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JOURNAL OF APPLIED BEHAVIOR ANALYSIS 1987, 209 313-327 NUMBER4 (wiNnR 1987)

SOME STILL-CURRENT DIMENSIONS OF APPLIED


BEHAVIOR ANALYSIS
DONALD M. BAER
MONTROSE M. WOLF
UNIVERSITY OF KANSAS

TODD R. RISLEY
UNIVERSITY OF ALASKA

Twenty years ago, an anthropological note described the current dimensions of applied behavior
analysis as it was prescribed and practiced in 1968: It was, or ought to become, applied, behavioral,
analytic, technological, conceptual, effective, and capable of appropriately generalized outcomes. A
similar anthropological note today finds the same dimensions still prescriptive, and to an increasing
extent, descriptive. Several new tactics have become evident, however, some in the realm of conceptual
analysis, some in the sociological status of the discipline, and some in its understanding of the
necessary systemic nature of any applied discipline that is to operate in the domain of important
human behaviors.
DESCRIPTORS: application, dissemination, technology, terminology, history

Twenty years ago, an anthropologist's account world, my family against the tribe, my brothers
of the group calling its culture Applied Behavior against my family, and myself against my broth-
Analysis (ABA) had to begin by describing the ers.") (e.g., Baer, 1981; Deitz, 1978; Michael,
relevant context (Baer, Wolf, & Risley, 1968): the 1980; Pierce & Epling, 1980). Even so, the ABA
existence and power of the disciplinary matrix subgroup continued to show nearly the same strat-
(Kuhn, 1970, p. 175) within which the behavior egies that characterized the TEAB group, but shift-
of individuals was analyzed experimentally. That ed their application exclusively to what the group
matrix was itself the characteristic behavior of a called "socially important behaviors" in those be-
more inclusive, older group calling its culture The haviors' real-life Skinner boxes.
Experimental Analysis of Behavior (TEAB). The That shift in strategy required a considerable
characteristic exemplary strategies (Kuhn, 1970, p. number of new tactics. At the most basic discipli-
189) of the TEAB group were their procedural nary-matrix level, measurement procedures were
emphases of reinforcement, punishment, and dis- almost immediately opened to continuous interval-
criminative-stimulus contingencies as behavior-an- based response measures; the recording not of dis-
alytic environmental variables, their reliance on sin- crete-response occurrences but instead of intervals
gle-subject designs as the formats of analysis and during which the response had occurred at least
proof, and their consistent use of the Skinner box once or was ongoing solved the otherwise unman-
as their arena. Within a decade, the ABA group ageable problem of recording real-life behaviors
outnumbered its originally overarching TEAB with difficult-to-define onsets and offsets (Baer,
group, such that the inevitable debates about their 1986, but cf. Powell, 1984). These measures at
actual and desirable conceptual cohesion and sep- first supplemented, and soon almost replaced, the
arateness took on some sociological urgency (but rate-of-response measures characteristic of the par-
not very much urgency, especially from nonbehav- ent TEAB group. In addition, seven classes of tactic
ior analytic points of view. At a conference on labels were proposed as stimulus controls for ap-
behavior analysis, steady-state argument led Nancy propriate behavior-analytic conduct in the new world
Datan to recount an Arab proverb about the nature of application (within which behavior-analytic logic
of conflict: "I must defend my tribe against the is indeed difficult to defend-ironically, the part
313
314 DONALD M. BAER et al.

of the world that likes to call itself "real" usually both. Perhaps there is no such thing as a totally
prefers mentalistic explanations of its own behav- ineffective program. But when programs do not
ior). solve the target problem, it is typical-and func-
The stimulus controls proposed for behavior-an- tional-not to measure their ineffectiveness at that,
alytic conduct in the world of application were the yet it could be illuminating to measure their social
seven key words in a set of injunctions always to validity.)
be: applied, behavioral, analytic, technological, Thus, social problems are essentially the behav-
conceptual, effective, and capable of appropriately iors of displaying or explaining problems-one's
generalized outcomes. own or someone else's. Problem displays are some-
Today, those tactic labels remain functional; they times large-scale, sometimes small-scale. Perhaps
still connote the current dimensions of the work the smallest scale display is seen when one dient
usually called applied behavior analysis. The tactics explains a personal problem to a therapist; the
for which they are stimulus controls have changed question is whether the dient can explain well
to some extent, however. (If they had not changed enough to secure the therapist's attempt at its so-
to some degree in two decades, we might well worry lution. By contrast, sometimes an entire society can
about the viability of their discipline; if they had approach nudear annihilation and technological il-
changed too much, we might well wonder if there literacy; the question then is whether its media can
was any discipline in their viability. Thus, we would display and explain that problem effectively enough
do well to estimate often how properly situated we to secure the political behavior that will generate
are between those two extremes.) its government's attempt at solutions, or whether
its government will try to solve other, smaller prob-
Applied lems, exactly because the small-problem propo-
Initially, the meaning of applied centered on nents are more effective at using the media, lob-
vague concepts of social problems, social interest, bying, and financial campaign support.
and the immediate importance of the behavior or It is dear that the therapist's response is usually
its functional stimuli to the behaver. Twenty years controlled not simply by the dient's promise to pay
of experience, especially with what often is called a fee but also by the therapist's agreement that this
social criticism, have begun to darify what social problem deserves a solution-an agreement some-
problems, interest, and importance are. On the face times withheld. Thus, most therapists would con-
of it, they are at least behaviors of a person called sider teaching a self-instructional program aimed
subject or client that trouble that person; but more at improving a client's dart-throwing skill for social
often, they are also behaviors of people other than events at a favorite bar, but not at improving the
the one called subject or client. Social problems are client's rifle-shooting accuracy for a proposed mur-
those behaviors of the subject or client that result der. Similarly, the government's decision may (we
in counteraction, sometimes by the client, but more hope) be controlled not simply by what will ac-
often by nonclients, sufficient to generate something complish its reelection and the back-up reinforcers
called a solution, or at least a program. (In the pursuant to that, but also by its analysis of its
world of application, attractive programs that do society's survival and prosperity.
not solve the problem to which they are ostensibly The polarities of these two decisions seem to be,
applied sometimes are valuable even so. At least, respectively, the dient's problem display and will-
they solve the sometimes more aversive problem of ingness to pay versus the therapist's values (in other
doing nothing about that problem. In addition, words, the historical and current contingencies con-
they very often solve some quite important related trolling the therapist's agreement to program the
problem: They let the client or the counteracting necessary behavior changes), and the lobbyists'
nonclients discuss the problem with a sympathetic problem displays and willingness to support cam-
friend, they provide those people a platform, or paigns versus the government's analysis of societal
TWENTY YEARS LATER 315

