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Th e

Republic of Zambia
Monthly
Central Statistical Office
Volume 94 Website: www.zamstats.gov.zm January, 2011

Foreword
Inside this
Welcome to the Monthly presentation organised by the Issue
Dissemination Branch of the Central Statistical Office (CSO). The
CSO embarks on vigorous information delivery strategy to major
stakeholders and the media institutions in order to increase
utilisation of statistical products and services. The office produces • Zambia
a number of statistical products in the Economic, Social, records a
Agricultural and Environmental areas. The information collected population of
in these areas may be used for various purposes including policy 13,046,508
formulation, planning, implementation, monitoring and persons, 2010
evaluation of programmes and projects. Census
Preliminary
This Monthly publication is an attempt to provide highlights of
results reveal!
CSO’s work and how it can help media institutions and the
general public to make use of data and information for
sustainable national development and decision-making.
• January
I would like to urge our readers and users of statistical information Inflation rises
to send to us any comments that may enhance statistical to 9.0 percent.
production and contribute to the improvement of this bulletin.

• December
2010 records
Trade Surplus

John Kalumbi
Acting Director of Census and Statistics
• Selected Socio
27th January, 2011 -Economic
Indicators

Central Statistical Office, Nationalist Road, P.O. Box 31908, Lusaka


1 ● Telefax: 260-1-253468 ● E-mail: info@zamstats.gov.zm
2010 Census of Population and Housing
Preliminary Results

Zambia records a population of 13,046,508 persons, 2010


Census Preliminary results reveal!

According to the preliminary results from the year 2000. Of the 13,046,508 persons,
2010 Census of Population and Housing, the 6,394,455 (49 percent) were male while
population of Zambia has increased to 13, 6,652,053 (51 percent) were female.
046,508 persons from 9,885,771 persons in the

Population size and Distribution by province and Sex, 1990 - 2010


1990 2000 2010
Province
Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total
Central 385,230 386,588 771,818 510,501 501,756 1,012,257 626,823 640,980 1,267,803
Copperbelt 739,519 718,940 1,458,459 799,402 781,819 1,581,221 973,770 984,853 1,958,623
Eastern 492,909 511,784 1,004,693 648,676 657,497 1,306,173 836,165 871,566 1,707,731
Luapula 278,222 286,271 564,493 387,825 387,528 775,353 467,613 491,363 958,976
Lusaka 498,704 492,522 991,226 705,778 685,551 1,391,329 1,080,152 1,118,844 2,198,996
Northern 456,865 469,000 925,865 629,976 628,720 1,258,696 861,628 897,972 1,759,600
North-
212,826 225,390 438,216 290,856 292,494 583,350 345,025 361,437 706,462
western
Southern 474,488 491,103 965,591 601,440 610,684 1,212,124 786,394 820,399 1,606,793
Western 302,813 335,943 638,756 371,844 393,244 765,088 416,885 464,639 881,524
Zambia 3,841,576 3,917,541 7,759,117 4,946,298 4,939,293 9,885,591 6,394,455 6,652,053 13,046,508
Source: CSO - 2010 Census of Population and Housing Preliminary Report, 2011

Results also show that 7,978,274 persons (61 percent) were in rural areas while 5,068,234 (39
percent) persons were in urban areas.

Percent Distribution of Population by Residence, Zambia 1990 - 2010

100
90
80
70 62 65
61
60
Percent

50
38 39
40 35
30
20
10
0
1990 2000 2010
Year

Urban Rural

Source: CSO - 2010 Census of Population and Housing Preliminary Report, 2011

2
At provincial level, Lusaka had the largest with the least population was North-western
population with 2,198,996 persons, followed with 706,462 persons. Western Province had
by Copperbelt with 1,958,623, Northern with 881,524 while Luapula had 958,976 persons.
1,759,600, Eastern with 1,707,731 and
Southern with 1,606,793 persons. The province

Population Distribution by Province, Zambia 2010

Source: CSO - 2010 Census of Population and Housing Preliminary Report, 2011

Eligible Voters Copperbelt Province at 17 percent whereas


Northern and Eastern provinces had 12
The Census results further show that there percent of eligible voters each. Southern
were 6,069,753 total number of eligible voters province had a share of 11 percent; Central
(i.e. any person aged 18 years and above) in province had 10 percent while Luapula and
2010 representing 47 percent of the total Western provinces had 7 percent each. The
Zambian population. Results show that province with the least share of eligible voters
Lusaka Province had the highest share of was North-western Province with 5 percent.
eligible voters at 19 percent followed by

Percent share of eligible voters by Province, Zambia 2010

Western Central
Southern 7% 10%
11% Copperbelt
North‐Western 17%
5%
Northern
12%
Eastern
12%
Luapula
Lusaka
7%
19%

Source: CSO - 2010 Census of Population and Housing Preliminary Report, 2011

3
INFLATION
January Inflation rises to 9.0 percent
The annual rate of inflation, as measured by from 7.9 percent in December, 2010. The rise
the all items Consumer Price Index (CPI), is attributed to increases in the cost of both
increased to 9.0 percent in January 2011, food and non-food items.

Annual Inflation Rate


January 2010- January 2011
12

10

8
(Percentage)

0
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan

Composite

Source: CSO, Prices Statistics

Changes in annual inflation rates for CPI Main Groups


Between December 2010 and January 2011, Medical care; Transport and communication;
annual inflation rates increased for Food, and Other goods and services. The annual
beverages and tobacco; Household fuel and inflation rates reduced for Clothing and
lighting; Furniture and household goods; footwear; and Recreation and education.

Annual Inflation Rate: CPI Main Groups (Percent)

Food Clothing Rent Furniture Transport Recreation Other


And And Fuel and Medical and And Goods
Total Beverages Footwear & Household care comms Education And
Lighting Goods Services
Jan 07 – Jan 06 9.8 1.0 34.9 15.1 16.5 24.9 22.8 15.9 11.4
Feb 07 – Feb 06 12.6 4.2 28.3 18.3 20.4 23.7 33.9 15.0 10.4
Mar 07 – Mar 06 12.7 4.9 26.9 15.8 21.6 22.1 33.5 14.9 11.0
Apr 07 – Apr 06 12.4 5.5 23.7 15.7 20.0 18.8 32.4 14.8 7.7
May 07 – May 06 11.8 5.7 18.8 17.1 19.2 16.5 28.2 10.4 7.0
Jun 07 – June 06 11.1 4.8 20.3 18.1 18.1 14.9 24.6 10.6 7.0
Jul 07 –July 06 11.2 6.7 19.4 14.9 17.4 14.0 18.2 10.0 7.7
Aug 07- Aug 06 10.7 7.9 19.6 11.6 15.2 11.6 11.8 10.0 7.5
Sep 07 – Sep 06 9.3 6.2 17.9 11.2 15.5 11.4 9.7 8.1 7.7
Oct 07 – Oct 06 9.0 5.6 14.7 11.8 16.8 10.9 10.3 7.4 6.3
Nov 07 – Nov 06 8.7 5.2 16.3 10.7 15.8 10.2 11.6 7.1 6.7
Dec 07 – Dec 06 8.9 5.9 14.2 11.2 13.4 9.1 13.6 8.2 6.9
Jan 08 – Jan 07 9.3 6.9 12.5 13.4 17.1 8.4 7.7 6.8 7.0
Feb 08 – Feb 07 9.5 9.1 11.1 12.5 16.0 8.9 0.3 9.0 8.4
Mar 08 – Mar 07 9.8 9.1 11.2 12.2 16.1 10.0 1.1 10.3 9.4
Apr 08 – Apr 07 10.1 9.8 11.1 12.7 16.3 12.2 -0.2 11.1 9.4
May 08 – May 07 10.9 11.7 10.5 12.0 14.9 12.4 0.5 11.4 9.5

