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The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/

+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Table LV1 Page 1 LV1


On a scale of 1 to 7, where one means NOT AT ALL INTERESTED and 7 means EXTREMELY INTERESTED, how
INTERESTED are you in this year's PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION?
Table LV1 Page 3 LV1
On a scale of 1 to 7, where one means NOT AT ALL INTERESTED and 7 means EXTREMELY INTERESTED, how
INTERESTED are you in this year's PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION?
Table LV1 Page 4 LV1
On a scale of 1 to 7, where one means NOT AT ALL INTERESTED and 7 means EXTREMELY INTERESTED, how
INTERESTED are you in this year's PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION?
Table LV2 Page 6 LV2
How LIKELY is it that you will ACTUALLY VOTE in November's Presidential election? Would you say you
are...
Table LV2 Page 7 LV2
How LIKELY is it that you will ACTUALLY VOTE in November's
November's Presidential election? Would you say you
are...
Table LV2 Page 8 LV2
How LIKELY is it that you will ACTUALLY VOTE in November's Presidential election? Would you say you
are...
Table LV3 Page 9 LV3
How OFTEN would you say you TYPICALLY vote in Presidential elections?
Table LV3 Page 10 LV3
How OFTEN would you say you TYPICALLY vote in Presidential elections?
Table LV3 Page 11 LV3
How OFTEN would you say you TYPICALLY vote in Presidential elections?
Table H3A_RV Page 12 H3A(REGISTERED)
If the presidential election were held today, and the following were the candidates, for whom would
you vote? (REGISTERED VOTERS SAMPLE)
Table H3A_RV Page 13 H3A(REGISTERED)
If the presidential
presidential election were held today, and the following were the candidates, for whom would
you vote? (REGISTERED VOTERS SAMPLE)

Table H3A_RV Page 14 H3A(REGISTERED)


If the presidential election w
were
ere held today, and the following were the candidates, for whom would
you vote? (REGISTERED VOTERS SAMPLE)
Table H3A_LV Page 15 H3A(LIKELY)
If the presidential election were held today, and
and the following were the candidates, for whom would
you vote? (LIKELY VOTERS SAMPLE)
Table H3A_LV Page 16 H3A(LIKELY)
If the presidential election were held today, and the following were the candidates, for whom would
you vote? (LIKELY VOTERS SAMPLE)
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/-
+/-3.6 Percentage Points

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Table H3A_LV Page 17 H3A(LIKELY)


whom
If the presidential election were held today, and the following were the candidates, for whom would
you vote? (LIKELY VOTERS SAMPLE)
Table H3B_LV Page 18 H3B
Who do you LEAN toward? (LIKELY VOTERS SAMPLE)
Table H3B_LV Page 19 H3B
Who do you LEAN toward? (LIKELY VOTERS SAMPLE)
Table H3B_LV Page 20 H3B
Who do you LEAN toward? (LIKELY VOTERS SAMPLE)
Table H3CA Page 21 H3CA
Do you support Donald Trump strongly or moderately?
moderately?
Table H3CA Page 22 H3CA
Do you support Donald Trump strongly or moderately?
Table H3CA Page 23 H3CA
Do you support Donald Trump strongly or moderately?
Table H3CB Page 24 H3CA
Do you support Joe Biden strongly or moderately?
Table H3CB Page 25 H3CA
Do you support Joe Biden strongly or moderately?
Table H3CB Page 26 H3CA
H3CA
Do you support Joe Biden strongly or moderately?
Table H3D Page 27 H3D
How likely are you to change your current presidential vote preference by Election Day, November 3?
ALL VOTERS

Table H3D Page 28 H3D


How likely are you to change your current presidential vote preference by Election Day, November 3?
ALL VOTERS
Table H3D Page
Page 29 H3D
How likely are you to change your current presidential vote preference by Election Day, November 3?
ALL VOTERS
Table H3E Page 30 H3E
Regardless of your candidate preference, who do you expect to win the presidential election in
November?

Table H3E Page 31 H3E


Regardless of your candidate preference, who do you expect to win the presidential election in
November?
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, C
Credibility
redibility Interval +/-
+/-3.6 Percentage Points

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Table H3E Page 32 H3E


Regardless of your candidate preference, who do you expect to win the presidential election in
November?
November?
Table H3F Page 33 H3F
To the best of your knowledge, if the presidential election were held today, who do you believe most
of your neighbors would vote for?

Table H3F Page


Page 34 H3F
To the best of your knowledge, if the presidential election were held today, who do you believe most
of your neighbors would vote for?
Table H3F Page 35 H3F
To the best of your knowledge, if the presidential election were held today, who do you believe most
of your neighbors would vote for?
Table I4 Page 36 I4
In today’s
today’s political environment, how comfortable are you with truthfully revealing to others whom you
plan to vote for in the presidential election in November?
Table I4 Page 37 I4
In today’s political environment, how comfortable are you with truthfully revealing to others whom you
plan to vote for in the presidential election in November?
Table I4 Page 38 I4
In today’s political
political environment, how comfortable are you with truthfully revealing to others whom you
plan to vote for in the presidential election in November?
Table I5 Page 39 I5
Please indicate the extent to which you AGREE or DISAGREE with the following statement: I personally
agree with Donald Trump on a number of issues, though I am reluctant to admit this in public.
Table I5 Page 40 I5
Please indicate the extent to which you AGREE or DISAGREE with the following statement: I personally
agree with Donald Trump on a number of issues, though I am reluctant to admit this in public.
Table I5 Page 41 I5
Please indicate the extent to which you AGREE or DISAGREE with the following statement: I personally
agree with Donald Trump on a number of issues, though I am reluctant to admit this in public.
Table L1_RV Page 42 L1(REGISTERED)
In your opinion, which presidential candidate MOST supports law enforcement and the rule of law?
(REGISTERED VOTERS SAMPLE)

Table L1_RV Page 43 L1(REGISTERED)


In your opinion, which presidential candidate MOST supports law enforcement and the rule of law?
(REGISTERED VOTERS SAMPLE)
Table L1_RV Page 44 L1(REGISTERED)
In your opinion, which presidential candidate MOST supports law enforcement and the rule of law?
(REGISTERED VOTERS SAMPLE)
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, +/-
Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/-3.6 Percentage Points

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Table L1_LV Page 45 L1(LIKELY)


In your opinion, which presidential candidate MOST supports law enforcement and the rule of
law?(LIKELY VOTERS SAMPLE)
Table L1_LV Page 46 L1(LIKELY)
In your opinion, which presidential candidate MOST supports law enforcement and the rule of
law?(LIKELY VOTERS SAMPLE)

Table L1_LV Page 47 L1(LIKELY)


In your opinion, which presidential candidate MOST supports law enforcement and the rule of
law?(LIKELY VOTERS SAMPLE)
Table L2_RV Page 48 L2(REGISTERED)
In your opinion, which presidential candidate BETTER understands the plight of the American worker?
(REGISTERED VOTERS SAMPLE)
Table L2_RV Page 49 L2(REGISTERED)
In your opinion, which presidential candidate BETTER understands the plight of the American worker?
(REGISTERED VOTERS SAMPLE)
Table L2_RV Page 50 L2(REGISTERED)
In your opinion, which presidential candidate BETTER understands the plight of the American worker?
(REGISTERED VOTERS SAMPLE)
Table L2_LV Page 51 L2(LIKELY)
In your
your opinion, which presidential candidate BETTER understands the plight of the American
worker?(LIKELY VOTERS SAMPLE)
Table L2_LV Page 52 L2(LIKELY)
In your opinion, which presidential candidate
candidate BETTER understands the plight of the American
worker?(LIKELY VOTERS SAMPLE)

Table L2_LV Page 53 L2(LIKELY)


plight
In your opinion, which presidential candidate BETTER understands the plight of the American
worker?(LIKELY VOTERS SAMPLE)
Table REG Page 54 Reg.
REGION
Table REG Page 55 Reg.
REGION
Table REG Page 56 Reg.
REGION
Table AREA Page 57 Reg.
AREA TYPE
Table AREA Page 58 Reg.
AREA TYPE
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely,
Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/-
+/-3.6 Percentage Points

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Table AREA Page 59 Reg.


AREA TYPE
Table D1 Page 60 D1.
Age
Table D1 Page 61 D1.
Age
Table D1 Page 62 D1.
Age
Table D2 Page 63 D2.
Marital Status
Table D2 Page 64 D2.
Marital Status
Table D2 Page 65 D2.
Marital Status
Table D3 Page 66 D3.
YOUR
And are you the parent of any children UNDER THE AGE of 18 LIVING IN YOUR HOUSEHOLD?
Table D3 Page 67 D3.
And are you the parent of any children UNDER THE AGE of 18 LIVING IN YOUR HOUSEHOLD?
Table D3 Page 68 D3.
And are you the parent of any children
children UNDER THE AGE of 18 LIVING IN YOUR HOUSEHOLD?
Table D4 Page 69 D4.
What is the HIGHEST LEVEL OF EDUCATION that you've COMPLETED?
Table D4 Page 71 D4.
What is the HIGHEST
HIGHEST LEVEL OF EDUCATION that you've COMPLETED?
Table D4 Page 73 D4.
What is the HIGHEST LEVEL OF EDUCATION that you've COMPLETED?
Table D5 Page 75 D5.
Household Income
Table D5 Page 77 D5.
Household Income
Table D5 Page 79 D5.
Household Income
Table D7 Page 81 D7.
Are you HISPANIC origin or descent?
descent?
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Table D7 Page 82 D7.


Are you HISPANIC origin or descent?
descent?
Table D7 Page 83 D7.
Are you HISPANIC origin or descent?
Table D7 Page 84 D7/8.
And do you consider yourself:
Table D7 Page 85 D7/8.
And do you consider yourself:
Table D7 Page 86 D7/8.
And do you consider yourself:
Table D9 Page 87 D9.
In politics, do you consider yourself to
to be a DEMOCRAT, a REPUBLICAN, an INDEPENDENT, or something
else?
Table D9 Page 88 D9.
something
In politics, do you consider yourself to be a DEMOCRAT, a REPUBLICAN, an INDEPENDENT, or something
else?

Table D9 Page 89 D9.


In politics, do you consider yourself to be a DEMOCRAT, a REPUBLICAN, an INDEPENDENT, or something
else?
Table AD1 Page
Page 90 AD1.
Ideology
Table AD1 Page 92 AD1.
Ideology
Table AD1 Page 94 AD1.
Ideology
Table AD2 Page 96 AD2.
What is your religious preference -- are you Protestant, Roman Catholic, Orthodox such as Greek or
Russian Orthodox, Mormon, Jewish or another religion or no religion?
Table AD2 Page 98 AD2.
What is your religious preference -- are you Protestant, Roman Catholic, Orthodox such as Greek or
Russian Orthodox, Mormon, Jewish or another religion or no religion?
Table AD2 Page 100 AD2.
What is your religious preference -- are you Protestant, Roman Catholic, Orthodox such as Greek or
Russian Orthodox, Mormon, Jewish or another religion or no religion?
Table CLASS Page 102 CLASS
CLASS
If you were asked to use one of these five commonly used names for the social classes, which would you
say you belong in?
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely,
Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/-
+/-3.6 Percentage Points

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Table CLASS Page 103 CLASS


If you were asked to use one of these five commonly used names for the social classes, which would you
say you belong in?
Table CLASS Page 104 CLASS
If you were asked to use one of these five commonly used names for the social classes, which would you
say you belong in?

Table AD12 Page 105 AD12


Are you or any other member of your household a member of a labor union?
Table AD12 Page 106 AD12
Are you or any other member of your household a member of a labor union?
Table AD12 Page 107 AD12
Are you or any other member of your household a member of a labor union?
Table AD19 Page 108 AD19
Finally, I would like you to rate your chances of voting in November's presidential election.
Table AD19 Page 110 AD19
election.
Finally, I would like you to rate your chances of voting in November's presidential election.

Table AD19 Page 112 AD19


Finally, I would like you to rate your chances of voting in November's presidential election.
Table D10 Page 114 D10.
Gender
Table D10 Page
Page 115 D10.
Gender
Table D10 Page 116 D10.
Gender
Table AD3 Page 117 AD3
In the 2016 election
election for president, did you vote for Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton, another candidate,
or did you not vote for president?
Table AD3 Page 118 AD3
In the 2016 election for president, did
did you vote for Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton, another candidate,
or did you not vote for president?
Table AD3 Page 119 AD3
Trump,
In the 2016 election for president, did you vote for Donald Tru mp, Hillary Clinton, another candidate,
or did you not vote for president?
Table LV1 Page 1
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points
Points

LV1
On a scale of 1 to 7, where one means NOT AT ALL INTERESTED and 7 means EXTREMELY INTERESTED, how INTERESTED are you in
this year's PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION?

==GENDER==
============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====

CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
BASE=REGISTERED VOTERS 909 207 163 113 191 235 77 251 342 239 429 480 763 122 176 145 201
201 378 403 352 154
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 198 176 101 189 245 64 397 322 126 462 447 777 107 143 125 193 437 355 345 190

1=Not at all interested 11 0 2 4 2 3 2 5 3 - 3 8 9 1 4 2 2 3 7 1 3


1% *% 1% 4% 1% 1% 3% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% *% 2%
t
2 9 - 2 3 2 1 2 5 2 - 6 3 5 4 4 1 1 3 5 2 2
1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
i
3 12 4 4 0 - 4 0 5 7 - 4 9 12 0 2 1 3 6 3 4 6
1% 2% 2% *% 2% *% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% *% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 4%
s

4 26 7 5 1 10 2 2 10 10 4 11 15 20 3 4 8 8 5 10 7 9
3% 4% 3% 1% 5% 1% 3% 4% 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 5% 4% 1% 2% 2% 6%
df t

5 82 23 11 6 14 28 11 25 26 21 40 42 72 10 14 15 25 24 32 25 25
9% 11% 7% 5% 7% 12% 14% 10% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% 8% 8% 10% 12% 6% 8% 7% 16%
cd R ST
6 128 41 18 12 26 31 12 42 52 23 61 67 108 18 27 16 30 55 49 55 24
14% 20% 11% 11% 14% 13% 16% 17% 15% 9% 14% 14% 14% 15% 16% 11% 15% 15% 12% 16% 15%
Cd J j

7=Extremely interested 637 131 120 86 136 164 47 157 241 191 305 332 535 85 118 102 131
131 281 295 256 86
70% 63% 74% 76% 72% 70% 62% 63% 71% 80% 71% 69% 70% 70% 67% 70% 65% 74% 73% 73% 56%
b b H GHI q U U
Not sure 3 - 1 1 1 1 0 2 1 - - 3 3 0 3 - - 1 2 1 -
*% *% 1% *% 1% *% 1% *% 1% *% *% 2% *% 1% *%

Comparison Groups: BCDEF/GHIJ/KL/MN/OPQR/STU


Independent Z-
Z-Test for Percentages (unpooled proportions)
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table LV1 Page 2
(Continued)
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

LV1
On a scale of 1 to 7, where one means NOT AT ALL INTERESTED and 7 means EXTREMELY INTERESTED, how INTERESTED are you in
this year's PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION?

============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====

CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
Refused - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

TOP TWO RATINGS 766 172 138 98 162 196 59 199 293 214 366 400 643 104 145 118 161
161 337 344 312 110
84% 83% 85% 86% 85% 83% 77% 79% 86% 89% 85% 83% 84% 85% 82% 81% 80% 89% 85% 89% 71%
H gH pQ U U

Comparison Groups: BCDEF/GHIJ/KL/MN/OPQR/STU


Independent Z-
Z-Test for Percentages (unpooled proportions)
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table LV1 Page 3
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

LV1
On a scale of 1 to 7, where one means NOT AT ALL INTERESTED and 7 means EXTREMELY INTERESTED, how INTERESTED are you in
this year's PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION?

====AREA TYPE==== ===WHITE=== ==BLK/HISP= ==MAR.STAT= ====EDUCATION==== ====IDEOLOOGY====


SUB-
SUB- WHITE WHITE SINGL MARR HIGH SOME
TOTAL URBAN URBAN RURAL MEN WOMEN BLACK HIS. WOMEN WOM SCHL. COLL. COLL+ CONS. MOD. LIB.
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
-----
(A) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S)
BASE=REGISTERED VOTERS 909 200 465 243 365 399 63 59 225 254 225 247 436 300 323 267
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 221 458 230 401 376 47 60 201 244 169 179 561 298 322 265
1=Not at all interested
interested 11 3 5 3 2 7 1 - 3 5 4 4 2 2 3 4
1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2%
2 9 4 3 2 3 2 3 1 2 1 1 5 3 1 0 4
1% 2% 1% 1% 1% *% 5% 1% 1% *% *% 2% 1% *% *% 1%
3 12 2 5 6 4 9 0 0 4 5 6 3 3 4 4 4
1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% *% *% 2% 2% 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2%
4 26 4 15 7 9 11 3 0 5 10 5 9 12 6 14 6
3% 2% 3% 3% 2% 3% 5% *% 2% 4% 2% 4% 3% 2% 4% 2%
5 82 18 44 20 35 37 4 6 20 22 24 25 34 20 44 17
9% 9% 10% 8% 10% 9% 7% 9% 9% 9% 11% 10% 8% 7% 14% 6%
QS

6 128 29 72 27 55 53 10 8 38 29 31 29 69 48 47 28
14% 15% 15% 11% 15% 13% 17% 13% 17% 11% 14% 12% 16% 16% 15% 11%

7=Extremely interested 637 140 321 176 258 277 40 45 150 181 154 171 312 218 209 205
70% 70% 69% 72% 71% 70% 65% 76% 67% 71% 68% 69% 71% 73% 65% 77%
r R

Not sure 3 1 1 1 - 3 - 0 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 -
*% *% *% 1% 1% *% 1% *% *% 1% *% *% *%
Refused - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

TOP TWO RATINGS 766 170 393 204 313 330 51 53 189 210 185
185 200 381 266 256 233
84% 85% 84% 84% 86% 83% 81% 89% 84% 83% 82% 81% 87% 89% 79% 87%
o R R

Comparison Groups: EFG/HI/JK/LM/NOP/QRS


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table LV1 Page 4
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

LV1
On a scale of 1 to 7, where one means NOT AT ALL INTERESTED and 7 means EXTREMELY INTERESTED, how INTERESTED are you in
this year's PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION?

2020 VOTE 2016 VOTE SOCIAL CLASS


Upper-
Upper- Lower-
Lower-
All Middle
Did not Upper middle Midd le middle Lower
Regist. Trump Biden Trump Clinton Other vote class class class class class
------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L)
BASE=REGISTERED VOTERS 909 396 444 393 362 46 107 40 108 475 197 77
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 404 423 398 341 58 108 55 132 460 185 63
1=Not at all interested 11 2 4 3 3 1 4 - 2 3 4 2
1% *% 1% 1% 1% 2% 4% 1% 1% 2% 2%
2 9 3 3 2 1 1 4 0 2 - 3 1
1% 1% 1% 1% *% 3% 4% 1% 2% 2% 1%
3 12 7 4 6 2 1 3 - 0 8 2 2
1% 2% 1% 2% 1% 2% 3% *% 2% 1% 2%
4 26 7 14 9 11 2 4 - 3 13 7 2
3% 2% 3% 2% 3% 3% 4% 3% 3% 4% 3%
5 82 32 35 33 29 8 12 1 4 50 15 10
9% 8% 8% 9% 8% 16% 11% 3% 4% 11% 7% 13%
HI Hi

6 128 66 46 68 35 8 18 3 19 65 30 9
14% 17% 10% 17% 10% 17% 17% 7% 17% 14% 15% 11%
C E H h
7=Extremely interested 637 278 336 270 279 26 60 36 78 335 135 50
70% 70% 76% 69% 77% 57% 56% 89% 72% 70% 68% 65%
D IJKL

Not sure 3 1 1 1 1 - 1 - - 1 - 2
*% *% *% *% *% 1% *% 3%
Refused - - - - - - - - - - - -

Comparison Groups: BC/DE/HIJKL


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance
significance at the 90% level.
Table LV1 Page 5
(Continued)
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

LV1
INTERESTED
On a scale of 1 to 7, where one means NOT AT ALL INTERESTED and 7 means EXTREMELY INTERESTED, how INTERESTED are you in
this year's PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION?

2020 VOTE 2016 VOTE SOCIAL CLASS


Upper-
Upper- Lower-
Lower-
All Did not Upper middle Middle middle Lower
Regist. Trump Biden Trump Clinton Other vote class class class class class
------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L)
TOP TWO RATINGS 766 344 382 338 314 34 78 39 97 400 165 59
84% 87% 86% 86% 87% 74% 73% 96% 89% 84% 84% 76%
JKL l

Comparison Groups: BC/DE/HIJKL


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table LV2 Page 6
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

LV2
How LIKELY is it that you will ACTUALLY VOTE in November's Presidential election? Would you say you are...

============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====

CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
BASE=REGISTERED VOTERS 909 207 163 113 191 235 77 251 342 239 429 480 763 122 176 145 201 378 403 352 154
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 198 176 101 189 245 64 397 322 126 462 447 777 107 143 125 193 437 355 345 190
Very likely 822 189 146 103 173 211 62 214 319 228 385 437 696 108 156 128 183
183 347 366 327 129
90% 91% 89% 91% 91% 90% 80% 85% 93% 95% 90% 91% 91% 88% 89% 89% 91% 92% 91% 93% 84%
GH GH U U

Somewhat likely 66 17 14 3 16 17 9 26 20 12 35 31 53 9 13 12 15 26 26 22 18
7% 8% 8% 2% 8% 7% 12% 10% 6% 5% 8% 6% 7% 7% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 6% 11%
d d d IJ st
Not likely 10 1 1 6 - 2 3 6 - - 6 4 4 5 1 3 2 3 7 1 1
1% *% *% 5% 1% 4% 3% 1% 1% 1% 4% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% *% 1%
bc t
Not at all likely 10 0 3 1 2 4 2 5 3 - 2 8 9 1 5 1 1 3 4 1 5
1% *% 2% 1% 1% 2% 3% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% *% 3%
T

Not sure 2 0 - - - 1 - 0 1 - 1 0 2 - 1 0 - - - 1 0
*% *% 1% *% *% *% *% *% 1% *% *% *%
Refused
Refused - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Comparison Groups: BCDEF/GHIJ/KL/MN/OPQR/STU


Independent Z-
Z-Test for Percentages (unpooled proportions)
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table LV2 Page 7
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

LV2
How LIKELY is it that you will ACTUALLY
ACTUALLY VOTE in November's Presidential election? Would you say you are...

====AREA TYPE==== ===WHITE==


===WHITE===
= ==BLK/HISP= ==MAR.STAT= ====EDUCATION==== ====IDEOLOOGY====
SUB-
SUB- WHITE WHITE SINGL MARR HIGH SOME
TOTAL URBAN URBAN RURAL MEN WOMEN BLACK HIS.
HIS. WOMEN WOM SCHL. COLL. COLL+ CONS. MOD. LIB.
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M)
(M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S)

BASE=REGISTERED VOTERS 909 200 465 243 365 399 63 59 225 254 225 247 436 300 323 267
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 221 458 230 401 376 47 60 201 244 169 179 561 298 322 265
Very likely 822 176 426 220 330 367 57 51 203 232 199 223 400 274 290 247
90% 88% 91% 90% 90% 92% 91% 86% 91% 91% 88% 90% 92% 92% 90% 92%
Somewhat likely 66 17 33 16 30 23 4 5 16 15 16 17 33 20 27 14
7% 9% 7% 7% 8% 6% 6% 9% 7% 6% 7% 7% 8% 7% 8% 5%
Not likely 10 4 5 1 2 2 2 3 2 2 3 5 1 3 1 2
1% 2% 1% *% 1% *% 3% 5% 1% 1% 1% 2% *% 1% *% 1%
Not at all likely 10 3 3 5 2 6 0 1 3 5 6 3 1 2 4 4
1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% *% 1% 1% 2% 3% 1% *% 1% 1% 1%
Not sure 2 - - 2 1 0 - - 0 - 1 - 0 - 2 -
*% 1% *% *% *% 1% *% 1%
Refused - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Comparison Groups: EFG/HI/JK/LM/NOP/QRS


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table LV2 Page 8
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

LV2
How LIKELY is it that you will ACTUALLY VOTE in November's Presidential election? Would you say you are...

2020 VOTE 2016 VOTE SOCIAL CLASS


Upper-
Upper- Lower-
Lower-
All Did not Upper middle Middle middle Lower
Regist. Trump Biden Trump Clinton Other vote class class class class class
------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ----
-------
--- ------- ------- ------- -------
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L)
BASE=REGISTERED VOTERS 909 396 444 393 362 46 107 40 108 475 197 77
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 404 423 398 341 58 108 55 132 460 185 63
Very likely 822 365 413 365 334 40 81 35 98 432 175 71
90% 92% 93% 93% 92% 86% 76% 88% 91% 91% 89% 92%
Somewhat likely 66 26 24 22 24 5 15 3 7 36 15 5
7% 7% 5% 6% 7% 12% 14% 6% 7% 8% 8% 7%
Not likely 10 2 4 3 3 - 4 2 2 2 3 -
1% *% 1% 1% 1% 4% 5% 2% *% 1%
Not at all likely 10 2 2 2 1 1 5 1 1 4 4 1
1% 1% 1% 1% *% 2% 5% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1%
Not sure 2 1 - 0 - - 1 - - 1 0 -
*% *% *% 1% *% *%
Refused - - - - - - - - - - - -

Comparison Groups: BC/DE/HIJKL


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table LV3 Page 9
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

LV3
How OFTEN would you say you TYPICALLY vote in Presidential elections?

