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hina is ordering bitcoin
C exchanges to shut down,
in a blow to the trading
hubs that pushed the virtual
currency to record highs. A1
Private-equity executives
are selling stakes in their
firms, prompted by demand
from some of the world’s
largest fund managers. A1
Online lenders are evalu-
ating ways to confirm bor-
rowers’ identities in the wake
SPENCER PLATT/GETTY IMAGES
less than first feared. A1, A6 ficial said the Florida Keys, ceeded a flooding record set in danger zone................................ B8 Source: Karen Clark & Co. THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
The hurricane killed at
least 10 people as it slammed
into Cuba over the weekend,
official media reported. A3
The U.N. Security Council
China Clamps Down SEEKING: PART-TIME
was set to vote on a sanc-
tions resolution on North
Korea after the U.S. eased
On Bitcoin Trading WORKERS IN BAD JOBS
terms of the measure. A5 BY CHAO DENG from investing in virtual cur-
A trial in Turkey re- rencies, and China hosts some
BEIJING—Chinese authori- of the world’s largest bitcoin
opened in the government’s
ties are ordering domestic bit- miners—the operations that
In tight labor market, companies see the underemployed as big talent pool
case against an opposition
newspaper’s journalists coin exchanges to shut down, generate the cryptocurrency.
and executives. A4 delivering a heavy blow to Ending commercial trading in BY JENNIFER LEVITZ “They were not in real careers,” said Tri
once-thriving trading hubs all virtual currencies is likely Nguyen, Network Capital chief executive. He
Saudi Arabia detained that helped popularize the vir- to further diminish use of bit- RICHMOND, Va.—Pressed for workers, a now plans a similar expansion in Philadelphia.
two clerics who failed to tual currency, pushing it to re- coin in a large and once-prom- New Jersey-based software company went Americans have traditionally moved to
publicly declare support for cent record highs. ising market, and sends a sig- hunting for a U.S. city with a surplus of tal- find jobs. But with a growing reluctance by
the monarchy’s hard-line China’s central bank, work- nal to regulators elsewhere ented employees stuck in dead-end jobs. workers to relocate, some companies have
stance toward Qatar. A4 ing with other regulators, has weighing how to bring order Brian Brown, chief operating officer at decided to move closer to potential hires.
Islamic State militants drafted instructions banning to virtual currencies in their AvePoint, Inc., struck gold in Richmond. De- Firms are expanding to cities with a bounty
attacked Egyptian police Chinese platforms from pro- own markets, analysts said. spite the city’s low unemployment rate, the of underemployed, retrieving men and
forces in the Sinai Peninsula, viding virtual-currency trading While China has in the past company had no trouble filling 70 jobs women from freelance gigs, manual labor and
killing at least 18 people. A4 services, according to people accounted for as much as 90% there, some at 20% below what it paid in part-time jobs with duties that, one worker
familiar with the matter. Regu- of trading activity, Chinese ex- New Jersey. New hires, meanwhile, got more said, required only a heartbeat to perform.
The U.S. will deploy a lators told at least one of the changes BTCC, Huobi, OKCoin interesting work and healthy raises. With the national jobless rate near a 16-
drone to the Philippines to exchanges that the decision to and others represented more Irvine, Calif.-based mortgage lender Net- year low, these pockets of underemployment
aid in the battle with Islamic shutter them has been made, than 20% of global volumes in work Capital Funding Corp. opened an office are a wellspring for companies that recog-
State-linked militants. A4 one of the people said, while the past 30 days, according to in Miami to scoop up an attractive subset of nize most new hires already have jobs but
Hundreds gathered in another said the unwinding the database Bitcoinity.org. college graduates—those who settled for tol- can be poached with better pay and room
lower Manhattan to mark may take several months. The price of one bitcoin erable jobs in exchange for living in a city for advancement. That’s preferable to com-
the 16th anniversary of the Beijing isn’t banning people Please see BITCOIN page A2 they loved. Please see JOBS page A8
Sept. 11 terrorist attacks. A7
Pope Francis concluded
a trip to Colombia with a After Multiple Invasions, the U.S. Is Catalans
call to end what he called
modern forms of slavery. A3 Getting Tired Of Liberating Atropia Rally for
i i i Right to
Planners of war games find that invading Break Free
Inside fake nations creates real-world problems SECESSION DRIVE:
CAPITAL People demonstrated
in favor of Catalan
JOURNAL A2 BY JAMES MARSON is reality. It keeps interfering independence from
AND JULIAN E. BARNES with an elaborately constructed
Why Trump Is military-training scenario.
Spain on the region’s
national day, but
The U.S. Army always knew The U.S. Army’s training
Free to Show defending Atropia would be a command in 2012 developed a
their leaders face
waning support for
slog. rich back story for various er-
Independence But officers didn’t expect satz countries in its war games.
carrying out a
referendum. A3
JOSEP LAGO/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES
allies to abandon the authori- The fictional country of Atro-
CONTENTS Markets...................... B8 tarian regime. pia, according
Business News...... B3 Markets Digest..... B6
Capital Journal...... A2 Opinion.............. A10-11
And they didn’t to the play-
Crossword.............. A12
Finance & Mkts... B5,7
Heard on Street.... B8
Life & Arts......... A9,12
Technology............... B4
U.S. News............ A6-7
Weather................... A12
World News....... A2-4
think war wea-
riness would be-
set the troops
book, is a pro-
western dicta-
torship. The
It’s a Gold Rush in Private Equity
so quickly. Army ordered BY SIMON CLARK ing money from the stake sales world’s largest private-equity
€3.20; CHF5.50; £2.00; “Candidly,” its training AND WILLIAM LOUCH to hire more staff, create new firm, sold shares to the public
U.S. Military (Eur.) $2.20
says Lt. Col. Joe Atropia’s flag centers adopt kinds of funds and settle the as the stock market peaked in
Buccino of the the scenario. Record demand for private often thorny question of how 2007. The shares subsequently
82nd Airborne Division, a vet- Soldiers, like Col. Buccino, equity is prompting industry to buy out retiring founders. slumped, taking six years to
eran of multiple Atropia ac- soon tired of rerunning the executives to take unusual ac- Such sales are sometimes bounce back.
tions, “having liberated that same old script. Bigger prob- tion—selling all or part of interpreted as signals the pri- The rise in stake sales
place four times in 15 months, lems with Atropia arose when their firms. vate-equity market is peaking. comes as private-equity firms
it is about time we let the At- some European U.S. allies Some of the world’s largest Why would such savvy deal- are paying higher prices than
s Copyright 2017 Dow Jones & ropians provide security for balked at the idea of propping publicly traded fund managers makers sell at any time other ever for companies and raising
Company. All Rights Reserved
themselves.” up faux dictators—even if the are snapping them up. than the top, the thinking goes. record-breaking funds. Private-
Atropia’s problem, it seems, Please see WAR page A8 Private-equity firms are us- Blackstone Group LP, the Please see STAKES page A2
A2 | Tuesday, September 12, 2017 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
WORLD NEWS
S
till, the limits to biparti-
sanship are real and sig-
A few weeks after Donald nificant. Disdain for Mr.
Trump won the presidential Trump among rank-and-file
election last year, The Wall Democrats will put a ceiling
Street Journal/NBC News on how far Mr. Schumer or
poll asked Trump voters why any other party leader can go
they went for the man who in cooperating with him. Just
had just shocked the world. 8% of Democrats say they ap-
Four in 10 Trump voters prove of the job the president
KEVIN LAMARQUE/REUTERS
said a primary reason was is doing, the latest Journal/
that he would change busi- NBC poll found. That’s half
ness as usual the share of Republicans who
in Washing- approved of Democrat Barack
ton. By con- Obama’s performance at this
trast, only one stage of his presidency and
in 10 said one-seventh the share of
they picked From left, Donald Trump with Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell and Democratic leaders Chuck Schumer and Nancy Pelosi last week. Democrats who approved of
Mr. Trump be- Republican George H.W. Bush
cause they thought he would ment of the first Republican structure arrayed around his presidency by moving out domestic policies, the Af- at this point.
pursue traditional Republi- primary debate, after all, Mr. him, without regard to party. on three issues where he had fordable Care Act. That means Democrats
can policies. Trump alone among the can- Given all that, it’s actually the chance to win the sup- He also accepted Republi- probably have license to co-
Those two numbers ex- didates refused to say he’d surprising it took Mr. Trump port of some lawmakers in can congressional leaders’ operate with Mr. Trump on
plain why now-President support the eventual GOP this long to really break with both parties: a plan to rebuild assurances that they would raising the debt ceiling,
Trump probably is on safe nominee or forswear running his own party and to exercise America’s infrastructure, es- produce a new health plan funding government and im-
ground in his sudden pivot as an independent if he an option that was always tablishment of a new trade and a tax cut in short order, proving infrastructure, and
to wooing Democratic lead- didn’t get the nomination. available to him: the option regime and a tax cut focused opening the way for the bi- on some trade matters. But
ers in Congress, while openly In sum, Mr. Trump ran as of trying to govern as he ran, on the middle class. On the partisan favorite of infra- the party base figures to rise
scorning those of his own a virtual independent. He which was as an independent first two, he had at least the structure spending by year’s up against the kind of large-
Republican Party. used the Republican Party in pursuit of working-class tacit backing of Senate Demo- end. The effort failed, Mr. scale tax cut and defense-
A large share of Trump apparatus when he had to, Democratic support. cratic leader Chuck Schumer. Trump was embarrassed and spending increases Mr.
voters picked him because particularly when he rented But that isn’t what hap- infuriated, and that helped Trump envisions and revolt
I
they thought he would rattle it as a substitute campaign ndeed, one of the great pened. Instead, Mr. Trump spur his decision to turn to if he doesn’t agree to extend
the status quo—and by that infrastructure. But the what-ifs of the current opened his presidency with Democrats to strike a deal legal status for “Dreamers,”
they meant the status quo of party’s congressional leaders political era is this one: two issues guaranteed to on hurricane relief and immigrants brought to the
both parties. Mr. Trump had no love for him, and he What if Mr. Trump had de- drive away Democrats: a ban short-term budget problems. U.S. as young children.
wasn’t a true ideological none for them. After he won, cided to adopt this tack at on travel to the U.S. by resi- At this point, if Mr. Trump So cooperation with Dem-
conservative, and his sup- he stood on the steps of the the very beginning of his ad- dents of seven Muslim-ma- really wants to operate as a ocrats has distinct boundar-
porters knew that. Capitol on Inauguration Day ministration? Bolstered by jority countries he said were political independent, and ies. But nobody should be
He was barely a Republi- and delivered an angry ad- the support of those populist terrorist hotbeds, and an at- attract the support of politi- surprised Mr. Trump is
can, and his supporters also dress that attacked the en- and working-class Democratic tempt to repeal the crown cally independent Americans choosing to test those
knew that. In the first mo- tire Washington power voters, he could have opened jewel of recent Democratic to bolster the effort, picking boundaries at this point.
popular passive investments about the scale of the industry firms like us.”
such as exchange-traded funds. in the context of the global Dyal has snapped up stakes
BlackRock Inc., Neuberger public investment market it’s a in top-performing private-eq-
Berman Group, Schroders PLC very small part.” uity firms Vista Equity Part-
and Aberdeen Standard Invest- ners and Silver Lake as well as
ments are all buying. Private- buyout giant TPG Capital’s spe-
equity funds charge an annual cial situations arm, TPG Sixth
fee of 1.5% and keep 20% of the
Some see parallels to Street, in the last 18 months.
profits from asset sales. An the heady fundraising Aberdeen Standard is rais-
ETF typically charges a 0.26% ing $1 billion for its first fund
fee.
period before the to buy stakes in private-equity
“Is it a bubble? My answer 2008 financial crisis. firms. Credit Suisse Group AG
is no,” said Alan Cauberghs, is raising a new fund to buy
head of private assets at Schro- stakes, as is Petershill, a unit of
ders, one of the U.K.’s biggest Goldman Sachs Group Inc. KEY VOTE: Prime Minister Theresa May was expected to narrowly win a vote Monday on a bill crafted
fund managers, which bought Private-equity assets have “Many firms seek to launch to transpose more than 10,000 EU laws to the U.K. Above, a pro-EU demonstrator at Parliament.
Zurich-based private-equity in- more than doubled in the last new products and strategies,”
vestment firm Adveq Manage- decade to $1.75 trillion at the said Aberdeen Standard execu-
ment earlier this year. “Private end of 2016. But that is still tive Ajay Chitkara. “Strategic
equity gives us the opportunity
to create longstanding relation-
ships with clients as opposed
to clients who buy an ETF to-
equivalent to less than 3% of
the $71.5 trillion of publicly
traded shares.
The proceeds of Adveq’s sale
capital can help managers
achieve these objectives.”
Mark McCombe, who over-
sees private equity at Black-
BITCOIN ered various options for months
but ultimately came to a con-
sensus to shut down virtual
currency exchanges, said the
news organization, Caixin, re-
ported that such a move was
coming. One of the people fa-
miliar with the matter said that
day and sell it back tomorrow.” to Schroders went to its found- Rock, the world’s biggest asset Continued from Page One people familiar with the matter. regulators expect exchanges to
Traditional fund managers ers. Other private-equity firms manager, told a conference in was at around $4,158 Monday “Too much disorder was report back on how they plan
debated how to respond to the have sold stakes to raise London earlier this year the in- evening in Beijing, roughly flat naturally a basic reason” for to unwind their businesses.
popularity of passive invest- money to hire staff to create vestible “universe is increasing for the day, but down about the ban, said one of the people. The ban was surprising for
ments at a London conference funds in new asset classes, significantly” as more inves- 16% from a record high on Trading volumes have al- many, given that Chinese au-
on Sept. 5. Jupiter Fund Man- ranging from private debt to tors expand into private assets Sept. 1. Prices dropped after ready plummeted in China, thorities have allowed bitcoin
agement PLC Vice Chairman infrastructure and real estate. including infrastructure. In regulators moved to cool the with authorities stepping up exchanges to operate within the
Edward Bonham Carter cau- Creating new funds enables June, BlackRock completed its market, issuing a ban last efforts to rein in the exchanges. mainland for years. The central
tioned private equity is becom- private-equity firms to put acquisition of First Reserve En- week in China on initial coin Analysts said more activity is bank defined bitcoin as a “vir-
ing “a crowded space,” though more money to work, said Mi- ergy Infrastructure Funds. offerings, a kind of fundraising moving underground, where tual good” back in 2013 and had
he acknowledged its appeal. chael Rees, who co-founded As investors scramble to via virtual currencies. individuals can send virtual banned banks and third-party
gain access to the asset class, The People’s Bank of China currencies to one another us- payment institutions from en-
the best-performing firms are didn’t respond to a request for ing private addresses, which gaging in bitcoin-related activi-
Paying Up taking advantage by signifi- comment. serve like safe-deposit boxes. ties. While exchanges got a
cantly increasing fund sizes Beijing has ramped up scru- The people said that regula- scare, they were quickly al-
Money pouring into private equity hit a new record this year.... and, in some cases, not setting tiny of the domestic bitcoin tors will likely have to tolerate lowed to continue operations.
