Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
Finance 1: Notes
By Himal Pillay
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CONTENTS
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Objectives:
Main functions performed by the
financial system
Describe and evaluate debt and
equity finance
Describe the structure of
Australia’s financial institutions
and markets and their regulations
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Figure 1.2.3
Both people and companies/corporations can be surplus and deficit units simultaneously.
Figure 1.2.4
Intermediaries:
Intermediation is the flow of funds through institutions which are performed by hDIs (e.g.
banks) Intermediaries connect surplus and deficit units through contracts.
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Debt funds are usually provided on the basis of loan contracts (or other securities) that set
out the timing of the repayment by deficit units, the security being provided (if any) by
deficit units and the amount of interest to be paid.
Equity funds are provided on the basis that surplus units share in the earnings of the
business that are usually paid as dividends on a six-monthly basis. The risks are greater for
equity since payments to debt holders have priority over payments to equity holders, both
while the business is solvent and when assets are distributed in the event of bankruptcy.
Hence a business can expect to pay a lower interest rate for debt than the rate of return
expected by suppliers of equity.
1.2.6 Risk
1. Credit risk
Possibility that borrower will not meet scheduled payments default on loan
obligations.
2. Market risk
Possibility of unexpected movement in the market – interest rates, E/X rates
3. Operational risk
Failure of process or controls
4. Shocks
5. hvoidance (opportunity cost return foregone by passing up best choice)
6. hcceptance management
h lender can reduce credit risk by reuiring a mortgage over property (-ve gearing)
7. Transfer – Insurance
Payout to cover loss
8. Default risk – borrowers do not make loan repayments as agreed
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Figure 1.2.7
Security
a. Financial contract that can be traded in a financial market
a. Commodity – gold
b. Hard asset – property
c. Financial asset – shares
Transaction
a. hrrangement between a buyer and a seller to exchange an asset for payment
Settlement of transactions
1.2.9 Markets
� Primary Market
o Issues new securities
� Secondary Market
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1. hgency problems
a. hrise when an agent (acting on behalf of principal) acts in her own interests
rather than those of the principal(s).
2. Moral Hazard
a. hrises when a contract changes incentives so one party may not act
responsibly
i. E.g. insurance, bank loan approvals
3. Information asymmetry
a. Parties do not have equal access to information
i. E.g. Borrower knows more about capacity to repay and intended use
of the burrowed funds than the lender
ii. Can result in adverse selection when one party contracts on the wrong
basis
b. To reduce risk:
i. hpply credit standards
ii. Provide investors with relevant information
iii. Rely on Market forces
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by the hPRh.
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F=P+ I
F=P(1+ r × ( d
di )
)
Where:
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Key Ideas:
- Increases linearly
( (
F=1000 1+ 0.06 ×
60
365 )) ¿ $ 1009.86
- F future sum
- P principle value
Key Ideas:
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- ‘interest-on-interest’
2.3.1 CI example
( )
r effective =
F 1t
P
−1
where:
- F future value
- P principle value
- t time in years
Key Ideas:
- The compounding effect is greater the shorter the compound period (i.e. larger k)
2.4.1 EFR example
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2.5.1 Example
Say you wanted to borrow $700 for 5 years, but you didn’t want to pay back annual interest
payments until year 5, when the initial $700 is due.
What could you do?
- You could increase the value of the debt to include the interest payments, but only
receive $700 in return for the note:
Option 1 – Debt with periodic interest payments
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- hfter one year you pay $700 times 0.74 = $51.80 to buyer
- 5
hfter 5 years the lender receives 700 × ( 1.074 ) =1000
- There are no annual transfers of interest payments, but everyone gets the same in
the end!
t t
F = P(1+r) or P = F/(1+r)
5
P = 1000/(1.074) = 700
Note: Money market securities have terms less than 1 year and use simple interest
discounting.
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( )1000 15
700
−1=0.074=7.4 %
(1000
700 )
−1 =0.4286=42.86 % Annually :
0.4286
5
=0.0857=8.57 %
- If the security is sold before maturity, Psell would be used in the numerator
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2.8 Annuities
- h series of equal payments (R) made at equal time intervals e.g. monthly, half-yearly
P=R × PVAF
where:
- P present value
−k× t
- r interest rate pa
- t time in years
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F=R× FVAF
Where:
- F Future value
( )
tk
r
1+ −1
k
r
FVAF=
k
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2.9.1 CB examples
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the rate of 10% pa. How much is this bond worth today if the required yield (annual
nominal) is 11% pa?
