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segundo Grupo de Investigación de Energía Renovable, Universidad King Abdulaziz, Jeddah 21589, Arabia Saudita
C Departamento de Ingeniería Eléctrica, Universidad de Ingeniería y Tecnología de NED, 75270, Karachi Pakistán
Historia del artículo: Este estudio está dirigido a aclarar específicamente el efecto paramétrico de los datos sobre la producción de hidrógeno utilizando la
Recibido el 7 de febrero de 2019 Recibido energía solar a través de la electrólisis del agua. La técnica de Análisis de Varianza (ANOVA) se utiliza para verificar y verificar los
en forma revisada el 19 de marzo de potenciales de otros dispositivos demostrativos fácticos con respecto a la calidad real y anticipada, la reacción en el medio de los
2019 residuos y la investigación anticipada de la superficie y la forma en 3D. La base de datos del modelo creado fue creada en vista del
Aceptado el 5 de abril de 2019 profundo estudio a realizar. Se elaboró un modelo fáctico y se estableció una aceptación exploratoria de la investigación de
Palabras clave:
Modelo estadístico
Método ANOVA
Producción de hidrógeno
Energía solar © 2019 Hydrogen Energy Publications LLC. Publicado por Elsevier Ltd. Todos los derechos reservados.
como película delgada de disulfuro de indio, cobre, monocristalino, silicio amorfo, heterounión
Introducción que incorpora película delgada, etc. para realizar experimentos al aire libre para producir energía
* Autor correspondiente.
* * Autor correspondiente.
Correos electrónicos: shouquat64@gmail.com , engi.shouquat@um.edu.my (MS Hossain), jeyraj@um.edu.my (J. Selvaraj).
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijhydene.2019.04.028
0360-3199 / © 2019 Hydrogen Energy Publications LLC. Publicado por Elsevier Ltd. Todos los derechos reservados.
14572 inte rna ti ona lj ou r na lof hy drogenenergy 4 4 (2 0 1 9) 1 4 5 7 1 mi 1 4 5 7 9
para diferentes cargas de energía. Abdulhamid El-sharif (2013) realizó otra simulación de
A ideal factor of PV cell
hidrógeno solar [14] . Construyó un modelo utilizando el software IPSEpro para un efecto de
ANOVA analysis of variance
sistema de generación de hidrógeno solar a escala comercial. Los principales componentes de
CV coefficients of variation
sus estudios son el sistema de hidrógeno renovado, los datos climáticos y energéticos. Otro
D g F model degree of freedom of model
investigador (Jinsheng et al.,
D g F residual degree of freedom of residual
F- value F-statistic
I current (A)
2013) presentó un modelo geométrico para el sistema de almacenamiento de hidrógeno [15] . Su
ID diode current (A)
modelo se basó en Matlab y el software de dinámica de fluidos computacional (CFD). Analizó el
IL photovoltaic generated current (A)
efecto de la transferencia de calor y masa específica variable y el fl ujo de fluido en un sistema
I0 diode saturation current (A) shunt leakage
de almacenamiento de hidrógeno crioadsortivo. El almacenamiento de hidrógeno como
I SH current (A) constant (Boltzmann's)
combustible o gas se puede utilizar para generar electricidad para la conexión a la red,
K
generación de energía para automóviles, que son todas las alternativas disponibles como
Mn 2 RG mean of square regression mean of
aplicación de energía de hidrógeno renovable. [dieciséis] .
Mn 2 RD square residual Mean square error
Mn 2 er
En esta investigación, está claro que el concepto de producción de hidrógeno está
n number of experiments
disponible mediante el uso de estas dos variables, a saber, el tiempo y la potencia fotovoltaica,
Nm 3 normal meter cube
en las que este modelo estadístico ayudaría a identificar los pasos cruciales necesarios en la
P model parameters
configuración experimental. Este tipo de modelo está relacionado principalmente con la
p-value the p-value
ingeniería química, que involucra cinética, propiedades físicas, balances de masa y energía en
q electronic charge ( c)
el procesamiento de las ecuaciones algebraicas diferenciales y las ecuaciones algebraicas de
R2 determination coefficient
estado estable tanto para los procesos dinámicos como para los de estado estable. [17,18] .
R 2 adj adjusted coefficient of determination cell series resistance
También es un desafío bastante emocionante generar los modelos matemáticos precisos para
RS ( U)
realizar todas las operaciones necesarias para representar un aspecto de diseño adecuado para
S RG sum of squares
su consideración en un proceso de polimerización tan complejo. [19] .