Funds completed every six months a limit—known as a hard cap— market and other virtual cur- noncommercial trading of vir-
on the amounts they can raise. rencies since the beginning of tual currencies. “The govern- THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
$250 billion Apollo Capital Management the year—part of a major gov- ment also doesn’t have the Europe Edition ISSN 0921-99
LP this year raised $24.6 bil- ernment effort to root out fi- power to control” that, said The News Building, 1 London Bridge Street,
London, SE1 9GF
200 lion for the world’s biggest nancial risks. Officials earlier one person.
buyout fund. CVC Capital Part- this year circulated a draft of Speculation about a ban in- Thorold Barker, Editor, Europe
Grainne McCarthy, Senior News Editor, Europe
ners raised €16 billion ($19 bil- anti-money-laundering rules creased over the weekend, af- Cicely K. Dyson, News Editor, Europe
150 lion) for Europe’s biggest. for the exchanges, a powerful ter a respected local financial Darren Everson, International Editions Editor
The sheer scale of funds warning, even though the reg- Joseph C. Sternberg, Editorial Page Editor
100 available to private-equity ulations were never formal-
CORRECTIONS
Anna Foot, Advertising Sales
firms is unsettling some inves- ized, according to people fa- Jacky Lo, Circulation Sales
50
tors, who see parallels to the miliar with the matter. Andrew Robinson, Communications
heady fundraising period be-
fore the 2008 crisis. Private-
The stakes for Beijing grew
as prices of virtual currencies AMPLIFICATIONS Jonathan Wright,
Global Managing Director & Publisher
0 equity firms raised a record like bitcoin soared, adding to Advertising through Dow Jones Advertising
2007 ’08 ’09 ’10 ’11 ’12 ’13 ’14 ’15 ’16 ’17 $233 billion in the first half of the risk of further speculation Sales: Hong Kong: 852-2831 2504; Singapore:
2017, according to Preqin. by domestic investors. Analysts The Cessna Citation M2 65-6415 4300; Tokyo: 81-3 6269-2701;
Frankfurt: 49 69 29725390; London: 44 207
...pushing up prices in the U.S.... ...and in Europe Prices for U.S. and European and investors said one reason was incorrectly referred to as 842 9600; Paris: 33 1 40 17 17 01;
U.S. leveraged buyouts European leveraged buyouts leveraged buyouts were at or bitcoin prices rose last year the Cessna Citation C2 in one New York: 1-212-659-2176
near record highs above 10 was that Chinese investors be- instance in an Off Duty article Printers: France: POP La Courneuve; Germany:
Dogan Media Group/Hürriyet A.S. Branch; Italy:
12 to 1 ratio to earnings* times earnings in the first half gan buying up the asset and about personal jets in the Fri- Qualiprinters s.r.l.; United Kingdom: Newsprinters
(Broxbourne) Limited, Great Cambridge Road,
10 of 2017, according to Fitch Rat- selling the yuan in belief that day-Sunday edition. Waltham Cross, EN8 8DY
ings. A recent survey found the Chinese currency would fall. Registered as a newspaper at the Post Office.
8
86% of investors identified Virtual currencies in theory Alex Woolfall was visiting Trademarks appearing herein are used under
license from Dow Jones & Co.
6 pricing as their main worry for can allow holders to bypass the St. Martin from London when ©2017 Dow Jones & Company. All rights reserved.
Editeur responsable: Thorold Barker M-17936-
4 the industry in 2017, according traditional banking system to Hurricane Irma hit. A World 2003. Registered address: Avenue de Cortenbergh
to Preqin. move money outside of China’s News article Monday about the 60/4F, 1040 Brussels, Belgium
2
“It is feeling very, very capital-controlled borders. hurricane incorrectly said he NEED ASSISTANCE WITH
0 frothy,” Rhonda Ryan, a man- Officials from the central was a resident of St. Martin. YOUR SUBSCRIPTION?
’07 ’09 ’11 ’13 ’15 ’17† ’07 ’09 ’11 ’13 ’15 ’17† aging director at investment bank, cyberspace administra- By web: http://services.wsje.com
Readers can alert The Wall Street By email: subs.wsje@dowjones.com
*Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA); †First half adviser Pavilion Alternatives tion and banking, securities and Journal to any errors in news articles By phone: +44(0)20 3426 1313
Sources: Prequin (capital); Fitch (ratios) THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Group, said in an interview. other regulatory bodies consid- by emailing wsjcontact@wsj.com.
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Tuesday, September 12, 2017 | A3
WORLD NEWS
Catalans Rally as Secession Vote Nears
As Barcelona and
Madrid face off over
Oct. 1 vote, polls take
the region’s pulse
BY JEANNETTE NEUMANN
TARRAGONA, Spain—Hun-
dreds of thousands of Catalans
raised pro-independence flags
and chanted during the re-
gion’s annual celebration of its
history on Monday in Barce-
lona, but their leaders face
waning support for Catalonia’s
secession from Spain.
Concerns about derailing
Spain’s robust economic recov-
ery, fatigue over the yearslong
independence campaign and
the messiness of Britain’s exit
from the European Union have
taken some wind out of the
sails of the secession move-
ment, polls suggest, in what
may be the latest example of
ebbing anti-establishment sen-
timent in the EU.
ALBERT GEA/REUTERS
Last week, Catalonia’s par-
liament decreed a referendum
to secede from Spain to be
held on Oct. 1. The government
of Prime Minister Mariano Ra-
joy has branded the vote ille- Hundreds of thousands massed in Barcelona to mark Catalonia’s National Day on Monday. Independence fervor has appeared to wane since the financial crisis.
gal, saying it violates Spain’s
constitution and vowing to turnout on the day. Barce- many in Catalonia. Rubén Sánchez López, who position from Madrid, other with Spanish think tank Poli-
block it. lona’s municipal police said Now Spain is on track to re- opened a souvenir shop about member states to such a move tikon.
In the case of a “yes” vote, around one million people took cord its third year of 3%-plus a month ago near Tarragona’s would make it highly unlikely. Nonetheless, pro-indepen-
Catalonia would declare inde- part in Monday’s rally, about a growth. Catalonia, which ac- Roman ruins, was initially in- The waning of indepen- dence sentiment could surge
pendence 48 hours later, under 10% increase from their esti- counts for one-fifth of Spain’s trigued by separatists’ claims dence fever in Catalonia paral- again if Madrid succeeds in
the bill’s provisions, and the mate last year. Local represen- economic output and is pow- that Catalonia would be better lels the course of secessionist blocking the vote. Half of Cata-
region’s political leadership tatives of the central govern- ered by construction, tourism off outside Spain. But he be- sentiment in areas such as lans want the chance to vote
promise to persist with the ment in Madrid, on the other and chemical and pharmaceu- came disenchanted as he felt Scotland and northern Italy. At on full autonomy, regardless of
vote. hand, said there were around tical manufacturing, is growing more crucial economic con- the same time, nationalist and what Madrid says. If the Oct.
With that date looming, this 350,000 participants, a decline even faster. Unemployment cerns were being ignored, and populist parties in France, Ger- referendum is held, polls sug-
year’s annual celebration of from 2016. among the region’s 7.5 million would now prefer that Catalan many and the Netherlands gest a pro-independence out-
Catalonia’s history and culture Next month’s planned ballot inhabitants is several percent- leaders focus on matters like have fared worse than ex- come, since many opposed to
was billed by organizers and is the fruit of a fervor for inde- age points below the national Spain’s high youth unemploy- pected in recent elections. secession have said they won’t
authorities as a show of pendence that peaked during rate of 17%. ment rate. Independence fatigue is also participate.
strength for the referendum. Spain’s deep economic crisis, “When things begin to im- If Catalonia secedes, “we’d setting in among some Cata- Meanwhile, pollsters esti-
Supporters on Monday show- the severity of which aggra- prove a bit, people begin to be the same or even worse lans. Three years ago, the Cat- mate that around one-quarter
cased the regional tradition of vated many Catalans’ historic think, ‘I’m a bit better. I’ve got off,” the 23-year-old said. “So alan government held a non- to one-third Catalans are hard-
building human towers, or cas- frustrations with Madrid. more to lose, so I’m not going why do it?” binding and informal vote on core independence supporters.
tells, and chanted “We will Tensions also grew after the to take as many risks,’” said Pro-EU sentiment in Catalo- self-government. The “yes” “Even a booming economy I
vote.” conservative Popular Party— Jordi Argelaguet, head of Cata- nia and the confusion sown by vote won, but turnout was low. don’t think is going to bring
But it isn’t clear the fervor avowed opponents of Catalan lonia’s polling agency. Its sur- Brexit have also damped en- Months of fanfare paved the those people back within the
on show was a true reflection independence—won a majority veys show support for an inde- thusiasm for secession. Catalo- way for the ballot. fold,” said Andrew Dowling, a
of sentiment in the region. As in parliamentary elections in pendent Catalonia has fallen to nia’s leaders say the region “Politically, it’s hard to keep specialist on Catalan and
in previous years, there were 2011 and implemented auster- 35% in June from a peak of would seek EU membership as people constantly activated,” Spanish history at Cardiff Uni-
widely disparate estimates of ity measures unpopular with 49% in autumn 2013. an independent state, but op- said Kiko Llaneras, a pollster versity.
modern forms of slavery. and flooded the capital’s crum- the beaches of the north coast,
Although this walled colo- bling colonial center and the and set up dozens of shelters.
nial city is a glitzy interna- upscale neighborhood of Ve- While the government is
tional tourist destination, dado. Buildings collapsed, trees still assessing the storm’s de-
Pope Francis focused on its and power lines fell and roofs struction, Granma over the
dark history and current flew away in the 155-mile-an- weekend reported extensive
woes, such as slums teeming hour winds, damaging areas damage in some coastal com-
with people uprooted by a popular with foreign visitors munities at the center of the
long guerrilla war and child just before the start of the im- island—in certain cases, with
prostitution rings catering to portant winter tourism season. 90% of the homes destroyed.
foreigners. Many of those suf- Seven of those killed were On Monday morning, power
fering here are Afro-Colombi- in Havana, Granma, the official remained out in much of Ha-
ans, and in his last hours in outlet, reported. Two victims vana and the outlying prov-
Colombia the pontiff centered were hit by falling debris after inces. Vedado, the once upper-
his message on them. a balcony collapsed onto the class neighborhood where the
“Here in Colombia and in bus they were riding, the U.S. Embassy is located, was
the world, millions of people Pope Francis greeted children during a visit to San Pedro Claver Church in Cartagena, Colombia. newspaper reported. Another among the hardest hit in Ha-
are still being sold as slaves,” victim was killed by a downed vana. Its northern edge includes
Pope Francis declared. “They cut sustained when he bumped urged Colombians to fully em- nerstones of two charitable electricity post. the Malecon, the city’s iconic
either beg for some expres- into the window of his “Pope- brace peace now that their foundations that work with “This storm caused severe seafront promenade, which was
sions of humanity, moments mobile” when it braked sharply government and Marxist guer- the homeless and child prosti- damage to the country, under waist-deep water.
of tenderness, or they flee by as he was waving to well-wish- rillas are implementing the tutes. which…we still haven’t been Many streets were flooded
sea or land because they have ers during a procession complex points of a peace ac- “That’s why we like this able to quantify,” President Raúl and heavy winds had uprooted
lost everything, primarily through Cartagena. cord that was signed last pope. He doesn’t go to the Castro said on Monday in a large trees, inflicting signifi-
their dignity and their rights.” “I got bashed,” he later year. But on every stop, he rich parts of town. He comes statement published in Granma. cant damage to houses and
The pontiff delivered his joked to reporters. The Vati- also insisted that a peaceful here,” said Emilsa Pajaro, 47, “A preliminary look shows im- buildings, said Rene Arencibia,
message before thousands can said ice was applied, and society requires social justice who grew up in the neighbor- pacts in housing, the electricity a 58-year-old film director
standing in the midday sun the pontiff was fine. and invited the faithful to hood. An Afro-Colombian who system and agriculture.” who lives in Havana.
outside San Pedro Claver Another surprise was a reach out to the less fortu- teaches elementary school, Irma was a Category 5 hurri- “Most residents have little
Church, named for a Spanish brief message for Venezuela. nate. Ms. Pajaro said Cartagena has cane when it punched into the or no information about casu-
Jesuit priest who in the 1600s The pope bowed his head and “a cruel history” but that island on Saturday. It had al- alties or relief efforts because
defied church superiors by prayed for a peaceful solution most residents and city offi- ready wreaked havoc across the most of Havana still has no
ministering to victims of the to what he called a “grave cri- cials ignore it. northern Caribbean, killing at electricity,” Mr. Arencibia said.
trans-Atlantic slave trade and sis” in that oil-rich country,
Pontiff delivers his While waiting for a glimpse least 22 people and leaving “But people are used to these
insisting that they, like Euro- where more than 120 people message to thousands of the pope, university stu- parts of St. Martin and nearby natural disasters, and there’s
peans, were also children of were killed in antigovernment dent Julio César Dávila stood islands in the U.S. and British no chaos. Everyone’s cleaning
God. The descendants of many protests that ended last
on visit to Colombia next to a bronze statue de- Virgin Islands unrecognizable. up and fixing what they can.”
of those slaves founded com- month. city of Cartagena. picting Claver consoling an
munities that today are con- “I appeal for the rejection African slave in leg chains.
sidered rich in culture but vul- of all violence in political life “Francis is here to remind us
nerable to political violence. and for a solution to the cur- that we still have a lot of
“Due to the language dif- rent grave crisis, which af- “If Colombia wants a stable problems to address,” Mr. Da-
ference, (Claver) often minis- fects everyone, particularly and lasting peace,” the pope vila said, “like sex slavery, hu-
tered to these slaves simply the poorest and most disad- said, “it must urgently take a man rights violations and cor-
through evangelizing ges- vantaged of society,” Pope step in this direction, which is ruption.”
BERND-MICHAEL KUBISCH/DPA/ZUMA PRESS
tures,” Pope Francis said. “He Francis said. The Vatican tried that of the common good, of Whether the pope’s vision
knew that the language of to jump-start negotiations equity, of justice, of respect will convince Colombians is
charity and mercy was under- last year between Venezuela’s for human nature and its de- unclear.
stood by all. Indeed, charity socialist government and op- mands.” Juan Camilo Díaz, a
helps us to know the truth position leaders, who accuse On Sunday, Pope Francis spokesman for the Colombian
and truth calls for acts of President Nicolás Maduro of skipped Cartagena’s former Catholic Bishops Conference
kindness. Whenever he felt re- stifling democracy. monasteries, converted into who helped organize the pa-
vulsion towards the slaves, he Throughout his trip, which five-star hotels, to visit San pal trip, said Pope Francis’
kissed their wounds.” took him to the metropolis of Francisco, a rough, working- goal was “to plant a seed.”
Pope Francis, 80, spoke with Bogotá, as well as prosperous class barrio plagued by street Now, he says, “it’s up to us
a noticeably bruised cheek and Medellín and the cattle city of gangs. Colombians to go forward and
eyebrow, the result of a small Villavicencio, Pope Francis There, he blessed the cor- make it bear fruit.” Hurricane Irma flooded the streets of the Cuban capital, Havana.
A4 | Tuesday, September 12, 2017 HK JP KO ML SI IN UK FR MN PR THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
WORLD NEWS
ISTANBUL—Witnesses took
view after his release from de-
tention. Mr. Gunay, 72 years
old, was one of seven defen-
Clerics
the stand in the reopening of a
trial of journalists and execu-
tives from one of the last re-
dants released in an interim
ruling in July, when the trial
first opened.
Over Qatar
maining opposition papers in Four of the newspaper’s BY MARGHERITA STANCATI
Turkey, a high-profile case most prominent faces remain
that has become a barometer in jail, including its editor in Saudi authorities have de-
of the government’s resolve to chief, Murat Sabuncu, and in- tained two prominent clerics
prosecute its critics despite in- vestigative reporter Ahmet who came under fire for fail-
ternational condemnation. Sik, who delivered a speech ing to publicly declare their
The 17 journalists and exec- critical of the government at support for the monarchy’s
utives from Cumhuriyet, Tur- his opening testimony in July. hard-line stance toward Qatar
key’s oldest running newspa- The paper’s chief executive, in the Gulf crisis.
per and a consistent critic of Akin Atalay, and columnist Security officers took one
Turkish governments over the Kadri Gursel are also still im- of the clerics, Salman al-Odah,
decades, went on trial in July prisoned, along with Emre into custody over the weekend
BY DAHLIA KHOLAIF day’s assault through its offi- the former army chief who
cial Amaq news agency, saying swept to power in a 2013 coup
Salman al-Odah and
CAIRO—Islamic State mili- its fighters had ambushed the promising to serve as a re- Awad al-Qarni are
tants armed with guns and a outskirts of Al Arish, a hotbed gional bulwark against terror.
vehicle bomb attacked Egyp- of activity for Egypt’s growing Despite the endorsement of
popular with an older
tian police forces in the Sinai insurgency. new U.S. President Donald Saudi generation.
