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Report Title: European Land-Based ISTAR Markets-Ground Radar &


Unmanned Sensors

Date Published: 06/01/2006

Publisher: Frost & Sullivan


Copyright © 2006 Frost & Sullivan Electronic Distribution, L.L.C. All rights reserved.

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Unattended Ground Sensors (UGS)
The current uses of UGS systems revolve around the use of systems of around five sensor
nodes, each with a range of up to 0.5 km and a central data interface, an arrangement
referred to in this study as the ‘tactical spotlighting’ format. Typically, these systems use a
combination of acoustic, seismic, magnetic and passive infrared sensors, whose applications
consist of point surveillance, force protection as well as intelligence, surveillance and recon-
naissance (ISR). Different configurations of sensors are chosen with respect to the conditions
that they are required to operate in with respect to weather and the type of surveillance they
are expected to carry out. Magnetic sensors are used to detect vehicles and personnel
carrying weapons, passive infrared sensors are used for trip wire purposes, while seismic
sensors cannot be used in icy conditions as they have to be buried a certain distance from the
surface of the ground. Another type of sensor that is coming to light is that of through wall
micro radar, which can be used to obtain intelligence on individual rooms and their occu-
pants for use in military operations on urban terrain (MOUT) and hostage situations. Key
attributes that UGS systems need to have are high battery life and low false alarm rates.

#B721-16 © 2006 Frost & Sullivan www.frost.com January 2006 2-4


The trend that emerged from this study regarding UGS is that they are expected to be used in
different arrangements in the future as part of larger networks of sensors that have more
varied uses than the existing profiles. For example, large networks of sensors will be
deployed to cover areas of approximately 100 square km in order to provide persistent
surveillance and weapons location. The sensor nodes used in these profiles and in the existing
ones will also be developed to be further miniaturised, disposable and remotely deployable.
As a result of this, when used in the tactical spotlighting application, each soldier can carry a
certain amount of sensors and use them according to the situation. For the larger networks as
well in the tactical spotlighting modes, the sensors will have the facility for remote deploy-
ment through mortar or artillery fire, dropping from rotorcraft or launching from fastjet.
This brings a host of technical requirements, including the ability for sensors to self network,
orient themselves for near-optimal operation (especially important for acoustic sensors, in
particular) and operate in a network-centric manner. The sensors nodes will be the same as
those in existing systems, namely magnetic, acoustic, seismic and passive infrared.

#B721-16 © 2006 Frost & Sullivan www.frost.com January 2006 2-5


Figure 3-1

Land-based Sensors Market: Revenue Forecasts (Europe) 2006-2015

Revenue
Year ($ Million)
2006 147.0

2007 200.0

2008 100.0

2009 92.0

2010 105.5

2011 110.0

2012 67.0

2013 23.0

2014 40.0

2015 36.0

Total 920.5

Note: All figures are rounded; the base year is 2006. Source: Frost & Sullivan

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Chart 3.1

Land-based Sensors Market: Revenue Forecasts (Europe), 2006-2015

250

200

150
US$M

100

50

0
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Note: All figures are rounded; the base year is 2006. Source: Frost & Sullivan

#B721-16 © 2006 Frost & Sullivan www.frost.com January 2006 3-2


Revenue Market Shares By Country
Chart 3.5 shows the per cent of revenues by country for the total European land-based sensor
market from 2006-2015.

Chart 3.5

Land-based Sensors Market: Market Share by Country (Europe), 2006-2015

France
Other
13%
19%

UK
10%

Germany
24%

Turkey
16% Italy
Spain
9%
9%

Note: All figures are rounded. Source: Frost & Sullivan

The majority of the spending in the market is expected to be from France, Germany, Italy,
Spain, Turkey and the United Kingdom. This reflects the uptake of WLR systems in each of
these countries as well as the uptake of remotely deployed, networked UGS systems later in
the forecast period. Spending in France and Germany is also likely to be sustained by their
presence in the total market as the only significant buyers of BFSR systems from 2006-2015.