4
Food Clothing Rent Furniture Transport Recreation Other
And And Fuel and Medical and And Goods
Total Beverages Footwear & Household care comms Education And
Lighting Goods Services
Jun 08 – June 07 12.1 15.6 9.7 11.4 13.4 12.2 -3.5 10.6 10.4
Jul 08 – Jul 0 7 12.6 14.2 9.3 14.9 14.2 13.9 4.7 11.0 11.3
Aug 08- Aug 07 13.2 16.3 6.3 14.5 13.3 12.9 5.3 11.2 10.7
Sep 08– Sep 07 14.2 16.2 5.6 17.7 14.8 11.8 11.5 11.5 10.4
Oct 08 – Oct 07 15.2 17.6 4.6 14.9 15.1 11.3 19.2 11.6 12.1
Nov 08 – Nov 07 15.3 18.5 2.7 14.5 16.1 10.3 16.4 12.4 12.5
Dec 08 – Dec 07 16.6 20.5 2.5 15.2 18.0 9.9 15.9 12.1 13.2
Jan 09 – Jan 08 16.0 21.3 3.0 8.9 13.8 9.2 18.3 11.7 15.2
Feb 09 – Feb 08 14.0 16.3 3.9 8.6 16.5 9.6 19.4 9.3 15.4
Mar 09 – Mar 08 13.1 13.9 5.9 10.4 16.3 10.1 19.7 7.9 15.2
Apr 09 – Apr 08 14.3 15.9 6.8 10.4 16.1 8.2 22.0 7.1 17.1
May 09 – May 08 14.7 16.1 7.9 10.7 21.2 8.0 16.6 6.0 20.0
Jun 09 – June 08 14.4 14.1 9.6 10.1 22.4 10.0 21.0 6.9 22.6
Jul 09 – Jul 08 14.0 14.9 9.9 7.9 22.1 10.2 13.0 8.9 21.6
Aug 09- Aug 08 14.3 14.6 11.4 11.7 21.7 10.3 10.4 10.1 20.6
Sep 09– Sep 08 13.0 13.9 13.6 9.9 21.4 13.3 1.3 9.7 20.5
Oct 09 – Oct 08 12.3 12.3 15.0 11.7 19.4 14.9 -3.2 12.0 24.7
Nov 09 – Nov 08 11.5 11.1 15.0 11.2 19.1 14.4 -3.1 11.0 23.6
Dec 09 – Dec 08 9.9 8.0 15.8 11.4 17.6 15.9 -3.4 10.6 26.0
Jan 10 – Jan 09 9.6 7.1 15.7 14.7 16.4 15.8 -4.0 10.5 23.0
Feb 10 – Feb 09 9.8 8.2 14.7 13.3 14.3 15.7 -1.1 9.9 21.1
Mar 10 – Mar 09 10.2 9.3 11.4 12.9 14.1 15.0 1.6 9.9 19.7
Apr 10 – Apr 09 9.2 7.3 11.4 14.4 13.0 15.0 1.6 9.8 20.2
May 10 – May 09 9.1 6.5 10.5 12.4 12.3 15.3 9.9 11.2 16.8
Jun 10 – June 09 7.8 3.8 9.9 15.7 10.1 14.4 11.1 10.8 12.8
Jul 10 – Jul 09 8.4 4.1 11.9 17.0 10.8 12.7 13.0 9.0 12.8
Aug 10- Aug 09 8.2 2.9 12.8 17.2 14.6 13.1 12.4 6.5 14.1
Sep 10– Sep 09 7.7 2.8 11.3 15.8 11.5 9.8 15.3 6.6 14.1
Oct 10 – Oct 09 7.3 3.4 9.5 15.6 11.3 8.7 12.2 4.3 10.2
Nov 10 – Nov 09 7.1 2.5 9.9 16.6 11.3 9.2 12.9 4.1 11.0
Dec 10 – Dec 09 7.9 4.4 10.0 16.4 12.9 7.6 11.2 3.5 7.6
Jan 11 – Jan10 9.0 5.2 9.3 20.8 14.0 8.3 14.0 3.2 7.7
Source: CSO, Prices Statistics

Contributions of different Items to overall inflation


Of the total 9.0 percent annual inflation in products in the Consumer Price Index (CPI)
January 2011, food products accounted for accounted for a total of 6.4 percentage
2.6 percentage points, while non-food points.

5
Items Percentage Points Contributions of different items to overall inflation

May- Aug- Sept- Nov-


Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Oct-10 Dec-10 Jan-11
10 10 10 10
Food Beverages and
Tobacco 3.6 4.1 4.6 3.6 3.2 1.9 2.0 1.4 1.4 1.6 1.2 2.2 2.6
Clothing and Footwear
1.4 1.3 1 1.0 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8
Rent and household
energy 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.6 1.4 1.7 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.8 2.3
Furniture and
Household Goods 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.2 1.3 1.8 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.6 1.7
Medical Care
0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transport (fuel,
airfares, new motor
vehicles) -0.3 -0.1 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.2 0.9 1.0 0.8 1.0
Recreation and
Education 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2
Other Goods and
Services 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3

All Items 9.6 9.8 10.2 9.2 9.1 7.8 8.4 8.2 7.7 7.3 7.1 7.9 9.0
Source: CSO, Prices Statistics

The annual food inflation rate


The annual food inflation rate was recorded at 5.2 percent in January 2011. This is an increase from
4.4 percent in December, 2010.

Non-food inflation
The annual non-food inflation rate was recorded at 12.8 percent in January, 2011. This is an
increase from 11.3 percent in December 2010.

Annual Inflation Rates: Food and Non food


Period Total Food Non-Food
Jan 06 – Jan 05 12.2 12.8 11.5
Feb 06 - Feb 05 10.3 10.2 10.3
Mar 06 - Mar 05 10.7 10.9 10.4
Apr 06 – Apr 05 9.4 8.3 10.6
May 06 – May 05 8.6 5.6 12.0
Jun 06 - Jun 05 8.5 5.4 11.8
Jul 06 - Jul 05 8.7 4.3 13.6
Aug 06 – Aug 05 8.0 0.4 16,4
Sep 06 – Sep 05 8.2 1.5 15.7
Oct 06 - Oct 05 7.9 1.0 15.4
Nov 06 - Nov 05 8.1 0.8 16.2
Dec06 – Dec 05 8.2 -0.2 18.1
Jan 07 - Jan 06 9.8 1.0 20.0
Feb 07 - Feb 06 12.6 4.2 22.1
Mar 07 - Mar 06 12.7 4.9 21.5
Apr 07 – Apr 06 12.4 5.5 20.1
May 07 – May 06 11.8 5.7 18.2
Jun 07 - Jun 06 11.1 4.8 17.7
Jul 07- Jul 06 11.2 6.7 15.6
Aug 07– Aug 06 10.7 7.9 13.3
Sep 07 – Sep 06 9.3 6.2 12.4
Oct 07- Oct 06 9.0 5.6 12.2
Nov 07- Nov 06 8.7 5.2 12.2
Dec07 – Dec 06 8.9 5.9 11.9
Jan 08 - Jan 07 9.3 6.9 11.7
Feb 08 - Feb 07 9.5 9.1 10.0

6
Period Total Food Non-Food
Mar 08 - Mar 07 9.8 9.1 10.4
Apr 08– Apr 07 10.1 9.8 10.5
May 08 – May 07 10.9 11.7 10.1
Jun 08 - Jun 07 12.1 15.6 8.8
Jul 08- Jul 07 12.6 14.2 11.2
Aug 08– Aug 07 13.2 16.3 10.4
Sep 08 – Sep 07 14.2 16.2 12.4
Oct 08- Oct 07 15.2 17.6 13.0
Nov 08- Nov 07 15.3 18.5 12.4
Dec 08 – Dec 07 16.6 20.5 12.9
Jan 09 - Jan 08 16.0 21.3 11.1
Feb 08 - Feb 07 14.0 16.3 11.7
Mar 09 - Mar 08 13.1 13.9 12.3
Apr 09– Apr 08 14.3 15.9 12.7
May 09 – May 08 14.7 16.1 13.3
Jun 09 - Jun 08 14.4 14.1 14.7
Jul 09- Jul 08 14.0 14.9 13.1
Aug 09– Aug 08 14.3 14.6 13.9
Sep 09 – Sep 08 13.0 13.9 12.1
Oct 09- Oct 08 12.3 12.3 12.3
Nov 09- Nov 08 11.5 11.1 11.9
Dec 09 – Dec 08 9.9 8.0 11.8
Jan 10 – Jan 09 9.6 7.1 12.0
Feb 10 – Feb 09 9.8 8.2 11.3
Mar 10 - Mar 09 10.2 9.3 11.0
Apr 10– Apr 09 9.2 7.3 11.2
May 10 – May 09 9.1 6.5 11.6
Jun 10 - Jun 09 7.8 3.8 11.8
Jul 10- Jul 09 8.4 4.1 12.6
Aug10– Aug 09 8.2 2.9 13.4
Sep 10 – Sep 09 7.7 2.8 12.5
Oct 10 - Oct 09 7.3 3.4 11.0
Nov10- Nov 09 7.1 2.5 11.5
Dec 10– Dec 09 7.9 4.4 11.3
Jan 11 – Jan 10 9.0 5.2 12.8
Source: CSO, Prices Statistics

