer (or a Boggan :-).

Now, usually in the game you don’t need to score an exact number of successes, but
you’re interested in the probability to score at least s successes. That number is easily
calculated as:
10
X
P (S ≥ s) = P (S = j)
j=s

with P (S = j) calculated according to equation (2)

The formula in equation (2) only works for a non-negative number of successes. If you
want to calculate the probability of a botch use the following formula:
10
X
P (S < 0) = 1 − P (S ≥ 0) = 1 − P (S = j)
j=0

with P (S = j) calculated according to equation (2)

4
3 C code for the calculation of probabilities
I’m not much of a C programmer and this is just a quick and dirty hack. The program
should get the idea across though. The program calculates a table of probabilities by
successes and size of dice pool for each difficulty from 2 to 10. Its core is the func-
tion “double probability(pool,success,difficulty)” which returns the probability
to score exactly “success” successes against a difficulty of “difficulty” with a dice pool
of “pool”.

#include <math.h>

double factorial(n)
int n;
{
int f;

if (n<0)
{
printf("Negative argument in function factorial\n");
};
if (n==0) f=1;
else
f=n*factorial(n-1);
return((double)f);
}

double probability(pool,success,difficulty)
int pool,success,difficulty;
{
int i, max;
double p,p1,p2,p3,fac,prob,botch;

p1=(11.0-difficulty)/10.0;
p2=0.1;
p3=(difficulty-2.0)/10.0;
max=(int)floor(((float)pool-(float)success)/2.0);
p=0.0;
for (i=0;i<=max;i++)
{
fac=( factorial(pool)/
(factorial(success+i) * factorial(i) *
factorial(pool-success-2*i)));
prob=pow(p1,(success+i))*
pow(p2,i)*
pow(p3,(pool-success-2*i));

5
 p+=fac*prob;
}
return(p);
}

main()
{
int pool, difficulty, success;
double p,botch;

for (difficulty=2; difficulty<=10;difficulty++)

{

printf("\n\n Difficulty %d\n Dice Pool",difficulty);

for (success=10; success>=0;success--)
printf("%11d ",success);
printf(" botch\n");

for (pool=1; pool<=10;pool++)

{
botch=1.0;
printf("%2d Dice ",pool);
for (success=10; success>=0;success--)
{
if (success>pool)
p=0;
else p=probability(pool,success,difficulty);
printf("%11.8f ",p*100);
botch-=p;
}
printf("%11.8f\n",botch*100);
}
}
}

6
4 Probability tables
The following tables show probabilities of certain numbers of successes under different
conditions. All probabilities are given as percentages. If you want “real” probabilities,
divide by 100.
The tables in sections 4.1 and 4.2 show the probability of rolling a phenomenal success
(five or more successes), a complete success (three or more successes) , any success at all
and the probabilities for failure and botch.
The tables in sections 4.3 and 4.4 show the probability of rolling exactly a certain number
of successes.
In section 4.2 and 4.4 there is a table for every difficulty and the rows represent different
dice pool sizes.
In section 4.1 and 4.3 there is a table for every dice pool size and the rows represent
different difficulties.
To make the tables in sections 4.3 and 4.4 more compact there are two rows for every
dice pool size or difficulty. The first row shows probabilities for 10-5 successes, the second
row shows probabilities for 4-0 sucesses and botch. Thus the probabilities of rolling 10 and
4 successes are in the same field of the table.
For example, the probability of rolling at least five successes against a Difficulty of 6
with seven dice is found in table 4.1.7 in the “Phenomenal” column and the row for Dice
Pool 7. The same number (16.75%) can be found in table 4.2.5 in the “Phenomenal” column
and the row for Difficulty 6.
The probability of rolling exactly five successes against a Difficulty of 6 with seven dice
is found in table 4.3.7 as the upper number in the column for “5/Botch” and the row for
Dice Pool 7. The same number (4.375%) can be found in table 4.4.5 as the upper number
in the column for “5/Botch” and the row for Difficulty 6.

4.1 Success classes by Difficulty by Dice Pool

4.1.1 Dice Pool •
Phenomenal Complete Success Fail Botch
Diff 2 0.00000000 0.00000000 90.00000000 0.00000000 10.00000000
Diff 3 0.00000000 0.00000000 80.00000000 10.00000000 10.00000000
Diff 4 0.00000000 0.00000000 70.00000000 20.00000000 10.00000000
Diff 5 0.00000000 0.00000000 60.00000000 30.00000000 10.00000000
Diff 6 0.00000000 0.00000000 50.00000000 40.00000000 10.00000000
Diff 7 0.00000000 0.00000000 40.00000000 50.00000000 10.00000000
Diff 8 0.00000000 0.00000000 30.00000000 60.00000000 10.00000000
Diff 9 0.00000000 0.00000000 20.00000000 70.00000000 10.00000000
Diff 10 0.00000000 0.00000000 10.00000000 80.00000000 10.00000000

7
4.1.2 Dice Pool • •
Phenomenal Complete Success Fail Botch
Diff 2 0.00000000 0.00000000 81.00000000 18.00000000 1.00000000
Diff 3 0.00000000 0.00000000 80.00000000 17.00000000 3.00000000
Diff 4 0.00000000 0.00000000 77.00000000 18.00000000 5.00000000
Diff 5 0.00000000 0.00000000 72.00000000 21.00000000 7.00000000
Diff 6 0.00000000 0.00000000 65.00000000 26.00000000 9.00000000
Diff 7 0.00000000 0.00000000 56.00000000 33.00000000 11.00000000
Diff 8 0.00000000 0.00000000 45.00000000 42.00000000 13.00000000
Diff 9 0.00000000 0.00000000 32.00000000 53.00000000 15.00000000
Diff 10 0.00000000 0.00000000 17.00000000 66.00000000 17.00000000

