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285
During the five years following the conference, little gain was recorded
in the developing world in girls' primary enrollment as it rose only by
a fraction of a decimal point, from 45.4% in 1990 to 45.8% in 1995. The
gender gap in adult literacy actually widened over the same period.
(UNICEF, 1998, p. 15)
At the World Education Forum in April 2000, the international commu-
nity promised to launch a "global initiative" to mobilize resources to sup-
port national education efforts. However, since the Dakar, Senegal,
Forum, there has been no headway toward launching the initiative.
Educational progress is uphill. The world economic slump has hit
developing countries hard. Many are in recession or depression. Mean-
while, the donor and creditor community is increasingly tight-fisted.
However, as discussed later, more money for education is not necessarily
the answer. Even with vigorous education campaigns, there will be disap-
pointing progress unless creditors-especially the International Monetary
Fund (IMF) and the World Bank-begin to support homegrown, national
development strategies and education action plans. In addition, the insti-
tutions need to change their policy prescriptions for ailing economies, in
general, and for the education sector in particular.
This article provides an overview of the roles of the IMF and World
Bank from 1980 to the present. It distinguishes between two types of
impacts exerted by the IMF and World Bank in the education sector of
borrowing countries: (a) the World Bank's direct involvement in the edu-
cation sector of developing countries and countrywide economic reforms
and (b) Structural Adjustment Programs (SAPs) financed by the IMF as
well as the World Bank.
The first two sections of this article address the World Bank's direct
involvement in education through project investments (e.g., school con-
struction, curriculum development, or textbook publication) and reform
of the education sector (e.g., school privatization, cost recovery, decentral-
ization). The third section addresses SAPs financed by the IMF and World
286
Bank. Unlike the World Bank, the IMF does not make project investments
or reform education policies; it only engages in structural (and sectoral)
adjustment lending. The impacts of IMF- and World Bank-financed
adjustment programs ripple throughout a society, including households
and school systems.
Few independent analysts have attempted to evaluate the impact of
adjustment on education. This is unfortunate because adjustment policies
are a more powerful influence on the education sector than education
projects. As a result of the hiatus in research, we are significantly depen-
dent on the World Bank and IMF for their own evaluations of the impact
of adjustment on education.
This article finds that the operations of the institutions have had both
positive and negative impacts. The net influence of each institution has
been different in different countries, among different groups within coun-
tries, and in different time frames. Much of the literature about the impact
of the institutions addresses their track records in the 1980s, when even
according to their own admission, the institutions paid scant attention to
the impacts of their economic reform loans on vulnerable people.
This article underscores the World Bank's conclusion that, in many
countries, adjustment lending had a negative impact on primary educa-
tion in the 1980s. During the 1990s, there appears to be a weak, but posi-
tive, response to measures taken by the institutions and borrowing coun-
tries to modify SAPs. That is, in some circumstances, safety nets and
education investments have helped to stem school enrollment declines or
increase enrollments.
In 2002, the World Bank Group launched a Private Sector Development
(PSD) strategy that aims to expand the provision of educational services
by private firms and nongovernmental organizations (NGOs). In selected
instances, this approach may have merit. In general, however, the PSD
strategy endangers educational progress because it ignores the lessons of
experience. Among other things, it ignores the fact that when educational
services are provided at cost, they will not reach poor populations even
when subsidy schemes are used.
To analyze the influence on education of the IMF and World Bank oper-
ations, this article reviews the following issues:
* IMF and World Bank loans. Historically, the IMF and World Bank
provide loans1 at market rates as well as credits at concessional
1Technically, governments with active IMF programs are not "borrowers," although the
term is used in this article. They are actually "purchasers" of resources, some of which they
contribute to the IMF
287
rates (with interest rates below 1%). Shortly, the World Bank will
increase its levels of grant assistance.
* The volume of resources for education. Too often, the public sees
increasing amounts of resources for education as a good thing.