Peninsula, killing at least 18 ci- It marks the bloodiest day Trump, who has lauded Mr.
vilians and policemen, the in- in Sinai—home of a militancy Sisi’s counterterrorism efforts,
terior ministry said, the dead- led by Islamic State’s powerful the failure to eradicate the Si-
liest assault in months in the Egyptian affiliate—since July 7, nai militancy is piling pressure The U.S. facilitated a phone
MOHAMED ABD EL GHANY/REUTERS
restive region. when 23 soldiers were killed on the Egyptian leader ahead conversation Friday between
The roadside bomb blew up and wounded in attacks or- of a presidential race sched- the Saudi Crown Prince Mo-
after intercepting a group of chestrated by the group. uled to be held next year. hammed bin Salman and Qa-
police vehicles west of the city The resurgent violence Islamic State accuses Copts tar’s leader, Sheikh Tamim bin
of Al Arish, an interior minis- came the same day as Egypt’s of supporting the coup led by Hamad Al-Thani. But hopes for
try statement said, and an en- army chief of staff, Lt. Gen. Mr. Sisi against Islamist Presi- a resolution were dashed after
suing gunbattle erupted be- Mahmoud Hegazy, met in the dent Mohammed Morsi, the Saudi Arabia accused Qatar of
tween security forces and the capital, Cairo, with Lt. Gen. Jo- Muslim Brotherhood official distorting the content of the
militants. The hourslong clash seph Votel, commander of the who was Egypt’s first demo- conversation and said it had
left three militants dead, ac- U.S. Central Command. A police officer secured a Coptic church in Tanta in April. cratically elected president. suspended contact with Qatar.
cording to state newspaper Al- It also underscores Islamic Since coming under attack in Unlike other clerics who
Ahram. Ambulances had diffi- State’s fallback on guerilla- Egypt has for several years cent months also begun carry- January, thousands of Chris- have spoken out in support of
culty reaching the injured as style warfare, including suicide battled its increasingly fero- ing out a campaign of violence tians have fled their homes in the Saudi government’s split
the clash wore on, the paper bombings, as it suffers crip- cious Islamic State-led home- against Egypt’s Coptic Chris- Sinai. with Qatar, Mr. Odah had kept
said. pling battlefield losses in its grown insurgency, which regu- tian minority, targeting civil- Since coming to power, Mr. silent on the subject, drawing
Five people were wounded, Syrian and Iraqi strongholds. larly targets military and ians and houses of worship Sisi has staged a sweeping criticism on social media. The
an interior ministry spokes- All but defeated in Iraq, it now government installations in Si- across the country. crackdown on his political op- day after the call between
person said. He didn’t say how faces an assault from U.S.- nai, killing thousands of police The violence has sharpened ponents, including many mem- Prince Mohammed and Sheikh
many of the dead were police. backed Syrian forces on its de and security forces. criticism among Egyptians of bers of the Muslim Brother- Tamim, Mr. Odah expressed
Islamic State claimed Mon- facto capital, Raqqa. The extremists have in re- President Abdel Fattah Al Sisi, hood. hope on Twitter the crisis
would end.
“Oh Lord, draw their hearts
the southern city of Marawi, formerly with a population of “This shows that Mohammed
which hundreds of fighters in- 200,000—has been destroyed, bin Salman is moving in a new
vaded and occupied on May 23 much of it by airstrikes by gov- direction that will rely more
in a dramatic attempt to launch ernment forces. Thousands of on a younger generation of
a caliphate, or Islamic state, in people remain displaced. clerics who are more attuned
a predominantly Muslim part President Rodrigo Duterte’s to the new requirements.”
of the southern Philippines. The fight between government troops and an ISIS-linked group has devastated parts of Marawi. government has sought to ac- The monarchy historically
The ill-equipped military, celerate a long-stalled peace has regarded its alliance with
inexperienced in modern ur- viding access to the area concerned other countries that has provided more than $295 process with larger, older the kingdom’s religious estab-
ban warfare, is fearful of in- where the militants are hold- Islamic State could gain a new million in military assistance to rebel groups in the southern lishment as an important
flaming religious tensions if it ing out. At least 16 soldiers foothold in Southeast Asia af- the Philippines over the past island of Mindanao, parts of source of legitimacy. But as
levels the mosques where the and 59 militants died in the ter losing its Middle East three years, including the re- which have been strongholds Saudi rulers press ahead with
militants have holed up. The past two weeks. strongholds, said Richard Hey- cent donation of two small of Muslim and nationalist re- economic overhauls, their pri-
military also said it is trying For months, military snip- darian, assistant professor of manned surveillance aircraft. sistance in the predominantly orities are changing.
to free an unknown number of ers have been trading fire with political science at De La Salle Australia on Friday said it Roman Catholic country for Under the leadership of
hostages. After vowing to insurgents hiding in high-rise University. If other nations was in discussions with the decades. Crown Prince Mohammed bin
launch a final battle two buildings, in mosques, and in don’t come to Manila’s aid, he Philippines to bolster a troop He has advocated for de- Salman, Riyadh is pushing to
weeks ago, the army was sty- the rubble of houses. The mili- said, “the situation is going to presence it maintains there to centralizing power now con- open up the economy and lib-
mied by improvised explosive tary has been taking back ter- get out of control.” provide training and tactical centrated in Manila. eralize the kingdom’s ultracon-
devices scattered throughout ritory house by house, en- No foreign troops are cur- advice. Australia has already “I will tell you now, straight, servative society. It has also
the crumbling neighborhoods gaged in close-quarter combat rently involved in direct com- deployed two maritime patrol that there will be no peace in embraced a more-aggressive
once occupied by militants. as it pushes the militants into bat operations in the Philip- and surveillance aircraft. Sing- Mindanao for the longest foreign policy, which is re-
A key battle took place late an even smaller area. pines, but several are apore, too, has offered the use time,” Mr. Duterte told a busi- flected in the nation’s break
last month over a bridge pro- The prolonged fighting has increasing support. Washington of a transport aircraft and a ness conference on Saturday. with Qatar.
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Tuesday, September 12, 2017 | A5
WORLD NEWS
KCNA/REUTERS
tile trade and require inspec-
tions and monitoring of North
Korea’s sea vessels by member
states, but it doesn’t provide
for the use of military force to Kim Jong Un attended a celebration for scientists and engineers who had contributed to North Korea’s claimed hydrogen-bomb test this month.
gain access to the ships.
A proposed ban on North economically, are being relaxed the North Korean regime to the think everyone should be able France’s Ambassador François agency on Monday warning
Korean foreign workers, a in the new sanctions measure. brink of collapse, fearing insta- to live with the resolution as it Delattre. that if the “illegal and unlaw-
source of an estimated $1 bil- The resolution would ban all bility at its border, a flow of stands.” North Korea conducted its ful” sanctions resolution
lion in annual revenue to the condensates and natural-gas refugees and a possible Ameri- After a week of intense ne- sixth nuclear-weapons test ear- passed, Pyongyang would in-
regime, also was reworded to liquids, but imposes a cap of 2 can military presence. Russia gotiations, a unanimous Secu- lier this month and asserted flict “the greatest pain and suf-
allow countries to employ million barrels a year on re- and China have both said they rity Council vote against North that it had acquired the capac- fering” on the U.S.
North Korean nationals if fined petroleum products while favor direct talks and not sanc- Korea was viewed as politically ity to mount a hydrogen bomb “In case the U.S. eventually
deemed vital for humanitarian capping allowable oil exports at tions. more important than a strong on an intercontinental ballistic does rig up the illegal and un-
reasons. It also wouldn’t apply current levels. Security Council diplomats U.S. stand that risked division, missile. U.S. Ambassador Nikki lawful ‘resolution’ on harsher
to workers who hold contracts China and Russia, both veto- said they expected the resolu- diplomats said. Haley warned that Pyongyang sanctions, the DPRK [North Ko-
taking effect before the adop- holding powers on the 15-mem- tion to pass unanimously late “Any perception of weakness was “begging for war” and rea] shall make absolutely sure
tion of the resolution. ber Security Council, had Monday and that even the com- on the side of the Security spearheaded a fast-paced diplo- that the U.S. pays due price,”
As well, proposals to com- voiced opposition to harsher promises made on the resolu- Council would only encourage matic response by pushing for the spokesman of the country’s
prehensively target all oil and measures and threatened to tion still imposed tough eco- the regime to continue its U.N. action with a one-week Foreign Ministry said in a
refined petroleum, seen by the block the vote if the ban on oil nomic measures on North provocations and objectively timetable. statement.
U.S. and allies as the final re- remained, diplomats said. Korea. Sweden’s Ambassador create the risk of an increas- North Korea issued a state- —Jonathan Cheng in Seoul
sort for pressuring Pyongyang China is reluctant to pressure Olof Skoog told reporters, “I ingly extreme situation,” said ment on its official KCNA news contributed to this article.
sometimes working with po- nicipal court in the central Messrs. Lee and Peng
lice, nab men they believe Chinese city of Yueyang said couldn’t be reached. A lawyer
are cow smugglers, a job on its official microblog. representing Mr. Lee didn’t
that sometimes involves Subversion of state power is immediately respond to a re-
high-speed car chases and a broadly defined crime that quest for comment, while a
even deadly shootouts. Chinese authorities have used lawyer representing Mr. Peng
“We are a 100% committed to jail critics and quash dissent. declined to comment.
to saving cows from being Taiwanese media reported that Mr. Lee’s wife, Lee Ching-
mutilated and killed,” said Accused of theft and slaughter of cattle, five men, their faces covered, are detained in New Delhi. the case against Mr. Lee, 42 yu, could be seen in the court-
Rinku Arya, a 36-year-old fa- years old, marked the first time room audience in videos and
ther of three who spends Modi say their ire is directed mals and searched for leaks about alleged beef-eating. China brought such charges photos published by the Yuey-
most nights scouring streets. against Muslims who kill of cow urine. Suspicious ve- Seasoned cow smugglers against someone from Taiwan— ang court.
The activities of such cows, either unlawfully or by hicles were encircled and fire pistols and hurl rocks a self-ruled island estranged After the trial, Ms. Lee in a
groups, with thousands of supplying them to the handful pulled over for questioning. when confronted, police and from the mainland since Com- Facebook post denounced the
members, have come under of states where slaughter is They were joined by two vigilantes said. Five men munist forces drove off the Kuo- trial as a “political show,” and
increased scrutiny at a time permitted. They cast cow constables from a recently from the cow-protection mintang government in 1949. reiterated her earlier com-
of heightened sectarianism slaughter as a symbol of Mus- created cow-protection po- group have died in the past Mr. Lee disappeared in ments to reporters, in which
and polarized debate in India lims’ longstanding hostility lice unit who watched as the decade, the first Mr. Arya March after traveling to China, she asked “my fellow country-
over cows. Last week, India’s toward Hindus. Islam, prac- vigilantes sprinted, shouted said. Its members sign re- spurring concern among some men for their understanding”
Supreme Court instructed ticed by 14% of Indians, and interrogated. “We’ll in- leases that the group isn’t re- Taiwanese who fear Beijing if they see her husband plead
state governments to ap- doesn’t prohibit beef-eating. tervene if they find some- sponsible for such outcomes. may be seeking new ways to guilty “against his free will.”
point special police officers Many Muslims say in this thing,” one policeman said. Mr. Arya said he and his punish Taiwan President Tsai Prosecutors say the charges
and step up highway patrols charged environment, even Such “joint operations” are associates use weapons, in- Ing-wen for not endorsing a po- stem from activities dating
to restrain them, in response rumors or suspicions involv- ideal, Mr. Arya said, but the cluding guns, for self-de- litical principle holding that the back to 2012, when Mr. Peng
to a petition seeking stron- ing cows are being used as police aren’t always reliable fense. Other vigilantes said island is part of “one China.” set up online chat rooms where
ger action against vigilantes. pretexts to target their com- partners, leaving the group to they sometimes thrash their Chinese officials publicly members often promoted Tai-
Prime Minister Narendra munity. Mob attacks on Mus- sometimes act alone. foes to send a message. confirmed Mr. Lee’s detention wanese and Western political
Modi’s party, which has lims, including killings, have Their primary targets are The group relies on a vast 10 days after he disappeared, systems while criticizing Com-
roots in Hindu nationalism, made headlines. Mr. Modi criminals involved in the ille- network of informers: watch- saying he had been detained munist Party rule in China.
has made cow-protection a has condemned the violence. gal cow trade, the men said. men, storekeepers, villagers for “endangering national se- In court-published videos,
priority—part of a broader Vigilantes say they help en- “Cows are broken down and and tollbooth operators. curity.” Authorities in Taipei Mr. Lee said he oversaw “edu-
electoral strategy that relies force the law, not break it. each part sold for a hefty When Mr. Arya receives a have repeatedly called on Bei- cation” work on Mr. Peng’s be-
on harnessing religious votes On a poorly lit highway sum—it makes my blood tip—men spotted feeding jing to ensure Mr. Lee’s per- half, writing and distributing
and promising economic de- one recent night, as vehicles boil,” said 21-year-old drug-laced food to stray cows sonal well-being and disclose essays that criticized China’s
velopment. It tightened anti- slowed at toll booths, a Vikram Arya, who isn’t re- or animal horns seen bobbing information about his case. Communist Party, government
slaughter laws in numerous dozen members of the Gau lated to Rinku Arya and who atop vehicles—he mobilizes Beijing’s Taiwan Affairs Of- and political system, as well as
states and stirred the issue Raksha Dal, or Cow Protec- uses the reverential term his men using phone calls and fice has said Mr. Lee’s legal making similar comments on
during election campaigns. tion Group, leapt onto “cow mother” when refer- WhatsApp. “We have boys rights are protected, and de- social media.
Hindu groups that form the trucks, peered in, banged the ring to the animal. Other who are available 24 hours a nounced efforts to characterize Mainland officials cut off
backbone of support for Mr. sides to unearth hidden ani- groups act on information day,” he said. his detention as a human-rights official communications with
case as attempts to interfere in Taipei shortly after Ms. Tsai
WORLD WATCH
China’s judicial system. took office in May 2016.
CANADA market expectations for housing MEXICO fall 0.2% from a year before, ac-
starts to hit 215,000 in August, cording to the median estimate
Housing Starts Rise according to economists at Industrial Output of economists polled by The
Beyond Expectations Royal Bank of Canada. Tumbled in July Wall Street Journal.
August marked the eighth Manufacturing activity, led by
Housing starts rose in Au- straight month Canadian hous- Industrial production fell more production of cars, auto parts
gust, hitting the second-highest ing starts exceeded 200,000. than expected in July as declines and electronic equipment, re-
one-month level this year, with The housing agency said de- in oil, electricity generation and mained the bright spot, rising
no signs of an immediate slow- mand for new homes remained construction were greater than 0.3% from June. In annual terms,
down as population growth and strong, consistent with con- anticipated, outweighing gains in it expanded a healthy 2.7%.
robust economic activity fuel sumer confidence that reached manufacturing. The oil industry continued to
EPA/SHUTTERSTOCK
demand. its highest level in 10 years. Industrial output fell 1% on a lag. Oil and gas production de-
Starts rose 0.6% to a season- CMHC’s August report said seasonally adjusted basis from clined 0.6% from June, and was
ally adjusted annual rate of urban housing starts rose 0.8% June, and was 1.5% below July 8.9% lower than the previous
223,232 units in August, Canada to 207,524 units. Multiunit urban 2016 levels, the national statis- year. Electricity generation unex-
Mortgage and Housing Corp. starts rose 2.7% to 145,618. tics agency said Monday. pectedly fell 0.5% in July.
said Monday. The result beat —Paul Vieira Output had been expected to —Juan Montes Lee Ming-che in February, before Chinese authorities arrested him.
A6 | Tuesday, September 12, 2017 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
U.S. NEWS
Irma Cuts
Power to
Millions
In Florida
BY ERIN AILWORTH
Detail
To Contain Chaos
Hurricane Irma’s turn up areas that are vulnerable to storms.
the west coast of Florida im- BY MATTHEW DALTON French authorities on Sun-
periled a region that has un- Population: Each dot ( ) = 500 people day said they were moving
dergone major development in 1970 1990 2015 ST. MARTIN—Two days af- swiftly to restore order and
recent decades, from wealthy ter Hurricane Irma knocked services on this storm-bat-
enclaves such as Naples to out communications across tered island, facing rising pub-
middle-class subdivisions in Orlando this sun-soaked island, rumors lic discontent over the govern-
Tampa Bay and nearby Pinel- spread that inmates at a ment’s response to the
las County. prison had escaped with fire- hurricane’s devastation.
