Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
______________________________________________________________________
Kathryn Nwajiaku-Dahou
December 2010
Sub-Saharan Africa
Program
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Contents
INTRODUCTION ................................................................................... 2
1
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Introduction
Dr Kathryn Nwajiaku-Dahou is an ESRC Research Fellow in Politics, at the
University of Oxford (Nuffield College and Department of Politics and International
Relations).
1
Judy Burdin Asuni, ‗Blood Oil in the Niger Delta‘, Special Report, 2009 United States
Institute of Peace, p. 1
2
The term ‗militant‘ is much contested in the Niger Delta. Although it has entered into
common parlance and become the catch all term to describe armed fighters in the
Niger Delta, ascribing to them some sort of diffuse ‗illegitimate‘ political intent, often
used interchangeably with ‗warlord‘ or ‗kingpin‘, it is not value neutral and contains
within it negative connotations which rhyme all too easily with the word ‗irritant‘.
Aware of the political importance of these semantic battles in winning hearts and
minds of a wider public, so-called militants have tended to describe themselves as
‗freedom fighters‘, ‗patriots‘ or simply armed combatants, and in so doing seek to
highlight the importance of their ‗legitimate‘ political aspirations. In this paper we use
the word ‗militant‘ not always in inverted commas, as it has become the ‗official‘ term,
whilst not subscribing to the underlying assumptions inherent within this choice of
terminology.
2
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of Shell and Chevron. The attack left up to 1,000 people dead, most
of them ordinary civilians and many more injured or rendered
refugees. The offer of an Amnesty or ‘Presidential Pardon’ for
‘repentant militants’ was officially made on 25 June 2009. For a 60
day period between 6 August – 4 October 2009, ‘militants’ who
surrendered their arms, ‘renounced militancy’ and registered with the
government were to be eligible for inclusion in an ‘Amnesty program’
for rehabilitation and reintegration which included monthly allowances
and training. Initially reluctant, one by one key militant leaders from
and affiliated to MEND, signed up for the deal. Yar’Adua’s amnesty
offer was a way of buying out militants and making it pay NOT to
attack the oil industry rather than vice versa. The Federal government
essentially took over responsibility for paying ‘the salaries’ of ex-
militants and affording their leaders the opportunity to do ‘legitimate
business’ by awarding them state contracts and substantial bonuses,
and thereby incorporating them into the apparatus of state. With
elections around the corner, for all the hopes it raised, the amnesty
was essentially a short term strategy for taking militants out of the
creeks and minimizing the potential damage they could cause around
election time.
The Amnesty spearheaded a significant lull in hostilities, a
noticeable decline in attacks on the oil industry and substantial
increases in oil generated income for the Nigerian treasury. Yet for of
the first year after militants had surrendered (some of) their arms and
declared an indefinite cease-fire (September 2009), little progress
was made on the amnesty rehabilitation and reintegration front. The
long term illness of the principle architect of the Amnesty, President
Yar’Adua, who had become critically ill by November 2009 and was
absent from the country for some three months, but had also
‘saddled’ himself with overall responsibility for the program’s imple-
mentation, meant that little movement (of funds) was possible without
him. In February 2010, Vice President Goodluck Jonathan, the former
Governor of the mainly Ijaw3 oil producing Bayelsa state, replaced
Yar’Adua first as Acting Head of State, and in May, upon the latter’s
death, as President of Nigeria. This was the first time a ‘minority’ from
the Niger Delta, and an Ijaw at that, had occupied the post.
The article examines what has happened to militants and
militancy in Nigeria’s oil producing Niger Delta since the introduction
of the Amnesty and in particular in what ways the arrival of Goodluck
3
The Ijaw, are the largest ethnic group in the Niger Delta and one of the largest
‗minorities‘ in Nigeria as a whole. The Ijaw also constitute the main although not
exclusive support base of MEND and many other armed groups. Ijaw nationalists
speak of an estimated population of between 8 and 12 million Ijaw altogether,
indigenous to 6 coastal states from the west to east of Nigeria. They constitute the
majority population of Bayelsa state, created in 1996. A major political cleavage in
Nigeria, since decolonisation and independence in 1960 has been between majority
‗ethnic groups‘, the composite Hausa-Fulani, the Yoruba and the Igbo, and
‗minorities‘ like the Ijaw of which there are some 300 throughout the country and 40
plus across the Niger Delta states.
3
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4
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4
―Report of Technical Committee on the Niger Delta‖, vol. 1, November 2008, p. 9.