However, history shows that "aid" has sometimes been used to
dismantle education systems. Greater quantities of aid should be
used only to support good education policies.
* The types of loans: projects investments or adjustment loans. Over
time, adjustment loans generally have a stronger influence on edu-
cational outcomes than do investments in education projects.
* The purposes of reform. The purpose of many adjustment pro-
grams (e.g., cutting deficits and lowering per pupil costs) can com-
plement or conflict with educational goals.
* The impacts of reform. In many countries, the formulae used by
the Bank to reform the education sector have had more negative
than positive impacts. Furthermore, SAPs have often sabotaged
educational progress while weakening the state. Ultimately, the
state needs to be the guarantor of educational access, quality, and
progress.
288
Grant assistance has declined over the last decade. In 1994-95, bilateral
donor governments provided less support for education (both in absolute
terms and as a percentage of total aid) than they did in 1989-1990 before
the 1990 EFA Conference in Jomtien. The good news is that the volume
and percentage of education aid devoted to basic education has tripled.2
World Bank lending for education has increased significantly since the
Jomtien conference. Overall lending for education doubled from the 1986
to 1990 period to the 1991 to 1998 period. Lending for primary education
has increased by 360%. In 1995, the volume of Bank loans ($3.1 billion)
represented 28% of all external finance for education.
Of the approximately $15 billion in education loan commitments made
by the World Bank from 1991 to 1998, two thirds were at market rates. One
third ($5.7 billion) was for poorer countries, which borrow from the IDA
and are concentrated in Africa. From the mid-1980s to the mid-1990s, the
share of education lending rose for two regions-South Asia and Latin
America and the Caribbean; the share of education lending fell for four
regions-sub-Saharan Africa, Middle East and North Africa, East Asia
and the Pacific, and Europe and Central Asia.
The volume of World Bank assistance to the education sector under-
states the institution's influence, because high levels of assistance provid-
ed by bilateral donors usually help finance World Bank-financed projects
and policies. Bank assistance (indeed, all external finance) represents a
tiny proportion (0.5% of 1%) of global spending for education. However,
in some times and places, it is significant in terms of volume of resources
for, and influence on, education. For instance, during the 1980s, Bank
resources constituted 16% of the resources available to African govern-
ments for education.
2Germany,Japan, the United Kingdom, France, and The Netherlands shifted considerable
aid into basic education. Australia, Austria, Canada, Denmark, Finland, Switzerland, and
the United States made modest shifts. Belgium, Italy, and Norway decreased allocations to
basic education.
289
for educational services is elastic; that is, demand rises or falls as direct
and indirect costs of education rise or fall relative to a family's income
level. Families make choices and set priorities. Often, families place a
higher value on education of boys than girls.
3Figures derived from a list provided to the author by the Poverty Reduction & Economic
Management Network of the World Bank.
290
4The World Bank refers to the institution's market rate window, the IBRD, as well as the
concessional window, the IDA. The IBRD is the facility for countries with per capita annual
incomes exceeding $925; IDA is the facility for poorer countries. IDA provides "soft," or con-
cessional, loans to the poorest countries, which are concentrated in sub-Saharan Africa and
South Asia. Affiliate members of the World Bank Group include the International Finance
Corporation (IFC) and the Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency.
291
Table 1
1995 ExternalExpendituresforEducationin Millions of Current U.S. Dollars
Expenditure Amount
Overall lending for education doubled from the 1986 to 1990 period to
the 1991 to 1998 period. During the 1990s, lending levels for basic educa-
tion have fluctuated wildly. In fiscal year (FY) 1998, the level of education
loan commitments-$3.1 billion-was three times the FY 1997 level. The
$3.1 billion level represents 36 loans to 28 countries, which is 9.1% of total
World Bank loan commitments of $28,594 billion. Commitments are dis-
bursed over a period of years. In FY 1998, education loan disbursements
totaled nearly $1.9 billion.
