Matthew Hamilton Freeze NATO Expansion | Negative

Eveready 10/20/10

Freeze NATO Expansion | Negative

Table of Contents
1. Inherency................................................................................................................................................1
1.1 Russia's Behavior is #1 Cause of Seeking Membership..................................................................1
1.2 Georgia and Ukraine Did Not Meets Standards in 2008.................................................................1
2. Expansion is Good................................................................................................................................2
2.1 NATO Expansion Aims at Benefiting New Members, Not at Hurting Russia................................2
2.2 NATO Aims at Bringing Stability and Security..............................................................................2
2.3 Membership for Albania, Croatia, and Macedonia Helps Stabilize the Region..............................3
2.4 Expansion Would Help With Energy Security................................................................................3
2.5 Other Countries Gain From Expansion...........................................................................................3
2.6 NATO Can Offer Support in Conflict Over Gas.............................................................................3
3. Harms.....................................................................................................................................................4
3.1 NATO Expansion is Not a Security Challenge for Russia..............................................................4
4. AT: Russia's Geopolitical Sway Weakened............................................................................................4
5. Other.......................................................................................................................................................4
5.1 NATO Should Cautiously Expand...................................................................................................5
Credentials/Info..........................................................................................................................................5

1. Inherency

1.1 Russia's Behavior is #1 Cause of Seeking Membership

Robert Farley[is an assistant professor at the Patterson School of Diplomacy and International
Commerce, University of Kentucky. He contributes to the blogs Lawyers, Guns, and
Money and TAPPED.], The American Project[The Prospect was founded in 1990 by Robert Kuttner,
Robert Reich, and Paul Starr as an authoritative magazine of liberal ideas, committed to a just society,
an enriched democracy, and effective liberal politics. Since then, the Prospect has grown into a print
journal with an average monthly readership of some 100,000, a special in-depth report in most issues,
and a daily Web magazine with nearly 1 million unique monthly visitors.], August 15, 2008, “But What
Does it Mean for NATO?”, http://www.prospect.org/cs/articles?
article=but_what_does_it_mean_for_nato

First, Russian abuse is the No. 1 reason why most states seek NATO membership. The Poles, Baltic
countries, Ukrainians, and Georgians want to get in because of Russian behavior. It's possible that the
leaders (and in most cases, the populations) of these states are simply crazy and that NATO entry will
make them more vulnerable to Russian coercion, but I'm pretty far from convinced.

1.2 Georgia and Ukraine Did Not Meets Standards in 2008

By Liz Fuller[is commentary and analysis co-editor at RFE/RL], Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty(Site

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info at end of brief), December 3, 2008, “Georgia, Ukraine Told They Do Not Meet Standards For
NATO Membership”,
http://www.rferl.org/content/Georgia_Ukraine_Told_They_Do_Not_Meet_Standards_For_NATO_Mem
bership/1355925.html

But the fact remains -- and was stressed by both NATO Secretary-General Jaap de Hoop Scheffer and
U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice -- that both Georgia and Ukraine still fall short of basic
NATO standards in terms of both political reform and military readiness.

Impact: They didn't the requirements then, do they now? If they don't, then the Affirmative team is not
dealing with a current problem.

2. Expansion is Good

2.1 NATO Expansion Aims at Benefiting New Members, Not at Hurting Russia
DW-World.DE Deutsche Welle[is Germany’s international broadcaster: online, on-screen and over the
air. It provides a European perspective to audiences around the world and promotes intercultural
dialogue.] More info on organization at end of brief, April 4, 2008, “NATO Expansion: A Model for
Stability or a Grab for Power?”, http://www.dw-world.de/dw/article/0,,3283800,00.html [Brackets
added]

"NATO is not seeking to encircle Russia and assert regional dominance, but instead to extend stability,
reassurance, and deterrence to new members," Charles Kupchan[a senior fellow for Europe Studies at
the Council on Foreign Relations, in Washington] said. "In reality, however, NATO enlargement does
bring with it greater Western influence and aligns the governments of new members with the Euro-
Atlantic community. This realignment is one of the reasons that Russia is uncomfortable with
enlargement; it diminishes Moscow's geopolitical sway. In that way NATO enlargement is in part a
hedge against the potential return of Russian ambition."

2.2 NATO Aims at Bringing Stability and Security

DW-World.DE Deutsche Welle[is Germany’s international broadcaster: online, on-screen and over the
air. It provides a European perspective to audiences around the world and promotes intercultural
dialogue.] More info on organization at end of brief, April 4, 2008, “NATO Expansion: A Model for
Stability or a Grab for Power?”, http://www.dw-world.de/dw/article/0,,3283800,00.html

The official line from NATO is that membership in the alliance brings with it stability and security. The
states being considered for accession have all recently experienced some form of political upheaval and
instability.