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Acoustic Weapons Locating Systems (AWL)
The market for AWL systems in Europe is expected to amount to $72 million from
2006-2015.

Chart 3.8 shows the revenue forecasts for the European AWL market from 2006-2015.

Chart 3.8

Land-based Sensors Market (AWL): Revenue Forecasts (Europe), 2006-2015

25

20

15
US$M

10

0
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Note: All figures are rounded. Source: Frost & Sullivan

The AWL systems market is shaped by uptake of systems by France, Germany, Greece, Italy,
Spain, Turkey and the United Kingdom, following procurements of weapons-locating radar
systems in these markets. As a result of this, the majority of the spending is expected in
2007-2012, corresponding to the nature of AWL systems as largely supporting systems for
WLR.

Unattended Ground Sensors (UGS)


The market for UGS systems in Europe is expected to amount to $103 million from
2006-2015.

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Chart 3.9 shows the revenue forecasts for the European UGS market from 2006-2015.

Chart 3.9

Land-based Sensors Market (UGS): Revenue Forecasts (Europe), 2006-2015

18

16

14

12
US$M

10

0
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Note: All figures are rounded. Source: Frost & Sullivan

The market for UGS is expected to be dominated from 2006-2010 by the uptake of tactical
spotlighting format systems, by Austria, Germany, Greece, The Netherlands and the
United Kingdom. From 2011-2015, the uptake of remotely deployed and networked systems
will come to the fore with the Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Italy,
The Netherlands, Norway, Slovakia, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United Kingdom
expected to procure the systems.

#B721-16 © 2006 Frost & Sullivan www.frost.com January 2006 3-7


Figure 3-2

Land-based Sensors Market: Market Drivers (Europe), 2006-2015

Rank Driver
1 Network Centric Warfare

2 EU and NATO Rapid Reaction Force Configurations

3 Asymmetric Warfare

4 Field Artillery Modernisation

5 Force Multiplication

6 Commercial Off the Shelf Technology

Source: Frost & Sullivan

#B721-16 © 2006 Frost & Sullivan www.frost.com January 2006 3-8


Figure 3-3

Land-based Sensors Market: Market Restraint (Europe), 2006-2015

Rank Restraints
1 Cost

2 Alternative Systems

3 Maturity of Technology

4 Commoditised Product Offerings

Source: Frost & Sullivan

#B721-16 © 2006 Frost & Sullivan www.frost.com January 2006 3-11


Acoustic Weapons Locating Systems (AWL)
Currently, the Bundesheer does not dispose of AWL systems.

Frost and Sullivan does not expect Austria is not expected to procure AWL systems during
2006-2015.

Unattended Ground Sensors (UGS)


Currently, the Bundesheer does not dispose of UGS systems. However, procurement of a
tactical spotlighting format unattended ground sensor system is expected from 2008-2009.

The market for UGS systems in Austria is expected to amount to around $2 million, corre-
sponding with the procurement of new tactical spotlighting sensor systems. Spend will be
concentrated in the period 2008 to 2009.

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Acoustic Weapons Locating Systems (AWL)
The Belgian Army does not currently dispose of AWL systems. Belgium is not expected to
procure AWL systems from 2006-2015.

Unattended Ground Sensors (UGS)


The Belgian Army currently deploys Covert Local Area Sensor System (CLASSIC) and
CLASSIC 2000 UGS systems, which were procured in the early 1990s.

Belgium is not expected to procure any more UGS systems from 2006-2015.

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Acoustic Weapons Locating Systems (AWL)
The Bulgarian Army does not currently use AWL systems. Bulgaria is not expected to procure
AWL systems from 2006-2015.

Unattended Ground Sensors (UGS)


The Bulgarian Army does not currently use UGS systems. Bulgaria is not expected to procure
UGS systems from 2006-2015.

#B721-16 © 2006 Frost & Sullivan www.frost.com January 2006 4-8


Acoustic Weapons Locating (AWL) Systems
Currently, the Czech Army does not dispose of AWL systems. The Czech Army is not
expected to procure any AWL systems from 2006-2015.