Basic EducationEmphasis
Bank lending for primary education increased by 360% from the 1986 to
1990 period to the 1991 to 1998 period. During the nine FYs 1990 to 1998,
the average annual level of lending for basic education was $809 million,
292
which is four times the annual average for the years 1986 to 1989. During
the 1990s, basic education constituted about one third to one half of Bank
education lending. Although basic education encompasses adult literacy
as well as primary education, adult literacy is not a Bank priority. In FY
1996, only two projects (in Ghana and in Indonesia) focused on this goal.
5If country conditions change in the interim, the Bank updates the CAS by preparing a
new "short CAS" or a CAS "progress report."
293
6The IFC's approach to the education sector is described in Karmokolias and Maas (1997).
7The World Bank's (1995c) 1995 Annual Report referred to the institution's shift to sup-
porting private-sector investment (as opposed to direct lending to governments) as "a dra-
matic departure from what had been Bank policy for half a century."
8Forthe most part, the IFC would also take charge of the World Bank Group's on-lending
operations and policy risk guarantees. That is, if the market does not provide these services
to borrowing countries, the IFC/MIGA will provide them (or refer the borrower to the IBRD
and IDA).
90ne internal paper distributed within the Bank in March 2001 envisioned the Bank's
administrative budget growing from $1.2 billion in FY 2001 to about $1.3 billion in FY 2002.
It succeeds the Bank's FY 1998 to FY 2000 Strategic Compact.
l?IDA commitments increased to $6.8 billion for 134 projects in FY 2001, compared with
$4.4 billion for 126 projects in FY 2000.
294
The IFC's paper, IFC: Strategic Directions (World Bank, 2001), targets
five frontier areas for business expansion, including the social sectors,
infrastructure, small and medium-sized enterprises, domestic financial
institutions, and information technology and communications. Especially
in these areas, the IFC will increasingly take the lead in expanding private
provision of services,11 and IDA will work with governments to design
subsidy and other schemes to offset the costs of private provision to low-
income consumers.
Initiatives to privatize education are being taken without regard for the
needs and preferences of citizens in borrowing countries. Indeed, the IMF
and World Bank are suspending debt relief for several countries due to
their inadequate progress in privatization. Such coercive tactics subvert
efforts by citizens in borrowing countries to shape their own future
through national planning processes (e.g., the Poverty Reduction Strategy
Paper [PRSP] process; World Bank, 1992).
"IFC investments increased four and a half times over in real terms between 1980 and
2000. The IFC's infrastructure department was created in 1992 and, by 2000, one fifth of IFC
lending went to private-sector infrastructure.
295
Thus, although lending for education has been expanding since the late
1980s, demand by the poorest countries is much lower than demand by
lower middle-income and middle-income countries.
Many NGOs in developing countries oppose the government practice
of borrowing at market rates for social services, which they believe their
government should underwrite with their tax dollars. Some NGOs also
oppose greater World Bank provision of grants for education where
grants would subsidize the privatization of education.
Staffing
The Bank has approximately 240 staff working in the education sector.
Of this total, about 20% have graduate exposure in the field of education.
The World Bank's 10,000 staff members are organized into thematic net-
works that provide services to country and regional departments.
The staff of the country and regional departments within the Bank hold
the reins of power in the Bank. A powerful country director, along with a
chief economist, staffs each Country Management Unit. In conjunction
with their client country or countries, these individuals coordinate the
design of CASs and determine the level and composition of lending,
including education lending.
The Country Management Units generate demand for the advice and
services of the Bank's thematic networks. The Human Development (HD)
Network supplies advice and services with respect to education, health,
296
Lending Services
The principal loan instruments of the World Bank are (structural and
sectoral) adjustment loans and project investments.12 Adjustment loans
are popular with the World Bank and its borrowers because they are fast
disbursing and inexpensive to process. In contrast, project loans disburse
slowly over the course of 6 or more years.
