Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
Prepared by Commissioned by
Table of Contents
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 2
Background to the Survey ............................................................................................................ 2
Major Findings of the RDQ 07 Survey........................................................................................... 5
ADDENDUM TO EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 16
Size of Debt ............................................................................................................................... 16
Rating ........................................................................................................................................ 18
Performance............................................................................................................................... 19
Comparison of Debt to Production Volume ................................................................................. 19
Examination of Debt by Region AND Industry ............................................................................. 23
Part 1 – Debt Analysis 30
COMMENTARY ON MOVEMENT IN DEBT 30
Overview of Movement in Debt ................................................................................................... 65
BACKGROUND AND DEFINITION OF RURAL DEBT 66
Background ................................................................................................................................ 66
Definition of Rural Debt .............................................................................................................. 67
METHODOLOGY OF STUDY 68
THE EXTENT, NATURE AND SIZE OF RURAL DEBT 70
Queensland ................................................................................................................................ 70
Queensland by Region and Industry ........................................................................................... 70
Changes in sources of rural debt ................................................................................................ 72
Categorisation Of Rural Debt ...................................................................................................... 73
Levels of Non-Performing Debt ................................................................................................... 76
Gross Value of Production .......................................................................................................... 78
Type of Loan Facilities and Purpose of Loan .............................................................................. 80
Age of Borrower ......................................................................................................................... 81
COMPARISON OF PREVIOUS SURVEYS AND RDQ 07 SURVEY 82
Comparison of Debt by Industry.................................................................................................. 82
Debt by Industry ......................................................................................................................... 83
Comparison of Debt to Gross Value of Production (GVP)............................................................ 85
Comparison of Rural Debt by Region 1994 – 2009 ..................................................................... 86
PART II – APPENDIX 88
Appendix 1 – Shires And Equivalent ABARE Regions And Industries Covered ........................... 88
Appendix 2 - Industries ............................................................................................................... 90
Appendix 3 – Definitions ............................................................................................................. 91
Appendix 4 – Institutions Contacted During The RDQ 09 Survey ................................................ 92
PART III - DATABASE REPORTS 93
Page 1 of 130
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
BACKGROUND TO THE SURVEY
In December 2009, QRAA commissioned Moore Stephens to conduct a survey of the level of
Rural Debt in Queensland at December 2009 (the RDQ 09 Survey).
This is the eleventh report commissioned by QRAA since 1994 and is used as a basis for
providing bi-annually comparisons of rural-related debt in Queensland, as well as an indicator
of trends and movements across industries and geographic locations.
Since 2000 year, the survey has been commissioned bi-annually; previous to this the survey
was commissioned annually from 1995.
The RDQ 09 Survey (and previous surveys) define rural debt as the total indebtedness of all
farmers and/or rural enterprises throughout Queensland, where the servicing of the debt
relies primarily on farm-generated income. Debt categories such as vendor and family loans
were excluded.
The availability of information of this kind and its rating by region, local government shire and
industry is essential to those needing to provide informed advice to, and on, the rural sector.
Since the RDQ 05 Survey, details of loan indebtedness at a Local Government Shire Level
have been able to be disclosed. However, up to date data from the Australian Bureau of
Statistics and Gross Value of Production details at a Shire or Regional level, is not available.
Projected data in respect of the Gross Value of Production at a Queensland State level has
been made available via the Department of Employment, Economic Development and
Innovation (“DEEDI”).
As in previous years, the RDQ 09 Survey was undertaken with the cooperation of the major
banks and Queensland-based lending institutions who provided confidential data relating to
the level of rural debt in Queensland as at December 2009. The financial institutions involved
are listed in Part III.
Page 2 of 130
In the conduct of the RDQ 09 Survey, new participants have been included in the Survey this
year; data that in previous surveys was carried forward from previous surveys but who have
not participated in the RDQ 09 Survey, were excluded in the results of the RDQ 09 Survey.
The impact of the additional and exclusion of such bodies netted, is minimal.
As data is able to be collected at the lowest geographical denominator, (being the post code
applicable to the place of operation of the entity), the RDQ Survey‟s since 2003 have been
able to provide the collation of data as follows:
State Level
This process allows reporting to be provided both at a Regional level, and within a Region at
a Shire level.
The industry classifications used throughout the report refer to the Australian and New
Zealand Standards Industrial Classification (ANZSIC) 2006. However a number of providers
of data still use the 1993 system and in these instances, the 1993 coding system has been
used.
In the conduct of RDQ 09, the financial institutions were able to provide (in respect of industry
classification), not only the Divisional Code (e.g. Horticulture) but also the Class classification
in respect of the particular industry (e.g. within Horticulture Divisional Code, classes such as
Plant Nurseries, Cut Flower and Flower Seed Growing (being Class or a sub classification
code)).
Divisional Classification (e.g. Horticulture)
Class Classification
(e.g.
Plant Nurseries
Cut Flower and Flower Seed Growing)
Page 3 of 130
In the RDQ 07 Survey, for the first time, data was collected in relation to the Category,
“Services To Agriculture”. This data was identified in the report but was excluded in the RDQ
07 results to allow comparison to previous surveys.
In the RDQ 09 Survey, for the first time, data was collected re the Categories “Hunting and
Trapping”, Forestry and Logging”, Marine Fishing” and “Aquaculture”.
The impact of the inclusion of these categories was also not material, both in relation to the
estimate of number of borrowers and the value of loan indebtedness.
Where possible, Moore Stephens has met with industry associations and other significant
stakeholders to obtain interpretation and comment on the Survey. General comment has also
been sought from major commercial lenders regarding the survey findings and the movement
of rated debt.
Attached to this Executive Summary is an addendum containing tables and graphs, which
provide more detailed information relating to key aspects of the summary.
Page 4 of 130
MAJOR FINDINGS OF THE RDQ 07 SURVEY
Size Of Debt
The survey found that as at December 2009, the level of debt had increased by $3,241 million
to $15,061 million (an increase of 27% from December 2007).
2009
Approximately 71% of the debt was funded by four (4) major lending institutions as compared
to 2007, when 81% of debt at 2007 was represented by four (4) major lending institutions.
Regions
On a regional basis, three of the ten regions in Queensland accounted for more than 65%
(2007: 47%) of the total increase in debt in the 2009 survey. These regions were:
$m % of increase
in total debt
Page 5 of 130
This compares to the position as reported in the 2007 survey, where the following three
regions accounted for more than 47% of the increase in debt over the period 2005– 2007
$m % of increase in debt
Region 3222 Maranoa/Western Downs $467m 18%
Region 331 Central Sth Coast $430m 16%
Region 321 Eastern Downs $390m 15%
$m % of increase in debt
Region 3222 Maranoa/Western Downs $2,543m 23%
Region 331 Central Sth Coast $2,226m 20%
Region 3221 Central $2,173m 19%
Region 332 Tropical Nth Coast $1,185m 11%
Industries
The major movement of debt, per Industry, in the 2007 – 2009 period was:
$m % of increase in debt
Beef $2,187m 67%
Grain $388m 12%
Horticulture Trees $301m 9%
Page 6 of 130
Local Government Shires
The report identifies debt within 73 Local Government Councils (“Shires”) within Queensland
as at 31 December 2009.
Nine (9) Shires (2007: 9) represent approximately 52% (2007: 51%) of the rural indebtedness
at December 2009, with four (4) Shires (2007: 4) accounting for approximately 32% (2007:
29%) of this indebtedness.
Page 7 of 130
Debt within Region by Shire
Four (4) Regions account for 71% of the RDQ 09 debt (2007: 72%), and within these
Regions, twelve (12) Shires account for 46% (2007, nine (9) Shires 47%) of this
indebtedness.
Shire as % Region as %
Of Total Debt of Total Debt
Region 331 Central South Coast 21%
Brisbane City Council 3%
Isaac Regional Council 2%
Gold Coast City Council 2%
Bundaberg Regional Council 2%
The major movements in industry debt in the 2007 – 2009 periods were in the beef, grain and
horticulture - trees industries.
Page 8 of 130
The Local Government Shires that accounted for a major component of these industry debts
are as follows:
Page 9 of 130
Rating
For the purpose of consistency of analysis and interpretation of the data, a rating system has
been established and applied to all farm business borrowers in Queensland and which has
been consistently used over the life of the Survey. While this system may be similar to that of
some lending institutions, it is independent of them.
'A' Borrowers who are considered viable under most or all circumstances;
'B+' Borrowers who are considered potentially viable long-term but are experiencing debt
servicing difficulties;
'B1' Borrowers who are experiencing debt-servicing difficulties and a deteriorating debt
situation but with continuing support from lenders;
'B2' Borrowers who are experiencing debt servicing difficulties and a deteriorating debt
situation;
'C' Borrowers who are considered non-viable.
Page 10 of 130
The major movement in number of borrowers per category of debt, was reflected within the
„B+‟ category, which experienced an increase of 125%, and the „B1‟ category which
experienced a decrease of 65%, in the number of borrowers since 2007
The major movement in number of borrowers over the 2007 – 2009 period occurred within the
following industries:
Movement in % of Movement
Number of Borrowers 2007 - 2009
Beef 940 19%
Dairy (1,213) (73)%
Services to Agriculture 1,086 79%
The movement in rated debt from 2007 to 2009, as compared to the movement that occurred
in the 2005 – 2007 period, is reflected as follows:
The following industries accounted for the shift in rated debt in the 2007 – 2009 period:
Page 11 of 130
Performance
While these surveys began in 1994, all five categories of the rating system have been applied
since 1995. As a result, a longer-term comparison on the movement of debt can only be
undertaken on figures from the years 1995 - 2009.
During the 2007 – 2009 period, the overall number of rural-related borrowers increased by
805. The decrease in overall number of borrowers in the years 1995 – 2007 was 767,
reflecting a net increase of 38 borrowers in the 1995 – 2009 period.
In the period 2007 – 2009, the „B+‟ category represents a 125% increase (3,548 borrowers) in
that category, and the 'B1' category represents a decrease of 65% (3,080 borrowers) in that
category.
The total debt of borrowers during the period 1995 - 2009 increased by $11 billion, with „A'
borrowers accounting for $6.8 billion of this, and the „B+‟ and „B1‟ borrowers accounting for
$3.6 billion.
(see Addendum Table 7; page 19)
In the compilation of subsequent surveys, the forecasts provided by DEEDI via their
forecasting, analysis and trends reports titled “Prospects” and “Prospects Update” have been
utilised, in the provision of estimates of GVP.
In the 2001 survey the overall figures indicated that the corresponding increase in gross rural
debt was reflected in a corresponding increase in GVP, as gross rural debt reflected 92% of
GVP.
