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CHAPTER OBJECTIVES
After completing this chapter, you should be able to do the following:
Discuss the long-term future challenges for HRM and tactics to handle them
Understand how HR and IT/IS are combining for future HRIS business
applications
INTRODUCTION
Before we analyze future trends in HRIS, it is appropriate to revisit how we
got here. In Chapter 1 we noted that, with its changing and expanding role,
the typical personnel department started keeping increasing numbers and
types of employee paper records. Computing technology began to emerge as
a way to store and retrieve employee data. Early advantages of using
computing were that (1) the HR departments could obtain the records much
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faster for managerial reports (e.g., total number of males and females in the
company) and (2) the employee records were more accurate than paper-and-
pencil records. In the subsequent chapters, we had an in-depth look at the
entire system development life cycle (SDLC) of an HRIS that included
planning, analysis, design, implementation, and maintenance (Chapters 2–
6). We also looked at the specific applications of HRIS in some of the core
functions of HRM (Chapters 10–15), for example, talent management,
recruiting and selecting, training, compensation, and globalization of HRM.
There is no doubt that technology has radically altered the world of work.
Today, one can work anytime and anywhere, using any device, possibilities
that have globalized the workplace and given it a 24/7 work cycle. Although
HR has evolved from an administrative to a strategic focus, transactional
activities, such as HR administration, legal compliance, and benefits
management, still consume a major portion of HR resources.
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HR functions and reducing staff, but organization leaders are questioning
whether these changes have delivered enough strategic benefits.
To examine any future trends in the HR field, one must look within and
between countries, since labor laws differ from country to country and, thus,
could have a significant impact on any new developments in HRM for that
country. Thus, future trends in HRM in the U.S. are covered in this chapter,
along with future trends in HRM, IT, and HRIS in multinational companies.
Although this chapter focuses on trends that are affecting HRM in the
United States, it is important to remember that some of these trends will also
be true for other countries while others may differ somewhat in terms of
specific future trends within another country or culture. We briefly discuss
six trends that will impact HR in the coming years.
HEALTH CARE
For organizations, health care costs are a growing concern. In a recent
survey, rising health care costs were identified by nearly 90% of executives
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surveyed as an important challenge facing their organization in the next 2–5
years
Chief financial officers identified health care costs at the number-one issue
facing their organization. To address these concerns, organizations are
turning to wellness initiatives, others are reconsidering what health plans to
offer, and most are passing increased costs on to their employees.
Not only are health care costs increasing in the United States, but with the
passage of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (i.e., Obamacare),
HR departments are facing a number of issues associated with its
implementation. For example, some organizations offer multiple health
plans, some of which are available only to highly compensated employees.
The new law makes some provisions of these plans illegal if they are not
available to lower-compensated employees as well. In addition,
organizations will have to consider the penalty costs of not offering health
care to employees and the makeup of their workforce (e.g., full-time, part-
time, or contingent) as they determine how to best comply with the new law,
as well as offering plans that best serve their employees.
BUSINESS INTELLIGENCE
HR is under increasing pressure to show that its policies and practices add
value to the firm (e.g., to show positive ROI, as discussed in Chapter 8.). To
address these pressures, HR is increasingly turning to the use of business
intelligence to support complex metrics. Although covered in greater detail
in Chapter 7, we also discuss data analytics and HR metrics here because
they are growing in importance to HR departments in most large
organizations.
Many organizations already have basic reporting capabilities, but they are
increasingly looking to incorporate more sophisticated metrics to better
support HR programs (e.g., training). Consider that each year SHRM brings
together a panel of experts to address the most important upcoming concerns
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facing HR, and one of the panels is specifically focused on metrics. Three
key predictions from these panels about metrics are as follows:
o The increasing use of metrics may lead to a standard and widely accepted
set of metrics to “describe, predict and evaluate the quality and impact of
HR practices and the productivity of the workforce.”
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will be those over 65 years old, with projections suggesting that
participation of those over 65 will have grown by over 80% between 2006
and 2016 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2008)! At the same time, this same
study identified a coming problem. The participation rates of those less than
25 are projected to decrease by 7% over the same timeframe. This means
that organizations will have a workforce that has much greater age diversity
than they are typically used to managing.