S RD sum of residual
SD standard deviation
Ʃ S2 sum of squares
son los procedimientos estimados asociados que se utilizan para analizar las diferencias entre
suitable option to be used as a fuel to generate a reliable source of energy for almost every las medias de los grupos en una muestra. Básicamente, el método ANOVA se utiliza para
application that fossil fuel can generate [9] . Furthermore, hydrogen can also be converted into comparar una respuesta continua en los niveles de un factor. [21] . In fact, the response surface
other types of energy more efficiently than all the fossil fuels put together. methodology (RSM) is a functional statistical tool for determining the optimumprocessing
parametric calibration from a laboratory scale to an industrial scale as pointed out by various
workers in the solar energy sphere. The design of experiment (DoE) is considered as very vital
Recently, many studies have been conducted to use renewable energy as an alternative for a fruitful experimental study [22] . As a result, some classical factors and central responses
source of hydrogen production. For example; Ghenai et al. (2018), did a technicoeconomic from the tools can produce a composite unique design that can be utilized to investigate the
analysis of off grid solar PV/Fuel cell energy supply system for the residential community. interactions of process factors depending on the polynomial models obtained by this method.
Authors designed the hybrid system to meet the energy demand of 4500 kWh/day in 150 houses
and found 52%energy coming fromthe solar PVand 48% fromthe fuel cell, which is economically
lowcost of energy of 145 $/MWh with zero carbon dioxide emission [10] . Khalilnejad and Riahy
(2014) used a hybrid wind and solar energy for hydrogen production. The study investigated the
electrolyzer. The study showed that the wind turbine was most effective for hydrogen production
due to the availability of free wind resources [2,3,11] . Ghridi et al. (2013), has been introduced a It is to be intrinsically noted that the objective of this work is predominantly to investigate the
technique for producing hydrogen from the solar PV/proton exchange membrane (PEM) production of hydrogen relationship between the PV power and the time involved as well as to
electrolyzer system, wherein the total annual production of hydrogen is estimated around 20 e 29m find out the optimum process parameters for the hydrogen polymerization in a solar photovoltaic
3 by using 60Wsolar PV modules [12] . Zehar and Muhsin, (2013), modeled a solar process using the RSM modeling and the Central Composite Design (CCD) technique. This
statistical model will contain all the basic models for producing hydrogen by using any solar
photovoltaic panel or solar hybrid system, hence, it will be more advantageous to predict the
result before the experiment is performed, thus, in one way or another, saving on time and
i n t e r na t i ona l j ou r na l o f hy d r og e n e n e r g y 4 4 ( 2 0 1 9 ) 1 4 5 7 1 e 1 4 5 7 9 14573
cost should not be overlooked. We can also compare the actual and predicted values from the
results.
Experimental overview
This is an example of a 2-Dmodel for the solar PV power using the water electrolyzer
are: voltage is 24.5 V, power is 200 Watts and the current is 8.16 A. The PV module is a 50-call
design specification for large and small PV systems. The total area selected for the PVmodule is
to measure the interphase of the water electrolysis points. The experimental period is from 24 h
to 8,760 h, which means from one day to 356 days. The PV modules circuit diagram and all the
related equations are not affected. The PV power output range is 500 e 6000 W and the voltage is
V is the solar cell terminal voltage (V).
from 61.28 to 735.30 V. The solar radiation is calculated on a 200 W/m 2 as the minimum value
R S is the cell series resistance ( U).
and 1200 W/m 2 as the maximum value The PV panel average slope from the three sites, namely,
A is the ideal factor of PV cell.
Novi Sad city, Belgrade city and national park Kopaonik, was found to be above 20 [16] .
k is the constant (Boltzmann's) and.
To determine the equivalent circuit through the PV cell and electrolyzer system. The PV cell
I SH ¼ V þ IR s (3)
has one diode model, as shown in Fig. 2 . This is a simple way to depict, based on the Kirchhoff's R SH
current law. The voltage and current generated from the cell are directly proportional to the solar
An Electrolyzer is amachine that uses electrical energy and water to generate hydrogen and
irradiation. The purposed characteristic of the cell by diode is given by the following expression [2]
oxygen through the process of electrolysis. This hydrogen so obtained is stored in a tank at a
:
high pressure. The PV panel positive terminal is connected across the anode, and the negative
terminal is connected to
the cathode after which, water ( H 2 O) particles will be separated into hydrogen ( H 2) and Oxygen ( O
I ¼ IL ID I SH (1)
2) as shows in Fig. 3 .
The total (output) current is equal to the difference of the
and the shunt leakage current I SH. I D and is defined by this Eq.
(2) :
ID¼ I0 e q ð AkTc
V þ IRs Þ 1 (2)
The model variables are used to consider the experimental importance of the dispute between
the time ( A) and the PV power ( B). Themain variable will always be the PV power used in the
water electrolysis system during the experimental period, because this system uses a
combination of the PV power and the hydrogen electrolyzer. Table 1 shows the range of the low
adj as given by Eqs. (4) e( 6) respectively
and the high coded values ( 1, þ 1), the actual low and high values, and the type of experiment
[21,25 e 29] :
(Numeric) as well as the unit used.