Based on DEEDI forecasts of GVP, gross rural debt as a percentage of GVP has increased to
106.4% in 2003, 102.4% in 2005, 143% in 2007 and 169% in 2009.
Page 12 of 130
Consequently it is indicated that since 2001 year, debt has outstripped the growth in GVP,
with 2005 – 2007 and 2007 – 2009 periods experiencing a major increase in the divergence
between debt and GVP.
At 2009, the beef industry debt represented 55% of total indebtedness, increasing from the
2005 – 2007 period, where beef industry debt represented 51% of total indebtedness. In the
2007 – 2009 period beef represented the major increase in debt being 67% with grain the
next largest increase in debt, being 12% of total increase in indebtedness.
In the period 1994 to 2009, overall rural-related debt increased by 289% while GVP increased
by 72%. This compares to the period 1994 – 2007, where overall rural-related debt increased
by 205% while GVP increased by only 63%.
(see Addendum Table 9; page 21)
In the period 1994 – 2009, the gross value of production has increased with improved trading
conditions within the beef industry. In the period 1994 – 2001, the yearly increase in GVP
approximated 5%, whilst the average yearly increase in the period 2003 - 2005 and 2005 –
2007 approximated 8% and the 2007 – 2009 period approximated 7%. In the 2007 – 2009
period, GVP has increased by approximately 7%, whilst debt has increased by 27%; in the
2005 – 2007 period, GVP fell by (2%), whilst debt has increased by 30%.
(see Addendum Table 10; page 22)
Agricultural GVP consists of three components - crops, livestock slaughtered and livestock
products.
From 1994 to 2009 there has been an overall increase in GVP of $3,732m with the value of
crops increasing by $1,739m, livestock products decreasing by $.845m and the value of
slaughtered livestock increasing by $2,001m.
(see Addendum Table 10; page 22)
In the 2007 – 2009 period, overall GVP increased by $644m, (compared to the 2005 – 2007
period where GVP decreased by $175m). The value of crops increased by $526m, livestock
products increasing by $95m and the value of slaughtered livestock increasing by $23m.
In the corresponding 2005 – 2007, period, there was a major change in this makeup of GVP.
In this period, overall GVP decreased by $175m, with the value of crops decreasing by $45m,
livestock products decreasing by $30m and the value of slaughtered livestock decreasing by
$100m.
(see Addendum Table 8; page 22)
Page 13 of 130
Local Government Shires
Four (4) Shires represent approximately 32% of the rural indebtedness at December 2009.
These Shires are set out below, and also include the percentage contributed to the dollar
growth of $3,241m for the 2007 – 2009 period.
In comparing results reported within the RDQ 09 Survey to the RDQ 07 Survey, please be
aware that there may be minor differences in the number(s) reported in the 2009 Survey,
when compared to RDQ 07 Survey. The reason being that in the production of the RDQ 09
Survey, data maintained in respect of financial institutions that originally participated within a
previous survey and did not participate in the RDQ 09 Survey, that information was excluded
in the RDQ 09 Survey. With the introduction of new participants in the RDQ 09 Survey, the
impact of these changes was not material to the results of the survey, but will result in minor
variances between data originally reported and that now reported within RDQ 09.
Page 14 of 130
Conclusion
The increase in the average dollar amount of debt carried per borrower is a reflection of the
increasing debt of borrowers in all sectors of the industries, particularly within the beef
industry. This is still consistent with the results of the 2005 – 2007 survey.
Over the recent period 2007 - 2009, the number of borrowers that have increased within the
industry approximates 5%, whilst the average level of debt carried has increased by 21%. In
the 2005 – 2007 period, the average debt per borrower increased by approximately 92%.
The soundness of the rating in debt reflects the financial institutions assessment of the
current market conditions and the economic influence of continuing high commodity prices in
certain industries.
The increase in debt together with an increase of GVP in the 2007 – 2009 period, may reflect
a reconsolidation of the industry, as in the period 2005 – 2007, the industry had been
impacted by two major natural climate effects experienced within that timeframe within
Queensland, being Cyclone Larry and the drought. In the 2007 – 2009 period the impact of
the drought has reduced with good rain being received over many parts of the state.
Throughout the 2007 - 2009 period, the areas declared for drought reduced from
approximately 65% in 2008 to approximately 35% in 2009, whilst in the 2005 – 2007 period,
approximately 60% of Shires were declared in drought throughout the whole period.
Page 15 of 130
ADDENDUM TO EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
SIZE OF DEBT
Within Region
Table 2
Within Industry –
2,000,000 Grain
Grain/Grazing
1,500,000
Horticulture - Tree Crops
1,000,000
Horticulture - Vegetables
500,000
Intensive Livestock
0
Other
(500,000) Sheep/Wool
Sugar
Industry
Tobacco
Page 16 of 130
Movement in Rural Debt ($'000)
by Industry 2007 to 2009
200,000
Marine Fishing
150,000
100,000 Forestry & Logging
50,000
Aquaculture
-
-50,000 Hunting & Trapping
(Re additional industry debt reported in RDQ 9 for the first time)
Page 17 of 130
Value ($'000) 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994
Beef 1,496,115 1,672,247 1,735,456 1,421,908 1,428,433
Cotton 416,195 233,655 185,738 153,170 131,069
Dairy 263,385 255,941 212,433 213,691 192,445
Grain 376,959 364,211 350,835 212,569 286,190
Grain/Grazing 504,772 396,849 598,633 552,874 466,241
Horticulture - Tree Crops 226,235 255,657 219,004 194,205 162,427
Horticulture - Vegetables 199,909 122,725 107,599 86,935 82,572
Intensive Livestock 252,206 119,107 111,357 116,084 129,620
Other 526,862 360,976 282,920 206,560 138,914
Sheep/Wool 187,316 212,498 250,742 350,687 321,098
Sugar 831,181 824,612 663,444 555,404 512,222
Tobacco 3,928 7,057 5,169 4,581 23,240
Grand Total 5,285,062 4,825,535 4,723,330 4,068,668 3,874,471
RATING
Movement 2007-2009
Table 4
% Number of % Number of
Category Borrowers - 2009 Borrowers - 2007
A 49.5% 50.1%
B+ 39.1% 18.3%
B1 10.2% 30.5%
B2 0.8% 0.8%
C 0.4% 0.2%
Table 5
Total debt as per Total debt as per % of Total Debt % of Total Debt
Category RDQ 09 Survey RDQ 07 Survey RDQ 09 Survey RDQ 07 Survey
$'000 $'000
A 9,086,010 7,181,970 60.32% 60.76%
B+ 3,429,457 2,506,891 22.77% 21.21%
B1 1,849,455 1,877,699 12.28% 15.89%
B2 428,958 134,883 2.85% 1.14%
C 268,092 119,023 1.78% 1.01%
Total 15,061,972 11,820,465 100% 100%
Page 18 of 130
Table 6
The movement of borrowers during the period 2007 – 2009 in each of the debt ratings category
is portrayed as follows.
Category Number Number % Value Value %
Of Borrowers $'000
A 296 3.8% 1,904,040 26.5%
B+ 3,548 124.6% 922,567 36.8%
B1 (3,080) (64.9)% (28,244) (1.5)%
B2 (1) (0.6)% 294,075 218.0%
C 42 133.9% 149,069 125.2%
Total 805 5.2% 3,241,507 27.4%
PERFORMANCE
Table 7
The movement of borrowers in the period 1995 – 2009 (1995 was the first year that all
categories of rating were consistently applied) is detailed as follows:
Table 8
Detailed below for comparison purposes, is the gross loan indebtedness identified by the
survey over the 1994 – 2009 years, together with the GVP as per the ABS for the period 1994 -
2001. Forecast of GVP as produced by the DEEDI have been utilised for the period 2003 -
2009.
Page 19 of 130
Year Total Debt Debt as % GVP Yearly % Yearly %
Increase in
$'000 of GVP $'000 Debt Increase in GVP
(The debt for the 2000 year has been calculated, based on a prorata movement between the 1999 and 2001 years).
16,000
Thousands
14,000
12,000
10,000
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
-
Total Debt
GVP
Page 20 of 130
Comparison Debt & GVP
1995 - 2009
20,000,000
15,000,000
10,000,000
$ Value
5,000,000
-
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
Total…
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Year
Total Debt GVP
Table 9
Pictured graphically, it can be seen that the increase in debt is approximately three times
(300%) of the increase in the GVP over the same period of time.
20,000,000
10,000,000
Debt '94-'09 0
GVP '94-'09
Debt '94-'09
GVP '94-'09
Page 21 of 130
Table 10
The GVP ($m) for the years 1994 – 2009, as per the ABS and DEEDI is broken down as
follows:
The percentage increase in GVP over the period 1994 – 2009 is as follows:
Page 22 of 130
EXAMINATION OF DEBT BY REGION AND INDUSTRY
Table 11
The following table and graph details the movement in debt from 1994 through to 2009.
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999
Region
($'000) ($'000) ($'000) ($'000) ($'000) ($'000)
311 Cape & Carpentaria 42,533 57,223 58,535 61,445 31,222 28,887
313 Central North 262,375 239,609 298,934 366,365 265,125 276,412
314 Central South 205,696 203,061 233,507 240,340 189,051 202,728
321 Eastern Downs 548,972 532,410 577,166 600,989 629,475 739,831
331 Central South Coast 886,302 1,053,662 1,148,707 1,197,733 1,276,704 1,553,777
332 Tropical North Coast 778,557 841,726 997,505 1,086,896 1,242,480 1,337,625
3121 West 77,156 101,618 100,546 73,715 107,467 117,806
3122 South West 126,249 100,665 151,394 129,173 83,894 83,709
3221 Central 386,778 426,482 552,639 536,911 546,376 593,369
3222 Maranoa / Western Downs 559,853 512,212 604,397 531,961 913,268 937,605
Total 3,874,471 4,068,668 4,723,330 4,825,527 5,285,062 5,871,749
Page 23 of 130
** Debt for the 2000 year has been calculated based on a pro rata movement between the 1999 and 2001 years.
3,500,000
3,000,000
2,500,000
$'000
2,000,000
1,500,000
1,000,000
500,000
-
19941995
19961997
1998 1999
2000 **2001
2003 2005
2007 2009
Page 24 of 130
The following provides detailed information as to the movement of debt, by industry within region, from 1994 to 2009.