As a rule, adjustment programs have a greater impact on the education
sector than do project investments. Thus, it is unfortunate that
researchers that seek to understand the influence of the World Bank on
the education sector tend to focus on education projects and overlook
adjustment programs. Hence, the public tends to have a distorted view of
the role of the World Bank and the IMF in education. Education sector
adjustment policies and structural adjustment programs are discussed in
the next sections.
StructuralAdjustment Programs
12Inaddition, the Bank and the IFC offer a variety of partial risk and partial credit guar-
antees to private investors. The IFC also takes equity positions in ventures.
297
SectorAdjustment Loans
Hybrid Loans
ProjectInvestments
131n the 1989 movie Field of Dreams, a lover of baseball believed that if he built the perfect
298
Nonlending Services
Training
14Theaverage 6-year-old girl from a low- or middle-income country can expect to attend
school for 7.7 years; the average 6-year-old boy can expect 9.3 years of schooling (Patrinos &
Ariasingam, 1996).
15SunMicrosystems, URLabs, AMP, Cisco Systems, Advanced Network Services, Intel,
Apple, Lucent Technologies, Security Storage, Microsoft, and 3com.
299
Grant Giving
In late 2000, IDA began to provide a large volume of grants for educa-
tion in recipient countries. To date, however, IDA grant giving has been
limited to countries in conflict or projects funded by the Bank's Develop-
ment Grants Facility, which endorsed the first year of a multiyear program
to support UNICEF's education programs. In FY 1998, a $1.2 million grant
supported small-scale innovative programs at the community and local
levels to increase girls' enrollment rates. A partnership between the U.K.'s
Department for International Development, the Rockefeller Foundation,
and UNICEF (1998, p. 70) will study the implementation of girls' education
projects and initiative.
The Bank's Education Knowledge Management System is designed to
provide clients, partners, and staff of the Bank with the latest information
in the following areas: access and equity in basic education, effective
schools and teachers, education and technology, economics of education,
early childhood development, education system reform and manage-
ment, and postbasic education and training.
Research
300
301
302
Overview
303
304
Recipes
As noted earlier, the Bank has five major policy prescriptions for the
educational challenges of borrowing countries.
* Privatize.
* Recover costs through user fees.
* Implement demand-side financing.
* Decentralize.
* Transfer subsidies from higher education to basic education.
305
Privatize
Some estimate that private investment accounts for one third of educa-
tion spending globally, whereas public investment accounts for two thirds
of spending. In fact, there are insufficient data to know this with any
degree of certainty.
WorldBank GroupStrategies
The World Bank Group (including the private-sector affiliate, the IFC)16
emphasizes three options for public-private collaboration in education:
16TheIFC committed to seven education projects in FY 1998, five of which are located in
West Africa.
306
307
Social Funds
Examples
308
Pros
Cons
309
RecoverCosts
310
secondary school students may find the direct or indirect costs of educat-
ing a primary school student less affordable.
Examples
Pros
Cons
311
The Bank has also undertaken strategies to compensate families for the
cost of their children's education. Such strategies may involve stipends
(cash payments), community financing (through monetary or nonmone-
tary contributions), targeted bursaries (cash payments that go directly
to schools, municipalities, or provinces), vouchers (usually publicly
financed cash payments), and scholarships.
In 1995, school dropout rates in Brasilia were dramatically reduced when
Governor Buarque established an innovative scholarship program. The
program provided a stipend (or bolsa)equivalent to a minimum wage ($128
per month per family, regardless of the size of the family or the number of
children in the family) to every low-income family with children aged 7 to
14. Eligible families were in the lowest quintile of the income distribution
(with an income level less than $50 per month per family member) and
employed or searching for employment. A school savings program provid-
ed a deposit of approximately $90 into a savings account for each child of a
participating family who successfully completed a school year.