Unattended Ground Sensors (UGS)


The Czech Army does not currently dispose of UGS systems. The country is expected to
procure a remotely deployed, networked sensor system from 2013-2014.

The market for UGS systems in the Czech Republic is expected to amount to around
$2 million, corresponding with the procurement of a remotely deployed, networked system,
with spend concentrated in from 2013-2014.

#B721-16 © 2006 Frost & Sullivan www.frost.com January 2006 4-11


Acoustic Weapons Locating (AWL) Systems
The Danish Army does not currently dispose of AWL systems. The country is not expected to
procure these systems from 2006-2015.

#B721-16 © 2006 Frost & Sullivan www.frost.com January 2006 4-14


Acoustic Weapons Locating Systems (AWL)
The Irish Defence Forces do not currently use AWL systems. The country is not expected to
procure AWL systems from 2006-2015.

Unattended Ground Sensors (UGS)


The Irish Defence Forces do not currently utilise UGS systems. Eire is not expected to procure
UGS systems from 2006-2015.

#B721-16 © 2006 Frost & Sullivan www.frost.com January 2006 4-16


Acoustic Weapons Locating Systems (AWL)
The Estonian Army does not currently utilise AWL systems. Estonia is not expected to
procure any AWL systems from 2006-2015.

#B721-16 © 2006 Frost & Sullivan www.frost.com January 2006 4-17


Unattended Ground Sensors (UGS)
The Estonian Army does not currently use UGS systems. Estonia is not expected to procure
any UGS systems from 2006-2015.

#B721-16 © 2006 Frost & Sullivan www.frost.com January 2006 4-18


Acoustic Weapons Locating (AWL) Systems
The Finnish Army does not currently utilise AWL systems. The country is not expected to
procure AWL systems from 2006-2015.

Unattended Ground Sensors (UGS)


The Finnish Army does not currently use UGS systems. It is expected to procure a remotely
deployed, networked ground sensor system from 2013-2014.

The market for UGS systems in Finland is expected to be worth around $2 million, corre-
sponding with the uptake of a remotely deployed, networked system and its spending is likely
to be concentrated during 2013-2014.

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Acoustic Weapons Locating (AWL) Systems
The French Army currently deploys 12 SMAD AWL systems, which were procured in 2004 to
correspond with uptake of the COBRA artillery-locating radar. The country is expected to
procure eight more systems in 2007 to complement the further uptake of the COBRA system.

The market for AWL systems in France is expected to amount to around $8 million, corre-
sponding with the uptake of new systems with spending concentrated in 2007.

Unattended Ground Sensors (UGS)


The French Army currently deploys the CLASSIC, the CLASSIC 2000 and the Miniature
Intrusion Sensor (MIS) UGS systems, with the CLASSIC systems in use since the 1980s and
MIS systems procured in the early 2000s. The country is expected to procure a remotely
deployed, networked UGS system from 2011-2012, following the results of the Spectre
demonstration.

The market for UGS systems in France is expected to amount to around $8 million, corre-
sponding with the uptake of a remotely deployed, networked UGS system. The country's
spending on UGS systems is likely to be concentrated during 2011-2012.

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Acoustic Weapons Locating (AWL) Systems
The Bundeswehr currently deploys six SMAD AWL systems, which were procured in 2004.
The uptake of a further 14 systems is expected during 2007-2008.

The market for AWL systems in Germany is expected to amount to around $14 million,
corresponding with the uptake of new systems, with spending on AWL systems likely to be
concentrated during 2007-2008.

Unattended Ground Sensors (UGS)


The Bundeswehr currently deploys the CLASSIC and the CLASSIC 2000 systems, which were
procured in the 1990s. The country is likely to procure the UMRA system from 2006-2007 to
be integrated with the Fennek armoured vehicle. The uptake of a remotely deployed,
networked UGS system is expected to take place from 2012-2014.