4.1.3 Dice Pool • • •

Phenomenal Complete Success Fail Botch
Diff 2 0.00000000 72.90000000 97.20000000 0.00000000 2.80000000
Diff 3 0.00000000 51.20000000 92.00000000 4.90000000 3.10000000
Diff 4 0.00000000 34.30000000 86.80000000 9.20000000 4.00000000
Diff 5 0.00000000 21.60000000 81.00000000 13.50000000 5.50000000
Diff 6 0.00000000 12.50000000 74.00000000 18.40000000 7.60000000
Diff 7 0.00000000 6.40000000 65.20000000 24.50000000 10.30000000
Diff 8 0.00000000 2.70000000 54.00000000 32.40000000 13.60000000
Diff 9 0.00000000 0.80000000 39.80000000 42.70000000 17.50000000
Diff 10 0.00000000 0.10000000 22.00000000 56.00000000 22.00000000

4.1.4 Dice Pool • • • •

Phenomenal Complete Success Fail Botch
Diff 2 0.00000000 65.61000000 94.77000000 4.86000000 0.37000000
Diff 3 0.00000000 61.44000000 93.76000000 4.81000000 1.43000000
Diff 4 0.00000000 51.45000000 90.93000000 6.46000000 2.61000000
Diff 5 0.00000000 38.88000000 86.40000000 9.45000000 4.15000000
Diff 6 0.00000000 26.25000000 80.05000000 13.66000000 6.29000000
Diff 7 0.00000000 15.36000000 71.52000000 19.21000000 9.27000000
Diff 8 0.00000000 7.29000000 60.21000000 26.46000000 13.33000000
Diff 9 0.00000000 2.40000000 45.28000000 36.01000000 18.71000000
Diff 10 0.00000000 0.33000000 25.65000000 48.70000000 25.65000000

4.1.5 Dice Pool • • • • •

Phenomenal Complete Success Fail Botch
Diff 2 59.04900000 91.85400000 99.14400000 0.00000000 0.85600000
Diff 3 32.76800000 78.84800000 96.80800000 2.08100000 1.11100000
Diff 4 16.80700000 66.54200000 94.05200000 4.09200000 1.85600000
Diff 5 7.77600000 53.13600000 90.12600000 6.72300000 3.15100000
Diff 6 3.12500000 38.75000000 84.40000000 10.42400000 5.17600000
Diff 7 1.02400000 24.70400000 76.24400000 15.52500000 8.23100000
Diff 8 0.24300000 12.79800000 64.90800000 22.35600000 12.73600000
Diff 9 0.03200000 4.59200000 49.40200000 31.36700000 19.23100000
Diff 10 0.00100000 0.68600000 28.37600000 43.24800000 28.37600000

8
4.1.6 Dice Pool • • • • • •
Phenomenal Complete Success Fail Botch
Diff 2 53.14410000 88.57350000 98.41500000 1.45800000 0.12700000
Diff 3 45.87520000 84.99200000 97.76480000 1.62410000 0.61110000
Diff 4 31.93330000 76.31750000 95.92940000 2.79240000 1.27820000
Diff 5 18.66240000 64.15200000 92.72880000 4.87890000 2.39230000
Diff 6 9.06250000 49.43750000 87.64700000 8.09960000 4.25340000
Diff 7 3.48160000 33.53600000 79.94000000 12.79050000 7.26950000
Diff 8 0.94770000 18.58950000 68.67180000 19.29960000 12.02860000
Diff 9 0.14080000 7.16000000 52.67840000 27.95090000 19.37070000
Diff 10 0.00490000 1.14950000 30.45980000 39.08040000 30.45980000

4.1.7 Dice Pool • • • • • ••

Phenomenal Complete Success Fail Botch
Diff 2 85.03056000 97.43085000 99.72720000 0.00000000 0.27280000
Diff 3 64.55296000 91.11040000 98.71800000 0.85457000 0.42743000
Diff 4 47.05960000 83.43475000 97.22384000 1.87896000 0.89720000
Diff 5 30.55968000 72.60840000 94.59666000 3.58263000 1.82071000
Diff 6 16.75000000 58.35625000 90.12960000 6.37424000 3.49616000
Diff 7 7.26016000 41.54560000 82.91420000 10.67925000 6.40655000
Diff 8 2.21616000 24.31215000 71.79840000 16.90632000 11.29528000
Diff 9 0.36640000 9.93400000 55.39494000 25.31291000 19.29215000
Diff 10 0.01408000 1.69765000 32.08976000 35.82048000 32.08976000

4.1.8 Dice Pool • • • • • •••

Phenomenal Complete Success Fail Botch
Diff 2 81.31047300 96.19082100 99.49756500 0.45927000 0.04316500
Diff 3 74.18675200 93.99910400 99.14400000 0.60076900 0.25523100
Diff 4 59.41274500 88.33038900 98.08150100 1.29101400 0.62748500
Diff 5 41.99040000 79.05859200 95.95584000 2.65558500 1.38857500
Diff 6 25.21562500 65.72112500 92.05948500 5.06416600 2.87634900
Diff 7 12.03404800 48.66969600 85.35344000 9.00454500 5.64201500
Diff 8 4.04813700 29.78766900 74.45884500 14.96669400 10.57446100
Diff 9 0.73600000 12.79414400 57.71913600 23.19580900 19.08505500
Diff 10 0.03098500 2.30819700 33.39324500 33.21351000 33.39324500

4.1.9 Dice Pool • • • • • ••••

Phenomenal Complete Success Fail Botch
Diff 2 94.70278620 99.16689060 99.91090800 0.00000000 0.08909200
Diff 3 83.04066560 96.29143040 99.48017360 0.34896010 0.17086630
Diff 4 69.43643980 91.78590820 98.67003160 0.88856120 0.44140720
Diff 5 52.27804800 83.97380160 96.95627100 1.98251550 1.06121350
Diff 6 33.76437500 71.77542500 93.57795200 4.05289840 2.36914960
Diff 7 17.44875520 54.94581760 87.38141800 7.64995250 4.96862950
Diff 8 6.38122860 34.93557540 76.76107560 13.35557160 9.88335280
Diff 9 1.26289280 15.66096320 59.75439860 21.44486470 18.80073670
Diff 10 0.05782300 2.96161060 34.45747600 31.08504800 34.45747600