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2.3 Membership for Albania, Croatia, and Macedonia Helps Stabilize the Region
DW-World.DE Deutsche Welle[is Germany’s international broadcaster: online, on-screen and over the
air. It provides a European perspective to audiences around the world and promotes intercultural
dialogue.] More info on organization at end of brief, April 4, 2008, “NATO Expansion: A Model for
Stability or a Grab for Power?”, http://www.dw-world.de/dw/article/0,,3283800,00.html

"The Balkan region has been jolted anew by Kosovo's recent secession from Serbia," Charles
Kupchan, a senior fellow for Europe Studies at the Council on Foreign Relations, in Washington, told
DW-WORLD.DE. "NATO membership for Albania, Croatia, and Macedonia can help stabilize the
region amid this new source of uncertainty. As in previous rounds of enlargement, preparation for
membership encourages states to improve democratic governance and civilian control of the military."

2.4 Expansion Would Help With Energy Security

DW-World.DE Deutsche Welle[is Germany’s international broadcaster: online, on-screen and over the
air. It provides a European perspective to audiences around the world and promotes intercultural
dialogue.] More info on organization at end of brief, April 4, 2008, “NATO Expansion: A Model for
Stability or a Grab for Power?”, http://www.dw-world.de/dw/article/0,,3283800,00.html

NATO's increased emphasis on energy security for its members is recognized by some observers as a
factor in its eastward expansion. Having been slower than Russia to seize on the impact of energy
supplies on national security, it cannot have been overlooked by NATO that a presence in both Ukraine
and Georgia would go some way to catching up.

2.5 Other Countries Gain From Expansion

DW-World.DE Deutsche Welle[is Germany’s international broadcaster: online, on-screen and over the
air. It provides a European perspective to audiences around the world and promotes intercultural
dialogue.] More info on organization at end of brief, April 4, 2008, “NATO Expansion: A Model for
Stability or a Grab for Power?”, http://www.dw-world.de/dw/article/0,,3283800,00.html

Even if NATO's expansion plans are not designed to curtail Russian ambitions and influence, the
geographical significance of the countries hoping for membership holds other benefits for NATO's
existing members.

2.6 NATO Can Offer Support in Conflict Over Gas

DW-World.DE Deutsche Welle[is Germany’s international broadcaster: online, on-screen and over the
air. It provides a European perspective to audiences around the world and promotes intercultural
dialogue.] More info on organization at end of brief, April 4, 2008, “NATO Expansion: A Model for
Stability or a Grab for Power?”, http://www.dw-world.de/dw/article/0,,3283800,00.html [Brackets
added]

Should both countries[Ukraine and Georgia] join the alliance, NATO would be in a prime position to

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exert influence over and protect oil supplies from the Caspian Sea through Georgia and offer support to
Ukraine in any future disputes with Russia over gas.

3. Harms

3.1 NATO Expansion is Not a Security Challenge for Russia

Adnrew Moran[Digitial journalist, Toronto Canad], Digital Journal(Site info at end of brief), February
25, 2010, “Russia: Russia will respond to NATO expansion, U.S. Missiles”,
http://www.digitaljournal.com/article/288085 [Brackets added]

“While Russia faces challenges to its security, NATO is not among them. We want a cooperative
NATO-Russia relationship that produces concrete results and draws NATO and Russia closer together,”
said [US Secretary of State Hillary]Clinton at a Washington hotel ballroom on Monday.

4. AT: Russia's Geopolitical Sway Weakened

If the Affirmative team says that “Russia's geopolitical influence is negatively affected by allowing the
other countries bordering Russia to become members of NATO”, you can point out with the below card
that Russia's way of dealing with issues is in a bully-like manor. If that's what their “geopolitical
sway/influence” is, then it's a good thing that influence is weakened. A very simple everyday quote can
be used to sum up this point, “Backing down from bullies never works.”

Russia's “Geopolitical Sway” is a Hostile Approach

DW-World.DE Deutsche Welle[is Germany’s international broadcaster: online, on-screen and over the
air. It provides a European perspective to audiences around the world and promotes intercultural
dialogue.] More info on organization at end of brief, April 4, 2008, “NATO Expansion: A Model for
Stability or a Grab for Power?”, http://www.dw-world.de/dw/article/0,,3283800,00.html

Russia has reacted to the growing possibility of NATO expanding into Ukraine and Georgia by issuing
bellicose warnings reminiscent of Soviet-era Cold War rhetoric. In February, Putin warned that Russia
could take "retaliatory action" should Ukraine become a member of NATO, suggesting Moscow might
aim its missiles at Kiev.

At the beginning of April, a senior Russian general reiterated Putin's message by saying that Russia
would take "military and other" steps, should Ukraine and Georgia join NATO.