survival and prosperity (in other words, the his- tioners, researchers, and theorists have encountered
torical and current contingencies controlling the so many invitations to become something other
government's agreement to program the necessary than behavioral, usually in the form of becoming
behavior changes). Those polarities have not changed something "more" than behavioral. In particular,
much in two decades (or in two millenia); what is their occasional mainstreaming with behavior ther-
grimly new in the discipline is the more widespread apy, education, developmental psychology, psy-
cholinguistics, and sociobiology has given them the
explicit recognition that all such polarities are them-
selves behaviors of displayers and displayees; that chance to entertain constructs of anxiety, attention,
the behaviors of displaying and explaining prob- intelligence, disabilities, spontaneity, readiness, crit-
lems always exist on continua of their effectiveness ical periods, innate releasers, storage and retrieval
for a given displayee; and that whenever one agency mechanisms, schemata, and the like. Some behavior
displays and explains its problems effectively, its analysts did entertain one or more of those con-
effectiveness can cause some other agency to display structs enough to be no longer behavioral; others
that very effectiveness as its problem, perhaps more were simply entertained by those constructs. The
effectively, and so on, ad infinitum. most fruitful task, however, is to recognize that
The past two decades have not yielded a better each of those labels (and many others like them)
public analysis of effective problem display and often represents some behavioral reality not yet
analyzed as such. The point is that these behavioral
explanation (although its deliberate practice is sure-
ly one of the world's older professions). At best, realities are not likely to be analyzed as such within
they have shown us that we need analyses of (a) their parent disciplines, and thus never will become
displaying and explaining problems so as to gain truly applicable there, yet might well be analyzed
effective use of the media, (b) controlling the be- behavior-analytically, perhaps with great profit to
havior of those other people who can function as us and those disciplines, and thus to our roles within
decision-makers' constituencies (i.e., lobbying), (c)those disciplines.
having or being able to recruit campaign support, Doing so will not jeopardize our ability to dis-
and (d) recognizing events called crises as the set- criminate a behavioral discipline from a nonbehav-
ting events when those repertoires will be most ioral discipline: The various professional behavior
effective. At least those analyses are necessary to patterns that constitute a behavioral discipline,
understand fillly what we most often mean by thoroughly described and analyzed byZuriff( 1985),
applied. We mean every form of countercontrol can always be discriminated from the considerably
typically under the stimulus control of problem more various patterns that constitute nonbehavioral
displays and explanations. That leaves us with a disciplines, even if no one were any longer to display
very large programmatic question: What do we those behavior patterns. (In other words, Zuriff~s
know and what can we learn about effective stim- analysis is essentially philosophical rather than an-
ulus control that can be applied in the domain of thropological.) However, it seems dear that be-
problem displays? It is dear that some people in haviorism will be a small-minority approach, at
our society know a great deal about that. If they least for the foreseeable future of this culture. In-
know, then we can learn. The crucial behavior may deed, behavioral textbooks explaining the Premack
be to establish the priority of that research area asprinciple might indude in their lists of cultural
essential to making us a truly applied discipline; reinforcers access to the use and consumption of
dearly, the last two decades have prompted that inner, mentalistic explanations for behavior. Per-
priority with increasing urgency. haps behavior-analytic language is the key to that.
The past 20 years have shown us again and again
Behavioral that our audiences respond very negatively to our
One mark of the success of applied behavior systematic explanations of our programs and their
analysis in the last two decades is that its practi- underlying assumptions, yet very positively to the
316 DONALD M. BAER et al.