9
4.1.10 Dice Pool • • • • • •••••
Phenomenal Complete Success Fail Botch
Diff 2 92.98091736 98.72048016 99.83650626 0.14880348 0.01469026
Diff 3 88.23111680 97.55217920 99.65983120 0.23391697 0.10625183
Diff 4 77.18715592 94.20146512 99.07262442 0.61651228 0.31086330
Diff 5 61.17161472 87.72004512 97.69888872 1.48853781 0.81257347
Diff 6 41.95775000 76.74410000 94.78372450 3.26251276 1.95376274
Diff 7 23.19732736 60.44886016 89.08484376 6.53808673 4.37706951
Diff 8 9.12503880 39.72816720 78.77814570 11.99254572 9.22930858
Diff 9 1.94868992 18.48410912 61.56786592 19.96241653 18.46971755
Diff 10 0.09638872 3.64173712 35.34301122 29.31397756 35.34301122

4.2 Success classes by Dice Pool by Difficulty

4.2.1 Difficulty 2
Pool Phenomenal Complete Success Fail Botch
1 0.00000000 0.00000000 90.00000000 0.00000000 10.00000000
2 0.00000000 0.00000000 81.00000000 18.00000000 1.00000000
3 0.00000000 72.90000000 97.20000000 0.00000000 2.80000000
4 0.00000000 65.61000000 94.77000000 4.86000000 0.37000000
5 59.04900000 91.85400000 99.14400000 0.00000000 0.85600000
6 53.14410000 88.57350000 98.41500000 1.45800000 0.12700000
7 85.03056000 97.43085000 99.72720000 0.00000000 0.27280000
8 81.31047300 96.19082100 99.49756500 0.45927000 0.04316500
9 94.70278620 99.16689060 99.91090800 0.00000000 0.08909200
10 92.98091736 98.72048016 99.83650626 0.14880348 0.01469026

4.2.2 Difficulty 3
Pool Phenomenal Complete Success Fail Botch
1 0.00000000 0.00000000 80.00000000 10.00000000 10.00000000
2 0.00000000 0.00000000 80.00000000 17.00000000 3.00000000
3 0.00000000 51.20000000 92.00000000 4.90000000 3.10000000
4 0.00000000 61.44000000 93.76000000 4.81000000 1.43000000
5 32.76800000 78.84800000 96.80800000 2.08100000 1.11100000
6 45.87520000 84.99200000 97.76480000 1.62410000 0.61110000
7 64.55296000 91.11040000 98.71800000 0.85457000 0.42743000
8 74.18675200 93.99910400 99.14400000 0.60076900 0.25523100
9 83.04066560 96.29143040 99.48017360 0.34896010 0.17086630
10 88.23111680 97.55217920 99.65983120 0.23391697 0.10625183

10
4.2.3 Difficulty 4
Pool Phenomenal Complete Success Fail Botch
1 0.00000000 0.00000000 70.00000000 20.00000000 10.00000000
2 0.00000000 0.00000000 77.00000000 18.00000000 5.00000000
3 0.00000000 34.30000000 86.80000000 9.20000000 4.00000000
4 0.00000000 51.45000000 90.93000000 6.46000000 2.61000000
5 16.80700000 66.54200000 94.05200000 4.09200000 1.85600000
6 31.93330000 76.31750000 95.92940000 2.79240000 1.27820000
7 47.05960000 83.43475000 97.22384000 1.87896000 0.89720000
8 59.41274500 88.33038900 98.08150100 1.29101400 0.62748500
9 69.43643980 91.78590820 98.67003160 0.88856120 0.44140720
10 77.18715592 94.20146512 99.07262442 0.61651228 0.31086330

4.2.4 Difficulty 5
Pool Phenomenal Complete Success Fail Botch
1 0.00000000 0.00000000 60.00000000 30.00000000 10.00000000
2 0.00000000 0.00000000 72.00000000 21.00000000 7.00000000
3 0.00000000 21.60000000 81.00000000 13.50000000 5.50000000
4 0.00000000 38.88000000 86.40000000 9.45000000 4.15000000
5 7.77600000 53.13600000 90.12600000 6.72300000 3.15100000
6 18.66240000 64.15200000 92.72880000 4.87890000 2.39230000
7 30.55968000 72.60840000 94.59666000 3.58263000 1.82071000
8 41.99040000 79.05859200 95.95584000 2.65558500 1.38857500
9 52.27804800 83.97380160 96.95627100 1.98251550 1.06121350
10 61.17161472 87.72004512 97.69888872 1.48853781 0.81257347

4.2.5 Difficulty 6
Pool Phenomenal Complete Success Fail Botch
1 0.00000000 0.00000000 50.00000000 40.00000000 10.00000000
2 0.00000000 0.00000000 65.00000000 26.00000000 9.00000000
3 0.00000000 12.50000000 74.00000000 18.40000000 7.60000000
4 0.00000000 26.25000000 80.05000000 13.66000000 6.29000000
5 3.12500000 38.75000000 84.40000000 10.42400000 5.17600000
6 9.06250000 49.43750000 87.64700000 8.09960000 4.25340000
7 16.75000000 58.35625000 90.12960000 6.37424000 3.49616000
8 25.21562500 65.72112500 92.05948500 5.06416600 2.87634900
9 33.76437500 71.77542500 93.57795200 4.05289840 2.36914960
10 41.95775000 76.74410000 94.78372450 3.26251276 1.95376274

11
4.2.6 Difficulty 7
Pool Phenomenal Complete Success Fail Botch
1 0.00000000 0.00000000 40.00000000 50.00000000 10.00000000
2 0.00000000 0.00000000 56.00000000 33.00000000 11.00000000
3 0.00000000 6.40000000 65.20000000 24.50000000 10.30000000
4 0.00000000 15.36000000 71.52000000 19.21000000 9.27000000
5 1.02400000 24.70400000 76.24400000 15.52500000 8.23100000
6 3.48160000 33.53600000 79.94000000 12.79050000 7.26950000
7 7.26016000 41.54560000 82.91420000 10.67925000 6.40655000
8 12.03404800 48.66969600 85.35344000 9.00454500 5.64201500
9 17.44875520 54.94581760 87.38141800 7.64995250 4.96862950
10 23.19732736 60.44886016 89.08484376 6.53808673 4.37706951