5
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6
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those who refused to sign up to it, the Amnesty appeared to give the
JTF a new license to clamp down on would be militants in the creeks,
who were thereafter labeled criminals. Rtd Major Godwin Abbe, the
former Minister of Defense, who initially headed the Amnesty ini-
tiative, was explicit about the JTF’s role in the post Amnesty era; to
keep ‘criminal elements out of the communities to ensure that only
the genuine inhabitants return and that the people are protected from
the activities of criminal opportunists who may want to take advan-
tage of the situation’5. Paradoxically by lumping all those willing sim-
ply register as state beneficiaries of the amnesty into one basket,
rather than separating the ‘wheat from the chaff, the Amnesty in effect
did quite the opposite. The presumption that it was indeed possible to
separate out ‘genuine inhabitants’ or ‘militants’ from ‘criminals’
underestimated the way in which the ‘struggle’ continued to have
deep popular roots, even if so called ‘criminal elements’ had grafted
themselves on to militancy in the context of the war economy. Wole
Soyinka, the Nobel laureate6, with a long history of active political
support to militant organizations in the Niger Delta, spoke of the disin-
genuous nature of the ‘amnesty deal’ which deliberately threw toge-
ther ‘principled MEND fighters and their affiliates’ with more ‘criminal’
elements who had little to do with ‘the struggle’ in order to avoid dea-
ling with the serious political issues of injustice that it raised7. Soyinka
subsequently became a member of the MEND appointed negotiating
body, the Aaron Team, which, particularly after Timi Alaibe’s official
appointment as Special Advisor to the President on Niger Delta
matters in September 2009, came to play a critical role in securing
the acceptance of different MEND factions of the amnesty offer.
This was indeed an uphill task, as MEND or those who
professed loyalty to MEND; and who were the main targets of the
amnesty offer, initially greeted it with some hostility. 'Operation
Moses', launched on 12 July 2009, saw the detonating of a bomb in
Lagos (Atlas Cove), the first time militants had struck outside the
Niger Delta, killing five people. Yet despite this spectacular and
deliberate show of strength, the attack was quickly followed up by the
announcement of a 60-day cease-fire (which in September 2009 was
replaced by an indefinite ceasefire), after it became clear that Henry
Okah, a key MEND leader, would be released from prison. The
amnesty offer was not extended to many other imprisoned ‘militants’
5
Major Gen. Godwin Abbe (rtd) Chairman of the Presidential Panel on Disarmament
and grant of amnesty to militants in the Niger Delta (Reprinted press statement in
Sahara Reporters – posted July 1 2009
6
See http://www.theaaronteam.org/home.html. The Aaron team, set
up in 2009 by MEND, and led by Vice Rtd Admiral Mike Okhai Akhigbe, one time
Vice President of Nigeria, and staffed by individuals nominated to negotiate with the
Federal government on behalf of MEND after the announcement of the Amnesty
offer. It met for the first time with the late President Umaru Musa Yar‘Adua on 14
November 2009.
7
See Mudiaga Affe and Friday Okolor Punch, ‗Niger Delta Amnesty Won‘t Work‘,
Punch, Friday 24 July 2009
7
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8
The problem was highlighted by the Eight Man Panel set up in Bayelsa state,
January 2010, chaired by Ijaw Council of Human Rights founder, Patterson Ogon
9
Death by shooting in Port Harcourt of Soboma George, on 24 August 2010,
provoking fears of reprisals. Soboma George long time enemy of Rivers state funded
‗militant‘ Ateke Tom, both with tenuous links to MEND style ‗principled‘ struggle, but
still commanding significant followings.
8
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1010
Joint Revolutionary Council Communiqué by Cynthia Whyte, January 2010
11
In 2009 Boyloaf accused Henry Okah of still owing him money which should have
been paid to him for weapons sold to prior to his arrest, Africa Confidential, Vol. 50,
No.17, 28 August 2009, ‗Theater Peace and Votes in the Delta‘
12
The Nation, 5 October 2010, ‗Alaibe: Government embraced Okah‘
13
Whilst MEND via its virtual (email account) ‗spokesperson‘ Jomo Gbomo claimed
responsibility for the attacks, it is uncertain wheth Henry Okah himself is the author of
the statements. His brother Charles Okah, was also arrested on 15 October in Lagos,
on suspicion of involvement. See also Henry Okah interview from South African
prison to Al Jazeera, in which he claims that Federal Government attempted to
pressure him to get retraction of MEND statement claiming responsibility for October
1 bombings .