total spectacle of our programs-their procedures of one person by some other behavior of another
and their results-as long as they are left "unex- person. The strength of this particular method is
plained" by us. the modifiability of the observer's behavior by care-
Hineline (1980) has begun the analysis of how ful, direct training, and the accessibility of the ob-
our systematic language affects our audiences, and server's behavior to direct and frequent reliability
how they use their own unsystematic language to assessments. In particular, when those reliability
explain behavior. Sometimes, for example, certain assessments pair the observer with the code-writer,
contexts actually do evoke attributions of behavior they accomplish the essential validity of any ob-
to environmental causes, yet even that kind of at- servation-based behavioral analysis: They allow the
tribution and its contextual control can themselves empirical revision of the code and thus of the stim-
be attributed to internal "personality" causes, and ulus control that it exerts over the observer's ob-
in a language culture like ours, they usually are serving and recording behavior, until it satisfies the
(see Hineline, 1980, p. 84). Perhaps applied be- code-writer. That revision is accomplished by re-
havior analysis should consider much more carefully writing the code and retraining the observer's re-
and much more explicitly the language options that sponse to it until the observer's recordings of target
might maximize its effectiveness in its culture: (a) behavior agree closely with those of the code-writer
find ways to teach its culture to talk behavior-an- observing the same sample of the subject's behav-
alytically (or at least to value behavior-analytic talk); ior. Thus, the code-writer controls the observing
(b) develop nonbehavior-analytic talk for public and recording behavior of the observer, and in
display, and see if that talk will prove as useful for principle can assess and refine that control as often
research and analysis as present behavior-analytic as the problem may require. In that the code-writer
talk, or whether two languages must be maintained; is (or ought to be) the person who finds the subject's
or (c) let it be (we represent approximately 2% of behavior to be a problem (or is the surrogate of
American psychology, and we are currently stable that person), then satisfying the code-writer that
at that level). all and only the correct behaviors are being recorded
Some of the success of applied behavior analysis is the only approach to valid measurement that
has led to its trial in office-practice contexts. In makes complete systematic sense: Valid measure-
those contexts, the direct observation of behavior ment is measurement of that behavior that has
often seems impractical, and practitioners resort to caused the problem-presenter to present it (cf. Baer,
more suspect forms of observation, for example, 1986). Clearly, this argument does not change if
self-reports or ratings by participant-observers, both the observer is replaced by a recording instrument.
often in the form of answers to questionnaires, This is a strong argument against the use of stan-
inventories, checklists, interviews, focused diaries, dardized codes: It is unlikely that a standardized
and the like. With such measures, it is considered code written in complaint of someone else's be-
safer to use many of them at the same time (see havior can satisfy the present complainer as well as
Behavioral Assessment, 1979-). The thesis that the code that this complainer would write about
one behavior can be a measure of another behavior this specific complainee.
seems behavioral on its face; on analysis, it seems By contrast, it is risky to assume that the subject's
behavioral but extraordinarily risky, depending self-report or a participant-observer's rating of the
heavily on the choice of the "other" behavior. subject's target behavior would show a similar re-
Twenty years of practice have given applied be- liability with its direct observation by an observer
havior analysis a nearly standard measurement under the code-writer's control. The observer's be-
method: the direct observation and recording of a havior can be controlled in a well-understood man-
subject's target behaviors by an observer under the ner; the subject's self-reports and the participant-
stimulus control of a written behavior code. Ob- observer's ratings usually are uncontrolled by the
viously, that is the measurement of some behavior practitioner-researcher. In principle, the subject's
TWENTY YEARS LATER 317
self-reports and the participant-observers' ratings two decades), behavioral assessment has used those
might be controlled in the same way as are a stan- forms of psychometrics that are best described as
dard observer's observation and recording behav- samples of the target repertoire, notably IQ and
iors, but we know relatively little about doing so, achievement tests. The problems with such tests
and although we often can maintain nearly exdu- are much the same as with self-reports and partic-
sive control of the observer's relevant behavior, we ipant-observers' ratings: We rarely know if the test-
rarely can even approach that exclusivity with the ing context controls those behaviors differently than
subject's or a participant-observer's behavior. they are controlled in everyday life, and we rarely
Of course, self-reports and participant-observers' know if those test samples are representative sam-
ratings might be studied in their own right as be- ples of the desired repertoire. The only way to know
haviors for analysis, rather than as substitutes for those facts with any certainty is again to resort to
the direct observation of the target behavior. Their direct observation, but these tests represent (or fail
analysis would almost certainly yield interesting to represent) repertoires that often are too large to
knowledge of the large world of verbal behavior allow practical direct observation. Thus they are
and the small world of professional ritual, but apart often used as the only practicable alternative, de-
from that, it would not often seem to have applied spite their uncertainties (and sometimes they are
significance, other than to document the already used because they still command great social va-
strongly suspected invalidity of such behaviors as lidity in this society).
substitutes for the target behavior. However, within That tactic is not a novel one in applied behavior
that small world of professional ritual, it is worth analysis: In the analysis of accidents, for example,
noting that the use of such measures-often called we can hardly deal with accident behaviors directly,
psychometrics in the social sciences-has a certain because they are too infrequent, so we change the
social validity, especially for research-grant appli- much more frequent behaviors that we suppose are
cations: Some role of conventional psychometrics precursors to accidents-we analyze not accidents,
in a research proposal increases the probability of but risk-taking. Similarly, in the analysis of delin-
that proposal being approved and funded when the quency, we can hardly change delinquent acts di-
proposal's reviewers are not behavior-analytic (which rectly, again because they are infrequent and also
is almost always). It is true that any choice of because they are systematically done in relative se-
Psychometric, versus Psychometric2 will inevitably crecy, so again we change not them but what we
attract at least some reviewers' criticisms, but at suppose their precursors are in various arenas of
least it will be criticism within the context of ap- social control. If the guesses implicit in those areas
proval for playing the correct game. That might of research do not disqualify them as examples of
be considered applied significance. applied behavior analysis, then the analogous guess-
Thus, applied behavior analysis most often still es implicit in the use of, say, achievement tests need
is, and most often always should be, the study of not automatically disqualify them, either.
an observer's behavior that has been brought under The applied question most often may be whether
the tight control of the subject's behavior. Some- the uncertainties inherent in resorting to such mea-
times, that is exactly what is meant by behavioral sures are preferable to the status quo of knowledge
assessment. More often, it is either the study of in each problem area, and the answer, like most
how subjects talk about their own behavior or how answers, will probably be under contextual con-
other people talk about the subject's behavior, a trol -sometimes uncertainty is preferable to status
kind of talk that usually is under complex, varied, quo, sometimes it isn't.
and largely unknown control, only one component Thus the term "behavioral assessment," a new
of which may be the subject's target behavior (what category event of the past two decades, sometimes
loosely is called the truth). describes very pragmatic tactics and sometimes only
Sometimes, though (and increasingly in the past the least valid measurement tactics of the very old
318 DONALD M. BAER et al.

