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Jin-Yan Li, Zhi You, Qiong Wang, Zhi-Jian Zhou, Ye Qiu, Rui Luo, Xing-Yi Ge
PII: S1286-4579(20)30030-7
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.micinf.2020.02.002
Reference: MICINF 4690
Please cite this article as: J.-Y. Li, Z. You, Q. Wang, Z.-J. Zhou, Y. Qiu, R. Luo, X.-Y. Ge, The epidemic
of 2019-novel-coronavirus (2019-nCoV) pneumonia and insights for emerging infectious diseases in the
future, Microbes and Infection, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.micinf.2020.02.002.
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Jin-Yan Li1#, Zhi You1#, Qiong Wang1, Zhi-Jian Zhou1, Ye Qiu1, Rui Luo2, 3,, Xing-Yi
Ge1*
1
Abstract
At the end of December 2019, a novel coronavirus, 2019-nCoV, caused an outbreak of
pneumonia spreading from Wuhan, Hubei province, to the whole country of China,
which has posed great threats to public health and attracted enormous attention around
the world. To date, there are no clinically approved vaccines or antiviral drugs
available for these human coronavirus infections. Intensive research on the novel
emerging human infectious coronaviruses is urgently needed to elucidate their route
of transmission and pathogenic mechanisms, and to identify potential drug targets,
which would promote the development of effective preventive and therapeutic
countermeasures. Herein, we describe the epidemic and etiological characteristics of
2019-nCoV, discuss its essential biological features, including tropism and receptor
usage, summarize approaches for disease prevention and treatment, and speculate on
the transmission route of 2019-nCoV.
2
Introduction
On 31th December 2019, the first pneumonia case of unknown etiology was
reported in Wuhan City, Hubei Province, China. In order to identify the etiology, a
number of possible etiological agents were ruled out, including the Severe acute
respiratory syndrome coronavirus (SARS-CoV), the Middle-East respiratory
syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV), avian influenza virus, and other common
respiratory pathogens. Finally, a new coronavirus, temporally named 2019-nCoV, was
identified to be the pathogen responsible for disease, and it was announced by World
Health Organization (WHO) on 12th January [3]. As of January 11, 2020, 41
pneumonia cases were diagnosed, including seven severe cases and one death [2]. At
that time, there was no evidence of person-to-person transmission according to the
scientific literature. The first “super-spreading” event became a hallmark of the
epidemiology of the disease. On 20th January 2020, through epidemiological
3
investigations, two local infections in patients who were infected by 2019-nCoV
without physical visits to Wuhan were reported in Guangdong Province, which
confirmed the occurrence of human-to-human transmission [4]. Then, 14 medical
staff infected by 2019-nCoV from patients further confirmed the human-to-human
contagion [5]. On 21th January 2020, WHO announced that 2019-nCoV was possibly
sustained through human-to-human transmission, warning the public to take
self-protection measures [3]. The first of many cases, this disease was rapidly shown
to cause an outbreak [6]. Due to the highly transmissibility of the novel 2019-nCoV,
the Chinese government has taken quick action and various measures to deal with the
epidemic and try to prevent spread of the outbreak and treat patients. Researchers put
much effort to understand the origin and pathophysiology of this novel coronavirus,
and have been testing multiple drugs to screen effective therapy.
To deal with the 2019-nCoV epidemic, the central and local governments of
China took a series of drastic measures. First of all, Chinese health authorities
conducted an immediate investigation to characterize and control the disease,
4
including isolation of suspected patients, monitoring of contact clinical status of
patients, and developing diagnostic and treatment procedures [5]. In addition, on
January 23, 2020, the local government of Wuhan announced the suspension of public
transportation, closing airports, railway stations, and highways in the city, in order to
prevent further disease transmission [10]. Subsequently, most provinces in China
claimed a “Level I Emergency Response” by taking a series of measures such as
suspending public transportation and setting up community quarantines. Particularly,
the list of the first-level designated hospitals was announced, and epidemic prevention
training for primary medical staff was started. Since fever is one of typical clinical
symptoms of the infection, temperature detection of incoming and outgoing personnel
has been implemented comprehensively in railway stations, passenger stations and
other public places, in order to screen suspected cases as early as possible. In addition,
many other compulsory measures limiting population mobility, such as cancellation
of mass gatherings, school closures, work-from-home arrangements, was taken to
reduce within-population contact rates.
The 2019-nCoV epidemic continues. During the past month, huge progress has
been made in pathogen monitoring, identifying sources, basic etiology, clinical
treatment, drug testing, and vaccine development. With the efforts of China and the
helps of other countries in the world, we hope that the epidemic will subside soon.