TOGETHER:
- Suppose you just paid $100 for a bond paying 10% interest pa
- One minute later the interest rates change to 11% by the RBh
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- If you want to sell your bond, will you get your $100 back?
o Who would buy your bond getting 10%, when they could get 11%
o What would you have to do to be able to sell?
- Prices of fixed interest securities and their yields move in opposites directions
- You purchase a zero-coupon bond (money market security) with a face value of $500,
payable in 7 years with 5% interest. With 7 years still remaining, rates decrease to
3%.
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Where:
- A principle borrowed
2.10.1 RL example
2.11 Perpetuities
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- h transaction is settled when an item is exchanged for agreed value on agreed date
Clearing
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Figure 3.1.1
- Generally large-value
- Settles retail payment orders which uses deferred net settlement (DNS) (Process of
settling 9am the next business day)
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3.2.1.1 DNS e.g. from Financial institutions and markets 7th edition, Ben
Hunt, Chris Terry
Two banks hlpha and Beta. Suppose you bank with hlpha and a supermarket banks with
Beta and that today you paid your $70 supermarket bill with a retail payment order. The
settlement of the payment order requires hlpha to pay $70 to Beta to fund the $70 deposit
in the supermarket’s account. Suppose also that a depositor with beta pays her $60 gas bill
and the gas company banks with hlpha. This requires Beta to pass $60 to hlpha so that it can
fund the deposit in the gas. If settled separately, $130 in two payments would be required.
But under a DNS process, the $70 transfer from hlpha to Beta is offset by the $60 from Beta
to hlpha. Consequently only $10 would be paid tomorrow morning by hlpha to Beta ($70
offset by $60)
Cheque
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- h cheque is a dated, paper-based instruction to the drawer’s hDI to pay the stated
party the stated sum
Direct Entry
-Pre-authorised and verified orders that are processed electronically which is more
efficient than cheques
o hll organisations to:
Make payments ot large groups
These are direct credits
Such as employee remuneration, social security payments by
the RBh
Receive payments from large groups
Known as direct debits
Such as loan repayments to hDIs
Payment cards
- Debit card
o Issued by hDIs to depositors to enable them to access their funds
- Credit card
o Issued by credit card companies (VISh). The credit card companies pay for
purchases and then the owner repays the accumulated amount.
- Charge
cards
o Full amount is repaid each moth. No DNS, because the charge card company
gets instruction, not the merchant’s bank.
3.2.3 Clearing Systems
- Separate systems for cheques (hustralian paper clearing system), direct entry (bulk
electronic clearing system) and hTM/EFTPOS transactions (consumer electronic
clearing system)
- Common objectives:
o Simplify payments through the calculations of net amounts
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o Rapid processing
Quick debit of payer’s account
Credit payee when funds are cleared or transferred
Encourage interchange arrangements (e.g. facilities allow any hTM
and EFTPOS terminal to be used by all holders of debit and credit
cards that are issued by hDIs)
3.2.4 Retail Payment System trends
- Technology
o Electronic payments are much cheaper for hDIs to process
Particularly direct payments, debit cards, telephone and internet
banking
While electronic presentation has reduced the cost of cheques, their
processing remains much more expensive than electronic payments
- Fees: for payment services that more closely reflect the cost
o People pay lowest cost methods
o Fees for processing cheques are about double that of electronic payments
- Since 1998 the WPS has used real-time gross settlement (RTGS)
o Real-time (course of the day)
By transfer of exchange settlement (ES) funds
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- Requiring banks to hold far greater amouts in their ESh; sufficient to cover all their
payments and not to rely on funds before payment
- RBh
o Queuing arrangements
Help banks with their payment flow instructions are placed in a
queue and are tested for settlement and offsetting payments between
banks
o Intra-day repurchase agreements
Repos that provide banks with additional funds for part of the day
the RBh purchases government securities from an hDI on the basis
they will be repurchased at the same price later that day.
3.3.2 Managing ES funds
- Settlement risk
o Possibility that hDI is unable to meet its payment system obligations could
cause other hDIs to default.
- Contagion risk is the risk that the payment system collapses as a result of default by
hDIs in general
3.3.3 Liquidity Risk Management
- Each hDI needs to determine the amount of funds it needs in order to settle
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o Net retail insturctions at 9am the next day hDIs will ensure they have
sufficient funds at the close of business
o Wholesale instructions throughout the day
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ADIs
Role of Deposit taking institutions
Describe and analyse deposits
and other fund raising by ADIs
Describe and analyse lending and
the uses of funds by ADIs
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4.1 ADIs
hll hDIs are supervised by the hPRh (hustralian Prudential Regulation huthority.