The market for UGS systems in Germany is expected to amount to around $33 million, with
$24 million corresponding with the uptake of the UMRA system, and $9 million corre-
sponding with the uptake of a remotely deployed, networked UGS system during 2012-2014.

#B721-16 © 2006 Frost & Sullivan www.frost.com January 2006 4-28


Acoustic Weapons Locating (AWL) Systems
The Greek Army does not currently dispose of any AWL systems. The country is expected to
procure AWL systems in 2009 to provide a limited complement to its current WLR capabili-
ties and especially the ARTHUR systems.

The market for AWL systems in Greece is expected to about to about $6 million, corre-
sponding with the procurement of new systems. The country's spending on WLR systems is
likely to be concentrated in 2009.

Unattended Ground Sensors (UGS)


The Greek Army does not currently dispose of any UGS systems. The country is expected to
procure a tactical spotlighting UGS system in 2008-2009.

The market for UGS systems in Greece is expected to amount to around $4 million, corre-
sponding with the procurement of new systems. The country's spending on UGS systems is
expected to be concentrated during 2008-2009.

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Acoustic Weapons Locating (AWL) Systems
The Hungarian Army does not currently dispose of AWL systems. Hungary is not expected to
procure any AWL systems from 2006-2015.

Unattended Ground Sensors (UGS)


The Hungarian Army does not currently dispose of UGS systems. Hungary is not expected to
procure any UGS systems from 2006-2015.

#B721-16 © 2006 Frost & Sullivan www.frost.com January 2006 4-33


Acoustic Weapons Locating (AWL) Systems
The Italian Army does not currently dispose of AWL systems. The uptake of AWL systems to
complement the artillery-locating radar systems is expected to take place from 2009-2010.

The market for AWL systems in Italy is expected to amount to around $8 million, corre-
sponding with the uptake of new systems. The country's spending on these systems is likely
to be concentrated during 2009-2010.

Unattended Ground Sensors (UGS)


The Italian Army currently deploys the CLASSIC UGS systems, which were procured in the
early 1990s. The uptake of a remotely deployed, networked UGS system is expected to take
place from 2012-2014.

The market for UGS systems in Italy is expected to amount to around $6 million, corre-
sponding with the uptake of a remotely deployed, networked system. The country's spending
on UGS systems is expected to be concentrated during 2012-2014.

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Acoustic Weapons Locating (AWL) Systems
The Latvian Army does not currently dispose of AWL systems. Latvia is not expected to
procure any AWL systems from 2006-2015.

Unattended Ground Sensors (UGS)


The Latvian Army does not currently dispose of UGS systems. The country is not expected to
procure any UGS systems from 2006-2015.

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Acoustic Weapons Locating (AWL) Systems
The Lithuanian Army does not currently dispose of AWL systems. Lithuania is not expected
to procure AWL systems from 2006-2015.

Unattended Ground Sensors (UGS)


The Lithuanian Army does not currently dispose of UGS systems. Lithuania is not expected
to procure any UGS systems from 2006-2015.

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Acoustic Weapons Locating (AWL) Systems
The RNLA does not currently disposes of AWL systems. The Netherlands is not expected to
procure any AWL systems from 2006-2015.

Unattended Ground Sensors (UGS)


The RNLA does not currently dispose of UGS systems. However, procurement of ground
sensor systems for use with the newly established Fennek armoured vehicle is expected in
2009-2010 and procurement of remotely deployed, networked UGS sensors is expected from
2014-2015, following further research by TNO FEL.

The market for UGS systems in the Netherlands is expected to amount to around
$10 million. Procurement of UGS systems for use with the Fennek vehicle is expected to
amount to around $6 million with the country's spending concentrated from 2009-2010. The
procurement of the remotely deployed, networked UGS sensors is expected to amount to
around $4 million, with the spending concentrated during 2014-2015.

#B721-16 © 2006 Frost & Sullivan www.frost.com January 2006 4-43


Acoustic Weapons Locating (AWL) Systems
The Norwegian Army does not currently dispose of AWL systems. Norway is not expected to
procure any AWL systems from 2006-2015.