Like many cities in Florida, Tampa arms and were roaming the Residents here awoke to
parts of Tampa are built on countryside. their fourth day without elec-
filled-in marshland. Many St. Petersburg Unsure if the reports were tricity, running water or phone
homes, apartment buildings true, authorities rushed to set service—but spared additional
and even a major trauma cen- Sarasota up checkpoints and then es- damage after Hurricane Jose
ter are close to sea level. tablished contact with the veered north of St. Martin on
A 2015 report by catastro- prison. Saturday night. Now they are
Lake
phe-modeling firm Karen Clark Okeechobee The reports were alarming, pondering whether to stay,
& Co. found that Tampa is the said Annick Girardin, the given that much of the island’s
most vulnerable city in the Fort Myers French minister for the coun- basic infrastructure has been
U.S. to storm-surge flooding. try’s overseas territories. “We damaged.
The ranking was based on were able to verify that it Garbage and debris re-
losses to residential, commer- wasn’t true.” mained piled up on the street.
cial and industrial property by Sources: Brown University Longitudinal Tract Database (1970, 1990); U.S. Census Bureau (2015) THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. The hurricane has left resi- Long lines formed at gas sta-
a once-in-100-years hurricane. dents of this island in the tions. People piled into the
It estimated such a storm main 13% below the peak ties of Palm Beach, Broward Irma’s westward shift dark, cut off from almost all few undamaged houses, seek-
would cause $175 billion of touched during the housing and Miami-Dade have prop- means that most of the dam- communication and gripped ing to get inside before near
damage to Tampa. boom a decade ago, better erty worth about $1.5 trillion, age from the hurricane could with fear over the disintegra- complete darkness descended
The hurricanes that hit New than Miami’s 17% deficit. according to AIR. come from a storm surge tion of law and order. Looting on the island.
Orleans and Houston showed Tampa’s population has in- Last week, catastrophe rather than high winds. That has been widespread, resi- Irma cut across St. Martin
the enormous risk of building creased 12% since 2010, ac- modelers said a major hurri- means less of the economic dents say, while French police starting Wednesday night,
homes in low-lying areas. cording to U.S. Census data. cane directly hitting Miami damage will be covered by in- and soldiers have had little damaging 95% of the island’s
Florida real-estate develop- Roughly 50% of the population could cause more than $100 surance. Storm surges cause presence on the ground. structures, according to some
ers ramped up construction lives on ground less than 10 billion in insured losses. While flooding, which isn’t covered Armed neighborhood groups estimates. Residents said they
over the past five years as the feet above sea level, according the insured losses could still under standard homeowners have stepped in. saw little presence of French
state rebounded from the to the Karen Clark report. reach the tens of billions, the insurance policies. “The state has been very, police or soldiers on the
housing crash, propelled in “You have this gigantic ex- worst-case scenarios likely Maria Ilcheva, a senior re- very weak,” said Tristan Ke- streets to maintain order or
part by an aging U.S. popula- posed area that is very low-ly- have been avoided, said Karen searcher at the Metropolitan laidites, an 18-year-old baker. provide essential supplies.
tion seeking warmer climes. ing and pretty crowded, pretty Clark, chief executive of the Center at Florida International
Tampa posted a 25% in- dense,” said Mark Hafen, as- modeling company bearing University, said her surveys
crease in new building permits sistant director of the School her name. revealed that a declining num-
for single-family homes during of Public Affairs at the Uni- The total value of residen- ber of homeowners in Tampa
MARTIN BUREAU/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES
the first seven months of this versity of South Florida, who tial property in Hillsborough have been purchasing flood in-
year, compared with the same lives in Tampa. County, which includes Tampa, surance over the past five
period a year earlier, accord- The westerly shift of Irma, is some $111 billion, according years largely because the area
ing to U.S. Census data com- which weakened to a Cate- to Zillow, much less than Mi- hasn’t been hit by a major
piled by the National Associa- gory 2 hurricane on Sunday ami-Dade county’s roughly hurricane in most people’s
tion of Home Builders. That and a tropical storm on Mon- $382 billion. lifetimes.
was one of the largest in- day, might have spared Flor- Building codes across the Within flood zones, most
creases in construction activ- ida bigger property losses. state were strengthened in the homeowners are required to
ity in the U.S. Florida’s west coast up to wake of Hurricane Andrew, buy flood insurance, which is
Home prices have shot up Tampa has property valued at which battered south Florida usually provided by the fed-
10% in Tampa over the past about $1 trillion, as deter- in 1992. Resiliency experts eral government’s National
year, according to real-estate mined by replacement cost predicted this storm will offer Flood Insurance Program.
data firm Zillow, faster than in rather than market value, ac- a test of whether they have Those who purchase a home
pricier locales such as Naples cording to catastrophe model- been made strong enough— with cash or have paid off
and Miami, and in the rest of ing firm AIR Worldwide. In and, they hope, confirm that their mortgage aren’t always
the nation overall. They re- comparison, the eastern coun- they are needed. required to have insurance. Two men viewed the rubble of their restaurant on St. Martin.
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Tuesday, September 12, 2017 | A7
A New York police officer reflected during ceremonies on the 16th anniversary of the 9/11 attacks.
IN DEPTH
LIFE&ARTS
YOUR HEALTH | By Sumathi Reddy
ISTOCK
starting the series. But now we vey was that teens living in rural
need to work on getting them back areas were much less likely to re-
in so they’re getting all the doses ceive the vaccine than those in ur-
to complete the series.” Wide Range of Vaccines for Teens ban and large metropolitan areas.
She says researchers are unsure Dr. Stokley says researchers
Percentage of adolescent boys and girls who have received one or more doses of HPV vaccine
how much protection getting just were pleased to see that the per-
the first dose of the vaccine pro- 49% or less 50-59% 60-69% 70% and over centage of teenagers receiving the
vides. Maine first dose of the HPV vaccine went
HPV vaccine usage has likely up 4 percentage points last year,
been hurt by antivaccine senti- Wash. N.H. to 60%.
ments that have spread in recent Vt. Additionally, the gap between
Mont. N.D.
years. It also carries a stigma from Minn. boys and girls getting the vaccine
being associated with a sexually Ore. has narrowed to 9 percentage
transmitted infection, causing Mass. points. Fewer boys receive the vac-
some critics to say it might en- Idaho S.D. Wis. N.Y. cine because the recommendation
courage sexual behavior in teens Wyo. Mich. for them to get it was made in
or isn’t a worry for children who 2011, five years after the recom-
Iowa Pa.
aren’t yet sexually active. Neb. mendation for girls.
But major medical associations Nev. Ohio Jennifer Young Pierce, an asso-
Ill. Ind.
support the vaccine, which they Utah ciate professor of gynecology-on-
Colo. W.Va. R.I.
say helps prevent cancer. H. Cody Kan. Va. cology at the Medical University of
Meissner, chief of the division of Calif. Mo. Ky. Conn. South Carolina, says she was dis-
pediatric infectious disease at N.C. N.J. appointed to see that her state
Floating Hospital for Children at Tenn. ranked last in the country for the
Tufts Medical Center in Boston, Ariz. Okla. Del. percentage of teenage girls who
N.M. Ark. S.C.
says studies have demonstrated Md. completed the HPV vaccination se-
that children who are vaccinated Miss. Ala. Ga. ries, with only 30.8% completing
at younger ages produce more an- D.C. it.
tibodies to the virus. Texas Dr. Pierce is co-founder and co-
The HPV vaccine can be admin- La. chair of the group Cervical Cancer-
Alaska
istered to children as young as age Free South Carolina, which is host-
9. Some health-care providers ad- Fla. ing a statewide conference in
vocate beginning the vaccine se- January to bring awareness to the
ries at 9 rather than 11 or 12, says issue and develop ways to improve
Dr. Meissner, who is also a mem- Hawaii HPV vaccination rates. She has
ber of the American Academy of also been involved in regional
Pediatrics’ committee on infec- Source: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. town halls and training sessions
tious diseases. for doctors to preach the impor-
HPV causes more than 30,000 tance of HPV vaccination.
cases of cancer every year. The infection at some point. “For a by the Centers for Disease Control of 20,000 teens across the country. “There’s still this perception
HPV vaccine protects against parent to decide not to vaccinate and Prevention, was published in They were interviewed and their that cervical cancer is not that bad
about 90% of those cancers. More his or her child is very, very dis- August in its Morbidity and Mor- children’s vaccination data was and HPV-related disease is easily
than 70% of the U.S. population turbing,” Dr. Meissner says. tality Weekly report. The tele- confirmed with health-care provid- treatable, which is frankly not
will experience at least one HPV The annual survey, administered phone survey included the parents ers. true,” she says.
OPINION
REVIEW & OUTLOOK
The Election Putin
Trump’s Hurricane Rebuilding Job Doesn’t Need to Hack
P
resident Trump knows the construction But small firms then get out-competed for
industry and can talk in great detail workers. Berlin Donald Trump is surely a factor. But
Even as Germany’s De- the Britons, Dutch, French, Italians and
about laying concrete. So the urgent Housing remodels are now taking longer be-
fense Minister Ursula Swedes, digesting the same rhetoric, re-
need for more construction cause contractors and con- von der Leyen deplores plied that Russia was the big problem.
workers following Hurricanes A construction labor struction workers are busy on the mighty contingent Going back to 2015, German and
Harvey and Irma ought to get shortage will add costs public works, which are costing of Russian forces American polling consistently shows
his attention. taxpayers more. The hurricanes amassing at the edges Germans offering no majority support
Even before the hurricanes, and time to the recovery. have exacerbated the shortage. EYE ON
of Eastern Europe’s de- for sanctions against Russia and oppos-
EUROPE
construction firms around the Harvey destroyed about 30,000 By John
mocracies, Chancellor ing German soldiers fighting to defend
U.S. reported trouble finding homes in the Houston area. The Angela Merkel says Poland and the Baltic states “if they are
Vinocur
enough workers. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Sta- National Association of Home Builders estimates she’s ready in principle attacked by Russia.”
tistics reported 225,000 construction job open- that up to 20,000 workers will be needed to re- to lift the European All this German disengagement with-
ings in June, up 30% in the past year and 125% build homes after Harvey—and many more to re- Union’s sanctions against Russia for its out so much as a peep from or proposal
seizure of Crimea and clandestine troop by the chancellor for a Bundestag debate
since 2012. According to a survey this month pair businesses, schools and infrastructure. Some
presence in Ukraine. on the Russian threat—one the West
by the Associated General Contractors of Amer- rebuilding jobs simply won’t get done if labor Ms. von der Leyen asserted last week could lose if German legislators followed
ica, 86% of firms nationwide anticipate hiring costs rise to make them unprofitable. that there will be “more than 100,000” the appeasing trend-line of German poll
workers in the next year. After Hurricane Katrina in 2005, much of the Russian troops engaging in war games responses.
The worker shortage is especially acute in clean-up and rebuilding was done by immi- on the EU’s doorstep beginning Thurs-
fast-growing metro areas in the South such as grants, many illegal. That saved money and day. A more recent estimate is 140,000
Atlanta, Houston and Miami. In Texas, 69% of sped up the recovery. Undocumented workers troops, in contrast to the 12,700 that Germans will go to the polls
contractors said they struggled to fill positions. make up 29% of construction workers in Louisi- Moscow acknowledges. This is essen-
About 60% of contractors in the South are having ana, 23% Texas and 15% in Florida, according tially, Ms. von der Leyen says, “a demon- without a serious debate on
trouble finding carpenters and concrete workers to the Pew Research Center. stration of capabilities and power.” Russia policy, and voters
Yet a day later, according to Reuters,
while half need more day laborers. All employers must complete an employment seem to like it that way.
in an apparent response to Vladimir Pu-
Older construction workers have left the eligibility verification form, and those who hire tin’s heavily conditioned call for a
workforce since the last housing boom. About undocumented workers risk losing workers in United Nations peace-keeping unit to
a third moved to higher-paying industries such immigration raids. But the U.S. Department of enter Ukraine, Mrs. Merkel said that For the Russians, it’s an immense
as energy and manufacturing. Fewer young men Homeland Security is now demanding that fed- the sanctions could disappear once windfall, a perceived German crack in the
are pursuing the trades or a vocational educa- eral contractors use E-Verify to check whether there were “peaceful relationships” in West. This feeds the Moscow line that
tion, and some can’t pass a drug test. workers are legal, and this deters some workers eastern Ukraine. Western dominance, as Russia’s Foreign
Big Labor and the restrictionist right say em- who could help. The contrast is unique. A German de- Minister Sergei Lavrov says, is coming to
ployers simply need to increase wages. But in The Bush Administration temporarily waived fense minister, out of loyalty to her an end. Accelerating that end is now the
Texas 57% of contractors reported increasing worker-ID requirements after Katrina, and Mr. troops and partners in NATO, insists on basis of Moscow’s strategy.
base pay while a quarter offered bonuses—and Trump should do the same. Congress also ought the maneuvers’ magnitude, both politi- So, do the Russians win the German
cal and military. Her chancellor, mean- election?
they’re still struggling to recruit workers. to authorize more guest-worker visas for con-
while, plays No Drama Merkel and sings No, Mrs. Merkel does, but the cam-
Between 2013 and 2016, the base pay for a struction as part of the Irma relief bill, and any the same why-can’t-we-all-just-get-along paign is taking place without a single
day laborer increased 30% in Houston. Carpen- undocumented worker who assists with re- number she always uses to swivel away prominent pro-Western voice to be
ters there earn about $25 an hour, 55% more building should receive one. Consider this a from any discussion of an eventual Ger- heard.
than three years ago. Large contractors with down payment on solving the economy’s larger man obligation to the use of force. The makeup of the new parliament is
government contracts can perhaps pay more. labor shortage. Here is a chancellor who has never ad- expected to contain four parties show-
dressed these Russian war games, which, ing obvious complaisance for Russia—
not accidentally, will run until Sept. 20, the center-left Social Democrats, the
‘It Is Chilling to Hear . . . ’ well into the final campaign week of the
German national election on Sept. 24.
free-market Free Democrats and the
two parties of the hard/extremist right
O
ur editorial Monday on the spectacle of Your concern, as you expressed it, is that Mrs. Merkel talks about abandoning and left.
sanctions even though the Russian ma- The Greens aren’t in favor of reward-
U.S. Senate Democrats questioning the “dogma lives loudly in [Professor Barrett], and
neuvers will likely bring nuclear-capa- ing Russian bullying and aggression. As
Catholic faith of Notre Dame law profes- that is a concern when you come to big issues ble Iskander-M missiles to Kaliningrad, for the chancellor’s center-right Chris-
sor and judicial nominee Amy that large numbers of people the westernmost Russian exclave be- tian Democrats, their election manifesto
Barrett struck a nerve. Many Notre Dame’s president have fought for years in this tween Lithuania and Poland, putting no longer uses the word “friend” to de-
readers are stunned that poli- has some pointed words country.” I am one in whose Mrs. Merkel’s home election district of scribe America.
ticians would suggest that hav- heart “dogma lives loudly”, as Stralsund well within the Iskanders’ The most likely government to emerge
ing “orthodox” religious views for Senate Democrats. it has for centuries in the target range. is the worst possible option: a renewed
could disqualify someone from lives of many Americans, For election-campaign interference grand coalition with the Social Demo-
the American judiciary. some of whom have given and general intimidation, 140,000 men crats. Last month, Sigmar Gabriel—the
Also concerned is John Jenkins, President of their lives in service to this nation. Indeed, it in battle dress will make hacking and cy- vice chancellor, private St. Petersburg
the University of Notre Dame. Fr. Jenkins is no lived loudly in the hearts of those who berspace fiddling look almost gentle- dinner companion of Mr. Putin and Ger-
manly. John Kornblum, a former U.S am- hard Schröder, and lift-the-sanctions-
conservative but he can spot an attack on reli- founded our nation as one where citizens bassador to Germany, put it bluntly in a now, pro-Russian foreign minister—vili-
gious belief, and on Saturday he wrote to Sen. could practice their faith freely and without conversation last week: “The Russians fied Mrs. Merkel with the ridiculous
Dianne Feinstein, the ranking Democrat on the apology. know they can push the Germans any- accusation that she is “subjugated to the
Senate Judiciary Committee who led the assault Professor Barrett has made it clear that she time they want.” American president.” Mr. Gabriel has now
on Ms. Barrett. Here is the letter in full: would “follow unflinchingly” all legal precedent So how does Mrs. Merkel, who is so become, according to last week’s polls,
Dear Senator Feinstein: and, in rare cases in which her conscience often depicted as Mr. Putin’s opponent, Germany’s most-liked politician.