============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====

CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)

BASE=REGISTERED VOTERS 909 207 163 113 191 235 77 251 342 239 429 480 763 122 176 145 201
201 378 403 352 154
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 198 176 101 189 245 64 397 322 126 462 447 777 107 143 125 193
193 437 355 345 190
Always
Always 611 133 108 74 144 153 31 151 236 193 287 324 519 83 93 95 147 269 285 241 85
67% 64% 66% 65% 76% 65% 41% 60% 69% 81% 67% 68% 68% 68% 53% 66% 73% 71% 71% 68% 55%
BcF G GH GHI o O O U U
Nearly always 163 44 28 19 26 47
47 13 52 59 39 77 86 141 18 42 28 29 64 66 65 32
18% 21% 17% 17% 14% 20% 17% 21% 17% 16% 18% 18% 18% 15% 24% 19% 14% 17% 16% 19% 21%
e q
Some of the time 50 19 6 3 10 12 5 21 21 3 24 26 41 7 16 6 9 19 16 23 11
5% 9% 4% 2% 5% 5% 6% 8% 6% 1% 6% 5% 5% 6% 9% 4% 4% 5% 4% 7% 7%
cD J J
Seldom 43 8 10 8 5 12 2 14 21 5 20 23 38 3 11 9 9 14 20 12 10
5% 4% 6% 7% 2% 5% 3% 6% 6% 2% 5% 5% 5% 2% 7% 6% 4% 4% 5% 4% 7%
J J

Never 2 - 2 - - 1 1 1 - - 1 2 2 0 1 1 1 0 - - 2
*% 1% *% 1% 1% *% *% *% *% 1% *% *% *% 1%

Is this your first time 39 3 10 10 7 10 24 11 4 - 21 18 23 10 12 6 7 13 15 10 14


voting 4% 2% 6% 9% 3% 4% 32% 4% 1% 5% 4% 3% 9% 7% 4% 3% 3% 4% 3% 9%
b B HI I m ST
Not sure 1 - 0 - - 1 - 1 0 - 0 1 0 0 1 - - - 1 - -
*% *% *% *% *% *% *% *% *% *% *%
Refused - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Comparison Groups: BCDEF/GHIJ/KL/MN/OPQR/STU


Independent Z-
Z-Test for Percentages (unpooled proportions)
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table LV3 Page 10
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage
Percentage Points

LV3
How OFTEN would you say you TYPICALLY vote in Presidential elections?

====AREA TYPE==== ===WHITE=== ==BLK/HISP= ==MAR.STAT= ====EDUCATION==== ====IDEOLOOGY====


SUB-
SUB- WHITE WHITE SINGL MARR HIGH SOME
TOTAL URBAN URBAN RURAL MEN WOMEN BLACK HIS. WOMEN WOM SCHL. COLL. COLL+ CONS. MOD. LIB.
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S)
BASE=REGISTERED VOTERS 909 200 465 243 365 399 63 59 225 254 225 247 436 300 323 267
100% 100%
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 221 458 230 401 376 47 60 201 244 169 179 561 298 322 265
Always 611 134 325 152 249 270 46 37 146 178 128 160 323 207 207 190
67% 67% 70% 62% 68% 68% 74% 62% 65% 70% 57% 65% 74% 69% 64% 71%
g NO

Nearly always 163 31 77 55 68 73 8 10 38 47 48 40 75 55 61 41


18% 15% 17% 23% 19% 18% 13% 17% 17% 19% 21% 16% 17% 18% 19% 15%
ef

Some of the time 50 9 25 15 18 23 2 5 13 13 11 17 22 18 23 7


5% 5% 5% 6% 5% 6% 3% 9% 6% 5% 5% 7% 5% 6% 7% 3%
S

Seldom 43 15 18 10 18 19 - 3 10 13 24 9 11 11 19 12
5% 7% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 4% 5% 10% 3% 2% 4% 6% 4%
OP
Never 2 0 - 2 1 2 - 0 2 - 2 1 - - 2 -
*% *% 1% *% *% *% 1% 1% *% 1%
Is this your first time
time 39 11 19 9 12 12 6 4 15 3 13 20 5 9 10 17
voting 4% 6% 4% 4% 3% 3% 10% 7% 7% 1% 6% 8% 1% 3% 3% 6%
M p P q

Not sure 1 - 1 0 - 0 0 - 1 - 0 0 1 - 0 1
*% *% *% *% *% *% *% *% *% *% *%
Refused - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Comparison Groups: EFG/HI/JK/LM/NOP/QRS


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table
Table LV3 Page 11
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

LV3
How OFTEN would you say you TYPICALLY vote in Presidential elections?

2020 VOTE 2016 VOTE SOCIAL CLASS


Upper-
Upper- Lower-
Lower-
All Did not Upper middle Middle middle Lower
Regist. Trump Biden Trump Clinton Other vote class class class class class
------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L)
BASE=REGISTERED VOTERS 909 396 444 393 362 46 107 40 108 475 197 77
100% 100% 100%
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 404 423 398 341 58 108 55 132 460 185 63
Always 611 265 311 278 292 36 6 32 80 335 114 41
67% 67% 70% 71% 81% 78% 5% 80% 74% 70% 58% 53%
D KL KL KL

Nearly always 163 75 68 81 51 9 22 2 15 85 45 16


18% 19% 15% 21% 14%
14% 19% 21% 6% 14% 18% 23% 20%
E H Hi H
Some of the time 50 25 20 20 8 1 19 2 5 24 12 6
5% 6% 4% 5% 2% 2% 18% 6% 5% 5% 6% 8%
e

Seldom 43 18 21 12 7 0 24 1 3 16 16 6
5% 5% 5% 3% 2% 1% 22% 3% 3% 3% 8% 8%
ij

Never 2 2 - - - - 2 - - 0 2 1
*% 1% 2% *% 1% 1%

Is this your first time 39 11 24 3 4 - 33 2 4 16 8 8


voting 4% 3% 5% 1% 1% 31% 5% 3% 3% 4% 11%
b
Not sure 1 - 1 - 0 - 1 - - - - 0
*% *% *% 1% *%
Refused - - - - - - - - - - - -

Comparison Groups: BC/DE/HIJKL


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table H3A_RV Page 12
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774
774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/-
+/-3.6 Percentage Points

H3A(REGISTERED)
If the presidential election were held today, and the following were the candidates, for whom would you vote?
(REGISTERED VOTERS SAMPLE)

============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====

CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S)
( S) (T) (U)

BASE=REGISTERED VOTERS 909 207 163 113 191 235 77 251 342 239 429 480 763 122 176 145 201
201 378 403 352 154
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 198 176 101 189 245 64 397 322 126 462 447 777 107 143 125 193
193 437 355 345 190

Donald Trump, the 396 106 84 22 75 109 14 107 177 99 230 166 370 21 65 65 81 178 38 306 52
Republican 43.6% 51.5% 51.5% 19.3% 39.1% 46.6% 17.8% 42.8% 51.6% 41.2% 53.6% 34.6% 48.4% 17.6% 36.9% 44.9% 40.6% 47.1% 9.5% 87.1% 33.5%
DE DE D D G GHj G L N o SU S
Joe Biden, the Democrat 444 83 71 81 108 101 54 126 137 126 165 279 342 88 99 66 105 173 346 24 74
48.9% 40.2% 43.3% 71.4% 56.9% 43.1% 70.9% 50.4% 40.2% 52.7% 38.5% 58.2% 44.8% 72.4% 56.2% 45.4% 52.1% 45.7% 85.8% 6.9% 48.0%
BCEF BCF HIJ I I K M r TU T
Other 14 3 3 2 0 5 3 5 3 4 10 4 11 3 5 2 1 6 4 2 8
1.6% 1.6% 2.0% 1.5% 0.3% 2.3% 3.7% 2.1% 0.8% 1.5% 2.4% 0.9% 1.4% 2.8% 2.8% 1.2% 0.7% 1.6% 0.9% 0.6% 5.4%
e ST

Not sure 53 13 5 9 7 19 6 12 25 11 24 29 40 9 7 12 12 21 15 18 20
5.8% 6.2% 3.2% 7.8% 3.8% 8.0% 7.5% 4.7% 7.2% 4.5% 5.5% 6.1% 5.2% 7.2% 4.0% 8.4% 6.1% 5.5% 3.7% 5.1% 13.1%
ce ST

Prefer not to answer 1 1 0 0 0 - 0 0 1 - 0 1 1 0 0 - 1 0 0 1 -


0.1% 0.4% *% 0.1% *% *% *% 0.3% *% 0.2% 0.1% *% *% 0.5% *% *% 0.3%
BIDEN-
BIDEN-TRUMP 5.3% -11% -8.2% 52.2% 17.7% -3.5% 53.1% 7.5% -11% 11.5% -15% 23.6% -3.7% 54.8% 19.3% 0.5% 11.6% -1.4% 76.3% -80% 14.5%

Comparison Groups: BCDEF/GHIJ/KL/MN/OPQR/STU


Independent Z-
Z-Test for Percentages (unpooled proportions)
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table H3A_RV Page 13
The Federalist/TIPP
Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

H3A(REGISTERED)
If the presidential election were held today, and the following were the candidates, for whom would you vote?
(REGISTERED
(REGISTERED VOTERS SAMPLE)

====AREA TYPE==== ===WHITE=== ==BLK/HISP= ====IDEOLOOGY====


==MAR.STAT= ====EDUCATION==== ====IDEOLOOGY====
SUB-
SUB- WHITE WHITE SINGL MARR HIGH SOME
TOTAL URBAN URBAN RURAL MEN WOMEN BLACK HIS. WOMEN WOM SCHL. COLL. COLL+ CONS. MOD. LIB.
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S)
BASE=REGISTERED
BASE=REGISTERED VOTERS 909 200 465 243 365 399 63 59 225 254 225 247 436 300 323 267
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 221 458 230 401 376 47 60 201 244 169 179 561 298 322 265
Donald Trump, the 396 71 192 133 214 156 2 20 70 96 111 103 182 252 113 23
Republican 35.7%
43.6% 35.7% 41.2% 54.8% 58.7% 39.1% 2.5% 33.6% 31.0% 37.9% 49.4% 41.5% 41.8% 84.2% 35.2% 8.6%
EF I J RS S
Joe Biden, the Democrat 444 112 237 95 124 218 53 35 137 141 105 122 217 37 166 235
48.9% 56.1% 51.0% 38.9% 33.9% 54.7% 85.3% 58.8% 60.9% 55.6% 46.4% 49.4% 49.8% 12.5% 51.6% 88.0%
G G H K Q QR
Other 14 3 9 2 8 3 1 2 1 3 3 5 6 5 7 3
1.6% 1.5% 2.0% 0.8% 2.3% 0.7% 1.6% 4.1% 0.4% 1.3% 1.5% 1.8% 1.5% 1.5% 2.2% 1.0%
Not sure 53 13 27 13 19 21 7 2 16 13 6 18 29 5 35 6
5.8% 6.7% 5.8% 5.1% 5.1% 5.4% 10.6% 3.6% 7.3%
7.3% 5.1% 2.7% 7.3% 6.7% 1.8% 10.8% 2.3%
N QS
Prefer not to answer 1 0 - 1 - 1 0 - 1 0 0 - 1 - 1 0
0.1% *% 0.4% 0.2% *% 0.4% *% *% 0.2% 0.3% *%
BIDEN-
BIDEN-TRUMP 5.3% 20.5% 9.8% -16% -25% 15.6% 82.8% 25.2% 29.9% 17.7% -3.0% 7.9% 8.0%
8.0% -72% 16.4% 79.4%

Comparison Groups: EFG/HI/JK/LM/NOP/QRS


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table H3A_RV Page 14
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

H3A(REGISTERED)
If the presidential election were held today, and the following were the candidates, for whom would you vote?
(REGISTERED VOTERS SAMPLE)

2020 VOTE 2016 VOTE SOCIAL CLASS


Upper-
Upper- Lower-
Lower-
All Did not Upper middle Middle middle Lower
Regist. Trump Biden Trump Clinton Other vote class class class class class
------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L)
BASE=REGISTERED VOTERS 909 396 444 393 362 46 107 40 108 475 197 77
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Unweighted Total 909 404 423 398 341 58 108 55 132 460 185 63
Donald Trump, the 396 396 - 337 13 10 36 29 52 207 77 31
Republican 43.6% 100.0% 85.7% 3.6% 22.5% 34.1% 71.1% 48.4% 43.5% 39.0% 39.8%
E IJKL
Joe Biden, the Democrat 444 - 444 28 334 22 59 10 46 234 102 43
48.9% 100.0% 7.1% 92.3% 47.5% 55.1% 23.7% 42.6% 49.3% 51.8% 56.3%
D H H H H
Other 14 - - 2 3 5 4 - 2 3 7 2
1.6% 0.4% 0.8% 11.6% 3.9% 1.6% 0.7% 3.8% 2.2%
j

Not sure 53 - - 26 12 9 7 2 8 30 11 1
5.8% 6.5% 3.3% 18.4% 6.8% 5.2% 7.3% 6.2% 5.4% 1.7%
e
Prefer not to answer 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 0 -
0.1% 0.2% *% 0.2% *%
BIDEN-
BIDEN-TRUMP 5.3% -100.0% 100.0% -78.6% 88.7% 25.0% 21.0% -47.4% -5.8% 5.8% 12.8% 16.6%

Comparison Groups: BC/DE/HIJKL


BC/DE/HIJKL
Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table H3A_LV Page 15
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

H3A(LIKELY)
If the presidential election were held today, and the following were the candidates, for whom would you vote? (LIKELY
VOTERS SAMPLE)
SAMPLE)

============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====

CENT-
CENT- HIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M)
(M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)

BASE=LIKELY VOTERS 793 176 142 97 176 202 66 196 302 228 373 420 670 106 144 125 181
181 334 350 322 121
100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 774 161 150 85 172 206 52 317 284 121 395 379 670 87 112 103 167
167 383 305 310 145
Donald
Donald Trump, the 354 92 73 21 69 98 11 85 161 97 206 148 331 19 55 57 73 162 33 280 41
Republican 18.4%
44.7% 52.5% 51.5% 21.8% 39.6% 48.5% 16.8% 43.2% 53.3% 42.6% 55.3% 35.2% 49.3% 18.4% 38.1% 45.7% 40.6% 48.5% 9.3% 87.1% 34.1%
DE De D D G GHj G L N o SU S
Joe Biden, the Democrat 394 73 63 70 101 87 51 101 123 119 145 249 304 79 82 60 95 155 309 23 62
49.7% 41.5% 43.9% 71.8% 57.8% 43.2% 77.5% 51.5% 40.6% 52.1% 38.8% 59.4% 45.3% 74.9% 57.0% 47.8% 52.7% 46.4% 88.2% 7.3% 50.9%
BCeF BCF HIJ I I K M r TU T
Other 10 3 2 1 - 4 1 4 1 4 8 2 8 2 4 0 1 5 2 2 5
1.2% 1.9% 1.1% 0.7% 2.0% 2.1% 1.9% 0.3% 1.6% 2.1% 0.5% 1.2% 1.5% 2.5% *% 0.8% 1.4% 0.6% 0.7% 4.3%
i st

Not sure 34 6 5 6 5 13 2 7 17 8 14 20 27 5 4 8 10 13 6 15 13
4.3% 3.5% 3.4% 5.7% 2.6% 6.3% 3.5% 3.4% 5.5% 3.7% 3.8% 4.7% 4.0% 5.2% 2.4% 6.5% 5.4% 3.8% 1.8% 4.6% 10.7%
s ST
Prefer not to answer 1 1 - 0 0 - 0 - 1 - 0 1 1 - - - 1 0 0 1 -
0.1% 0.5% 0.1% *% *% 0.3% *% 0.2% 0.1% 0.5% *% *% 0.3%
BIDEN-
BIDEN-TRUMP 5.0% -11% -7.6% 50.0% 18.2% -5.3% 60.6% 8.3% -13% 9.5% -17% 24.1% -4.0% 56.6% 18.9% 2.1% 12.1% -2.1% 78.9% -80% 16.8%

Comparison Groups: BCDEF/GHIJ/KL/MN/OPQR/STU


Independent Z-
Z-Test for Percentages (unpooled proportions)
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table H3A_LV Page 16
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

H3A(LIKELY)
If the presidential election
election were held today, and the following were the candidates, for whom would you vote? (LIKELY
VOTERS SAMPLE)

====AREA TYPE==== ===WHITE=== ==BLK/HISP= ==MAR.STAT= ====EDUCATION==== ====IDEOLOOGY====


SUB-
SUB- WHITE WHITE SINGL MARR HIGH SOME
TOTAL URBAN
URBAN URBAN RURAL MEN WOMEN BLACK HIS. WOMEN WOM SCHL. COLL. COLL+ CONS. MOD. LIB.
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (E) (F) (G)
(G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S)
BASE=LIKELY VOTERS 793 166 411 215 320 350 56 49 198 221 186 215 392 272 272 238
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 774 186 394 194 348 322 39 48 170 207 130 150 494 267 260 233
Donald Trump, the 354 66 168 120 190 140 2 18 61 87 98 90 166 231 96 21
Republican 44.7% 39.8% 40.9% 55.6% 59.6% 40.0% 2.8% 36.1% 30.6% 39.6% 52.8% 41.8% 42.4% 84.9% 35.4% 8.7%
EF I J op RS S
Joe Biden, the Democrat 394 91 218 85 110 194 50 29 124 124 85 113 196 34 147 210
49.7% 54.7% 53.0% 39.6% 34.3% 55.3% 89.0% 58.9% 62.5% 56.4% 45.7% 52.5% 50.1% 12.7% 53.9% 88.6%
G G H K Q QR
Other 10 2 7 1 7 1 - 2 1 1 0 5 5 4 3 3
1.2% 1.2% 1.7% 0.3% 2.1% 0.4% 3.3% 0.4% 0.5% *% 2.1% 1.3% 1.3% 1.2% 1.1%
i
Not sure 34 7 18 9 13 14 5 1 12 8 3 8 23 3 25 4
4.3% 4.3% 4.4% 4.0% 4.0% 4.1% 8.3% 1.7% 6.1% 3.5% 1.5% 3.6% 6.0% 1.1% 9.1% 1.6%
N QS

Prefer not to answer 1 0 - 1 - 1 - - 1 0 0 - 1 - 1 0


0.1% 0.1% 0.4% 0.3% 0.5% *% *% 0.2% 0.3% *%
BIDEN-
BIDEN-TRUMP 5.0% 14.9% 12.1% -16% -25% 15.4% 86.2% 22.8% 31.9% 16.8% -7.1% 10.7% 7.7% -72% 18.5% 79.9%

Comparison Groups: EFG/HI/JK/LM/NOP/QRS


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table H3A_LV Page 17
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

H3A(LIKELY)
for
If the presidential election were held today, and the following were the candidates, for whom would you vote? (LIKELY
VOTERS SAMPLE)

2020 VOTE 2016 VOTE SOCIAL CLASS


Upper-
Upper- Lower-
Lower-
All Did not Upper middle Middle middle Lower
Regist. Trump Biden Trump Clinton Other vote class class class class class
------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L)
BASE=LIKELY VOTERS 793 354 394 364 336 41 50 37 96 418 169 63
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Unweighted Total 774 352 367 361 311 52 46 51 116 395 152 49
Donald Trump, the 354 354 - 315 13 10 16 28 50 186 63 25
Republican 44.7% 100.0% 86.6% 3.9% 25.3% 31.0% 76.6% 51.6% 44.6% 37.4% 40.7%
E IJKL K
Joe Biden, the Democrat 394 - 394 27
27 312 21 32 8 41 210 92 35
49.7% 100.0% 7.3% 93.0% 52.3% 63.7% 21.2% 43.1% 50.3% 54.5% 56.0%
D H H Hi H
Other 10 - - 2 3 4 1 - 2 3 4 1
1.2% 0.5% 0.9% 8.8% 2.6%
2.6% 1.8% 0.7% 2.5% 1.2%
Not sure 34 - - 19 8 6 1 1 3 17 9 1
4.3% 5.3% 2.3% 13.6% 2.7% 2.2% 3.4% 4.2% 5.6% 2.1%
e
Prefer not to answer 1 - - 1 - - - - - 1 0 -
0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
BIDEN-
BIDEN-TRUMP 5.0% -100.0% 100.0% -79.3% 89.1% 27.0% 32.8% -55.4% -8.5% 5.6% 17.1% 15.4%

Comparison Groups: BC/DE/HIJKL


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table H3B_LV Page 18
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

H3B
Who do you LEAN toward? (LIKELY VOTERS SAMPLE)
SAMPLE)

============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====

CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
BASE=LIKELY VOTERS WHO 34 6 5 6 5 13 2 7 17 8 14 20 27 5 4 8 10 13 6 15 13
ARE NOT SURE 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 40 9 7 5 5 14 4 13 17 6 14 26 32 7 6 9 12 13 7 14 14
Donald Trump, the 13 2 - 3 2 5 1 1 6 5 8 5 13 - - 2 5 6 1 11 1
Republican 37.5% 25.9% 56.4% 54.0% 43.5% 42.5% 15.8% 37.0% 54.3% 54.2% 25.6% 47.0% 22.7% 53.3% 45.4% 13.6% 72.1% 9.7%
l SU
Joe Biden, the
the Democrat 6 1 1 2 1 1 - 3 2 1 2 4 5 2 - 3 1 2 5 - 1
18.7% 23.9% 15.7% 29.3% 22.3% 11.3% 46.8% 10.8% 17.0% 15.2% 21.1% 17.4% 29.7% 36.8% 15.4% 14.6% 77.3% 11.5%
I U
Other 2 1 2 - - - 1 1 - - 1 2 1 1 1 - 0 1 1 - 2
6.8% 9.2% 35.2% 56.9% 14.5% 4.0% 8.7% 3.6% 24.3% 38.0% 4.0% 4.5% 9.1% 13.4%
Not sure 13 3 2 1 1 6 0 2 9 2 4 9 9 3 2 3 3 4 - 4 8
37.1% 41.0% 49.1% 14.3% 23.7% 45.3% 0.5% 22.9% 52.2% 28.6% 26.5% 44.6% 32.1% 46.0% 62.0% 40.6% 27.2% 35.4% 27.9% 65.4%
t
Prefer not to answer - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

BIDEN-
BIDEN-TRUMP -19% -2.0% 15.7% -27% -32% -32% -43% 31.0% -26% -37% -39% -4.4% -30% 29.7% - 14.1% -38% -31% 63.6% -72% 1.8%

Comparison Groups: BCDEF/GHIJ/KL/MN/OPQR/STU


Independent Z-
Z-Test for Percentages (unpooled proportions)
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table H3B_LV Page 19
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

H3B
Who do you LEAN toward? (LIKELY VOTERS SAMPLE)

====AREA TYPE==== ===WHITE=== ==BLK/HISP= ==MAR.STAT= ====EDUCATION==== ====IDEOLOOGY====


SUB-
SUB- WHITE WHITE SINGL
SINGL MARR HIGH SOME
TOTAL URBAN URBAN RURAL MEN WOMEN BLACK HIS. WOMEN WOM SCHL. COLL. COLL+ CONS. MOD. LIB.
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S)
BASE=LIKELY VOTERS WHO 34 7 18 9 13 14 5 1 12 8 3 8 23 3 25 4
ARE NOT SURE 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 40 9 22 9 13 19 4 3 16 10 3 8 29 4 29 3
Donald Trump, the 13 4 9 - 8 5 - - 1 4 - 3 10 1 11 -
Republican 37.5% 51.1% 50.1% 60.0% 35.3% 7.1% 54.5% 34.6% 42.9% 47.4% 45.4%
L

Joe Biden, the Democrat 6 2 3 2 2 3 1 1 3 1 - 1 5 - 6 -


18.7% 21.5% 17.8% 18.2% 16.9% 17.9% 17.5% 98.5% 27.8% 10.6% 19.0% 20.8% 22.2%
Other 2 - 1 1 1 0 1 - 1 0 1 - 1 - 1 1
6.8% 5.3% 15.4% 4.5% 2.7% 28.6% 11.0% 5.1% 48.2% 4.1% 3.9% 34.2%
Not sure 13 2 5 6 2 6 3 0 7 2 1 4 8 2 7 3
37.1% 27.5% 26.8% 66.4% 18.7% 44.1% 53.9% 1.5% 54.1% 29.8% 51.8% 46.4% 32.2% 52.6% 28.6% 65.8%
f
Prefer not to answer - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

BIDEN-
BIDEN-TRUMP -19% -30% -32% 18.2% -43% -17% 17.5% 98.5% 20.8% -44% - -16% -22% -47% -23% -

Comparison Groups: EFG/HI/JK/LM/NOP/QRS


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table H3B_LV Page 20
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

H3B
Who do you LEAN toward? (LIKELY VOTERS
VOTERS SAMPLE)

2020 VOTE 2016 VOTE SOCIAL CLASS


Upper-
Upper- Lower-
Lower-
All Did not Upper middle Middle middle Lower
Regist. Trump Biden Trump Clinton Other vote class class class class class
------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L)
BASE=LIKELY VOTERS WHO 34 - - 19 8 6 1 1 3 17 9 1
ARE NOT SURE 100.0%
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Unweighted Total 40 - - 19 9 8 3 1 4 19 10 3
Donald Trump, the 13 - - 10 1 2 - - 2 8 4 -
Republican 37.5% 54.1% 6.9% 31.0% 49.0% 43.3% 37.4%
E
Joe Biden, the Democrat 6 - - 2 4 1 - 1 - 3 2 -
18.7% 7.9% 52.8% 13.7% 100.0% 18.5% 24.2%
D
Other 2 - - - 1 0 1 - - 1 2 -
6.8% 7.5% 7.1% 99.1% 3.3% 18.2%
Not sure 13 - - 7 3 3 0 - 2 6 2 1
37.1% 38.0% 32.9% 48.2% 0.9% 51.0% 34.9% 20.3% 100.0%
iJK
Prefer not to answer - - - - - - - - - - - -

BIDEN-
BIDEN-TRUMP -18.8% - - -46.1% 45.9% -17.3% - 100.0% -49.0% -24.8% -13.2% -

Comparison Groups: BC/DE/HIJKL


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table H3CA Page 21
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage
Percentage Points

H3CA
Do you support Donald Trump strongly or moderately?

============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====

CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
BASE: Trump Voters 396 106 84 22 75 109 14 107 177 99 230 166 370 21 65 65 81 178 38 306 52
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted
Unweighted Total 404 99 88 27 78 112 12 172 167 53 255 149 377 22 55 51 78 215
215 30 305 66

Support strongly 267 60 59 17 51 80 8 72 121 67 158 110 251 14 43 41 54 125 15 230 22


67% 57% 70% 76% 69% 73% 57% 67% 68% 68% 68% 66% 68% 64% 66% 63% 67% 70% 40% 75% 43%
b b B SU

Support moderately 125 45 24 5 23 28 5 34 56 30 71 54 115 8 20 24 26 53 21 76 28


32% 42% 29% 22% 31% 26% 35% 32% 32% 31% 31% 33% 31% 36% 31% 37% 31% 30% 56% 25% 54%
cDF T T
Not sure 2 - 1 1 - 1 1 1 - - - 2 2 - 2 - - 1 - 1 2
1% 1% 2% 1% 7% 1% 1% 1% 3% *% *% 3%
Prefer not to answer 2 2 - - - - - - - 2 2 - 2 - - - 2 - 2 - -
*% 1% 2% 1% *% 2% 4%

Comparison Groups: BCDEF/GHIJ/KL/MN/OPQR/STU


Independent Z-
Z-Test for Percentages (unpooled proportions)
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table H3CA Page 22
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/-
+/-3.6 Percentage Points

H3CA
Do you support Donald Trump strongly or moderately?