Unattended Ground Sensors (UGS)


The Norwegian Army currently deploys the CLASSIC UGS system, which was procured in
the early 1990s. The uptake of a remotely deployed, networked UGS system is expected to
take place from 2013-2014.

The market for UGS systems in Norway is expected to amount to around $2 million, corre-
sponding with the uptake of a remotely deployed, networked system. The country's spending
on UGS systems is expected to concentrated during 2013-2014.

#B721-16 © 2006 Frost & Sullivan www.frost.com January 2006 4-46


Acoustic Weapons Locating (AWL) Systems
The Polish Army does not currently dispose of AWL systems. Poland is not expected to
procure any AWL systems from 2006-2015.

Unattended Ground Sensors (UGS)


The Polish Army does not currently dispose of UGS systems. The country is not expected to
procure UGS systems from 2006-2015.

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Acoustic Weapons Locating (AWL) Systems
The Portuguese Army does not currently dispose of AWL systems. Portugal is not expected to
procure AWL systems from 2006-2015.

Unattended Ground Sensors (UGS)


The Portuguese Army currently deploys CLASSIC UGS systems, which were procured in the
mid 1990s.

Portugal is not expected to procure more UGS systems from 2006-2015.

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Acoustic Weapons Locating (AWL) Systems
The Romanian Army does not currently dispose of AWL systems. Romania is not expected to
procure AWL systems from 2006-2015.

Unattended Ground Sensors (UGS)


The Romanian Army does not currently dispose of UGS systems. Romania is not expected to
procure any UGS systems from 2006-2015.

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Slovak forces are regularly deployed for out-of-area operations with NATO and the EU, with
forces deployed with coalition forces in Iraq, Afghanistan and the former Yugoslavia in a
combat support role. Nevertheless, the Slovak Republic remains a small contributor under
the EU Battle Group scheme and designates high readiness forces for the NATO Response
Force. The country's contributions are mostly limited to combat service support and its
resources have mostly been allocated accordingly, although the Slovak Republic will move up
a level in terms of contribution for the procurement of WLR systems. In the past, the country
achieved cost savings through joint procurements with the Czech Republic and this will again
manifest itself through the procurement of a networked UGS system at the end of the forecast
period.

Acoustic Weapons Locating (AWL) Systems


The Slovak Army does not currently dispose of AWL systems. It is not expected to procure
any AWL systems from 2006-2015.

Unattended Ground Sensors (UGS)


The Slovak Army does not currently dispose of UGS systems. The country is expected to
procure a remotely deployed networked UGS system from 2014-2015.

The market for UGS systems in the Slovak Republic is expected to amount to around
$2 million, corresponding with the procurement of a remotely deployed, networked system.
The country's spending on UGS systems is expected to be concentrated during 2014-2015.

#B721-16 © 2006 Frost & Sullivan www.frost.com January 2006 4-55


Acoustic Weapons Locating (AWL) Systems
The Slovenian Army does not currently dispose of AWL systems. Slovenia is not expected to
procure AWL systems from 2006-2015.

Unattended Ground Sensors (UGS)


The Slovenian Army does not currently dispose of UGS systems. Slovenia is not expected to
procure UGS systems from 2006-2015.

#B721-16 © 2006 Frost & Sullivan www.frost.com January 2006 4-57


Acoustic Weapons Locating (AWL) Systems
The Spanish Army does not currently dispose of AWL systems. The country is expected to
uptake AWL systems to complement the artillery-locating radar systems to be procured from
2009-2010.

The market for AWL systems in Spain is expected to amount to around $8 million, corre-
sponding with the uptake of new systems. The country's spending on these systems are likely
to be concentrated during 2009-2010.

Unattended Ground Sensors (UGS)


The Spanish Army currently deploys the CLASSIC UGS systems, which were procured in the
early 1990s along with the I-REMBASS system that was procured in the late 1990s. The
country is expected to uptake a remotely deployed, networked UGS system during
2013-2015.