Considering your questioning of my colleague would not allow her to do so, she would recuse wind up looking pushed? And, so far at In the outside world, notions of the
Amy Coney Barrett during the judicial confirma- herself. I can assure you that she is a person of least, like someone for whom getting re- chancellor’s wisdom, reliability and
tion hearing of September 6, I write to express my integrity who acts in accord with the principles elected appears to be worth a compro- goodness still abound. Toomas Hendrik
confidence in her competence and character, and she articulates. mise with reality? Ilves, a former president of Estonia,
The chancellor reads the polls, which wrote last week, “It is now up to Ger-
deep concern at your line of questioning. It is chilling to hear from a United States Sen-
since the Obama years have tracked Ger- many and Angela Merkel to decide if
Professor Barrett has been a member of our ator that this might now disqualify someone mans’ refusal to recognize Russia as a Vladimir Putin is to be challenged in a
faculty since 2002, and is a graduate of our law from service as a federal judge. I ask you and menace. Pew Research last month asked serious enough way for him to stop dis-
school. Her experience as a clerk for Judge Lau- your colleagues to respect those in whom respondents in and outside Europe rupting Western democracy.”
rence Silberman of the U.S. Court of Appeals and “dogma lives loudly”—which is a condition we which nation’s “power and influence” That’s a fair admonition. On current
Supreme Court Justice Antonin Scalia is of the call faith. For the attempt to live such faith while posed the greatest threat to them. The evidence, the likelihood of its realization
highest order. So, too, is her scholarship in the one upholds the law should command respect, Germans answered the U.S. is zero to nil.
areas of federal courts, constitutional law and not evoke concern.
statutory interpretation. I am not a legal scholar, Respectfully,
but I have heard no one seriously challenge her
impeccable legal credentials.
Rev. John I. Jenkins, C.S.C.
President I Guess We’re All
The Difference China Makes McCarthyites Now
C
By Philip Terzian Patiently and, presumably, very care-
hina’s rise at the expense of U.S. influ- One change is Hun Sen’s growing friend-
I
fully, Brig. Gen. Ralph Zwicker explained
ence is having political consequences ship with China. Since 2002, China has ’m indebted to Luis Gutiérrez, the that he had followed the recommenda-
throughout Asia. Witness the crackdown granted Cambodia roughly $3 billion in low- bumptious congressman from Illi- tions of subordinates and Army protocol.
in Cambodia on opposition interest loans, and it has be- nois’s Fourth District, for confirming McCarthy raged: “Any man who has been
leader Kem Sokha, who was As U.S. influence ebbs, come the country’s largest what I long resisted acknowledging: given the honor of being promoted to
arrested by more than 100 po- source of investment. Devel- America’s political discourse has been general and who says ‘I will protect an-
lice officers on Sept. 2. Now
Cambodia cracks opment aid increased in re- painfully coarsened. other general who protects Communists’
down on opponents. My epiphany came last week, when is not fit to wear that uniform.”
charged with treason, he is cent years as Cambodia Mr. Gutiérrez reacted angrily after Don- The Peress case led directly to the
being held in a remote prison backed Beijing’s territorial ald Trump put on notice the Deferred Army-McCarthy hearings and the sena-
on the Vietnamese border. On claims in the South China Action for Childhood Arrivals program. tor’s descent into oblivion.
Monday Prime Minister Hun Sen threatened to Sea. Beijing last week declared support for Mr. Gutiérrez had met in July with John
ban Mr. Sokha’s Cambodian National Rescue Hun Sen’s “effort to uphold national security Kelly, the retired Marine general who
Party if it doesn’t renounce him. and stability.” was then secretary of homeland security, A congressman insults
Mr. Sokha is accused of conspiring with the Another shift is under way domestically. and who seems to have offered soothing John Kelly’s service—
U.S. to create a “color revolution” in Cambodia. Cambodians are increasingly angry about gov- words on the subject. But then Mr. Kelly
The charge against him is based on a four-year- ernment land grabs, illegal logging and other became President Trump’s chief of and nobody notices.
old video, available on YouTube, in which he forms of corruption. In the 2013 general elec- staff—and, presumably, signed off on
ending DACA.
discusses advice from U.S.-government spon- tion, the opposition won nearly 45% of the
“General Kelly is a hypocrite who is a But the point today is that McCar-
sored academics on democratic campaigning. popular vote. In June’s local elections, it won disgrace to the uniform he used to thy’s assertion that Zwicker—who had
He could face 30 years in prison. control over 30% of the townships. Violence wear,” Mr. Gutiérrez declared last week. gone ashore before the first wave at
The arrest is part of a wider crackdown. In and harassment against government critics “He has no honor and should be Omaha Beach to do reconnaissance for
recent weeks, the government expelled the seem to deepen the backlash against the rul- drummed out of the White House, along D-Day—was “not fit to wear that uni-
Washington-funded National Democratic Insti- ing Cambodian People’s Party. with the other white supremacists and form” struck Americans of the day as
tute, withdrew the licenses of radio stations The two trends may cause Hun Sen to those enabling the president’s actions by deeply shocking.
rebroadcasting Voice of America and Radio change his playbook ahead of the next elec- ‘just following orders.’ ” But that was then. Reasonable people
Free Asia content, and closed down an Ameri- tion. In the past he halted his attacks on the Mr. Gutiérrez is no stranger to bom- will differ about the merits of DACA, as
can-owned newspaper, the Cambodia Daily, for opposition before the campaign, which is bast, but what surprised me here was well as Mr. Kelly’s choice to join the
alleged tax violations. when the world pays attention to Cambodia. that his words passed largely unnoticed. Trump administration. Mr. Gutiérrez is
A general in government service who is entitled to his opinion, including the Nazi
The timing of the crackdown is no sur- Poll observers would endorse the election
“a disgrace to the uniform.” Where have allusion to “just following orders.”
prise. Cambodians will choose a National As- as tolerably fair, and Western aid would we heard that before? Yet reaction to the insult proved
sembly next July, and Hun Sen typically be- continue. In the early 1950s, an Army dentist mildly predictable: Some retorted that
gins a legal assault on the opposition a year This time Hun Sen has another option. With named Irving Peress refused to com- Mr. Gutiérrez never served in the armed
before an election. Beijing’s backing, he can throw his rivals in plete forms asking about his political forces—a criticism leveled, with equal
What’s new is the severity of the charges prison, rig the polls and ride out losses of background. When Sen. Joseph McCar- validity, at Abraham Lincoln and Frank-
against Mr. Sokha and the anti-American em- Western aid. Casting the U.S. as the opposi- thy learned in 1954 that Peress had lin D. Roosevelt—while others pointed
phasis. The Cambodian government depends tion’s puppet-master would distract public an- been recommended for honorable dis- out that Mr. Kelly’s elder son had been
on aid from the U.S. and other Western na- ger and intimidate critics. charge, he subpoenaed the dentist to killed in action in Afghanistan.
tions for more than 30% of its budget. The U.S. Such a strategy may not be Hun Sen’s first appear before his investigatory com- Civic life has lost something when an
mittee, where the dentist was alter- angry congressman is emboldened to
and European Union also grant Cambodian choice, but he is testing the waters. A strong
nately defiant and evasive. declare an honorable officer a “disgrace
products preferential tariff treatment, and the and united response from Western donors McCarthy then summoned the com- to the uniform.” In 1954 such aspersions
U.S. is the largest buyer of Cambodian exports. may deter him from convicting Mr. Sokha manding officer at the base where Per- were regarded as abhorrent. Now
While Hun Sen has fulminated against foreign- and banning the opposition. But China’s ess worked to explain why the dentist— they’re just noise in a busy news cycle.
ers in the past, he would try to maintain dem- growing support for the region’s authoritari- who McCarthy believed was a
ocratic appearances to preserve good rela- ans will continue to undermine progress to- communist—had been promoted and Mr. Terzian is a senior editor of the
tions with Western donors. ward democracy. discharged. Weekly Standard.
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Tuesday, September 12, 2017 | A11
OPINION
G
Great Depression and at least 32 re- 62. Life expectancy is now projected
rowth deniers are declar- cessions and financial panics. If 3% to be 79 years. People are healthier,
ing that America’s econ- growth has now slipped from our morbidity rates have fallen dramati-
omy has lost its ability to grasp, we certainly had it for a long cally and the retirement age can and
grow at 3% above infla- time before we lost it. should be raised.
tion. If that’s the case, So poor was our economic perfor- Bad policies—not bad luck or a
maybe we should go back to where mance during the Obama presidency, loss of God’s favor—have driven down
we lost 3% growth and retrace our with its 1.47% economic growth, that labor productivity and the labor sup-
steps until we find it. For only with now many Americans believe 3% ply. We can change those policies.
3% or higher growth does America growth is gone forever. The CBO has If reversing Mr. Obama’s policies
experience measurable progress in slashed its 10-year growth forecast simply eliminated half the gap be-
poverty reduction, strong job cre- to a measly 1.8% a year. If we never tween the projected 1.8% growth
ation and income growth. If 3% see 3% growth again, our grandchil- rate and the average growth rates
growth is irretrievably lost, so is the dren may point to 2009 and say, during the Reagan and Clinton re-
American Dream. “That was when the American econ- coveries, it would deliver 3% real
omy ran out of gas.” growth generating nearly $3.5 tril-
While Obama apologists like to lion in new federal revenues over the
If the country can’t grow claim that labor-productivity and la- next 10 years.
bor-supply factors preclude 3% That’s not as much as the $4.3
like it once did, then the growth, most of the growth con- trillion in revenues lost by Mr.
American Dream really straints we face today are directly at- Obama’s slow growth, but it’s more
tributable to Mr. Obama’s policies. than Mr. Trump promises to bring
is irretrievably lost. The Bureau of Labor Statistics reports back by reversing his predecessor’s
DAVID KLEIN
that labor-productivity growth since policies.
2010 has plummeted to less than one- America without 3% growth isn’t
Did America actually experience quarter of the average for the previ- America. Since 1960, the American
3% real growth to start with? Yes. In ous 20, 30 or 40 years. economy has experienced 30 years
the postwar era, the U.S. averaged Productivity fell during the current rocketed but with no additional By waiving work requirements for with growth of 3% or more. Seventy-
3.4% annual growth from 1948 recovery, not during the recession. benefit to the vast majority of cov- welfare, lowering food-stamp eligi- nine percent of all jobs created since
through 2008. We averaged 3% With high marginal tax rates, espe- ered workers. bility requirements and easing stan- 1960 were created during those
growth for half of the George W. cially on investment income, new in- In a world of higher costs, pro- dards for disability payments, Mr. years. The poverty rate fell by 72%
Bush presidency (2003-06). From vestment during the Obama era man- ductivity plummeted. Productivity Obama’s policies disincentivized and real median household income
2009-12, the Obama administration, aged only to offset depreciation, so measures the production of things work. Disability rolls have expanded rose by $20,519.
the Congressional Budget Office and the value of the capital stock per the market values that flow from the 18.6% during the current recovery, In the 26 years when the economy
the Federal Reserve all thought they worker, the engine of the American employment of labor and capital. Try compared with a 16% decline during had less than 3% growth, just 21% of
saw 3% growth just around the cor- colossus, stopped expanding and con- listing the Obama-era regulatory re- the Reagan recovery. all post-1960 jobs were created, the
ner. If the possibility of 3% growth is tributed nothing to growth. quirements that generated the em- The CBO estimates ObamaCare poverty rate rose by 37% and house-
gone forever, it hasn’t been gone A tidal wave of new rules and ployment of labor and capital in alone will reduce work hours by 2% hold income fell by $12,004.
very long. regulations across health care, fi- ways that actually produced some- and eliminate 2.5 million jobs by With 3% growth, the American
America enjoyed 3% growth for so nancial services, energy and manu- thing you buy. 2024. At the current 1% growth in dream is achievable and virtually
long it’s practically become our na- facturing forced companies to True, America is aging. In 2006, the civilian population above the age anybody willing to work hard can
tional birthright. Census data show spend billions on new capital and when the labor force participation of 16, a mere reversion to the pre- live it. Let 3% growth die and a lot of
that real economic growth averaged labor that served government and rate was 66.2%, the BLS predicted Obama labor-force participation what we love most about our coun-
3.7% from 1890-1948. British econo- not consumers. Banks hired compli- that demographic changes would rates would supply more than try will die with it.
mist Angus Maddison estimates that ance officers rather than loan offi- push it down to 65.5% by 2016. Un- enough workers to generate a 3%
the U.S. averaged 4.2% real growth cers. Energy companies spent bil- der Mr. Obama’s policies, it actu- growth rate. Mr. Gramm, a former chairman of
from 1820-89. lions on environmental compliance ally fell further, to 62.8%, and the Even baby-boomer retirement is the Senate Banking Committee, is a
Based on all available data, Amer- costs, and none of it produced en- number of working-age Americans driven in part by public policy. When visiting scholar at the American En-
ica has enjoyed an average real ergy more cheaply or abundantly. not in the labor market spiked to Social Security paid its first check in terprise Institute. Mr. Solon is a
growth rate of more than 3% since Health-insurance premiums sky- 55 million. 1940, average life expectancy was 64 partner of US Policy Metrics.
T
limits. Despite what Stalin, Mao, the able people, including centrist con- and Richard Spencer. treme hard left is more about the
he extreme right—neo-Nazis, Castros, Pol Pot, Hugo Chávez and servatives, the hard-right utopia Former White House aide Steve future. Leaders of tomorrow are
the Ku Klux Klan and other as- North Korea’s Kims have done in would be a dystopia to be avoided at Bannon recently told “60 Minutes” being educated today on campus.
sorted racists and anti- the name of communism, there are all costs. The hard-left utopia would that “the neo-Nazis and neo-Confed- The tolerance for censorship and
Semites—and the extreme left—anti- still those on the left—including be somewhat more acceptable to erates and the Klan, who by the way even violence to suppress dissent-
American and anti-Israel zealots, some university professors and stu- many on the center left, so long as it are absolutely awful—there’s no ing voices may be a foretaste of
intolerant censors, violent anarchists dents—who don’t shrink from de- was achieved nonviolently. room in American politics for that.” things to come.
such as Antifa, and other assorted claring themselves communists, or In contrast, prominent American The growing influence of “inter-
radicals—both pose a danger in the even Stalinists or Maoists. Their leftists, such as Noam Chomsky and sectionality”—which creates alli-
U.S. and abroad. numbers aren’t high, but the mere By affirming benign goals, even Bernie Sanders, supported the ances among “oppressed” groups—
Which group poses a greater fact that it is acceptable on cam- candidacy of British hard-left ex- has led to a strange acceptance by
threat? The question resists a quan- puses, even if not praiseworthy, to Antifa and its comrades tremist Jeremy Corbyn, despite his much of the extreme left of the far-
titative answer, because much may be identified with hard-left mass make intolerance and flirtation with anti-Semitism. from-progressive goals and violent
depend on time and place. It may murderers, but not hard-right mass The hard right is dangerous means of radical Islamic terrorist
also be in the eye of the beholder: murderers, is telling. even violence seductive. largely for what it has done in the groups that are sexist, homophobic,
For many on the center left, the The ultimate goals of the hard past. For those who believe that anti-Semitic and anti-Western. This
greater danger is posed by the hard right are different, and far less com- past is prologue, the danger per- combination of hard-left secular
right, and vice versa. Yet the most mendable, than those of the hard The danger posed by the extreme sists. It also persists for those who views and extreme Islamic theologi-
important reason for this lack of a left. The hard-right utopia might be left is directly related to its more look to Europe for hints of what cal views is toxic.
definitive quantitative answer is a fascist society modeled on the It- benign goals, which seduce some may be in store for America: Neo- We must recognize the different
that they pose qualitatively differ- aly or Germany of the 1930s, or the people, including university students fascism is on the rise in Austria, dangers posed by different extremist
ent dangers. segregationist post-Reconstruction and faculty. Believing that noble Hungary, Greece, Lithuania, Slova- groups that preach and practice vio-
History has set limits on how far American South. ends justify ignoble means, they are kia and even France. lence, if we are to combat them ef-
to the extremes of the hard right rea- The hard-left utopia would be a willing to accept the antidemocratic, Some of this rise may be attribut- fectively in the marketplace of ideas,
sonable right-wingers are prepared to socialist or communist state- intolerant and sometimes violent able to regional issues, such as the and perhaps more importantly, on
go. Following the horrors of the Ho- regulated economy aiming for eco- censorship policies and actions of mass migration of Muslims from the campuses and streets.