5. Other

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5.1 NATO Should Cautiously Expand

Robert Farley[is an assistant professor at the Patterson School of Diplomacy and International
Commerce, University of Kentucky. He contributes to the blogs Lawyers, Guns, and
Money and TAPPED.], The American Project[The Prospect was founded in 1990 by Robert Kuttner,
Robert Reich, and Paul Starr as an authoritative magazine of liberal ideas, committed to a just society,
an enriched democracy, and effective liberal politics. Since then, the Prospect has grown into a print
journal with an average monthly readership of some 100,000, a special in-depth report in most issues,
and a daily Web magazine with nearly 1 million unique monthly visitors.], August 15, 2008, “But What
Does it Mean for NATO?”, http://www.prospect.org/cs/articles?
article=but_what_does_it_mean_for_nato

NATO membership remains a declared Ukrainian goal, but the country’s great size, its huge Russian
minority, and the presence of Russian military bases on its soil make an invitation risky. NATO
membership has been a hot topic in the Finnish strategic community for the last several years, with key
members of the Finnish government challenging the Cold War commitment to neutrality and arguing
for the alliance. Finland's small population and modern military make it an excellent candidate, and the
Russia-Georgia War may push it to pursue membership more vigorously. NATO should continue to
cautiously expand, mindful of both the benefits of extending the alliance and the costs that new
expansion will produce.

Credentials/Info

-DW-World.DE Deutsche Welle

According to its statutory mission, Deutsche Welle will “promote understanding of Germany as an
independent nation with its roots in European culture and as a liberal, democratic, constitutional state
based on the rule of law.” It is also meant to "provide a forum in Europe and on other continents to
German and other points of view on important issues, with the aim of fostering understanding and
exchange between cultures and people.” In addition, it will contribute to promoting the German
language.

Deutsche Welle fulfills this mission with a journalistic portfolio that includes DW-RADIO and the
multimedia Internet portal DW-WORLD.DE in 30 languages and with DW-TV in German, English,
Arabic and Spanish. It also runs the DW-AKADEMIE, where radio professionals from developing and
transition countries receive further training. This will also be developed into a Master’s program in the
future. The DW-AKADEMIE also offers “Intercultural Media Training” for German executives and
institutions looking to go abroad.

The international broadcaster’s services are targeted to people around the world who are interested in
Germany and Europe, particularly to current and future opinion leaders and decision makers. German
programming is directed at those learning German and other individuals with German language skills.
It reaches nearly 90 million listeners and viewers worldwide every week. It receives well over half a

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million responses to its programming and online services every year and is respected as a credible
source of information.
(Taken from the About Us page: http://www.dw-world.de/dw/0,,3325,00.html)

-Digital Journal

Founded on the Internet in 1998, DigitalJournal.com began as a technology news site. When our
readers started asking to take part in the news-gathering process, we jumped at the idea and in 2006 we
started paying writers who wanted to contribute news from around the world. DigitalJournal.com has
been a pioneer in online revenue-sharing, as well as a pioneer in the world of participatory media, user-
generated news and citizen journalism.

Evolving quite a bit since 2006, DigitalJournal.com is now an alternative news network for people who
want to read news, contribute to reporting, debate and discuss news and events from around the world.
More info, including press releases and TV appearances, can be found in our press/media section.

Today, DigitalJournal.com is a social news site powered by people just like you. Made up of
professional journalists, citizen journalists, bloggers, passionate writers and regular Joes and Janes,
DigitalJournal.com covers news and issues of the day. Contributors are known as "Digital Journalists"
and they work 24-7 to offer news from multiple perspectives, while special attention is placed on
quality and accuracy.

DigitalJournal.com has Digital Journalists in 175 countries around the world, and you too can
contribute. To get started, simply set up a free account and you can start contributing immediately:
Write news articles and blogs, upload images, embed videos, join or start your
own Groups, comment on articles, blogs and photos, and vote for articles and images that matter to
you.
(Taken from the About Us page: http://www.digitaljournal.com/corporate/about_us.php)

-Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty

Our Mission: RFE/RL journalists report the news in 21 countries where a free press is banned by the
government or not fully established. We provide what many people cannot get locally: uncensored
news, responsible discussion, and open debate (mission statement).

21 Countries, 28 Languages: We broadcast to 21 countries in 28 languages, including Iran, Iraq,

Afghanistan, Pakistan, and Russia. With over 400 full-time journalists, 750 freelancers, and 20 local
bureaus, RFE/RL is one of the most comprehensive news operations in the world (see map).

On The Front Lines: Our journalists are on the front lines in the fight for media freedom in their

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countries and often put themselves at great risk to do their jobs (click here for more).

Regional Expertise: RFE/RL journalists and experts are a unique source of information about many of
the world's political hotspots. We also host briefings and special events in Washington, D.C. and Prague
(browse RFE/RL's experts).
(Taken from the About RFL/RL page: http://www.rferl.org/info/about/176.html)

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