4.2.7 Difficulty 8
Pool Phenomenal Complete Success Fail Botch
1 0.00000000 0.00000000 30.00000000 60.00000000 10.00000000
2 0.00000000 0.00000000 45.00000000 42.00000000 13.00000000
3 0.00000000 2.70000000 54.00000000 32.40000000 13.60000000
4 0.00000000 7.29000000 60.21000000 26.46000000 13.33000000
5 0.24300000 12.79800000 64.90800000 22.35600000 12.73600000
6 0.94770000 18.58950000 68.67180000 19.29960000 12.02860000
7 2.21616000 24.31215000 71.79840000 16.90632000 11.29528000
8 4.04813700 29.78766900 74.45884500 14.96669400 10.57446100
9 6.38122860 34.93557540 76.76107560 13.35557160 9.88335280
10 9.12503880 39.72816720 78.77814570 11.99254572 9.22930858

4.2.8 Difficulty 9
Pool Phenomenal Complete Success Fail Botch
1 0.00000000 0.00000000 20.00000000 70.00000000 10.00000000
2 0.00000000 0.00000000 32.00000000 53.00000000 15.00000000
3 0.00000000 0.80000000 39.80000000 42.70000000 17.50000000
4 0.00000000 2.40000000 45.28000000 36.01000000 18.71000000
5 0.03200000 4.59200000 49.40200000 31.36700000 19.23100000
6 0.14080000 7.16000000 52.67840000 27.95090000 19.37070000
7 0.36640000 9.93400000 55.39494000 25.31291000 19.29215000
8 0.73600000 12.79414400 57.71913600 23.19580900 19.08505500
9 1.26289280 15.66096320 59.75439860 21.44486470 18.80073670
10 1.94868992 18.48410912 61.56786592 19.96241653 18.46971755

12
4.2.9 Difficulty 10
Pool Phenomenal Complete Success Fail Botch
1 0.00000000 0.00000000 10.00000000 80.00000000 10.00000000
2 0.00000000 0.00000000 17.00000000 66.00000000 17.00000000
3 0.00000000 0.10000000 22.00000000 56.00000000 22.00000000
4 0.00000000 0.33000000 25.65000000 48.70000000 25.65000000
5 0.00100000 0.68600000 28.37600000 43.24800000 28.37600000
6 0.00490000 1.14950000 30.45980000 39.08040000 30.45980000
7 0.01408000 1.69765000 32.08976000 35.82048000 32.08976000
8 0.03098500 2.30819700 33.39324500 33.21351000 33.39324500
9 0.05782300 2.96161060 34.45747600 31.08504800 34.45747600
10 0.09638872 3.64173712 35.34301122 29.31397756 35.34301122

4.3 Successes by Difficulty by Dice Pool

4.3.1 Dice Pool •
10 9 8 7 6 5
Diff 4 3 2 1 0 Botch
2 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 90.00000000 0.00000000 10.00000000
3 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 80.00000000 10.00000000 10.00000000
4 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 70.00000000 20.00000000 10.00000000
5 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 60.00000000 30.00000000 10.00000000
6 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 50.00000000 40.00000000 10.00000000
7 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 40.00000000 50.00000000 10.00000000
8 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 30.00000000 60.00000000 10.00000000
9 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 20.00000000 70.00000000 10.00000000
10 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 10.00000000 80.00000000 10.00000000

13
4.3.2 Dice Pool • •
10 9 8 7 6 5
Diff 4 3 2 1 0 Botch
2 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.00000000 0.00000000 81.00000000 0.00000000 18.00000000 1.00000000
3 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.00000000 0.00000000 64.00000000 16.00000000 17.00000000 3.00000000
4 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.00000000 0.00000000 49.00000000 28.00000000 18.00000000 5.00000000
5 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.00000000 0.00000000 36.00000000 36.00000000 21.00000000 7.00000000
6 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.00000000 0.00000000 25.00000000 40.00000000 26.00000000 9.00000000
7 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.00000000 0.00000000 16.00000000 40.00000000 33.00000000 11.00000000
8 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.00000000 0.00000000 9.00000000 36.00000000 42.00000000 13.00000000
9 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.00000000 0.00000000 4.00000000 28.00000000 53.00000000 15.00000000
10 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000 16.00000000 66.00000000 17.00000000

4.3.3 Dice Pool • • •

10 9 8 7 6 5
Diff 4 3 2 1 0 Botch
2 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.00000000 72.90000000 0.00000000 24.30000000 0.00000000 2.80000000
3 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.00000000 51.20000000 19.20000000 21.60000000 4.90000000 3.10000000
4 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.00000000 34.30000000 29.40000000 23.10000000 9.20000000 4.00000000
5 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.00000000 21.60000000 32.40000000 27.00000000 13.50000000 5.50000000
6 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.00000000 12.50000000 30.00000000 31.50000000 18.40000000 7.60000000
7 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.00000000 6.40000000 24.00000000 34.80000000 24.50000000 10.30000000
8 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.00000000 2.70000000 16.20000000 35.10000000 32.40000000 13.60000000
9 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.00000000 0.80000000 8.40000000 30.60000000 42.70000000 17.50000000
10 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.00000000 0.10000000 2.40000000 19.50000000 56.00000000 22.00000000

14
4.3.4 Dice Pool • • • •
10 9 8 7 6 5
Diff 4 3 2 1 0 Botch
2 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
65.61000000 0.00000000 29.16000000 0.00000000 4.86000000 0.37000000
3 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
40.96000000 20.48000000 24.32000000 8.00000000 4.81000000 1.43000000
4 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
24.01000000 27.44000000 25.48000000 14.00000000 6.46000000 2.61000000
5 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
12.96000000 25.92000000 28.08000000 19.44000000 9.45000000 4.15000000
6 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
6.25000000 20.00000000 29.00000000 24.80000000 13.66000000 6.29000000
7 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
2.56000000 12.80000000 26.56000000 29.60000000 19.21000000 9.27000000
8 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.81000000 6.48000000 20.52000000 32.40000000 26.46000000 13.33000000
9 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.16000000 2.24000000 12.08000000 30.80000000 36.01000000 18.71000000
10 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.01000000 0.32000000 3.88000000 21.44000000 48.70000000 25.65000000

