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Group - 4

International
Finance
Presentation
Foreign-Exchange Risk
Management of Exposure Risk

FOREX-Management of exposure risks


Authors of Presentation

4
Vipin Das
Sreejith
Saranya S R
Renjil Mathew
Rinto Mathew
Likhitha
Jishnu
Lijo Stalin FOREX Risk Management
Manu C Pillali

FOREX-Management of exposure risks


Foreign-Exchange Risk

• The risk of an investment's value changing due to


changes in currency exchange rates.
 
• The risk that an investor will have to close out a
long or short position in a foreign currency at a
loss due to an adverse movement in exchange
rates. Also known as "currency risk" or
"exchange-rate risk".

FOREX-Management of exposure risks


• This risk usually affects businesses that export
and/or import
•  But also affect investors making international
investments
• Financial risk management is the practice of
creating economic value in a firm by
using financial instruments to manage
exposure to risk

FOREX-Management of exposure risks


Foreign Exchange Exposure

• Foreign Exchange Exposure is a measure of


the potential change in a firm's profitability,
• net cash flow and /or market value of net
assets due to a change in exchange rates.  

“When a US company sells to a foreign buyer and accepts the


buyers currency for payment, the US company bears the risk that
the foreign currency depreciates and that it will receive fewer
dollars once the foreign currency is converted back into the
dollar.”

FOREX-Management of exposure risks


TYPES OF RISK FROM FOREIGN
EXCHANGE EXPOSURE
3 • Transaction Risk
• Translation Risk
• Economic Risk

FOREX-Management of exposure risks


Transaction Risk

When a firm or individual has a receivable or a


payable in a foreign currency the foreign
exchange rate may change, causing an increase
in the liability of the home country's currency or
a decrease in receipts in the home country's
currency.

FOREX-Management of exposure risks


Transaction Risk

• The risk of changes in the expected value of a


contract between its signing and its execution
as a result of unexpected changes in foreign
exchange rates.
• Whoever makes a contract denominated in a
foreign currency bears transaction risk.
“Ocean Drilling has transaction risk if it borrows money
in French francs or Japanese yen, and Hintz-Kessels-
Kohl has transaction risk if it agrees to accept future
payments for its vehicles in U.S. dollars.”

FOREX-Management of exposure risks


Passive Transaction Risk Management

• Denominate all contracts in domestic


currency. This is a possible strategy for
companies with market power.
• Do nothing about transaction risk. This is a
possible strategy for companies with a large
number of small contracts in a large number
of currencies

FOREX-Management of exposure risks


Hedging

• Insuring against transaction risk to reduce or


eliminate the effects of unexpected changes in
exchange rates.
• You can hedge only at market rates. The effects
of expected changes in exchange rates are
incorporated in these market rates.
Hedging is insurance. The purpose of hedging is
to reduce or eliminate risks, not to make profits.

FOREX-Management of exposure risks


Hedging

The purpose of hedging is to manage a firm's


foreign exchange exposure by minimizing home
currency outflows (payables/liabilities) and
maximizing home currency inflows
(receivables/assets).

FOREX-Management of exposure risks


Natural Transaction Risk Hedging

• Centralize cash management to net all


offsetting transactions, transactions which are
long and short the same currency.
• Time, lead and lag, offsetting business
transactions in the same currency.
• Create offsetting business transactions in the
same currency.

FOREX-Management of exposure risks


Translation Risk

When a home country entity is required to


consolidate its foreign subsidiaries' income
statements and balance sheets into the home
currency. Exchange rates may change, causing
an increase in liabilities or a decrease in assets
as measured in home country currency terms.

FOREX-Management of exposure risks


Translation Risk

• Gains or losses from exchange rate changes that


occur as a result of converting financial statements
from one currency to another in order to
consolidate them.
• Every company having at least one subsidiary using
a different functional currency bears translation
risk.
“MSDI has translation risk from having a subsidiary,
MSDI Alcala de Henares, whose financial statements
are kept in Spanish pesetas and not in U.S. dollars.”

FOREX-Management of exposure risks


Hedging Translation Risk

• Translation risk is hedged in the same ways as


transaction risk.
• It appears as if investors are indifferent to
foreign currency translation gains and losses.

FOREX-Management of exposure risks


Market Translation Risk Hedging

• Forward Markets
• Futures Markets
• Money Markets

FOREX-Management of exposure risks


Forward and Futures Markets

1. Any currency, any amount, 1. Selected currencies, standard


any maturity contracts, standard maturities
2. Illiquid 2. Liquid
3. Government-regulated
3. Self-regulated OTC market
exchange-based market
4. Contract with dealer 4. Contract with exchange
5. Requires credit-worthiness 5. Requires margin account
6. Cash flow only at maturity 6. Marked to market daily
7. Settled by executing contract 7. Settled by offsetting trade
8. Hedge by buying forward the 8. Hedge by making a
short currency or selling transaction whose gains or
forward the long currency losses offset those of the
underlying position

FOREX-Management of exposure risks


Forward and Money Markets

• Money markets can always be used to synthesize


forward markets.
• Money market rates are used to set forward market
rates.
• Money market transactions are likely to be more
costly than forward market transactions, since three
transactions having their own bid-ask spreads are
required to duplicate one forward market transaction
with one bid-ask spread.
• Money market transactions appear on the balance
sheet; forward market transactions do not.
FOREX-Management of exposure risks
Economic Risk

The effect of exchange rate changes on the long


term expected income streams, i.e., expected
net wealth of home country stockholders. This
risk is usually managed with physical location of
assets and liabilities.

FOREX-Management of exposure risks


Economic Risk

• Changes in competitive position as a result of


permanent changes in exchange rates.
• Every company buying or selling abroad or
even just competing with foreign companies
has economic risk.
“Maybach has economic risk from manufacturing its
automobiles in Germany for export to the United
States, where it competes with Rolls Royces
manufactured in England.”

FOREX-Management of exposure risks


CONCLUSION

By incorporating foreign exchange risk


solutions into broader business strategy, we
can help protect your profitability by
managing your exposure to exchange rates –
whatever your risk appetite maybe.

FOREX-Management of exposure risks


THANK YOU

FOREX-Management of exposure risks

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