====AREA TYPE==== ===WHITE=== ==BLK/HISP= ==MAR.STAT= ====EDUCATION==== ====IDEOLOOGY====


SUB-
SUB- WHITE WHITE SINGL MARR HIGH SOME
TOTAL URBAN URBAN RURAL MEN WOMEN BLACK HIS. WOMEN WOM SCHL. COLL. COLL+ CONS. MOD. LIB.
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S)
BASE: Trump Voters 396 71 192 133 214 156 2 20 70 96 111 103 182 252 113 23
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 404 99 182 123 239 138 1 21 59 90 82 79 243 251 118 28
Support strongly 267 61 115 92 145 105 2 12 42 68 72 69 126 189 58 17
67% 85% 60% 69% 68% 68% 100% 61% 60% 70% 65% 67% 69% 75% 51% 72%
FG K R r
Support moderately 125 10 75 40 67 48 - 8 26 28 38 33 54 63 54 5
32% 14% 39% 30% 31% 31% 39% 37% 29% 34% 32% 30% 25% 47% 21%
E E QS

Not sure 2 1 - 2 - 2 - - 2 1 1 1 1 - 2 -
1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 1% 1% 1% *% 1%
Prefer not to answer 2 - 2 - 2 - - - - - - - 2 - - 2
*% 1% 1% 1%
1% 7%

Comparison Groups: EFG/HI/JK/LM/NOP/QRS


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table H3CA Page 23
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

H3CA
Do you support Donald Trump strongly or moderately?

2020 VOTE 2016 VOTE SOCIAL CLASS


Upper-
Upper- Lower-
Lower-
All Did not Upper middle Middle middle Lower
Regist. Trump Biden Trump Clinton Other vote class class class class class
------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I)
(I) (J) (K) (L)
BASE: Trump Voters 396 396 - 337 13 10 36 29 52 207 77 31
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 404 404 - 344 12 13 35 43 66 201 67 25
Support strongly 267 267 - 239 6 4 19 25 36 146 43 16
67% 67% 71% 43% 40% 51% 88% 69% 70% 56% 53%
e IJKL k
Support
Support moderately 125 125 - 97 6 6 17 4 15 61 33 13
32% 32% 29% 45% 55% 46% 12% 28% 29% 43% 44%
H H Hij H
Not sure 2 2 - 1 - 1 1 - - 1 1 1
1% 1% *% 5% 3% *% 1% 3%
Prefer not to answer 2 2 - - 2 - - - 2 - - -
*% *% 12% 3%

Comparison Groups: BC/DE/HIJKL


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table H3CB Page 24
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

H3CA
Do you support Joe Biden strongly or moderately?

============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====

CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP
REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L)
(L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
BASE: Biden Voters 444 83 71 81 108 101 54 126 137 126 165 279 342 88 99 66 105
105 173 346 24 74
100% 100% 100% 100%
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 423 78 74 64 102 105 39 195 125 64 171 252 340 69 73 58 96 192 310 20 88

Support strongly 293 55 48 62 68 60 29 73 94 97 104 189 227 59 65 43 66 118 250 11 32


66% 66% 68% 77% 63% 60% 53% 58% 68% 77% 63% 68% 67% 67% 66% 66% 63% 68% 72% 45% 44%
f h GH TU
Support moderately 145 26 22 17 39 40 25 51 43 26 57 88 109 29 32 22 38 53 94 10 40
33% 31% 32% 22% 36% 39% 47% 40% 31% 21% 35% 32% 32% 33% 32% 34% 36% 30% 27% 42% 55%
d D iJ J S
Not sure 6 2 - 2 1 1 - 3 1 2 4 2 5 0 2 0 1 2 2 3 1
1% 3% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 3% 1% 2% *% 2% *% 1% 1% *% 13% 2%
s
Prefer not to
to answer - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Comparison Groups: BCDEF/GHIJ/KL/MN/OPQR/STU


Independent Z-
Z-Test for Percentages (unpooled proportions)
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table H3CB Page 25
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

H3CA
Do you support Joe Biden strongly or moderately?

====AREA TYPE==== ===WHITE=== ==BLK/HISP= ====IDEOLOOGY====


==MAR.STAT= ====EDUCATION==== ====IDEOLOOGY====
SUB-
SUB- WHITE WHITE SINGL MARR HIGH SOME
TOTAL URBAN URBAN RURAL MEN WOMEN BLACK HIS. WOMEN WOM SCHL. COLL. COLL+ CONS. MOD. LIB.
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S)
BASE: Biden Voters 444 112 237 95 124 218 53 35 137 141 105 122 217 37 166 235
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 423 101 234 88 135 205 38 31 118 132 73 81 269 36 155 226
Support strongly 293 81 155 58 79 148 38 21 90 99 67 76 150 19 108 166
66% 72% 65% 62% 64% 68% 71% 61% 66% 70% 64% 63% 69% 50% 65% 71%
Q
Support moderately 145 30 81 34 41 69 15 14 45 42 38 42 65 15 58 68
33% 27% 34% 36% 33% 31% 29% 39% 33% 30% 36% 35% 30% 41% 35% 29%
Not sure 6 2 2 2 4 2 0 - 2 - - 3 3 3 0 1
1% 1% 1% 3% 3% 1% *% 1% 3% 1% 9% *% *%
Prefer not to answer - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Comparison Groups: EFG/HI/JK/LM/NOP/QRS


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table H3CB Page 26
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibil
Credibility
ity Interval +/-
+/-3.6 Percentage Points

H3CA
Do you support Joe Biden strongly or moderately?

2020 VOTE 2016 VOTE SOCIAL CLASS


Upper-
Upper- Lower-
Lower-
All Did not Upper middle Middle middle Lower
Regist. Trump Biden Trump Clinton Other vote class class class class class
------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L)
BASE: Biden Voters 444 - 444 28 334 22 59 10 46 234 102 43
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 423 - 423 25 314 28 55 10 56 221 96 32
Support strongly 293 - 293 5 246 12 29 7 32 163 60 26
66% 66% 17% 74% 54% 49% 75% 69% 69% 59% 61%
D
Support moderately 145 - 145 20 86 10 29 2 14 71 38 17
33% 33% 71% 26% 46% 49% 25% 31% 30% 37% 39%
E
Not sure 6 - 6 3 2 0 1 - - 1 4 -
1% 1% 12% 1% *% 1% *% 4%
e
Prefer not to answer - - - - - - - - - - - -

Comparison Groups: BC/DE/HIJKL


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table H3D Page 27
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

H3D
How likely are you to change your current presidential vote preference by Election Day, November 3? ALL VOTERS

============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====

CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O)
(O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)

BASE=LIKELY VOTERS 793 176 142 97 176 202 66 196 302 228 373 420 670 106 144 125 181
181 334 350 322 121
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 774 161 150 85 172 206 52 317 284 121 395 379 670 87 112 103 167
167 383 305 310 145
Very likely 53 11 4 17 9 11 7 27 16 3 48 5 37 14 10 6 5 32 11 37 4
7% 6% 3% 18% 5% 5% 11% 14% 5% 1% 13% 1% 6% 13% 7% 5% 3% 10% 3% 11% 3%
BCEF J IJ J L m pQ SU
Somewhat likely 37 9 4 4 9 10 4 12 9 12 25 12 28 8 9 2 10 16 10 19 8
5% 5% 3% 4% 5% 5% 5% 6% 3% 5% 7% 3% 4% 7% 6% 1% 6% 5% 3% 6% 6%
i L s
Not very likely 76 22 14 8 19 12 6 16 36 18 37 39 68 7 14 14 17 32 22 35 19
10% 13% 10% 9% 11% 6% 9% 8% 12% 8% 10% 9% 10% 7% 9% 11% 9% 10% 6% 11% 16%
f s S

Not at all likely 583 125 113 61 128 156 47 130 219 187 244 339 505 68 106 95 137
137 237 296 212 76
74% 71% 79% 63% 73% 77% 71% 66% 73% 82% 66% 81% 75% 64% 74% 76% 76% 71% 85% 66% 63%
D D HI K n TU

Not sure 9 1 2 1 5 1 - 4 5 - 4 5 4 3 2 - 1 5 5 3 1
1% 1% 1% 1% 3% *% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 3% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1%
f
LIKELY 89 20 9 21 19 21 11 39 25 15 73 16 65 22 18 7 15 48 21 56 12
11% 11% 6% 22% 11% 10% 16% 20% 8% 6% 20% 4% 10% 20% 13% 6% 8% 14% 6% 17% 10%
bCef j IJ L M Pq SU
NOT LIKELY 660 148 127 70 147 168 53 147 255 205 282 378 572 75 119 109 154 269 318 247 95
83% 84% 89% 72% 84% 83% 80% 75% 84% 90% 76% 90% 85% 71% 83% 88% 85% 80% 91% 77% 79%
d D d d H H K N TU

Comparison Groups: BCDEF/GHIJ/KL/MN/OPQR/STU


Independent Z-
Z-Test for Percentages (unpooled proportions)
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table H3D Page 28
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage
Percentage Points

H3D
How likely are you to change your current presidential vote preference by Election Day, November 3? ALL VOTERS

====AREA TYPE==== ===WHITE=== ==BLK/HISP= ==MAR.STAT= ====EDUCATION==== ====IDEOLOOGY====


SUB-
SUB- WHITE WHITE SINGL MARR HIGH SOME
TOTAL URBAN URBAN RURAL MEN WOMEN BLACK HIS. WOMEN WOM SCHL. COLL. COLL+ CONS. MOD. LIB.
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S)
BASE=LIKELY VOTERS 793 166 411 215 320 350 56 49 198 221 186 215 392 272 272 238
100% 100%
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 774 186 394 194 348 322 39 48 170 207 130 150 494 267 260 233
Very likely 53 32 15 6 35 2 5 9 3 2 10 6 37 34 7 12
7% 19% 4% 3% 11% 1% 9% 18% 1% 1% 6% 3% 9% 12% 3% 5%
FG I O RS
Somewhat likely 37 7 19 11 21 7 - 8 6 5 6 11 20 14 15 5
5% 4% 5% 5% 7% 2% 16% 3% 2% 3% 5% 5% 5% 6% 2%
I s
Not very likely 76 18 42 17 33 35 2 5 15 24 21 16 40 27 35 12
10% 11% 10% 8% 10% 10% 4% 11% 8% 11% 11% 7% 10% 10% 13% 5%
s S

Not at all likely 583 101 312 171 217 288 43 25 160 178 145 172 266 193 186 200
74% 61% 76% 79% 68% 82% 76% 51% 81% 81% 78% 80% 68% 71% 68% 84%
E E H K P P QR
Not sure 9 1 6 2 1 3 2 1 1 3 1 3 5 1 3 5
1% 1% 1% 1% *% 1% 3% 3% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% *% 1% 2%
LIKELY 89 39 34 16 56 9 5 16 9 7 16 17 56 48 22 17
11% 23% 8% 8% 18% 3% 9% 33% 5% 3% 9% 8% 14% 18% 8% 7%
FG I J nO RS

NOT LIKELY 660 119 353 188 250 323 45 31 175 202 166 188 306 220 221 213
83% 71% 86% 87% 78% 92% 80% 62% 88% 92% 89% 87% 78%
78% 81% 81% 89%
E E H P P QR

Comparison Groups: EFG/HI/JK/LM/NOP/QRS


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table H3D Page 29
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage
Percentage Points

H3D
How likely are you to change your current presidential vote preference by Election Day, November 3? ALL VOTERS

2020 VOTE 2016 VOTE SOCIAL CLASS


Upper-
Upper- Lower-
Lower-
All Did not Upper middle Middle middle Lower
Regist. Trump Biden Trump Clinton Other vote class class class class class
------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L)
BASE=LIKELY VOTERS 793 354 394 364 336 41 50 37 96 418 169 63
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 774 352 367 361 311 52 46 51 116 395 152 49
Very likely 53 34 18 38 12 2 - 19 9 18 4 3
7% 10% 5% 10% 4% 6% 52% 9% 4% 2% 5%
C E IJKL k
Somewhat likely 37 22 11 25 7 0 4 4 6 9 13 4
5% 6% 3% 7% 2% 1% 9% 11% 6% 2% 8% 6%
c E j J
Not very likely 76 49 26 49 16 7 4 3 8 44 13 6
10% 14% 7% 14% 5% 17% 9% 9% 9% 10% 8% 10%
C E
Not at all likely 583 245 334 227 291 24 40 9 68 324 130 47
74% 69% 85% 63% 87% 58% 80% 25% 71% 78% 77% 75%
B D H H H H

Not sure 9 3 5 4 3 2 - - 1 5 - 1
1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 5% 1% 1% 2%

LIKELY 89 57 29 63 19 3 4 23 15 27 17 7
11% 16% 7% 17% 6% 7% 9% 63% 15% 6% 10% 11%
C E IJKL J
NOT LIKELY 660 294 360 277 306 31 44 13 77 368 143 53
83% 83% 91% 76% 91% 75% 88% 34% 80% 88% 84% 85%
B D H Hi H H

Comparison Groups: BC/DE/HIJKL


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance
significance at the 90% level.
Table H3E Page 30
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

H3E
presidential
Regardless of your candidate preference, who do you expect to win the presidential election in November?

============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====

CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
BASE=REGISTERED VOTERS 909 207 163 113 191 235 77 251 342 239 429 480 763 122 176 145 201 378 403 352 154
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 198 176 101 189 245 64 397 322 126 462 447 777 107 143 125 193 437 355 345 190
Donald Trump 383 94 80 23 74 112 20 111 162 90 216 167 353 22 62 58 84 173 53 277 53
42% 45% 49% 21% 39% 48% 27% 44% 47% 38% 50% 35% 46% 18% 35% 40% 42% 46% 13% 79% 34%
D De D De G Gj L N O SU S

Joe Biden 349 64 55 71 79 80 41 98 106 103 150 199 262 76 87 54 74 130 260 36 52
38% 31% 34% 62% 42% 34% 53% 39% 31% 43% 35% 41% 34% 63% 50% 38% 37% 34% 65% 10% 34%
BCEF B hI I I k M pQR TU T
Not sure 177 49 28 19 37 43 15 42 74 46 64 113 149 24 27 32 42 75 90 39 49
20% 24% 17% 17% 20% 18% 20% 17% 22% 19% 15% 24% 19% 20% 15% 22% 21% 20% 22% 11% 32%
K T ST
BIDEN-
BIDEN-TRUMP -4% -15% -16% 42% 3% -14% 27% -5% -16% 6% -15% 7% -12% 45% 15% -2% -5% -11% 51% -68% -1%

Comparison Groups: BCDEF/GHIJ/KL/MN/OPQR/STU


Independent Z-
Z-Test for Percentages (unpooled
(unpooled proportions)
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table H3E Page 31
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

H3E
Regardless of your candidate preference, who do you expect to win the presidential election in November?

====AREA TYPE==== ===WHITE=== ==BLK/HISP= ==MAR.STAT= ====EDUCATION==== ====IDEOLOOGY====


SUB-
SUB- WHITE WHITE SINGL MARR HIGH SOME
TOTAL URBAN URBAN RURAL MEN WOMEN BLACK HIS. WOMEN WOM SCHL. COLL. COLL+ CONS. MOD. LIB.
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S)
BASE=REGISTERED VOTERS 909 200 465
465 243 365 399 63 59 225 254 225 247 436 300 323 267
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 221 458 230 401
401 376 47 60 201 244 169 179 561 298 322 265
Donald Trump 383 78 179 125 196 157 3 19 71 96 105 100 179 224 122 34
42% 39% 39% 52% 54% 39% 5% 31% 32% 38% 46% 40% 41% 75% 38% 13%
EF I J RS S
Joe Biden 349 87 185 77 114 148 45 31 98 100 84 100 165 42 139 162
38% 43% 40% 32% 31% 37% 72% 52% 44% 39% 37% 40% 38% 14% 43% 61%
G g k Q QR

Not sure 177 35 102 40 54 94 14 10 55 58 37 47 93 34 62 72


20% 18% 22% 17% 15% 24% 23% 16% 25% 23% 16% 19% 21% 11% 19% 27%
H Q Qr
BIDEN-
BIDEN-TRUMP -4% 4% 1% -20% -23% -2% 68% 21% 12% 1% -9% *% -3% -61% 5% 48%

Comparison Groups: EFG/HI/JK/LM/NOP/QRS


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table H3E Page 32
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

H3E
Regardless of your candidate preference,
preference, who do you expect to win the presidential election in November?

2020 VOTE 2016 VOTE SOCIAL CLASS


Upper-
Upper- Lower-
Lower-
All Did
Did not Upper middle Middle middle Lower
Regist. Trump Biden Trump Clinton Other vote class class class class class
------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -----
-------
-- ------- ------- ------- -------
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L)
BASE=REGISTERED VOTERS 909 396 444 393 362 46 107 40 108 475 197 77
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 404 423 398 341 58 108 55 132 460 185 63
Donald Trump 383 337 29 306 25 15 38 28 54 192 74 33
42% 85% 7% 78% 7% 32% 35% 69% 50% 40% 37% 42%
C E IJKL jK
Joe Biden 349 17 316 35 255 16 41 10 37 185 76 35
38% 4% 71% 9% 70% 35% 39% 24% 34% 39% 39% 45%
B D H H H
Not sure 177 42 100 52 82 15 28 3 17 98 47 10
20% 11% 22% 13% 23% 33% 26% 7% 16% 21% 24% 13%
B D H H HiL
BIDEN-
BIDEN-TRUMP -4% -81% 65% -69%
69% 63% 3% 3% -45% -16% -2% 1% 3%

Comparison Groups: BC/DE/HIJKL


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table H3F Page 33
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

H3F
To the best of your knowledge, if the presidential election were held today, who do you believe most of your neighbors
would vote for?

============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====

CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
BASE=REGISTERED VOTERS 909 207 163 113 191 235 77 251 342 239 429 480 763 122 176 145 201 378 403 352 154
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted
Unweighted Total 909 198 176 101 189 245 64 397 322 126 462 447 777 107 143 125 193 437
437 355 345 190

Donald Trump 444 108 105 27 67 136 31 128 167 118 241 203 403 31 71 69 101 195 91 284 69
49% 52% 64% 24% 35% 58% 40% 51% 49% 49% 56% 42% 53% 25% 40% 47% 50% 52% 22% 81% 45%
DE BDE d DE L N O SU S
Joe Biden 294 55 27 69 83 60 41 89 102 63 121 173 205 81 75 36 65 117 216 35 43
32% 27% 17% 61% 43% 26% 54% 35% 30% 26% 28% 36% 27% 67% 43% 25% 32% 31% 53% 10% 28%
C BCEF BCF c HIJ j K M PqR TU T

Not sure 170 44 31 17 41 38 5 34 74 58 67 103 155 10 30 40 34 66 97 32 41


19% 21% 19% 15% 21% 16% 7% 14% 21% 24% 16% 21% 20% 8% 17% 28% 17% 17% 24% 9% 27%
GH GH K N oQR T T
BIDEN-
BIDEN-TRUMP -17% -26% -48% 37% 8% -32% 14% -16% -19% -23% -28% -6% -26% 41% 2% -23% -18% -21% 31% -71% -17%

Comparison Groups: BCDEF/GHIJ/KL/MN/OPQR/STU


Independent Z-
Z-Test for Percentages (unpooled proportions)
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table H3F Page 34
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774
774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/-
+/-3.6 Percentage Points

H3F
To the best of your knowledge, if the presidential election were held today, who do you believe most of your neighbors
would vote for?

====AREA TYPE==== ===WHITE=== ==BLK/HISP= ==MAR.STAT= ====EDUCATION==== ====IDEOLOOGY====


SUB-
SUB- WHITE WHITE SINGL MARR HIGH SOME
TOTAL URBAN URBAN RURAL MEN WOMEN BLACK HIS. WOMEN WOM SCHL. COLL. COLL+ CONS. MOD. LIB.
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S)
BASE=REGISTERED VOTERS 909 200
200 465 243 365 399 63 59 225 254 225 247 436 300 323 267
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 221 458 230 401 376 47 60 201 244 169 179 561 298 322 265
Donald Trump 444 75 192 177 218 185 5 25 84 120 117 116 211 222 145 70
49% 37% 41% 73% 60% 46% 9% 43% 37% 47% 52% 47% 48% 74% 45% 26%
EF I J l RS S
Joe Biden 294 90 166 38 82 123 53 28 96 77 62 90 142 40 107 139
32% 45% 36% 16% 22% 31% 84% 48% 43% 30% 27% 36% 33% 13% 33% 52%
fG G H K M n Q QR

Not sure 170 36 107 28 65 91 4 6 45 57 47 41 82 37 70 58


19% 18% 23% 11% 18% 23% 7% 9% 20% 23% 21% 17% 19% 12% 22% 22%
g G Q Q
BIDEN-
BIDEN-TRUMP -17% 7% -6% -57% -37% -16% 75% 5% 5% -17% -24% -11% -16% -61% -12% 26%

Comparison Groups: EFG/HI/JK/LM/NOP/QRS


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate
indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table H3F Page 35
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

H3F
To the best of your knowledge, if the presidential election were held today, who do you believe most of your neighbors
would vote for?

2020 VOTE 2016 VOTE SOCIAL CLASS


Upper-
Upper- Lower-
Lower-
All Did not Upper middle Middle middle Lower
Regist. Trump Biden Trump Clinton Other vote class class class class class
------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L)
BASE=REGISTERED VOTERS 909 396 444 393 362 46 107 40 108 475 197 77
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 404
404 423 398 341 58 108 55 132 460 185 63
Donald Trump 444 323 96 298 80 21 45 27 50 234 98 34
49% 82% 22% 76% 22% 45% 43% 66% 46% 49% 50% 45%
C E IJKL
Joe Biden 294 34 243 40 194 16 43 12 35 156 59 25
32% 9% 55% 10% 54% 34% 40% 31% 33% 33% 30% 32%
B D
Not sure 170 39 105 55 88 9 18 1 23 85 41 18
19% 10% 24% 14% 24% 20% 17% 3% 21% 18% 21% 24%
B D H H H H
BIDEN-
BIDEN-TRUMP -17% -73% 33% -66% 31% -11% -2% -35% -13% -16% -20% -13%

Comparison Groups: BC/DE/HIJKL


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table I4 Page 36
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

I4
In today’s political environment, how comfortable are you with truthfully revealing to others whom you plan to vote for
in the presidential election in November?

============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====

CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
BASE: REGISTERED 909 207 163 113 191 235 77 251 342 239 429 480 763 122 176 145 201
201 378 403 352 154
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total
Total 909 198 176 101 189 245 64 397 322 126 462 447 777 107 143 125 193 437 355
355 345 190

Very comfortable 421 71 80 65 93 111 37 118 159 107 211 210 342 71 90 63 89 174 186 178 57
46% 34% 49% 58% 49% 47% 49% 47% 47% 45% 49% 44% 45% 58% 51% 44% 44% 46% 46% 50% 37%
B B B B M u U

Somewhat comfortable 258 64 49 25 48 72 22 74 86 77 119 139 227 25 47 40 62 106 127 91 39


28% 31% 30% 22% 25% 31% 28% 29% 25% 32% 28% 29% 30% 20% 27% 28% 31% 28% 32% 26% 26%
n

Not very comfortable 141 43 23 12 29 34 10 41 59 31 69 72 121 11 18 30 25 69 54 53 34


16% 21% 14% 11% 15% 14% 13% 16% 17% 13% 16% 15% 16% 9% 10% 20% 12% 18% 14% 15% 22%
D n Oq Oq St
Not at all comfortable 72 24 9 5 17 15 3 15 31 22 25 47 62 9 14 11 22 25 26 29 17
8% 12% 6% 5% 9% 6% 4% 6% 9% 9% 6% 10% 8% 7% 8% 7% 11% 7% 6% 8% 11%
cdf k
Not sure 17 4 3 5 2 3 5 3 7 3 5 12 11 6 8 1 3 4 9 2 6
2% 2% 2% 5% 1% 1% 6% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 5% 5% 1% 1% 1% 2% *% 4%
h m r t T
COMFORTABLE 679 135 129 90 142 183 59 192 245 183 330 349 569 96 136 103 151
151 280 314 269 97
75% 65% 79% 80% 74% 78% 77% 76% 72% 77% 77% 73% 75% 79% 77% 71% 75% 74% 78% 76% 63%
B B b B U U

NOT COMFORTABLE 213 68 32 18 47 49 13 56 90 53 94 119 184 20 31 40 47 94 80 82 51


23% 33% 20% 16% 24% 21% 17% 22% 26% 22% 22% 25% 24% 16% 18% 28% 23% 25% 20% 23% 33%
CDF n o ST

Comparison Groups: BCDEF/GHIJ/KL/MN/OPQR/STU


Independent Z-
Z-Test for Percentages (unpooled proportions)
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table I4 Page 37
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

I4
revealing
In today’s political environment, how comfortable are you with truthfully revealing to others whom you plan to vote for
in the presidential election in November?

====AREA TYPE====
TYPE==== ===WHITE=== ==BLK/HISP= ==MAR.STAT= ====EDUCATION==== ====IDEOLOOGY====
SUB-
SUB- WHITE WHITE SINGL MARR HIGH SOME
TOTAL URBAN URBAN RURAL MEN WOMEN BLACK HIS. WOMEN WOM SCHL. COLL. COLL+ CONS. MOD. LIB.
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S)
BASE: REGISTERED 909 200 465 243 365 399 63 59 225 254 225 247 436 300 323 267
100% 100%
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 221 458 230 401 376 47 60 201 244 169 179 561 298 322 265
Very comfortable 421 114 205 102 177 165 40 31 104 106 101 112 209 141 134 139
46% 57% 44% 42% 48% 41% 64% 53% 46% 42% 45% 45% 48% 47% 41% 52%
FG i R

Somewhat comfortable 258 55 130 73 105 122 14 11 67 71 75 72 112 88 92 74


28% 27% 28% 30% 29% 31% 23% 18% 30% 28% 33% 29% 26% 29% 28% 28%
p

Not very comfortable 141 15 83 43 58 64 3 8 34


34 38 28 46 68 44 58 34
16% 8% 18% 18% 16% 16% 4% 14% 15% 15% 12% 19% 15% 15% 18% 13%
E E

Not at all comfortable 72 9 41 21 23 39 4 5 13 34 17 12 43 25 31 15


8% 5% 9% 9% 6% 10% 6% 8% 6% 13% 7% 5% 10%
10% 8% 10% 6%
e L O s

Not sure 17 7 6 3 2 9 2 4 7 4 5 6 6 1 8 5
2% 4% 1% 1% *% 2% 3% 7% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% *% 3% 2%
h Q Q
COMFORTABLE 679 169 335 175 282 287 54 42 171 178 176 183 320 229 225 213
75% 84% 72% 72% 77% 72% 87% 70% 76% 70% 78% 74% 73% 77% 70% 80%
FG k r R
NOT COMFORTABLE 213 25 124 65 81 103 6 13 46 72 44 58 110 70 89 49
23% 12% 27% 27% 22% 26% 10% 22% 21% 28% 20% 24% 25% 23% 28% 18%
E E S

Comparison Groups: EFG/HI/JK/LM/NOP/QRS


EFG/HI/JK/LM/NOP/QRS
Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table I4 Page 38
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Surve
Survey,
y, Credibility Interval +/-
+/-3.6 Percentage Points

I4
In today’s political environment, how comfortable are you with truthfully revealing to others whom you plan to vote for
in the presidential election in November?