4.3.5 Dice Pool • • • • •

10 9 8 7 6 5
Diff 4 3 2 1 0 Botch
2 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 59.04900000
0.00000000 32.80500000 0.00000000 7.29000000 0.00000000 0.85600000
3 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 32.76800000
20.48000000 25.60000000 10.88000000 7.08000000 2.08100000 1.11100000
4 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 16.80700000
24.01000000 25.72500000 17.64000000 9.87000000 4.09200000 1.85600000
5 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 7.77600000
19.44000000 25.92000000 22.68000000 14.31000000 6.72300000 3.15100000
6 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 3.12500000
12.50000000 23.12500000 26.00000000 19.65000000 10.42400000 5.17600000
7 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.02400000
6.40000000 17.28000000 26.40000000 25.14000000 15.52500000 8.23100000
8 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.24300000
2.43000000 10.12500000 22.68000000 29.43000000 22.35600000 12.73600000
9 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.03200000
0.56000000 4.00000000 14.84000000 29.97000000 31.36700000 19.23100000
10 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00100000
0.04000000 0.64500000 5.28000000 22.41000000 43.24800000 28.37600000

15
4.3.6 Dice Pool • • • • • •
10 9 8 7 6 5
Diff 4 3 2 1 0 Botch
2 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 53.14410000 0.00000000
35.42940000 0.00000000 9.84150000 0.00000000 1.45800000 0.12700000
3 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 26.21440000 19.66080000
25.80480000 13.31200000 9.31200000 3.46080000 1.62410000 0.61110000
4 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 11.76490000 20.16840000
24.49020000 19.89400000 13.00950000 6.60240000 2.79240000 1.27820000
5 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 4.66560000 13.99680000
22.16160000 23.32800000 17.98200000 10.59480000 4.87890000 2.39230000
6 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.56250000 7.50000000
16.87500000 23.50000000 22.53750000 15.67200000 8.09960000 4.25340000
7 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.40960000 3.07200000
10.21440000 19.84000000 24.98400000 21.42000000 12.79050000 7.26950000
8 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.07290000 0.87480000
4.51980000 13.12200000 23.44950000 26.63280000 19.29960000 12.02860000
9 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00640000 0.13440000
1.19520000 5.82400000 16.78200000 28.73640000 27.95090000 19.37070000
10 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00010000 0.00480000
0.09660000 1.04800000 6.52950000 22.78080000 39.08040000 30.45980000

4.3.7 Dice Pool • • • • • ••

10 9 8 7 6 5
Diff 4 3 2 1 0 Botch
2 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 47.82969000 0.00000000 37.20087000
0.00000000 12.40029000 0.00000000 2.29635000 0.00000000 0.27280000
3 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 20.97152000 18.35008000 25.23136000
15.19616000 11.36128000 5.03104000 2.57656000 0.85457000 0.42743000
4 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 8.23543000 16.47086000 22.35331000
20.84068000 15.53447000 9.21298000 4.57611000 1.87896000 0.89720000
5 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 2.79936000 9.79776000 17.96256000
22.04496000 20.00376000 14.08428000 7.90398000 3.58263000 1.82071000
6 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.78125000 4.37500000 11.59375000
19.25000000 22.35625000 19.20100000 12.57235000 6.37424000 3.49616000
7 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.16384000 1.43360000 5.66272000
13.35040000 20.93504000 23.04400000 18.32460000 10.67925000 6.40655000
8 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.02187000 0.30618000 1.88811000
6.73596000 15.36003000 23.37174000 24.11451000 16.90632000 11.29528000
9 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00128000 0.03136000 0.33376000
2.01488000 7.55272000 18.07708000 27.38386000 25.31291000 19.29215000
10 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00001000 0.00056000 0.01351000
0.18256000 1.50101000 7.60648000 22.78563000 35.82048000 32.08976000

16
4.3.8 Dice Pool • • • • • •••
10 9 8 7 6 5
Diff 4 3 2 1 0 Botch
2 0.00000000 0.00000000 43.04672100 0.00000000 38.26375200 0.00000000
14.88034800 0.00000000 3.30674400 0.00000000 0.45927000 0.04316500
3 0.00000000 0.00000000 16.77721600 16.77721600 24.11724800 16.51507200
13.13177600 6.68057600 3.70048000 1.44441600 0.60076900 0.25523100
4 0.00000000 0.00000000 5.76480100 13.17668800 19.76503200 20.70622400
17.27759600 11.64004800 6.59932000 3.15179200 1.29101400 0.62748500
5 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.67961600 6.71846400 13.99680000 19.59552000
20.41200000 16.65619200 10.96804800 5.92920000 2.65558500 1.38857500
6 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.39062500 2.50000000 7.62500000 14.70000000
20.03750000 20.46800000 16.20220000 10.13616000 5.06416600 2.87634900
7 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.06553600 0.65536000 2.99827200 8.31488000
15.61548800 21.02016000 20.94534400 15.73840000 9.00454500 5.64201500
8 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00656100 0.10497600 0.75232800 3.18427200
8.83839600 16.90113600 22.79340000 21.87777600 14.96669400 10.57446100
9 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00025600 0.00716800 0.08883200 0.63974400
2.95433600 9.10380800 18.88600000 26.03899200 23.19580900 19.08505500
10 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000100 0.00006400 0.00180000 0.02912000
0.29750000 1.97971200 8.51384800 22.57120000 33.21351000 33.39324500