pseudobehavioral disciplines against which behav- analysis. A proper appreciation of context always
ior analysis rebelled. Clearly, its tactics can include implies that we are not merely studying or man-
exceptionally elegant and sophisticated concepts, aging it, but also are part of it and therefore are
techniques, and measures of reliability (see Cron- being managed by it, even down to our studying
bach, Glaser, Nanda, & Rajaratnam, 1972), which and managing of it.
sometimes are applicable to direct observation The emerging appreciation of context as the set-
(Hartmann, 1977); but when those tactics measure ting events that had better be understood and
what we wish to analyze is problematic in both managed in truly effective application flows easily
analytic and pragmatic ways. Ultimately, knowing from Kantor's field approach to the study of be-
when they do and when they do not will require havior (Morris, 1982). But it also flows just as
very difficult studies based on direct observation. easily from our recently expanding knowledge and
management of stimulus control and conditional
Analytic and Conceptual stimulus control (see Sidman, 1986; and the spe-
Twenty years ago, analytic meant a convincing cial-issue Volume 6 of Analysis and Intervention
experimental design, and conceptual meant rele- in Developmental Disabilities, 1986). That de-
vance to a comprehensive theory about behavior. velopment suggests strongly that we will rarely find
The two topics could be and often were discussed an instance of stimulus control not modified dras-
separately. Since then, it has become increasingly tically by some (and perhaps many) conditional
aversive to maintain that separation. Now, applied stimulus controls. The relevance of that thesis to
behavior analysis is more often considered an an- application is urgent: It begins the analysis of the
alytic discipline only when it demonstrates con- generality of any intervention's effectiveness, in that
vincingly how to make specified behavior changes it urges us to seek the contextual conditions under
and when its behavior-change methods make sys- which the intervention has maximal and minimal
tematic, conceptual sense. In the past 20 years, we effectiveness.
have sometimes demonstrated convincingly that we Thus, the first applied lesson of contextualism
had changed behavior as specified, but by methods is that there will always be such conditions; the
that did not make systematic, conceptual sense second is that many of them must be clarified as
it was not clear why those methods had worked. stimulus and response events, because that is rarely
Such cases let us see that we were sometimes con- self-evident (cf. Wahler and Fox's [1982] discus-
vincingly applied and behavioral, yet even so, not sion of "insularity" as a limiting condition in parent
sufficiently analytic. Similarly, we have sometimes training); the third, most difficult yet most prag-
changed behavior without even a convincing dem- matic, is that clarifying contextual controls is not
onstration of how we did that, and so did not know enough: If we want widely effective interventions,
if our methods made systematic, conceptual sense we will have to manage these contextual controls;
because we did not know clearly what the respon- rather than stopping with the assessment of their
sible methods were; those cases let us see how not roles as limiting factors, we will have to learn how
to be a discipline, let alone an applied, behavioral, to program around them or program them away.
or analytic one. Contextualism also implies a certain dass of ex-
Now, the theory that defines systematic, con- perimental designs. The simplest contextual state-
ceptual sense for us is pushed not only to be about ments are of the form, Behavior B is controlled
behavior, but also about the behavior of changing differently by Variable V in Context 1 than in
behavior: More often now, we can see ourselves as Context 2. To see that reliably, we need experi-
the subjects of someone else, not just as Experi- mental control of at least two levels of Variable V,
menter (recall the discussion of countercontrol un- say V1 and V2; and we need experimental control
der Applied). This fits well with the steadily emerg- of at least two contexts of interest, say Context X
ing contextualism apparent in unapplied behavior and Context Y. Given that, we need to see how
TWENTY YEARS LATER 319
Behavior B relates to V1 and V2 in Context X, ranged those conditions (often, schedules) necessary
and we need to see if that control is reliable. Then to answer their experimental questions, refined the
we need to see how Behavior B relates to Vi and conditions as analytically as their knowledge of po-
V2 in Context Y, and we need to see if that control tential important confounding variables allowed,
is reliable. Finally, we need to see both of those and did all that as often as conviction required.
relationships (how B relates to Vi and V2 in Con- The value of their designs lay not in any category
text X, and how B relates to V1 and V2 in Context names that might be imposed on them but in the
Y) again and again, so that we see whether the relation between the conditions that they had ar-
difference that Contexts X and Y make in how VI ranged and the question proposed.
and V2 control B is a reliable difference. The sim- Now, we have named so many designs that
plest reversal designs would look something like textbooks devoted to their taxonomy and their
the following two, where CX and CY are Contexts "rules" have emerged. The strategy underlying that
X and Y (see diagram below). Both of these are development was probably like the one underlying
minimal designs for the problem, yet each contains the seven self-conscious guides to behavior analytic
16 conditions in which to examine the ongoing conduct posed in 1968 (applied, behavioral, ana-
baseline of the behavior under study. The pace of lytic, etc.): In application, good design would often
the design had better be a rather fast one, suggesting prove difficult to accomplish or maintain, and grad-
that variant of the reversal design often called the uate training in application might not often plumb
multielement design (e.g., Ulman & Sulzer-Aza- the depths of the topic; codification might help
roff, 1975). Designs like these can be found in the overcome those difficulties. The questions now are
literature of the field, but not often. To the extent whether in fact the codification of research design
that applied behavior analysis will analyze rather into types and rules did help that purpose; if so,
than assess the generality of its interventions, these to what extent; and finally, whether that extent is
designs and others capable of the same kind of worth the cost. The cost may be primarily that
demonstration will prove essential. applied researchers increasingly transform questions
The last 20 years have seen considerable devel- to fit the known designs and their rules, rather than
opment of research designs. At the outset, it was constructing a design that answers the original ques-
sufficient to label only the reversal and multiple non. It might prove valuable to the field to recall
baseline designs: the examination of one behavior its original designs and their logic-a good design
in repeated experimental conditions, and the ex- is one that answers the question convincingly, and
amination ofmany behaviors, sometimes with some as such needs to be constructed in reaction to the
in one experimental condition while others are in question and then tested through argument in that
a different experimental condition. These are the context (sometimes called "thinking through"),
two fundamental analysis strategies, of course; their rather than imitated from a textbook. For example,
logic is seen in the multiple, mixed, and concurrent one convention paper evaluated a program training
schedules that had so often served as experimental youths to fill out employment applications more
designs in TEAB. But in that world, schedules had effectively. The researchers asked several employers
names, yet designs did not: Researchers simply ar- to read a sequence of applications, each written by