http://english.aljazeera.net/news/africa/2010/10/2010105
115843516850.html, ‗Ex Mend leader implicates Nigeria‘, 5 October 2010
9
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The package
14
ThisDay, 2 October 2010, ‗Alaibe fingers Okah in Abuja Bombings‘
15
‗Nigerian President vows to tighten anti terrorist laws‘, 17 October 2010,AFP,
StarAfrica.com
16
The official website actually outlines a 6 year time line for rehabilitation and
reintegration -
http://nigerdeltaamnesty.org/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=54&Ite
mid=55
10
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17
Akinimo Sampson ‗Kidnapping Persists as Amnesty budget raises‘, March 05
2010, AllVoices, http://www.allvoices.com/contributed-
news/5347943-niger-delta-kidnapping-persists-as-amnesty-
budget-raises).
18
Africa Confidential, Vol. 50, n°17, 28 August 2009, ‗Theater Peace and Votes in
the Delta‘
19
‗Analysis: Nigeria‘s Delta Amnesty at Risk of Unraveling‘, 23 April 2010, IRIN,
http://www.irinnews.org See also ‗Amnesty: FG to destroy recovered
weapons‘ in Vanguard, online edition, 11 October 2009 Lists 2,760 guns of different
caliber and types, 287,445 rounds of ammunition, 18 gun boats, 763 explosives and
1,090 dynamite caps‘.
11
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No demilitarization in sight
20
After the 2004 Federally sponsored Arms for Cash program, any of the militia and
cult members amassed huge fortunes from the ―arms trade‖. This enabled them to
purchase less sophisticated weapons and submit them in exchange for N250,000
cash / US$1,800. The profits made from the lucrative trade were often the subject of
militia leader boasts. Asari apparently bought two rocket launchers from ―a friend‖
and submitted them to government for a cash reward of about N3.5m. He paid a
fraction of the money to his source, and kept the rest. See Niger Delta Project for
Environment, Human Rights and Development, A Harvest of Guns, August 2004
Report No. 1 and Guns Everywhere; No One is Safe, October 2004, Report No. 2
21
Julius Osahon, ‗Ex Militants Riot in Warri‘, Next, 2 August 2010
22
See Commentary on recent CLO report, Sunday Odibash ‗Post Amnesty Era: JTF
Renewed hostilities in the Niger Delta‘, National Daily Newspaper, 2 September =
2010
12
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Amnesty institutions
23
See Sola Adebayo, ‗Militants Threaten to Drag FG‘s Amnesty Committee to
EFCC‘, Sunday Punch, 3 January 2010
13
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24
Next, 27 August 2010, Bassey Udo and Festus Owete Bassey Udo and Festus
Owete ‗Stalemate on Niger Delta Development‘,
25
Africa Confidential, 24 July 2009, Vol. 50. n°15, ‗Amnesty not Honesty‘, Africa
Confidential, 6 November, 2009, Vol. 50, n°22, ‗Abuja Buys a Delta Amnesty‘,
14
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Principal Results
Ceasefire Holds
For all its flaws, the amnesty succeeded in establishing a ceasefire
which has held more or less since July 2009. Subsequently attacks
on the oil industry, losses from oil bunkering and the kidnapping of
expatriate oil company personnel have declined, whilst oil production
is climbing back up to 2006 output levels (2.2 million bpd (August
2010)26).
Protests Proliferate
The long term illness and subsequent death of the main architect of
the amnesty program meant that almost a year after it was signed,
little real progress was made on the reintegration and rehabilitation
front. ‘Ex-militants’ complained bitterly for almost a year that promised
allowances and training were either not forthcoming or ill suited to
their needs and in January 2010 threatened to break the ceasefire.
In January 2010, an ‘eight man panel’27 headed respected
Ijaw civil society actors and public personalities, and initially set up by
ex-militants and members of the sub committees of the Presidential
Panels on amnesty launched a scathing critique of the amnesty
program draft plan. They noted that significantly proportionally higher
amounts of the funds were to be spent on consultants fees for training
and reorientation than on would be ex-militants notably between (80-
90 per cent), that psychological counseling was inappropriate, that
those who had borne the consequences of armed conflict, notably
mothers and children who had lost fathers and sons and homes and
been displaced by the conflict had been left out of the amnesty
package. This group also criticized the training institutions envisaged
deemed to be inadequate or non existent, as was the content of the
training envisaged itself which they claimed was ill suited to the
ambitions of Niger Deltans, who aspired to becoming more than
‘cobblers’ or ‘petty traders’, but to be equipped to compete for
professional careers in the oil and gas industry.28
Real or perceived disparities between amounts paid to ex
militant commanders and those paid to ordinary fighters, fueled
conflicts within former militant groups and generated incentives for
taking up arms against those deemed to have benefited at their
expense. Just as in the past (2004), this manifestation of discontent is
likely to be used as leverage with which to jockey for better or more
26
‗Crude oil production rose by 1.5 per cent in 2009‘,
27
See footnote 8 above.