2020 VOTE 2016 VOTE SOCIAL CLASS


Upper-
Upper- Lower-
Lower-
All Did not Upper middle Middle middle Lower
Regist. Trump Biden Trump Clinton Other vote class class class class class
------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L)
BASE: REGISTERED 909 396 444 393 362 46 107 40 108 475 197 77
100% 100% 100%
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 404 423 398 341 58 108 55 132 460 185 63
Very comfortable 421 188 217 175 186 22 38 30 54 213 80 41
46% 47% 49% 45% 51% 48% 36% 74% 50% 45% 41% 54%
IJKL

Somewhat comfortable 258 117 126 113 94 8 41 8 29 135 58 23


28% 29% 28% 29% 26% 18% 39%
39% 20% 27% 29% 29% 30%
Not very comfortable 141 64 56 63 52 8 18 2 15 85 27 11
16% 16% 13% 16% 14% 18% 17% 6% 14% 18% 14% 14%
h H h

Not at all comfortable 72 26 35 41 23 5 3 - 8 36 25 2


8% 7% 8% 10% 6% 10% 3% 7% 8% 13% 3%
e jL

Not sure 17 2 10 2 6 3 6 - 3 6 6 -
2% *% 2% *% 2% 6% 6% 3% 1% 3%
B
COMFORTABLE 679 304 343 288 280 30 79 38 82 349 138 64
75% 77% 77% 73% 77% 66% 74% 94% 76% 73% 70% 83%
IJKl k

NOT COMFORTABLE 213 90 92 103 76 13 21 2 23 121 52 13


23% 23% 21% 26% 21% 28% 20% 6% 21% 25% 27% 17%
H H H h

Comparison Groups: BC/DE/HIJKL


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table I5 Page 39
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

I5
Donald
Please indicate the extent to which you AGREE or DISAGREE with the following statement: I personally agree with Donal d
Trump on a number of issues, though I am reluctant to admit this in public.

============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====

CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
BASE: REGISTERED 909 207 163 113 191 235 77 251 342 239 429 480 763 122 176 145 201
201 378
378 403 352 154
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 198 176 101 189 245 64 397 322 126
126 462 447 777 107 143 125 193 437 355 345 190
Agree strongly 115 29 17 14 26 30 2 50 48 15 82 33 94 17 15 17 15 66 8 96 12
13% 14% 10% 13% 13% 13% 3% 20% 14% 6% 19% 7% 12% 14% 9% 12% 7% 17% 2% 27% 8%
GIJ GJ L OQ SU S

Agree somewhat 158 51 23 10 35 39 12 41 61 44 79 78 146 8 17 25 37 78 32 93 32


17% 25% 14% 9% 19% 17% 15% 16% 18% 18% 18% 16% 19% 6% 10% 17% 19% 21% 8% 26% 21%
CDf D d N O O S S

Disagree somewhat 120 33 33 6 14 34 4 31 57 28 60 60 109 10 23 17 29 49 36 59 25


13% 16% 20% 5% 7% 14% 5% 12% 17% 12% 14% 13% 14% 8% 13% 12% 14% 13% 9% 17% 16%
DE DE DE G G n S S
Disagree
Disagree strongly 497 88 85 83 113 127 55 121 170 151 200 297 397 85 113 83 116 181
181 320 99 78
55% 43% 52% 73% 60% 54% 72% 48% 50% 63% 47% 62% 52% 70% 64% 57% 58% 48% 79% 28% 50%
b BCEF B B HI HI K M R r R TU T
Not sure 20 6 6 0 2 6 4 8 6 2 8 11 17 2 8 3 4 4 7 5 7
2% 3% 4% *% 1% 2% 5% 3% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 4% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 5%
d t
AGREE 273 80 39 24 61 69 14 91 109 58 161 111 240 25 32 42 52 144 40 189 44
30% 38% 24% 21% 32% 29% 18% 36% 32% 24% 38% 23% 31% 21% 18% 29% 26% 38% 10% 54% 28%
CDf d GJ G L N o OpQ SU S

DISAGREE 617 121 118 89 128 161 59 152 228 178 260 357 506 95 136 100 144
144 230 356 158 103
68% 59% 72% 79% 67% 68% 77% 61% 66% 75% 60% 74% 66% 78% 77% 69% 72% 61% 88% 45% 67%
B Be b H H K M R R TU T

Comparison Groups: BCDEF/GHIJ/KL/MN/OPQR/STU


Independent Z-
Z-Test for Percentages (unpooled proportions)
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table I5 Page 40
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

I5
personally
Please indicate the extent to which you AGREE or DISAGREE with the following statement: I personally agree with Donald
Trump on a number of issues, though I am reluctant to admit this in public.

====AREA TYPE==== ===WHITE=== ==BLK/HISP= ==MAR.STAT= ====EDUCATION==== ====IDEOLOOGY====


SUB-
SUB- WHITE WHITE SINGL MARR HIGH SOME
TOTAL URBAN URBAN RURAL
RURAL MEN WOMEN BLACK HIS. WOMEN WOM SCHL. COLL. COLL+ CONS. MOD. LIB.
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S)
BASE: REGISTERED 909 200 465 243 365 399 63 59 225 254 225 247 436 300 323 267
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 221 458 230 401 376 47 60 201 244 169 179 561 298 322 265
Agree strongly 115 42 46 27 66 28 3 14 9 24 27 12 76 72 26 16
13% 21% 10% 11% 18% 7% 5% 24% 4% 9% 12% 5% 17% 24% 8% 6%
FG I J l O O RS
Agree somewhat 158 22 100 35 76 70 1 6 36 42 35 36 87 79 62 15
17% 11% 22% 15% 21% 18% 2% 10% 16% 17% 15% 14% 20% 26% 19% 5%
EG o rS S
Disagree somewhat 120 21 48 51 52 56 4 6 24 36 32 39 49 52 47 17
13% 10% 10% 21% 14% 14% 7% 9% 11% 14% 14% 16% 11% 17% 15% 7%
EF S S
Disagree strongly 497 111 264 121 162 235 52 33 150 147 126 153 218 93 178 216
55% 55% 57% 50% 44% 59% 84% 55% 67% 58% 56% 62% 50% 31% 55% 81%
H K m P Q QR

Not sure 20 4 7 8 8 9 1 1 6 5 5 9 6 4 10 3
2% 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 3% 2% 2% 3% 1% 1% 3% 1%

AGREE 273 64 146 63 142 98 5 20 45 66 62 47 163 151 88 30


30% 32% 31% 26% 39% 25% 8% 34% 20% 26% 27% 19% 37% 50% 27% 11%
I J o NO RS S

DISAGREE 617 132 312 172 214 291 56 38 173 182 158 191 267 145 225 234
68% 66% 67% 71% 59% 73% 90% 64% 77% 72% 70% 77% 61%
61% 48% 70% 87%
H K P P Q QR

Comparison Groups: EFG/HI/JK/LM/NOP/QRS


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table I5 Page 41
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage
Percentage Points

I5
Please indicate the extent to which you AGREE or DISAGREE with the following statement: I personally agree with Donald
Trump on a number of issues, though I am reluctant to admit this in public.

2020 VOTE 2016 VOTE SOCIAL CLASS


Upper-
Upper- Lower-
Lower-
All Did not Upper middle Middle middle Lower
Regist. Trump Biden Trump Clinton Other vote class class class class class
------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L)
BASE: REGISTERED 909 396 444 393 362 46 107 40 108 475 197 77
100% 100%
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 404 423 398 341 58 108 55 132 460 185 63
Agree strongly 115 104 8 103 6 2 4 26 15 46 19 8
13% 26% 2% 26% 2% 4% 4% 64% 14% 10% 10% 11%
C E IJKL

Agree somewhat 158 114 23 114 16 8 19 5 28 84 29 11


17% 29% 5% 29% 4% 17%
17% 18% 12% 26% 18% 15% 15%
C E HjKl
Disagree somewhat 120 69 38 66 27 13 14 3 10 64 34 8
13% 17% 8% 17% 8% 28% 13% 7% 9% 13% 17% 10%
C E Hi

Disagree strongly 497 102 374 103 307 23 62 7 53 271 109 50


55% 26% 84% 26% 85% 49% 58% 17% 49% 57% 55% 65%
B D H H H Hi
Not sure 20 6 2 6 6 1 7 - 2 10 6 -
2% 2% *% 2% 2% 2% 7% 2% 2% 3%
AGREE 273 218 31 217 22 10 24 31 43 130 48 20
30% 55% 7% 55% 6% 21% 22% 76% 40% 27% 25% 25%
C E IJKL JKl
DISAGREE 617 171 412 169 334 35 76 10 63 335 143 57
68% 43% 93% 43% 92% 77% 71% 24% 58% 70% 72% 75%
B D H HI HI HI

Comparison Groups: BC/DE/HIJKL


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance
significance at the 90% level.
Table L1_RV Page 42
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

L1(REGISTERED)
law
In your opinion, which presidential candidate MOST supports la w enforcement and the rule of law? (REGISTERED VOTERS
SAMPLE)

============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====

CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
BASE=REGISTERED VOTERS 909 207 163 113 191 235 77 251 342 239 429 480 763 122 176 145 201 378 403 352 154
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 198 176 101 189 245 64 397 322 126 462 447 777 107 143 125 193 437 355 345 190
Joe Biden 345 62 57 64 88 74 36 93 107 109 140 206 262 77 76 49 82 136 271 23 51
38.0% 29.9% 35.2% 56.3% 46.2% 31.5% 47.4% 37.0% 31.3% 45.5% 32.5% 42.9% 34.4% 63.2% 43.5% 33.9% 40.7% 36.0% 67.4% 6.5% 33.0%
BCF BcF I I K M TU T

Donald Trump 479 121 98 37 86 138 36 130 195 117 262 217 435 33 77 79 103
103 212 85 315 80
52.7% 58.4% 59.7% 32.9% 45.0% 58.7% 47.5% 51.9% 57.0% 49.1% 61.0% 45.3% 57.0% 27.0% 43.6% 54.9% 51.5% 56.1% 21.1% 89.4% 51.7%
DE DE d DE L N o O SU S
Not sure 85 24 8 12 17 23 4 28 40 13 28 57 66 12 23 16 16 30 47 14 24
9.3% 11.7% 5.2% 10.8% 8.8% 9.8% 5.1% 11.1% 11.7% 5.4% 6.4% 11.9% 8.6% 9.8% 12.9% 11.2% 7.8% 7.9% 11.6% 4.1% 15.3%
c J J K T T
TRUMP-
TRUMP-BIDEN 14.7% 28.4% 24.5% -23% -1.2% 27.2% 0.1% 14.9% 25.7% 3.6% 28.5% 2.4% 22.6% -36% 0.1% 21.1% 10.8% 20.1% -46% 82.9% 18.7%

Comparison Groups: BCDEF/GHIJ/KL/MN/OPQR/STU


Independent Z-
Z-Test for Percentages (unpooled
(unpooled proportions)
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table L1_RV Page 43
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

L1(REGISTERED)
In your opinion, which presidential candidate MOST supports law enforcement and the rule of law? (REGISTERED VOTERS
SAMPLE)

====AREA TYPE==== ===WHITE=== ==BLK/HISP= ==MAR.STAT= ====EDUCATION==== ====IDEOLOOGY====


SUB-
SUB- WHITE WHITE SINGL MARR HIGH SOME
TOTAL URBAN URBAN RURAL MEN WOMEN BLACK HIS. WOMEN WOM SCHL. COLL. COLL+ CONS. MOD. LIB.
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S)
BASE=REGISTERED VOTERS 909 200 465 243 365
365 399 63 59 225 254 225 247 436 300 323 267
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 221 458 230 401 376 47 60 201 244 169 179 561 298 322 265
Joe Biden 345 90 179 77 104 158 46 31 96 109 86 88 171 34 133 174
42.9%
38.0% 44.7% 38.4% 31.6% 28.6% 39.6% 74.2% 51.6% 42.9% 42.8% 38.1% 35.6% 39.3% 11.3% 41.3% 65.0%
G H K Q QR
Donald Trump 479 88 242 149 239 196 10 23 100 118 124 124 231 258 152 62
52.7% 44.0% 52.1% 61.2% 65.5% 49.2% 15.8% 38.9% 44.4% 46.3% 55.2% 50.1% 52.9% 86.1% 47.0% 23.3%
e EF I J RS S
Not sure 85 23 44 18 21 45 6 6 29 28 15 35 34 8 38 31
9.3% 11.3% 9.5% 7.2% 5.8% 11.2% 10.0% 9.5% 12.8% 10.9% 6.7% 14.3% 7.8% 2.6% 11.7% 11.6%
H nP Q Q
TRUMP-
TRUMP-BIDEN 14.7% -0.7% 13.7% 29.5% 36.9% 9.6% -58% -13% 1.5% 3.4% 17.1% 14.5% 13.7% 74.8% 5.7% -42%

Comparison Groups: EFG/HI/JK/LM/NOP/QRS


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table L1_RV Page 44
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

L1(REGISTERED)
In your opinion, which presidential
presidential candidate MOST supports law enforcement and the rule of law? (REGISTERED VOTERS
SAMPLE)

2020 VOTE 2016 VOTE SOCIAL CLASS


Upper-
Upper- Lower-
Lower-
All Did not Upper middle Middle middle Lower
Regist. Trump Biden Trump Clinton Other vote class class class class class
------- ------- ------- ------- -------
------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L)
BASE=REGISTERED VOTERS 909 396 444 393 362 46
46 107 40 108 475 197 77
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Unweighted Total 909 404 423 398 341 58 108 55 132 460 185 63
Joe Biden 345 9 330 21 266 17 39 11 38 186 75 30
38.0% 2.2% 74.2% 5.4% 73.5% 37.9% 36.3% 28.1% 35.5% 39.0% 37.9% 38.8%
B D
Donald Trump 479 382 64 353 54 23 50 29 64 250 97 38
52.7% 96.4% 14.3% 89.8% 14.8% 49.7% 46.8% 71.9% 59.0% 52.6% 49.3% 49.0%
C E iJKL
Not sure 85 6 51 19 42 6 18 - 6 40 25 9
9.3% 1.4% 11.4%
11.4% 4.7% 11.6% 12.4% 16.9% 5.5% 8.3% 12.8% 12.1%
B D I
TRUMP-
TRUMP-BIDEN 14.7% 94.1% -59.9% 84.4%
84.4% -58.7% 11.8% 10.5% 43.8% 23.5% 13.6% 11.4% 10.2%

Comparison Groups: BC/DE/HIJKL


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table L1_LV Page 45
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

L1(LIKELY)
rule
In your opinion, which presidential candidate MOST supports law enforcement and the rule of law?(LIKELY VOTERS SAMPLE)

============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====

CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
BASE=LIKELY VOTERS 793 176 142 97 176 202 66 196 302 228 373 420 670 106 144 125 181 334 350 322 121
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted
Unweighted Total 774 161 150 85 172 206 52 317 284 121 395 379 670 87 112 103 167 383
383 305 310 145

Joe Biden 308 56 48 55 83 66 32 79 96 102 121 186 235 67 65 44 76 121 243 22 42


38.8% 32.0% 33.8% 56.0% 47.1% 32.9% 48.3% 40.0% 31.6% 44.6% 32.6% 44.4% 35.0% 63.8% 45.3% 35.3% 42.1% 36.0% 69.5% 7.0% 34.9%
BCF BCF I I I K M TU T
Donald Trump 425 103 88 33 80 121 32 100 178 116 231 195 389 28 65 72 91 190 75 289 62
53.6% 58.8% 61.9% 33.5% 45.7% 59.9% 47.9% 50.9% 58.8% 50.8% 61.9% 46.3% 58.1% 26.5% 45.4% 57.8% 50.2% 56.9% 21.4% 89.7% 51.1%
DE DE DE h L N o SU S

Not sure 60 16 6 10 13 15 2 18 29 10 21 39 46 10 13 9 14 23 32 10 17
7.5% 9.2% 4.3% 10.5% 7.2% 7.2% 3.8% 9.1% 9.6% 4.5% 5.5% 9.3% 6.9% 9.7% 9.4% 6.9% 7.7% 7.0% 9.2% 3.3% 14.0%
j j k T T
TRUMP-
TRUMP-BIDEN 14.8% 26.8% 28.1% -22% -1.4% 27.0% -0.4% 10.9% 27.2% 6.2% 29.3% 1.9% 23.1% -37% 0.1% 22.5% 8.0% 20.9% -48% 82.8% 16.3%

Comparison Groups: BCDEF/GHIJ/KL/MN/OPQR/STU


Independent Z-
Z-Test for Percentages (unpooled proportions)
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table L1_LV Page 46
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/-
+/-3.6 Percentage Points

L1(LIKELY)
In your opinion, which presidential candidate MOST supports law enforcement and the rule of law?(LIKELY VOTERS SAMPLE)

====AREA TYPE==== ===WHITE=== ==BLK/HISP= ==MAR.STAT= ====EDUCATION==== ====IDEOLOOGY====


SUB-
SUB- WHITE WHITE SINGL MARR HIGH SOME
TOTAL URBAN URBAN RURAL MEN WOMEN BLACK HIS. WOMEN WOM SCHL. COLL. COLL+ CONS. MOD. LIB.
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S)
BASE=LIKELY VOTERS 793 166
166 411 215 320 350 56 49 198 221 186 215 392 272 272 238
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 774 186 394 194 348 322 39 48 170 207 130 150 494 267 260 233
Joe Biden 308 71 167 70 92 143 43 24 89 97 66 82 159 30 118 158
40.8%
38.8% 42.6% 40.7% 32.4% 28.7% 40.8% 76.5% 49.4% 44.8% 44.0% 35.8% 38.3% 40.6% 10.9% 43.5% 66.5%
g g H K Q QR
Donald Trump 425 78 213 134 212 177 7 21 90 105 111 108 206 237 125 56
53.6% 47.1% 51.7% 62.3% 66.3% 50.6% 12.4% 42.5% 45.4% 47.4% 59.7% 50.1% 52.7% 87.3% 45.9% 23.5%
EF I J RS S

Not sure 60 17 31 11 16 30 6 4 19 19 8 25 26 5 29 24
7.5% 10.3% 7.6% 5.3% 5.0% 8.6% 11.1% 8.0% 9.8% 8.6% 4.6% 11.6% 6.7% 1.8% 10.6% 10.0%
n Q Q
TRUMP-
TRUMP-BIDEN 14.8% 4.5% 11.1% 29.9% 37.7% 9.8% -64% -6.9% 0.5% 3.4% 23.9% 11.9% 12.1%
12.1% 76.3% 2.4% -43%

Comparison Groups: EFG/HI/JK/LM/NOP/QRS


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table L1_LV Page 47
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

L1(LIKELY)
VOTERS
In your opinion, which presidential candidate MOST supports law enforcement and the rule of law?(LIKELY VOTERS SAMPLE)

2020 VOTE 2016 VOTE SOCIAL CLASS


Upper-
Upper- Lower-
Lower-
All Did not Upper middle Middle middle Lower
Regist. Trump Biden Trump Clinton Other vote class class class class class
------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L)
BASE=LIKELY VOTERS 793 354 394 364 336 41 50 37 96 418 169 63
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Unweighted Total 774 352 367 361 311 52 46 51 116 395 152 49
Joe Biden 308 8 297 20 250 17 19 8 34 168 68 26
38.8% 2.1% 75.4% 5.4% 74.5% 41.6% 38.7% 21.3% 35.2% 40.1% 40.3% 41.0%
B D h H H H
Donald Trump 425 342 56 331 50 20 25 29 58 221 83 32
53.6% 96.7% 14.3% 90.9% 14.9% 48.8% 49.0% 78.7% 60.6% 53.0% 48.8% 51.6%
C E IJKL k
Not sure 60 4 41 14 36 4 6 - 4 29 19 5
7.5% 1.2% 10.4% 3.7% 10.7% 9.7% 12.3% 4.1% 6.9% 10.9% 7.4%
B D i
TRUMP-
TRUMP-BIDEN 14.8% 94.5% -61.1% 85.5% -59.6% 7.2% 10.3% 57.4% 25.4% 12.9% 8.5% 10.6%

Comparison Groups: BC/DE/HIJKL


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table L2_RV Page 48
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/-
+/-3.6 Percentage Points

L2(REGISTERED)
In your opinion, which presidential candidate BETTER understands the plight of the American worker? (REGISTERED VOTERS
SAMPLE)

============REGION
============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====

CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
(U)

BASE=REGISTERED VOTERS 909 207 163 113 191 235 77 251 342 239 429 480 763 122 176 145 201
201 378 403 352 154
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 198 176 101 189 245 64 397 322 126 462 447 777 107 143 125 193
193 437 355 345 190
Joe Biden 466 87 73 83 111 112 55 132 151 129 179 288 360 92 102 73 104 185 349 40 77
86.7%
51.3% 42.2% 44.6% 73.7% 58.1% 47.7% 71.7% 52.5% 44.0% 53.9% 41.6% 60.0% 47.1% 75.1% 58.2% 50.4% 51.9% 48.9% 86.7% 11.3% 50.1%
BCEF BCf HIJ I i K M r TU T
Donald Trump 375 100 77 21 71 106 14 101 163 97 225
225 150 351 19 61 58 80 170 31 296 47
41.3% 48.4% 47.1% 18.4% 37.3% 45.2% 18.4% 40.3% 47.7% 40.4% 52.5% 31.2% 46.0% 15.3% 34.6% 40.1% 39.8% 44.9% 7.8% 84.2% 30.7%
DE De D D G Gh G L N O SU S
Not sure 68 19 14 9 9 17 8 18 28 14 25 42 52 12 13 14 17 24 22 16
16 30
7.4% 9.3% 8.3% 8.0% 4.7% 7.1% 9.9% 7.2% 8.3% 5.7% 5.9% 8.8% 6.9% 9.5% 7.3% 9.5% 8.2% 6.2% 5.5% 4.5% 19.2%
ST

TRUMP-
TRUMP-BIDEN -10% 6.2% 2.5% -55% -21% -2.6% -53% -12% 3.7% -14% 10.9% -29% -1.1% -60% -24% -10% -12% -4.0% -79% 72.9% -19%

Comparison Groups: BCDEF/GHIJ/KL/MN/OPQR/STU


Independent Z-
Z-Test for Percentages (unpooled proportions)
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table L2_RV Page 49
The Federalist/TIPP
Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

L2(REGISTERED)
In your opinion, which presidential candidate BETTER understands the plight of the American worker? (REGISTERED VOTERS
SAMPLE)

====AREA TYPE==== ===WHITE=== ==BLK/HISP= ==MAR.STAT= ====EDUCATION==== ====IDEOLOOGY====


SUB-
SUB- WHITE WHITE SINGL MARR HIGH SOME
TOTAL URBAN URBAN RURAL MEN WOMEN BLACK HIS. WOMEN WOM SCHL. COLL. COLL+ CONS. MOD. LIB.
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S)
BASE=REGISTERED
BASE=REGISTERED VOTERS 909 200 465 243 365 399 63 59 225 254 225 247 436 300 323 267
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 221 458 230 401 376 47 60 201 244 169 179 561 298 322 265
Joe Biden 466 113 254 100 134 226 56 36 143 143 108 125 233 45 179 236
56.1%
51.3% 56.1% 54.5% 41.2% 36.7% 56.6% 89.2% 60.3% 63.9% 56.4% 48.1% 50.5% 53.4% 15.1% 55.4% 88.4%
G G H K Q QR
Donald Trump 375 70 179 127 210 141 2 17 59 91 103 100 173 238 109 21
41.3% 34.7% 38.5% 52.0% 57.7% 35.4% 2.5% 28.9% 26.1% 35.9% 45.6% 40.3% 39.6% 79.5% 33.7% 8.0%
EF I J L RS S

Not sure 68 18 33 16 20 32 5 6 22 20 14 23 31 16 35 10
7.4% 9.1% 7.1% 6.8% 5.6% 8.0% 8.3% 10.8% 10.0% 7.8% 6.3% 9.2% 7.0% 5.5% 10.8% 3.6%
QS
TRUMP-
TRUMP-BIDEN -10% -21% -16% 10.8% 20.9% -21% -87% -31% -38%
38% -21% -2.6% -10% -14% 64.4% -22% -80%

Comparison Groups: EFG/HI/JK/LM/NOP/QRS


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table L2_RV Page 50
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

L2(REGISTERED)
American
In your opinion, which presidential candidate BETTER understands the plight of the American worker? (REGISTERED VOTERS
SAMPLE)

2020 VOTE 2016 VOTE SOCIAL CLASS


Upper-
Upper- Lower-
Lower-
All Did not Upper middle Middle middle Lower
Regist. Trump Biden Trump Clinton Other vote class class class class class
------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L)
BASE=REGISTERED VOTERS 909 396 444 393 362 46 107 40 108 475 197 77
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Unweighted Total 909 404 423 398 341 58 108 55 132 460 185 63
Joe Biden 466 19 429 43 335 26 61 12 54 241 106 45
51.3% 4.8% 96.6% 10.9% 92.6% 55.7% 57.1% 29.1% 49.7% 50.8% 53.7% 58.6%
B D H H H H
Donald Trump 375 359 5 321 8 12 35 25 48 200 71 29
41.3% 90.6% 1.2% 81.7% 2.2% 25.6% 32.5% 62.0% 44.9% 42.1% 36.3% 37.5%
C E IJKL

Not sure 68 19 10 29 19 9 11 4 6 34 20 3
7.4% 4.7% 2.2% 7.4% 5.2% 18.7% 10.4% 9.0% 5.4% 7.2% 10.1% 3.9%
TRUMP-
TRUMP-BIDEN -10.0% 85.8% -95.4% 70.8% -90.5% -30.1% -24.6% 32.9% -4.8% -8.7% -17.4% -21.1%

Comparison Groups: BC/DE/HIJKL


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table L2_LV Page 51
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

L2(LIKELY)
VOTERS
In your opinion, which presidential candidate BETTER understands the plight of the American worker?(LIKELY VOTERS
SAMPLE)