Eqs. (4) and (5) :
P
S2P
R2 ¼ 1 P2 (4)
S model þ residualS residual
2
Depending on the CCD, the experiment runs about 13 number of times. Table 2 shows, the
P2
factor's values and responses of the hydrogen represented in Nm 3. The polynomial method of
S residual D F
g residual þ D g F residual
R 2 adj ¼ 1 P P (5) equation has been used for plotting the three dimensional (3-D) surface and the two-dimensional
S mod
2 þ S residual
2 D g F mod el
el (2-D) contours to identify individual factors, their points of intersection, reactions and responses
The composite model of the system has now been created by analyzing the response of the respectively. This model
Nm 3 of the hydrogen conversion per mass given by the following Eq. (6) .
In Eq. (6) , Y is the total response vector and taking the model into the Linear, two-factor,
The result of response 1 showed that the hydrogen productions ranged from 20 to 75 Nm 3 in
Quadratic and Cubic interactive effects, where ε is the error vector. These experimental data,
which the maximum response of 75 Nm 3 has been found on the condition that A is 8760 h and B is
design, evaluation statistical model and various equations have been carried out by the
6000 Watts. It is very clear that the experimental parameters for the hydrogen electrolysis system
regression and graphical analyses. The ideal preparatory condition has evaluated the
can achieve an optimum process condition.
three-dimensional plot surface and regression analysis of the independent variables with each
Fitting test
p- value. At the same time it signifies the interaction intensity between all the independent Themodel fitting analysis uses the ANOVAmethod, where the
variables interface for small p- F- value and p- value analyses have been utilized. Table 3
value where it points out the higher level of significance of the related variable. The second-order shows the results of using the Linear, 2FI (2-Factor Interaction), Quadratic and Cubicmodels
models have been tested by using the ANOVA and F- value methods analyses aswell as the final results of using the Sumof Squares, Linear ( A, B), 2FI ( AB, BA), Quadratic ( A 2,
B 2) and Cubic ( A 3, B 3) models. It is seen that the linear and cubic models are the best for this
[21] . This F- value equation can be obtained by the following expression: significance and experimental design. The small p- value (Prob > F) indicates (as in
2
Mn RG
F¼
2
(7) Table 4 ) that the selected model can improve its performance significantly.
Mn RD
To find out the particular points of F- values, it is necessary to complete the residual and The large F- values also indicate that the small variance of the experiment and the lesser
regression steps with the help of the application of the Degree of Freedom (DOF) based on the F number may be less to be harmonic [30,31] . The ratio between the mean square and the sum of
distribution method from which regression coefficients have been displaced with the help of the p- square as shown in Table 4 is called F- value. The mathematical model shows that when the
values. response of hydrogen is established, the F- values will be distributed normally [21] . The proposed
model quadratic equation is important for identifying the independent variations which are
This model error will represent the variation which indicates the coefficient as formulated by
Factor Name Units Type Low Coded High Coded Low Actual High Actual
model is very low at 1.88%, which indicates a high performance and excellent model from the
Run Factor A Factor B Response 1
experimental results. The model results are shown in
Time hr PV Power Hydrogen
Watt Nm 3
Table 4 indicating the evidence of all linear and quadratic terms due to their small p- values.
1 4392 3250 45
2 1056.3 3250 59
The polynomial equation is used with the help of multiple regression and squares methods
3 1785.28 3250 44
which are a second order equation. From the study of the variation data, the following equation
4 24 500 20
12 8760 6000 75
tested to fit. This fitted model outcome and numerous results are shown in Table 4 . For more Ideography for the model quality
appropriate model, the R-
Squared ( R 2), the R-Squared adj ( R 2 adj), the CV and F-value have The graphical representation of this model will contain more identifications of the experimental
been used [32] . From Table 4 , it is also shown that themodel F- results which come out with the probability of residual points, actual and predicted values on this
value is 350.92 which is significant for this model with respect to its negligible p- value (0.0002) statistical experimental model. In this model, several ideographic tools have been used to check
and it indicates that themodel terms chosen are important. The coefficient of the model can be the adequacy of the parameters. The appropriate model is very important because not only has
utilized to identify the precision and accuracy of performance. The model accepted value of the influence line to be plotted but also the residual effects as well the difference between the
0.9991 which is 99.91% validity and 1.5% overall cannot be accepted as purely
Lack of Fit 0.83; R-Squared 0.9991; Adj R-Squared 0.9962; C.V. % 1.88.