One of the most important themes moving forward for HR will be the
growing governmental and agency compliance requirements. Human
resources has always been affected by legal compliance, but many would
say that the pace of regulations continues to grow. For example, the EEOC
continues to develop additional guidelines, and states continue to pass
additional regulations on issues as varied as hiring practices to workplace
safety. In addition, the recent negotiations due to the recent “fiscal cliff” has
resulted in a change in the Social Security tax rates for all employees and
the raising of taxes for high-earning employees. Human resources will need
to be prepared to implement these changes, and additional changes are likely
to occur in the coming years.
Changes due to the new Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act will
require human resource departments in organizations from the very small to
the Fortune 100 to comply with a myriad of federal requirements and very
likely state mandates as well.
VIRTUALIZATION OF WORK
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A final trend in HRM on which we briefly touch is the virtualization of
work. No longer are employees confined by physical or temporal space.
Employees can conduct work anywhere and at any time. “The virtual
workspace can be defined as an environment where employees work away
from company premises and communicate with their respective workplaces
via telephone or computer devices” (Lockwood, 2010).
One the most critical aspects of the emerging technology is a focus on more
efficient and accurate decision making. The goal of intelligent HR software
is to replace the traditional approach to decision making with an approach
that makes a better decision in the most efficient manner. This technology
can help organizations improve the use of the human capital and increase
the organization’s competiveness in the market.
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The first trend in technology that will affect HR and HRIS is mobile
computing and “bring your own device” (BYOD). The change is a dramatic
departure from how organizations have previously managed their
technological infrastructure and presents a challenge for organizational IT
support. Previously, the most common arrangement by organizations was to
manage a centralized and tightly controlled technological platform (e.g.,
IBM, HP, Dell, Windows, etc.), and anyone who wanted to use another
platform (e.g., Mac, Linux, etc.) would potentially have problems receiving
adequate support. But today, employees are more likely to want to use their
own personal mobile devices (e.g., smartphones, tablets, and laptops) to
work.
The move to mobile creates some interesting issues for employees and the
organization. For example, how do you deal with the privacy issues
associated with the storage and use of personal and work data on the same
device? In addition, the complexity of managing network and data security
dramatically increases when employees bring their personal devices into
work, which means that organizations will need to rethink data and network
security practices to support these devices.
Along with the growth in the use of mobile devices will be the growth in
smartphone apps (e.g., for the iPhone, Blackberry, Android, or Windows).
For example, vendors such as Workday and SuccessFactors have built apps
where employees can use their mobile devices to access and connect to the
corporate HRIS.
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No longer are employees “chained” to their desks when working with HRIS
data. For example, tablets can be used during the interview process to
evaluate applicants in a real-time manner. Employees can fill out expense
reports wherever they are located and can capture electronic images of
receipts as they incur expenses. If a workers compensation incident occurs,
HR case managers can document issues at the scene of the event, taking
photos of the situation for immediate storage in the database.
Service-Oriented Architecture
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One of the major problems during this technological evolution has been the
frustration associated with frequent system upgrade cycles. SOA may be a
solution, as it converts monolithic and static systems into modular and
flexible components. SOA is about efficient modular design and
deployment, and reusable software is at the heart of the architecture.
SOA offers several advantages to end users, who can change the business
process when needed and purchase or develop only those applications that
are involved in the new processes.
Web 2.0
Mashups (web applications that combine data from multiple sources into a
single location or application, e.g., pulling up a rental car booking site
within an airline booking site).
Personal websites
Peer-to-peer networking (P2P) – file sharing (e.g., text, music, and videos)
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Web services (Web-enabled instant communication between users to update
information or conduct transactions, e.g., a supplier and a retailer updating
each other’s inventory systems)
Social Networking
Companies are using Facebook and Twitter to help expand their HR brand
and attract employees to the organization. Many companies, such as IBM
and Deloitte, are making social networking a central component of how they
bring new employees into the organization, connecting them with current
employees and easing their transition into the company by making
information more readily available to increase employee engagement.
A recent SHRM study has found that 20% of organizations are using SNW
tools for internal communications (SHRM, 2012). Due to the growing use of
social networking, HRIS vendors are developing applications within their
product offerings to help support employee collaboration, onboarding, and
learning. Text - Figure 17.3 provides an illustration of how SAP Jam is
designed to mimic such popular social tools as LinkedIn and Facebook to
increase employee acceptance and reduce the employee learning curve.