.----------------- CX ------------------ .----------------- CY ------------------ ...CX . .. ----- CY


. .

V1 V2 V1 V2 V1 V2 V1 V2 V1 V2 V1 V2 Vi V2 Vi V2

------ -- VI ------------------- V2 ------------------


CXCYCXCY---------- ... .Vi . .- - - - - - - - - V2 ---------------
CX CY CX CY CX CY CX CY CX CY CX CY CX CY CX CY
320 DONALD M. BAER et al.

a different trainee, beginning with some written expensive for publishers and boring for readers. The
before training and ending with some written after underlying assumption is of course that those vari-
training; the change from pre- to posttraining ap- ations make no difference to the outcome. That
plications occurred at different points in each em- assumption is rarely if ever tested empirically. It
ployer's sequence, in an apparent multiple baseline would be good for the discipline if a review 20
design across employers. The design was such that years from now could state that the assumption
all applications, pre- and posttraining alike, were had proved correct, or that it had been found in-
read. Almost without exception, the employers said correct so often that current practice had remedied
"No" to trainee applications written before training the problem, despite the expense. (Readers' bore-
and "Yes" to trainee applications written after dom with such detail would have dissolved in the
training. This design is alluded to in an artide by discovery that these variations could indeed make
Mathews and Fawcett (1984), but is not described a difference in outcome.)
there in detail because of editorial insistence. Many 2. In application, those procedures carried out
in the convention audience, perhaps like the editor, by people (which are most of the procedures of
ignored the fact that this design showed dearly that applied behavior analysis) usually are observed and
the training program was exceptionally effective, recorded, just as are the subject's behaviors. This
and argued instead that it was not a "proper" documents the extent to which the specified pro-
multiple baseline design. Perhaps the important cedures are performed, and also describes any un-
point is that convincing designs should be more specified procedures that may occur. The process is
important than "proper" designs. probably reactive in many applications, creating
greater adherence to specified procedures than might
Technological be secured otherwise. But these data are rarely pre-
Twenty years ago, it was urgent to recommend sented outside of the group conducting the appli-
that a new field aspiring to both effective appli- cation, again probably because of publishers' ex-
cation and stature as a science be both procedural pense and readers' presumed boredom: When such
and explicit about it. The point was to avoid the data show that the specified procedures are being
situation of so many clinical, management, and carried out well enough, there is no problem; and
administrative disciplines in which, once discussions when they show the opposite, the application usu-
of theory and goals had ended, the procedures to ally stops until better adherence to procedure is
be applied were specified no better than "work obtained, whereupon there is again no problem.
with." For the most part, that has happened; jour- This argument is probably defensible on a cost-
nal artides and textbooks do offer a complete list benefit basis, but it would be better for the disci-
of their operative procedures, such that a reader pline if its review 20 years from now could state
has a fair chance of replicating the application with that the relevant debate had occurred publicly. That
the same results. Indeed, collections of procedures debate is essentially a matter for journal and text-
have begun to emerge, such that readers now may book editors and reviewers: They call for such data
choose among alternative procedures aimed at the or fail to; they publish such data when supplied or
same goal. recommend against doing so. Thus, they might
Still, three points deserve comment: well use one of their future journal symposia to
1. Some procedures, such as praise or incidental consider this issue, which is mainly a matter of
teaching, often are varied in what the researcher journal policy.
considers to be a desirably natural manner from 3. Dissemination is a practice much older than
occasion to occasion. Those topographies and their applied behavior analysis, but, in the realm of be-
sequences rarely are specified; to do so in advance havior, it is usually much less technological than
might often be considered unnatural, and to do so applied behavior analysis. Even so, its literature and
retrospectively (e.g., from a videotape) would be its practitioners debate (without resolution) an es-
TWENTY YEARS LATER 321

