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proach can give much better performance than traditional proce- 4. Finally, predict permeability through a back transformation:
dures such as single-link (nearest neighbor) and k-mean cluster-
ing, 21 which often fail to identify groups that are either
overlapping or of varying sizes and shapes. Another advantage of
y ipre = *−1 冋兺 册p
l=1
l* 共xli兲 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (4)
the model-based approach is that there is an associated criterion for
assessing the model. This provides a means of selecting not only The complete procedure is carried out using a PC Windows-based
the parameterization of the model but also the number of clusters, public-domain software GRACE (GRaphical Alternating Condi-
without the subjective judgments necessary in other conventional tional Expectations),25 that was developed at Texas A&M U. and
cluster analysis techniques.12,17–21 typically requires a few seconds of computation time.
Banfield and Raftery19 developed a model-based framework The nonparametric regression techniques are very versatile and
for clustering by parameterizing the covariance matrix in terms of can easily handle variables of mixed type. For example, we can
its eigenvalue decomposition. It was subsequently extended by easily incorporate categorical variables such as rock types and
Fraley and Raftery20 to simultaneously determine the number of lithofacies into the correlation, and we can handle missing data
clusters and cluster membership using an Expectation Maximiza- values without additional complications.7 This approach provides
tion (EM) algorithm. This model has had considerable success in us with a rapid and powerful alternative to traditional multiple
a number of practical applications, including character recognition, regression techniques for building correlations for a variety of appli-
tissue segmentation, minefield and seismic fault detection, identi- cations, particularly in the presence of several predictor variables.
fication of textile flaws from images, and classification of astro-
nomical data. We used MCA in our approach. Field Application
The identified clusters can be viewed as distinct electrofacies We have applied the proposed technique to the NRU, a heteroge-
groups that reflect the hydrologic, lithologic, and diagenetic char- neous carbonate reservoir in west Texas. Conventional multiple
acteristics. If we have additional information such as core obser- regression did not provide satisfactory permeability estimates in
vations or geological insight, the identified electrofacies groups this field. The NRU is located in the northern part of the Central
could be calibrated to ensure their interpretable geological meaning. Basin Platform of the Permian Basin (Figs. 1 and 2). There are
two main producing horizons, the Glorieta and Clearfork forma-
Discriminant Analysis. Discriminant analysis is a multivariate tions (often referred to as the Upper and Lower Clearfork). The
method for assigning an individual observation vector to two or productive, or hydrocarbon-bearing, interval extends from the top
tion (EFACIES) and data correlation using the ACE model result in improved permeability estimates compared to a previ-
(GRACE) can be obtained at the web address found in Ref. 25. ous study based on rock-type identification.
2. The success of our proposed approach can be attributed to the
Conclusions robust discriminatory power of the electrofacies characterization
The principal underlying idea in this paper is that by preclassifying and the reliability of the nonparametric regression model. The
the well-log responses into several distinct clusters or electrofacies primary difficulty with the rock-type approach appears to be in
and finding the optimum permeability correlation model for each assigning appropriate rock types at the uncored wells based on
cluster, improved permeability estimates may be obtained, particu- well-log responses. This can impact the permeability estimates
larly in heterogeneous carbonate reservoirs. The following conclu- even though the permeability correlations within each rock type
sions can be drawn based on the results presented here. may be quite satisfactory.
1. We demonstrate a field application of the electrofacies charac- 3. Nonparametric regression techniques (e.g., the ACE algorithm)
terization and nonparametric regression for permeability esti- offer a powerful, versatile, and fully automated tool for building
mates using well logs in a complex carbonate reservoir, the permeability correlations in heterogeneous carbonate reservoirs
North Robertson Unit, west Texas. The proposed approach is without subjective assumptions regarding the functional rela-
cost effective and computationally efficient and also appears to tionship between permeability and well logs.
Fig. 9—Measured vs. predicted permeability based on the elec- Fig. 10—Measured vs. predicted permeability based on the elec-
trofacies classification and the ACE algorithm (Well 3533). trofacies classification and ACE (Well 1509).
Fig. 12—Measured vs. predicted permeability based on the electrofacies classification and the ACE algorithm (Well 1509—
reservoir interval 6,150 to 6,575 ft).
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