Enrollment statistics often mask demand-side problems. During the
late 1980s, enrollments were declining for poor populations in Cote
d'Ivoire, despite the fact that net enrollments and education expenditures
were increasing. In other words, increases in enrollments of nonpoor chil-
dren exceeded the decline among enrollments of poor children. The gap
in enrollment and in educational progress widened between the nonpoor
and the poor, between urban and rural areas, and between various socio-
economic groups (Grootaert, 1994, p. 131).
312
Examples
Pros
313
Cons
Decentralize
Examples
El Salvador. The Educacion con Participacion de la Comunidad decen-
tralizes education by strengthening direct involvement and participation of
parents and community groups. It was conceived as a way to expand
access to education for children in remote rural areas. The program has had
discouraging educational outcomes (imenez & Sawada, in press). Howev-
er, it did lead to higher teacher attendance rates (World Bank, 1998b).
314
* "We are responsible for higher cuotas [to pay] for electricity, the
water, the phone ... this is what autonomy means to me."
* "Now the Government is no longer sending the amount of
resources the institution needs ... now the burden is on our
shoulders."
* Teachers said, "During the [decentralization] workshop we were
told that we should ask parents for a cuota of 5 cordobas, but we
should say it is voluntary."
Pros
The Bank's vice president and chief economist for the Latin America
and Caribbean region summarized the pros of decentralization this way:
315
Cons
TransferSubsidiesFrom Secondaryand
Higher Educationto Basic Education
316
317
The Bank needs to review its policies of not making loans available
for higher education. Although higher education in Africa is expen-
sive and not very effective, this should be an argument in favor of
reform rather than a reason for neglect. Indeed, the Bank should
investigate mechanisms for channeling resources to higher education
to ensure at least the existence of a limited network of good universi-
ties in the region. Ways should be found to allocate resources to uni-
versities on a competitive basis. For instance, resources could be allo-
cated according to proposals submitted by the universities aimed at
improving performance. Preference could be shown for imaginative
programs that enhance a university's prospects. In addition, bur-
saries could be provided for students to use at the universities of their
choice. The bursaries could function much like a voucher system,
with universities competing for the fee-paying students. (p. 14)
Social scientists and economists could try to forge methods that do not
understate the real cost of education (which is highly subsidized in most
countries) and understate the benefits of education. However, attempts to
put a price on "externalities," such as the contribution of education to
social cohesion, good citizenship, well-functioning institutions, or indi-
vidual fulfillment may prove as illusive as valuing the beauty of a pristine
forest instead of its value as timber. Likewise, the types and costs of dys-
function, which arise from the lack of education (e.g., famine, social
breakdown, and war), are incalculable.
Overview
The Bank has worked in the education sector since 1962. For the first
18 years (1962-1980), the Bank's goal was to support construction and
equipment for technical, vocational, and secondary education to meet
manpower needs. There were major problems with operations. Thus, the
318
Bank's first education policy paper was issued in 1971, directing that
analysis of the education sector should precede investment lending. The
purpose of education lending was also expanded to include software, cur-
riculum development, and administrative and management support.
There were also major performance problems in the portfolio. Regard-
ing capital investment in diversified secondary schools, Haddad reported
that "completed buildings were considered inadequate in quality and
educational relevance in 40% of the projects. ... Similarly, almost all proj-
ects faced problems in the acquisition of equipment.... There were also
major problems in the provision and utilization of laboratories and work-
shops" (Jones, 1992, p. 253).
The year 1980 was pivotal. From 1980 onward, Bank-financed educa-
tion operations were often undertaken in the context of SAPs. The condi-
tions attached to adjustment loans require governments to take actions
intended to help achieve fiscal equilibrium and macroeconomic stability
and stimulate growth. SAPs aim at such outcomes by restricting domestic
demand and expanding production of exports. Typical SAP measures
include downsizing or decentralizing government, devaluing the curren-
cy, removing import barriers, providing incentives to exporters, reform-
ing the tax or legal system, and revising labor codes.