National Average Prices of Selected Products


A comparison of retail prices between The national average price of 1kg of dried
December 2010 and January 2011, shows bream (fish) increased by 12.8 percent, from
that the national average price of a 25 kg K35, 275 to K39, 806. The national average
bag of white breakfast mealie meal reduced price of 1kg of tomatoes increased by 10.8
by 1.1 percent, from K53, 187 to K52,605 percent, from K3, 597 to K3,984, while the
while the average price of the same bag of average price of 1kg of
white roller mealie meal slightly increased by cabbage(vegetable) increased by 30.6
0.1 percent, from K37,386 to K37,408. The percent, from K1,554 to K2,030. The national
national average price of a 20 liter tin of average price of a 1kg of dried beans also
maize grain increased by 2.6 percent, from increased by 7.4 percent, from K9.976 to K10,
K21, 044 to K21, 601. 716.

7
National Average Prices for selected Products and Months
Percentage
2010 2011
Product Description Change
August September October November December January Jan-11/Dec-10
White breakfast mealie meal 25Kg 57,690 56,431 55,661 54,635 53,187 52,605 -1.1
White Roller mealie meal 25Kg 35,137 35,068 36,865 37,198 37,386 37,408 0.1
White Maize grain 20 litre tin 19,031 18,498 18,756 19,751 21,044 21,601 2.6
Hammer Milling charge 20 litre tin 3,067 3,043 3,139 3,247 3,112 3,085 -0.9
Rice Local 1 Kg 8,042 7,947 7,720 7,631 7,749 7,828 1.0
Rice Imported 1 Kg 28,531 29,371 28,800 29,211 26,576 27,097 2.0
Wheat Plain Flour (NMC) 2.5 Kg 17,180 17,586 17,616 17,407 17,359 17,666 1.8
Bread Regular loaf 4,057 4,082 4,080 4,070 4,123 4,132 0.2
Millet 5 litre tin 11,577 12,415 12,147 11,767 11,291 11,679 3.4
Sorghum 5 litre tin 13,795 12,427 14,911 14,559 12,777 13,226 3.5
Fillet Steak 1 Kg 32,013 31,593 31,430 31,963 32,945 34,644 5.2
Rump Steak 1 Kg 27,997 27,642 27,832 28,983 29,429 32,042 8.9
Brisket 1 Kg 20,819 20,880 21,103 21,871 23,117 24,312 5.2
Mince Meat 1 Kg 24,532 24,666 25,049 25,835 27,639 28,801 4.2
Mixed Cut 1 Kg 19,509 19,480 19,879 20,705 21,428 22,645 5.7
T-bone 1 Kg 26,062 26,395 26,317 27,344 28,383 30,750 8.3
Beef Sausages 1 Kg 25,210 25,463 25,699 31,849 27,239 28,517 4.7
Ox-liver 1 Kg 21,034 21,401 21,279 21,618 22,065 23,365 5.9
Offals 1 Kg 11,740 11,855 12,088 12,097 12,694 13,009 2.5
Pork chops 1 Kg 23,748 23,736 24,161 23,978 24,341 24,465 0.5
Dried Kapenta Siavonga 1Kg 52,621 51,466 56,259 56,431 60,344 60,844 0.8
Dried Kapenta Chisense 1Kg 36,161 36,325 33,306 32,446 36,798 37,396 1.6
Dried bream 1 Kg 35,564 35,833 33,574 35,985 35,275 39,806 12.8
Cabbage 1kg 1,563 1,468 1,430 1,592 1,554 2,030 30.6
Onion 1kg 6,138 5,990 5,571 5,250 5,516 6,019 9.1
Tomatoes 1kg 3,201 3,346 3,199 3,434 3,597 3,984 10.8
Lettuce 1kg 3,686 2,898 2,897 2,980 4,886 4,886 0.0
Spinach 1kg 2,812 2,796 2,821 3,014 3,168 3,462 9.3
Rape 1kg 2,478 2,358 2,705 2,601 2,787 3,088 10.8
Cucumber 1kg 3,085 4,134 3,744 3,651 3,913 3,970 1.5
Fresh okra 1kg 6,382 6,792 6,717 6,889 5,786 5,952 2.9
Dried beans 1kg 8,568 8,700 8,906 8,927 9,976 10,716 7.4
Shelled groundnuts 1kg 7,670 7,453 7,049 7,561 8,058 8,586 6.6
Sweet potatoes 1kg 1,374 1,378 1,511 1,602 1,702 2,073 21.8
Irish potatoes 1kg 4,222 4,142 3,938 4,150 4,229 4,673 10.5
Air Fare Lusaka/Ndola Proflight Zambia 1 way 637,500 850,000 816,000 768,000 768,000 833,000 8.5
Bed & continental Breakfast 3 to 5 star hotel 514,791 586,487 567,639 564,976 579,203 598,474 3.3
Takeaway chicken & chips 16,835 16,582 16,987 16,885 16,798 17,556 4.5
Source: CSO, Prices Statistics

8
INTERNATIONAL MERCHANDIZE TRADE
December 2010 records Trade Surplus

Zambia recorded a trade surplus valued at terms. Since January 2010, the country has
about K840.6 Billion in December 2010. This had monthly trade surpluses with the highest
means that the country exported more in valued at about K1,147.7 Billion in March, 2010.
December 2010 than it imported in value

Total Exports (fob) and Imports (cif), January to December, 2010 (K’ Millions)
Months Imports(cif) Domestic Exports(fob) Re-Exports(fob) Total Exports(fob) Trade Balance
January 1,765,443 2,126,943 86,773 2,213,716 448,274
February 1,868,729 2,301,681 83,337 2,385,018 516,289
March 2,119,079 3,144,227 122,582 3,266,809 1,147,731
Quarter 1 5,753,250 7,572,851 292,692 7,865,543 2,112,293
April 2,065,995 3,087,971 113,751 3,201,721 1,135,726
May 2,170,695 2,809,048 124,968 2,934,016 763,321
June 2,025,212 2,428,084 136,044 2,564,128 538,917
Quarter 2 6,261,902 8,325,103 374,763 8,699,866 2,437,964
July 2,190,552 2,637,350 174,723 2,812,072 621,521
August 2,212,936 2,910,816 167,811 3,078,627 865,691
September 2,242,942 2,715,394 156,521 2,871,915 628,973
Quarter 3 6,646,430 8,263,559 499,056 8,762,615 2,116,185
October 2,354,000 2,783,713 139,088 2,922,801 568,801
November® 2,111,336 2,832,003 139,756 2,971,760 860,424
December* 2,380,198 3,042,562 178,279 3,220,841 840,644
Quarter 4 6,845,533 8,658,278 457,124 9,115,402 2,269,869
Total: 25,507,115 32,819,792 1,623,634 34,443,426 8,936,310
Source: CSO, International Trade Statistics, 2010
These trade data are compiled based on the General Trade System
Note: (*) Provisional
(R) Revised

Total Exports (fob), Imports (cif) and Trade Balance, January – December 2010, K’ Millions

3,500,000 

3,000,000 

2,500,000 

2,000,000 

1,500,000 

1,000,000 

500,000 


Oct‐10
Jan‐10

Mar‐10

Jul‐10

Sept‐10
Feb‐10

Apr‐10

May‐10

Jun‐10

Nov‐10

Dec‐ 10
Aug‐10

Imports (cif) Total Exports (fob) Trade Balance 

Source: CSO, International Trade Statistics, 2010


These trade data are compiled based on the General Trade System
Note: From January to November, figures are revised

9
Exports by Major Product Categories December and November,
2010
Zambia’s major export products in December percent. Other exports were from the
2010 were from the Intermediate goods Consumer goods, Raw materials and Capital
category (mainly comprising copper goods categories; which collectively
cathodes and sections of refined copper and accounted for about 13.2 percent of total
copper blister) accounting for about 86.8 exports for December 2010.