4.3.9 Dice Pool • • • • • ••••

10 9 8 7 6 5
Diff 4 3 2 1 0 Botch
2 0.00000000 38.74204890 0.00000000 38.74204890 0.00000000 17.21868840
0.00000000 4.46410440 0.00000000 0.74401740 0.00000000 0.08909200
3 0.00000000 13.42177280 15.09949440 22.64924160 17.30150400 14.56865280
8.30914560 4.94161920 2.19363840 0.99510480 0.34896010 0.17086630
4 0.00000000 4.03536070 10.37664180 17.04734010 19.76503200 18.21206520
13.67417520 8.67529320 4.69012320 2.19400020 0.88856120 0.44140720
5 0.00000000 1.00776960 4.53496320 10.58158080 16.62819840 19.52553600
18.07686720 13.61888640 8.51355360 4.46891580 1.98251550 1.06121350
6 0.00000000 0.19531250 1.40625000 4.85156250 10.65000000 16.66125000
19.71900000 18.29205000 13.59576000 8.20676700 4.05289840 2.36914960
7 0.00000000 0.02621440 0.29491200 1.53354240 4.89062400 10.70346240
17.04729600 20.44976640 18.87004800 13.56555240 7.64995250 4.96862950
8 0.00000000 0.00196830 0.03542940 0.28934010 1.41717600 4.63731480
10.69180560 17.86254120 21.92948640 19.89601380 13.35557160 9.88335280
9 0.00000000 0.00005120 0.00161280 0.02280960 0.19084800 1.04757120
3.95277120 10.44529920 19.33837920 24.75505620 21.44486470 18.80073670
10 0.00000000 0.00000010 0.00000720 0.00023130 0.00435840 0.05322600
0.43888320 2.46490440 9.26616960 22.22969580 31.08504800 34.45747600

17
4.3.10 Dice Pool • • • • • •••••
10 9 8 7 6 5
Diff 4 3 2 1 0 Botch
2 34.86784401 0.00000000 38.74204890 0.00000000 19.37102445 0.00000000
5.73956280 0.00000000 1.11602610 0.00000000 0.14880348 0.01469026
3 10.73741824 13.42177280 20.97152000 17.61607680 15.64999680 9.83433216
6.24107520 3.07998720 1.50960960 0.59804240 0.23391697 0.10625183
4 2.82475249 8.07072140 14.41200250 18.28265460 18.40618605 15.19083888
10.62874680 6.38556240 3.34135410 1.52980520 0.61651228 0.31086330
5 0.60466176 3.02330880 7.81021440 13.60488960 17.76193920 18.36660096
15.54694560 11.00148480 6.59730420 3.38153940 1.48853781 0.81257347
6 0.09765625 0.78125000 3.00781250 7.40625000 13.07578125 17.58900000
18.69975000 16.08660000 11.37089250 6.66873200 3.26251276 1.95376274
7 0.01048576 0.13107200 0.76349440 2.75251200 6.88005120 12.65971200
17.77390080 19.47763200 16.90622160 11.72976200 6.53808673 4.37706951
8 0.00059049 0.01180980 0.10825650 0.60229980 2.27043405 6.13164816
12.23757720 18.36555120 20.91275010 18.13722840 11.99254572 9.22930858
9 0.00001024 0.00035840 0.00569600 0.05429760 0.34538880 1.54293888
4.96075680 11.57466240 19.53240660 23.55135020 19.96241653 18.46971755
10 0.00000001 0.00000080 0.00002890 0.00062160 0.00883245 0.08690496
0.60291960 2.94242880 9.88239570 21.81887840 29.31397756 35.34301122

4.4 Successes by Dice Pool by Difficulty

4.4.1 Difficulty 2
Dice 10 9 8 7 6 5
Pool 4 3 2 1 0 Botch
1 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 90.00000000 0.00000000 10.00000000
2 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.00000000 0.00000000 81.00000000 0.00000000 18.00000000 1.00000000
3 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.00000000 72.90000000 0.00000000 24.30000000 0.00000000 2.80000000
4 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
65.61000000 0.00000000 29.16000000 0.00000000 4.86000000 0.37000000
5 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 59.04900000
0.00000000 32.80500000 0.00000000 7.29000000 0.00000000 0.85600000
6 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 53.14410000 0.00000000
35.42940000 0.00000000 9.84150000 0.00000000 1.45800000 0.12700000
7 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 47.82969000 0.00000000 37.20087000
0.00000000 12.40029000 0.00000000 2.29635000 0.00000000 0.27280000
8 0.00000000 0.00000000 43.04672100 0.00000000 38.26375200 0.00000000
14.88034800 0.00000000 3.30674400 0.00000000 0.45927000 0.04316500
9 0.00000000 38.74204890 0.00000000 38.74204890 0.00000000 17.21868840
0.00000000 4.46410440 0.00000000 0.74401740 0.00000000 0.08909200
10 34.86784401 0.00000000 38.74204890 0.00000000 19.37102445 0.00000000
5.73956280 0.00000000 1.11602610 0.00000000 0.14880348 0.01469026

18
4.4.2 Difficulty 3
Dice 10 9 8 7 6 5
Pool 4 3 2 1 0 Botch
1 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 80.00000000 10.00000000 10.00000000
2 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.00000000 0.00000000 64.00000000 16.00000000 17.00000000 3.00000000
3 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.00000000 51.20000000 19.20000000 21.60000000 4.90000000 3.10000000
4 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
40.96000000 20.48000000 24.32000000 8.00000000 4.81000000 1.43000000
5 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 32.76800000
20.48000000 25.60000000 10.88000000 7.08000000 2.08100000 1.11100000
6 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 26.21440000 19.66080000
25.80480000 13.31200000 9.31200000 3.46080000 1.62410000 0.61110000
7 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 20.97152000 18.35008000 25.23136000
15.19616000 11.36128000 5.03104000 2.57656000 0.85457000 0.42743000
8 0.00000000 0.00000000 16.77721600 16.77721600 24.11724800 16.51507200
13.13177600 6.68057600 3.70048000 1.44441600 0.60076900 0.25523100
9 0.00000000 13.42177280 15.09949440 22.64924160 17.30150400 14.56865280
8.30914560 4.94161920 2.19363840 0.99510480 0.34896010 0.17086630
10 10.73741824 13.42177280 20.97152000 17.61607680 15.64999680 9.83433216
6.24107520 3.07998720 1.50960960 0.59804240 0.23391697 0.10625183