locaust and Southern lynchings, no nomic and racial equality. The means Antifa and its radical cohorts. Syria and other parts of the Middle
one claiming the mantle of conserva- for achieving these important goals For that reason, the most ex- East. But some may also be a func- Mr. Dershowitz is a professor
tive is willing to be associated with might be similar to those of the hard treme leftist zealots are welcomed tion of growing nationalism and nos- emeritus at Harvard Law School and
Nazi anti-Semitism or the KKK. Neo- right. Hitler, Stalin and Mao all today on many campuses to express talgia for the “glory” days of Eu- author of “Trumped up! How Crimi-
Nazi and Klan speakers are not in- killed millions of innocent people in their radical views. That isn’t true rope—or, as evidenced in our last nalizing Politics is Dangerous to De-
vited to university campuses. an effort to achieve their goals. of the most extreme neo-Nazi or election, of America. mocracy” (CreateSpace, 2017).
viewer in the genre’s traditions (most of the show’s paintings are a time when Chinese gentry-intel- 1986 by renowned collector C.C.
and experiments, its evolution on scrolls). One, by an unknown lectuals alienated from Mongol Wang, the last of the old literati.
over the centuries, its symbols 15th-century painter, depicts the rule sought refuge in the literati He salvaged so many ancient mas-
and inside jokes—in short, to four seasons horizontally from life far from court, consoled in ex- terpieces under the Communist
teach us how to understand more right to left on silk, and immedi- ile by their predecessors and the Revolution’s shadow, ultimately
deeply what we are viewing. He ately we are immersed in the ex- melancholy mood-echoes in na- settling in New York and bringing
divided the whole into nine sec- quisite visual language of mists ture. The predicament recurred them to the Met.
tions, with rooms dedicated to and mountains and bodies of wa- down the centuries through the
“Streams and Mountains,” “Magi- ter with all the ethereal sensitiv- Ming and Manchu dynasties and Streams and Mountains Without
cal Landscapes,” “Landscape of ity of a refined eye divining na- sustained the tradition even into End: Landscape Traditions of
Reclusion,” “Riverscape” and the ture’s forces. The other, a vertical Maoist-era exile abroad. China
like. The objects in the show will scroll by the renowned 16th-cen- ternal states, an early kind of ex- Chief among the show’s de- The Met Fifth Avenue, through Jan.
change and rotate periodically, tury landscapist Wen Boren, illus- pressionism. Here the brush- lights are horizontal scrolls so 6, 2019
but at the outset it features 40 trates a contrasting principle, that strokes—the ink’s texture even— long that a room-length display
paintings and numerous objects, of the scholar-artist-poet using become the painter’s object of case doesn’t quite suffice. One Mr. Kaylan writes about culture
such as sculptures, textiles, ce- nature as a vehicle to reflect in- focus, with close reference to art- such is from 1770, a Tintin-like vi- and the arts for the Journal.
© 2017 Dow Jones & Co. Inc. All rights reserved. 6DJ5768
TECHNOLOGY: NEW ANDROID MODELS RAISE BAR FOR NEXT IPHONE B4
Yen vs. Dollar 109.1440 À 1.21% Hang Seng 27955.13 À 1.04% Gold 1348.70 À 0.20% WTI crude 48.19 À 1.50% 10-Year JGB yield -0.002% 10-Year Treasury yield 2.119%
data breach could force some firms such as LendingClub affected by the Equifax breach exposing names, dates of $10 per application, lenders Tumbling damage estimates
lenders to hit the brakes. Corp. and Kabbage Inc. often birth, addresses and Social Se- say. Firms also have added for Hurricane Irma mean in-
Lenders and data providers promise near-instant approval curity numbers. In some cases, steps such as making small vestors in catastrophe bonds
said that in the wake of the for online personal or small- drivers’ license data may have deposits in a borrower’s bank will likely avoid the significant
breach announced by Equifax business loans, and make it TransUnion and Experian also been exposed. account, and verifying them, losses they might have ab-
last week, they are evaluating easy to submit applications PLC. If the data match up, the “Most banks and many fi- before making a loan. sorbed had earlier, more ag-
procedures for confirming a online or even through a mo- person is likely who they say nancial technology companies LendingClub and Kabbage gressive estimates borne out.
potential borrower’s identity. bile app. Some firms, like they are. rely on drivers’ license valida- said they have previously in- “Cat bonds” are essentially
Equifax, like other credit-re- Quicken Loans Inc.’s Rocket Such a check is relatively tion or Social Security valida- corporated tools beyond credit a vehicle for insurance compa-
porting companies, played a Mortgage, even offer the same inexpensive, roughly 5 cents to tion,” said Zach Perret, chief bureaus into their verification nies to transfer some of their
big role in helping these for home loans. 50 cents per application, ac- executive of Plaid Technolo- methods. Quicken Loans de- financial risk to the global
firms verify borrowers’ iden- To offer such speedy access, cording to lenders. The price gies Inc., which connects com- clined to comment. capital markets. Wall Street
and other middlemen help in-
surers sell these bonds to so-
STREETWISE
Solving Nigeria’s Telecom Maze
phisticated investors with the
understanding that they could
By James Macintosh
lose some or all of their prin-
cipal to help pay claims.
Amazon’s Mobile operators face rich opportunities but must navigate shifting rules, network issues These high-yielding bonds
have surged in popularity in
recent years among investors
the list for many is the con- any, of the outstanding $26
struction of a new headquar- billion in cat bonds.
ters. Hubris, meet Ama- The spate of catastrophes
zon.com. “may cause some investors to
Amazon has achieved ex- rethink their positions in the
traordinary feats, most nota- market” and expect a higher
bly in speed of expansion. It rate of return, said Gary Mar-
hired more than 30,000 peo- tucci, a director at Standard &
ple in the latest quarter Only 45% of people in Nigeria have an active cellphone, making the country one of the biggest potential growth markets in the world. Poor’s Global Ratings. But
alone, and in the past three “these bonds are generally two
years has tripled its head BY ALEXANDRA WEXLER tional deals. to three times oversubscribed,
count to 382,400. It appears Getting Connected “I switch my SIMs a dozen so even if a few investors walk,
to have managed this with- LAGOS, Nigeria—The pros- Nigeria offers telecom firms the potential for massive growth. times a day at least,” said Des- there’s still sufficient capital
out a hitch, even as it spent pects for mobile-phone growth tiny Tolu, a driver in Nigeria’s available to buy the risk that is
Number of subscribers in 2016, by country
billions of dollars on Holly- in Nigeria are among the most capital, Abuja, as he flipped his being offered in the market.”
wood productions, launched promising for telecom opera- Subscribers, in millions Samsung handset in his palm. Hurricane Irma made land-
0 20 40 60 80 Penetration
a hit gadget and ramped up tors globally, but also the most “We all get frustrated with the fall in the Florida Keys early
its spending on research and challenging. Nigeria 45% network, but everyone knows Sunday, then moved up the
development. Some 45% of the 192 million South Africa 68% how to sidestep it.” state’s west coast. Even at the
Investors are betting that people in Africa’s most popu- This allows mobile opera- upper end of Monday’s projec-
CEO Jeff Bezos will keep his lous nation have an active cell- Ethiopia 34% tors to nab the same custom- tions of roughly $40 billion of
magic touch and that money phone, according to Groupe Kenya 59% ers on multiple networks, po- damage, the storm is well below
plowed into expansion to- Speciale Mobile Association, tentially doubling or tripling the $130 billion mark that put
day represents big profits to making the country one of the Tanzania 42% Nigeria’s market size. The cat-bond investors on edge last
be made some time in the biggest potential growth mar- Dem. Rep. of Congo 26% GSMA says there are 152 mil- week as Irma barreled across
future. kets in the world for mobile lion active SIM cards in Nige- the Caribbean and seemed des-
Ghana 67%
History and human nature operators. In Europe, 84% of ria, nearly double the number tined to strike Miami.
are against Mr. Bezos—and people have an active cell- Uganda 41% of individual subscribers. Mr. Martucci said he
may eventually prove a phone, while in Japan, sub- Mozambique 47%
But companies seeking to doesn’t expect any of the cat
headwind for much of the scriber penetration is 95%. profit from the rough-and- bonds rated by S&P, represent-
rest of the market, too. By 2020, Nigeria is expected Ivory Coast 53% tumble Nigerian telecom sector ing a slice of those outstand-
The lesson from the long to add some 27 million mobile- have to navigate shifting regu- ing, to be drawn down based
term is that companies with phone users—the fourth-big- Source: Groupe Speciale Mobile Association THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. lations, billion-dollar fines on the current $40 billion up-
high capital spending tend to gest increase of any country in from a cash-strapped govern- per-end damage estimate.
underperform. Kenneth the world and more than any product. poor, those who do own a ment, wild swings in the local Many insurance executives
French, a professor at the other African nation. Smartphones, which drive phone often carry two or more currency and foreign-exchange and cat-bond promoters are
Tuck School of Business at Last year, Nigeria’s telecom revenue through data con- SIM cards to better utilize the shortages, as well as the ab- gathered in Monte Carlo for
Dartmouth College, calcu- sector contributed 6.05 trillion sumption, are still too expen- pockets of coverage in their sence of a reliable national one of the biggest annual in-
lates that shares in the 30% naira ($16.84 billion), or 8.9% sive for many Nigerians. And cities and take advantage of power grid. The challenges dustry confabs. As the confer-
of U.S. companies with the of the country’s gross domestic because network coverage is so different networks’ promo- Please see TELECOM page B2 Please see BONDS page B2
lowest investment returned
six times as much as those
with the highest investment
since 1963.
Human nature provides a
story to back up the find-
Teva Finally Finds a New CEO
ings. CEOs like to expand BY RORY JONES recently shuffled its board, as and implement changes amid
(not coincidentally, CEOs of it sheds assets and tries to scrutiny over operations by Is-
bigger companies earn The world’s biggest seller of cope with new competitors. Its raeli lawmakers and other lo-
more), like to chase new generic drugs sought out for shares have been under pres- cal stakeholders. Boardroom
ideas (putting them on the months an experienced chief sure for months as concerns squabbles over whether the
front of popular magazines) to help the company navigate a mounted about its future. chief should be Israeli also
and like to do what share- series of daunting challenges, “This is a critical time in hampered the company’s per-
holders want (boosting the from falling medicine prices to Teva’s history, Chairman Sol formance in the eyes of many
value of their stock options, heavy debt. Barer said in an interview. “We investors.
at least in the short run.) Teva Pharmaceutical In- had to make sure we got the Like Teva, Novo Nordisk be-
The three come together dustries Ltd. ended that right person.” came a global leader working
when a company or sector is search on Monday by appoint- Teva had searched since out of a small country with a
in vogue, as shareholders ing Kare Schultz, a nearly 30- February for a new chief exec- similar-sized population to Is-
give it cheap capital and year pharmaceutical industry utive to fill the shoes left by rael and with a reputation for
cheer on plans for growth. veteran, as its new chief execu- Eli Hurvitz, who is credited innovation. Mr. Schultz, 56
Often it turns out that the tive, a position without a per- with turning the firm from a years old, joined Novo Nordisk
LUNDBECK
premise for the expansion is manent holder since February. small-time pharmaceutical in 1989 before becoming chief
mistaken, and much capital Mr. Schultz honed his skills firm into a global generics- operating officer in 2002 and
spending is wasted. Remem- at Novo Nordisk A/S, one of drugs seller and a household serving as president as well Kare Schultz, Teva’s newly appointed leader, has been credited
ber peak oil, the race to dig Denmark’s biggest firms, be- Israeli name. Mr. Hurvitz was from 2014 to 2015. with returning Denmark’s H. Lundbeck to profitability.
new mines to satisfy fore- fore taking the helm in early chief executive for more than Novo Nordisk pioneered the
casts of endless emerging- 2015 at H. Lundbeck A/S. 25 years and involved in Teva development of insulin for dia- similarly facing competition whether the firm should focus
market growth, or the vast There a successful restructur- until his death in 2011. betes but recently has strug- for its groundbreaking multi- on generics drugs or take ad-
overinvestment in shipping ing put the Danish company on Since then, the firm has gled to encourage doctors, ple sclerosis drug Copaxone. vantage of Israel’s focus on re-
to prepare for global trade’s track to post record earnings. churned through a series of health-plan managers and in- Mr. Schultz joins an execu- search and development and
inevitable expansion? Those That know-how will be key chief executives who struggled surers to pay for its newest tive board at Teva that in re- invest in specialty medicines,
Please see STREET page B2 in turning around Teva, which to manage global expansion version of the drug. Teva is cent years has fought over Please see TEVA page B2
B2 | Tuesday, September 12, 2017 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
A
Allianz ......................... B8
Alphabet......................B3
Amazon.com..........A8,B1
Ferrari..........................B3
Florida Power & LightA6
G
General Electric .......... B8
Network Capital Funding
.....................................A1
NextEra Energy .......... A6
Novo Nordisk..............B1
From Annie’s to Baby Food
BY ANNIE GASPARRO ing to make Annie’s mac-and-
Apple...........................B4 General Mills...............B2 O
cheese, bunny-shaped graham
Associated British Goldman Sachs Group Opko Health................B2 The former chief executive crackers and other ubiquitous
Foods.........................B7 ............................... B2,B5 Origin Energy..............B3 of organic food brand Annie’s products. He orchestrated a
AvePoint ..................... A1 Google ......................... B3 Homegrown is heading into sale of the company to Gen-
P
B H the crowded baby-food busi- eral Mills for $820 million in
Plum Organics.............B2 ness. 2014.
Baker Hughes ............. B8 Halliburton..................B8 Prada ........................... B8 John Foraker is taking on Ms. Garner, who has
Barclays.......................B8 Heritage Insurance
S the top role at a two-year-old starred in movies such as
Betterment ................. B5 Holdings....................B8
startup Once Upon a Farm, “Pearl Harbor” and “13 Going
Bharti Airtel................B2 H. Lundbeck ................ B1 Samsung Electronics..B4
which is partnering with ac- on 30”, has three children.
Blackstone Group.......A1 I Schulte Building tress Jennifer Garner to help She follows other celebrities
Systems....................A8
BNP Paribas................B8 Illovo Sugar.................B7 market the brand. to lead consumer brands, like
INDEX TO PEOPLE
$1.75 billion in sales of baby steal shoppers from main- cases, which don’t exist in versation that I never thought
food in the U.S., according to stays. most stores. I’d be a part of,” she said.
Nielsen data. More parents The company, founded in Mr. Foraker was the chief “Watch for pictures of me on
also are making baby food at 2015 by Cassandra Curtis and of Annie’s for 18 years, help- a tractor.”
B Frost, Phillip................B2 M
Barer, Sol .................... B1 H Magwenzi, Oswald.....B7
TEVA
Bezos, Jeff..................B1 Mnisi, Phil...................B7 company. Erez Vigodman, left the com-
Harvey, Paula..............A8
Bouvet, Antoine..........B5
Hurvitz, Eli..................B1
N Teva’s share price rallied on pany in February for undis- Heavy Burden
Brown, Brian...............A1 Ngcamphalala, Phumzile news of Mr. Schultz’s appoint- closed reasons amid a steep
K Teva's debt has more than tripled
C .....................................B7 ment, rising nearly 17% in Tel fall in the firm’s share price since it acquired Allergan's generic
Cooper, Edith...............B5
Kostin, David .............. B2 Nguyen, Tri.................A1 Continued from the prior page Aviv trading. AstraZeneca PLC and after a buyout binge that drug business for $40.5 billion.
Curtis, Cassandra........B2 L S like Copaxone. shares rose 2.1% in London. was criticized by investors.