Some forms hDIs include:
- Banks
- Building Societies
- Credit Unions
Registered financial corporations
The traditional role of hDIs is to accept deposits in order to fund loans. Which is a process
known as intermediation. Intermediation is defined in the book, Financial Institutions and
Markets as: ‘Contracting with surplus units to rais funds and contracting with deficit units to
supply funds.’
- The risk accepted by depositors from that faced by hDIs on their loans (risk-
management)
Major players:
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- These institutions generally have separate divisions for retail and wholesale
(corporate) customers
- Domestic deposits
- Equity
- Securitization
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- Interest
- Liquidity
- They are liquid. hll deposits ca be withdrawn by the depositor but this has been
accompanied by the introduction of fees
- These are transaction accounts where funds are used within a short period, and
replenished through a regular income flow.
- Funds placed in an account for an agree period on which a fixed amount of interest is
paid
o Terms are from 1 month to 5 years
o Can be viewed as a retail, capital-guaranteed investment
- Interest rates depend mainly upon the amount deposited, and to a lesser extent, the
term
4.2.4 Negotiable certificates of deposits (CD)
Large value, fixed term deposits
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- Take a form of promissory notes (hn unsecured short-term security that has a fixed
term with an agreed interest rate that can be traded in the money market) issued by
the hDI to the depositor
- Most terms are less than one year but some can extend to 5
4.2.5 Issueing
hDIs Issue:
- Debt issues, especially in overseas markets, serve to diversify the hDIs soruce pf
funds.
o Giving hDIs longer term fund access
o Foreign debt poses E/X rate risk which requires risk management
4.3.2 Securities
- Liquid assets such as ES funds, securities held under repos, and payments due from
other hDIs
- Repo: form of short term burrowing for dealers in government securities. The dealer
sells the government securities to investors, usually on the
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Flow of Funds
- Thus transforming the different preferences of surplus and deficit units in relation to
o Size (many small deposits into fewer, larger, loans)
o Maturity (short-term deposits into long-term loans)
o Risk (depositors face credit risk of the hDI rather than that of borrrowers)
- Indirect financing
o Deposits and loans – mostly conducted by hDIs
o Lending institutions provide indirect financing
- Direct Financing
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- Non hDI lenders (loan organisations e.g. Rams) raise funds through the issue of
securities
- Benefits of mortgage
o Reduces credit risk for the hDI
o Reduces losses in the case of default
o Helps lenders deal with information asymmetry
o Lowers the interest rate on loans
- EXhMPLE:
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- Most commonly as
o Term laons: laons, up to 10 years, on a fixed or floating rate basis
o Through the issue of short or longer term securities
o Revolving credit facilities: access to short-term funds, similar to an overdraft
o Standby facilities: where the corporation may need to borrow, conditional
upon agreed circumstances
4.4 Securitization
Securitization is the process of assigning the cash flows from illiquid assets to securities. I.e.
securities that are secured by mortgages over specified assets.
- Use these funds to purchase assets (loans) from the bank => reduces the assets on
the bank’s balance sheet
- Financial manager
o Receives and administer repayments by borrowers
o Make payments to investors in the securities
o Financial manager earns fees
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Mortgage originators are non-bank lenders who arrange loans that are funded through the
issue of securities.
- hDIs are inherently risky – they use borrowed funds to finance loans
- Bank management transforms an inherently risky business into a safe haven for
depositor’s funds
- hDIs that operate in hustralia are generally highly rated, suggesting they are
successful at transforming risk
- hll hustralian hDIs are within the investment grade range, of BBB – hhh
- Liquidity Risk is the possibility an hDI cannot meet its financial obligations as they fall
due, including depositors’ requests to withdraw funds
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- Funding Risk
o hDI cannot maintain sufficient funds to roll-over its liabilities
- Managed by:
o Diversifying sources of funds
o Holding securities
o Securitizing some assets
o Raising funds from the money market
o Issuing long-term securities
Credit Risk
- Main risk hDIs face, though levels of default prove very low b/c
o Economy strength
o Use of housing property as a security
o Prudent lending practices and careful management
Diversifying lending across sectors
Reducing exposures through securitization
Development of credit derivatives
- Monitor exposures
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- hDIs face risk on securities and foreign exchange they hold form adverse moves in
the market
Operating Risk
- Loss from inadequate or failed internal processes, people and systems or external
events.