28
‗Niger Delta Militants: Why we accepted Yar‘Adua Amnesty‘ 25 January 2010,
Pointblanknews.com
15
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29
See ‗Political Spills‘, Africa Confidential, Vol. 51, n°16, 6 August 2010, on recent
violence in Warri, August 2010 sparked off by violent protests by ex militant who
complained about their exclusion from rehabilition program.
30
Africa Times, 13 May 2010
16
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Rehabilitation Begins
Yar’Adua’s replacement by Goodluck Jonathan in February 2010, did
begin to speed things up. Timi Alaibe’s appointment as Chairman of
the Amnesty Committee, saw the launch of the awaited rehabilitation
training center in Obubra, Cross River State and greater investment
in web based communication about the program31. In June 2010
onwards the training center was initially committed to receiving
batches of 2000 ex militants every two weeks for non-violent conflict
resolution training and careers advice. The figure was later revised
down to 678 by the time third batch arrived in August, for reasons of
manageability. The NGO Foundation for Ethnic Harmony in Nigeria,
in partnership with US University of Rhodes Island Center for
Nonviolence and Peace Studies which promotes the philosophies of
Martin Luther King, which has been running non violent conflict
resolution training in Bayelsa State since 2005, is the main service
provider / facilitator awards train ‘ex militants’ diplomas certified by a
US academic institution. In response to widespread criticism that
skills training and careers advice is ill suited the aspirations of the
‘former combatants’ and that the ‘reintegration and rehabilitation
aspects of the program have not been forthcoming, the Minister for
the Niger Delta Godsay Orubebe, in July 2010 announced the
registration of 13,000 ex militants for higher education courses32. This
was followed up in August by Alaibe’s announcement that from 20
August, 1,140 ex-militants from the first batch of ‘rehabilitated
militants’ would be assigned to vocational training centers and formal
education institutions in Nigeria and abroad, on 150 different courses
with a focus on the business development skills.33 These announce-
ments were clearly made in response to protests that had begun to
proliferate again in July and August 2010 in Abuja, Warri and Ondo. It
is too early to tell whether the initiatives they envisage will actually
see the light of day.
Even prior to Alaibe’s appointment, attacks on the oil industry
had already seen a noticeable decline as had threats of a resumption
of hostilities34, the kidnapping of expatriate personnel and levels of oil
theft. Yet the kidnapping of ordinary and high profile Nigerians in the
Niger Delta and in the south east of Nigeria has become endemic.
Whilst the decline in attacks and expatriate kidnappings would
31
See Federal Government of Nigeria Amnesty Program website -
http://nigerdeltaamnesty.org/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=54&Ite
mid=55
32
ENowNow, 14 July 2010.
33
NBF Topics, 11 August 2010, ‗Post-amnesty: Vocational training for ex-militants
begins Aug. 20 — Alaibe‘ By Mike Odiegwu, Calabar
34
In January 2010, a threat was made by MEND loyalists to resume attacks on the
oil industry, but never amounted to much. They are likely to have been linked to
attempts by militants and Ijaw nationalist groups to bring pressure to bear on the
Federal government to implement and improve the amnesty program. Recently
however, Henry Okah, the militant leader dramatically released from prison as part of
the amnesty deal in July 2009, is however rumored to be secretly canvassing for a
resumption of hostilities.
17
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Defective Demobilization
35
Akanimo Samson, ‗Niger Delta Panel Faults Amnesty Plan‘, Next, January 22 2010
20
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Oil Bunkering
Current estimates suggest the much expanded, but not new industry
in stolen oil, is worth some 60 million USD / day36. This includes small
scale bunkering i.e. the illicit tapping of pipelines and wellheads for
local refinement and sale, larger scale bunkering for sale to
international partners, and the ‘legally lifted’ under invoiced oil that
understates the amounts of oil actually lifted by faking bills of laden.
