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Geospatial predictive modeling​ is conceptually rooted in the principle that the occurrences of

events being modeled are limited in distribution. Occurrences of events are neither uniform nor
random in distribution – there are spatial environment factors (infrastructure, sociocultural,
topographic, etc.) that constrain and influence where the locations of events occur. Geospatial
predictive modeling attempts to describe those constraints and influences by spatially correlating
occurrences of historical geospatial locations with environmental factors that represent those
constraints and influences. Geospatial predictive modeling is a process for analyzing events
through a geographic filter in order to make statements of likelihood for event occurrence or
emergence

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