Future research on viral replication, pathogenesis, antiviral drugs and other aspects of
2019-nCoV will contribute to the treatment and prevention of the virus. However,
given the emergence of 2019-nCoV pneumonia as a new infectious disease with
interspecies transmission from animals, we should reflect on the origin of the human
pathogen and learn from our experience. With changes of ecology and human
activities, including unlimited invasion of natural habitats of animals, consumption of
some of these animals, and modern agricultural practices, the spillover of viruses from
natural hosts to humans continues to appear and may even be escalating. Although we
have built an unparalleled human civilization and a highly developed information
society, invisible viruses can still have devastating effects on human beings. The high
lethality viruses such as SARS-CoV, MERS-CoV, H5N1, H7N9, Ebola and emerging
2019-nCoV should serve as an alarm to the world. We should strive to reduce the
probability of their occurrence and harm. Strengthening the investigation of animal
etiology, normalizing the storage of high risk pathogens, reducing direct contact with
wildlife, maintaining the barriers between natural reservoirs and human society and
11
completely eradicating wildlife trading will help to achieve these goals.
Acknowledgements
This work was jointly funded by the National Key Research and Development
Program of China (grant number 2017YFD0500104), National Natural Science
Foundation of China (31470260), and the Science Fund for Distinguished Young
Scholars of Hunan Province (grant number 2019JJ20004).
Conflict of interest
The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.
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14
Table 1. Key events of 2019-nCoV
A total of 44 patients (11 are severely ill, while the remaining 33 patients
3 January 2020 are in stable condition.) with pneumonia of unknown etiology have been
The virus was tentatively named by WHO as the 2019 novel coronavirus
12 January 2020
(2019-nCoV).
The first imported case of 2019-nCoV was found in Thailand. This is the
13 January 2020 first infected person diagnosed outside China. The patient is a 61-year-old
The first case reported in Japan. This is the second confirmed case of
16 January 2020 2019-nCoV that has been detected outside of China. The person travelled to
Wuhan, China.
15
The first case reported in Korea. The patient was a Chinese woman who
Shenzhen, China.
2019-nCoV, respectively.
24 January 2020 Zhejiang and Shanghai's first patients diagnosed with 2019-nCoV recover.
5 February 2020 2019-nCoV confirmed in China, including 492 deaths, 3219 serious, and
901 cured. 175 cases of infection were confirmed in 24 other cities around
the world.
16
17
Table 2. The amino acid sequence identities of ACE2 among different species
Pairwise identities (%) of the amino acid sequences of ACE2
African
Species Bat (R. Malayan Bos Erinaceus Cavia Phascolarctos Sarcophilus Tiger Parus Gallus
green Civet Swine Mouse Cat Camel Goat
sinicus) pangolin mutus europaeus porcellus cinereus harrisii Snake major gallus
monkey
Human 93.93 83.48 80.75 81.37 84.84 82.11 85.22 83.23 81.61 81.24 79.01 77.29 71.17 70.51 59.73 67.08 65.31
African green
81.78 79.93 79.93 83.77 81.78 83.15 81.91 81.41 80.92 77.94 76.85 70.38 69.84 59.21 65.6 64.13
monkey
Civet 81.78 81.49 82.73 85.59 81.61 93.29 83.85 81.86 81.74 79.75 75.55 71.66 71.63 59.6 67.44 66.3
Bat (R. sinicus) 79.93 81.49 80 82.86 78.26 83.73 81.37 80.37 80 78.51 74.56 69.68 70.02 58.61 65.11 65.19
Swine 79.93 82.73 80 82.61 80.62 83.98 89.81 87.7 87.58 77.64 75.3 71.17 71.01 61.09 66.95 65.56
Malayan
83.77 85.59 82.86 82.61 82.73 87.33 84.72 82.11 81.86 80.87 77.17 71.66 70.89 59.6 67.44 65.07
pangolin