14576 i n t e rna t i ona l j ou r na l o f hy d r o g e n e n e r g y 4 4 ( 2 0 1 9 ) 1 4 5 7 1 e 1 4 5 7 9
response and the actual values should be portrayed. These residual effects are considered as a
Table 5 e t- test result for testing the significance of individual parameters.
component of variations which exactly fit in this model [33 e 35] . The normal distribution of
residuals is indicated in Fig. 4 , which is plotted with respect to the predicted values. The straight
One-Sample Test (Individual Parameter) Factor
line is rationally closed and the square points are tacking of the overlooks and the data is
supported by the normal path as shown by the straight line. However, this drift model has been t DgF p- value
applied to calculate the prediction results of the hydrogen production and is compared with the Factor, A 92.466 19 0.00001
actual experimental results as shown in Fig. 5 . It further clearly shows the magnitude of the Factor, B 90.822 19 0.00001
difference between the actual and the predicted values. These results are suitable because the
comparatively close to the straight trend line. Fig. 5 proves more confidently that the equations
and data used for fitting have been quite appropriate. The CCD method has been conducted with
the experimental output design which functions in converting the hydrogen response in Nm 3.
In order to show the fitness of significant data towards the normality line, t- test is an effective
Fig. 4 e Normal plot of residuals.
statistical tool. The t- test can show the validity of the parameter selected for analysis.
any time to disrupt the data arrangement [36] . The amount of hydrogen production rate in Nm 3 shown
in the t plot outlier is as shown in Fig. 7 . The plot represents the outlier of t which calculates the
degree of intensity, and the intentional deviation of actual value comes from the predicted values.
From
Fig. 6 , two side lines are the standardmaximumresidualswith a range of ± 3 and the values inside
are totally related to the experimental responses [37] . It is seen that the fitted model is created
Fig. 8 shows the hydrogen production rate with the help of two factors in the perturbation
plot. This is a process for starting and ending points on the restricted variables, in which the
display only single variables. While at the same time, the additional process indicates that all the
variables go through a centre point, which has a constant value. It is observed that the slope line
is a factor, which represents the response (hydrogen production) and the flat line shows
irresponsibility for the response. From the diagram, it is clear that the PV power ( B) is more
effective for the output response. The perturbation diagramalso shows all factors of parameters
From Table 5 , it can be noticed that the p- value obtained from the t- test analysis ismuch lower
than 0.05 for every individual factor A (time) and B (PV power) taken into consideration is a Model response in 3-D outlook analysis
highly correlated factor to hydrogen production.
The output result of this model has been involved in a 3-D form which will make a clearer
Fig. 6 shows the reaction between the residuals vs the predicted data optimization for the identification for the factors and the responses. The benefits of the RSMmethod is that it is
hydrogen response. This is the stage for observing the low to high production levels with the capable of observing the interactions between the independent parameters, and their effects
production of hydrogen being shown in different colors. The output results show that the which look like a secondary combination of the factors. In this study, the factors and their
variables used for thismodel are quite appropriate, hence, there is no need for any modification graphical presentation are important for understanding the interactive activities between the
until the results show a big error from the experimental side. Further details can be obtained responses and the independent values [38] . In Fig. 9 , two 3-D plots are indicated. With the help
from Table 2 . During the experimental period, the outliers are tested for the occurrence of errors of Eq. (9) , these 3-D responses (hydrogen production rate) are created. The first one is a high
Fig. 9 e 3-D plotted for hydrogen production (Nm 3). PV power vs. Time.
14578 i n t e rna t i ona l j ou r na l o f hy d r o g e n e n e r g y 4 4 ( 2 0 1 9 ) 1 4 5 7 1 e 1 4 5 7 9
the hydrogen production. Another plot is approximately PV power, time and hydrogen production. the nature of the compound, monomer, and response conditions can likewise essentially
Graphical lines and colors show which levels are integrating during the period of the production influence the hydrogen with less impact [40,41] . For future studies, a hybrid photovoltaic thermal
of hydrogen. The interaction level between two parameters has been explained by the response and photovoltaic wind system with an optimized water flow cooling system for reducing cell
surface and other response which are constantly at their middle points. temperature can be added to get more electrical power from the conventional system.
that hydrogen production is 77 Nm 3, where the PV power is 6000 Watts and the time consumed
is 8760 h. However, at 24 h, the two production can be viewed 20 Nm 3 and 38 Nm 3
Acknowledgments
respectively. Because production is dependent on PV power and time. Those differences show
The authors are thankful to the UM Power Energy Dedicated Advanced Centre (UMPEDAC) and
that even the power is high, but because of less time spend the production will be low. It is very
the Higher Institution Centre of Excellence (HICoE) Program Research Grant, UMPEDAC - 2018
clear that, at the starting point, the production was of a low amount but when the time increased
(MOHE HICOE - UMPEDAC) and RU007-2018 for supporting this research project
up to that level, the production of hydrogen also increased correspondingly.
The two plots are the combination of the factors and relation between the PV powers ( B) and references
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