Exports by major product categories December and November, 2010


December 2010* November 2010®
Product Category
Value (K 'Million) % Share Value (K’ Million) % Share
Consumer Goods 156,614 4.9 215,316 7.2
Raw Materials 235,915 7.3 160,042 5.4
Intermediate Goods 2,795,516 86.8 2,558,779 86.1
Capital Goods 32,797 1.0 37,623 1.3
Total 3,220,842 100.0 2,971,760 100.0
Source: CSO, International Trade Statistics, 2010
Note: (*) Provisional
(R) Revised

Zambia’s Metal Exports and Non-Traditional Exports


(NTEs) December and November, 2010
There has been a marginal increase in the total export earnings in December and
total value of exports to K3,220.8 billion from November 2010 averaged about 84.8
about K2,971.8 billion between December percent in both months.
and November 2010. This resulted in the
country’s ever dominant metal products In terms of percentage contribution to the
recording a slight increase in revenue of total export earnings, NTEs recorded an
about 4.9 percent in nominal terms. The average of about 15.1 percent in both
overall contribution of metal products to the months.

Zambia’s Metal Exports and Non-Traditional Exports (NTEs) December and November 2010
December 2010 (*) November 2010®
GROUP Value Value
(K' Million) % Share (K' Million) % Share
Traditional Exports (mainly Metals) 2,780,039 86.3 2,477,136 83.4
Non-Traditional Exports (NTEs) 440,803 13.7 494,624 16.6
Total Exports 3,220,842 100.0 2,971,760 100.0
Source: CSO, International Trade Statistics, 2010
Note: (*) Provisional
(R) Revised

10
Zambia’s Metals Exports and Non-Traditional Exports (NTEs) December and November 2010, K’
Million

3,220,842
Dec-10 440,803
2,780,039

2,971,760
Nov-10 494,624
2,477,136

0 500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 2,500,000 3,000,000 3,500,000


Total Exports NTEs Metal

Source: CSO, International Trade Statistics, 2010


Note that the November figures are revised while the December figures are provisional

Zambia’s Major Export Destinations by Product in


December, 2010
Zambia’s major export destination in The Democratic Republic of Congo was the
December 2010 was Switzerland accounting fourth largest destination of Zambia’s total
for 61.2 percent. The major export products to exports accounting for 4.1 percent. The major
Switzerland were; Cathodes & Sections of export products to this nation were Raw cane
Cathodes of refined copper; and Plates, sugar, in solid form; Portland cement (excl.
sheets and strips of refined copper. white); Wheat or meslin flour; and Sulphuric
acid.
China was the second largest destination of
Zambia’s total exports accounting for 14.9 Belgium was the fifth largest destination of
percent. The major export products to China Zambia’s total exports accounting for 1.8
were Copper blister; Cathodes & sections of percent. The major export products were:
cathodes of refined copper; and other Maize (excluding seed); Ash and residues
articles of cobalt. containing mainly copper and parts of
air/vacuum pumps of air/gas compressors.
South Africa was the third largest export
destination accounting for about 10.0 These five countries collectively accounted
percent. The major export products to South for 92.0 percent of Zambia’s total export
Africa were Cathodes and sections of earnings in December 2010.
cathodes of refined copper; semi-
manufactured gold (incl. gold plated
platinum); and Wire of refined copper,
maximum cross-sectional dimension >6mm.

11
Zambia's Five Major Export Destinations by Product for December, 2010*
December 2010(*)
Country / Hs-Code Description
Value (K'Million) % Share

SWITZERLAND 1,971,661 100.0


74031100 Cathodes and sections of cathodes of refined copper 1,530,081 77.6
74091900 Plates, sheets and strip, of refined copper, uncoi 225,770 11.5
74031910 Copper blister 143,297 7.3
26050000 Cobalt ores and concentrates 33,071 1.7
26030000 Copper ores and concentrates 26,793 1.4
81059000 Other: articles of cobalt, nes 11,243 0.6
52010000 Cotton, not carded or combed 1,333 0.1
26020000 Manganese ores/concentrates(inc.ferruginous), with 74 0.0
85158000 Machines and apparatus for welding/spraying of met 0 0.0
01051100 Live fowls of species gallus domesticus, weighing 0 0.0
Other Products 0 0.0
% of Total December Exports 61.2
CHINA 478,616 100.0
74031910 Copper blister 208,016 43.5
74031100 Cathodes and sections of cathodes of refined coppe 125,206 26.2
74032900 Copper (excl. Master) alloys, nes, unwrought 60,440 12.6
81059000 Other: articles of cobalt, nes 49,139 10.3
26040000 Nickel ores and concentrates 26,447 5.5
26020000 Manganese ores/concentrates(inc.ferruginous), with 3,897 0.8
26203000 Ash and residues containing mainly copper 2,225 0.5
44079900 Wood, nes sawn or chipped lengthwise, sliced or pe 1,343 0.3
26030000 Copper ores and concentrates 747 0.2
44071000 Coniferous wood sawn or chipped lengthwise, sliced 393 0.1
Other Products 761 0.2
% of Total December Exports 14.9
SOUTH AFRICA 321,444 100.0
74031100 Cathodes and sections of cathodes of refined coppe 197,087 61.3
71081300 Semi-manufactured gold (incl. Gold plated with pla 34,785 10.8
74081100 Wire of refined copper, maximum cross-sectional dimension >6mm 17,637 5.5
85444900 Electric conductors, nes, for a voltage <=80 v, no 14,532 4.5
28220010 Cobalt oxides and hydroxides; commercial cobalt ox 10,403 3.2
74031910 Copper blister 6,752 2.1
26050000 Cobalt ores and concentrates 6,679 2.1
74032900 Copper (excl. Master) alloys, nes, unwrought 6,101 1.9
17011100 Raw cane sugar, in solid form 2,847 0.9
84223000 Machinery for filling,closing...etc.bottles,cans e 1,778 0.6
Other Products 22,842 7.1
% of Total December Exports 10.0
CONGO DR 131,032 100.0
17011100 Raw cane sugar, in solid form 23,459 17.9
25232900 Portland cement (excl. White) 19,932 15.2
11010000 Wheat or meslin flour 10,481 8.0
28070010 Sulphuric acid; oleum in bulk 7,539 5.8
33029010 Other mixtures with basis of odoriferous subst.inc 6,421 4.9
28020010 Sulphur, sublimed or precipitated; colloidal sulph 5,473 4.2
84314300 Parts for boring or sinking machinery of subheadin 5,259 4.0
38249000 Chemical products and residual products of chemica 3,641 2.8
44079900 Wood, nes sawn or chipped lengthwise, sliced or pe 3,247 2.5

12
December 2010(*)
Country / Hs-Code Description
Value (K'Million) % Share

84314900 Parts of machinery of 84.26, 84.29 and 84.30, nes 2,385 1.8
Other Products 43,196 33.0
% of Total December Exports 4.1
BELGIUM 59,422 100.0
26203000 Ash and residues containing mainly copper 59,212 99.6
84149000 Parts of air/vacuum pumps, of air/gas compressors, 205 0.3
85175000 Apparatus for carrier-current line systems or for digital line systems,nes 5 0.0
63090000 Worn clothing and other worn articles 0 0.0
01051100 Live fowls of species gallus domesticus, weighing 0 0.0
01063900 -Birds:--other 0 0.0
01069000 Other live animals 0 0.0
02071200 Frozen whole chickens 0 0.0
02109900 Other meat of bovine animals 0 0.0
03037900 Frozen fish, nes 0 0.0
Other Products 0 0.0
% of Total December Exports 1.8
Other Destination 258,667 8.0
Total Value of December Exports 3,220,841
Source: CSO, International Trade Statistics, 2010
Note: (*) Provisional