SAPs have not generally improved economic performance. In fact, in
most of the developing world (with a few exceptions, notably China), per
capita income growth in the period 1980 to 1997 (after SAPs were intro-
duced) is much lower than per capita income growth in the 1960 to 1980
period (before SAPs were introduced). From 1960 to 1980, there were
increases in primary and secondary school enrollment in nearly every
country. However, declines in school enrollments began in about 1980 and
grew during the decade.
SAPs exacerbated the gap in per capita income (gross national product
[GNP]) between the countries with the richest fifth of the world's people
and those with the poorest fifth. This gap widened from 30 to 1 in 1960, to
60 to 1 in 1990, and to 74 to 1 in 1995.17There is also a disturbing pattern of
widening income inequality within countries, which among other things,
spawns political and social unrest.
Critics contend that SAPs frequently cause substantial short-term pain
and hardship for poor and vulnerable groups offset only by a promise of
long-term gains that may or may not materialize. In other words, adjust-
ment may not always produce economic growth, and if it does, the bene-
fits do not always "trickle down" to poor people. In fact, many NGOs
contend that vulnerable groups, such as poor people and women, are
17www.challengeglobalization.org / indx.shtml
319
320
the Bank is comprised of worlds within worlds that often do not intersect.
The history of the Bank's Social Development Task Force reflects a sharp
divide between the Bank's economists and noneconomic social scientists.
Many of the conflicts between the two groups revolved around the ques-
tion of whether economic policies should be normative or nonnormative.
Like education sector reforms, SAPs are often administered in a top-
down way. Many borrowing country officials accuse the IMF and Bank of
undermining government capacity by their heavy-handed, single-minded
style of operating.
... [I]t could be suggested that the low morale of the civil service in
many African countries was an unintended result of structural adjust-
ment. ... Furthermore, the Bank only considers it has achieved suc-
cess in its SAPs when the loan conditions result in policies that would
not otherwise have occurred. This hinders the use and development of
local capacity and results in a paradoxical outcome: key decisions are
made by donors who, at the same time, emphasize the importance of
policies being locally "owned." (World Bank, 1996b, p. 14)
321
Table 2
PrimaryEducation's
ShareofPublicExpenditures
Declinesin ManyAdjustingCountriesin the
1980s
The IMF's seal of approval. The IMF is head of a creditor cartel and, in
this capacity, it judges the policy performance of borrowing governments.
Governments that obey IMF dictates usually obtain its seal of approval. If
a government loses its seal of approval, it risks losing access to all external
assistance because most other creditors and donors follow the lead of the
IME Debt relief has been suspended for many countries participating in
the Highly Indebted Poor Country (HIPC) initiative (Nicaragua, Benin,
Mali, Chad, and Nigeria) because, among other things, they failed to
expedite privatization processes.
By providing or withholding the seal, the IMF modulates a govern-
ment's access to official development assistance and private capital flows.
Bilateral donor governments, which provide 75% of official development
322
assistance, rely heavily on the IMF's signals. The IMF signaling, or gate-
keeping, function gives the institution inordinate and inappropriate levels
of power in the international financial system. A more diversified signaling
process, which draws on the perspectives of several international actors,
would better serve the interests of developing country governments and
the stability and equity of the international system as a whole.
323
noted that all creditors and donors have such plans. Some names of these
plans are The Country Operational Strategy Study of the Asian Develop-
ment Bank, the Country Strategy Paper of the African Development Bank,
and the Country Cooperation Framework of the United Nations Develop-
ment Program. The CAS, which describes the investments that the Bank
plans to make in the country over the medium term, outlines three lend-
ing scenarios (high-case, base-case, and low-case scenarios) for a 3- to 5-
year time frame. A government in the low-case scenario has relatively few
loans. As a government accomplishes "trigger" conditions, it is given
access to more loans and a higher credit limit.