4.4.3 Difficulty 4
Dice 10 9 8 7 6 5
Pool 4 3 2 1 0 Botch
1 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 70.00000000 20.00000000 10.00000000
2 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.00000000 0.00000000 49.00000000 28.00000000 18.00000000 5.00000000
3 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.00000000 34.30000000 29.40000000 23.10000000 9.20000000 4.00000000
4 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
24.01000000 27.44000000 25.48000000 14.00000000 6.46000000 2.61000000
5 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 16.80700000
24.01000000 25.72500000 17.64000000 9.87000000 4.09200000 1.85600000
6 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 11.76490000 20.16840000
24.49020000 19.89400000 13.00950000 6.60240000 2.79240000 1.27820000
7 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 8.23543000 16.47086000 22.35331000
20.84068000 15.53447000 9.21298000 4.57611000 1.87896000 0.89720000
8 0.00000000 0.00000000 5.76480100 13.17668800 19.76503200 20.70622400
17.27759600 11.64004800 6.59932000 3.15179200 1.29101400 0.62748500
9 0.00000000 4.03536070 10.37664180 17.04734010 19.76503200 18.21206520
13.67417520 8.67529320 4.69012320 2.19400020 0.88856120 0.44140720
10 2.82475249 8.07072140 14.41200250 18.28265460 18.40618605 15.19083888
10.62874680 6.38556240 3.34135410 1.52980520 0.61651228 0.31086330

19
4.4.4 Difficulty 5
Dice 10 9 8 7 6 5
Pool 4 3 2 1 0 Botch
1 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 60.00000000 30.00000000 10.00000000
2 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.00000000 0.00000000 36.00000000 36.00000000 21.00000000 7.00000000
3 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.00000000 21.60000000 32.40000000 27.00000000 13.50000000 5.50000000
4 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
12.96000000 25.92000000 28.08000000 19.44000000 9.45000000 4.15000000
5 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 7.77600000
19.44000000 25.92000000 22.68000000 14.31000000 6.72300000 3.15100000
6 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 4.66560000 13.99680000
22.16160000 23.32800000 17.98200000 10.59480000 4.87890000 2.39230000
7 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 2.79936000 9.79776000 17.96256000
22.04496000 20.00376000 14.08428000 7.90398000 3.58263000 1.82071000
8 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.67961600 6.71846400 13.99680000 19.59552000
20.41200000 16.65619200 10.96804800 5.92920000 2.65558500 1.38857500
9 0.00000000 1.00776960 4.53496320 10.58158080 16.62819840 19.52553600
18.07686720 13.61888640 8.51355360 4.46891580 1.98251550 1.06121350
10 0.60466176 3.02330880 7.81021440 13.60488960 17.76193920 18.36660096
15.54694560 11.00148480 6.59730420 3.38153940 1.48853781 0.81257347

4.4.5 Difficulty 6
Dice 10 9 8 7 6 5
Pool 4 3 2 1 0 Botch
1 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 50.00000000 40.00000000 10.00000000
2 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.00000000 0.00000000 25.00000000 40.00000000 26.00000000 9.00000000
3 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.00000000 12.50000000 30.00000000 31.50000000 18.40000000 7.60000000
4 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
6.25000000 20.00000000 29.00000000 24.80000000 13.66000000 6.29000000
5 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 3.12500000
12.50000000 23.12500000 26.00000000 19.65000000 10.42400000 5.17600000
6 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.56250000 7.50000000
16.87500000 23.50000000 22.53750000 15.67200000 8.09960000 4.25340000
7 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.78125000 4.37500000 11.59375000
19.25000000 22.35625000 19.20100000 12.57235000 6.37424000 3.49616000
8 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.39062500 2.50000000 7.62500000 14.70000000
20.03750000 20.46800000 16.20220000 10.13616000 5.06416600 2.87634900
9 0.00000000 0.19531250 1.40625000 4.85156250 10.65000000 16.66125000
19.71900000 18.29205000 13.59576000 8.20676700 4.05289840 2.36914960
10 0.09765625 0.78125000 3.00781250 7.40625000 13.07578125 17.58900000
18.69975000 16.08660000 11.37089250 6.66873200 3.26251276 1.95376274

20
4.4.6 Difficulty 7
Dice 10 9 8 7 6 5
Pool 4 3 2 1 0 Botch
1 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 40.00000000 50.00000000 10.00000000
2 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.00000000 0.00000000 16.00000000 40.00000000 33.00000000 11.00000000
3 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.00000000 6.40000000 24.00000000 34.80000000 24.50000000 10.30000000
4 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
2.56000000 12.80000000 26.56000000 29.60000000 19.21000000 9.27000000
5 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 1.02400000
6.40000000 17.28000000 26.40000000 25.14000000 15.52500000 8.23100000
6 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.40960000 3.07200000
10.21440000 19.84000000 24.98400000 21.42000000 12.79050000 7.26950000
7 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.16384000 1.43360000 5.66272000
13.35040000 20.93504000 23.04400000 18.32460000 10.67925000 6.40655000
8 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.06553600 0.65536000 2.99827200 8.31488000
15.61548800 21.02016000 20.94534400 15.73840000 9.00454500 5.64201500
9 0.00000000 0.02621440 0.29491200 1.53354240 4.89062400 10.70346240
17.04729600 20.44976640 18.87004800 13.56555240 7.64995250 4.96862950
10 0.01048576 0.13107200 0.76349440 2.75251200 6.88005120 12.65971200
17.77390080 19.47763200 16.90622160 11.72976200 6.53808673 4.37706951