Companies are also using social networks to connect employees and share
information. For example, EMC Corporation uses its social business
network, EMC/One, to generate ideas from its employees for its annual
innovation contest. After the employees post their innovation ideas on
EMC/One, they can also vote for the best idea.
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Enterprise Portals
Enterprise portal is the general term used to refer to the ways in which
individuals can interact with each other. Enterprise portals can be
information portals, collaboration portals, expertise and knowledge portals,
operation portals, social business networks, or a combination of all of these.
Open-Source Software
Over time, the markets consolidated, and vendors merged, leaving a few
dominant HR ERP vendors, such as SAP, Oracle/PeopleSoft, ADP, and
Lawson.
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vendors are beginning to merge not only with other cloud vendors to
develop breadth across HR functions, they are also being purchased by the
major legacy vendors. For example, in the last few years, SAP has
purchased SuccessFactors, Workday has established a strategic alliance with
Salesforce.com, Oracle has purchased Taleo, and IBM purchased Kenexa.
But this has created two issues for organizations. First organizations are
faced with managing the complexity of working with multiple vendors.
Second, organizations have realized that although they may have added a
large amount of technology to their processes, they have not really reflected
as to whether they are actually more effective in the delivery of HR services.
Therefore, in the next few years, we believe that organizations will spend
more time and effort assessing the most effective portfolio of HR
technology, and many will likely consider moving to some type of
consolidated technology platform. Our assessment is supported by Towers
Watson research, which suggests that within the next few years, nearly half
of the organizations surveyed are planning to consolidate or reorganize their
HR function (Towers Watson, 2012b).
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HRIS MOVES TO SMALL BUSINESS
The last trend in HRIS that we focus on is the expanding options for small
businesses. As short as 5 years ago, the idea that a small business would be
able to adopt a full-scale HR ERP would have seemed unlikely. But these
days, products are being made available at costs that make their
attractiveness to small businesses high. One of the reasons for this change is
the availability of cloud-based solutions. Companies no longer need the
capital to invest in both hardware and software and the IT expertise to
manage the HRIS. Now, much of the risk and expertise for managing the
hardware and software is with the vendor. Therefore, small businesses are
not only able to afford access to the software, but they are also not burdened
by the technological overhead required to implement legacy systems. Now,
no company is too small to have their employees supported by HR software.
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CedarCrestone 2010–2011 HR Systems Survey
Data for this report were collected in 2010 from 1,289 respondents
representing over 20 million employees. The sample represents companies
from throughout the globe, including North America, Europe, Asia and
Australia. The major findings of this study (in shortened form) are as
follows:
2. The respondents in the survey reported that their organizations have had
strong recoveries (from the weak economies), and they forecasted a 100%
growth in HRIS talent management, social media, and analytics and
planning applications.
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6. There is a continuing trend to use new “service delivery” applications, such
as employee and manager self-service systems, portals, HR help desks, and
workforce life cycle management.
Finally, the survey focused on choices and investments, which are providing
a strong return to companies. These choices include the following: (1) Focus
on Career Development, (2) Use Workforce Optimization Technologies, (3)
Choose an Integrated ERP-Based Talent Management Solution, and (4)
Adopt Social Networking.
CHAPTER SUMMARY
As noted early in this chapter, forecasting the future is very difficult. However,
students focusing on understanding the field of HRIS must never forget the human
continues to evolve, and it is important for those studying it not only to understand
what is occurring today but also to look at the environmental and technological forces
that will affect it in the coming years. If there is one central theme of our look toward
the future, it is the importance of HR policies matched with organizational change and
technology; this alignment will have the greatest impact on the future success of
HRIS and the organizations investing in these systems. For example, one of the
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findings from the CedarCrestone survey was the emphasis on change management—
to which an entire chapter of this book was devoted (see Chapter 9). Technology is
expect information systems to supplant the soft functions of the HR department, such
as an online electronic tutor replacing a good executive coach (Stanton & Coovert,
2004). In sum, technology is extremely important in the field of HRIS, but people are
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