Militant activity had provided an ‘enabling environment’ for this illicit
activity, which had long been a feature of Nigeria’s oil economy, to
thrive (though the scale of losses to the Nigerian treasury suggested
it had got out of control – whose control?). The amnesty package, in
targeting one layer of a highly intricate web, the ex-militants, has not
even begun to tackle what is effectively a hornet’s nest. Whilst the oil
theft trade has been reined in to some extent, it still continues. The
current chairman of the Amnesty panel, in May 2010, lamented
losses of 1 million barrels per day since May 2009, costing the
36
Judith Burdin Asuni, ‗Blood Oil in the Niger Delta‘, Special Report, 2009 United
States Institute of Peace
21
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37
Reuters, ‗Update 3 – Shell Nigeria declares Force Majeure on Bonny Oil‘, 7 May
2010
38
http://nigerdeltaamnesty.org/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=54&Ite
mid=55
22
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region, has once again thrown open the debate about who can
legitimately and effectively provide security for the oil and gas sector
in the Niger Delta.
The amnesty deal was intended to increasingly insulate oil
companies from over exposure to militant pressure. Yet by taking
militants out of the equation or at least ring fencing their leadership
(quite literally, as evidenced by the state provision of security to ex
militant leaders like Tompolo who currently relies on a Mobile Police
Force escort for 24 hour protection), it has tipped the balance firmly in
favour of the official enforcers of peace and security, the JTF, who no
longer have to compete with militants over security contracts and oil
bunkering.
The deployment of security matters to the JTF alone, which oil
companies finance and provide transport facilities for (JTF staff in
Escravos wear Chevron identity badges and JTF operatives accom-
pany oil company boats and worker detachments or on road cons-
truction projects) in a way that excludes ex militants (not all foot
soldiers are in receipt of contracts and lavish sums as commanders
are) could however eventually contribute to future instability. The
‘sabotage’ of oil infrastructure and ‘oil bunkering’ has for many years
been used to bring pressure to bear on oil companies to award
contracts to perpetrators or those designated by them. Squeezing
militants out in this way could increase the incidence of kidnapping
and other illicit activities, to compensate for losses in revenue from
stolen oil, in a context in which opportunities for alternative or similarly
lucrative employment are non-existent. This may explain why a large
proportion of amnesty funds, contract awards and other bonus are
believed to have been used to pay off militant leaders. It is worth
noting that one of the initially controversial Federal proposals put
forward after the amnesty was to oblige oil companies to officially
recruit local youth as ‘surveillance’ or security operatives. Although
rendering this long established practice explicit provoked a public
outcry, at least in the national press, it reflected an acknowledgement
of how important conflicts over the provision of oil company security
had become to conflicts within the Delta.
The amnesty initiative and the manner in which it was staffed from its
very inception was mired in political controversy. Competition bet-
ween Niger Delta political figures each vying to secure political hege-
mony locally has continued to threaten to derail the amnesty process
and prospects for peace more generally in the Niger Delta. Although
MEND’s roots lie more squarely in Delta state, the political weight of
Bayelsa politicians within the Federal administration particularly since
Goodluck Jonathan’s elevation to the post of Vice President in 2007,
his subsequent appointment as President, and the appointment of
23
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39
Africa Confidential, Vol. 50., n°17, 28 August 2009, ‗Theater Peace and Votes in
the Delta‘. Jonathan took over as Governor in 2005 following the impeachment and
imprisonment of former highly popular governor of Bayelsa, Diepreye
Alamieyeseigha, which gave birth to MEND. Launched in January 2006, MEND gave
oil companies an ultimatum to quit the Niger Delta, pending the release of the former
governor, amongst other demands.
40
Interview with equally not very impartial Barrister Onyema, FEHN, who suspects
Sylva‘s involvement in Obubra protests against Alaibe
41
See Stakeholder Democracy Network News June, July, August 2010
24
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42
http://www.fehnnigeria.org/Achievement.html#Transformation
25
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Concluding Remarks
43
Daily Champion, 7 October 2010, ‗We Rejected IBB Lobby to Bomb Abuja -Ex-
Militants‘
26
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27
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28
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44
See Henry Omoru ‗IBB Jonathan‘s Camp in Fire Exchange‘, Vanguard,
Wednesday 15 September 2010 on the recent spat between Media Mogul, Raymond
Dokpesi, from Edo state, former South South People‘s Assembly Chair, who has
decided to run Ibrahim Babangida‘s campaign, and is defending the right of the North
to have ‗their turn‘. His family has received threats of kidnapping as a result and the
South South Elders Forum has been highly critical of his stance. Dokpesi was
arrested or ‗taken in for questioning‘ following the October 1 bombings in Abuja, as
part of a Jonathan led campaign to allege Babangida‘s politically motivated
involvement in the attacks
29
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