Mouse 81.78 81.61 78.26 80.62 82.73 81.74 80.99 80.12 80.37 78.63 78.16 71.05 71.13 61.21 67.2 66.17
Cat 83.15 93.29 83.73 83.98 87.33 81.74 85.71 83.23 83.11 81.49 76.42 72.65 72.25 59.6 67.81 66.79
Camel 81.91 83.85 81.37 89.81 84.72 80.99 85.71 88.2 88.57 79.25 77.29 71.79 72.12 61.34 67.2 66.42
Goat 81.41 81.86 80.37 87.7 82.11 80.12 83.23 88.2 97.76 78.14 76.54 72.04 71.38 60.84 66.09 65.44
Bos mutus 80.92 81.74 80 87.58 81.86 80.37 83.11 88.57 97.76 78.39 77.04 71.42 71.01 61.09 66.09 65.31
Erinaceus
77.94 79.75 78.51 77.64 80.87 78.63 81.49 79.25 78.14 78.39 74.56 70.67 69.65 60.59 68.8 66.42
europaeus
Cavia porcellus 76.85 75.55 74.56 75.3 77.17 78.16 76.42 77.29 76.54 77.04 74.56 66.61 66.82 59.38 63.9 63.12
Phascolarctos
70.38 71.66 69.68 71.17 71.66 71.05 72.65 71.79 72.04 71.42 70.67 66.61 81.92 60.7 67.08 64.83
cinereus
Sarcophilus
69.84 71.63 70.02 71.01 70.89 71.13 72.25 72.12 71.38 71.01 69.65 66.82 81.92 60.9 64.62 63.84
harrisii
Tiger Snake 59.21 59.6 58.61 61.09 59.6 61.21 59.6 61.34 60.84 61.09 60.59 59.38 60.7 60.9 64.5 63.71
Parus major 65.6 67.44 65.11 66.95 67.44 67.2 67.81 67.2 66.09 66.09 68.8 63.9 67.08 64.62 64.5 82.2
Gallus gallus 64.13 66.3 65.19 65.56 65.07 66.17 66.79 66.42 65.44 65.31 66.42 63.12 64.83 63.84 63.71 82.2
18
Accession numbers: human (NP_068576.1), monkey (AY996037.1), civet (AAX63775.1), bat (R.sinicus) (AGZ48803.1), swine (NP_001116542.1), Malayan
pangolin(XP_017505752.1), mouse (NP_001123985.1), cat (NP_001034545.1), camel (XP_010991717.1), Goat (NP_001277036.1), Bos mutus (XP_005903173.1),
Erinaceus europaeus (XP_007538670.1), Phascolarctos cinereus (XP_020863153.1), Sarcophilus harrisii (XP_031814825.1), Tiger Snake (XP_026530754.1),
19
Figure legends:
Figure 1. The evolutionary position of 2019-nCoV. The phylogenetic tree was
constructed based on the complete genomic sequences of 2019-nCoV and related
CoVs by using the neighbor-joining (NJ) method with 1000 bootstrap. The novel
2019-nCoV detected strains were indicated in bold with solid squares. Abbreviations
are as follows: SARSr coronavirus, SARS-related coronavirus. The accession
numbers of CoVs were showed in the figure. Bootstrap values above 50 were shown.
Figure 2. Phylogenetic analysis of ACE2 from humans and 18 other animals. The tree
was constructed based on the complete amino acid sequences of ACE2s derived from
humans and other animals by using the neighbor-joining (NJ) method with 1000
bootstrap. The accession numbers were as the same as Table 2. Bootstrap values
above 50 were shown.
20
100 KF367457.1 Bat SARSr coronavirus WIV1
100 KC881006.1 Bat SARSr coronavirus Rs3367
100
KC881005.1 Bat SARSr coronavirus RsSHC014
91
KY417151.1 Bat SARSr coronavirus isolate Rs7327
100 KT444582.1 Bat SARSr coronavirus WIV16
AY304486.1 Civet-SARS coronavirus SZ3
71 AY390556.1 Human-SARS coronavirus GZ02
100
75 AY278488.2 Human-SARS coronavirus BJ01
100 100 AY274119.3 Human-SARS coronavirus Tor2
FJ588686.1 Bat SARSr coronavirus Rs672/2006
100
DQ071615.1 Bat SARSr coronavirus Rp3
DQ412042.1 Bat SARSr coronavirus Rf1
100
97 DQ022305.2 Bat SARSr coronavirus HKU3-1
MG772933.1 Bat SARSr coronavirus CoVZC45
MN996532.1 Bat coronavirus RaTG13
100
MN996527.1 2019-nCoV WIV02
100 MN938384.1 2019-nCoV_HKU-SZ-002a_2020
100 MN908947.3 2019-nCoV Wuhan-Hu-1
MT007544.1 2019-nCoV Australia/VIC01/2020
GU190215.1 Bat coronavirus BM48-31/BGR/2008
EF065513.1 Bat coronavirus HKU9-1
0.1
53 Swine ACE2
100 Camel ACE2
Goat ACE2
100 Bos mutus ACE2
Bat ACE2 (R.Sinicus)
Manis javanica ACE2
63
Civet ACE2
100 Cat ACE2
85 Human ACE2
100 Monkey ACE2
100
Mouse ACE2
68 Cavia porcellus ACE2
100
Erinaceus europaeus ACE2
Phascolarctos cinereus ACE2
100 Sarcophilus harrisii ACE2
Tiger snake ACE2
Parus major ACE2
100 Gallus gallus ACE2
0.10