Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
Metro Manila represents a rather extreme version of the privatization of planning. A defining characteristic
of urban development of Metro Manila is the unprecedented privatization of urban and regional planning.
Local and national government: the public sector’s capacity to plan has been fundamentally
compromised due to pressures for fiscal austerity, and governments have embraced the
view that urban development is best left to the private sector.
Private developers had landholdings which were carry over from the plantation economy. This created
an oligopolistic real estate agents of ‘cutting edge’ innovations in urban development. Large property
developers have assumed new planning powers and developed visions for metro-scale development in
the wake of the retreat of government from city-building and consequent deterioration of the urban
environment.
These developers are lured into the property sector by the profits to be realized from an emerging
consumer class of ‘winners’ in the globalization of these urban economies, and from multinational and
local corporate investors.
Private developers naturally tapped foreign planners and architects for models of urbanism that
are attractive, efficient, consumer-oriented, and therefore profitable. Yet, while their designs are
influenced by planning models from the United States and Europe, their central purpose is to distinguish
urban mega-projects from the rest of the city in the quality and aesthetic character of the spaces created
in order to attract the consumer class and maximize profit. Hence their impact is less to ‘Westernize’
urban form than it is to commodify the urban experience.
2. Non-EDSA Corridor
Eastwood
Fort Bonifacio
Alabang
Laguna
Bataan
PROPERTY MARKET
IN METRO MANILA
Real estate sector is an important production factor in generating economic output as measured by GDP.
real estate represents about 45% of the GDP in mature developed countries.
higher quality real estate tends to be less than 45% of GDP in developing countries.
real estate loans represented 15% (RP) to 40% (MAL & THA) and represented 7% (IND) to 55% (MAL)
of GNP in SE Asia
In the Philippines the business indicators of the real estate sector includes:
hurdle rate of return is between 16.4% to 22.8%
Risk premium relative to US Real Estate market of the Philippines is between
8.9% to12.3%
Liang, Youguo Ph.D., CFA & Gordon, Nancy M.; A Bird’s Eye View of Global Real Estate Markets; Pramerica
Real Estate Investors; March 2003; USA
A Free sample background from www.awesomebackgrounds.com
Slide 13 © 2003 By Default!
SE Asian Real Estate Boom and Bust Cycles
2002-
2002-2007
1997-
1997-2007
Unlike other popular Southeast Asian hot spots, Malaysia is the only country which does not restrict foreign real
estate investment properties buyers to leasehold arrangements or apartments only property ownership. Other
countries like Thailand, the Philippines, Indonesia, Hong Kong and even Singapore do not allow land ownership.
Another big advantage is the liberal banks of Kuala Lumpur which have rules for overseas investors to be granted
mostly strings-
strings-free mortgages and up to 90% secure finance mortgage in most cases
cases
Mortgage securitization
600.00 18.00
16.00
500.00
14.00
400.00 12.00
Ayala Corporation
10.00
300.00 Ayala Land Inc
8.00
200.00 6.00
4.00
100.00
2.00
- -
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 29- 29- 28- 27- 30- 29- 29- 29- 28-
Dec- Dec- Dec- Dec- Dec- Dec- Dec- Dec- Dec-
99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07
7. Washington DC (2001)
After $9.5 billion in expenditures, the completed system had
generated between $10 and $15 billion in new land value.
Hack, Jonathan, Regeneration and Spatial Development: a Review
of Research and Current Practice, IBI Group, Toronto, 2002.
Financial ratios
UK Transit data
Fare Subsidies
Classic Justification for Transit Fare Hong Kong Has Fare Autonomy
Subsidies in the Developed World Regime
scale economies imply that the marginal MTRC has commercial autonomy to set
social cost of supplying passenger miles its own fares according to free market
forces.
is less than the average cost. These
scale economies may arise from fixed
costs, such as track and station Philippines Fare Setting ad
maintenance; but more importantly they Subsidies
arise from the “Mohring effect”, whereby Fare increases was politicized and a tool
by government to provide affordable
user costs of waiting at transit stops or transportation to Metro Manila in the
accessing transit decline as service face of US$ 100 per barrel oil prices.
frequency or route density is increased
(Mohring 1972). A related point is that MRT3 average fare rate is 50% less
higher passenger density allows vehicles compared to comparable air-conditioned
average bus fare rate
to be operated with higher occupancy,
thereby saving on agency costs.
PROPERTY DEVELOPMENT
AND TRANSIT FINANCING
(Philippine adaptation of MRT Hong Kong Model)
Notes:
Cubao Station
Araneta Center 35 hectare CBD
(Araneta Family)
2 million commuter and
shopper traffic a day
1. Gateway Mall
2. Farmers Market
3. Ali Mall
2. EDSA Shangri-
Shangri-la Mall (Kuok
(Kuok corporation)
175,000 sqm leasable area for high- end shopping
and linked to EDSA Shangrila Hotel
P u b l i c S e c to r M o n th l y P u b l i c S e c to r M o n th l y S h a r e o f N o n -T r a n si t
T r a n si t a n d N o n -T r a n si t Re ve n ue
m o n t h ly p a s s e n g e r re ve n u e 3 ,226,1 90.48 m o n t h ly a d ve rt is in g in c o m e 1,78 5,714.29
c o lle c t io n
P ro p e rt y D e ve lo p m e n t R ig h t s 496,0 31.75 m o n t h ly s t a t io n re t a il (P h P ) 7 1,428.57
P ay m ent
s u b to ta l m o n th ly 3 ,7 2 2 ,2 2 2 .2 2 M a ll d e ve lo p m e n t (P h P ) 3,01 7,857.14
fa r e b o x r e v e n u e U S $
S u b to ta l A d d itio n a l 4 ,8 7 5 ,0 0 0 .0 0
P u b lic S e c to r S h a r e o f
M o n th ly N o n -tr a n s it
R e v e n u e (U S $ )
A c tu a l M o n th l y P u b l i c (7 , 2 6 9 , 9 9 9 . 1 1 ) P o te n ti a l M o n th l y P u b l i c (2 , 3 9 4 , 9 9 9 . 1 1 )
S e c to r S u b si d y S e c to r S u b si d y
a ve ra g e fa re 12.50
U S $ P h P e x c h a n g e ra t e 42.00
POWER GENERATION
AND TRANSIT FINANCING
(Philippine adaptation of German Utility-Transit Model)
MRT3 consumes 2.4 million Kwh per month with the 500 MT a day capcity MSW plant can produce landfill
resulting carbon emission of 15,000 tons a month gas equivalent to 7.9 million cum of landfill gas
annually
Diesel fuel buses would need 4,980 liters per day to 7.9 million cum of landfill gas will allow you to operate a
carry the equivalent number of 450,000 passengers a 2.5 MW landfill gas power plant
day.
Monthly additional income
Diesel fueled buses would need 149,585 liters per
month with the resulting carbon emission of 95,000 US$ 279,000 annual value of the landfill gas
tons a month.
US$ 118,000 annual carbon emission credit
There is approximately a US$ 995,000 a year gain from PhP 4.65 average generation cost or PhP 15.6million a
carbon emission reduction from the shift from diesel monthly expense
buses to MRT3. (US$ 7.50 per ton of CO2)
PhP 3.25 average generation cost (landfill gas) or PhP
11.0 million monthly expense or result in a PhP 4.0
million monthly savings.
there should be a balance between between public sector fiscal discipline and
private sector investment in the development transit system. transit systems should
not be viewed as political prestige boosting projects.
The End