4.4.7 Difficulty 8
Dice 10 9 8 7 6 5
Pool 4 3 2 1 0 Botch
1 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 30.00000000 60.00000000 10.00000000
2 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.00000000 0.00000000 9.00000000 36.00000000 42.00000000 13.00000000
3 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.00000000 2.70000000 16.20000000 35.10000000 32.40000000 13.60000000
4 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.81000000 6.48000000 20.52000000 32.40000000 26.46000000 13.33000000
5 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.24300000
2.43000000 10.12500000 22.68000000 29.43000000 22.35600000 12.73600000
6 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.07290000 0.87480000
4.51980000 13.12200000 23.44950000 26.63280000 19.29960000 12.02860000
7 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.02187000 0.30618000 1.88811000
6.73596000 15.36003000 23.37174000 24.11451000 16.90632000 11.29528000
8 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00656100 0.10497600 0.75232800 3.18427200
8.83839600 16.90113600 22.79340000 21.87777600 14.96669400 10.57446100
9 0.00000000 0.00196830 0.03542940 0.28934010 1.41717600 4.63731480
10.69180560 17.86254120 21.92948640 19.89601380 13.35557160 9.88335280
10 0.00059049 0.01180980 0.10825650 0.60229980 2.27043405 6.13164816
12.23757720 18.36555120 20.91275010 18.13722840 11.99254572 9.22930858

21
4.4.8 Difficulty 9
Dice 10 9 8 7 6 5
Pool 4 3 2 1 0 Botch
1 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 20.00000000 70.00000000 10.00000000
2 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.00000000 0.00000000 4.00000000 28.00000000 53.00000000 15.00000000
3 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.00000000 0.80000000 8.40000000 30.60000000 42.70000000 17.50000000
4 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.16000000 2.24000000 12.08000000 30.80000000 36.01000000 18.71000000
5 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.03200000
0.56000000 4.00000000 14.84000000 29.97000000 31.36700000 19.23100000
6 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00640000 0.13440000
1.19520000 5.82400000 16.78200000 28.73640000 27.95090000 19.37070000
7 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00128000 0.03136000 0.33376000
2.01488000 7.55272000 18.07708000 27.38386000 25.31291000 19.29215000
8 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00025600 0.00716800 0.08883200 0.63974400
2.95433600 9.10380800 18.88600000 26.03899200 23.19580900 19.08505500
9 0.00000000 0.00005120 0.00161280 0.02280960 0.19084800 1.04757120
3.95277120 10.44529920 19.33837920 24.75505620 21.44486470 18.80073670
10 0.00001024 0.00035840 0.00569600 0.05429760 0.34538880 1.54293888
4.96075680 11.57466240 19.53240660 23.55135020 19.96241653 18.46971755

4.4.9 Difficulty 10
Dice 10 9 8 7 6 5
Pool 4 3 2 1 0 Botch
1 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 10.00000000 80.00000000 10.00000000
2 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.00000000 0.00000000 1.00000000 16.00000000 66.00000000 17.00000000
3 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.00000000 0.10000000 2.40000000 19.50000000 56.00000000 22.00000000
4 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000
0.01000000 0.32000000 3.88000000 21.44000000 48.70000000 25.65000000
5 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00100000
0.04000000 0.64500000 5.28000000 22.41000000 43.24800000 28.37600000
6 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00010000 0.00480000
0.09660000 1.04800000 6.52950000 22.78080000 39.08040000 30.45980000
7 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00001000 0.00056000 0.01351000
0.18256000 1.50101000 7.60648000 22.78563000 35.82048000 32.08976000
8 0.00000000 0.00000000 0.00000100 0.00006400 0.00180000 0.02912000
0.29750000 1.97971200 8.51384800 22.57120000 33.21351000 33.39324500
9 0.00000000 0.00000010 0.00000720 0.00023130 0.00435840 0.05322600
0.43888320 2.46490440 9.26616960 22.22969580 31.08504800 34.45747600
10 0.00000001 0.00000080 0.00002890 0.00062160 0.00883245 0.08690496
0.60291960 2.94242880 9.88239570 21.81887840 29.31397756 35.34301122

22
Contents
1 Introduction 1

2 The probability function 2

3 C code for the calculation of probabilities 5

4 Probability tables 7
4.1 Success classes by Difficulty by Dice Pool . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7
4.1.1 Dice Pool • . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7
4.1.2 Dice Pool • • . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8
4.1.3 Dice Pool • • • . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8
4.1.4 Dice Pool • • • • . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8
4.1.5 Dice Pool • • • • • . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8
4.1.6 Dice Pool • • • • • • . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9
4.1.7 Dice Pool • • • • • • • . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9
4.1.8 Dice Pool • • • • • • • • . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9
4.1.9 Dice Pool • • • • • • • • • . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9
4.1.10 Dice Pool • • • • • • • • • • . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
4.2 Success classes by Dice Pool by Difficulty . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
4.2.1 Difficulty 2 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
4.2.2 Difficulty 3 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
4.2.3 Difficulty 4 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
4.2.4 Difficulty 5 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
4.2.5 Difficulty 6 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
4.2.6 Difficulty 7 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12
4.2.7 Difficulty 8 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12
4.2.8 Difficulty 9 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12
4.2.9 Difficulty 10 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13
4.3 Successes by Difficulty by Dice Pool . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13
4.3.1 Dice Pool • . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13
4.3.2 Dice Pool • • . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14
4.3.3 Dice Pool • • • . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14
4.3.4 Dice Pool • • • • . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15
4.3.5 Dice Pool • • • • • . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15
4.3.6 Dice Pool • • • • • • . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16
4.3.7 Dice Pool • • • • • • • . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16
4.3.8 Dice Pool • • • • • • • • . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17
4.3.9 Dice Pool • • • • • • • • • . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17
4.3.10 Dice Pool • • • • • • • • • • . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18
4.4 Successes by Dice Pool by Difficulty . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18
4.4.1 Difficulty 2 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18
4.4.2 Difficulty 3 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19
4.4.3 Difficulty 4 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19
4.4.4 Difficulty 5 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20
4.4.5 Difficulty 6 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20
4.4.6 Difficulty 7 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21
4.4.7 Difficulty 8 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21
4.4.8 Difficulty 9 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22
4.4.9 Difficulty 10 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22

23