311 313 314 321 331 332 3121 3122 3221 3222 Grand Total
Movement 1994-09 ($'000) ($'000) ($'000) ($'000) ($'000) ($'000) ($'000) ($'000) ($'000) ($'000) ($'000)
Beef 195,019 814,118 512,496 258,362 1,049,401 602,118 370,528 206,955 1,675,052 1,132,400 6,816,448
Cotton - (35) (876) 184,499 14,961 (1,362) - (876) 134,737 542,129 873,177
Dairy (194) 6,098 (12) 25,261 51,389 5,189 49 154 (1,439) 1,149 87,643
Grain 189 6,063 (8,860) 128,295 86,726 4,894 0 (8,831) 145,788 346,584 700,848
Grain/Grazing (5,891) (4,794) 1,920 32,402 (35,174) (42,681) (11,769) 1,128 97,921 411,745 444,807
Horticulture - Tree crops 10,712 54,019 (15) 34,910 253,514 80,738 (98) 227 21,487 (10,087) 445,407
Horticulture - Vegetables 83 12,837 - 90,977 254,254 76,249 - - 5,516 4,463 444,378
Intensive Livestock (20) 8,785 (921) 79,650 180,221 15,401 (45) 50 6,730 39,552 329,403
Other 709 5,120 (1,567) 22,731 70,837 21,183 3,492 (1,007) 16,599 1,906 140,003
Sheep/Wool (1,656) (16,091) (34,074) (15,601) (15,959) (5,471) (23,115) (45,563) (7,282) (62,741) (227,553)
Sugar 5,265 1,109 (61) 694 13,585 290,974 - (122) 3,434 63,267 378,147
Tobacco (299) (12,816) - (1,448) (7,338) (880) - 0 (209) (250) (23,240)
Services To Agriculture 4,390 14,900 9,158 129,736 155,378 80,485 2,785 2,171 67,188 63,861 530,052
Marine Fishing 1,274 3,677 - 4,452 91,547 44,389 226 40 6,211 7,175 158,990
Forestry & Logging - 563 244 3,410 46,495 566 45 - 1,007 1,032 53,362
Aquaculture 3,116 2,650 - - 14,858 12,659 - - 86 - 33,369
Hunting & Trapping - 1 122 38 972 230 - 381 - 515 2,259
Total 212,698 896,205 477,554 978,368 2,225,667 1,184,681 342,097 154,708 2,172,826 2,542,697 11,187,501
Page 25 of 130
Movement in Debt by Region By Industry 1994-2009
1,800,000
1,600,000
1,400,000
1,200,000
1,000,000
800,000
600,000
400,000
$'000
200,000
0
(200,000) 311
313
314
321
331
332
3121
3122
3221
3222
Beef Cotton Dairy Grain Grain/Grazing Horticulture - Tree crops Horticulture - Vegetables Intensive Livestock Other Sheep/Wool Sugar Tobacco
Page 26 of 130
Our review of debt over the past fourteen years indicates that debt has increased significantly
in Maranoa/Western Downs ($2,543m), Central Sth Coast ($2,226m), Central ($2,173m), and
Tropical North Coast ($1,185m).
Growth in debt over the period 1994 – 2009 totalled $2,543m (1994 - 2007: $1,751m), with the
movement from 2007 to 2009 totalling $702m (2005 – 207: $467m).
The major movements in debt in the 2007 – 2009 period were as follows:
The increase in debt of $2,226m over the fourteen-year period 1994 – 2009 is reflected via an
increase in debt for the period 1994 – 2001 of $763m, which was decreased by a reduction in
debt of ($102m) for the 2001 – 2003 period, an increase in debt of $399m for the 2003 – 2005
period, $430m for the 2005 – 2007 period and $586m for the 2007-2009 period.
In the period 2007 – 2009, the debt increase of $586m was reflected in major industry
increases being beef of $155m, horticulture- tree crops of $176m and a decrease in cotton of
($167m).
The increase over the 1994 – 2009 periods incorporated the following major industries:
Page 27 of 130
Region 3221 – Central
The Central region debt increased by $2,173m (2007: $1,320m) over the period 1994 – 2009,
with the major increases being:
In the 1994 – 2009 period, the major increase was Beef $1,675m (1994 – 2007: $1,053m) and
Grain $146m (1994 – 2007: $67m), with the Beef industry being the major contributor to the
increase in debt over the period 2007 – 2009.
Increase in debt during the period 1994 – 2009 totalled $1,185m (1994 – 2007: $910m), with a
reduction in debt occurring in the period 2003 – 2005 of ($113m).
The major industries which incurred an increase/(decrease) in debt in the 2007 – 2009 period
were:
Page 28 of 130
Region 321 – Eastern Downs
Increase in debt over the period 1994 – 2009 was $978m (1994 - 2007: $595m), with the main
influences being:
Beef $258m (1994 - 2007: $182m)
Cotton $184m (1994 - 2007: $184m)
Grain $128m (1994 - 2007: $86m)
The major industries which incurred an increase/(decrease) in debt in the 2007 – 2009 period
were:
The five regions noted above represent approximately two thirds of the total area of the State,
but only account for debt of $2,797m (2007: $2,022m), or 19% (2007: 18%) of the total debt.
The period 1994 – 2009 showed an overall increase in debt of $2,083m (1994 –
2007:$1,307m).
Page 29 of 130
PART 1 – DEBT ANALYSIS
Beef
Wool
Cotton
Sugar
Wheat
In respect of the above industries for which information has been obtained in relation to the price
index, this has been compared to the movement in the rating of debt from the RDQ 2007 (RDQ 07)
survey to the RDQ 2009 (RDQ 09) survey.
In relation to those industries for which we were not able to determine a comparative price index, the
movement in debt rating has been reviewed as per the previous paragraph.
Representatives of industry bodies and Moore Stephens have provided comments as to the reasons
for the movement in debt rating compared to the movement in the price index, where appropriate.
Page 30 of 130
Set out graphically below, is the overall movement in debt from 1994 – 2009.
0.0%
-50.0%
Debt Years
Index
A
4,000,000
B+
$'000
2,000,000
B1
0
B2
(2,000,000)
C
Debt Rating
Total
In a majority of instances, in the RDQ 07 survey a correlation between the movement in the price
index, the movement in gross rural debt and the individual industry movement in debt rating, was
observed re RDQ 07. This correlation is still reflected in the RDQ 09 results.
Page 31 of 130
Beef
50.0%
Debt
0.0% Index
-50.0%
Years
2,500,000
2,000,000
A
1,500,000
B+
$'000
1,000,000 B1
500,000 B2
0 C
Debt Rating - Beef Total
Page 32 of 130
Comments Highlights:
Since 1994, beef debt has increased four hundred and thirty eight percent (438%) Increase in debt
to reach $8,244 million, compared to the RDQ 07 Survey, whereby beef debt had since 1994: 438%
increased by three hundred and twenty four percent (324%). Increase in debt
2007 – 2009:
$2,187m being a
In 2007 – 2009 period, debt increased by $2,187m representing an 36% increase of 36% increase
the 2007 debt, as compared to 2005 – 2007, when debt increased by 41%.
Major increase in
debt within three (3)
Beef debt represents 55% of total RDQ 09 debt as compared to 2007 where it Regions
represented 54% and 2005, where it represented 50% of total debt. The number of Four Shires
beef borrowers increased by 904 borrowers and represents 36% of total rural represent 38% of
Beef debt
borrowers at 2009, as compared to 35% of total rural borrowers at 2007.
Of the increase in debt from 2007 – 2009, „A‟ category debt represented increase of 53%. In 2005 –
2007 “A‟ category debt represented 65% of increase in debt. The „B+‟ category debt increased by
23% and the „B1‟ category debt increased by 10%
38% of debt in the Beef industry is represented in four (4) Shires (2007: four Shires represented
33%), being:
2009 2007
Shire $'000 $'000
Banana Shire Council 1,128,340 653,633
Central Highlands Regional Council 985,257 722,473
Barcaldine Regional Council 533,203 255,346
Roma Regional Council 459,488 378,614
Page 33 of 130
In the conduct of RDQ 09, for the first time, details of Sub Industry Classification was able to be
obtained.
Page 34 of 130
Region-specific comments
Severe floods resulting in stock losses and extensive pasture damage, particularly in the Gulf
and Central Queensland regions
Page 35 of 130
Wool
50.0%
Debt
0.0% Index
-50.0%
Years
5,000
0 A
(5,000) B+
$'000
(10,000)
B1
(15,000)
(20,000) B2
(25,000)
C
Total
Debt Rating - Sheep / Wool
Page 36 of 130
In the conduct of RDQ 09, for the first time, details of Sub Industry Classification Highlights:
was able to be obtained. Debt fallen 71%
since 1994.
The industry debt at 2009 of $93m consists of: Debt decreased
from 2007 by $19
million
Sub Industry Total ($’000)
Sheep Farming 39,551 Four Shires
Sheep Farming (Specialised) 53,994 represent 55% of
Grand Total 93,545 Wool debt
Comments
Over the period 1994 – 2009, indebtedness by borrowers has fallen from a level of $321m in 1994 to
$94m in 2009; percent wise, having fallen by 71% over the 1994-2009 period.
Debt decreased in the 2007 – 2009 period by ($19m) (2005 – 2007: decrease ($17m)).
This decrease in debt is reflected in the „A‟ rated debt of $20m, and with corresponding decrease in
„B1 and B2‟ rated debt of $5m.
55% of debt in the Wool industry is represented in four Shires (2007: 59%):
2009 2007
Shire $'000 $'000
Barcaldine Regional Council 20,237 13,933
Paroo Shire Council 12,647 8,533
Balonne Shire Council 10,803 4,374
Roma Regional Council 7,885 6,309
Page 37 of 130
Industry Comment – Agforce
The number and size of loans have both decreased which indicates that industry rationalisation
has seen those remaining producers as being good operators who understand how to manage
drought and volatile commodity prices
This is also reflected in the high amount of ‘viable’ debt that is in the industry and the dramatic
increase in B+ debt rating from 2007
Drought and supplementary feeding costs have been a continuing financial burden on
producers, however recent favourable climatic conditions will see this easing
Increasing sheep meat prices over the past 18 months have seen a moderate selloff of non-
breeding stock
Region 321 which produces the majority of fine wool in Qld is showing that depressed fine wool
markets are having an effect with a significant increase in overall debt and a dramatic increase in
B2 debt rating that is reflecting those traditional wool growers who are continuing be paid very
poorly for their product
Page 38 of 130
- Cotton
100.0%
50.0%
Debt
0.0%
-50.0% Index
-100.0%
Years
200,000
150,000
100,000
A
50,000
0 B+
(50,000)
$'000
(100,000) B1
(150,000)
B2
(200,000)
(250,000) C
(300,000)
Total
Debt Rating - Cotton
Page 39 of 130
Highlights:
Comments
Cotton debt represents 7% of total RDQ 09 debt (2007: 10%). Cotton debt of
$1,004 million
represents 7% of
In the 2007 – 2009 period debt has decreased by $144m, whilst in the 2005-2007 total debt
The major decrease in debt occurred in the Central South Coast Region (331) of Four Shires
$167m, representing 115% on the total decrease in debt. represent 78% of
Cotton debt
The decrease in debt from 2007 to 2009 represents an decrease of 13%, whilst in
the 2005 – 2007 period debt increased by 32%.