o Rogue traders
o Poor strategic decisions
o Industrial action by employees
o Computer fraud or systems failures
o External shocks, such as terrorism or earthquakes
Summary of Risks
Type Problem Solution
Liquidity Can’t meet customers’ Hold liquid assets and
demands for withdrawals borrow from hDIs and RBh
Funding Can’t maintain sufficient securitization, diversifying
funds to cover its loans sources of funds and issuing
long-term securities
Credit Borrow defaulting Requiring loan security,
prudent lending practices,
securitization and CDs
Market Chance of loss arising from Hedging positions with
movements in market derivatives
variables
Interest-rate Borrows on a different Interest-rate derivatives
basis(i.e. fixed or floating) to
which it lends, or where the
timing of the changes in
rates does not match
Operating Loss resulting from
inadequate or failed internal
processes, people and
systems or external events
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Part V – Markets
Objectives:
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5.1 Functions
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- The issue of securities requires a substantial effort that is only economical for arge
amounts
5.1.3 Underwriting
- The main suppliers of underwriting (and secondary market dealer and broker
services) in hustralia are
o The big 4
o Macquarie Bank
o Leading international investment banks
o Certain money market corporations
- The aim of issuing securities is to raise funds for the issuer at an accpetabl eprice or
interest rate
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- The issuer generally engages the services of an investment bank to act as the
arranger, or manager
o For large issues there could be a lead manager an a number o fco-managers
o The manager’s tasks include
hdvising on the type of securities and its features
The location and timing of the issue
Whether there should be standby underwriting
Preparation of legal documents
Marketing to investors thorugh a ‘road show’
Registering the securities for trading
- The contract enetered between issuer and the investment bank can be:
- Bought deal
o Where the investment bank agrees to buy all the securities and then attempts
to sell them for a higher price
o The underwriter accepts the risk of not being able to sell all the new
securities – though this risk is reduced through ‘book-building’
o This has been the usual practice in the USh
- Open outcry
o Bidding is conducted in a trading room
o Historically, this was the mechanism for share trading
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- Tender
o h sealed-bid process where potential buyers are invited to submit bids (price
and quantity) and the issue manager chooses the most favourable
o Used for the issue of government securities
o Relatively inexpensive
- Public offer
o Securities are sold by announcing their price and seeking applications from
the public
o Relatively inexpensive
o However, having a fixed price can be problematic should new information
change the fair price of securities through the issue process
o In some cases, the price is not determined until the closing date of the issue
- Bookbuilding
o Now the principal method for conducting issues of shares
o hn investment bank
Establishes an initial price range
Gathers information from institutional investors and uses this
information to determine the offer price
hllocates shares to bidders at their discretion
o Hybrid offerings
Some combination of methods
- Ratings agencies publish informed opinions about the ability of debt issuers to meet
their repayment obligations.
o This information is relevant to investors in both the primary and secondary
markets
- Ratings
o hssist the flow-of-funds
o Contribute to the measurement of risk premiums
- Standard and Poor’s and Moody’s are the dominant international ratings agencies
- Publish informed assessments (using a standard scale) about the financial standing of
securities and institutions
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- Best S&P rating is hhh: borrower’s capacity to meet scheduled payments appears
extrememly strong
o Investment grade is BBB or higher
o Junk rating is BB or lower (D is in default)
- 3 main functions:
o Provide investors with liquidity – transforms the maturity of funds
o Identify the price of securities. This is known as price discovery
o Identify investors who are interested in securities – who could be approached
to supply funds in the primary market
- Companies can issue long term securities to short term investors because the
investors can trade
- Investors are more likely to buy securities in the primary market if they can be traded
in the secondary market
- Identifies potential investors in new securities and thus assists the primary markets
by:
o Reducing search costs and
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- Value is reflected int eh company’s market capitalization, equal to the share price
times the number of shares
- Debt markets
Part B:
Learning Objectives:
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- What happens if you know the price is too high but you don’t own shares so you
can’t sell?
o Is your information valuable If you cannot sell?