sentially technological issue: When a program is instead have to report that applied behavior analysis
disseminated, should its disseminators require that is still entering its large-scale applications very much
its procedures be followed faithfully, no matter at risk for failure.
where or when the program is used? Or should its
users be allowed, and even encouraged, to modify Capable of Appropriately Generalized
those procedures to fit their local situations and Outcomes
contingencies? (We might first ask, functionally, Twenty years ago, the ability of the discipline
when we have that choice. That is, when is the to produce appropriately generalized outcomes was
control requisite to maintain fidelity to original pro- seen as crucial to its survival: An applied discipline
cedures available to us, and when not?) Fidelity to that had to make every topographical variant of its
original procedures is recommended because those desired behavior changes, and had to attach each
procedures have been studied and are known to be of them to every appropriate stimulus control, across
effective; their variations and alternatives usually time, was intrinsically impractical. Today, the prob-
have not been studied, so nothing can be said about lem is still crucial, but now to the maximal effec-
their effectiveness. On the other hand, flexibility in tiveness rather than the survival of the discipline.
application is recommended on the premise that In the past 20 years, we have changed behavior as
the entire program will become aversive to people specified and shown experimental control of its
who cannot modify it to suit their situation and appropriate generalization just often enough to make
their contingencies, and if a program is not used, clear that the discipline is capable of such outcomes.
it cannot be effective. What remains is the much more reassuring (and
These are both technological arguments; inter- much larger) task of exploring the conditions that
estingly, contextualism, experience, and common control appropriate generalization (i.e., appropriate
sense seem to agree that each is likely to be correct stimulus control).
in certain contexts but not in others. The empirical Fortunately, the problem is usually seen now as
investigation of those controlling contexts obviously one that probably can be solved by suitable pro-
is crucial to future large-scale dissemination (which gramming, rather than by good luck; thus, a good
is certainly the essence of applied), as is the in- deal of research has systematically examined ways
vestigation of when we even have that choice. That to teach from the outset so that appropriately gen-
research has largely not been done; presumably, eralized outcomes are established. (Yet a remark-
now that a discipline as technological as applied able number of studies do not compare their gen-
behavior analysis has entered the domain of dis- eralization-facilitative teaching to any alternative
semination, it is more likely to be done, albeit teaching of the same target behavior that does not
expensively. The appropriate strategy was recom- facilitate its generalization, and so we actually learn
mended by Sidman (1960) almost 30 years ago, nothing about the problem from such studies.) The
in a different but relevant context: One criterion of problem is far from solved; we still have no system
important science is to explore the controlling con- for matching the most suitable generalization-pro-
ditions of any behavioral phenomenon. What is motion method to the behavior change at hand,
the range of variation of a program's procedures and no certainty that there is such a system to be
that still allows sufficient effectiveness? If it is large found. Our categorizations of generalization-pro-
enough, flexible application can be encouraged, and motion techniques are dearly nonanalytic; they have
the program's survival in diverse settings may well been proposed (see Stokes & Baer, 1977) in the
be enhanced. Ifit is narrow, fidelity will be required, same way that current dimensions (applied, be-
or what survives will not be effective. havioral, analytic, etc.) have been proposed-on
It will be interesting to see if a review of the the assumption that codification will evoke more
discipline 20 years from now will be able to sum- of the necessary professional behavior, especially
marize some facts about those processes, or will research (Baer, 1982). That assumption probably
322 DONALD M. BAER et al.