In the late 1990s, the most common triggers required borrowing gov-
ernments to comply with IMF performance criteria, achieve fiscal targets,
and privatize enterprises. Only 15% of triggers protected education and
health spending. Failure to accomplish triggers can diminish a govern-
ment's access to resources. For instance, at one point, the World Bank per-
mitted the government of Brazil to borrow $4 billion to $6 billion over 3
years. However, the Bank warned the government that it could only bor-
row $2 billion if its fiscal deficit exceeded 7.5% of gross domestic product
(GDP). In this case, control of the fiscal deficit was a trigger condition.
In sum, the IMF and World Bank promote economic liberalization
through the IMF's seal of approval, binding SAP conditions, and the
Bank's trigger conditions (often IMF conditions). The Bank and IMF
almost never analyze the social impact of these mechanisms.
These mechanisms are not promoted with equal vigor with all borrow-
ing governments, however. UNICEF's (1998) State of the World'sChildren
Report cites C6te d'Ivoire's Economic and Finance Minister's reaction to
the outpouring of assistance in the aftermath of the Asian financial crisis:
We have observed the speedy reaction to Asia and seen the huge sums
of money they have been able to come up with almost instantaneously,
often bending the rules pretty freely. When it comes to us, our negotia-
tions can drag on for months while they split hairs and act very finicky.
One can easily get the impression of a double standard.
Critiquesof Adjustment
324
influence the size and nature of education budgets. Sometimes SAPs are
successful in reallocating expenditures in ways that boost enrollments.
This is reportedly the case in Bangladesh and Pakistan. As already noted,
only 50 of the more than 3,000 conditions attached to SAPs in the 1980 to
1993 time frame were related to education and only 6 of the 50 conditions
explicitly called for the protection or increase of education expenditures.
The World Bank has documented impacts of SAPs on social expenditures
during the years 1980 to 1993 (World Bank, 1996c). However, there are prob-
lems with the Bank's methodology. For instance, the Bank worked with a
sample of 53 countries for which growth data were available. However,
household data were only available for a subset of 23 of the 53 countries.
Small and poor countries (primarily African) were significantly underrepre-
sented in the subset. Hence, when the Bank extrapolated the poverty and
equity implications of adjustment based on household data, the results were
skewed. Even when skewing the results in this way, the Bank found that:
* Per capita social spending fell in two thirds of the countries, and
the composition of social spending worsened.
* Total discretionary spending declined in 24 of 34 countries; social
spending declined in 17 of 34 countries.
* Mitigation of negative social impacts of adjustment had limited
effectiveness due to the reduction of social expenditures resulting
from adjustment programs.18
* In many countries, expenditure cuts may have exacerbated the
existing biases and inefficiencies in public expenditure programs.
... [W]ith a few exceptions, most countries have made little effort to
shift resources into primary education and basic health care services
... nonwage recurrent spending for supplies and maintenance has
been severely underfunded. This problem which consistently emerged
18Bulletsare quotes from handouts provided by the Bank's Social Development Depart-
ment in October 1998.
325
from Bank country reports has worsened in most countries during the
adjustment era and all but crippled public social services in many
countries. (Jayarajah& Branson, 1995; World Bank, 1996c)
326
327
328
329
Recommendations
Adjustment Operations
* Transparency: Are the documents, which define the terms and con-
ditions of World Bank and IMF involvement in the country, available to
the elected officials and citizens of the borrowing countries? Are they
available in draft form to facilitate participation? Three points should be
emphasized: (a) If broad ownership of adjustment operations is desired,
the IMF and World Bank should work with borrowing governments to
disclose draft adjustment programs. (b) The World Bank encourages bor-
330
ImpactAssessments
The World Bank and IMF could routinely conduct assessments of adjust-
ment operations to help ensure that universal primary education goals are
achieved. The institutions could also conduct dynamic assessments of
sectorwide and countrywide strategies, including PRSs, which constitute
the framework for IMF and World Bank lending to low-income countries.