============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====

CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP
R EP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
BASE=LIKELY VOTERS 793 176 142 97 176 202 66 196 302 228 373 420 670 106 144 125 181
181 334 350 322 121
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 774 161 150 85 172 206 52 317 284 121 395 379 670 87 112 103 167
167 383 305 310 145

Joe Biden 414 76 63 74 103 98 52 105 135 122 153 261 322 82 85 67 94 166 314 37 63
48.0%
52.2% 43.2% 44.5% 75.5% 58.8% 48.5% 78.5% 53.4% 44.8% 53.4% 41.0% 62.1% 48.0% 77.6% 59.0% 53.6% 51.9% 49.7% 89.7% 11.4% 52.0%
BCEF BCf HIJ I K M TU T
Donald Trump 335 87 68 20 67 93 11 80 149 95 205 131 314 17 53 52 71 153 27 272 36
42.3% 49.7% 47.9% 20.8% 38.0% 46.0% 16.8% 40.6% 49.4% 41.7% 54.9% 31.1% 46.8% 16.4% 36.7% 41.7% 39.3% 45.7% 7.7% 84.5% 30.2%
De D D D G GH G L N SU S
Not sure 44 13 11 4 6 11 3 12 17 11 15 28 35 6 6 6 16 15 9 13 21
5.5% 7.1% 7.5% 3.8% 3.2% 5.4% 4.7% 6.0% 5.8% 4.9% 4.0% 6.8% 5.2% 6.1% 4.3% 4.8% 8.8% 4.6% 2.6% 4.0% 17.8%
ST

TRUMP-
TRUMP-BIDEN -9.9% 6.5% 3.4% -55% -21% -2.5% -62% -13% 4.6% -12% 13.9% -31% -1.2% -61% -22% -12% -13% -4.1% -82% 73.1% -22%

Comparison Groups: BCDEF/GHIJ/KL/MN/OPQR/STU


Independent Z-
Z-Test for Percentages (unpooled proportions)
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters
letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table L2_LV Page 52
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

L2(LIKELY)
In your opinion, which presidential candidate
candidate BETTER understands the plight of the American worker?(LIKELY VOTERS
SAMPLE)

====AREA TYPE==== ===WHITE=== ==BLK/HISP= ==MAR.STAT= ====EDUCATION==== ====IDEOLOOGY====


SUB-
SUB- WHITE WHITE SINGL MARR HIGH SOME
TOTAL URBAN URBAN RURAL MEN WOMEN BLACK HIS. WOMEN WOM SCHL. COLL. COLL+ CONS. MOD. LIB.
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S)

BASE=LIKELY VOTERS 793 166 411 215 320 350 56 49 198 221 186 215 392 272 272 238
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 774 186 394 194 348 322 39 48 170 207 130 150 494 267 260 233
Joe Biden 414 92 233 89 118 204 51 30 131 129 88 115 211 41 156 213
52.2% 55.1% 56.7% 41.4% 37.0% 58.1% 91.6% 61.6% 66.1% 58.3% 47.4% 53.3% 53.9% 15.2% 57.5% 89.5%
G G H K Q QR
Donald Trump 335 63 157 115 189 124 2 16 50 81 91 87 158 218 91 20
42.3% 38.2% 38.1% 53.6% 59.3% 35.5% 2.8% 31.8% 25.2% 36.6% 49.0% 40.3% 40.2% 80.2% 33.6% 8.2%
EF I J L p RS S
Not sure 44 11 22 11 12 23 3 3 17 11 7 14 23 12 24 5
5.5% 6.7% 5.3% 5.0% 3.8% 6.4% 5.7% 6.6% 8.7% 5.1% 3.5% 6.4% 5.9% 4.5% 9.0% 2.2%
qS
TRUMP-
TRUMP-BIDEN -9.9% -17% -19% 12.2% 22.3% -23% -89% -30% -41% -22% 1.6% -13% -14% 65.0% -24% -81%

Comparison Groups: EFG/HI/JK/LM/NOP/QRS


EFG/HI/JK/LM/NOP/QRS
Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table L2_LV Page 53
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE
ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/-
+/-3.6 Percentage Points

L2(LIKELY)
In your opinion, which presidential candidate BETTER understands the plight of the American worker?(LIKELY VOTERS
SAMPLE)

2020 VOTE 2016 VOTE SOCIAL CLASS


Upper-
Upper- Lower-
Lower-
All Did not Upper middle Middle middle Lower
Regist. Trump Biden Trump Clinton Other vote class class class class class
------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L)
BASE=LIKELY VOTERS 793 354 394 364 336 41 50 37 96 418 169 63
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Unweighted Total 774 352 367 361 311 52 46 51 116 395 152 49
Joe Biden 414 15 384 41 316 24 32 10 48 219 94 36
52.2% 4.2% 97.4% 11.2% 94.0% 58.8% 62.9% 27.1% 49.5% 52.4% 55.6% 57.5%
B D H H H H
Donald Trump 335 323 4 302 8 11 15 24 46 176 63 25
42.3% 91.4% 1.0% 83.1%
83.1% 2.3% 26.3% 29.1% 66.6% 48.1% 42.0% 37.1% 39.2%
C E IJKL k
Not sure 44 16 6 21 12 6 4 2 2 23 12 2
5.5% 4.4% 1.6% 5.8% 3.7% 14.9% 7.9% 6.4% 2.4% 5.6% 7.3% 3.3%
c

TRUMP-
TRUMP-BIDEN -9.9% 87.1% -96.4% 71.9% -91.7% -32.5% -33.8% 39.5% -1.3% -10.3% -18.5% -18.3%

Comparison Groups: BC/DE/HIJKL


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table REG Page 54
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage
Percentage Points

Reg.
REGION

============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====

CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
TOTAL 909 207 163 113 191 235 77 251 342 239 429 480 763 122 176 145 201 378 403 352 154
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 198 176 101 189 245 64 397 322 126 462 447 777 107 143 125 193 437 355 345 190
Central 207 207 - - - - 12 53 82 60 112 95 185 19 29 39 52 86 70 90 47
23% 100% 16% 21% 24% 25% 26% 20% 24% 16% 17% 27% 26% 23% 17% 25% 30%
L N o o S S
North 163 - 163 - - - 15 34 60 55 76 87 143 19 34 36 40 49 67 67 29
18% 100% 19% 14% 17% 23% 18% 18% 19% 16% 19% 25% 20% 13% 17% 19% 19%
H R r
Philadelphia 113 - - 113 - - 20 42 23 29 46 68 51 56 31 16 17 48 75 24 14
12% 100% 26% 17% 7% 12% 11% 14% 7% 46% 17% 11% 8% 13% 19% 7% 9%
hIJ I i M Q TU
Philadelphia Suburbs 191 - - - 191 - 12 68 71 39 90 101 167 15 28 15 36 110 87 74 30
21% 100% 15% 27% 21% 16% 21% 21% 22% 12% 16% 11% 18% 29% 21% 21% 20%
GIJ N OPQ
West 235 - - - - 235 18 54 107 56 106 129 217 13 54 38 57 84 104 97 34
26% 100% 23% 22% 31% 23% 25% 27% 28% 11% 31% 26% 29% 22% 26% 28% 22%
Hj N r

Comparison Groups: BCDEF/GHIJ/KL/MN/OPQR/STU


Independent Z-
Z-Test for Percentages (unpooled proportions)
proportions)
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table REG Page 55
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, +/-
Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/-3.6 Percentage Points

Reg.
REGION

====AREA TYPE==== ===WHITE=== ==BLK/HISP= ==MAR.STAT= ====EDUCATION==== ====IDEOLOOGY====


SUB-
SUB- WHITE WHITE SINGL MARR HIGH SOME
TOTAL URBAN URBAN RURAL MEN
MEN WOMEN BLACK HIS. WOMEN WOM SCHL. COLL. COLL+ CONS. MOD. LIB.
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J)
(J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S)
TOTAL 909 200 465 243 365 399 63 59 225 254 225 247 436 300 323 267
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 221 458 230 401 376 47 60 201 244 169 179 561 298 322 265
Central 207 29 109 69 98 87 7 12 38 57 49 60 97 82 81 42
23% 14% 23% 28% 27% 22% 12% 19% 17% 22% 22% 24% 22% 27% 25% 16%
E E S S

North 163 22 62 80 67 76 2 17 42 44 56 41 67 62 49 50
18% 11% 13% 33% 18% 19% 3% 29% 19% 17% 25% 16% 15% 21% 15% 19%
EF J oP

Philadelphia 113 86 19 8 23 29 37 19 42 25 23 35 56 25 32 50
12% 43% 4% 3% 6% 7% 59% 33% 19% 10% 10% 14% 13% 8% 10% 19%
FG K M QR
Philadelphia Suburbs 191 22 157 12 76 91 8 7 41 60 34 43 113 57 67 64
21% 11% 34% 5% 21% 23% 13% 11% 18% 24% 15% 17% 26% 19% 21% 24%
g EG NO
West 235 42 119 74 101 116 9 5 62 68 64 69 103 74 93 61
26% 21% 26% 31% 28% 29% 14% 8% 27% 27% 28% 28% 24% 25% 29% 23%
E

Comparison Groups: EFG/HI/JK/LM/NOP/QRS


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table REG Page 56
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

Reg.
REGION

2020 VOTE 2016 VOTE SOCIAL CLASS


Upper-
Upper- Lower-
Lower-
All Did not Upper middle Middle middle Lower
Regist. Trump Biden Trump Clinton Other vote class class class class class
------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L)
TOTAL 909 396 444 393 362 46 107 40 108 475 197 77
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 404 423 398 341 58 108 55 132 460 185 63
Central 207 106 83 105 64 17 19 10 19 119 44 11
23% 27% 19% 27% 18% 37% 18% 25% 17% 25% 22% 15%
C E il
North 163 84 71 74 57 8 25 4 10 81 46 21
18% 21% 16% 19% 16% 17% 23% 10% 10% 17% 23% 27%
c i HI HI
Philadelphia 113 22 81 25 66 5 17 10 17 48 25 10
12% 5% 18% 6% 18% 11% 16% 25% 15% 10% 13% 13%
B D Jk
Philadelphia Suburbs 191 75 108 76 91 8 16 10 37 99 33 10
21% 19% 24% 19% 25% 17% 15% 24% 34% 21% 17% 13%
b JKL

West 235 109 101 112 85 8 30 6 25 127 48 25


26% 28% 23% 29% 23% 18% 28% 16% 23% 27% 24% 32%
h h

Comparison Groups: BC/DE/HIJKL


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table AREA Page 57
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

Reg.
AREA TYPE

============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE


===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====

CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
TOTAL 909 207 163 113 191 235 77 251 342 239 429 480 763 122 176 145 201 378 403 352 154
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted
Unweighted Total 909 198 176 101 189 245 64 397 322 126 462 447 777 107 143 125 193 437
437 355 345 190

URBAN 200 29 22 86 22 42 18 84 51 47 107 93 137 61 58 19 24 99 106 73 21


22% 14% 14% 76% 11% 18% 24% 34% 15% 20% 25% 19% 18% 50% 33% 13% 12% 26% 26% 21% 14%
BCEF IJ l M PQ PQ U u
SUBURBAN 465 109 62 19 157 119 40 118 187 121 221 244 404 42 67 74 118
118 202 215 163 87
51% 53% 38% 17% 82% 51% 52% 47% 55% 51% 51% 51% 53% 35% 38% 51% 59% 53% 53% 46% 57%
CD D BCDF CD H N o O O T

RURAL 243 69 80 8 12 74 19 49 105 71 101 142 222 19 51 52 59 77 82 116 45


27% 33% 49% 7% 6% 32% 25% 20% 31% 30% 24% 30% 29% 15% 29% 36% 29% 20% 20% 33% 29%
DE BDEF DE H H k N r R R S S
UNKNOWN - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Comparison Groups: BCDEF/GHIJ/KL/MN/OPQR/STU


Independent Z-
Z-Test for Percentages (unpooled proportions)
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table AREA Page 58
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

Reg.
AREA TYPE

====AREA TYPE==== ===WHITE=== ==BLK/HISP= ==MAR.STAT= ====EDUCATION==== ====IDEOLOOGY====


SUB-
SUB- WHITE WHITE SINGL MARR HIGH SOME
TOTAL URBAN URBAN RURAL MEN WOMEN BLACK HIS. WOMEN WOM SCHL. COLL. COLL+ CONS. MOD. LIB.
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S)
TOTAL 909 200
200 465 243 365 399 63 59 225 254 225 247 436 300 323 267
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 221 458 230 401 376 47 60 201 244 169 179 561 298 322 265
URBAN 200 200 - - 84 54 37 24 59 34 37 49 114 63 51 83
22% 100% 23% 14% 59% 40% 26% 13% 16% 20% 26% 21% 16% 31%
I k M No QR
SUBURBAN 465 - 465 - 189 215 19 23 104 140 100 126 239 139 189 131
51% 100% 52% 54% 31% 39% 46% 55% 44% 51% 55% 46% 58% 49%
l N QS

RURAL 243 - - 243 92 130 7 12 62 80 88 72 83 98 83 54


27% 100% 25% 33% 10% 21% 27% 32% 39% 29% 19% 33% 26% 20%
H oP P rS
UNKNOWN - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Comparison Groups: EFG/HI/JK/LM/NOP/QRS


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table AREA Page 59
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

Reg.
AREA TYPE

2020 VOTE 2016 VOTE SOCIAL CLASS


Upper-
Upper- Lower-
Lower-
All Did not Upper middle Middle middle Lower
Regist. Trump Biden Trump Clinton Other vote class class class class class
------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L)
TOTAL 909 396 444 393 362 46 107 40 108 475 197 77
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 404 423 398 341 58 108 55 132 460 185 63
URBAN 200 71 112 72 87 8 33 26 30 75 31 33
22% 18% 25% 18% 24% 18% 31% 65% 28% 16% 16% 42%
B IJKL JK iJK
SUBURBAN 465 192 237
237 195 202 22 45 9 70 273 92 18
51% 48% 53% 50% 56% 48% 42% 22% 64% 57% 47% 23%
HKL HKL HL

RURAL 243 133 95 126 73 16 29 5 8 128 75 27


27% 34% 21% 32% 20% 34% 27% 13% 8% 27% 38% 34%
C E HI HIJ HI
UNKNOWN - - - - - - - - - - - -

Comparison Groups: BC/DE/HIJKL


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table D1 Page 60
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely,
Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/-
+/-3.6 Percentage Points

D1.
Age

============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====

CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
TOTAL 909 207 163 113 191 235 77 251 342 239 429 480 763 122 176 145 201
201 378 403 352 154
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 198 176 101 189 245 64 397 322 126 462 447 777 107 143 125 193
193 437 355 345 190
18-
18-24 77 12 15 20 12 18 77 - - - 32 44 40 31 21 7 20 28 48 11 17
8% 6% 9% 18% 6% 7% 100% 8% 9% 5% 26% 12% 5% 10% 7% 12% 3% 11%
BCEF M p p T T
25-
25-34 95 20 14 17 21 23 - 95 - - 39 56 69 20 11 18 21 44 48 23 24
10% 10% 9% 15% 11% 10% 38% 9% 12% 9% 17% 6% 12% 10% 12% 12% 6% 16%
t T
35-
35-44 156 33 20 25 47 31 - 156 - - 100 56 128 21 22 15 26 90 59 69 28
17% 16% 12% 22% 25% 13% 62% 23% 12% 17% 17% 13% 10% 13% 24% 15% 19% 18%
bCF L OPQ
45-
45-54 188 47 38 11 36 56 - - 188 - 93 96 161 23 31 24 43 89 68 88 33
21% 23% 23% 9% 19% 24% 55% 22% 20% 21% 19% 18% 17% 21% 24% 17% 25% 21%
D D D D S
55-
55-64 154 34 22 12 35 51 - - 154 - 58 96 141 12 39 29 29 58 56 71 27
17% 17% 13% 11% 18% 22% 45% 13% 20% 19% 10% 22% 20% 14% 15% 14% 20% 18%
d CD K N q S
65 or over 239 60 55 29 39 56 - - - 239 108 131 224 14 51 52 63 69 124 90 25
26% 29% 34% 25% 21% 24% 100% 25% 27% 29% 11% 29% 36% 32% 18% 31% 26% 16%
E dEF N R R R tU U
Not sure/Refused - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Comparison Groups: BCDEF/GHIJ/KL/MN/OPQR/STU


Independent Z-
Z-Test for Percentages (unpooled proportions)
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table D1 Page 61
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage
Percentage Points

D1.
Age

====AREA TYPE==== ===WHITE=== ==BLK/HISP= ====IDEOLOOGY====


==MAR.STAT= ====EDUCATION==== ====IDEOLOOGY====
SUB-
SUB- WHITE WHITE SINGL MARR HIGH SOME
TOTAL URBAN URBAN RURAL MEN WOMEN BLACK HIS. WOMEN WOM SCHL. COLL. COLL+ CONS. MOD. LILIB.
B.
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S)
TOTAL 909 200 465 243 365 399 63 59 225 254 225 247 436 300 323 267
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 221 458 230 401 376 47 60 201 244 169 179 561 298 322 265
18-
18-24 77 18 40 19 15 24 16 15 42 2 23 34 19 10 23 39
8% 9% 8% 8% 4% 6% 26% 25% 19% 1% 10% 14% 4% 3% 7% 15%
M P P Q QR
25-
25-34 95 25 48 22 30 39 8 12 33 22 14 17 64 25 28 38
10% 12% 10% 9% 8% 10% 13% 21% 15% 9% 6% 7% 15% 8% 9% 14%
NO

35-
35-44 156 59 70 27 85 43 8 13 20 37 28 29 99 57 51 44
17% 30% 15% 11% 23% 11% 13% 22% 9% 14% 13% 12% 23% 19% 16% 16%
FG I NO
45-
45-54 188 31 105 52 75 86 7 16 34 61 40 51 97 69 72 44
21% 16% 23% 21% 21% 22% 11% 28% 15% 24% 18% 21% 22% 23% 22% 16%
E J L s
55-
55-64 154 20 82 53 52 89 9 2 37 60 47 49 57 59 60 35
17% 10% 18% 22% 14% 22% 15% 4% 16% 24% 21%
21% 20% 13% 20% 19% 13%
E E H k l P p S s
65 or over 239 47 121 71 107 117 14 - 59 72 72 67 100 80 89 69
26% 24% 26% 29% 29% 29% 22% 26% 28% 32% 27% 23% 27% 27% 26%
P
Not sure/Refused - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Comparison Groups: EFG/HI/JK/LM/NOP/QRS


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance
significance at the 90% level.
Table D1 Page 62
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

D1.
Age

2020 VOTE 2016 VOTE SOCIAL CLASS


Upper-
Upper- Lower-
Lower-
All Did not Upper middle Middle middle Lower
Regist. Trump Biden Trump Clinton Other vote class class class class class
------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L)
TOTAL 909 396 444 393 362 46 107 40 108 475 197 77
100% 100% 100%
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 404 423 398 341 58 108 55 132 460 185 63
18-
18-24 77 14 54 7 29 5 35 2 11 47 14 3
8% 3% 12% 2% 8% 10% 33% 5% 10% 10% 7% 4%
B D l
25-
25-34 95 29 56 31 45 7 12 6 13 48 21 5
10% 7% 13% 8% 12% 15% 11%
11% 15% 12% 10% 11% 7%
b
35-
35-44 156 78 70 71 55 10 21 18 28 68 28 10
17% 20% 16% 18% 15% 22% 20% 46% 26% 14% 14% 13%
IJKL JKl
45-
45-54 188 102 72 98 63 12 15 8 20 102 40 16
21% 26% 16% 25% 17% 26% 14% 19% 18% 21% 20% 21%
C E
55-
55-64 154 74 65 80 54 7 13 1 11 73 44 21
17% 19% 15% 20% 15% 16% 12% 2% 10% 15% 22% 28%
e H H HIj HIj
65 or over 239 99 126 106 117 5 11 5 25 137 50 22
26% 25% 28% 27% 32% 11% 10% 13% 24% 29% 25% 28%
d H H H H
Not sure/Refused - - - - - - - - - - - -

Comparison Groups: BC/DE/HIJKL


Z-Test for Percentages
Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table D2 Page 63
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

D2.
Marital Status

============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====

CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
TOTAL 909 207 163 113 191 235 77 251 342 239 429 480 763 122 176 145 201 378 403 352 154
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted
Unweighted Total 909 198 176 101 189 245 64 397 322 126 462 447 777 107 143 125 193 437
437 355 345 190

Single 243 48 39 50 48 58 70 87 63 23 111 132 167 63 76 43 58 64 139 58 46


27% 23% 24% 45% 25% 25% 91% 35% 18% 10% 26% 28% 22% 52% 43% 30% 29% 17% 34% 17% 30%
BCEF HIJ IJ J M PQR R R T T
Married 528 132 93 48 120 134 7 149 215 156 274 254 469 48 38 74 113
113 296 200 239 89
58% 64% 57% 43% 63% 57% 9% 60% 63% 65% 64% 53% 61% 39% 22% 51% 56% 78% 50% 68% 58%
D D D D G G G L N O O OPQ SU

Divorced/Separated 106 22 21 9 20 35 - 11 53 43 35 71 98 8 45 21 24 16 50 46 11
12% 11% 13% 8% 10% 15% 4% 15% 18% 8% 15% 13% 7% 26% 14% 12% 4% 12% 13% 7%
D H H K N PQR R R U U
Widowed
Widowed 30 5 9 5 3 9 - 3 10 17 9 21 27 3 15 7 7 1 13 9 8
3% 2% 5% 4% 1% 4% 1% 3% 7% 2% 4% 4% 2% 8% 5% 3% *% 3% 3% 5%
bE e h Hi K qR R R
Not sure/Refused 2 - 1 1 - - - 1 1 - 1 1 2 - 1 - - 1 1 - 1
*% 1% 1% *% *% *% *% *% 1% *% *% *%

Comparison Groups: BCDEF/GHIJ/KL/MN/OPQR/STU


Independent Z-
Z-Test for Percentages (unpooled proportions)
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table D2 Page 64
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

D2.
Marital Status

====AREA TYPE==== ===WHITE=== ==BLK/HISP= ==MAR.STAT= ====EDUCATION==== ====IDEOLOOGY====


SUB-
SUB- WHITE WHITE SINGL MARR HIGH SOME
TOTAL URBAN URBAN RURAL MEN WOMEN BLACK HIS. WOMEN WOM SCHL. COLL. COLL+ CONS. MOD. LIB.
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S)
TOTAL 909 200 465 243 365 399 63 59 225 254 225 247 436 300 323 267
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 221 458 230 401 376 47 60 201 244 169 179 561 298 322 265
Single 243 57 126 60 80 87 41 22 132 - 62 85 96 48 78 104
27% 29% 27% 25% 22% 22% 66% 37% 59% 28% 34% 22% 16% 24% 39%
K P Q QR
Married 528 115 274 138 242 228 16 32 - 254 119 113 296 200 194 131
58% 58% 59% 57% 66% 57% 26% 53% 100% 53% 46% 68% 67% 60% 49%
I J NO S S
Divorced/Separated 106 16 57 33 33 65 4 4 71 - 29 38 39 43 34 27
12% 8% 12% 14% 9% 16% 6% 7% 32% 13% 15% 9% 14% 11% 10%
e e H P
Widowed 30 10 7 12 9 18 1 1 21 - 15 11 4 9 16 5
3% 5% 2% 5% 2% 5% 2% 2% 9% 7% 4% 1% 3% 5% 2%
F F h P P S
Not sure/Refused 2 2 0 - 1 1 - - - - - 1 1 - 1 1
*% 1% *% *% *% *% *% *% 1%

Comparison Groups: EFG/HI/JK/LM/NOP/QRS


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table D2 Page 65
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage
Percentage Points

D2.
Marital Status

2020 VOTE 2016 VOTE SOCIAL CLASS


Upper-
Upper- Lower-
Lower-
All Did not Upper middle Middle m middle
iddle Lower
Regist. Trump Biden Trump Clinton Other vote class class class class class
------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
------- -------
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L)
TOTAL 909 396 444 393 362 46 107 40 108 475 197 77
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 404 423 398 341 58 108 55 132 460 185 63
Single 243 68 153 63 114 12 53 3 26 104 69 32
27% 17% 34% 16% 31% 26% 50% 7% 24% 22% 35% 42%
B D H H HiJ HIJ
Married 528 262 229 275 186 27 39 37 78 309 79 21
58% 66% 52% 70% 51% 59% 37% 93% 72% 65% 40% 27%
C E IJKL KL KL l
Divorced/Separated 106 56 44 44 48 2 12 - 3 50 39 14
12% 14% 10% 11% 13% 5% 12% 3% 10% 20% 18%
c I IJ I

Widowed 30 11 16 11 14 4 1 - 1 11 9 9
3% 3% 4% 3% 4%
4% 9% 1% 1% 2% 5% 12%
i I IJk

Not sure/Refused 2 - 2 - 1 1 - - - 1 0 1
*% *% *% 1% *% *% 1%

Comparison Groups: BC/DE/HIJKL


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table D3 Page 66
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage
Percentage Points

D3.
And are you the parent of any children UNDER THE AGE of 18 LIVING IN YOUR HOUSEHOLD?

============REGION ========== =========


========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====

CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
0K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
TOTAL 909 207 163 113 191 235 77 251 342 239 429 480 763 122 176 145 201 378 403 352 154
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 198 176 101 189 245 64 397 322 126 462 447 777 107 143 125 193
193 437 355 345 190

Yes 292 71 51 36 70 64 12 155 118 7 168 124 235 44 36 34 50 170 98 140 54


32% 34% 31% 32% 37% 27% 16% 62% 34% 3% 39% 26% 31% 36% 21% 24% 25% 45% 24% 40% 35%
f J GIJ GJ L OPQ S S
No 615 134 113 77 121 171 64 96 223 232 262 354 527 78 140 111 150
150 208 305 210 100
68% 65% 69% 68% 63% 73% 84% 38% 65% 97% 61% 74% 69% 64% 79% 76% 75% 55% 76% 60% 65%
e HI H GHI K R R R TU
Not sure/Refused 1 1 - - - - - - 1 - - 1 1 - - - 1 - - 1 -
*% 1% *% *% *% 1% *%

Comparison Groups: BCDEF/GHIJ/KL/MN/OPQR/STU


Independent Z-
Z-Test for Percentages (unpooled proportions)
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table D3 Page 67
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

D3.
And are you the parent of any children UNDER THE AGE of 18 LIVING IN YOUR HOUSEHOLD?