2009 2007
Shire $'000 $'000
Balonne Shire Council 265,576 327,567
Goondiwindi Regional Council 234,017 183,663
Dalby Regional Centre 155,036 168,356
Toowoomba Regional Council 124,042 99,326
The total debt of Queensland cotton farmers declined by 13 percent between 2007 and 2009 and this
is consistent with the industry trends that saw production severely curtailed during the drought with
both dryland and irrigated production reduced. The gross value of Queensland‟s cotton crop was an
historic low of only $79 million in 2007-08, and this was when industry debt peaked at $1,148 million
across 573 farmers. Cotton output in 2009-10 is estimated to have a gross value of $355 million,
Page 40 of 130
compared to $340 million in 2008-09 and these more normal sized crops are providing many farmers
with the opportunity to reduce debt levels.
The improvement now underway for the Queensland cotton industry because of better seasonal
conditions and replenished water storages will continue to flow through to higher cash incomes in
2010-2011. The average cotton farm debt of $2.5 million reflects the financing requirements of a
commercial scale cotton farm.
Page 41 of 130
- Sugar
Years
Debt Index
60,000
40,000
20,000
0
Page 42 of 130
Comments Highlights:
Sugar debt represents 6% of total RDQ 09 debt (2007: 7%) Sugar debt of $890
million represents
In the period 1994 – 2003, the sugar rural debt increased by $515m (2001: $668m). 6% of total debt
In the 2003 – 2005 period, the debt decreased by ($230m). Debt increased from
2007 by $114
million
In the period 2005 – 2007, the debt decreased by ($20m); in the period 2007 –
2009, the debt increased by $114m. Region 3222
accounts for 56% of
increase in debt
Region 3222, Maranoa / Western Downs, accounts for approximately 56% of the from 2007
increase of $114m in debt between the 2007 and 2009 surveys. The same region in Three Shires
2005 – 2007 accounted for a decrease in debt of ($20m). represent 63% of
Sugar debt
The latest Rural Debt Survey shows that cane growers‟ debt has
increased by 14% since 2008. This increase in debt has occurred
at a time when sugarcane growing has consolidated; in 2002 we
estimate there were around 6500 cane growing enterprises, that
figure is now around 3500. This consolidation has therefore taken
place without incurring significantly increased levels of debt.
In the future, it is considered that bank lending to the sugarcane industry can continue to be based on
assured cash flows. This is because cane growers are now able to forward price a proportion of their
Page 43 of 130
product up to three years in the future. This provides the basis for ensuring that that proportion of the
crop can be produced at cost or above and allows a strong case to be made when loans are sought.
Page 44 of 130
- Grain
0.0%
-100.0%
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Years
Debt Wheat Index
400,000
300,000
200,000
$'000
100,000
0
A B+ B1 B2 C Total
Page 45 of 130
Comments
Highlights:
Grain debt represents 7% of total RDQ 09 debt (2007: 5%) Debt of $987 million
represents 7% of
total debt
In 2007 – 2009 debt increased by $388m being an increase of 65%, compared to
Debt increased from
2005 – 2007, when the increase in debt represented 7% of the increase in grain 2007 by $389
debt. million
Three Regions
From 1994 to 2001, debt on average increased by 13%, whilst since 2001, debt account for 88% of
increase in debt
has progressively increased on average by 15%, with the increase in 2007 – 2009 from 2007
period being 65%.
Four Shires
represent 62% of
Major increase (decrease) in debt in the 2007 – 2009 period occurred within the Grain debt
following regions:
The main increase in debt in 2007 – 2009 period is reflected in „A ‟ rated debt of $243m.
2009 2007
Shire $'000 $'000
Dalby Regional Council 247,695 156,257
Toowoomba Regional Council 139,595 120,379
Goondiwindi Regional Council 136,703 72,991
Central Highlands Regional Council 92,234 57,908
Page 46 of 130
In the conduct of RDQ 09, for the first time, details of Sub Industry Classification was able to be
obtained.
(Note: „Other Grain Growing‟, This class consists of units mainly engaged in growing cereal or coarse
grains or other cereal crops (except rice). Also included are units mainly engaged in growing oilseeds,
pasture seeds, lupins, field peas or beans).
The data is relatively consistent with the seasons experienced across the main grain growing regions
of Queensland.
Some of the decrease would be due to revaluation of land by the financial institutions
Some growers only got to plant either a summer or winter crop due to rainfall
All grain prices have been at almost historical lows for at least the last twelve months, making
some grain not worth selling at current prices
Due to low returns some growers are probably having to extended borrowing further as “normal”
returns weren‟t gained.
If prices continue further increase will be more than likely.
Page 47 of 130
- Dairy
0.0%
-50.0%
Years
Debt Rating - Dairy
40,000 B1
30,000 B2
20,000
C
10,000
0 Total
Debt Rating - Dairy
Page 48 of 130
Comments
Highlights:
Increase in debt
In the period 2007– 2009 debt increased (decreased) within the following region: evenly spread
across highly rated
debt
Region 331 Central South Coast $54m (2007: Decrease ($27m))
Four Shires
represent 44% of
The increase of debt in the 2007 – 2009 period of $73m, was spread evenly within Dairy debt
the „A‟ and „B+‟ representing an increase in these categories of 38% and 27%
respectively.
2009 2007
Shire $'000 $'000
Tablelands Regional Council 43,106 39,045
Toowoomba Regional Council 28,859 21,188
Logan City Council 27,418 15,048
Fraser Coast Regional Council 24,578 17,291
Page 49 of 130
Industry Comment – Queensland Dairy Farmers
The 2009, 2007, 2005, 2003 and 2000 Rural Debt Surveys have covered a period of significant
change for the dairy industry.
During this period the industry has experienced further structural change with farm numbers falling
and further rationalisation of the processing sector.
During the first three quarters of the last decade milk production has declined with impacts from
severe drought, poor price signals largely due to the loss of industry margins from the retail sector,
increasing input and operational costs and falling farm numbers.
In the last quarter of the decade price signals have started to increase with milk production falling
below the demand line for the Southern Queensland market. This improvement in price signals
combined with improved seasonal conditions across many dairying regions of Queensland over the
last two years has seen milk production starting to grow again after it reached a low of 485 million
litres in the 2007/08 financial year. It is forecast that the production this year will approximate 530
million litres, with a farm population of approximately 600 dairying enterprises.
The industry currently has a gross value of production of nearly $300 M and an estimated retail value
of production of $820 M and it is estimated that the industry value chain contributes up to 6,000 jobs
in Queensland.
With population and per capita growth forecasts for Queensland, there will be increased demand for
milk and dairy products. It is estimated that the Queensland dairy industry will need to grow
production by more then 25% to meet this growing demand over the next decade.
The latest dairy industry survey of dairy farmer, carried out at the end of 2008, presented that nearly
half of respondents had decreased their farm debt, just less then half had kept it the same and 9
percent had taken on more farm debt.
However many farmers took on more debt and investment on farm at the end of the 2008/09 financial
year with the improved seasonal conditions and cash flows, provision of accelerated depreciation
provisions, and some section of the dairy farm population receiving proceeds from co-operative
assets sales.
Page 50 of 130
The 2009 QRAA Debt Survey presents a slight increase debt for the Queensland dairy industry from
the previous survey period and a significant decrease in the total number of borrowers. This trend
would reflect the above mentioned factors, decline in overall farm numbers and the increase in size
and production of dairy enterprises which remain in the industry.
The average level of debt presented in the QRAA survey of $612,884 approximates that presented in
the 2009 Queensland Dairy Accounting Scheme report of $588,209 across 67 reference farms.
Page 51 of 130
- Grain / Grazing
Grain/Grazing -
% Movement in Gross Rural Debt
1994-2009 Debt
100.0%
50.0%
0.0%
-50.0%
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
Years
2007
2008
2009
Grain / Grazing
(60,000)
(80,000) B2
(100,000) C
(120,000)
Total
(140,000)
Debt Rating - Grain/Grazing
Page 52 of 130
In the conduct of RDQ 09, for the first time, details of Sub Industry Classification Highlights:
was able to be obtained. Debt of $911 million
represents 6% of
total debt
The industry debt at 2009 of $911m consists of:
Debt decreased
from 2007 by $124
Sub Industry Total ($000) million
Grain-Sheep or Grain-Beef Cattle Farming 910,938
Rice Growing 111
Debt decrease
mainly in „A‟ rated
Grand Total 911,048
debt
Comments Two Regions
account for major
movement in debt
Debt represents 6% of total RDQ 07 debt (2007: 10%).
Four Shires
represent 64% of
Debt decreased in the 2007 - 2009 period by ($124)m (2005 – 2007: $256m). Dairy debt
The decrease in debt of $124m, is reflected in the major movement in „A‟ rated debt
of ($70m) and a lesser degree, to „B+‟ and „B1‟ rated debt of ($37m) and ($12m) respectively.
2009 2007
Shire $'000 $'000
Dalby Regional Centre 220,576 181,926
Goondiwindi Regional Council 133,579 105,154
Roma Regional Council 128,369 130,960
Central Highlands Regional Council 101,827 96,319
Page 53 of 130
Industry Comment – Agforce
The data is relatively consistent with the seasons experienced across the main grain growing regions
of Queensland.
Some of the decrease would be due to revaluation of land by the financial institutions
Some growers only got to plant either a summer or winter crop due to rainfall
All grain prices have been at almost historical lows for at least the last twelve months, making
some grain not worth selling at current prices
Due to low returns some growers are probably having to extended borrowing further as “normal”
returns weren‟t gained.
If prices continue further increase will be more than likely.
Page 54 of 130
- Horticulture – Tree Crops
200.0%
0.0% Debt
-200.0%
Years
350,000
300,000 A
250,000
B+
200,000
$'000
150,000 B1
100,000 B2
50,000
C
0
(50,000) Total
Page 55 of 130
In the conduct of RDQ 09, for the first time, details of Sub Industry Classification Highlights:
was able to be obtained.