cannot be tested empirically: We can hardly con- Indeed, that may sometimes be true, but it had
duct an experiment that compares our discipline's better be both defensible and explicitly defended
progress toward thorough control of generalization, or it becomes arrogance (which may not further the
with and without such codifications. Thus, there social status of the discipline if it is widely noticed
remains the obligation of continuing debate (see as such). On the other hand, the absence of that
Johnston, 1979). second measure may represent a crucial weakness
in our current effectiveness. We may have taught
Effective many social skills without examining whether they
The hallmark of any applied discipline ought actually furthered the subject's social life; many
to be effectiveness; the case is no different for ap- courtesy skills without examining whether anyone
plied behavior analysis. However, in the realm of actually noticed or cared; many safety skills without
behavior change, the hallmark of effectiveness can examining whether the subject was actually safer
be subtle: Sometimes, it seems to be simply the thereafter; many language skills without measuring
degree to which the target behavior has been whether the subject actually used them to interact
changed; much more often, it is the degree to which differently than before; many on-task skills without
something other than the target behavior has been measuring the actual value of those tasks; and, in
changed, and that something other almost invari- general, many survival skills without examining the
ably is someone's countercontrol against the original subject's actual subsequent survival. Some of those
behavior (see the earlier discussion of Applied). measures will be controversial to define and ex-
Thus, for example, if we look closely, we may find pensive to collect, of course; but it may be true
that in some cases, changing a student's grades from that the discipline has developed to the point at
Fs to Cs satisfies the student, the student's family, which they become crucial. (Children usually be-
and that segment of their society that will eventually come more expensive as they grow.)
read those grades and react to them-if the grades Perhaps this practice will become more wide-
are Fs, these agents will see that as a problem; if spread in the discipline as the calculation of cost-
the grades are Cs, they will not. But in some other benefit ratios increases from its present near-zero
cases, we may find that a student's grades must be rate-if we take the "benefit" side of the ratio
changed from Bs to As before that student, that seriously, rather than assume that the behavior
student's family, and that segment of their society change itself is the benefit. Cost-benefit ratios, on
that will eventually read those grades and react to the face of it, are the essence of effectiveness, and
them will stop reacting to them as a problem. The ought to be routine in any applied discipline (e.g.,
marker variable distinguishing these two cases may Hill et al., 1987). They have proven problematic
often seem to be social class, but that is neither in this one, perhaps partly because the discipline is
analytic (see Baer, 1984, pp. 547-551) nor rele- still so much in its research-trials phase, partly be-
vant to the point, which is that changing grades is cause behavioral benefits are not as dearly defined
not effective per se; stopping and avoiding the rel- as most business benefits, and partly because the
evant references to these grades as a problem is the concepts and techniques of cost-benefit calculation
true criterion of our intervention's effectiveness. are not yet dearly established themselves.
Almost every successful study ofbehavior change Fortunately, at least one second measure of ef-
ought to routinely present two outcomes-a mea- fectiveness is beginning to become routine: social
sure of the changed target behaviors, of course, and validity (Kazdin, 1977; Wolf, 1978), which is the
a measure of the problem displays and explanations extent to which all the consumers of an intervention
that have stopped or diminished in consequence. like it (i.e., like its goals, targets, effects, procedures,
Yet very few studies do that. Perhaps their re- and personnel). The point of social-validity mea-
searchers assume that they are the only relevant sures is to predict (and thus avoid) rejection of an
problem-detectors or problem-detector surrogates. intervention, especially when it is disseminated
TWENTY YEARS LATER 323
(which, because of its large scale, may prove less the program has a chance to achieve all of those
tolerable to consumers than the initial small-scale goals, thereby going far to guarantee validly high
research trials). If an intervention is socially invalid, social validity when that dimension is eventually
it can hardly be effective, even if it changes its assessed. This technology, if pursued intensively
target behaviors thoroughly and with an otherwise enough, may become part of the pragmatic analysis
excellent cost-benefit ratio; social validity is not of social validity, especially because it finds common
sufficient for effectiveness but is necessary to effec- themes emerging from its inquiries about the goals
tiveness. of different sets of consumers in what seem to be
Unfortunately, social validity is sometimes as- quite different problem situations (cf. Seekins, Ma-
sessed at present in very rudimentary ways that thews, Fawcett, & Jones, in press); thus the analysis
may too often find social validity where it does not of its validity may be one of the best priority targets
actually operate. Perhaps the problem is that re- for future research.
searchers are in the context of hoping for social Perhaps the dearest measure of our discipline's
validity, which is subtly different from and much effectiveness is the increasing number of ineffective
more dangerous than the context of searching for applications that we have tried in recent years. By
any sources of social invalidity. In that the discipline good judgment or good luck, we began with dra-
is now moving into large-scale dissemination, valid matic, troublesome, yet nevertheless crucially de-
social-validity assessments will soon become crucial limited cases, and our effectiveness with them
to survival; yet this aspect of our measurement strongly reinforced our disciplinary behaviors. Had
technique has seen very little inquiry and devel- it been otherwise, we might not be the recognized
opment. applied discipline that we are today. But having
Perhaps a review 20 years from now will report done that, we are of course moving on to a different
a great deal of progress in that dimension of effec- class of problems, partly because those problems
tiveness. If so, the problem will not have proved are there, partly because they are exceptionally im-
to be simple. For example, some measures of social portant, and partly because we are still a research-
validity are deliberately and pragmatically biased based applied discipline, and because research ought
toward positive results, not to deceive their users not to be too repetitive, then, to the extent that
but to prevent alarm in their consumers (e.g., gov- we have done (or at least sampled) everything else,
erning boards) while at the same time alerting their these problems are what is left to do.
users (the researcher-appliers) to detect and remedy But the problems of today are not as delimited
the problems that must underlie scores that usually as those of our beginnings. They are called lifestyles
are 7 but now are 5 on a 7-point scale. Furthermore, in recognition of their systemic nature. The behavior
it is entirely possible that even quite invalid queries dasses called delinquency, substance abuse, safety,
into social validity are better than no queries at all: exercise, and diet, for example, represent complex
Giving consumers any opportunity to express com- classes of topographies serving complex functions
plaints and discontents that otherwise would go involving many agents of reinforcement/punish-
unnoticed may save at least some programs from ment and stimulus control, all of whom interact to
fatal backlashes, at least if the offended consumer constitute and maintain the system as such. Thus,
is moved enough by simply the existence of the entry at just one point of such systems is likely to
otherwise inadequate social-validity assessment form yield only limited, short-term behavior changes be-
to write in its margins or talk to the appliers. fore the inevitable countercontrol restores the prior
Perhaps equally significant is the recent devel- status of the system, with us either frozen out or
opment of assessment techniques that inquire about co-opted ineffectively within (see Wolf, Brauk-
consumers' goals before the program is designed mann, & Ramp, 1987). The first remedy is rec-
(Fawcett, Seekins, Whang, Muiu, & Suarez de Bal- ognition: The concept of systems analysis is now
cazar, 1982; Schriner & Fawcett, in press), so that an important component of our effectiveness, and
324 DONALD M. BAER et al.