The market for UGS systems in Spain is expected to amount to around $6 million, corre-
sponding with the uptake of a remotely deployed, networked system. The country's spending
on UGS systems is expected to be concentrated during 2013-2015.

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Acoustic Weapons Locating (AWL) Systems
The Swedish Army does not currently dispose of AWL systems. Sweden is not expected to
procure AWL systems from 2006-2015.

Unattended Ground Sensors


The Swedish Army currently deploys the CLASSIC UGS system, which was procured in the
late 1980s. The uptake of a remotely deployed, networked UGS system is expected to take
place from 2013-2014.

The market for UGS systems in Sweden is expected to amount to around $2 million. This
corresponds with the uptake of a remotely deployed, networked system and the country's
spending is expected to be concentrated during 2013-2014.

#B721-16 © 2006 Frost & Sullivan www.frost.com January 2006 4-64


Acoustic Weapons Locating (AWL) Systems
The Swiss Army does not currently dispose of AWL systems. Switzerland is not expected to
procure AWL systems from 2006-2015.

Unattended Ground Sensors (UGS)


The Swiss Army does not currently use UGS systems. Switzerland is not expected to procure
UGS systems from 2006-2015.

#B721-16 © 2006 Frost & Sullivan www.frost.com January 2006 4-65


Acoustic Weapons Locating (AWL) Systems
The Turkish Army does not currently dispose of AWL systems. The country is expected to
procure AWL systems from 2011-2012 to correspond with the procurement of the WLR
systems in 2010-2011.

The market for AWL systems in Turkey is expected to amount to around $18 million, corre-
sponding with the procurement of new systems, with the country's spending likely to be
concentrated in 2011-2012.

Unattended Ground Sensors (UGS)


The Turkish Army currently deploys a combination of the CLASSIC and the I-REMBASS
UGS systems, which have been in use since the 1990s. The procurement of remotely deployed
and networked sensors for deep area surveillance is expected to take place from 2012-2015.

The market for UGS systems in Turkey is expected to amount to around $8 million during
2006-2015 forecast period. This will correspond with the uptake of networked and remotely
deployable sensors, with the country's spending likely to be concentrated in 2012-2015.

#B721-16 © 2006 Frost & Sullivan www.frost.com January 2006 4-69


Acoustic Weapons Locating Systems
The British Army currently deploys the HALO AWL system as part of its Acoustic Sound-
ranging Programme (ASP). More AWL systems are expected to be procured from
2007-2008 to correspond with the uptake of the COBRA counter-battery systems.

The market for AWL systems in the United Kingdom is expected to amount to around
$10 millionfor the procurement of new systems. The country's spending will be concentrated
during 2007-2008.

Unattended Ground Sensors (UGS)


The British Army currently deploys the Thales CLASSIC, CLASSIC 2000 and the MIS UGS
systems, with the first CLASSIC systems procured in the 1980s and the MIS systems procured
around 2001. More UGS systems will be procured during this forecast period as a tactical
spotlighting component of the initial FIST project, with uptake expected from 2008-2011.
Further uptake of ground sensors is expected beyond the forecast period on the formation of
the first fully capable FIST units. Remotely deployed networked UGS systems will also be
procured for weapons location and deep area surveillance from 2012-2013, following the
results of the Responsive Acquisition of Tactical Targeting Leading to Effects Based Sensing,
NEC and Assured Kill-chain Engagements (RATTLESNAKE) experiment. Further procure-
ment is likely beyond 2013, depending on the success of initial procurements.

The market for UGS systems in the United Kingdom is expected to amount to around
$14 million from 2006-2015. This will correspond to the procurement of tactical spot-
lighting systems as part of the FIST project, with the country expected to spend about
$8 million from 2008-2011. A further $6 million is expected to be spent from 2012-2013 for
the procurement of remotely deployable acoustic sensors for weapons location and deep area
surveillance.

#B721-16 © 2006 Frost & Sullivan www.frost.com January 2006 4-73

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