Debt of $608 million
represents 4% of
The industry debt at 2009 of $608m consists of: total debt
Majority of increase
in debt of $301
Sub Industry Total ($’000) million occurred in
Apple and Pear Growing 40,554 Region 331
Citrus Fruit Growing 34,947
Fruit Growing n.e.c. 328,138 Four Shires
represent 33% of
Grape Growing 53,621
Horticulture – tree
Kiwifruit Growing 2,895
crop debt
Olive Growing 41
Other Fruit and Tree Nut Growing 135,461
Stone Fruit Growing 12,177
Grand Total 607,834
Comments
There has been an increase of $301m in the 2007 - 2009 debt level (2005 – 2007:$35m).
The majority of the increase in debt of $177m, occurred in Region 331 Central Sth Coast.
The increase in debt is reflected in the movement of the „A‟ rated debt, which increased by $208m,
and „B+‟ rated debt increased by $61m.
2009 2007
Shire $'000 $'000
Tablelands Regional Council 68,033 42,299
Cairns Regional Council 57,539 39,813
North Burnett Regional Council 57,332 40,651
Cassowary Coast Regional Council 51,557 41,490
Page 56 of 130
Industry Comment – Growcom
Overall debt levels have remained fairly steady and seem to reflect industry trends rather than
dramatic events.
The overall number of borrowers has reduced to 792 from 980 in 2003, being a measure of
consolidation in the industry and associated departures from the land.
This trend has also seen an improvement in the quality of debt, and this may reflect the rationalisation
of properties; past investments in on-farm assets; and better management techniques in the industry.
However the level of non-performing debt continues to be an issue for growers, particularly as farm-
gate commodity prices have not increased to meet costs.
Fruit and vegetable growers are likely to experience further consolidation until prices improve.
Page 57 of 130
- Horticulture – Vegetables
Horticulture Vegetables -
% Movement in Gross Rural Debt
1994-2009 Debt
100.0%
0.0%
-100.0%
Years
Horticulture - Vegetables
80,000
60,000 A
40,000 B+
$'000
20,000 B1
0 B2
(20,000)
C
(40,000)
Total
Debt Rating - Horticulture - Vegetables
Page 58 of 130
In the conduct of RDQ 09, for the first time, details of Sub Industry Classification Highlights:
was able to be obtained.
Debt of $526 million
represents 3% of
The industry debt at 2009 of $527m consists of: total debt
In the period 2007 - 2009, debt increased by $71m (2007 – 2009: $171m)
2009 2007
Shire $'000 $'000
Bundaberg Regional Council 87,024 66,112
Lockyer Valley Regional Council 81,533 62,511
Tablelands Regional Council 52,378 36,082
Southern Downs Regional Council 49,391 40,485
Page 59 of 130
Industry Comment – Growcom
Vegetables are included in this category, along with cut flowers and flower-seed growing; other fruit &
nut tree growing; and plant nurseries. While vegetables are only about 58% of the category it is
difficult to provide definitive commentary on the figures, however in general terms it seems that these
sections of the industry have also experienced considerable consolidation/rationalisation since 2007.
With almost 200 less borrowers over the period, the data indicates that those left in the industry have
made substantial improvements to their quality of debt.
However the high level of unviable borrowings (B1 & B2) means that, like fruit growers, the vegetable
industry is facing years of further consolidation unless prices can improve, or productivity can be
increased.
Page 60 of 130
- Intensive Livestock
Intensive Livestock -
% Movement in Gross Rural Debt
1994-2009
Debt
200.0%
0.0%
1995
1996
-200.0%
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Years
Intensive Livestock
100,000
A
50,000 B+
$'000
B1
0
B2
(50,000) C
Total
Debt Rating - Intensive Livestock
Page 61 of 130
Comments Highlights:
Debt represents 3% of total RDQ 09 debt (2007: 3%) Debt of $459 million
represents 3% of
total debt
Total debt increased in the 2007 - 2009 period by $76m (2005 – 2007: $82m)
Debt increased from
2007 by 20%
The increase in debt occurred in Region:
Majority of increase
in debt occurred in
331 Central Sth Coast $75m two Regions
321 Eastern Downs $17m
Majority of increase
in debt in „B+‟ rated
For the first time, details of Sub Industry Classification has been obtained. debt
Four Shires
The industry debt at 2009 of $459m consists of: represent 48% of
Horticulture –
Sub Industry Total ($’000) vegetables debt
Beekeeping 270
Horse Farming 65,775
Livestock Farming n.e.c. 46,272
Other Livestock Farming n.e.c. 31,664
Pig Farming 111,066
Poultry Farming (Eggs) 70,003
Poultry Farming (Meat) 133,974
Grand Total 459,023
2009 2007
Shire $'000 $'000
Redland City Council 53,433 29,099
Toowoomba Regional Council 52,838 45,298
Goondiwindi Regional Council 48,632 80,247
Southern Downs Regional Council 35,510 19,814
Scenic Rim Regional Council 30,944 16,984
Page 62 of 130
Industry Comment – Queensland Farmers’ Federation
The twenty percent rise in farm debt to $459 million carried by the intensive livestock sector in
Queensland is in line with the overall trend in Queensland agriculture and reflects the general
confidence in the steady expansion of these industries, especially the poultry sector. The number of
farm borrowers in this category has declined slightly to 458 and this likely reflects some consolidation
in the pig industry which is partly offset by continuing growth of the chicken meat industry. The
average farm debt in the intensive livestock sector has been in an upward trend for a decade or more
and has now reached the million dollar mark.
Such debt is well within the servicing range when viewed in the context of annual turnover. The
principle industries involved are pigs (GVP $240 million), chickens (meat GVP $355 million) and
chickens (eggs GVP $110 million).
Page 63 of 130
- Agricultural Index
20.0%
0.0%
-20.0%
- Commodities
60.0%
40.0%
20.0%
0.0%
-20.0%
Comments
In the period 2005 – 2007, there was a major downward movement in the Agricultural index, whilst
there appeared to be a corresponding gain in the percentage movement of debt. In the 2007 – 2009
period the reverse has occurred, with a decline in the movement of debt, whilst the movement in
agricultural index has increased, with a resultant that over the four year period 2005 – 2009, the
movement in debt and agricultural index has been consistent.
This provides optimism for continued growth and development within the rural sector.
Page 64 of 130
OVERVIEW OF MOVEMENT IN DEBT
a) The number of borrowers has increased by 805 from the 2007 survey.
c) The increase in debt has been reflected by an overall increase of „A‟ and „B+‟ rated debt of
$2,827m (87% increase), with the vast majority of the remaining increase reflected within „B2‟
rated debt (218% increase). This compares to the shift that occurred in the 2005 – 2007
period which saw a major shift in the „A‟ and „B+‟ rated category of approximately $1,906m.
d) The „B1‟ and „B2‟ borrowers (combined) have increased by approximately $265m compared
to the increase in the 2005 – 2007 period of approximately $690m.
e) There has been an increase in the level of borrowing of the „C‟ rated borrowers, in the period
2007 – 2009 of $149m. which is reflected within the increase in the beef and cotton industry
„C‟ rated debt of $65m and $35m respectively.
f) Gross debt for the period 1994 – 2009 has increased by $10,993m, whilst GVP has only
increased by $3,473m in the same period.
h) In the period 2007 – 2009, three Regions accounted for 65% of the increase in debt for the
period, being Region 3221 Central $797m, Region 3222 Maranoa/Western Downs $702m
and Region 331 Central Sth Coast $586m.
i) At Dec 2009, 81% of total rural debt was represented by five (5) Regions, being:
Page 65 of 130
BACKGROUND AND DEFINITION OF RURAL DEBT
BACKGROUND
In December 2009, QRAA commissioned Moore Stephens to conduct a survey of the level of
Rural Debt in Queensland during 2009 (the RDQ 09 Survey).
A survey has been conducted previously in respect of the years 1994, 1995, 1996, 1997, 1998,
1999, 2001, 2003, 2005 and 2007.
In the 2000 year, QRAA took the decision to conduct the survey bi-yearly, due to the efforts
required by the participating financial institutions in providing the base data. As such, the
survey was not conducted in the 2000, 2002 and 2004 years.
The terms of reference are set out in Appendix 1 but can be summarised as follows:
Identify the extent, nature and size of current gross rural indebtedness in Queensland
Categorise rural loans into five debt rating categories based on debt servicing ability
and
long term profitability and long term viability prospects
For each debt rating category, establish a profile of debt to equity ratios
Update information on the current total farm population in Queensland and the value of
farm operating income used to determine this
Page 66 of 130
In the 2003 year, the financial institutions were requested to provide their information, not at a
Regional level, but at a postcode level, which would then allow reporting at a Shire Level.
This process, as from the 2003 year onwards, allows reporting to be provided both at a
Regional level, and within a Region, at a Shire level.
Rural debt is defined as the total indebtedness of all farmers / rural enterprises
throughout Queensland, where the servicing of the rural debt relies primarily on rural
generated income.
The major source of debt was through commercial credit providers principally by the
major trading banks, their finance company subsidiaries and specialist rural debt
agencies and institutions. With the co-operation of these lending institutions, it was
possible to quantify the major components of rural debt.
Page 67 of 130
METHODOLOGY OF STUDY
The methodology outlined and adopted in the previous surveys of 1994 – 2007, have been
preserved and expanded in this survey, to accommodate additional requirements. This permits
comparisons with statistical data from other established sources such as ABARE, ABS
Queensland Statistician Office, Department of Employment, Economic Development and
Innovation, as well as providing a basis of comparison between previous surveys and the RDQ
09 Survey.
Information was obtained by the input by the lending institutions, of data into a
computerised database; or
computerised spreadsheet; or
manual completion of pro-forma input sheets.
Data from each of the above has been input in a database management system, which allows
comparisons to be drawn on the 1994 – 2007 periods, as previously reported.
The information has been recorded in such a way to protect the confidentiality of the data
made available by the financial institutions.
Maps of shires and ABARE regions in Queensland and a list of industries covered are included
as Part III.
As in previous years, many institutions had difficulty in compiling the information so required,
especially in relation to the profiling of the loan, such as:
The lending institutions surveyed, as in previous years, were requested to adapt or interpret
their internal rating system to conform to the rating scale as set out below.
Page 68 of 130
The rating scale used for 2009 outlined below, is comparable to 1994 – 2007 surveys.
C Considered non-viable;
As explained previously, in the conduct of the 2003 Survey, for the first time in the life of the
Survey, the financial institutions data was collected and recorded
The data has been aggregated into regions defined by ABARE, allowing direct comparisons
with ABARE data.