Export Market Shares by Regional Groupings, December and


November, 2010
The Southern African Development The Common Market for Eastern and
Community (SADC) regional grouping was Southern Africa (COMESA) grouping of
the largest market for Zambia’s total exports, countries was the third largest market for
accounting for 17.4 and 18.3 percent in Zambia’s total exports accounting for 7.5 and
December and November 2010, respectively. 11.0 percent in December and November
Within SADC, South Africa was the dominant 2010, respectively. Within COMESA, Congo
market in both months with 57.4 and 45.1 (DR) was the dominant market in both
percent, respectively. Congo (DR) was months with 54.4 percent in December and
second in both months with 23.4 and 27.1 45.1 percent in November 2010. Zimbabwe
percent, respectively. Other notable markets was second with 22.8 percent in December
were Zimbabwe, Mauritius, Malawi and 2010 and 19.3 percent in November 2010.
Tanzania. Other notable markets were Burundi, Malawi,
Mauritius, Kenya and Egypt.
Asia was the second largest market for
Zambia’s total exports, accounting for 15.9 The European Union (EU) was the fourth
and 19.4 percent in December and largest market for Zambia’s total exports
November 2010, respectively. Within Asia, accounting for 4.5 and 5.5 percent in
China was the dominant market in both December and November 2010, respectively.
months with 93.3 and 91.9 percent, Within the EU, Belgium was the dominant
respectively. The United Arab Emirates was market in December 2010 with 40.6 percent
second in both months with 3.1 percent in while the United Kingdom was the dominant
December and 6.7 percent in November market in November 2010 with 32.7 percent.
2010, respectively. Other notable markets Other notable markets were Luxembourg
were India, Philippines, Israel and Hong Kong. and the Netherlands.

13
Export Market Shares by Regional Groupings, December and November, 2010 (K’ Millions)
Dec-10* Nov-10
GROUPING Value % GROUPING Value %
(K'Million) Share (K'Million) Share
SADC 559,766 100.0 SADC 544,502 100.0
South Africa 321,444 57.4 South Africa 245,799 45.1
Congo DR 131,032 23.4 Congo DR 147,655 27.1
Zimbabwe 54,896 9.8 Zimbabwe 63,039 11.6
Mauritius 15,373 2.7 Malawi 42,252 7.8
Malawi 13,567 2.4 Tanzania, United 19,145 3.5
Other SADC 23,455 4.2 Other SADC 26,613 4.9
% of Total December Exports 17.4 % of Total November Exports 18.3
ASIA 512,819 100.0 ASIA 577,533 100.0
China 478,616 93.3 China 530,474 91.9
United Arab Emirates 15,738 3.1 United Arab Emirates 38,751 6.7
India 13,653 2.7 India 6,345 1.1
Philippines 2,424 0.5 Israel 1,144 0.2
Hong Kong 1,088 0.2 Hong Kong 610 0.1
Other ASIA 1,301 0.3 Other ASIA 209 0.0
% of Total December Exports 15.9 % of Total November Exports 19.4
COMESA 240,679 100.0 COMESA 327,422 100.0
Congo DR 131,032 54.4 Congo DR 147,655 45.1
Zimbabwe 54,896 22.8 Zimbabwe 63,039 19.3
Burundi 16,634 6.9 Malawi 42,252 12.9
Mauritius 15,373 6.4 Kenya 22,138 6.8
Malawi 13,567 5.6 Egypt 19,080 5.8
Other COMESA 9,177 3.8 Other COMESA 33,258 10.2
% of Total December Exports 7.5 % of Total November Exports 11.0
EUROPEAN UNION 146,224 100.0 EUROPEAN UNION 163,823 100.0
Belgium 59,422 40.6 United Kingdom 53,545 32.7
United Kingdom 38,407 26.3 Luxembourg 53,187 32.5
Luxembourg 24,376 16.7 Belgium 40,935 25.0
Netherlands 15,272 10.4 Netherlands 12,827 7.8
France 3,296 2.3 Sweden 1,539 0.9
Other EU 5,452 3.7 Other EU 1,790 1.1
% of Total December Exports 4.5 % of Total November Exports 5.5
Total Value of December Exports 3,220,841 Total Value of November Exports 2,971,760
Source: CSO, International Trade Statistics, 2010
Note: (*) Provisional
(R) Revised figures

Imports by Major Product Categories, December and


November, 2010
Zambia’s major import products in December from the Raw materials and Consumer goods
2010 were from the Intermediate goods categories which collectively accounted for
category accounting for 30.4 percent. The 40.4 percent in December 2010.
Capital goods category was second with
29.2 percent. Other notable imports were

Imports (cif) by Major Product Categories, December and November 2010, K’ Millions
December 2010* November 2010®
Description
Value % Share Value % Share
Consumer Goods 327,517 13.8 321,855 15.2
Raw Materials 633,474 26.6 523,394 24.8
Intermediate Goods 723,328 30.4 664,115 31.5
Capital Goods 695,879 29.2 601,972 28.5
Total 2,380,198 100.0 2,111,336 100.0
Source: CSO, International Trade Statistics, 2010
Note: (*) Provisional
(R) Revised figures

14
Zambia’s Major Import Sources by Product, December 2010
The major source of Zambia’s imports in of imports. The major import products from
December 2010 was South Africa accounting Congo DR were Copper ores and
for 39.7 percent. The major import products concentrates; Cobalt oxides and hydroxides,
from South Africa were Dumpers for off- commercial cobalt oxides; and Cobalt ores
highway use; Parts of machinery; Other and concentrates.
medicaments of mixed or unmixed products;
and Cutting oil, grease cutting oils, cleaning Other notable sources of Zambia’s imports
oils. were China, India and the United Arab
Emirates, collectively accounting for 11.3
The second largest source of Zambia’s percent of Zambia’s total imports in
imports in December 2010 was Congo DR December 2010
accounting for 24.5 percent of the total value

Zambia’s Major Import Sources by Products, December 2010* (K’ Millions)


Country / Hs- Dec-10*
Description
Code Value (K'Million) % Share

SOUTH AFRICA 944,117 100.0


87041000 Dumpers for off-highway use 36,048 3.8
84314900 Parts of machinery of 84.26, 84.29 and 84.30, nes 21,162 2.2
30049000 Other medicaments of mixed or unmixed products, fo 19,433 2.1
27101950 Cutting oil,grease cutting oils,cleaning oils etc. 19,149 2.0
84138100 Pumps for liquids, nes 17,747 1.9
84749000 Parts of machinery of 84.74 13,875 1.5
87042110 Diesel dual purpose vehicles for both persons & go 13,655 1.4
72104900 Flatrolled iron/steel,wid.>=600mm,zinc plated/coat 12,777 1.4
84139100 Parts of pumps for liquids 12,590 1.3
73089090 Structures and parts of structures, nes, of iron o 12,282 1.3
Other Products 765,399 81.1
% of Total December Imports 39.7
CONGO DR 582,326 100.0
26030000 Copper ores and concentrates 410,347 70.5
28220010 Cobalt oxides and hydroxides; commercial cobalt ox 106,435 18.3
26050000 Cobalt ores and concentrates 60,696 10.4
84749000 Parts of machinery of 84.74 2,897 0.5
74040000 Copper waste and scrap 1,517 0.3
82071300 Rock drilling or earth boring tools, with working 135 0.0
87019010 Tractors (excl. Tractors of 87.09), nes - for use 128 0.0
87112000 Motorcycles with reciprocating engine of capacity 35 0.0
84388000 Machinery for the preparation or manufacture of food or drink, nes 34 0.0
23099090 Other preparations of a kind used in animal feedin 30 0.0
Other Products 72 0.0
% of Total December Imports 24.5
CHINA 141,804 100.0
84798900 Machines, having individual functions, nes 25,867 18.2
90181900 Electro-diagnostic apparatus nes 7,712 5.4
73089090 Structures and parts of structures, nes, of iron o 6,323 4.5
84771000 Injection-moulding machines for working rubber or plastics, etc 5,204 3.7
85171200 Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks 5,074 3.6
85469000 Electrical insulators (excl. Of glass or ceramics) 3,453 2.4
61149000 Garments of other textiles, knitted or crocheted, 3,421 2.4
83024100 Mountings, fittings, etc, for buildings, of base m 2,970 2.1
76141000 Cables... Of aluminium, with steel core, not elect 2,749 1.9