research that will show us how to do that better modification that their association's journal ever
will prove exceptionally useful. The second remedy, prints, and who might not ask how a "fact" like
following whatever analysis the first currently al- that can be established through one failure to install
lows, is system-wide intervention: Thus, for ex- and maintain a program in a single institution).
ample, obese children are dealt with not as simple It is worth asking first if technological failure is
therapist-client interactions, but within their life the same as theoretical failure. Quite likely, tech-
systems-at least within their families (Brownell, nological failure is an expected and indeed impor-
Kelman, & Stunkard, 1983) and better yet, within tant event in the progress of any applied field, even
their families and their school systems (Brownell & those whose underlying theory is thoroughly valid.
Kaye, 1982). The third remedy may be the dis- Thus, the step from the physics laboratory to en-
crimination of those problems in which a single, gineering has been, and will continue to be, marked
short-duration intervention can be effective from by occasional jammed elevators, fallen bridges,
those invariably systemic problems in which chronic crashed airplanes, and exploded space shuttles. The
presence will be required to maintain the effective engineers know that; they abandon only their de-
intervention. Just as medicine recognizes that ap- signs, not their theories, with each such event. Pe-
pendicitis needs only one intervention but that di- troski (1985), for example, sums up their history
abetes needs life-long treatment and educates its as follows:
consumers to the inevitability of that and its costs, I believe that the concept of failure-me-
applied behavior analysis had better begin its val- chanical and structural failure in the context
idation and use of the same two categories. of this discusson-is central to understanding
Perhaps the most important remedy of all, how-
ever, will be to establish the proper context in which engineering, for engineering design has as its
first and foremost objective the obviation of
to respond to failures. The last 20 years have pro- failure. Thus the colossal disasters that do
duced an increasing rate of them; the next 20 almost occur are ultimately failures of design, but the
surely will see that rate continue and, very likely, lessons learned from those disasters can do
increase even more. That fact and that probability more to advance engineering knowledge than
have already been interpreted as an inadequacy of all the successful machines and structures in
behavior-analytic principles. For example, Reppucci the world. Indeed, failures appear to be in-
and Saunders (1974) responded to one of their evitable in the wake of prolonged success,
failures in a delinquency institution with a broadly which encourages lower margins of safety.
generalized principle: Failures in turn lead to greater safety margins
Finally, there is an issue the resolution of and, hence, new periods of success. To un-
which will have enormous consequences for derstand what engineering is and what en-
behavior modification as we know and apply gineers do is to understand how failures can
it today. The issue inheres in the fact [sic] happen and how they contribute more than
that the principles of behavior modification successes to advance technology. (p. xii)
are insufficient and often inappropriate for The same point is inherent in an understanding
understanding natural settings-their struc- of medical progress-every death is, in a sense, a
ture, goals, tradition, and intersecting link- failure in our current designs for health mainte-
ages. (p. 569) nance, just as every fallen bridge is a failure in our
Its publication in the American Psychologist of current designs for balancing load against strength.
course presented this new "fact" to potentially every Applied behavior analysis must deal with phe-
APA member (most of whom would not know nomena at least as complex as loaded bridges and
that it is the only kind of evaluation of behavior stressed physiologies, and perhaps, considering the
TWENTY YEARS LATER 325
domains of variables relevant to behavior, more The Teaching-Family model is another example
complex. Then it will proceed at first with as many, of a somewhat different and apparently durable
or more, flawed designs as those fields have; but design, one as old as this journal. It created 12
it will profit from those failures, as they have, and regional training centers to mediate 215 replications
it will require time and repetition to do so, as they of the original Achievement Place delinquency pro-
have. gram, and wrote not journal articles but plain-
How do we know that any given failure reflects English training manuals for their use. The origi-
bad design rather than inadequate principle? We nators of that program also met Liberman's design
never know that; but we can search for bad design prescription; they added to their research role those
immediately after every failure, and if we find it, of administering the component programs and
that will give us something to try in the next ap- fighting their political battles, and of securing con-
plication much more readily than will despair over sistent enough grant support for the necessary 10
our principles. For example, Reppucci and Saun- years of trial-and-failure-and-next-trial-and-success
ders played the role only of outside consultants in research necessary to understand and implement
their failure. Indeed, it is the principles of behavior the essential quality control, staff training, and other
analysis (as well as considerable experience) that support systems required for survival and dissem-
suggest little potential for changing the behavior ination. Indeed, even 20 years have not seen the
of overworked, underinterested staff and adminis- completion of that research and development pro-
trators with the few contingencies usually available gram, but its failures are now rare, despite greatly
to consultants (unless a severe crisis is ongoing). expanded opportunities (Wolf et al., 1987).
Liberman (1980), in response to a number of sim- The point is that failures teach; the Teaching-
ilar failures, has suggested not a new principle but Family model grew out of the Teaching-Failure
merely a stronger design-that some of us combine model. Surely our journals should begin to publish
research with administration: not only our field's successes but also those of its
We cannot count on administrators' need for failures done well enough to let us see the possibility
accountability and program evaluation to serve of better designs than theirs.
as "coattails" for our behavioral programs.
In summary, effectiveness for the future will
... If we want our work to live beyond a probably be built primarily on system-wide inter-
library bookshelf, we will have to jump into ventions and high-quality failures, as we continue
to bring theory to the point of designs that solve
the political mainstream and get our feet wet
as administrator-researchers. (pp. 370-371)
problems. But it should be current theory that is
built on, not some replacement of it-current the-
Ifwe survey those behavioral programs that have ory has worked far too well to be abandoned in
maintained themselves over impressive spans of the face of what are more parsimoniously seen as
time, we as often find the pattern Liberman rec- technological rather than theoretical failures. Clear-
ommends as we find impressive spans of time: ly, increasing our effectiveness will not be easy, and
Liberman himself at the Oxnard Mental Health it will not happen quickly. We should expect a
Center, McClannahan and Krantz at the Princeton long period of difficult, expensive, repetitive, and
Child Development Institute, Cataldo at the Johns sometimes ineffective research into these applica-
Hopkins' Kennedy Institute, and Christian at the tions, and we should enter that research with our
May Institute, for examples. These cases are not best social skills, because we shall require the co-
proofs of anything, nor intended to be; they are operation of unusually many people, often in un-
simply worth considering as designs that might usually exposed positions. However, even with rel-
attract a proof and might yield a profit for our atively little reaction-to-failure work behind us, it
discipline if they did. seems dear that we can do it.
326 DONALD M. BAER et al.

It seems clear that we can do what remains to Hineline, P. N. (1980). The language of behavior analysis:
be done. That we can is probably our most fun- Its community, its functions, and its limitations. Be-
haviorism, 8, 67-86.
damental, most important, and most enduring di- Johnston, J. M. (1979). On the relation between gener-
mension; that we will is simply logical. alization and generality. The Behavior Analyst, 2,
1-6.
Kazdin, A. E. (1977). Assessing the clinical or applied
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