Page 69 of 130
THE EXTENT, NATURE AND SIZE OF RURAL DEBT
QUEENSLAND
In relation to Queensland Gross Rural Debt, ABARE regions demographically locate the debt
as follows:
Source: RDQ 09 Survey
4,000,000
3,000,000
2,000,000
$'000
1,000,000
Region
311 Cape & Carpentaria 313 Central Nth 314 Central Sth
321 Eastern Dwns 331 Central Sth Coast 332 Tropical Nth Coast
3121 West 3122 Sth West 3221 Central
3222 Maranoa/Wst Dwn
Table I illustrates the spread of debt across the state by region. Detailed reports are contained
in Part II, which provide more detailed information by region, rating and industry.
Page 70 of 130
Table I: Total Debt by Region
Source: RDQ 09 Survey
Region Number % of Amount % of
Borrowers Borrowers $'000 Total
311 Cape & Carpentaria 212 1.3% 255,231 1.7%
313 Central Nth 742 4.5% 1,158,580 7.7%
314 Central Sth 476 2.9% 683,250 4.5%
321 Eastern Downs 2,280 13.9% 1,527,340 10.1%
331 Central Sth Coast 4,181 25.6% 3,111,969 20.7%
332 Tropical Nth Coast 3,473 21.2% 1,963,224 13.0%
3121 West 196 1.2% 419,253 2.8%
3122 Sth West 219 1.3% 280,971 1.9%
3221 Central 1,850 11.3% 2,559,604 17.0%
3222 Maranoa/Wst Dwn 2,729 16.7% 3,102,550 20.6%
Total 16,358 100.0% 15,061,972 100%
Page 71 of 130
CHANGES IN SOURCES OF RURAL DEBT
There has been no change in the source of rural debt in Queensland over the past ten years
(being 1994 – 1999, 2001, 2003, 2005, 2007 and 2009 years). Approximately 88% (2007:
95%) of the present Queensland rural debt was provided by the banking sector.
Page 72 of 130
CATEGORISATION OF RURAL DEBT
The terms of reference of the RDQ 09 Survey required that debt be categorised based on debt
servicing ability and long term profitability / viability. The categories, as per previous years,
were:
C Considered non-viable
These debt categories are summarised in Table III and also in Part II - Database Reports.
Loan Amount
Rating Number % $ '000 %
A 8,093 49.5% 9,086,010 60.3%
B+ 6,394 39.1% 3,429,457 22.8%
B1 1,669 10.2% 1,849,455 12.3%
B2 129 0.8% 428,958 2.8%
C 73 0.4% 268,092 1.8%
Total 16,358 100% 15,061,972 100%
The financial institutions were requested to provide information only on those businesses
where rural debt was serviced primarily from rural production. This is broadly in line with the
ABS definition of a farm business and effectively excludes hobby farms.
Page 73 of 130
As stated in previous RDQ surveys, the number of borrowers is a subjective estimate as some
of the farm businesses obtain finance from more than one source.
Institutions were requested to consolidate all types of borrowing by customers before the
information was forwarded to the authors. Additionally an adjustment factor was arrived at after
consultation with the responding institutions to eliminate farm businesses that borrowed from
multiple finance providers.
One minor finance institution that participated in the 1996 survey was not able to provide
information for the 1997 and subsequent years. Also another institution that has supplied data
for the 1999 and previous survey years was not able to do so for the 2001,2003, 2005 and
2007 year. As such to ensure consistency of data and comparisons, the information supplied
by these institutions in respect of the years nominated, have been included in 2007, 2005,
2003, 2001 and 1999 information. In the 2009 survey, this data has been eliminated as other
institutions have provided data for the first time this year; the elimination and introduction of
new data offset each other to the degree that the variance was not material to the results
disclosed.
In relation to reporting by Shire, this has the impact that „Shire‟ data is not available for this
category of debt that has been included in the RDQ 07, RDQ 05 and RDQ 03 Survey.
• Category “A”. - Borrowers who are considered viable under most / all circumstances –
approximately 60% (2007: 50%).
• Category “B+” - Borrowers who are considered potentially viable long term but are
experiencing debt servicing difficulties – approximately 23% (2007: 16%).
• Category “B1” - Borrowers who are experiencing debt servicing difficulties and a
deteriorating debt situation but with continuing support from lenders. – 12% (2007:
32%).
• Category “B2” - Borrowers who are experiencing debt servicing difficulties and a
deteriorating debt situation. – 3% (2007: 2%).
Page 74 of 130
Figure 1 illustrates the number of Queensland farmers with debt in each of the rating
categories.
8,000
6,000
4,000
2009
2,000
2007
-
A
B+
B1
B2
C
Rated Debt
8,000,000
6,000,000
4,000,000
$'000
2009
2,000,000 2007
A
B+
B1
B2
C
Rated Debt
Page 75 of 130
LEVELS OF NON-PERFORMING DEBT
Previous surveys identify the non-performing debt as comprising all the "B2” and "C" rated
categories of debt (either potentially, or actually, non-viable).
In the RDQ 09 Survey these debt categories include 202 (2007: 146) borrowers representing
$697 million (2007: $250 million) or 5% (2007: 2%) of the rural debt. The RDQ 09 Survey also
identifies a further 10% of total debt comprising 1,669 borrowers (2007: 4,559) and $1,849
million (2007: $1,844 million) debt at the “B1” rated level and by definition the debt has the
potential to become non-performing.
The definition of "B1" and "B2" categories of debt includes borrowers who are experiencing
deteriorating debt with the danger of becoming non-viable both with and without continuing
support of lender.
Set out below is a breakdown, by industry, of debt in categories “B1”, “B2”and “C”.
Industry B1 B2 C Total
($'000) ($'000) ($'000) ($'000)
Beef 940,558 268,082 67,926 1,276,565
Cotton 137,982 55,186 129,205 322,374
Dairy 34,032 15,586 6,833 56,451
Grain 109,411 14,833 2,039 126,282
Grain/Grazing 150,378 17,276 11,625 179,279
Horticulture - Tree crops 82,566 14,121 3,475 100,162
Horticulture - Vegetables 57,224 7,817 17,955 82,997
Intensive Livestock 41,752 18,170 4,460 64,381
Other 16,301 2,076 8,912 27,289
Sheep/Wool 11,348 2,312 3,137 16,796
Sugar 112,755 3,033 1,266 117,054
Tobacco - - - -
Services To Agriculture 110,248 6,157 7,701 124,107
Marine Fishing 38,452 4,125 789 43,367
Forestry & Logging 3,259 144 2,269 5,672
Aquaculture 3,138 40 500 3,678
Hunting & Trapping 51 - - 51
Grand Total 1,849,455 428,958 268,092 2,546,505
Page 76 of 130
This is graphically represented as follows:
-
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
$'000
Page 77 of 130
GROSS VALUE OF PRODUCTION
As noted previously, detailed statistical information has been obtained from the Australian
Bureau of Statistics (ABS), in relation to the gross value of production of agriculture (GVP) for
the 2001 year and previous.
We have detailed below for comparison purposes, the gross loan indebtedness identified by
the survey over 1994 – 2001 years, together with the GVP as per the ABS.
The Department of Employment, Economic Development and Innovation (“DEEDI”) via their
forecasting, analysis and trends reports titled “Prospects” and “Prospects Update”, provide
forecasts of gross value of production. This information has been utilised within the RDQ 09
survey, in the provision of estimates of GVP for the 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2007 and 2009
years.
Page 78 of 130
Year Total Debt Debt as % GVP Yearly % Yearly %
$'000 of GVP $'000 Increase in Debt Increase in GVP
2009 15,061,972 168.5% 8,939,000 27.42% 7.76%
2007 11,820,465 142.5% 8,295,000 36.30% (2.07)%
2005 8,672,315 102.4% 8,470,000 12.53% 16.94%
2003 7,706,691 106.4% 7,243,000 15.65% (0.04)%
2001 6,663,555 92.0% 7,245,627 6.32% 7.02%
2000 6,267,652 92.6% 6,770,652 6.74% 6.13%
1999 5,871,748 92.0% 6,379,713 11.10% 8.96%
1998 5,285,061 90.3% 5,854,874 9.52% 3.13%
1997 4,825,535 85.0% 5,677,093 2.16% 6.72%
1996 4,723,330 88.8% 5,319,670 16.09% (2.68)%
1995 4,068,668 74.4% 5,466,416 5.01% 4.98%
1994 3,874,471 74.4% 5,206,927
10,000
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
-
Total Debt GVP
2009 2007 2005 2003 2001 2000
The GVP for the 1994 – 2009 years is broken down as follows:
Details 2009 2007 2005 2003 2001
Crops 4,281 3,755 3,800 3,375 3,391
Livestock Slaughtered 4,153 4,130 4,230 3,357 3,368
Livestock Products 505 410 440 511 486
Total 8,939 8,295 8,470 7,243 7,246
Page 79 of 130
The overall increase in GVP from 1994 to 2009 of $3,732 million (1994 – 2007: $3,088m),
consists of two major areas, being:
2,000,000
1,500,000
1,000,000
500,000
0
(500,000)
As in the 2007, 2005, 2003, 2001 and 1999 survey, not all financial institutions were able to
provide details as requested, due mainly to the differing management information systems of
their own structures. The level of information varied from each institution, as to the details that
could be provided about the type of loan facility and the purpose of the loan.
Page 80 of 130
- Loan Facility Type –
AGE OF BORROWER
As in 2005, 2003, 2001 and 1999, the financial institutions were also requested to provide
information in relation to the average age of the borrower. As explained previously, the degree
of data able to be provided by each institution varied, in relation to the age of borrower.
In the conduct of RDQ 09, the financial institutions were not able to provide this information.
Page 81 of 130
COMPARISON OF PREVIOUS SURVEYS AND RDQ 07 SURVEY
A summary of information obtained via the nine surveys, being 1994 – 1999, 2001, 2003,
2005, 2007 and 2009 is provided in the following tables.
The movement of borrowers and debt levels between the most recent two surveys is included
and expressed in absolute and in percentage terms in the tables.
As stated in previous surveys, when comparing the borrowers and debt levels by industry
between surveys, allowance needs to be made for inadvertent changes which may have been
made by lending institutions when categorising borrowers into industry types.