The new Teva chief, only There had been plenty of spec- His acquisition last year of Al- Total debt 35.1
F Levin, Jeremy..............B2 Schultz, Kare .............. B1
the second non-Israeli to lead ulation about who might take lergan PLC’s generics unit—
Foraker, John .............. B2 Lohmann, Dirk ............ B2 V the firm, understands the “cul- the reins at Teva, with Astra- Teva’s biggest-ever deal—left
French, Kenneth..........B1 Lynch, Ernie................A8 Vigodman, Erez...........B2 tural framework” of working Zeneca PLC CEO Pascal Soriot the company with debt of
$9.9B
for a pharmaceutical firm that, cited at one stage as a con- roughly $35 billion. It is at-
like Novo Nordisk, is also con- tender by local media. tempting to pay down those
Continued from the prior page it and were rewarded with tions before articulating a new pany after it cut its full-year cerns that its board lacked in- Generic 57%
early in the expansion are ever-higher share prices, un- strategy as soon as possible, outlook and slashed its divi- ternational pharmaceutical ex- Specialty 18
right to invest, but as more til investors discovered just Mr. Barer said. The new CEO dend, blaming the rapid deteri- perience, Teva in June Multiple sclerosis 16
capital is deployed it can how much of the capital had would relocate to Israel and be oration of the U.S. generic- nominated four new directors, Other 9
drive down prices and de- been wasted. The winners based out of Teva’s Petah drug business. Teva took a $6.1 and Mr. Schultz’s appointment
stroy the very opportunity were the broader economy Tikva headquarters in a “sign billion write-down on that unit furthers that effort. …by region, Q4 2016
shareholders hoped to ex- and those who entered early of his commitment” to the and posted a quarterly net loss At H. Lundbeck, Mr. Schultz U.S. 53%
ploit. or sold out in time. But much firm, the chairman said. of $6.04 billion. was credited with launching a Europe 24
Other times CEOs just frit- capital had to be written “It sounds just what the This won’t be the first time turnaround, including job cuts Rest of world 23
ter the money away, as in down as profits were com- doctor ordered,” said Phillip an outsider has accepted the and the restructuring of its
the dot-com bubble. If you peted away or overestimated. Frost, chief executive of Mi- challenge of restructuring business, which last year re- Source: the company (debt and revenue);
exercise little control over Investing in growth is ami-based health-care firm Teva. In 2012, Teva hired Jer- turned the firm to full-year THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
management and actively en- more plausible. Academics Opko Health Inc. and former emy Levin from Bristol-Myers profit. H. Lundbeck shares on
courage them to spend have shown that higher R&D chairman of Teva, of Mr. Squibb Co. to take the helm, Monday fell 14% following around experience represents
money as quickly as possible, spending on average is fol- Shultz’s appointment. “He has but he was forced out the next news of Mr. Schultz’s depar- a clear positive for Teva,” J.P.
you shouldn’t be surprised if lowed by better stock perfor- turnaround experience...He has year during a dispute with the ture. Morgan said in a note to inves-
much of it is wasted. mance than for companies credibility with investors.” board over the company’s di- “Overall, we believe adding tors Monday. “At the same
The rise—and rise—of with lower R&D spending. Teva didn’t give a date for rection. a highly creditable CEO with time, we do not see any quick
Amazon has come as the For this to justify further when Mr. Schultz will join the His Israeli replacement, significant industry and turn- fixes for Teva.”
patterns of the past seem to increases in Amazon’s stock
have been suspended. Since price means assuming inves-
the start of 2009, the run-
away success of big tech
stocks and big dividend pay-
ers has helped companies
tors are once again underes-
timating the future profits
from its R&D spending.
Given how hard it is even to
TELECOM
Continued from page B1
billion at the time, now $917.9
million due to a drastic weak-
ening of the naira), payable
over three years, following
trades as Etisalat, pulled out of
its Nigerian operations in July
after failed talks with local
lenders to renegotiate a $1.2
BONDS
with the most and least in- work out how much the com- have hamstrung the market as lengthy negotiations. billion loan. In 2016, Etisalat’s Continued from the prior page
vestment do well, while mid- pany is spending on R&D—it operators labor under regula- MTN Nigeria declined to Nigerian operations generated ence began over the weekend,
dling companies underper- is lumped in with “technol- tory burdens. comment. MTN Executive earnings of 33 billion naira be- attendees said they were get-
formed. Calculations by ogy and content,” where $5.5 Segun Ogunsanya, chief ex- Chairman Phuthuma Nhleko fore interest, taxes, deprecia- ting frequent updates on the
Goldman Sachs’s chief U.S. billion was spent in total in ecutive of Airtel Nigeria, a sub- said in December 2015 that a tion and amortization. Etisalat storm’s trajectory from various
equity strategist David Kos- the second quarter—it is im- sidiary of Indian telecom giant company restructuring would Nigeria now operates under sources, and using smartphones
tin suggest shareholders possible to come up with a Bharti Airtel Ltd., which has 34 “enable MTN to continue to re- the name 9mobile after a to stay on top of the U.S. Na-
have shifted again in the firm view of how well it is million subscribers in Nigeria, alize its strategy and vision, forced rebranding. tional Hurricane Center’s fore-
past 18 months, rewarding spent, or what profits might says the growth opportunities while also ensuring we achieve The experiences of mobile casts of Irma’s strength.
capital spending with bigger result. The share price might are massive, though sup- high governance standards and operators in Nigeria are symp- Which cat bonds might suf-
share-price gains than for well be underestimating fu- pressed by the country’s robust risk mitigation.” tomatic—though extreme—of fer, and how much will have to
dividends and share buy- ture products, but might heavy-handed regulation and Nigeria is MTN’s largest encounters with regulators be paid out, will become clearer
backs. If it continues, CEOs equally be extrapolating the fines. market, and its operations across the continent. in coming days as the industry
will get the message and past successes of the web- “It’s killing the industry,” there accounted for 28% of the South African operators tallies up actual losses.
corporate investment will hosting division or the voice- Mr. Ogunsanya said. “If you ex- company’s revenue, which was MTN and Vodacom Ltd., which “There is a mountain of al-
pick up. controlled Echo device to un- tract so much money from this 64.39 billion South African are active throughout the con- ternative capital on the side-
Amazon shareholders known future products. sector you make it impossible rand ($4.99 billion) in the six tinent, say their respective lines that will be available to
might argue that the com- Amazon expects to hire for [additional] investment.” months ended June 30. MTN earnings were hit after other be deployed if the insured loss
pany won’t fall victim to another 50,000 staff earning Airtel’s Africa unit turned a plans to list its local unit on governments, including from Irma results in signifi-
misplaced capital spending on average more than pretax profit for the first time the Nigerian Stock Exchange in Uganda, Cameroon, Democratic cantly higher expected returns
because it is exploiting dis- $100,000 a year at its second during the year ended March 2018. Republic of Congo and Mozam- for cat bonds,” Tony Ursano,
ruptive technology, investing HQ over a decade and a half, 31. Nigeria is one of 15 markets bique, ordered the disconnec- president of TigerRisk Part-
in growth and spending adding $5 billion a year of where Airtel operates on the tion of unregistered SIM cards ners LLC, a risk and capital ad-
heavily on R&D. pay to the more than $5 bil- continent. The company said a from their networks, following viser to insurers and reinsur-
If the past is any indica- lion capital cost of “HQ2.” 54% depreciation in Nigeria’s
Many Nigerian the earlier move by Nigeria’s ers, said from the conference.
tion, these offer up only a Amazon shareholders bet- naira currency against the U.S. consumers can’t regulator. In simplest terms, a catas-
glimmer of a hope. History ting on it bucking history dollar hit its overall earnings Affordability remains an im- trophe bond works like this:
offers plenty of examples of have to hope that by the last year.
afford to buy pediment to telecom growth in An investor buys the bond,
disruptive technologies lead- time HQ2 is completed, the Last month, the Nigerian a smartphone. Nigeria: Many consumers can’t taking into account a calcula-
ing to investment booms, but company has both grown Communications Commission, afford to buy a smartphone. tion by an independent risk-
those caught up in the enough to justify its vast the country’s telecom regula- “Handsets, it’s 50% of the modeling firm of the odds of a
spending spree usually lose scale and found a way to tor, blocked one of the sector’s problem,” said Ibrahim Dikko, specified disaster occurring.
out horribly. The British profit from all of its capital biggest players, Nigeria’s pri- Tony Ojobo, the director of vice president of regulatory The principal and interest are
“railway mania” of the 1840s and R&D spending. vately owned Globacom Ltd., public affairs at the NCC, de- and corporate affairs at held in escrow and typically
from proceeding with a nied that the telecom regulator 9mobile. He said the company invested in Treasurys.
planned free-data-day promo- was overzealous. “We are only was working with smartphone These bonds are typically
Investment Trumps Hunt for Yield tion. Glo Nigeria, which has 37 ensuring that everyone that makers to offer sub-$100 sold in tranches, each with a
Shares in companies spending a lot on capital projects and R&D have been million subscribers and a part- operates in this market plays smartphones to customers. Mr. different trigger. Triggers vary
rising faster recently than those with fat dividends and share buybacks. nership with British telecom according to the rules,” he Dikko added that the other across the bonds. Some spec-
giant Vodafone Group PLC, had said. “We have to make sure 50% is improving broadband ify a deductible amount that
Total return since 2014* planned to offer subscribers that service providers have re- coverage, particularly in rural an insurer must pay before
30% 200 megabytes of free data on turn on their investment and areas. tapping into the principal,
Aug. 11 to encourage data us- also make sure that consum- Despite the challenges, the while others are based on
20 High capital spending and R&D age. However, the NCC said the ers … have value for money, so opportunity is rich: The tele- metrics tied to a weather
High return of cash to shareholders promotion went beyond what in trying to maintain that deli- com industry has been a rare event. Some are tied to a sin-
10 was allowed under its regula- cate balance, there are times bright spot for the country’s gle event, while others refer-
tions. where the regulator and the oil-dependent economy, which ence damage accumulated
0 The most-concerning move operators are in not in agree- fell into recession last year as over designated periods.
for investors was the $5.2 bil- ment.” prices wallowed below $50 a Florida hurricane risk is so
–10
lion fine the NCC slapped on It’s not only regulations that barrel. With the economy fore- large that around half of the
South African operator MTN confront companies. Limited cast to return to positive $26 billion in outstanding cat
Group Ltd. after it missed a foreign-currency availability growth this year, mobile oper- bonds include that as a risk
–20
deadline to deactivate more and access to capital are also ators are chipping away at the exposure.
than 5 million unregistered challenges. One of Nigeria’s market’s structural flaws. Total In return for their invest-
–30 SIM cards under regulations largest players with 18 million capital expenditure in Nigeria’s ment, owners of the bonds are
2015 ’16 ’17 intended to combat terrorism. subscribers, United Arab Emir- telecom sector is estimated to paid interest rates higher than
*Sector-neutral equal-weight basket of 50 S&P 500 stocks In June 2016, the fine was re- ates-owned Emirates Tele- rise 14% to $1.6 billion, accord- conventional bonds for taking
Source: Goldman Sachs THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. duced by 330 billion naira ($1.7 communications Corp., which ing to the GSMA. on the risk.
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Tuesday, September 12, 2017 | B3
BUSINESS NEWS
BP Files
For IPO of
Pipeline
Network
BY SARAH KENT
BUSINESS WATCH
ORIGIN ENERGY gin Energy prepares for the sale stockholders,” said Gian Fulgoni, would likely fall short of the 5%
of Lattice. comScore’s co-founder and chief growth forecast for 2017 that
Accord to Increase —Robb M. Stewart executive, in prepared remarks. the group made in January, say-
Stake in Gas Project —Ezequiel Minaya ing the increasing maturity of
the Chinese market all but rules
Origin Energy Ltd. is bolster- COMSCORE CHINA AUTO SALES out anything beyond single-digit
ing the portfolio of conventional growth. “The 5% target set at
oil-and-gas operations it plans to Board Resignations Rally Is Extended the start of the year now looks
spin off this year with a 190 Prompt a Review With August Gains like being a very idealistic goal,”
DON MCCURREN/ASSOCIATED PRESS
ADVERTISEMENT
TECHNOLOGY WSJ.com/Tech
mate investment management, value of a clients’ Social Secu- to prevent or stop the alleged
be popular with investors such BY LIZ HOFFMAN Ms. Cooper once planned a about her experiences as a
as local pension funds and in- career in fashion, imagining a black woman in finance, not
surance companies, which buy Edith Cooper, Goldman boutique on Madison Ave., but all of them positive. “I’ve been
them to match their liabilities. Sachs Group Inc.’s head of instead joined Bankers Trust questioned about whether
Because bonds which have human resources and one of in 1986 out of business I really went to Harvard (I did)
longer maturities carry more the highest-ranking black school. Ten years and three or how I got in (I applied),”
risk, they typically pay inves- women on Wall Street, is leav- children later, she came to she wrote last year in an essay
tors a higher return, which ing the firm at the end of the Goldman in securities sales for LinkedIn. “I’ve been asked
has made these securities year, according to an internal and rose quickly, becoming a to serve the coffee at a client
more popular when yields are memo. managing director in 1998 and meeting (despite being there
low across fixed-income mar- In her nine years oversee- partner two years after that. to “run” the meeting).” Edith Cooper oversaw huge changes in recruiting and pay.
kets. ing Goldman’s workforce, Ms. Like many of Goldman’s cur- She will remain through the
While 20-year to 50-year Cooper managed huge changes rent top executives, she comes end of the year, long enough Ms. Cooper will be suc- velopment academy, known as
government bonds have mush- in recruiting and compensa- from its J. Aron commodities- to oversee the promotion of a ceeded by Dane Holmes, Gold- Pine Street.
roomed in the eurozone in re- tion as Goldman sought to re- trading arm. new class of managing direc- man’s head of investor rela- His role will be filled by
cent years, centurylong bonds fine its sharper edges and In her current role, which tors, a biannual Goldman tra- tions since 2007 and head of Heather Miner, a longtime in-
remain very rare. grappled with the fallout of she has held since 2008, Ms. dition. Goldman’s internal talent-de- vestor-relations executive.
Ireland and Belgium each the financial crisis. Cooper has overseen a revamp
sold €100 million in 100-year Her next step isn’t clear, in how Goldman recruits and
bonds in 2016 in private place-
ments. Outside the eurozone,
though many associates expect
it to be in academia—she has
manages its 34,000 employees.
The firm recently began ac-
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might be the pricing reference, She will remain a senior di- also done away with end-of- CAM-GTF Limited OT OT MUS 08/31 USD 310796.35 2.9 -3.7 7.1
Mr. Bouvet said. The 2086- rector at Goldman after Jan. 1, year numerical scorings in fa-
dated bond is trading at a according to the memo, which vor of more constant, qualita- Data as shown is for information purposes only. No offer is being made by
Morningstar, Ltd. or this publication. Funds shown aren’t registered with the
For information about listing your funds,
yield of 1.82%, according to signals she isn’t heading to a tive feedback. U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and aren’t available for sale to United
States citizens and/or residents except as noted. Prices are in local currencies.
please contact: Freda Fung tel: +852 2831
Tradeweb. competitor. Ms. Cooper has spoken All performance figures are calculated using the most recent prices available. 2504; email: freda.fung@wsj.com
B6 | Tuesday, September 12, 2017 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
MARKETS DIGEST
Nikkei 225 Index STOXX 600 Index S&P 500 Index Data as of 4 p.m. New York time
Last Year ago
19545.77 s 270.95, or 1.41% Year-to-date s 2.26% 379.43 s 3.92, or 1.04% Year-to-date s 4.98% 2488.11 s 26.68, or 1.08% Trailing P/E ratio 23.82 24.86
High, low, open and close for each 52-wk high/low 20230.41 16251.54 High, low, open and close for each 52-wk high/low 396.45 328.80 High, low, open and close for each P/E estimate * 18.83 18.52
trading day of the past three months. All-time high 38915.87 12/29/89 trading day of the past three months. All-time high 414.06 4/15/15 trading day of the past three months. Dividend yield 2.00 2.12
All-time high: 2480.91, 08/07/17
Weekly P/E data based on as-reported earnings from Birinyi Associates Inc.