====AREA TYPE==== ===WHITE=== ==BLK/HISP= ==MAR.STAT= ====EDUCATION==== ====IDEOLOOGY====


SUB-
SUB- WHITE WHITE SINGL MARR HIGH SOME
TOTAL URBAN URBAN RURAL MEN WOMEN BLACK HIS. WOMEN WOM SCHL. COLL. COLL+ CONS. MOD. LIB.
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S)
TOTAL 909 200 465 243 365 399 63 59 225 254 225 247 436 300 323 267
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 221 458 230 401 376 47 60 201 244 169 179 561 298 322 265

Yes 292 88 144 60 142 94 10 34 38 85 54 62 177 114 106 66


32% 44% 31% 25% 39% 23% 15% 58% 17% 34%
34% 24% 25% 40% 38% 33% 25%
FG I J L NO S s
No 615 112 322 181 223 304 53 25 186 167 170 186
186 260 184 216 201
68% 56% 69% 75% 61% 76% 85% 42% 83% 66% 75% 75% 60% 61% 67% 75%
E E H K M P P Qr
Not sure/Refused 1 - - 1 - 1 - - - 1 1 - - 1 - -
*% 1% *% 1% 1% *%

Comparison Groups: EFG/HI/JK/LM/NOP/QRS


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table D3 Page 68
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage
Percentage Points

D3.
And are you the parent of any children UNDER THE AGE of 18 LIVING IN YOUR HOUSEHOLD?

2020 VOTE 2016 VOTE SOCIAL CLASS


Upper-
Upper- Lower-
Lower-
All Did not Upper middle Middle middle Lower
Regist. Trump Biden Trump Clinton Other vote class class class class class
------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L)
TOTAL 909 396 444 393 362 46 107 40 108 475 197 77
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 404 423 398 341 58 108 55 132 460 185 63
Yes 292 157 117 156 89 19 27 32 39 144 59 17
32% 39% 26% 40% 25% 40% 25% 79% 36% 30% 30% 22%
C E IJKL l
No 615 238 328 237 273 26
26 80 9 69 331 137 60
68% 60% 74% 60% 75% 57% 75% 21% 64% 70% 69% 78%
B D H H H Hi
Not sure/Refused 1 1 - - - 1 - - - - 1 -
*% *% 3% 1%

Comparison Groups: BC/DE/HIJKL


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table D4 Page 69
The Federalist/TIPP
Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

D4.
What is the HIGHEST LEVEL OF EDUCATION that you've COMPLETED?

============REGION ==========
========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====

CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)

TOTAL 909 207 163 113 191 235 77 251 342 239 429 480 763 122 176 145 201
201 378 403 352 154
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 198 176 101 189 245 64 397 322 126 462 447 777 107 143 125 193
193 437 355 345 190
Some High School 12 5 2 3 - 1 1 3 3 5 3 9 10 3 10 1 - 1 9 3 1
1% 3% 1% 3% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% 2% 6% 1% *% 2% 1% 1%
f k PR u
High School Graduate 213 44 54 19 34 62
62 22 39 85 68 88 125 184 26 63 62 42 43 94 88 31
23% 21% 33% 17% 18% 26% 29% 16% 25% 28% 21% 26% 24% 21% 36% 43% 21% 11% 23% 25% 20%
BDE dE H H H k QR QR R
Some College 247 60 41 35 43 69 34 46 100 67 111 137 202 38 68 33 69 73 116 90 41
27% 29% 25% 31% 23% 29% 45% 18% 29% 28% 26% 28% 26% 32% 39% 23% 34% 19% 29% 26% 27%
HIJ H H PR PR
College Graduate 227 55 41 20 55 55 15 68 89 55 107 120 193 29 26 34 58 108 102 84 40
25% 27% 25% 18% 29% 23% 19% 27% 26% 23% 25% 25% 25% 23% 15% 23% 29% 29% 25% 24% 26%
d O O

Some Graduate Courses 22 4 7 2 5 4 1 8 7 7 7 15 20 2 - 4 8 10 13 3 7


2% 2% 4% 2% 3% 2% 1% 3% 2% 3% 2% 3% 3% 2% 3% 4% 3% 3% 1% 4%
t T

Graduate/Professional 188 38 19 34 53 43 3 87 59 38 114 74 155 24 8 11 24 144 69 84 34


Degree 21% 19% 12% 30% 28% 18% 4% 35% 17% 16% 27% 15% 20% 20% 5% 7% 12% 38% 17% 24% 22%
bCf bCf GIJ G G L o OPQ s
Not sure/Refused - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

SUMMARY
SUMMARY
NO COLLEGE 473 109 97 57 77 132 58 88 188 139 202 271 395 67 142 96 111
111 116 219 181 73
52% 53% 59% 50% 41% 56% 75% 35% 55% 58%
58% 47% 57% 52% 55% 81% 66% 55% 31% 54% 51% 47%
E E E HIJ H H K PQR qR R

Comparison Groups: BCDEF/GHIJ/KL/MN/OPQR/STU


BCDEF/GHIJ/KL/MN/OPQR/STU
Independent Z-
Z-Test for Percentages (unpooled proportions)
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table D4 Page 70
(Continued)
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

D4.
What is the HIGHEST LEVEL OF EDUCATION that you've COMPLETED?

============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====

CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)

COLLEGE+ 436 97 67 56 113 103 19 163 155 100 228 208 368 55 34 49 90 262 184 171 81
48% 47% 41% 50% 59% 44% 25% 65% 45% 42% 53% 43% 48% 45% 19% 34% 45% 69% 46% 49% 53%
BCF GIJ G G L O Op OPQ

Comparison Groups: BCDEF/GHIJ/KL/MN/OPQR/STU


Independent Z-
Z-Test for Percentages (unpooled proportions)
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table D4 Page 71
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

D4.
What is the HIGHEST LEVEL OF EDUCATION that you've COMPLETED?

====AREA TYPE==== ===WHITE=== ==BLK/HISP= ==MAR.STAT= ====EDUCATION==== ====IDEOLOOGY====


SUB-
SUB- WHITE WHITE SINGL MARR HIGH SOME
TOTAL URBAN URBAN RURAL MEN WOMEN BLACK HIS. WOMEN WOM SCHL. COLL. COLL+ CONS. MOD. LIB.
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S)
TOTAL 909 200
200 465 243 365 399 63 59 225 254 225 247 436 300 323 267
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 221 458 230 401 376 47 60 201 244 169 179 561 298 322 265
Some High School 12 4 4 4 3 7 0 3 8 1 12 - - 8 4 -
1% 2% 1% 2% 1% 2% *% 4% 4% 1% 5% 3% 1%
M

High School Graduate 213 33 96 84 76 108 14 12 59 66 213 - - 76 79 52


23% 16% 21% 35% 21% 27% 22% 21% 26% 26% 95% 25% 25% 19%
EF H s

Some College 247 49 126 72 89 113 27 11 76 60 - 247 - 71 97 70


27% 24% 27% 30% 24% 28% 44% 19% 34% 24% 100% 24% 30% 26%
K M q
College Graduate 227 37 137 53 90 102 12 17 54 66 - - 227 71 81 72
25% 18% 29% 22% 25% 26% 19% 28% 24% 26% 52% 24% 25% 27%
Eg
Some Graduate Courses 22 4 15 4 7 13 - 2 7 9 - - 22 5 9 9
2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 3% 4% 3% 3% 5% 2% 3% 3%
Graduate/Professional 188 74 88 26 100 56 10 14 22 52 - - 188 69 53 64
Degree 21% 37% 19% 11% 27% 14% 16% 24% 10% 20% 43% 23% 16% 24%
FG G I L r r
Not sure/Refused - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

SUMMARY
NO COLLEGE 473 86 226 161 168 228 41 26 143 128 225 247 - 155 180 122
52% 43% 49% 66% 46% 57% 65% 44% 64% 50% 100% 100% 52% 56% 46%
EF H K M S

Comparison Groups: EFG/HI/JK/LM/NOP/QRS


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table D4 Page 72
(Continued)
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

D4.
What is the HIGHEST LEVEL OF EDUCATION that you've COMPLETED?

====AREA TYPE==== ===WHITE=== ==BLK/HISP= ==MAR.STAT= ====EDUCATION==== ====IDEOLOOGY====


SUB-
SUB- WHITE WHITE SINGL MARR HIGH SOME
TOTAL URBAN URBAN RURAL MEN WOMEN BLACK HIS. WOMEN WOM SCHL. COLL. COLL+ CONS. MOD. LIB.
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S)
COLLEGE+ 436 114 239 83 197 171 22 33 82 126 - - 436 145 142 145
48% 57% 51% 34% 54% 43% 35% 56% 36% 50% 100% 48% 44% 54%
G G I J L R

Comparison Groups: EFG/HI/JK/LM/NOP/QRS


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table D4 Page 73
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

D4.
What is the HIGHEST LEVEL OF EDUCATION that you've COMPLETED?

2020 VOTE 2016 VOTE SOCIAL CLASS


Upper-
Upper- Lower-
Lower-
All Did not Upper middle Middle middle Lower
Lower
Regist. Trump Biden Trump Clinton Other vote class class class class class
------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L)
TOTAL 909 396 444 393 362 46 107 40 108 475 197 77
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 404 423 398 341 58 108 55 132 460 185 63
Some High School 12 5 4 7 4 - 1 1 0 1 7 3
1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 3% *% *% 4% 4%
IJ

High School Graduate 213 106 100 93 75 6 39 1 4 107 69 31


23% 27% 23% 24% 21% 12% 37% 3% 3% 23% 35% 41%
HI HIJ HIJ

Some College 247 103 122 97 98 12 39 1 11 135 58 35


27% 26% 28% 25% 27% 26% 36% 3% 10% 28% 30% 45%
H HI HI HIJK

College Graduate 227 91 113 104 92 16 14 7 30 131 51 5


25% 23% 25% 26% 26% 35% 13% 17% 28% 28% 26% 6%
l L hL L

Some Graduate Courses 22 5 15 6 12 1 2 - 4 15 3 1


2% 1% 3% 2% 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% 1% 1%

Graduate/Professional 188 86 89 86 80 11 11 30 59 87 9 3
Degree 21% 22% 20% 22% 22% 23% 10% 74% 55% 18% 5% 3%
IJKL JKL KL
Not sure/Refused - - - - - - - - - - - -

SUMMARY

NO COLLEGE 473 214 227 197 177 18 79 4 15 243 135 69


52% 54% 51% 50% 49% 39% 74% 9% 14% 51% 68% 90%
HI HIJ HIJK

Comparison Groups:
Groups: BC/DE/HIJKL
Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table D4 Page 74
(Continued)
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely,
Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/-
+/-3.6 Percentage Points

D4.
What is the HIGHEST LEVEL OF EDUCATION that you've COMPLETED?

2020 VOTE 2016 VOTE SOCIAL CLASS


Upper-
Upper- Lower-
Lower-
All Did not Upper middle Middle middle Lower
Regist. Trump Biden Trump Clinton Other vote class class class class class
------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L)
COLLEGE+ 436 182 217 196 185 28 27 37 93 232 62 8
48% 46% 49% 50% 51% 61% 26% 91% 86% 49% 32% 10%
JKL JKL KL L

Comparison Groups: BC/DE/HIJKL


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table D5 Page 75
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

D5.
Household Income

============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====

CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)

TOTAL 909 207 163 113 191 235 77 251 342 239 429 480 763 122 176 145 201
201 378 403 352 154
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 198 176 101 189 245 64 397 322 126 462 447 777 107 143 125 193
193 437 355 345 190
Under $20,000 95 18 18 17 10 31 12 21 34 28 33 62 72 19 95 - - - 58 26 11
10% 9% 11% 15% 5% 13% 15% 8% 10% 12% 8% 13% 9% 16% 54% 14% 7% 7%
e E E K TU
Between $20,000 and 81 11 16 13 18 23 9 13 36 23 39 42 64 15 81 - - - 40 31 10
$30,000 9% 5% 10% 12% 9% 10% 12% 5% 11% 10% 9% 9% 8% 12% 46% 10% 9% 6%
b H
Between $30,000 and 84 24 20 11 10 19 7 18 29 30 37 47 68 12 - 84 - - 44 26 15
$40,000 9% 11% 12% 10% 5% 8% 9% 7% 8% 13% 9% 10% 9% 10% 58% 11% 7% 9%
E E

Between $40,000 and 60 16 16 5 6 18 - 15 24 22 24 36 52 8 - 60 - - 29 24 8


$50,000
$50,000 7% 8% 10% 4% 3% 8% 6% 7% 9% 6% 8% 7% 7% 42% 7% 7% 5%
e dE E

Between $50,000 and 201 52 40 17 36 57 20 47 71 63 87 113 167 28 - - 201 - 78 75 48


$75,000 22% 25% 24% 15% 19% 24% 26% 19% 21% 26% 20% 24% 22% 23% 100% 19% 21% 31%
d d d h ST
Between $75,000
$75,000 and 143 34 23 23 28 35 14 47 58 25 69 74 123 17 - - - 143 62 55 26
$100,000 16% 16% 14% 20% 15% 15% 18% 19% 17% 10% 16% 15% 16% 14% 38% 15% 16% 17%
J j
Over $100,000 235 52 27 25 82 49 14 88 89 44 133 101 208 23 - - - 235 90 109 36
26% 25% 16% 22% 43% 21% 18% 35% 26% 18% 31% 21% 27% 19% 62% 22% 31% 23%
c BCDF GIJ j L n Su

Not sure/Refused 10 1 5 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 6 4 10 0 - - - - 2 7 1
1% *% 3% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% *% 2% 1% 1% 1% *% *% 2% 1%
Bef s

Comparison Groups: BCDEF/GHIJ/KL/MN/OPQR/STU


Independent Z-
Z-Test for Percentages (unpooled proportions)
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table D5 Page 76
(Continued)
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

D5.
Household Income

============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====

CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P)
(P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)

Mean 70.9 71.9 62.4 66.6 85.4 65.9 64.5 80.6 70.9 62.5 75.9 66.4 72.6 62.2 19.6 39.2 63.0
63.0 111.0 65.8 76.2 72.1

Comparison Groups: BCDEF/GHIJ/KL/MN/OPQR/STU


Independent Z-
Z-Test for Percentages (unpooled proportions)
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table D5 Page 77
The Federalist/TIPP
Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

D5.
Household Income

====AREA TYPE==== ===WHITE=== ==BLK/HISP= ==MAR.STAT= ====EDUCATION==== ====IDEOLOOGY====


SUB-
SUB- WHITE WHITE SINGL MARR HIGH SOME
TOTAL URBAN URBAN RURAL MEN WOMEN BLACK HIS. WOMEN WOM SCHL. COLL. COLL+ CONS. MOD. LIB.
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S)
TOTAL 909 200 465 243 365 399 63 59 225 254 225 247 436 300 323 267
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 221 458 230 401 376 47 60 201 244 169 179 561 298 322 265
Under $20,000 95 38 30 27 25 48 9 9 50 11 50 37 8 26 28 38
10% 19% 6% 11% 7% 12% 15% 16% 22% 5% 22% 15% 2% 9% 9% 14%
FG f H M P P qR
Between $20,000 and 81 20 37 24 32 31 10 4 35 6 24 31 26 27 25 24
$30,000 9% 10% 8% 10% 9% 8% 16% 7% 16% 3% 11% 12% 6% 9% 8% 9%
M p P

Between $30,000 and 84 14 40 30 31 37 7 5 31 15 40 16 29 29 27 26


$40,000 9% 7% 9% 12% 8% 9% 11% 9% 14% 6% 18% 6% 7% 10% 8% 10%
e M OP

Between $40,000 and 60 5 34 22 22 30 3 6 13 23 23 17 20 19 29 10


$50,000 7% 2% 7% 9% 6% 7% 4% 10% 6%
6% 9% 10% 7% 5% 6% 9% 4%
E E P S
Between $50,000 and 201 24 118 59 73 94 15 13 51 63 42 69 90 55 91 54
$75,000 22% 12% 25% 24% 20% 24% 25% 22% 23% 25% 18% 28% 21% 18% 28% 20%
E E np QS

Between $75,000 and 143 38 73 32 57 66 10 7 26 48 23 45 75 42 55 42


$100,000 16% 19% 16% 13% 16% 16% 16% 12% 11% 19% 10% 18% 17% 14% 17% 16%
l n N
Over $100,000
$100,000 235 60 129 46 119 89 8 15 19 83 20 28 187 95 66 73
26% 30% 28% 19% 33% 22% 13% 25% 8% 33% 9% 11% 43% 32% 20% 27%
G G I L NO R r
Not sure/Refused 10 1 5 4 6 4 0 - - 4 4 4 2 6 3 0
1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% *% 2% 2% 2% *% 2% 1% *%
S

Comparison Groups: EFG/HI/JK/LM/NOP/QRS


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table D5 Page 78
(Continued)
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/-
+/-3.6 Percentage Points

D5.
Household Income

====AREA TYPE==== ===WHITE=== ==BLK/HISP= ==MAR.STAT= ====EDUCATION==== ====IDEOLOOGY====


SUB-
SUB- WHITE WHITE SINGL MARR HIGH SOME
TOTAL URBAN URBAN RURAL MEN WOMEN BLACK HIS. WOMEN WOM SCHL. COLL. COLL+ CONS. MOD. LIB.
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S)
Mean 70.9 71.3 74.4 63.7 77.3 68.4 57.8 66.8 49.4 81.8 49.5 59.5 88.1 74.8 69.0 70.3

Comparison Groups: EFG/HI/JK/LM/NOP/QRS


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table D5 Page 79
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

D5.
Household Income

2020 VOTE 2016 VOTE SOCIAL CLASS

Upper-
Upper- Lower-
ower-
All Did not Upper middle Middle middle Lower
Regist. Trump Biden Trump Clinton Other vote class class class class class
class
------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L)
TOTAL 909 396 444 393 362 46 107 40 108 475 197 77
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 404 423 398 341 58 108 55 132 460 185 63
Under $20,000 95 32 58 27 40 4 23 - 3 16 28 42
10% 8% 13% 7% 11% 9% 21% 2% 3% 14% 55%
B D IJ IJK
Between $20,000 and 81 33 41 28 37 1 15 1 1 27 40 11
$30,000 9% 8% 9% 7% 10% 3% 14% 2% 1% 6% 20% 14%
I HIJ hI

Between $30,000 and 84 34 41 35 35 8 7 1 2 38 31 11


$40,000 9% 9% 9% 9% 10% 17% 6% 3% 2% 8% 16% 14%
HI HIJ HI
Between $40,000 and 60 31 25 24 25 3 8 1 1 35 18 5
$50,000 7% 8% 6% 6% 7% 6% 7% 3% 1% 7% 9% 6%
hI HI

Between $50,000 and 201 81 105 82 87 11 20 2 10 134 50 3


$75,000 22% 21% 24% 21% 24% 25% 19% 6% 9% 28% 25% 4%
HIL HIL

Between $75,000 and 143 64 66 67


67 51 6 19 4 22 97 16 5
$100,000 16% 16% 15% 17% 14% 13% 18% 9% 20% 20% 8% 6%
hKL HKL

Over $100,000 235 114 107 123 85 12 15 31 70 120 13 -


26% 29% 24% 31% 24% 27% 14%
14% 77% 65% 25% 7%
E JK JK K

Not sure/Refused 10 7 2 7 1 1 1 - 0 8 1 -
1% 2% *% 2% *% 2% 1% *% 2% *%
e

Comparison Groups: BC/DE/HIJKL


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table D5 Page 80
(Continued)
The Federalist/TIPP Poll,
Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

D5.
Household Income

2020 VOTE 2016 VOTE SOCIAL CLASS


Upper-
Upper- Lower-
Lower-
All Did not Upper middle Middle middle Lower
Regist. Trump Biden Trump Clinton Other vote class class class class class
------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L)
Mean 70.9
70.9 74.3 68.4 77.4 67.9 71.9 57.3 110.8 106.0 76.6 48.7 27.6

Comparison Groups: BC/DE/HIJKL


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table D7 Page 81
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

D7.
Are you HISPANIC origin or descent?

============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====

CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)

TOTAL 909 207 163 113 191 235 77 251 342 239 429 480 763 122 176 145 201
201 378 403 352 154
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 198 176 101 189 245 64 397 322 126 462 447 777 107 143 125 193
193 437 355 345 190
No 850 195 146 94 184 230 62 225 324 239 406 444 763 63 162 134 188 356 372 335 143
93% 94% 90% 83% 97% 98% 81% 90% 95% 100% 95% 93% 100% 51% 92% 92% 94% 94% 92% 95% 93%
D CD CD GH GHI N
Yes, White Hispanic 35 10 11 7 6 2 6 14 15 - 20 15 - 35 6 4 11 15 20 11 4
4% 5% 7% 6% 3% 1% 8% 6% 5% 5% 3% 29% 3% 3% 5% 4% 5% 3% 3%
f F
Yes, Black Hispanic 13 - 1 11 1 - 5 7 1 - 1 12 - 13 4 5 - 3 5 5 3
1% 1% 9% *% 6% 3% *% *% 2% 10% 2% 3% 1% 1% 1% 2%
CE I I K
Yes, Hispanic 11 2 5 2 - 3 4 5 2 - 3 9 - 11 4 1 2 4 7 1 4
unspecified 1% 1% 3% 2% 1% 5% 2% 1% 1% 2% 9% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% *% 2%
t

Not sure/Refused - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Comparison Groups: BCDEF/GHIJ/KL/MN/OPQR/STU


Independent Z-
Z-Test for Percentages (unpooled proportions)
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table D7 Page 82
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

D7.
Are you HISPANIC origin or descent?

====AREA TYPE==== ===WHITE=== ==BLK/HISP= ==MAR.STAT= ====EDUCATION==== ====IDEOLOOGY====


SUB-
SUB- WHITE WHITE SINGL MARR HIGH SOME
TOTAL URBAN URBAN RURAL MEN WOMEN BLACK HIS. WOMEN WOM SCHL. COLL. COLL+ CONS. MOD. LIB.
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S)
TOTAL 909 200 465 243 365 399 63 59 225 254 225 247 436 300 323 267
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 221 458 230 401 376 47 60 201 244 169 179 561 298 322 265
No 850 177 442 231 365 399 63 - 202 240 211 236 403 282 303 248
93% 88% 95% 95% 100% 100% 100% 90% 95% 93% 96% 92% 94% 94% 93%
E E
Yes, White Hispanic 35 13 17 6 - - - 35 11 5 5 8 22 10 14 11
4% 6% 4% 3% 60% 5% 2% 2% 3% 5% 3% 4% 4%
Yes, Black Hispanic 13 6 3 4 - - - 13 8 4 7 2 4 6 - 5
1% 3% 1% 2% 21% 3% 2% 3% 1% 1% 2% 2%
f

Yes, Hispanic 11 5 4 2 - - - 11 4 5 2 2 7 2 5 4
unspecified 1% 3% 1% 1% 19% 2% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 2%
Not sure/Refused - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Comparison Groups: EFG/HI/JK/LM/NOP/QRS


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table D7 Page 83
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

D7.
Are you HISPANIC
HISPANIC origin or descent?

2020 VOTE 2016 VOTE SOCIAL CLASS


Upper-
Upper- Lower-
Lower-
All Did not Upper middle Middle middle Lower
Regist. Trump Biden Trump Clinton Other vote class class class class class
------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L)
TOTAL 909 396 444 393 362 46 107 40 108 475 197 77
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 404 423 398 341 58 108 55 132 460 185 63
No 850
850 376 409 374 336 42 96 29 104 450 183 74
93% 95% 92% 95% 93% 91% 90% 72% 96% 95% 93% 97%
H H H H

Yes, White Hispanic 35 14 19 14 14 2 5 8 3 13 7 2


4% 4% 4% 3% 4% 5% 5% 20% 2% 3% 4% 3%
IJKL
Yes, Black Hispanic 13 4 7 3 7 - 3 3 - 5 3 -
1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 3% 8% 1% 2%
jk

Yes, Hispanic 11 2 8 2 6 2 2 - 2 7 3 -
unspecified 1% *% 2% *% 2% 5% 2% 2% 1% 1%
Not sure/Refused - - - - - - - - - - - -

Comparison Groups: BC/DE/HIJKL


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table D7 Page 84
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

D7/8.
And do you consider yourself:

============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====

CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)

TOTAL 909 207 163 113 191 235 77 251 342 239 429 480 763 122 176 145 201
201 378 403 352 154
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 198 176 101 189 245 64 397 322 126 462 447 777 107 143 125 193
193 437 355 345 190
White Non-
Non-Hispanic 763 185 143 51 167 217 40 197 303 224 365 399 763 - 136 120 167 331 313 329 121
84% 89% 88% 45% 88% 92% 52% 78% 88% 94% 85% 83% 100% 77% 83% 83% 88% 78% 94% 79%
D D D D G GH GHI O SU
Black Non-
Non-Hispanic 63 7 2 37 8 9 16 16 16 14 26 37 - 63 20 9 15 18 51 - 12
7% 4% 1% 32% 4% 4% 21% 6% 5% 6% 6% 8% 51% 11% 6% 8% 5% 13% 8%
BCEF HIJ R u
Hispanic 59 12 17 19 7 5 15 26 19 - 24 36 - 59 14 11 13 22 31 17 11
7% 6% 10% 17% 3% 2% 19% 10% 5% 5% 7% 49% 8% 8% 6% 6% 8% 5% 7%
EF BEF I I
Asian 15 3 - 5 5 2 3 7 4 - 12 3 - - 3 2 3 6 5 4 6
2% 1% 4% 3% 1% 4% 3% 1% 3% 1% 2% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% 4%
L

Native American 2 - - - 1 1 - 2 - - 1 1 - - - 1 1 - - 1 1
*% 1% *% 1% *% *% 1% *% *% 1%
Other 7 - 1 1 3 2 2 3 - 1 2 4 - - 3 1 2 1 3 - 4
1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% *% 1% 2%
Not sure/ Refused 0 - - 0 - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - - 0 - -
*% *% *% *% *%

Comparison Groups: BCDEF/GHIJ/KL/MN/OPQR/STU


Independent Z-
Z-Test for Percentages (unpooled proportions)
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table D7 Page 85
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774
774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/-
+/-3.6 Percentage Points

D7/8.
And do you consider yourself:

====AREA TYPE==== ===WHITE=== ==BLK/HISP= ==MAR.STAT= ====EDUCATION==== ====IDEOLOOGY====


SUB-
SUB- WHITE WHITE SINGL MARR HIGH SOME
TOTAL URBAN
URBAN URBAN RURAL MEN WOMEN BLACK HIS. WOMEN WOM SCHL. COLL. COLL+ CONS. MOD. LIB.
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S)
TOTAL 909 200 465 243 365 399 63 59 225 254 225 247 436 300 323 267
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 221 458 230 401 376 47 60 201 244 169 179 561 298 322 265
White Non-
Non-Hispanic 763 137 404 222 365 399 - - 170 228 194 202 368 272 275 204
84% 69% 87% 91% 100% 100% 76% 90% 86% 82% 84% 91% 85% 76%
E Ef L RS S
Black Non-
Non-Hispanic 63 37 19 7 - - 63 - 27 9 14 27 22 5 21 34
7% 18% 4% 3% 100% 12% 4% 6% 11% 5% 2% 6% 13%
FG M P Q QR

Hispanic 59 24 23 12 - - - 59 22 13 15 11 33 18 19 20
7% 12% 5% 5% 100% 10% 5% 7% 4% 8% 6% 6% 7%
FG
Asian 15 2 13 - - - - - 1 2 1 3 10 3 5 6
2% 1% 3% *%
*% 1% *% 1% 2% 1% 2% 2%
N
Native American 2 - 2 - - - - - 1 - 1 1 - - 2 -
*% *% *% 1% *% 1%
Other 7 1 4 2 - - - - 3 1 1 3 3 1 1 4
1% *% 1% 1% 1% 1% *% 1% 1% *% *% 2%
r

Not sure/ Refused 0 0 - - - - - - - 0 0 - - - - -


*% *% *% *%

Comparison Groups: EFG/HI/JK/LM/NOP/QRS


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters
letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table D7 Page 86
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

D7/8.
And do you consider yourself:

2020 VOTE 2016 VOTE SOCIAL CLASS


Upper-
Upper- Lower-
Lower-
All Did not Upper middle Middle middle Lower
Regist. Trump Biden Trump Clinton Other vote class class class class class
------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L)
TOTAL 909 396 444 393 362 46 107 40 108 475 197 77
100% 100% 100%
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 404 423 398 341 58 108 55 132 460 185 63
White Non-
Non-Hispanic 763 370 342 368 281 36 77 28 95 409 165 62
84% 93% 77% 94% 78% 78% 72% 70% 88% 86% 84% 80%
C E H H h
Black Non-
Non-Hispanic 63 2 53 - 46 3 13 1 4 31 13 11
7% *% 12% 13% 7% 12%
12% 2% 4% 6% 7% 14%
B H h HIj
Hispanic 59 20 35 18 26 4 10 11 4 25 14 2
7% 5% 8% 5% 7% 9% 10% 28% 4% 5% 7% 3%
IJKL

Asian 15 2 10 4 5 1 5 - 4 6 4 -
2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 4% 4% 1% 2%
b
Native American
American 2 2 - 2 - - - - - 1 - 1
*% 1% 1% *% 2%
Other 7 1 5 - 4 1 2 - 1 4 1 1
1% *% 1% 1% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Not sure/ Refused 0 - - - - - - - - - 0 -
*% *%

Comparison Groups: BC/DE/HIJKL


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table D9 Page 87
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, +/-
9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/-3.6 Percentage Points

D9.
In politics, do you consider yourself to be a DEMOCRAT, a REPUBLICAN, an INDEPENDENT, or something else?