15
Country / Hs- Dec-10*
Description
Code Value (K'Million) % Share

84139100 Parts of pumps for liquids 2,646 1.9


Other Products 76,385 53.9
% of Total December Imports 6.0
INDIA 69,128 100.0
30049000 Other medicaments of mixed or unmixed products, fo 12,457 18.0
85171200 Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks 3,132 4.5
85442000 Co-axial cable and other co-axial electric conduct 3,056 4.4
74050000 Master alloys of copper 2,979 4.3
85362000 Automatic circuit breakers, =<1000 v 2,894 4.2
85353000 Isolating switches and make-and-break switches, >1 1,780 2.6
72104900 Flatrolled iron/steel,wid.>=600mm,zinc plated/coat 1,647 2.4
39206310 Plates..., of unsaturated polyesters, not reinforc 1,470 2.1
Flat/coldrolled iron/non-alloy steel,wid>=600mm,not clad,plated/coated
72099000 nes 1,379 2.0
84314900 Parts of machinery of 84.26, 84.29 and 84.30, nes 1,323 1.9
Other Products 37,013 53.5
% of Total December Imports 2.9
UNITED ARAB EMIRATES 56,514 100.0
84382000 Machinery for the manufacture of confectionery, cocoa or chocolate 9,830 17.4
31022900 Double salts and mixtures of ammonium sulphate and 6,626 11.7
31021000 Urea 3,113 5.5
29041010 Hydrocarbon derivatives containing only sulpho gro 3,025 5.4
40112000 New pneumatic tyres of rubber, of a kind used on b 2,105 3.7
30049000 Other medicaments of mixed or unmixed products, fo 1,798 3.2
28311010 Dithionites and sulphoxylates of sodium in bulk 1,692 3.0
31052000 Mineral or chemical fertilizers with nitrogen, pho 1,304 2.3
49119910 Other printed matter, nes-scratch cards for pre-paid telecom time. 1,230 2.2
87032390 Vehicles with engine capacity exceeding 1500cc but 895 1.6
Other Products 24,896 44.1
% of Total December Imports 2.4
Other Destination 586,309 24.6
Total Value of December Imports 2,380,198
Source: CSO, International Trade Statistics, 2010
Note: (*) Provisional

Import Market Shares by Regional Groupings, December and


November, 2010
The Southern African Development The Common Market for Eastern and
Community (SADC) regional grouping was Southern Africa (COMESA) grouping of
the largest source of Zambia’s imports countries was the second largest source of
accounting for 68.4 and 69.2 percent in Zambia’s imports accounting for 28.3 and
December and November 2010, respectively. 27.7 percent in December and November
Within the SADC region, South Africa was the 2010, respectively. Within COMESA, Congo
major source of Zambia’s imports in both (DR) was the main source of Zambia’s imports
months with 58.0 percent in December and in both months with 86.3 and 85.8 percent,
59.9 percent in November 2010. Congo DR respectively. Other notable sources were
was the second largest source of Zambia’s Zimbabwe, Kenya, Swaziland, Mauritius and
imports with 35.7 and 34.3 percent in Egypt.
December and November 2010, respectively.
Other key market sources were Zimbabwe, Asia was the third largest source of Zambia’s
Tanzania, Swaziland and Botswana. imports accounting for 18.2 and 15.6 percent
in December and November 2010,

16
respectively. Within Asia, China was the accounting for 8.6 and 10.5 percent in
dominant market with 32.8 and 34.0 percent December and November 2010, respectively.
in December and November 2010, Within the EU, the United Kingdom was the
respectively. Other notable markets were major source of Zambia’s imports accounting
India, United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, Japan for 25.5 and 21.8 percent in December and
and Singapore. November 2010, respectively. Other key
markets were Finland, Ireland, Sweden,
The European Union (EU) was the fourth Germany and the Netherlands.
largest source of Zambia’s imports

Import Market shares by Major Regional Groupings, December and November, 2010
Dec-10* Nov-10
GROUPING Value GROUPING Value
(K'Million) % Share (K'Million) % Share
SADC 1,628,972 100.0 SADC 1,462,010 100.0
South Africa (Republic Of) 944,117 58.0 South Africa (Republic Of) 876,073 59.9
Democratic Republic Of Democratic Republic Of
Congo 582,326 35.7 Congo 502,093 34.3
Zimbabwe 29,650 1.8 Zimbabwe 34,336 2.3
Tanzania, United Republic of 28,454 1.7 Tanzania, United Republic of 16,257 1.1
Swaziland 13,824 0.8 Botswana 8,041 0.5
Other SADC 30,600 1.9 Other SADC 25,210 1.7
% of Total December Imports 68.4 % of Total November Imports 69.2
COMESA 674,597 100.0 COMESA 585,207 100.0
Democratic Republic Of Democratic Republic Of
Congo 582,326 86.3 Congo 502,093 85.8
Zimbabwe 29,650 4.4 Zimbabwe 34,336 5.9
Kenya 26,374 3.9 Kenya 28,239 4.8
Swaziland 13,824 2.0 Mauritius 7,681 1.3
Egypt 7,584 1.1 Egypt 5,290 0.9
Other COMESA 14,838 2.2 Other COMESA 7,568 1.3
% of Total December Imports 28.3 % of Total November Imports 27.7
ASIA 432,263 100.0 ASIA 329,762 100.0
China 141,804 32.8 China 112,032 34.0
India 69,128 16.0 India 63,630 19.3
United Arab Emirates 56,514 13.1 United Arab Emirates 49,414 15.0
Kuwait 52,296 12.1 Japan 42,052 12.8
Japan 34,540 8.0 Singapore 20,498 6.2
Other ASIA 77,982 18.0 Other ASIA 42,137 12.8
% of Total December Imports 18.2 % of Total November Imports 15.6
EUROPEAN UNION 204,016 100.0 EUROPEAN UNION 222,706 100.0
United Kingdom 52,009 25.5 United Kingdom 48,535 21.8
Finland 43,167 21.2 Sweden 35,475 15.9
Germany 32,092 15.7 Ireland 30,189 13.6
Sweden 26,013 12.8 Finland 29,870 13.4
Netherlands 13,321 6.5 Germany 18,176 8.2
Other EU 37,414 18.3 Other EU 60,461 27.1

% of Total December Imports 8.6 % of Total November Imports 10.5


Total Value of December Total Value of November
Imports 2,380,198 Imports 2,111,336
Source: CSO, International Trade Statistics, 2010
Note: (*) Provisional

17
SELECTED SOCIO-ECONOMIC INDICATORS
PROJECTED MID-YEAR POPULATION 2000-2010

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Total Population 9,885,591 10,089,492 10,409,441 10,744,380 11,089,691 11,441,461 11,798,678 12,160,516 12,525,791 12,896,830 13,272,553
Population Growth
2.5 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3 3 2.9 2.9 2.8
Rate
Life Expectancy at
50 51.8 51.9 52.4 52.4 52.6 51.9 51.4 51.3 51.2 51.3
Birth
POPULATION BY PROVINCE
Central 1,012,257 1,032,574 1,066,992 1,103,387 1,141,256 1,180,124 1,219,980 1,260,491 1,301,776 1,343,835 1,386,628
Copperbelt 1,581,221 1,611,569 1,662,155 1,714,225 1,767,165 1,820,443 1,874,081 1,927,576 1,980,824 2034012 2,088,14
Eastern 1,306,173 1,348,070 1,391,690 1,436,120 1,482,290 1,530,118 1,579,960 1,631,890 1,684,910 1,740,180 1,797,787
Luapula 775,353 791,067 817,326 845,076 873,969 903,746 934,317 965,605 997,579 1,030,572 1,064,422
Lusaka 1,391,329 1,413,010 1,453,690 1,495,730 1,538,000 1,579,769 1,620,730 1,660,070 1,697,730 1,733,830 1,768,205
Northern 1,258,696 1,277,250 1,315,650 1,357,540 1,401,340 1,445,730 1,490,330 1,534,170 1,577,310 1,619,980 1,662,241
North-western 583,350 596,010 616,496 638,004 660,322 683,367 707,074 731,351 756,261 781,800 808,046
Southern 1,212,124 1,235,134 1,275,470 1,318,161 1,362,382 1,407,433 1,453,324 1,499,462 1,545,880 1,592,864 1,706,468
Western 765,088 774,929 795,247 816,983 839,757 863294 887,540 912,226 937,419 963,107 989,345
Source: CSO, Population Projections Report
Note: 2000 figures are from the 2000 Census of Population and Housing while the 2001 to 2010 figures are Population Projections from the Projections Report