Ultimately, there is a need for independent capacity to undertake
assessment, monitoring, and evaluation of operations. Academic institu-
tions and civil society organizations (CSOs) are developing the indepen-
dent capacity to undertake impact assessments and impact monitoring.
Frontier thinking in innovative qualitative and quantitative methods of
impact assessment should be developed in collaborations among south-
ern, northern, and transition country CSOs and think tanks.
Impact assessments can help resolve conflicts that arise between
adjustment goals and education goals and protect educational progress.
New policies should protect and advance educational goals. Impact
assessments should be conducted to determine the social consequences of
the trigger conditions associated with World Bank CASs. Such triggers
should always protect or expand education and health budgets. In addi-
tion, The IMF and World Bank should ensure that its binding SAP condi-
tions support education goals.
331
Impact assessments can also ensure that education resources are not
diverted to other purposes. Education aid is highly fungible-more fungi-
ble than aid for most other sectors. This is because it has such a large
requirement for scarce local cost financing (Agbonyitor, 1998, p. 9). In
addition, in countries with active IMF programs, IMF targets for reduc-
tion of budget deficits may divert grant and concessional assistance from
the education sector. In other words, if governments exceed IMF targets
for borrowing, they risk violating their agreement with the IMF and los-
ing their IMF seal of approval. Many governments object to the way in
which the IMF diverts grant aid and concessional assistance (Foster &
Thomas, 1998).
332
The inverse relationship between the level of lending and the quality
of lending is especially relevant to the education sector. In a Bank-
financed evaluation of a major research study, "Education, Growth and
Inequality in Brazil," Birdsall and Bruns (1996) stated that if the study
has a single theme, "it is that of the quantity-quality trade-off, the thesis
being that quantitative expansion at the expense of qualitative improve-
ment soon proves to be not only inefficient but also extremely
inequitable" (p. 15).
Participation
Borrowing governments and their citizens should design their own solu-
tions to policy problems. The national and sector-specific strategies of bor-
rowing governments (e.g., PRSPs) should not be subject to endorsement by
external creditors, such as the IMF and World Bank. The institutions should
determine whether they wish to invest in homegrown solutions or continue
to undermine domestic processes in borrowing countries.
The Bank often assumes that decentralization of education services
will enhance participation and education outcomes. However, many fed-
eral government functions are being decentralized, and local govern-
ments frequently lack the capacity and resources to manage education
systems effectively. In addition, the IMF and the World Bank must dis-
close draft documents if they wish domestic constituencies to participate
in the formulation of loan operations. For instance, the Bank should work
with borrowing governments to ensure that draft CASs are publicly dis-
closed and discussed and that feedback is integrated into final CAS doc-
uments. Final CAS documents should be publicly disclosed.
Finally, the IMF and World Bank should scale down programs that
undermine the effectiveness and accountability of governments to their
people (e.g., SFs and OBA schemes). Where such schemes are used,
they should adhere to all World Bank operational policies. Especially in
the area of basic services-health, education, and water-it is essential
that the capacity of governments to guarantee universal services is
strengthened.
At present, participation is impeded by factors, such as:
333
feel as though they are being asked to validate decisions that have already
been made. Phony participatory processes can undermine democratic
processes as much as autocratic processes do.
* The pressure to lend. The culture and incentives of the Bank, togeth-
er with the scale and pace of lending operations, militate against mean-
ingful participation. A Bank official describes the pressure to lend:
334
edge and consent of citizens. Schemes such as SFs and OBA programs
can undermine the authority and effectiveness of government pro-
grams. This is especially the case when such programs give internation-
al actors (private firms and NGOs) a dominant role in sensitive educa-
tion and health arenas.
* Attitudes toward educators. Aid and creditor agencies are far more
deferential to experts in other sectors (e.g., doctors in the health sector)
than they are to educators. As a result, the economist-dominated agen-
cies often bypass the concerns of educators in recipient countries-
resulting in education projects and policies that are often ill suited to
their environment.
335
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