============REGION
============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====

CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
TOTAL 909 207 163 113 191 235 77 251 342 239 429 480 763 122 176 145 201 378 403 352 154
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 198 176 101 189 245 64 397 322 126 462 447 777 107 143 125 193
193 437 355 345 190

Dem 403 70 67 75 87 104 48 107 123 124 144 259 313 82 98 73 78 153 403 - -
44% 34% 41% 66% 45% 44% 63% 43% 36% 52% 34% 54% 41% 67% 56% 50% 39% 40% 100%
BCEF B B HI i hI K M QR qr
Rep 352 90 67 24 74 97 11 91 159 90 204 148 329 17 57 50 75 164 - 352 -
39% 43% 41% 21% 39% 41% 15% 36% 47% 38% 48% 31% 43% 14% 32% 34% 37% 43% 100%
D D D D G GHj G L N Op
Ind/Other 154 47 29 14 30 34 17 52 60 25 81 73 121 23 21 22 48 61 - - 154
17% 23% 18% 12% 16% 14% 22% 21% 17% 11% 19% 15% 16% 19% 12% 15% 24% 16% 100%
df j J j Or
Not sure/ Refused 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - -
*% *% *% *% *% *% *% *% *% *% *% *% *% *% *% *% *%

Comparison Groups: BCDEF/GHIJ/KL/MN/OPQR/STU


Independent Z-
Z-Test for Percentages (unpooled proportions)
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table D9 Page 88
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774
774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/-
+/-3.6 Percentage Points

D9.
In politics, do you consider yourself to be a DEMOCRAT, a REPUBLICAN, an INDEPENDENT, or something else?

====AREA TYPE==== ===WHITE=== ==BLK/HISP= ==MAR.STAT= ====EDUCATION==== ====IDEOLOOGY====


SUB-
SUB- WHITE WHITE SINGL MARR
MARR HIGH SOME
TOTAL URBAN URBAN RURAL MEN WOMEN BLACK HIS. WOMEN WOM SCHL. COLL. COLL+ CONS. MOD. LIB.
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S)
TOTAL 909 200 465 243 365 399 63 59 225 254 225 247 436 300 323 267
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 221 458 230 401 376 47 60 201 244 169 179 561 298 322 265

Dem 403 106 215 82 110 203 51 31 133 125 103 116 184 34 135 225
44% 53% 46% 34% 30% 51% 81% 53% 59% 49% 46% 47% 42% 11% 42% 84%
G G H K m Q QR
Rep 352 73 163 116 190 139 - 17 58 90 91 90 171 242 85 16
39% 36% 35% 48% 52% 35% 29% 26% 35% 40% 36% 39% 81% 26% 6%
EF I L RS S
Ind/Other 154 21 87 45 65 56 12 11 33 39 32 41 81 23 103 26
17% 11% 19% 19% 18% 14% 19% 18% 15% 15% 14% 17% 19% 8% 32% 10%
E e QS
Not sure/ Refused 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
*% *% *% *% *% *% *% *% *% *% *% *% *% *% *% *%

Comparison Groups: EFG/HI/JK/LM/NOP/QRS


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table D9 Page 89
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

D9.
In politics, do you consider yourself to
to be a DEMOCRAT, a REPUBLICAN, an INDEPENDENT, or something else?

2020 VOTE 2016 VOTE SOCIAL CLASS


Upper-
Upper- Lower-
Lower-
All Did
Did not Upper middle Middle middle Lower
Regist. Trump Biden Trump Clinton Other vote class class class class class
------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L)
TOTAL 909 396 444 393 362 46 107 40 108 475 197 77
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 404 423 398 341 58 108 55 132 460 185 63
Dem 403 38 346 40 304 9 47 9 41 218 86 40
44% 10% 78% 10% 84% 20% 44% 23% 38% 46% 44% 52%
B D H H H Hi
Rep 352 306 24 301 11 12 28 28 48 179 71 26
39% 77% 5% 77% 3% 26% 26% 69% 44% 38% 36% 34%
C E IJKL
Ind/Other 154 52 74 52 46 25 31 3 19 78 40 11
17% 13% 17% 13% 13% 54% 29% 8% 18% 16% 21% 14%
h h H

Not sure/ Refused 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0


*% *% *% *% *% *% *% *% *% *% *% *%

Comparison Groups: BC/DE/HIJKL


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table AD1 Page 90
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage
Percentage Points

AD1.
Ideology

============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====

CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
TOTAL 909 207 163 113 191 235 77 251 342 239 429 480 763 122 176 145 201 378 403 352 154
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 198 176 101 189 245 64 397 322 126 462 447 777 107 143 125 193 437 355 345 190
Very Conservative 131 32 22 15 25 37 1 36 56 38 83 48 118 12 32 22 18 59 11 113 7
14% 16% 13% 13% 13% 16% 1% 14% 16% 16% 19% 10% 15% 10% 18% 15% 9% 16% 3% 32% 4%
G G G L Q Q SU

Conservative 169 50 40 10 31 37 9 45 72 42 92 76 154 11 22 27 37 78 23 129 16


19% 24% 24% 9% 16% 16% 12% 18% 21% 17% 21% 16% 20% 9% 12% 18% 18% 21% 6% 37% 10%
DeF Df g l N O SU s
Moderate 323 81 49 32 67 93 23 79 132 89 142 181 275 40 52 55 91 121 135 85 103
36% 39% 30% 28% 35% 40% 30% 32% 38% 37% 33% 38% 36% 33% 30% 38% 45% 32% 33% 24% 67%
d cd h OR T ST
Liberal 175 30 30 34 44 37 21 47 50 57 67 108 134 35 37 21 37 80 146 10 19
19% 15% 18% 30% 23% 16% 28% 19% 15% 24% 16% 23% 18% 29% 21% 14% 18% 21% 36% 3% 12%
BcF bf I I K M p TU T

Very Liberal 92 12 20 16 20 24 18 34 29 12 38 55 70 19 24 16 17 35 79 6 7
10% 6% 12% 14% 10% 10% 23% 14% 8% 5% 9% 11% 9% 16% 14% 11% 9% 9% 20% 2% 5%
b b IJ IJ TU
Not sure/ Refused 19 1 2 7 2 7 4 9 4 2 8 11 12 5 8 5 1 5 9 9 2
2% 1% 1% 6% 1% 3% 5% 4% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 4% 5% 3% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1%
b ij IJ q
CONSERVATIVE 300 82 62 25 57 74 10 81 128 80 175 124 272 23 53 48 55 137 34 242 23
33% 40% 38% 22% 30% 32% 13% 32% 37% 33% 41% 26% 36% 19% 30% 33% 27% 36% 9% 69% 15%
De D G G G L N Q SU s

MODERATE 323 81 49 32 67 93 23 79 132 89 142 181 275 40 52 55 91 121 135 85 103


36% 39% 30% 28% 35% 40% 30% 32% 38% 37% 33% 38% 36% 33% 30% 38% 45% 32% 33% 24% 67%
d cd h OR T ST

Comparison Groups:
Groups: BCDEF/GHIJ/KL/MN/OPQR/STU
Independent Z-
Z-Test for Percentages (unpooled proportions)
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table AD1 Page 91
(Continued)
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

AD1.
Ideology

============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE


===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====

CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
LIBERAL 267 42 50 50 64 61 39 81 79 69 104 163 204 54 62 36 54 115 225 16 26
29% 20% 31% 44% 34% 26% 51% 32% 23% 29% 24% 34% 27% 44% 35% 25% 27% 30% 56% 4% 17%
B BCF B HIJ I K M TU T

Comparison Groups: BCDEF/GHIJ/KL/MN/OPQR/STU


Independent Z-
Z-Test for Percentages (unpooled proportions)
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table AD1 Page 92
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774
774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/-
+/-3.6 Percentage Points

AD1.
Ideology

====AREA TYPE====
TYPE==== ===WHITE=== ==BLK/HISP= ==MAR.STAT= ====EDUCATION==== ====IDEOLOOGY====
SUB-
SUB- WHITE WHITE SINGL MARR HIGH SOME
TOTAL URBAN URBAN RURAL MEN WOMEN BLACK HIS. WOMEN WOM SCHL. COLL. COLL+ CONS. MOD. LIB.
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J)
(J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S)
TOTAL 909 200 465 243 365 399 63 59 225 254 225 247 436 300 323 267
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 221 458 230 401 376 47 60 201 244 169 179 561 298 322 265
Very Conservative 131 39 45 47 77 41 2 10 17 31 42 26 63 131 - -
14% 19% 10% 19% 21% 10% 3% 17% 8% 12% 19% 11% 14% 44%
F F I J O
Conservative 169 24 94 51 87 67 3 8 35 41 41 45 82 169 - -
19% 12% 20% 21% 24% 17% 5% 14% 16% 16% 18% 18% 19% 56%
E E I

Moderate 323 51 189 83 117 158 21 19 76 104 83 97 142 - 323 -


36% 26% 41% 34% 32% 40% 33% 33% 34% 41% 37% 39% 33% 100%
E e h

Liberal 175 54 86 34 53 81 23 11 54 54 39 45 91 - - 175


19% 27% 19% 14% 15% 20% 37% 19% 24% 21% 17% 18% 21% 65%
FG h k
Very Liberal 92 28 45 20 26 44 11 8 34 21 13 26 54 - - 92
10% 14% 10% 8% 7% 11% 17% 14% 15% 8% 6% 10% 12% 35%
g m N

Not sure/ Refused 19 4 7 8 4 8 3 2 8 3 6 9 4 - - -


2% 2% 2% 3% 1% 2% 5% 3% 4% 1% 3% 4% 1%
p

CONSERVATIVE 300 63 139 98 164 108 5 18 53 72 84 71 145 300 - -


33% 31% 30% 40% 45% 27% 8% 31% 23% 28% 37% 29% 33% 100%
eF I J
MODERATE 323 51 189 83 117 158 21 19 76 104 83 97 142 - 323 -
36% 26% 41% 34% 32% 40% 33% 33% 34% 41% 37% 39% 33% 100%
E e h

Comparison Groups: EFG/HI/JK/LM/NOP/QRS


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate
indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table AD1 Page 93
(Continued)
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

AD1.
Ideology

====AREA TYPE==== ===WHITE=== ==BLK/HISP= ==MAR.STAT= ====EDUCATION==== ====IDEOLOOGY====


SUB-
SUB- WHITE WHITE SINGL MARR HIGH SOME
TOTAL URBAN URBAN RURAL MEN WOMEN BLACK HIS. WOMEN WOM SCHL. COLL. COLL+ CONS. MOD. LIB.
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S)
LIBERAL 267 83 131 54 79 124 34 20 88 75 52 70 145 - - 267
29% 41% 28% 22% 22% 31% 54% 33% 39% 30% 23% 28% 33% 100%
FG H K m N

Comparison Groups: EFG/HI/JK/LM/NOP/QRS


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table AD1 Page 94
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

AD1.
Ideology

2020 VOTE 2016 VOTE SOCIAL CLASS


Upper-
Upper- Lower-
Lower-
All Did not Upper middle Middle middle Lower
Regist. Trump Biden Trump Clinton Other vote class class class class class
------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L)
TOTAL 909 396 444 393 362 46 107 40 108 475 197 77
100% 100% 100%
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 404 423 398 341 58 108 55 132 460 185 63
Very Conservative 131 119 12 113 10 2 6 21 15 62 20 13
14% 30% 3% 29% 3% 3% 6% 53% 14% 13% 10% 17%
C E IJKL

Conservative 169 133 26 127 15 10 17 4 22 96 39 8


19% 34% 6% 32% 4% 21% 16%
16% 10% 20% 20% 20% 10%
C E hl hl
Moderate 323 113 166 120 138 24 38 6 36 179 71 25
36% 29% 37% 31% 38% 53% 36% 15% 34% 38% 36% 32%
B d H H H H

Liberal 175 18 154 16 129 5 25 6 25 85 42 15


19% 4% 35% 4% 36% 10% 24% 14% 23% 18% 21% 19%
B D
Very Liberal
Liberal 92 6 81 10 64 6 13 3 7 49 17 15
10% 1% 18% 2% 18% 13% 12% 6% 6% 10% 9% 19%
B D hI
Not sure/ Refused 19 7 5 7 5 0 7 0 3 6 8 2
2% 2% 1% 2% 1% *% 7% 1% 2% 1% 4% 3%
CONSERVATIVE 300 252 37 240 25 11 23 25 37 157 59 21
33% 64% 8% 61% 7% 25% 22% 63% 34% 33% 30% 27%
C E IJKL
MODERATE 323 113 166 120
120 138 24 38 6 36 179 71 25
36% 29% 37% 31% 38% 53% 36% 15% 34% 38% 36% 32%
B d H H H H

Comparison Groups: BC/DE/HIJKL


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table AD1 Page 95
(Continued)
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

AD1.
Ideology

2020 VOTE 2016 VOTE SOCIAL CLASS

Upper-
Upper- Lower-
Lower-
All Did not Upper middle Middle middle Lower
Regist. Trump Biden Trump Clinton Other vote class class class class class
------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L)
LIBERAL
LIBERAL 267 23 235 26 193 10 38 8 32 133 59 30
29% 6% 53% 7% 53% 23% 36% 21% 30% 28% 30% 38%
B D H

Comparison Groups: BC/DE/HIJKL


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table AD2 Page 96
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

AD2.
What is your religious preference -- are you Protestant, Roman Catholic, Orthodox such as Greek or Russian Orthodox,
Mormon, Jewish or another religion or no religion?

============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === INCOME


======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====

CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
TOTAL 909 207 163 113 191 235 77 251 342 239 429 480 763 122 176 145 201 378 403 352 154
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 198 176 101 189 245 64 397 322 126 462 447 777 107 143 125 193 437 355 345 190

ALL CHRISTIAN 544 131 111 51 102 150 26 111 226 181 247 298 488 53 81 93 135 228 211 247 86
60% 63% 68% 45% 53% 64% 33% 44% 66% 76% 57% 62% 64% 43% 46% 64% 67% 60% 52% 70% 56%
De DE De GH GHI N O O O SU
ALL NON-
NON-CHRISTIAN 323 67 44 57 81 73 45 121 103 53 161 162 243 60 85 43 59 135 173 91 60
36% 32% 27% 51% 43% 31% 59% 48% 30% 22% 38% 34% 32% 50% 48% 30% 30% 36% 43% 26% 39%
BCF bCF IJ IJ j M PQR T T

Protestant 267 82 60 20 39 66 8 42 110 107 117 149 237 27 36 53 74 100 97 126 44


29% 39% 37% 18% 20% 28% 10% 17%
17% 32% 45% 27% 31% 31% 22% 21% 37% 37% 27% 24% 36% 29%
DEF DEf de GH GHI n Or OR S
Roman Catholic 271 48 51 30 60 82 17 65 114 75 125 146 244 26 44 39 60 124 114 116 41
30% 23% 31% 26% 32% 35% 22% 26% 33% 31% 29% 30% 32% 21% 25% 27% 30%
30% 33% 28% 33% 26%
b B gH N o
Orthodox 7 2 - 1 3 2 1 5 2 - 5 3 7 - 1 1 1 4 - 6 1
1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% *% 1% 1% 1% *% 1% *% 1% 2% 1%
Mormon 1 1 - - - - - 1 - - 1 - 1 - 1 - - - - 1 -
*% *% *% *% *% *% *%
Jewish 41 5 2 8 20 5 2 18 11 10 22 19 38 3 4 2 6 28 24 15 2
5% 3% 1% 7% 11% 2% 2% 7% 3% 4% 5% 4% 5% 2% 2% 1% 3% 7% 6% 4% 1%
c BCF GI OPQ U
Another religion 98 32 10 14 17 25 13 37 33 15 44 54 71 20 33 13 18 34 40 40 18
11% 15% 6% 13% 9% 11% 17% 15% 10% 6% 10% 11% 9% 17% 19% 9% 9% 9% 10% 11% 12%
Ce J IJ m PQR

Comparison Groups: BCDEF/GHIJ/KL/MN/OPQR/STU


Independent
Independent Z-
Z-Test for Percentages (unpooled proportions)
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table AD2 Page 97
(Continued)
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, +/-
Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/-3.6 Percentage Points

AD2.
What is your religious preference -- are you Protestant, Roman Catholic, Orthodox such as Greek or Russian Orthodox,
Mormon, Jewish or another religion or no religion?

============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====

CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
No religion 184 29 33 34 44 43 31 65 59 28 95 88 133 38 47 28 35 73 109 36 39
20% 14% 20% 30% 23% 18% 40% 26% 17% 12% 22% 18% 17% 31% 27% 19% 18% 19% 27% 10% 25%
BcF B HIJ IJ M q T T

Not sure 11 1 4 1 2 3 4 3 3 - 3 8 9 2 4 1 1 6 4 2 5
1% *% 3% 1% 1% 1% 6% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 2% 1% *% 1% 1% 1% 3%
t
Refused 30 8 3 4 5 9 2 15 9 4 18 12 24 6 6 8 6 9 15 11 4
3% 4% 2% 4% 3% 4% 2% 6% 3% 2% 4% 3% 3% 5% 4% 6% 3% 2% 4% 3% 2%
IJ

Comparison Groups: BCDEF/GHIJ/KL/MN/OPQR/STU


Independent Z-
Z-Test for Percentages (unpooled proportions)
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table AD2 Page 98
The Federalist/TIPP
Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

AD2.
What is your religious preference -- are you Protestant, Roman Catholic, Orthodox such as Greek or Russian Orthodox,
Mormon, Jewish or another religion or no religion?

====AREA TYPE==== ===WHITE=== ==BLK/HISP= ==MAR.STAT= ====EDUCATION==== ====IDEOLOOGY====


SUB-
SUB- WHITE WHITE SINGL MARR HIGH SOME
TOTAL URBAN URBAN RURAL MEN WOMEN BLACK HIS. WOMEN WOM SCHL. COLL. COLL+ CONS. MOD. LIB.
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S)
TOTAL 909 200 465 243 365 399 63 59 225 254 225 247 436 300 323 267
100% 100%
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 221 458 230 401 376 47 60 201 244 169 179 561 298 322 265
ALL CHRISTIAN 544 96 291 157 226 262 19 33 122 176 118 157 270 211 208 122
60% 48% 63% 65% 62% 66% 31% 56% 54% 69% 52% 63% 62% 70% 64% 46%
E E J L n N S S
ALL NON-
NON-CHRISTIAN 323 95 159 70 119 124 39 22 88 73 90 82 151 77 101 134
36% 47% 34% 29% 33% 31% 62% 36% 39% 29% 40% 33% 35% 26% 31% 50%
FG K M QR
Protestant 267 40 116 111 109 128 16 11 63 86 63 80 124 113 85 69
29% 20% 25% 46% 30% 32% 26% 18% 28% 34% 28% 32% 28% 38% 26% 26%
EF RS

Roman Catholic 271 52 172 47 112 132 3 23 58 88 53 77 141 94 120 53


30% 26% 37% 19% 31% 33% 5% 38% 26% 34% 24% 31% 32% 31% 37% 20%
EG J l N S S
Orthodox 7 3 4 - 5 3 - - - 3 2 - 5 4 3 1
1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% *%
Mormon 1 1 - - 1 - - - - - - 1 - 1 - -
*% *% *% *% *%
Jewish 41 18 22 1 19 19 - 3 9 10 - 10 30 9 9 22
5% 9% 5% 1% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 7% 3% 3% 8%
G G QR

Another religion 98 36 34 28 35 36 15 5 28 26 34 23 41 42 25 29
11% 18% 7% 12% 10% 9% 24% 9% 12% 10% 15% 9% 9% 14% 8% 11%
F k R

Comparison Groups: EFG/HI/JK/LM/NOP/QRS


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table AD2 Page 99
(Continued)
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

AD2.
What is your religious preference -- are you Protestant, Roman Catholic, Orthodox such as Greek or Russian Orthodox
Orthodox,
,
Mormon, Jewish or another religion or no religion?

====AREA TYPE==== ===WHITE=== ==BLK/HISP= ==MAR.STAT=


==MAR.STAT= ====EDUCATION==== ====IDEOLOOGY====
SUB-
SUB- WHITE WHITE SINGL MARR HIGH SOME
TOTAL URBAN URBAN RURAL MEN WOMEN BLACK HIS. WOMEN SCHL.
WOM SCHL. COLL. COLL+ CONS. MOD. LIB.
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S)

No religion 184 41 103 40 65 68 24 14 51 37 57 48 79 25 67 83


20% 20% 22% 16% 18% 17% 39% 23% 23% 14% 25% 19% 18% 8% 21% 31%
m p Q QR

Not sure 11 1 5 6 3 6 1 1 5 3 4 2 5 3 3 5
1% *% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Refused 30 9 11 10 17 7 3 3 11 2 13 7 11 9 11 7
3% 4% 2% 4% 5% 2% 5% 6% 5% 1% 6% 3% 2% 3% 3% 2%
i M

Comparison Groups: EFG/HI/JK/LM/NOP/QRS


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table AD2 Page 100
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

AD2.
What is your religious preference -- are you Protestant, Roman Catholic, Orthodox such as Greek or Russian Orthodox
Orthodox,
,
Mormon, Jewish or another religion or no religion?

2020 VOTE 2016 VOTE SOCIAL CLASS


Upper-
Upper- Lower-
Lower-
All Did not Upper middle Middle middle Lower
Regist. Trump Biden Trump Clinton Other vote class class class class class
------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
------- ------- -------
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L)
TOTAL 909 396 444 393 362 46 107 40 108 475 197
197 77
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 404 423 398 341 58 108 55 132 460 185 63
ALL CHRISTIAN 544 275 230 281 193 26 43 15 65 319 106 35
60% 69% 52% 72% 53% 57% 40% 37% 60% 67% 54% 46%
C E Hl HKL H
ALL NON-
NON-CHRISTIAN 323 105 195 94 151 18 61 21 38 144 77 36
36% 27% 44% 24% 42% 39% 57% 52% 35% 30% 39% 47%
B D iJ j J
Protestant 267 132 118 137 92 17 20 6 21 158 58 21
29% 33% 26% 35% 25% 37% 19% 14% 19% 33% 30% 27%
C E HI HI h

Roman Catholic 271 137 112 139 100 8 21 8 44 156 48 13


30% 35% 25% 35%
35% 28% 18% 20% 20% 40% 33% 24% 18%
C E HKL hKL
Orthodox 7 6 0 5 - 1 1 1 1 5 - 1
1% 1% *% 1% 2% 1% 3% 1% 1% 1%
c
Mormon 1 1 - - - 1 - - - - - 1
*% *% 2% 1%
Jewish 41 16 21 17 22 - 2 9 10 20 2 -
5% 4% 5% 4% 6% 2% 21% 9% 4% 1%
iJK jK K

Another religion 98 44 48 39 31 4 24 8 8 39 22 19
11% 11% 11% 10% 9% 8% 23% 20% 8% 8% 11% 24%
ij IJK

Comparison Groups: BC/DE/HIJKL


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance
significance at the 90% level.
Table AD2 Page 101
(Continued)
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

AD2.
What is your religious preference -- are you Protestant,
Protestant, Roman Catholic, Orthodox such as Greek or Russian Orthodox,
Mormon, Jewish or another religion or no religion?

2020 VOTE 2016 VOTE SOCIAL CLASS


Upper-
Upper- Lower-
Lower-
All Did not Upper middle Middle middle Lower
Regist. Trump Biden Trump Clinton Other vote class class class class class
------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L)
No religion 184 44 127 37 98 14 35 4 20 86 54 17
20% 11% 29% 9% 27% 30% 33% 11% 18% 18% 27% 22%
B D HiJ
Not sure 11 3 5 4 2 1 3 1 2 2 6 -
1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 2% 2% *% 3%
j

Refused 30 13 14 14 16 0 0 4 3 10 7 5
3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 1% *% 9% 3% 2% 4% 7%
j

Comparison Groups: BC/DE/HIJKL


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table
Table CLASS Page 102
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

CLASS
would
If you were asked to use one of these five commonly used names for the social classes, which would you say you belong
in?