International Stock Indexes Data as of 4 p.m. New York time Global government bonds
Latest 52-Week Range YTD Latest, month-ago and year-ago yields and spreads over or under U.S. Treasurys on benchmark two-year
Region/Country Index Close NetChg % chg Low Close High % chg and 10-year government bonds around the world. Data as of 3 p.m. ET
World The Global Dow 2877.26 25.46 0.89 2386.93 • 2881.15 13.8 Country/ Spread Over Treasurys, in basis points Yield
MSCI EAFE 1959.65 6.09 0.31 1614.17 • 1955.39 14.2 Coupon Maturity, in years Yield Latest Previous Month Ago Year ago Previous Month ago Year ago
MSCI EM USD 1098.04 6.87 0.63 838.96 • 1098.69 38.3 2.750 Australia 2 1.870 55.5 59.7 47.4 77.4 1.863 1.772 1.560
2.750 10 2.613 49.0 53.4 40.5 29.9 2.587 2.598 1.973
Americas DJ Americas 600.38 6.29 1.06 503.44 • 600.72 11.1
3.000 Belgium 2 -189.6 -186.3 -134.8 -0.583 -0.565 -0.562
-0.582 -184.9
Brazil Sao Paulo Bovespa 74403.05 1324.20 1.81 56459.11 • 74635.56 23.5
0.800 10 0.648 -147.5 -142.2 -150.1 -142.9 0.631 0.691 0.245
Canada S&P/TSX Comp 15043.51 58.19 0.39 14319.11 • 15943.09 –1.6
0.000 France 2 -0.541 -185.5 -182.6 -179.5 -136.3 -0.560 -0.497 -0.577
Mexico IPC All-Share 50350.65 266.85 0.53 43998.98 • 51772.37 10.3
1.000 10 0.632 -149.1 -143.1 -151.3 -143.1 0.622 0.679 0.243
Chile Santiago IPSA 3912.23 44.28 1.14 3120.87 • 3945.90 21.4
0.000 Germany 2 -0.746 -206.1 -202.1 -201.6 -141.5 -0.755 -0.718 -0.629
U.S. DJIA 22057.37 259.58 1.19 17883.56 • 22179.11 11.6
0.500 10 0.338 -178.5 -174.1 -180.8 -166.1 0.312 0.384 0.013
Nasdaq Composite 6432.26 72.07 1.13 5034.41 • 6460.84 19.5
0.050 Italy 2 -0.109 -142.3 -137.2 -132.9 -85.6 -0.106 -0.031 -0.070
S&P 500 2488.11 26.68 1.08 2083.79 • 2490.87 11.1
2.200 10 1.967 -15.6 -9.0 -15.8 -42.4 1.963 2.035 1.251
CBOE Volatility 10.81 –1.31 –10.81 8.84 • 23.01 –23.0
0.100 Japan 2 -0.154 -146.9 -142.7 -141.0 -99.7 -0.161 -0.112 -0.211
EMEA Stoxx Europe 600 379.43 3.92 1.04 328.80 • 396.45 5.0 0.100 10 -0.002 -212.4 -205.8 -213.3 -169.8 -0.005 0.059 -0.024
Stoxx Europe 50 3089.67 31.22 1.02 2720.66 • 3279.71 2.6 4.000 Netherlands 2 -0.729 -204.4 -198.1 -195.7 -138.0 -0.715 -0.659 -0.593
Austria ATX 3260.54 30.21 0.94 2311.88 • 3285.00 24.5 0.750 10 0.459 -166.4 -160.1 -168.8 -155.3 0.452 0.505 0.121
Belgium Bel-20 3977.54 39.30 1.00 3384.68 • 4055.96 10.3 4.750 Portugal 2 -0.072 -138.6 -132.1 -130.8 -29.9 -0.055 -0.010 0.488
France CAC 40 5176.71 63.22 1.24 4310.88 • 5442.10 6.5 4.125 10 2.791 66.9 72.7 63.1 147.8 2.780 2.823 3.152
Germany DAX 12475.24 171.26 1.39 10174.92 • 12951.54 8.7 2.750 Spain 2 -0.330 -164.4 -160.9 -165.1 -91.5 -0.343 -0.353 -0.129
Greece ATG 806.06 3.34 0.42 548.72 • 859.78 25.2 1.450 10 1.568 -55.5 -51.6 -75.7 -59.0 1.537 1.436 1.084
Hungary BUX 37895.85 299.10 0.80 27466.59 • 38147.22 18.4 4.250 Sweden 2 -0.718 -203.2 -197.6 -199.4 -138.2 -0.710 -0.696 -0.596
Israel Tel Aviv 1404.03 19.16 1.38 1346.71 • 1490.23 –4.5 1.000 10 0.521 -160.2 -153.4 -161.0 -139.4 0.519 0.583 0.281
Italy FTSE MIB 22134.11 357.45 1.64 15923.11 • 22134.11 15.1 1.750 U.K. 2 0.214 -110.1 -109.9 -108.8 -60.8 0.167 0.210 0.178
Netherlands AEX 523.96 5.14 0.99 436.28 • 537.84 8.4 4.250 10 1.046 -107.7 -106.2 -112.8 -90.7 0.990 1.065 0.768
Poland WIG 64876.56 570.03 0.89 46321.24 • 65611.21 25.4 1.250 U.S. 2 1.315 ... ... ... ... 1.266 1.298 0.786
Russia RTS Index 1126.74 7.13 0.64 953.12 • 1196.99 –2.2 2.250 10 2.123 ... ... ... ... 2.052 2.192 1.674
Spain IBEX 35 10322.60 193.00 1.91 8512.40 • 11184.40 10.4
Sweden SX All Share 563.57 6.33 1.14 489.12 • 598.42 5.4 Commodities Prices of futures contracts with the most open interest 3:30 p.m. New York time
Switzerland Swiss Market 8982.23 70.18 0.79 7585.56 • 9198.45 9.3 EXCHANGE LEGEND: CBOT: Chicago Board of Trade; CME: Chicago Mercantile Exchange; ICE-US: ICE Futures U.S.; MDEX: Bursa Malaysia
South Africa Johannesburg All Share 56008.77 284.10 0.51 48935.90 • 56896.89 10.6 Derivatives Berhad; TCE: Tokyo Commodity Exchange; COMEX: Commodity Exchange; LME: London Metal Exchange;
NYMEX: New York Mercantile Exchange; ICE-EU: ICE Futures Europe. *Data as of 9/8/2017
Turkey BIST 100 109458.01 1006.31 0.93 71792.96 •110530.75 40.1
One-Day Change Year Year
U.K. FTSE 100 7413.59 35.99 0.49 6654.48 • 7598.99 3.8 Commodity Exchange Last price Net Percentage high low
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B8 | Tuesday, September 12, 2017 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
MARKETS
Hurricanes Gore Oil Bulls Dow Passes 22000
More of the fuel is
likely to wind up in
North Carolina declared states
of emergency last week.
As Fears Recede
The energy industry has al-
storage as demand ready taken a significant hit. BY MARINA FORCE declined, pushing up yields.
U.S. crude prices fell after AND CORRIE DRIEBUSCH The yield on the 10-year U.S.
takes a hit Harvey hit the eastern coast of Treasury note rose to 2.125%
Texas and forced the shut- The Dow Jones Industrial in late trading, according to
BY STEPHANIE YANG down of more than 20% of U.S. Average climbed back above Tradeweb, compared with
refining capacity. 22000 for the first time in 2.058% Friday.
LUKE SHARRETT/BLOOMBERG NEWS
The havoc wreaked by ma- Crude prices began recover- nearly a month as investors’ Many analysts don’t expect
jor summer storms stands ing last week as refiners near fears eased about North Korea this relative calm to last, how-
to deepen a global crude-sup- the Gulf Coast planned re- and Hurricane Irma. ever, and bond yields could de-
ply glut that has depressed oil starts, easing demand con- Stocks rose broadly and ha- crease if North Korea tensions
prices for more than three cerns. Gasoline prices remain ven assets retreated, a reversal rise once again.
years. elevated, reflecting refinery from last week Meanwhile, concerns about
By paralyzing giant swaths outages and the vulnerability MONDAY’S when major U.S. Hurricane Irma’s impact on the
of the southern U.S. ranging of the U.S. gasoline-distribu- MARKETS stock indexes, U.S. economy also diminished.
from Texas to South Carolina tion system to storms that hit the dollar and A reduction in the storm’s
for days at a time, hurricanes Ample amounts of crude are already stockpiled in the U.S. the Southeast. Treasury yields strength and a shift in its fore-
Harvey and Irma will dent en- Goldman Sachs Group Inc. fell as investors worried about cast course—there was no di-
ergy demand from consumers analysts estimate that U.S. worst-case scenarios from rect hit on Miami—meant in-
and refiners even as drilling Global Glut crude inventories will climb by summer storms and threats sured damage estimates were
continues and crude in storage Major summer storms in the U.S. are increasing stockpiles of oil and 40 million barrels in the from North Korea. likely to be less than originally
is abundant. widening the spread between supply and demand. month following Harvey, The Dow industrials rose anticipated by some analysts.
The effect, analysts say, will which would push stockpiles 259.58 points, or 1.2%, to Reinsurance companies,
be to push millions more bar- Global supply minus demand U.S. stockpiles, weekly data to nearly 500 million barrels. 22057.37. The S&P 500 and the which tumbled last week as
rels of crude oil into oil cav- Crude inventories declined Nasdaq Composite jumped they were expected to bear the
erns and floating tankers at a million bpd oversupply* through July and August, 1.1%. financial brunt of Hurricane
time when storage is already which oil bulls took as a sign The last time the blue-chip Irma’s damage, jumped on
in heavy use. That will under- that the market was beginning index closed above 22000 was Monday. Shares of Everest Re
mine efforts by producers to move back into balance. Aug. 16 and it hadn’t posted a Group, which dropped more
such as the Organization of But a buildup of 40 million 1% gain since April. than 10% last week, rose 4.7%.
the Petroleum Exporting barrels would negate most of In Europe, the Stoxx Europe Chubb rose 3.8% and XL Group
Countries to rebalance the those inventory reductions. On 600 rose 1% to 379.43, boosted climbed 5.3%. The KBW Nas-
market by cutting output. Thursday, the U.S. Energy In- by gains in bank, insurance daq Insurance index rose 1.8%,
U.S. crude prices haven’t formation Administration re- and technology shares—sec- nearly wiping out its 1.9% drop
exceeded $50 for more than a ported that 4.6 million barrels tors that tend to gain when in- last week.
trading day since May, and fu- of crude oil were added to vestors feel confident enough The WSJ Dollar Index,
tures for October delivery fell storage in the week ended to take on more risk. which measures the U.S. dollar
3.3% Friday to $47.48 a barrel. Sept. 1. Days of supply covered Some analysts had expected against a basket of other cur-
They traded at more than dou- by inventories rose for the North Korea to conduct a rencies, rose 0.7%, after sink-
ble that level in 2014. On Mon- first time in two months to weapons test on Saturday, co- ing to its lowest level in more
day, crude settled up 1.2%, to 27.5 that week, below the peak inciding with the country’s than two years on Friday. The
$48.07. *Average in barrels a day Note: Stockpiles excludes Strategic Petroleum Reserve
this year of 34.2 days, accord- founding day, as it did last euro fell 0.6% to $1.1961.
While regional economic Sources: International Energy Agency (supply and demand); U.S. Energy Information ing to the EIA. year to mark the celebration. Gold, another traditional
activity will gradually recover Administration (stockpiles) THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Some analysts are skeptical The absence of news from haven for money managers,
after the storms and rebuild- that hurricane season will Pyongyang supported stocks fell 1.1% to settle at $1,331.00 a
ing efforts will help to push Mr. Pugh expects the im- than 6.7 million people. More have a long-term impact on and the dollar, while weighing troy ounce. The yen and the
demand higher, the disrup- pact from the two storms to than 300,000 homes in Texas the oil market. If refiners re- on haven assets, analysts say. Swiss franc, which tradition-
tions are nearly certain to in- exceed that of Hurricane Ka- were damaged or destroyed by start more quickly than antici- “That North Korea didn’t do ally rise when markets are vol-
tensify the downward pressure trina in 2005, which drove to- the floods. pated, it could mitigate an- anything, on a weekend they atile, both fell against the U.S.
on U.S. prices. tal U.S. oil demand down 2% Even more is potentially at other wave of U.S. supply. knew our country was going to dollar.
The sheer size of Harvey from a year earlier in the stake in Irma, which hit Sun- “It’s definitely not good be in flux because of hurri- The weaker yen boosted
and Irma, two of the largest three months that followed. day in large sections of Flor- news in the short term,” said canes, is the primary reason Japanese blue-chip stocks.
storms to hit the U.S. in recent The scale of the storms ida, a state with more than 20 Ed Morse, global head of com- we’re seeing this big rally,” Japan’s Nikkei Stock Average
years, likely will drive signifi- points to an outsize impact on million people. Data provider modities research at Citigroup said JJ Kinahan, chief market rose 1.4%, after setting fresh
cant declines in consumption, the oil market. Hurricane Har- CoreLogic Inc. estimated that Inc. But “in the end, it’s proba- strategist at TD Ameritrade. four-month lows on Friday and
said Thomas Pugh, a commod- vey is expected to be one of 12 million properties in Flor- bly the case that supply and “The market has gone back up logging its worst week in
ities economist at Capital Eco- the costliest storms in U.S. ida could be damaged by demand are balancing them- to where we were in early Au- seven months.
nomics. “That’s obviously not history, dumping torrents of winds or the storm surge. Be- selves out.” gust before these North Korea South Korea’s Kospi and
particularly useful for the rain on the Greater Houston yond Florida, the governors of —Amrith Ramkumar fears.” Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 both
global rebalancing effort.” metropolitan area of more Georgia, South Carolina and contributed to this article. Government-bond prices rose 0.7% each.
Email: heard@wsj.com
HEARD ON THE STREET FINANCIAL ANALYSIS & COMMENTARY WSJ.com/Heard
An Undervalued New Player Arises in the Energy Industry go through cycles of satura-
tion and reinvention. Sales at
Prada could bounce back in
If they gave out grades for Baker Hughes. Business has something that often spurs holder looking to shake the end, and if they do, the
corporate names, “Baker been tough and remains so results when new public things up. The awkward sta- company has huge scope to
Hughes, a GE Company” for the industry. Earnings ex- companies are created. Be- tus quo could change in two improve its operating mar-
would get a D-minus. In pectations have fallen this sides the synergies and cost years, or even sooner with gin, which at 11.4% is low by
terms of recent financial per- year for Baker Hughes and savings, Baker Hughes is the approval from a conflicts industry standards.
formance, neither of the par- its rivals. only big player in the indus- committee, which could in- But the latest numbers
ties to the merger completed Over the past three years, try with net cash on the bal- clude a tax-free spinoff. make it hard to see this hap-
SERGEI KARPUKHIN/REUTERS
two months ago deserved a period encompassing the ance sheet. It has business That perceived overhang pening soon enough to jus-
more than a gentleman’s C. oil bear market, the aborted lines, mostly courtesy of the is a temporary weight on the tify the high share price.
But the company’s grade merger with rival Halliburton legacy GE oil-and-gas busi- share price but, on enter- This sits at 20 times consen-
should go higher over the and its merger with GE, leg- ness, that are less sensitive prise value to forecast 2018 sus earnings estimates, ac-
next few years as new man- acy shareholders of Baker than most peers to petro- earnings before interest, cording to FactSet, but more
agement, a solid balance Hughes have a minus 21% to- leum prices remaining in the taxes, depreciation and downgrades are likely to
sheet and strong business tal shareholder return. doldrums. amortization, Baker Hughes come; using Bernstein’s al-
lines combine to boost Baker Lorenzo Simonelli Now, though, Baker With GE owning 62.5% of trades at about a 15% dis- ready-reduced forecast for
Hughes ahead of its competi- Hughes is effectively a the operating company and count to the average of five the current year the multiple
tors. While the company is As the name suggests, the brand-new company run by a having signed a five year industry peers. If it can ex- is 26 times, a premium to
still exposed to energy new company is the result of man who has never held that standstill agreement on buy- ceed muted expectations peers.
prices, it expects $1.6 billion an unusually structured role. Chief Executive Lorenzo ing the rest, a bid for the once it begins reporting con- Quality matters in luxury,
in annual deal synergies and merger between General Simonelli and his team have 37.5% rump is out of the solidated results, that gap but in the case of Prada’s
cost savings by 2020, a boost Electric’s energy business been handed fresh incentives question. But GE has a new should narrow. stock, you don’t get what you
its rivals won’t get. and oil-services company to meet financial goals— CEO and an activist share- —Spencer Jakab pay for. —Stephen Wilmot