Page 82 of 130
DEBT BY INDUSTRY
- Number of Borrowers
Page 83 of 130
- Dollar Value of Borrowings
Value ($'000) 2009 2007 2005 2003 2001 1999
Beef 8,244,881 6,057,805 4,311,527 3,149,911 2,282,014 1,860,922
Cotton 1,004,246 1,148,528 870,725 830,655 694,353 611,821
Dairy 280,088 206,877 223,919 305,799 258,349 279,623
Grain 987,038 598,865 559,471 452,723 479,808 351,215
Grain/Grazing 911,048 1,035,128 779,231 509,959 486,307 513,685
Horticulture - Tree Crops 607,834 306,871 272,092 336,509 373,744 330,308
Horticulture - Vegetables 526,950 455,977 284,741 182,044 143,834 136,572
Intensive Livestock 459,023 382,958 300,799 246,010 209,436 197,645
Other 278,917 114,262 80,069 479,211 401,740 358,066
Sheep/Wool 93,545 112,543 129,664 122,342 112,715 162,844
Sugar 890,369 776,266 796,783 1,026,865 1,179,928 1,028,407
Tobacco - 87,221 63,292 64,662 41,330 40,642
Services To Agriculture 530,052 537,164 - - - -
Aquaculture 33,369 - - - - -
Forestry & Logging 53,362 - - - -
Hunting & Trapping 2,259 - - - - -
Marine Fishing 158,990 - - - - -
Grand Total 15,061,972 11,820,465 8,672,315 7,706,691 6,663,556 5,871,749
Page 84 of 130
COMPARISON OF DEBT TO GROSS VALUE OF PRODUCTION (GVP)
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
-
Total Debt
GVP
2009 2007 2005 2003 2001 2000
1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994
Page 85 of 130
COMPARISON OF RURAL DEBT BY REGION 1994 – 2009
2009 2007 2005 2003
Region Number $'000 Number $'000 Number $'000 Number $'000
311 212 255,231 160 165,344 205 116,001 223 125,533
313 742 1,158,580 660 879,492 680 618,229 862 578,645
314 476 683,250 430 593,755 439 307,181 517 256,304
321 2,280 1,527,340 2,284 1,236,752 2,451 753,683 2,727 798,918
331 4,181 3,111,969 4,528 2,526,129 4,668 1,946,787 5,347 1,547,492
332 3,473 1,963,224 2,985 1,798,284 3,057 1,312,304 3,649 1,426,125
3121 196 419,253 227 307,000 200 195,977 189 149,449
3122 219 280,971 182 150,966 229 107,435 311 116,388
3221 1,850 2,559,604 1,826 1,762,523 1,915 1,437,677 1,985 1,054,282
3222 2,729 3,102,550 2,271 2,400,220 2,461 1,877,039 2,791 1,653,555
Totals 16,358 15,061,972 15,553 11,820,465 16,304.52 8,672,315 18,601 7,706,691
Page 86 of 130
1994 Movement 94-09 % Movement 94-09
Region Number $'000 Region Number $'000 Number $'000
311 154 42,533 311 58 122,811 37.3% 288.7%
313 852 262,375 313 (110) 617,117 (13)% 235.2%
314 554 205,696 314 (78) 388,059 (14)% 188.7%
321 2,887 548,972 321 (607) 687,780 (21)% 125.3%
331 4,852 886,302 331 (671) 1,639,827 (14)% 185.0%
332 3,223 778,557 332 250 1,019,727 8% 131.0%
3121 142 77,156 3121 54 229,844 38% 297.9%
3122 360 126,249 3122 (141) 24,717 (39)% 19.6%
3221 1,195 386,778 3221 655 1,375,745 55% 355.7%
3222 2,312 559,853 3222 417 1,840,367 18% 328.7%
Totals 16,531 3,874,471 Totals (173) 7,945,994 (1)% 205.1%
Page 87 of 130
PART II – APPENDIX
APPENDIX 1 – SHIRES AND EQUIVALENT ABARE REGIONS AND INDUSTRIES
COVERED
LISTING OF SHIRES AND EQUIVALENT ABARE REGIONS
Aurukun Shire Council 311 Ipswich City Council 331
Balonne Shire Council 3222 Issac Regional Council 3221
Banana Shire Council 3222 Kowanyama Aboriginal Shire Council 311
Barcaldine Regional Council 3122 Lockhart River Aboriginal Shire Council 311
Barcoo Shire Council 3122 Lockyer Valley Regional Council 331
Blackall-Tambo Regional Council 314 Logan City Council 332
Boulia Shire Council 3121 Longreach Regional Council 3122
Brisbane City Council 331 Mackay Regional Council 332
Bulloo Shire Council 3122 Mapoon Aboriginal Shire Council 311
Bundaberg Regional Council 3221 McKinlay Shire Council 323
Burdekin Shire Council 332 Moreton Bay Regional Council 332
Burke Shire Council 3121 Mornington Shire Council 311
Cairns Regional Council 332 Mount Isa City Council 3121
Carpentaria Shire Council 332 Murweh Shire Council 3222
Cassowary Coast Regional Council 332 Napranum Aboriginal Shire Council 311
Central Highlands Regional Council 3221 North Burnett Regional Council 332
Charters Towers Regional Council 332 Northern Penisular Area Regional Council 311
Cherbourg Aboriginal Shire Council 331 Palm Island Aboriginal Shire Council 332
Cloncurry Shire Council 3121 Paroo Shire Council 3122
Cook Shire Council 311 Pormpuraaw Aboriginal Shire Council 311
Croyden Shire Council 313 Quilpie Shire Council 3122
Dalby Regional Centre 3222 Redland City Council 331
Diamantina Shire Council 3121 Richmond Shire Council 313
Doomadgee Aboriginal Shire Council 311 Rockhampton Regional Council 3221
Etheridge Shire Council 13 Roma Regional Council 3222
Flinders Shire Council 313 Scenic Rim Regional Council 331
Fraser Coast Regional Council 332 Somerset Regional Council 331
Gladstone Regional Council 331 South Burnett Regional Council 331
Gold Coast City Council 331 Southern Downs Regional Council 321
Goondiwindi Regional Council 3222 Sunshine Coast Regional Council 331
Gympie Regional Council 331 Tablelands Regional Council 332
Hinchinbrook Shire Council 332 Toowoomba Regional Council 321
Hope Vale Aboriginal Shire Council 311 Torres Shire Council 311
Torres Strait Island Regional Council 311 Woorabinda Aboriginal Shire Council 3221
Townsville City Council 332 Wujal Wujal Aboriginal Shire Council 311
Page 88 of 130
Whitsunday Regional Council 332 Yarrabah Aboriginal Shire Council 332
Winton Shire Council 3121 Woorabinda Aboriginal Shire Council 3221
Torres Strait Island Regional Council 311
Page 89 of 130
APPENDIX 2 - INDUSTRIES
The rural industries in Queensland were segregated using the following classifications:
Beef
Cotton
Dairy
Grain (summer and winter)
Grain/Grazing (sheep and/or cattle)
Horticulture – Vegetables
Horticulture – Tree crops (mangoes, pawpaws, bananas, citrus etc)
Intensive Livestock (Pigs, Poultry etc)
Other (not elsewhere covered)
Sheep/Wool
Sugar
Services to Agriculture
Marine Fishing
Forestry & Logging
Aquaculture
Hunting & Trapping
Page 90 of 130
APPENDIX 3 – DEFINITIONS
Farm business - farm Lending institutions were requested to provide information by industry type
establishments vs and borrower without reference to individual properties. Consequently
management units there may be more than one rural property or location per business
borrower. This treatment is consistent with ABS, ABARE and DEEDI
treatments.
Indicative equity This term is used to emphasise that values of rural properties and/or plant
are volatile and consequently debt to equity ratios relying on valuations of
equity are also subject to a degree of subjectivity.
Intensive livestock Generally rural businesses involved with raising of pigs and poultry (see
definitions of industries in Appendix 2), and specifically excludes beef
feedlots.
Long term viability Whether a rural business is self sustaining on a long term basis. Measures
include ability to maintain farm capital stock and provide funds for both
growth and personal cashflow needs of principals.
Non performing debt Describes debts where there is no principal reduction and inadequate or nil
interest repayments. For the RDQ 09 Survey this comprised the entire "C"
rated category of debt (non-viable) as confirmed by the responding
institutions.