============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====

CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
TOTAL 909 207 163 113 191 235 77 251 342 239 429 480 763 122 176 145 201 378 403 352 154
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 198 176 101 189 245 64 397 322 126 462 447 777 107 143 125 193 437 355 345 190
Upper class 40 10 4 10 10 6 2 24 9 5 30 10 28 12 1 2 2 35 9 28 3
4% 5% 2% 9% 5% 3% 3% 10% 3% 2% 7% 2% 4% 10% 1% 2% 1% 9% 2% 8% 2%
GIJ L OPQ SU
Upper-
Upper-middle class 108 19 10 17 37 25 11 41 31 25 67 41 95 9 4 3 10 92 41 48 19
12% 9% 6% 15% 19% 11% 14% 16% 9% 11% 16% 9% 12% 7% 2% 2% 5% 24% 10% 14% 13%
BCF I L OPQ
Middle class 475 119 81 48 99 127 47 116 175 137 211 264 409 56 43 73 134 217 218 179 78
52% 58% 50% 43% 52% 54% 62% 46% 51% 57% 49% 55% 54% 46% 25% 50% 67% 57% 54% 51% 51%
D d H H O OPR O
Lower-
Lower-middle class 197 44 46 25 33 48 14 49 84 50 81 116 165 26 67 49 50 29 86 71 40
22% 21% 28% 22% 18% 20% 18% 19% 25% 21% 19% 24% 22% 22% 38% 34% 25% 8% 21% 20% 26%
E k QR R R
Lower class 77 11 21 10 10 25 3 15 38 22 37 40 62 13 53 16 3 5 40 26 11
8% 5% 13% 9% 5% 11% 4% 6% 11% 9% 9% 8% 8% 11% 30% 11% 2% 1% 10% 7% 7%
BE bE GH PQR QR
Not sure 11 3 1 3 1 3 - 6 5 - 3 8 5 6 7 1 2 1 8 1 2
1% 1% *% 3% 1% 1% 3% 1% 1% 2% 1% 5% 4% 1% 1% *% 2% *% 1%
m pR t

Comparison Groups: BCDEF/GHIJ/KL/MN/OPQR/STU


Independent Z-
Z-Test for Percentages (unpooled proportions)
level.
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% l evel.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table CLASS Page 103
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

CLASS
If you were asked to use one of these five commonly used names for the social classes, which would you say you belong
in?

====AREA TYPE==== ===WHITE=== ==BLK/HISP= ==MAR.STAT= ====EDUCATION==== ====IDEOLOOGY====


SUB-
SUB- WHITE WHITE SINGL MARR HIGH SOME
TOTAL URBAN URBAN RURAL MEN WOMEN BLACK HIS. WOMEN WOM SCHL. COLL. COLL+ CONS. MOD. LIB.
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S)
TOTAL 909 200 465 243 365 399 63 59 225 254 225 247 436 300 323 267
100% 100% 100%
100 % 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 221 458 230 401 376 47 60 201 244 169 179 561 298 322 265
Upper class 40 26 9 5 22 7 1 11 1 9 2 1 37 25 6 8
4% 13% 2% 2% 6% 2% 1% 19% 1% 4% 1% *% 8% 8% 2% 3%
FG I J L NO RS
Upper-
Upper-middle class 108 30 70 8 60 34 4 4 17 24 4 11 93 37 36 32
12% 15% 15% 3% 16% 9% 7% 7% 7% 10% 2% 5% 21% 12% 11% 12%
G G I NO
Middle class
class 475 75 273 128 180 229 31 25 98 165 108 135 232 157 179 133
52% 37% 59% 53% 49% 57% 49% 42% 44% 65% 48% 55% 53% 53% 55% 50%
E E H L
Lower-
Lower-middle class 197 31 92 75 70 96 13 14 72 44 76 58 62 59 71 59
22% 15% 20% 31% 19% 24% 21% 23% 32% 17% 34% 24% 14% 20% 22% 22%
EF M oP P
Lower class 77 33 18 27 31 31 11 2 31 9 34 35 8 21 25 30
8% 16% 4% 11% 8% 8% 17% 4% 14% 3% 15% 14% 2% 7% 8% 11%
F F k M P P q
Not sure 11 6 5 1 2 3 3 3 5 3 1 7 4 - 5 5
1% 3% 1% *% 1% 1% 5% 5% 2% 1% *% 3% 1% 2% 2%
G

Comparison Groups: EFG/HI/JK/LM/NOP/QRS


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table CLASS Page 104
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage
Percentage Points

CLASS
If you were asked to use one of these five commonly used names for the social classes, which would you say you belong
in?

2020 VOTE 2016 VOTE CLASS


SOCIAL CLASS
Upper-
Upper- Lower-
Lower-
All Did not Upper middle Middle middle Lower
Regist. Trump Biden Trump Clinton Other vote class class class class class
------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L)
TOTAL 909 396 444 393 362 46 107 40 108 475 197 77
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 404 423 398 341 58 108 55 132 460 185 63
Upper class 40 29 10 31 7 - 2 40 - - - -
4% 7% 2% 8% 2% 2% 100%
C E
Upper-
Upper-middle class 108 52 46 52 38 8 10 - 108 - - -
12% 13% 10% 13% 10% 16% 9% 100%
Middle class 475 207 234 206 200 23 44 - - 475 - -
52% 52% 53% 53% 55% 50% 42% 100%
Lower-
Lower-middle class 197 77 102 79 81 11 26 - - - 197 -
22% 19% 23% 20% 22% 24% 25% 100%
Lower class 77 31 43 22 30 3 21 - - - - 77
8% 8% 10% 6% 8% 7% 20% 100%
Not sure 11 1 9 3 5 1 2 - - - - -
1% *% 2% 1% 2% 3% 2%
B

Comparison Groups: BC/DE/HIJKL


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table AD12 Page 105
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

AD12
Are you or any other member of your household a member of a labor union?

============REGION
============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====

CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)

TOTAL 909 207 163 113 191 235 77 251 342 239 429 480 763 122 176 145 201
201 378 403 352 154
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 198 176 101 189 245 64 397 322 126 462 447 777 107 143 125 193
193 437 355 345 190
Yes 154 25 25 34 29 40 13 49 55 37 77 77 119 32 13 19 41 77 77 59 17
17% 12% 16% 30% 15% 17% 16% 20% 16% 15% 18% 16% 16% 26% 7% 13% 20% 20% 19% 17% 11%
BCEF M O Op U u
No 755 182 138 79 161 195
195 64 202 287 202 353 403 644 90 163 125 160 301 326 292 137
83% 88% 84% 70% 85% 83% 84% 80% 84% 85% 82% 84% 84% 74% 93% 87% 80% 80% 81% 83% 89%
D D D D N QR r St

Comparison Groups: BCDEF/GHIJ/KL/MN/OPQR/STU


Independent Z-
Z-Test for Percentages (unpooled proportions)
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table AD12 Page 106
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/-
+/-3.6 Percentage Points

AD12
Are you or any other member of your household a member of a labor union?

====AREA TYPE==== ===WHITE=== ==BLK/HISP= ==MAR.STAT= ====EDUCATION==== ====IDEOLOOGY====


SUB-
SUB- WHITE WHITE SINGL MARR HIGH SOME
TOTAL URBAN URBAN RURAL MEN WOMEN BLACK HIS. WOMEN WOM SCHL. COLL. COLL+ CONS. MOD. LIB.
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S)
TOTAL 909 200
200 465 243 365 399 63 59 225 254 225 247 436 300 323 267
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 221 458 230 401 376 47 60 201 244 169 179 561 298 322 265
Yes 154 51 66 36 64 56 12 20 30 47 33 46 74 55 52 43
17% 26% 14% 15% 17% 14% 19% 33% 13% 19% 15% 19% 17% 18% 16% 16%
FG
No 755 149 399 207 301 343 50 40 195 206 192 201 362 244 270 224
83% 74% 86% 85% 83% 86% 81% 67% 87% 81% 85% 81% 83% 82% 84% 84%
E E

Comparison Groups: EFG/HI/JK/LM/NOP/QRS


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table AD12 Page 107
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

AD12
Are you or any other member of your household a member of a labor union?

2020 VOTE 2016 VOTE SOCIAL CLASS


Upper-
Upper- Lower-
Lower-
All Did not Upper middle Middle middle Lower
Regist. Trump Biden Trump Clinton Other vote class class class class class
------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L)
TOTAL 909 396 444 393 362 46 107 40 108 475 197 77
100% 100% 100%
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 404 423 398 341 58 108 55 132 460 185 63
Yes 154 68 71 67 62 7 17 16 16 88 30 2
17% 17% 16% 17% 17% 16% 16% 41% 15% 18% 15% 3%
IJKL L L L

No 755 328 373 326 300 39 90 24 92 388 167 75


83% 83% 84% 83% 83% 84% 84% 59% 85% 82% 85% 97%
H H H HIJK

Comparison Groups: BC/DE/HIJKL


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table AD19 Page 108
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

AD19
Finally, I would like you to rate your chances of voting in November's presidential election.

============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====

CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)

BASE=REGISTERED VOTERS 909 207 163 113 191 235 77 251 342 239 429 480 763 122 176 145 201
201 378 403 352 154
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 198 176 101 189 245 64 397 322 126 462 447 777 107 143 125 193
193 437 355 345 190

1=DEFINITELY WILL NOT 5 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 3 - 1 4 5 0 1 1 1 2 3 1 2


VOTE 1% *% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% *% 1% *% 1% 1% *% 1% 1% *% 1% 1% *% 1%
2 4 - 1 1 - 2 0 3 1 - 3 1 3 0 1 1 1 1 2 1 1
*% 1% 1% 1% *% 1% *% 1% *% *% *% 1% 1% 1% *% 1% *% 1%
i
3 2 - 1 - - 1 - 2 - - 1 1 2 - - 1 1 - - - 2
*% 1% *% 1% *% *% *% *% 1% 1%
4 3 - - 3 - 0 2 1 - - 2 1 1 2 1 - - 2 3 - 0
*% 3% *% 3% 1% *% *% *% 2% 1% 1% 1% *%

5 15 1 3 4 0 6 5 5 4 - 8 7 10 3 4 3 2 4 6 3 5
2% 1% 2% 4% *% 3% 7% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 4%
e t
6 7 2 1 - 2 2 2 4 - - 4 3 5 1 1 1 1 4 1 5 1
1% 1% *% 1% 1% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% *% 1% 1% 1% *% 2% *%
s
7 22 5 4 1 7 5 4 8 6 2 13 9 18 3 7 4 3 8 8 4 9
2% 2% 2% 1% 4% 2% 6% 3% 2% 1% 3% 2% 2% 3% 4% 3% 1% 2% 2% 1% 6%
j ST

8 26 9 4 4 2 7 2 16 8 - 14 11 18 6 5 4 6 10 7 10 8
3% 4% 2% 3% 1% 3% 3% 6% 2% 3% 2% 2% 5% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 5%
I
9 73 27 6 11 12 17 9 19 29 16 45 29 59 12 16 13 18 26 27 32 15
8% 13% 4% 10% 6% 7% 11% 8% 9% 7% 10% 6% 8% 10% 9% 9% 9% 7% 7% 9% 10%
CEF L

Comparison Groups: BCDEF/GHIJ/KL/MN/OPQR/STU


Independent Z-
Z-Test for Percentages (unpooled proportions)
level.
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table AD19 Page 109
(Continued)
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

AD19
Finally, I would like
like you to rate your chances of voting in November's presidential election.

============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====

CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
10=DEFINITELY WILL VOTE 752 161 143 88 165 194 50 190 292 220 339 413 642 94 140 117 167 320 346 296 110
83% 78% 87% 78% 87% 83% 65% 76% 85% 92% 79% 86% 84% 77% 80% 81% 83% 85% 86% 84% 71%
B b GH GHI K U U
Not sure/Refused 0 0 - - - - - 0 - - - 0 0 - - 0 - - - - 0
*% *% *% *% *% *% *%

Comparison Groups: BCDEF/GHIJ/KL/MN/OPQR/STU


Independent Z-
Z-Test for Percentages (unpooled proportions)
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table AD19 Page 110
The Federalist/TIPP
Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

AD19
Finally, I would like you to rate your chances of voting in November's presidential election.

====AREA TYPE==== ===WHITE=== ==BLK/HISP= ==MAR.STAT= ====EDUCATION==== ====IDEOLOOGY====


SUB-
SUB- WHITE WHITE SINGL MARR HIGH SOME
TOTAL URBAN URBAN RURAL MEN WOMEN BLACK HIS. WOMEN WOM SCHL. COLL. COLL+ CONS. MOD. LIB.
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S)
BASE=REGISTERED VOTERS 909 200
200 465 243 365 399 63 59 225 254 225 247 436 300 323 267
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 221 458 230 401 376 47 60 201 244 169 179 561 298 322 265
1=DEFINITELY WILL NOT 5 1 3 1 1 3 0 - - 4 2 2 1 1 1 3
VOTE 1% 1% 1% 1% *% 1% *% 1% 1% 1% *% *% *% 1%
2 4 1 2 1 2 1 0 - 0 1 2 2 1 1 - 1
*% 1% *% *% 1% *% *% *% *% 1% 1% *% *% *%
3 2 - - 2 1 1 - - 1 1 1 1 - - 2 -
*% 1% *% *% *% *% 1% *% 1%
4 3 3 0 - - 1 2 - 1 0 - 3 0 - 0 1
*% 1% *% *% 3% *% *% 1% *% *% *%
f
5 15 3 7 5 6 4 - 3 4 3 7 1 6 5 5 5
2% 1% 2% 2% 2% 1% 5% 2% 1% 3% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2%
6 7 1 4 2 4 2 - 1 2 1 1 3 3 4 2 1
1% 1% 1% 1% 1% *% 2% 1% 1% *% 1% 1% 1% *% *%
7 22 6 12 4 10 8 2 1 7 2 7 4 10 2 14 4
2% 3% 3% 2% 3% 2% 4% 2% 3% 1% 3% 2% 2% 1% 4% 1%
Qs

8 26 8 12 5 11 7 2 4 3 8 4 6 15 9 10 5
3% 4% 3% 2% 3% 2% 3% 7% 2% 3% 2% 2% 4% 3% 3% 2%

9 73 19 36 19 37 22 8 5 17 11 21 20 32 28 31 12
8% 9% 8% 8% 10% 5% 12% 8% 8% 4% 9% 8% 7% 9% 10% 4%
I S S
10=DEFINITELY WILL VOTE 752 158 389 205 293 349 48 45 189 223 179 205 368 249 256 238
83% 79% 84% 84% 80% 88% 77% 76% 84% 88% 79% 83% 84% 83% 79% 89%
H qR

Comparison Groups: EFG/HI/JK/LM/NOP/QRS


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table AD19 Page 111
(Continued)
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

AD19
Finally, I would like you to rate your chances of voting in November's presidential election.

====AREA TYPE==== ===WHITE=== ==BLK/HISP= ==MAR.STAT= ====EDUCATION==== ====IDEOLOOGY====


SUB-
SUB- WHITE WHITE SINGL MARR HIGH SOME
TOTAL URBAN URBAN RURAL MEN WOMEN BLACK HIS. WOMEN WOM SCHL. COLL. COLL+ CONS. MOD. LIB.
-----
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S)
Not sure/Refused 0 - - 0 - 0 - - 0 - - - 0 - 0 -
*% *% *% *% *% *%

Comparison Groups: EFG/HI/JK/LM/NOP/QRS


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table AD19 Page 112
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, +/-
Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/-3.6 Percentage Points

AD19
Finally, I would like you to rate your chances of voting in November's presidential election.

2020 VOTE 2016 VOTE SOCIAL CLASS

Upper-
Upper- Lower-
Lower-
All Did not Upper middle Middle middle Lower
Regist. Trump Biden Trump Clinton Other vote class class class class class
------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L)

BASE=REGISTERED VOTERS 909 396 444 393 362 46 107 40 108 475 197 77
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
100%
Unweighted Total 909 404 423 398 341 58 108 55 132 460 185 63
1=DEFINITELY WILL NOT 5 1 1 2 1 1 1 - 1 2 1 1
VOTE 1% *% *% 1% *% 2% 1% 1% *% 1% 1%
2 4 1 2 1 1 - 2 - - 1 3 -
*% *% *% *% *% 2% *% 2%
3 2 1 - 1 - - 1 - - 1 1 1
*% *% *% 1% *% *% 1%
4 3 - 1 0 1 - 2 - 2 0 1 -
*% *% *% *% 2% 2% *% *%
J

5 15 4 9 3 5 1 6 1 2 6 3 1
2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 5% 3% 2% 1% 2% 1%

6 7 5 1 3 1 - 3 - - 5 1 1
1% 1% *% 1% *% 3% 1% *% 1%
c

7 22 7 7 4 7 1 9 0 1 14 5 1
2% 2% 1% 1% 2% 2% 9% 1% 1% 3% 3% 1%
8 26 11 10 9 9 3 5 2 4 14 4 2
3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 6% 4% 5% 3% 3% 2% 2%
9 73 41 23 39 20 3 12 2 9 32 23 7
8% 10% 5% 10% 5% 7% 11% 5% 8% 7% 12% 9%
C E j

Comparison
Comparison Groups: BC/DE/HIJKL
Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table AD19 Page 113
(Continued)
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, +/-
Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/-3.6 Percentage Points

AD19
Finally, I would like you to rate your chances of voting in November's presidential election.

2020 VOTE 2016 VOTE SOCIAL CLASS

Upper-
Upper- Lower-
Lower-
All Did not Upper middle Middle middle Lower
Regist. Trump Biden Trump Clinton Other vote class class class class class
------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L)
10=DEFINITELY WILL VOTE 752 325 391 330 318 38 65 34 89 399 154 65
83% 82% 88% 84% 88% 81% 61% 85% 83% 84% 78% 84%
B
Not sure/Refused 0 - - 0 - - - - - - 0 -
*% *% *%

Comparison Groups: BC/DE/HIJKL


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table D10 Page 114
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/-
+/-3.6 Percentage Points

D10.
Gender

============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====

CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
TOTAL 909 207 163 113 191 235 77 251 342 239 429 480 763 122 176 145 201 378 403 352 154
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 198 176 101 189 245 64 397 322 126 462 447 777 107 143 125 193 437 355 345 190
Male 429 112 76 46 90 106 32 139 150 108 429 - 365 49 72 62 87 203 144 204 81
47% 54% 47% 40% 47% 45% 42% 55% 44% 45% 100% 48% 41% 41% 43% 43% 54% 36% 58% 53%
Df gIj OPQ S S

Female 480 95 87 68 101 129 44 112 192 131 - 480 399 72 104 83 113 175 259 148 73
53% 46% 53% 60% 53% 55% 58% 45% 56% 55% 100% 52% 59% 59% 57% 57% 46% 64% 42% 47%
B b h H h R R R TU

Comparison Groups: BCDEF/GHIJ/KL/MN/OPQR/STU


Independent Z-
Z-Test for Percentages (unpooled proportions)
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table D10 Page 115
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

D10.
Gender

====AREA TYPE==== ===WHITE=== ==BLK/HISP= ==MAR.STAT= ====EDUCATION==== ====IDEOLOOGY====


SUB-
SUB- WHITE WHITE SINGL MARR HIGH SOME
TOTAL URBAN URBAN RURAL MEN WOMEN BLACK HIS. WOMEN WOM SCHL. COLL. COLL+ CONS. MOD. LIB.
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S)
TOTAL 909 200 465 243 365 399 63 59 225 254 225 247 436 300 323 267
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 221 458 230 401 376 47 60 201 244 169 179 561 298 322 265
Male 429 107 221 101 365 - 26 24 - - 91 111 228 175 142 104
47% 53% 47% 42% 100% 41% 40% 40% 45% 52% 58% 44% 39%
G N RS

Female 480 93 244 142 - 399 37 36 225 254 134 137 208 124 181 163
53% 47% 53% 58% 100% 59% 60% 100% 100% 60% 55% 48% 42% 56% 61%
E P Q Q

Comparison Groups: EFG/HI/JK/LM/NOP/QRS


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table D10 Page 116
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, +/-
Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/-3.6 Percentage Points

D10.
Gender

2020 VOTE 2016 VOTE SOCIAL CLASS


Upper-
Upper- Lower-
Lower-
All Did not Upper middle Middle middle Lower
Regist. Trump Biden Trump Clinton Other vote class class class class class
------- ------- ------- ------- -------
------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L)
TOTAL 909 396 444 393 362 46 107 40 108 475 197 77
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 404 423 398 341 58 108 55 132 460 185 63
Male 429 230 165 224 130 28 46 30 67 211 81 37
47% 58% 37% 57% 36% 61% 43% 75% 62% 44% 41% 48%
C E iJKL JKl
Female 480 166 279 168 232 18 60 10 41 264 116 40
53% 42% 63% 43% 64% 39% 57% 25% 38% 56% 59% 52%
B D h HI HI Hi

Comparison Groups: BC/DE/HIJKL


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table AD3 Page 117
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

AD3
In the 2016 election for president, did
did you vote for Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton, another candidate, or did you not
vote for president?

============REGION ========== ========= AGE ========= ==GENDER== ===RACE === ======= INCOME ======= =====PARTY=====
=====PARTY=====

CENT-
CENT- PHIL-
PHIL PHIL-
- PHIL- BLACK UND 30K-
30K- 50K-
50K-
TOTAL RAL NORTH ADEL. BURBS WEST 18-18-24 25-
25-44 45-
45-64 65+ MALE FEM. WHITE HISP 30K 50K 75K 75K+ DEM REP IND
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U)
TOTAL 909 207 163 113 191 235 77 251 342 239 429 480 763 122 176 145 201 378 403 352 154
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted
Unweighted Total 909 198 176 101 189 245 64 397 322 126 462 447 777 107 143 125 193 437
437 355 345 190

Donald Trump 393 105 74 25 76 112 7 102 178 106 224 168 368 18 54 59 82 190 40 301 52
43% 51% 45% 22% 40% 48% 9% 41% 52% 44% 52% 35% 48% 15% 31% 41% 41% 50% 10% 86% 33%
De D D D G GH G L N o Opq SU S
Hillary Clinton 362 64 57 66 91 85 29 99 117 117 130 232 281 73 77 61 87 136 304 11 46
40% 31% 35% 58% 48% 36% 38% 40% 34% 49% 30% 48% 37% 60% 44% 42% 43% 36% 76% 3% 30%
BCF BCF hI K M TU T

Other 46 17 8 5 8 8 5 17 19 5 28 18 36 8 5 10 11 18 9 12 25
5% 8% 5% 5% 4% 4% 6% 7% 6% 2% 7% 4% 5% 6% 3% 7% 6% 5% 2% 3% 16%
J ST
Did not vote 107 19 25 17 16 30 35 33 28 11 46 60 77 23 38 14 20 34 47 28 31
12% 9% 15% 15% 8% 13% 45% 13% 8% 5% 11% 13% 10% 19% 21% 10% 10% 9% 12% 8% 20%
e HIJ IJ m PQR ST
Prefer not to answer 2 2 - 0 0 0 2 0 0 - 0 2 2 - 2 - 0 0 2 - -
*% 1% *% *% *% 2% *% *% *% *% *% 1% *% *% *%

Comparison Groups: BCDEF/GHIJ/KL/MN/OPQR/STU


Independent Z-
Z-Test for Percentages (unpooled proportions)
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table AD3 Page 118
The Federalist/TIPP
Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

AD3
In the 2016 election for president, did you vote for Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton, another candidate, or did you not
vote for president?
president?

====AREA TYPE==== ===WHITE=== ==BLK/HISP= ==MAR.STAT= ====EDUCATION==== ====IDEOLOOGY====


SUB-
SUB- WHITE WHITE SINGL MARR HIGH SOME
TOTAL URBAN URBAN RURAL MEN WOMEN BLACK HIS. WOMEN WOM SCHL. COLL. COLL+ CONS. MOD. LIB.
----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
(A) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S)
TOTAL 909 200 465 243 365 399 63 59 225 254 225 247 436 300 323 267
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 221 458 230 401 376 47 60 201 244 169 179 561 298 322 265
Donald Trump 393 72 195 126 209 159 - 18 63 106 100 97 196 240 120 26
43% 36% 42% 52% 57% 40% 31% 28% 42% 44% 39% 45% 80% 37% 10%
EF I L RS S
Hillary Clinton 362 87 202 73 102 179 46 26 116 115 79 98 185 25 138 193
40% 43% 43% 30% 28% 45% 74% 45% 52% 45% 35% 40% 42% 8% 43% 72%
G G H K Q QR

Other 46 8 22 16 21 15 3 4 5 12 6 12 28 11 24 10
5% 4% 5% 6% 6% 4% 5% 7% 2% 5% 3% 5% 6% 4% 8% 4%
N

Did not vote 107 33 45 29 32 45 13 10 39 21 41 39 27 23 38 38


12% 16% 10% 12% 9% 11% 21% 17% 18% 8% 18% 16% 6% 8% 12% 14%
F M P P Q
Prefer not to answer 2 0 2 - - 2 - - 2 0 0 2 0 - 2 0
*% *% *% *% 1% *% *% 1% *% *% *%

Comparison Groups: EFG/HI/JK/LM/NOP/QRS


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate
indicate significance at the 90% level.
Table AD3 Page 119
The Federalist/TIPP Poll, PA - 9/24 to 9/26, 909 Registered, 774 Likely, ONLINE Survey, Credibility Interval +/
+/-
-3.6 Percentage Points

AD3
In the 2016 election for president, did you vote for Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton, another candidate, or did you not
vote for president?

2020 VOTE 2016 VOTE SOCIAL CLASS


Upper-
Upper- Lower-
Lower-
All Did not Upper middle Middle middle Lower
Regist. Trump Biden Trump Clinton Other vote class class class class class
------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L)
TOTAL 909 396 444 393 362 46 107 40 108 475 197 77
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Unweighted Total 909 404 423 398 341 58 108 55 132 460 185 63
Donald Trump 393 337 28 393 - - - 31 52 206 79 22
43% 85% 6%
6% 100% 76% 49% 43% 40% 29%
C IJKL L L
Hillary Clinton 362 13 334 - 362 - - 7 38 200 81 30
40% 3% 75% 100% 18% 35% 42% 41% 40%
B H H H H
Other 46 10 22 - - 46 - - 8 23 11 3
5% 3% 5% 100% 7% 5% 6% 4%
Did not vote 107 36 59 - - - 107 2 10 44 26 21
12% 9% 13% 100% 6% 9% 9% 13% 28%
b h HIJk
Prefer not to answer 2 - 2 - - - - - - 2 0 -
*% *% *% *%

Comparison Groups: BC/DE/HIJKL


Z-Test for Percentages
Uppercase letters indicate significance at the 95% level.
Lowercase letters indicate significance at the 90% level.

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