Long Position:
- Holding an investment that increases in value as the value of a firm, security or other
asset increases in value
o You want the value of the security or asset to go UP
Short Position:
- Holding an investment that increases in value as the firm, security or other asset
decreases in value
o You want the value of the secruiyt or asset to go DOWN
Making money if you think the stock will go down in value:
- The exchanges:
o Enforce trading rules
o Provide trading and settlement systems
- The hSX
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- Historically used open-outcry trading but no wuse automated trading systems (hTS)
o Where traders can view orders to buy and sell
o Trading is now ‘location-less’
- The trading process at the hSX is order-driven, i.e. based on orders to buy and sell
B id s ( b u y s ) A s k s ( s e lls )
Q u a n tity P r is e Q u a n tity P r is e
500 $ 1 0 .2 0 300 $ 1 0 .2 5
200 $ 1 0 .1 0 1000 $ 1 0 .3 5
2000 $ 1 0 .0 0 15000 $ 1 0 .8 0
1000 $ 9 .9 5
E xa
m p le s :
A ma rk e t b u y o r d e r fo r 3 0 0 à a tr a d e o f 3 0 0 a t $ 1 0 .2 5
A ma r k e t s e ll o r d e r f o r 5 0 0 à a t r a d e o f 5 0 0 a t $ 1 0 .2 0
A ma r k e t s e ll o r d e r f o r 6 0 0 à a t r a d e o f 5 0 0 a t $ 1 0 .2 0 &
100 a t $ 1 0 .1 0
A lim it s e ll o r d e r f o r 6 0 0 a t $ 1 0 . 1 0 à a tra d e o f 5 0 0 a t $ 1 0 .2 0 &
a tra d e o f 1 0 0 a t $ 1 0 .1 0
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o Dealers are principals (not agents) because they buy and sell the security
- Dealers are requied to quote bid (buying) and offer (Selling) prices:
o Consequently, a dealer acts as a market maker
o Provides two-way quotes when called by another dealer, or a one-way quote
when the caller is a wholesale client
o They must trade when a quote is accepted and thus provide traders with
immediacy
- Dealers buy and sell securities and thus must hold an inventory of them
o Size of inventory is known as the dealer’s position
o Increase or decrease to capture expected future price movements
- Dealers are “hit” when someone accepts their bid or offer price
EXhMPLE: E x a m p le : C a l c u l a t e t h e d e a l e r ’ s s p r e a d g i v e n a
r o u n d tr ip o n a p a r c e l o f 9 0 - d a y s e c u r itie s w ith a
fa c e v a lu e o f $ 2 0 m il a n d a q u o te o f 6 .1 5 –
6 .1 2 %
20 000 000
P buy = = $ 1 9 ,7 0 1,2 4 2 .8 0
1 + 0 . 0 6 1 5 ( 39 60 5 )
a spread of
20 000 000 $ 1 ,4 3 5 .6 8
P sel l = = $ 1 9 ,7 0 2 ,6 7 8 .4 8
1 + 0 . 0 6 1 2 ( 39 60 5 )
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- Many groups of investors do not subscribe to the EMH, because they believe that
markets provide opportunities for excess returns.
so
w e a k fo rm e ffic ie n c y c h a r t is t s ,
so as a group,
f undam ent al p ric e s re fle c t a ll in fo rm a tio n
c o n ta in e d in h isto ric a l p ric e s s h o u ld n o t
a n a ly s t s , a s a a c h ie ve
g r o u p , s h o u ld abnorm al
n o t a c h ie v e s e m i-s tro n g fo rm e ffic ie n c y re turns
abnorm al p ric e s re fle c t a ll p u b lic in fo rm a tio n
re turns
s tro n g fo rm e ffic ie n c y
p ric e s re fle c t a ll in fo rm a tio n (p u b lic a n d p riv a te )
N o p r o f it f r o m
m o n o p o ly in f o r m a t io n 49
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- If markets are semi-strong form efficient, traders should not be able to identify
investment strategies that deliver risk-adjusted excess returns
o That is, it should not be possible to consistently identify underpriced or
overpriced securities
- While many studies reveal evidence of market efficiency, others have revealed
anomalies
o Where excess returns have been found, these include:
Firm size – where small firms outperform
Time patterns- such as the January effect
Events – such as securities being included inan important index
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- For wholesale, low risk, borrowers the money market providing access to short term
funds
- Can be rolled over to provide financing for 2-3 years
- Cheaper than borrowing from an hDI, therefore places competitive pressure
on hDI lending rates
- For investors, market provides:
- Wholesale investors with low-risk returns
- hn asset class for fund managers to offer clients a low-risk product with ready
access to cash
- hDIs face liquidity risk from long-term assets and short-term liabilities
- Money market provides liquidity;
- hDIs can:
Quickly sell holdings of money-market securities
Readily borrow from the market by issuing CDs
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