18
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT 2001-2009
KIND OF ECONOMIC ACTIVITY 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010**
Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing (2.6) (1.7) 5.0 4.3 (0.6) 2.2 0.4 2.6 7.2 6.6
Agriculture (6.0) (6.3) 8.0 6.1 (4.0) 3.0 (2.7) 1.9 12.4 12.9
Forestry 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.3 3.6 1.4 3.7 3.7 3.7 0.6
Fishing (5.0) (0.7) (0.7) (0.7) 0.5 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8
Mining and Quarrying 14.0 16.4 3.4 13.9 7.9 7.3 3.6 2.5 20.3 16.8
Metal Mining 15.0 17.1 3.3 13.5 7.1 9.0 4.4 2.5 19.7 17.6
Other mining and quarrying (15.0) (13.0) 10.7 35.8 42.9 (45.8) (45.5) (3.5) 99.6 (48.5)
PRIMARY SECTOR 1.9 3.8 4.5 7.5 2.5 4.1 1.7 2.5 12.4 10.9
Manufacturing 4.2 5.7 7.6 4.7 2.9 5.7 3.0 1.8 2.2 4.4
Food, Beverages and Tobacco 5.3 5.4 8.6 5.8 3.6 8.9 7.6 3.0 4.9 7.5
Textile, and leather industries 2.3 6.2 3.2 (1.9) (2.9) (1.3) (19.5) (23.6) (20.0) (31.9)
Wood and wood products 5.7 7.5 11.4 4.2 3.6 0.7 3.7 12.1 2.6 0.7
Paper and Paper products 3.8 2.2 8.2 2.5 10.6 0.3 0.7 29.3 6.2 22.8
Chemicals, rubber and plastic products 4.3 10.0 4.9 8.5 3.2 4.6 4.2 5.2 (0.3) (0.2)
Non-metallic mineral products 3.5 1.7 14.9 14.4 7.4 (5.2) 2.3 5.0 11.7 10.9
Basic metal products (18.0) 4.3 15.1 3.1 (2.0) 1.9 (4.8) 23.0 (4.8) 4.9
Fabricated metal products (8.0) (4.0) 5.3 4.8 7.4 5.0 7.8 (2.5) (3.4) 8.9
Electricity, Gas and Water 12.6 (5.2) 0.4 (1.7) 5.4 10.5 1.0 (1.2) 6.8 4.7
Construction 11.5 17.4 21.6 20.5 21.2 14.4 20.0 8.7 9.5 7.2
SECONDARY SECTOR 7.5 7.2 10.8 9.1 10.0 9.8 10.0 4.7 6.2 5.8
Wholesale and Retail Trade 5.4 5.0 6.1 5.0 2.4 2.0 2.4 2.7 2.3 4.3
Restaurants, Bars and Hotels 24.4 4.9 6.9 6.4 11.7 16.1 9.6 5.0 (13.4) 10.3
Transport, Storage and Communications 2.8 1.8 4.8 6.4 11.0 22.1 19.2 15.8 7.6 14.9
Rail Transport 7.6 6.0 (8.1) (1.8) (11.6) (2.6) (18.7) (20.2) (23.8) 18.9
Road Transport 0.5 1.9 3.9 4.2 6.3 6.4 6.4 13.2 13.3 5.8
Air Transport 10.6 (8.4) 3.9 18.1 10.8 33.5 24.1 13.7 (23.4) 17.3
Communications 0.6 7.9 10.0 5.0 23.2 40.5 33.6 21.1 19.4 20.7
Financial Institutions and Insurance 0.1 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.3 4.0 4.1 8.7 5.2 3.9
Real Estate and Business services 3.5 4.4 4.0 4.0 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.0 2.8 3.0
Community, Social and Personal Services 5.8 1.6 1.6 0.6 11.4 9.0 12.5 11.7 8.6 1.5
Public Administration & Defence/Public sanitary
services 1.0 (1.0) 0.2 0.2 6.2 (8.7) 14.8 2.2 0.4 (2.1)
Education 13.5 7.0 3.0 0.3 22.2 35.3 13.6 19.6 15.2 4.1
Health 16.5 1.0 2.5 (0.8) (2.2) 5.2 1.0 18.3 7.7 7.2
Recreation, Religious,Culture 10.0 (2.0) 4.5 4.3 34.1 22.8 9.3 26.7 17.7 (3.1)
Personal Services 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5
TERTIARY SECTOR 4.7 3.8 4.5 4.2 5.4 6.7 7.1 7.2 3.9 5.7
Less: FISIM 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 3.3 2.4
TOTAL GROSS VALUE ADDED 4.6 4.6 6.0 6.2 5.8 7.0 6.7 5.7 6.4 7.1
Taxes less subsidies on Products 7.0 (6.7) (2.7) (2.7) (0.1) (3.1) (0.3) 5.7 6.4 7.1
TOTAL G.D.P. AT MARKET PRICES 4.9 3.3 5.1 5.4 5.3 6.2 6.2 5.7 6.4 7.1

Note:(**) Preliminary Figures

19
Index of industrial production for 2008 and the first two quarters of 2009
MINING MANUFACTURING
Wood Paper Non-
TOTAL Non- Food, Textile, Chemicals, Basic Fabricated TOTAL
PERIOD TOTAL Stone TOTAL & & metallic
INDEX Coal ferrous Beverages Clothing Rubbers Metal Metal ELECTRICITY
MINING Quarrying MANUFACTURING Wood Paper Mineral
Ore & Tobacco & Leather & Plastics Industries Products
Products Products Products
WEIGHT 1.000 0.350 0.005 0.242 0.103 0.511 0.235 0.060 0.006 0.017 0.059 0.025 0.009 0.100 0.139
2008 Q1 159.0 243.1 7.4 227.8 289.4 113.5 131.9 54.8 205.3 107.4 134.2 125.4 80.2 88.8 114.6
2008 Q2 158.1 219.5 0.1 197.0 281.9 125.3 169.0 37.3 216.8 123.1 98.2 152.7 86.6 82.5 124.1
2008 Q3 163.5 217.9 0.0 196.2 278.3 137.8 189.5 21.7 159.5 88.4 95.0 155.1 84.8 118.3 121.8
2008 Q4 164.0 209.8 0.0 196.8 249.6 142.5 196.4 48.7 167.2 135.2 76.3 164.2 68.9 112.0 127.8
2008 161.1 222.5 1.9 204.4 274.8 129.8 171.7 40.6 187.2 113.5 101.0 149.3 80.1 100.4 122.1
2009 Q1 174.0 276.3 0.0 265.9 312.8 114.7 136.9 45.5 219.4 118.8 137.1 136.7 82.1 81.2 134.9
2009 Q2 177.2 265.0 83.1 250.4 307.4 129.2 177.3 29.2 230.3 132.1 98.9 166.6 84.9 81.9 132.8
2008 (Q1+Q2) 158.5 231.3 3.8 212.4 285.6 119.4 150.4 46.0 211.0 115.3 116.2 139.1 83.4 85.6 119.4
2009 (Q1+Q2) 175.6 270.7 41.5 258.2 310.1 122.0 157.1 37.3 224.9 125.4 118.0 151.6 83.5 81.5 133.9
YEAR ON YEAR PERCENTAGE CHANGE
2008 Q1 8.5 17.5 (12.8) 15.8 20.7 3.3 2.2 (10.2) 16.4 16.3 15.2 6.5 24.3 (2.4) (11.5)
2008 Q2 3.2 3.8 (99.0) (1.7) 14.4 3.7 4.2 (12.1) 26.4 32.8 2.9 3.0 41.8 (3.5) (0.8)
2008 Q3 5.5 8.7 (100.0) (6.7) 49.5 3.0 6.3 (34.4) (3.1) 27.6 (1.2) 1.1 26.2 (2.5) 2.0
2008 Q4 2.8 7.1 (100.0) 2.8 16.4 (0.9) (0.4) (35.7) 7.7 39.5 6.0 9.7 1.6 (1.8) 1.3
2008 4.9 9.3 (77.5) 2.4 23.9 2.2 3.0 (23.4) 12.1 29.3 6.2 5.0 23.0 (2.5) (2.4)
*2009 Q1 9.5 13.7 (100.0) 16.8 8.1 1.1 3.8 (17.0) 6.9 10.6 2.1 9.0 2.3 (8.5) 17.7
**2009 Q2 12.1 20.7 82990.9 27.1 9.0 3.2 4.9 (21.7) 6.2 7.3 0.6 9.1 (1.9) (0.8) 7.0
2008 (Q1+Q2) 5.8 10.5 (60.5) 7.0 17.5 3.5 3.3 (11.0) 21.3 24.5 9.7 4.5 32.8 (3.0) (6.3)
2009 (Q1+Q2) 10.8 17.0 1006.9 21.5 8.6 2.2 4.4 (18.9) 6.6 8.8 1.5 9.0 0.1 (4.8) 12.2
Source: CSO Index of Industrial Production
Note: ( ) negative
*Revised
**Preliminary