Page 91 of 130
APPENDIX 4 – INSTITUTIONS CONTACTED DURING THE RDQ 09 SURVEY
Major Contributors
QRAA
Page 92 of 130
PART III - DATABASE REPORTS
The following reports have been produced from the database:
Page 93 of 130
Number of Horticulture – Vegetables Business Borrowers ............................... DB 31
Amount of Horticulture – Vegetables Business Borrowings .............................. DB 32
Number of Intensive Livestock Business Borrowers ......................................... DB 33
Amount of Intensive Livestock Business Borrowings ........................................ DB 34
Number of Other Business Borrowers .............................................................. DB 35
Amount of Other Business Borrowings ............................................................. DB 36
Number of Sheep/Wool Business Borrowers.................................................... DB 37
Amount of Sheep/Wool Business Borrowings .................................................. DB 38
Number of Sugar Business Borrowers ............................................................. DB 39
Amount of Sugar Business Borrowings ............................................................ DB 40
Number of Service to Agriculture Business Borrowers ..................................... DB41
Amount of Service to Agriculture Borrowings ................................................... DB42
Page 94 of 130
DEBT BY RATING AND INDUSTRY
Number of Farm Business Borrowers (DB1)
[Total rural borrowers (numerical) rated by debt categories for each industry]
Grand
Industry A B+ B1 B2 C Total
Beef 3,126 2,049 708 58 15 5,956
Cotton 203 127 62 4 7 402
Dairy 280 134 37 4 2 457
Grain 444 192 100 6 2 743
Grain/Grazing 467 390 141 17 5 1,020
Horticulture - Tree
Crops 449 267 68 5 3 792
Horticulture -
Vegetables 470 283 37 8 5 802
Intensive Livestock 214 185 47 7 4 458
Other 261 125 34 4 6 431
Sheep/Wool 62 37 12 - - 111
Sugar 1,236 773 132 3 1 2,145
Tobacco - - - - - -
Services To Agriculture 612 1,596 225 7 17 2,457
Marine Fishing 188 116 45 4 2 354
Forestry & Logging 52 89 16 1 6 163
Aquaculture 19 18 7 1 - 44
Hunting & Trapping 9 13 1 - - 22
Grand Total 8,093 6,394 1,669 129 73 16,358
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
Number of Borrowers
Page 95 of 130
DEBT BY RATING AND INDUSTRY
Amount of Farm Business Borrowings (DB2)
[Total rural borrowers (value) rated by debt categories for each industry]
Grand
Industry A B+ B1 B2 C
Total
Beef 5,150,364 1,817,952 940,558 268,082 67,926 8,244,881
Cotton 486,418 195,453 137,982 55,186 129,205 1,004,246
Dairy 170,032 53,606 34,032 15,586 6,833 280,088
Grain 698,268 162,488 109,411 14,833 2,039 987,038
Grain/Grazing 459,344 272,425 150,378 17,276 11,625 911,048
Horticulture - Tree 397,965 109,708 82,566 14,121 3,475 607,834
Crops
Horticulture - 284,951 159,002 57,224 7,817 17,955 526,950
Vegetables
Intensive Livestock 249,519 145,123 41,752 18,170 4,460 459,023
Other 201,188 50,440 16,301 2,076 8,912 278,917
Sheep/Wool 56,916 19,833 11,348 2,312 3,137 93,545
Sugar 576,448 196,866 112,755 3,033 1,266 890,369
Tobacco - - - - - -
Services To Agriculture 219,544 186,401 110,248 6,157 7,701 530,052
Marine Fishing 88,379 27,245 38,452 4,125 789 158,990
Forestry & Logging 26,476 21,213 3,259 144 2,269 53,362
Aquaculture 18,879 10,812 3,138 40 500 33,369
Hunting & Trapping 1,317 891 51 - - 2,259
Grand Total 9,086,009 3,429,457 1,849,455 428,958 268,092 15,061,972
-
2,000,000
4,000,000
6,000,000
8,000,000
10,000,000
Amount ($'000) of Borrowings
Page 96 of 130
DEBT BY RATING AND INDUSTRY
Proportion of Borrowers by Industry (DB3)
[Total borrowers (numerical) for each industry proportioned by debt rating categories]
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Percentage
Page 97 of 130
DEBT BY RATING AND INDUSTRY
Proportion of Borrowings by Industry (DB4)
[Total borrowings (value) for each industry proportioned by debt rating categories]
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Page 98 of 130
DEBT BY RATING AND INDUSTRY
Proportion of Borrowers by Rating (DB5)
Page 99 of 130
Debt By Rating And Region
Number of Farm Business Borrowers (DB7)
[Total rural borrowers (numerical) rated by debt categories for ABARE region]
[Total rural borrowings (value) rated by debt categories for each ABARE region]
[Total borrowers (numerical) for each ABARE region proportioned by debt rating categories]
[Total borrowings (value) for each ABARE region proportioned by debt rating categories]
Loan
Number %
Rating
Region A B+ B1 B2 C Grand Total
311 Cape & Carpentaria 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1%
313 Central North 5% 3% 4% 5% 4% 4%
314 Central South 3% 6% 2% 2% 2% 3%
321 Eastern Downs 17% 5% 12% 15% 21% 15%
331 Central South Coast 31% 23% 30% 27% 24% 29%
332 Tropical North Coast 17% 16% 21% 23% 21% 19%
3121 West 1% 5% 2% 1% 1% 1%
3122 South West 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
3221 Central 11% 25% 11% 6% 6% 11%
3222 Maranoa / Western Downs 13% 14% 15% 18% 18% 15%
Grand Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Number Region
Industry 311 313 314 321 331 332 3121 3122 3221 3222 Total Borrowers
Beef 107 417 392 509 1,374 404 165 155 1,181 1,253 5,956
Cotton - - - 141 14 1 - - 68 179 402
Dairy 2 9 - 151 218 48 - 1 20 7 457
Grain 1 6 1 254 102 18 - 1 134 227 743
Grain/Grazing 1 11 10 238 123 20 3 4 134 476 1,020
Horticulture - Tree Crops 23 121 - 61 308 248 - 2 15 14 792
Horticulture - Vegetables 3 36 - 133 471 145 1 - 6 7 802
Intensive Livestock 1 19 6 114 215 21 1 2 31 48 458
Other 5 28 1 50 202 80 2 2 44 18 431
Sheep/Wool - 2 21 26 7 - 3 27 - 24 111
Sugar 37 19 - 1 214 1,867 - - 2 5 2,145
Tobacco - - - - 0 - - - - - 0
Services To Agriculture 18 58 42 566 617 476 19 22 202 439 2,457
Marine Fishing 12 7 - 12 177 118 1 1 8 17 354
Forestry & Logging - 6 1 24 112 7 1 - 2 10 163
Aquaculture 2 4 - - 20 16 - - 2 - 44
Hunting & Trapping - 1 3 1 6 4 1 2 - 5 22
Total Borrowers 212 742 476 2,280 4,182 3,473 196 218 1,850 2,729 16,358
[Total rural borrowers (numerical) for each industry by ABARE regions expressed as a percentage]
Number % Region
Industry 311 313 314 321 331 332 3121 3122 3221 3222 Total Borrowers
Beef 2% 7% 7% 9% 23% 7% 3% 3% 20% 21% 100%
Cotton 0% 0% 0% 35% 3% 0% 0% 0% 17% 45% 100%
Dairy 1% 2% 0% 33% 48% 11% 0% 0% 4% 2% 100%
Grain 0% 1% 0% 34% 14% 2% 0% 0% 18% 30% 100%
Grain/Grazing 0% 1% 1% 23% 12% 2% 0% 0% 13% 47% 100%
Horticulture - Tree Crops 3% 15% 0% 8% 39% 31% 0% 0% 2% 2% 100%
Horticulture - Vegetables 0% 5% 0% 17% 59% 18% 0% 0% 1% 1% 100%
Intensive Livestock 0% 4% 1% 25% 47% 5% 0% 1% 7% 11% 100%
Other 1% 6% 0% 12% 47% 18% 1% 0% 10% 4% 100%
Sheep/Wool 0% 1% 19% 23% 7% 0% 3% 25% 0% 22% 100%
Sugar 2% 1% 0% 0% 10% 87% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Tobacco 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Services To Agriculture 1% 2% 2% 23% 25% 19% 1% 1% 8% 18% 100%
Marine Fishing 3% 2% 0% 3% 50% 33% 0% 0% 2% 5% 100%
Forestry & Logging 0% 4% 1% 14% 69% 5% 1% 0% 1% 6% 100%
Aquaculture 5% 8% 0% 0% 46% 36% 0% 0% 4% 0% 100%
Hunting & Trapping 0% 3% 14% 4% 27% 18% 4% 8% 0% 22% 100%
All Borrowers 1% 5% 3% 14% 26% 21% 1% 1% 11% 17% 100%
[Total rural borrowings (value) for each industry by ABARE regions expressed as a percentage]
Amount % Region
Industry 311 313 314 321 331 332 3121 3122 3221 3222 Grand Total
Beef 3% 12% 8% 5% 17% 9% 5% 3% 23% 16% 100%
Cotton 0% 0% 0% 22% 3% 0% 0% 0% 16% 59% 100%
Dairy 0% 3% 0% 26% 52% 13% 0% 0% 4% 1% 100%
Grain 0% 1% 0% 25% 12% 2% 0% 0% 18% 42% 100%
Grain/Grazing 0% 1% 1% 12% 9% 1% 0% 0% 19% 57% 100%
Horticulture - Tree Crops 2% 10% 0% 13% 47% 23% 0% 0% 4% 2% 100%
Horticulture - Vegetables 0% 4% 0% 19% 58% 17% 0% 0% 1% 1% 100%
Intensive Livestock 0% 3% 0% 27% 52% 5% 0% 0% 3% 10% 100%
Other 1% 7% 0% 14% 46% 17% 1% 0% 9% 4% 100%
Sheep/Wool 0% 3% 26% 13% 6% 0% 1% 26% 0% 25% 100%
Sugar 2% 2% 0% 0% 10% 79% 0% 0% 0% 7% 100%
Tobacco 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Services To Agriculture 1% 3% 2% 24% 29% 15% 1% 0% 13% 12% 100%
Marine Fishing 1% 2% 0% 3% 58% 28% 0% 0% 4% 5% 100%
Forestry & Logging 0% 1% 0% 6% 87% 1% 0% 0% 2% 2% 100%
Aquaculture 9% 8% 0% 0% 45% 38% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Hunting & Trapping 0% 0% 5% 2% 43% 10% 0% 17% 0% 23% 100%
All Borrowers 2% 8% 5% 10% 21% 13% 3% 2% 17% 21% 100%
[Total rural borrowers (numerical) for each industry expressed as a percentage of all rural industries within ABARE regions]
Number % Region
Industry 311 313 314 321 331 332 3121 3122 3221 3222 Grand Total
Beef 50% 56% 82% 22% 33% 12% 84% 71% 64% 46% 36%
Cotton 0% 0% 0% 6% 0% 0% 0% 0% 4% 7% 2%
Dairy 1% 1% 0% 7% 5% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 3%
Grain 0% 1% 0% 11% 2% 1% 0% 0% 7% 8% 5%
Grain/Grazing 1% 1% 2% 10% 3% 1% 1% 2% 7% 17% 6%
Horticulture - Tree Crops 11% 16% 0% 3% 7% 7% 0% 1% 1% 1% 5%
Horticulture - Vegetables 1% 5% 0% 6% 11% 4% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5%
Intensive Livestock 0% 3% 1% 5% 5% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3%
Other 2% 4% 0% 2% 5% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 3%
Sheep/Wool 0% 0% 5% 1% 0% 0% 2% 12% 0% 1% 1%
Sugar 17% 3% 0% 0% 5% 54% 0% 0% 0% 0% 13%
Tobacco 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Services To Agriculture 8% 8% 9% 25% 15% 14% 9% 10% 11% 16% 15%
Marine Fishing 6% 1% 0% 1% 4% 3% 1% 0% 0% 1% 2%
Forestry & Logging 0% 1% 0% 1% 3% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1%
Aquaculture 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Hunting & Trapping 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0%
Grand Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
[Total rural borrowings (value) for each industry expressed as a percentage of all rural industries within ABARE regions]
Amount % Region
Industry 311 313 314 321 331 332 3121 3122 3221 3222 Grand Total
Beef 85% 84% 94% 25% 44% 38% 98% 89% 74% 43% 55%
Cotton 0% 0% 0% 15% 1% 0% 0% 0% 6% 19% 7%
Dairy 0% 1% 0% 5% 5% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2%
Grain 0% 1% 0% 16% 4% 1% 0% 0% 7% 13% 7%
Grain/Grazing 0% 1% 1% 7% 3% 0% 0% 1% 7% 17% 6%
Horticulture - Tree Crops 4% 5% 0% 5% 9% 7% 0% 0% 1% 0% 4%
Horticulture - Vegetables 0% 2% 0% 7% 10% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 3%
Intensive Livestock 0% 1% 0% 8% 8% 1% 0% 0% 1% 1% 3%
Other 1% 2% 0% 3% 4% 2% 1% 0% 1% 0% 2%
Sheep/Wool 0% 0% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0% 9% 0% 1% 1%
Sugar 6% 2% 0% 0% 3% 36% 0% 0% 0% 2% 6%
Tobacco 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Services To Agriculture 2% 1% 1% 8% 5% 4% 1% 1% 3% 2% 4%
Marine Fishing 0% 0% 0% 0% 3% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1%
Forestry & Logging 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Aquaculture 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Hunting & Trapping 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grand Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Now replaced by