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a

95%
Major Confidence 0.05
Category Minor Category n # defects p Interval UCL

np= #DIV/0!
n(1-p) #DIV/0!
#DIV/0!

Proportion
95% Confidence Interval
12

10
Proportion of Failures

Category
LCL
Confidence 80% 90% 95% 99.0% 99.9%
a 0.2 0.1 0.05 0.01 0.001
za/2 1.282 1.645 1.96 2.576 3.291

This spreadsheet gives a simplifed calculation of Confidence Intervals


using the formula seen below
A more complete reference with other more complex formulae can be
found at:
http://www.itl.nist.gov/div898/handbook/prc/section2/prc241.htm

p ( 1− p )
p± z α
2
√ n

Note: zero defects will result in an upper confidence


interval using the following formula:
1
α
UpperConfidenceLimit =1− () 2
n
Defect: Title
a = 0.05 95% Confidence Interval
Total # avg Lower
# samples defects count Confidence
Major Category Minor Category n d c bar Limit

2
χ σ
1− , 2d T
2
LowerConfidenceLimit= 12
95% Confid
2n
2
χσ 10

Average Counts of Defects


,2 (d +1 )
2
UpperConfidenceLimit = 8
2n
6

0
95% Confidence Interval Probability Constants
Upper
Confidence
Limit 2n 1-a/2 2d a/2 2(d+1)

Title
95% Confidence Interval

Categories
a
a 0.05
a/2 0.02500
1 - a/2 0.97500

Enter data in the green squares only…


sample size # defects proportion Normal Approximatio
Major Category Minor Category n d p 95% CI
Control 80 0 0.0000000 0.0450640
Experimental 30 0 0.0000000 0.1157033

Exact Binomial Confidence Intervals


0.14000000

0.12000000

0.10000000
Propotiton Defective

0.08000000

0.06000000

0.04000000

0.02000000

0.00000000
Control Experimental
Normal Approximation Limits EXACT BINOMIAL LIMITS
UCL LCL UCL LCL
0.0450640 -0.0450640 0.04506404 0.00000000
0.1157033 -0.1157033 0.11570331 0.00000000
a Improvement Desired
a
a/2
0.05
0.02500
0.00%
Solve
1 - a/2 0.97500

Enter data in the green squares only


sample size # defects proportion
Major Category
n d p
Baseline 20,000 200 0.0100000
Defects = 0 420 0 0.0000000
Defects = 1 636 1 0.0015720
Defects = 2 825 2 0.0024228
Defects = 3 1,002 3 0.0029933
Defects = 4 1,171 4 0.0034153
Defects = 5 1,335 5 0.0037461
Defects = 6 1,494 6 0.0040156
Defects = 7 1,650 7 0.0042413
Defects = 8 1,804 8 0.0044343
Defects = 9 1,956 9 0.0046021
Defects = 10 2,105 10 0.0047499

Exact Binomial Confidence Intervals


0.01400000

0.01200000

0.01000000
Propotiton Defective

0.00800000

0.00600000

0.00400000

0.00200000

0.00000000
Baselin Defect Defect Defect Defect Defect Defect Defect Defect Defect Defect Defect
e s = 0 s = 1 s = 2 s = 3 s = 4 s = 5 s = 6 s = 7 s = 8 s = 9 s = 10
Normal Approximation Limits EXACT BINOMIAL LIMITS Workspace
95% CI UCL LCL UCL LCL Prob. Solve Target
0.0013790 0.0113790 0.0086210 0.01147697 0.00871379 N/A
0.0087344 0.0087344 -0.0087344 0.00871379 0.00006007 0.025000011988373
0.0030787 0.0046508 -0.0015067 0.00871379 0.00038039 0.024999997476853
0.0033537 0.0057765 -0.0009309 0.00871379 0.00074918 0.025000027586402
0.0033821 0.0063753 -0.0003888 0.00871379 0.00108737 0.025000017487531
0.0033412 0.0067565 0.0000741 0.00871379 0.00138639 0.025000015592815
0.0032774 0.0070235 0.0004687 0.00871379 0.00165019 0.025000036896489
0.0032066 0.0072222 0.0008090 0.00871379 0.00188430 0.025000030068426
0.0031353 0.0073766 0.0011060 0.00871379 0.00209366 0.025000045272021
0.0030660 0.0075003 0.0013684 0.00871379 0.00228231 0.025000036322488
0.0029997 0.0076019 0.0016024 0.00871379 0.00245350 0.025000041875664
0.0029370 0.0076869 0.0018130 0.00871379 0.00260983 0.025000055513027

ect Defect Defect Defect


7 s = 8 s = 9 s = 10
Workspace
Normal approx. sample size
N/A
339.687460431956
547.615859626191
733.866643462388
908.89626788445
1076.75495306885
1239.51989850346
1398.42505596348
1554.27441329346
1707.62642235748
1858.8876885586
2008.36516613241

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