20
INFLATION TRENDS 2000-2009
Year Year on Year Inflation
1990 110.6
1991 99.7
1992 180.7
1993 128.1
1994 38.3
1995 46.0
1996 35.2
1997 18.6
1998 30.6
1999 20.6
2000 30.1
2001 18.7
2002 26.7
2003 17.2
2004 17.5
2005 15.9
2006 8.2
2007 8.9
2008 16.6
2009 9.9
Source: CSO, Prices Statistics

ZAMBIA’S ANNUAL TOTAL EXPORTS IN ABSOLUTE ZAMBIAN KWACHA AND U S DOLLAR 2000-2009
Flow Total Exports
Year ZMK USD
2000: 2,716,557,648,136 869,485,416
2001: 3,537,206,913,419 978,788,277
2002: 4,069,916,925,012 944,356,533
2003: 4,642,039,643,203 979,298,782
2004: 7,526,280,115,612 1,577,240,766
2005: 9,612,909,460,871 2,176,641,598
2006: 13,410,945,234,225 3,681,524,702
2007: 18,399,133,746,013 4,617,454,325
2008: 18,653,009,286,684 5,098,688,004
2009: 21,031,172,451,720 4,241,014,377
Total: 82,567,998,973,175 20,923,478,403
Source: CSO, International Trade Statistics, 2010

ZAMBIA’S ANNUAL IMPORTS IN ABSOLUTE ZAMBIAN KWACHA AND U S DOLLAR 2000-2009


Year ZMK USD
2000: 2,751,563,199,592 871,386,492
2001: 3,900,496,869,495 1,079,955,769
2002: 4,732,881,915,324 1,103,070,912
2003: 7,439,867,256,553 1,573,309,968
2004: 10,279,302,826,391 2,150,649,040
2005: 11,466,668,652,907 2,579,688,391
2006: 11,049,770,813,126 3,023,996,472
2007: 15,945,289,847,742 4,006,980,387
2008: 18,476,489,239,723 5,060,482,666
2009: 18,941,257,150,282 3,792,668,160
Total: 86,042,330,620,853 21,449,520,097
Source: CSO, International Trade Statistics, 2010

NOTE: 2000-2007 FIGURES ARE UNDER SPECIAL TRADE SYSTEM WHILE 2008 AND 2009 FIGURES ARE UNDER GENERAL TRADE
SYSTEM

21
Interest Rates

End of COMMERCIAL BANKS CENTRAL BANK TREASURY BILLS


Period Weighted Lending Rates Lending Rates Interest Rates YIELD RATE 91 DAYS
1990 - - 34.0 -
1991 - - 47.0 -
1992 - - 54.0 -
1993 - - 72.0 -
1994 36.2 - 25.4 -
1995 47.7 - 51.5 -
1996 57.4 69.0 70.0 -
1997 37.9 49.3 23.3 -
1998 37.4 37.0 43.4 -
1999 42.6 40.4 46.2 -
2000 37.6 45.9 44.1 -
2001 46.7 54.6 52.5 -
2002 42.5 50.0 34.0 -
2003 38.0 45.3 21.3 -

2004 MAR 31.8 39.1 9.6 -


Jun 29.8 36.9 7.8 -
Sep 30.0 37.4 14.7 -
Dec 29.8 37.1 18.3 -

2005 JAN 28.0 35.3 18.4 -


Feb 28.6 35.9 18.8 -
Mar 28.1 35.4 18.2 -
Apr 28.0 35.1 17.8 -
May 28.1 35.1 16.0 -
Jun 28.6 35.6 15.9 -
Jul 28.2 35.2 16.5 -
Aug 28.3 35.3 16.4 -
Sep 28.2 34.9 16.9 -
Oct 28.2 34.5 16.9 -
Nov 28.2 34.5 17.4 -
Dec 27.6 33.9 17.1 -

2006 JAN 26.7 33.0 17.1 15.1


Feb 26.4 32.7 16.1 14.1
Mar 25.4 31.6 14.7 12.7
Apr 25.2 31.4 11.0 9.0
May 22.8 29.0 8.4 6.4
Jun 21.6 27.8 7.5 5.5
Jul 21.7 27.9 8.6 6.6
Aug 21.7 27.9 9.6 7.6
Sep 21.6 27.8 10.9 8.6
Oct 21.6 27.8 12.3 10.3
Nov 21.6 27.8 11.1 9.1
Dec 21.6 27.9 10.7 8.7

2007 JAN 21.0 27.3 11.1 9.1


Feb 21.0 27.3 11.8 9.8
Mar 20.3 26.4 12.8 10.8
Apr 18.2 24.3 14.0 12.0
May 18.2 24.3 13.2 11.2
Jun 18.2 24.3 12.9 10.9
Jul 18.2 24.3 13.6 11.6
Aug 18.2 24.3 13.4 11.4
Sep 18.2 24.3 14.0 12.0
Oct 18.2 24.3 13.5 11.5
Nov 18.2 24.3 12.8 10.8
Dec 18.3 24.4 13.5 11.5

2008 JAN 18.4 24.5 13.2 11.2


Feb 18.3 24.4 12.6 10.6
Mar 18.2 24.3 12.9 10.9
Apr 18.2 24.3 13.0 11.0
May 18.2 24.3 14.1 12.1
Jun 18.5 24.6 14.1 12.1
Jul 18.6 24.7 14.1 12.1
Aug 18.6 24.7 14.3 12.3

22
End of COMMERCIAL BANKS CENTRAL BANK TREASURY BILLS
Period Weighted Lending Rates Lending Rates Interest Rates YIELD RATE 91 DAYS
Sep 19.6 25.7 14.5 12.5
Oct 20.6 26.7 15.3 13.3
Nov 20.6 26.7 12.0 13.9
Dec 20.8 26.9 15.9 13.9

2009 JAN 20.9 27.0 15.8 13.8


Feb 20.9 27.0 16.3 14.3
Mar 20.9 27.0 16.0 14.0
Apr 20.7 26.6 16.2 14.2
May 21.6 27.8 15.9 13.9
Jun 22.4 28.9 15.6 13.6
Jul 22.4 28.9 17.1 15.1
Aug 23.0 29.5 18.1 16.1
Sep 23.1 29.6 17.5 15.5
Oct 23.1 29.6 16.6 14.6
Nov
Dec
Source: Bank of Zambia

23
Surveys/Activities being undertaken
" 2010 Census of Population and Housing
" 2008 Labour-force Survey
" 2010 Living Conditions Monitoring Survey VI
"

Available
" 2009/2010 Crop Forecasting Survey
" 2009 Zambia Sexual Behaviour Survey (ZSBS)
" Employment and Earnings Inquiry Report, January 2006
" National Accounts Statistics Bulletin No.9 2005
" Labour-Force Survey Report, 2005
" 2007 Zambia Demographic and Health Survey (ZDHS)

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24

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