Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
EDITORIAL BOARD
of Food
Statistical Methods
and Procedures
Michael O'Mahony
A CRC title, part of the Taylor & Francis imprint, a member of the
Taylor & Francis Group, the academic division of T&F lnforma plc.
Library of Congress Cataloging-inPublication Data
The aim of this book is to provide basic knowledge of the logic and computation
of statistics for the sensory evaluation of food, or for other forms of sensory
measurement encountered in, say, psychophysics. All that is required is that
the reader be able to add, subtract, multiply, and divide.
The book is aimed at three types of reader: first, the undergraduate or
graduate student who needs some statistics for a research project or who is
simply trying to fulfill the requirements for a degree before escaping academia;
second, the unwitting food scientist who has just been told that he or she is
now in charge of sensory evaluation, despite having had no training, and needs
to catch up quickly; and third, the established sensory professional who wants
a ready reference, some guidance, and an instant introduction to some new
tricks.
The book will take you from "ground zero" into the traditional realms of
statistics and experimental design. It will lead you there gently, while concen-
trating on the logic behind the tests. It will look at some of the special diffi-
culties involved in applying statistics to sensory data and will also give you a
good, healthy dose of nonparametric statistics.
The book is hard-headed, but it is also very simple to understand. This is
because it is written by a very simple nonstatistician. If I can understand it,
you can too!
Michael O'Mahony
Contents
Preface V
What Is Probability?
How to Compute a Probability: The Total Number of Events
The Multiplication Law of Probability: Getting Two Heads
and One Tail
The Addition Law of Probability: Getting a Red or a White Ball
Worked Examples: Lots of Probability Calculations
Sorting
Permutations and Combinations
Worked Examples: Sorting, Permutations, and Combinations
6 CHI-SQUARE
What Is ChiSquare?
ChiSquare: Single-Sample Test-One-way Classification
ChiSquare: Two-Way Classification
Assumptions and When to Use ChiSquare
Special Case of Chi-Square: The 2 X 2 Table
Further Note on the ChiSquare Distribution
The McNemar Test
The Cochran Q Test
The Contingency Coefficient
Worked Examples: Chi-Square Tests
7 STUDENT'S t TEST
What Is a t Test?
The One-Sample t Test: Computation
Worked Example: One-Sample t Test
The Two-Sample t Test, Related Samples: Computation
Worked Example: TwoSample t Test, Related Samples
The Two-Sample t Test, Independent Samples: Computation
Worked Example: TwoSample t Test, Independent Samples
Assumptions and When to Use the t Test
The Independent-Samples t Test with Unequal Variances
Further Statistical Theory: The Relationship Between t
Distributions and Normal Distributions, t Tests and z Tests
Can You Use t Tests to Analyze Scaling Data?
Additional Worked Examples: t Tests
X Contents
What Is Interaction?
Interpretation of Interaction and Between-Treatments
F Values
How to Compute a Two-Factor ANOVA with Interaction
Worked Example: Two-Factor ANOVA with Interaction
Assumptions and When to Use the Two-Factor Design with
Interaction
What if the Interaction Is Not Significant?
Sometimes You Cannot Calculate Interaction Mean Squares
A Cautionary Tale
Additional Worked Example: Two-Factor Analysis of
Variance with Interaction
13 FIXED-ANDRANDOM-EFFECTSMODELS
14 SPLIT-PLOT DESIGN
Some Preliminaries
What Are Correlation Coefficients?
How to Compute Pearson's Product-Moment Correlation
Coefficient
Worked Example: Pearson's Product-Moment Correlation
Is the Correlation Significant?
The Coefficient of Determination
Assumptions and When to Use the Correlation Coefficient
Correlation Does Not Imply Causality
Further Topics for Correlation: Means, Differences, and
Significance
Logic of Linear Regression
Computation for Linear Regression
Worked Example: Linear Regression
Assumptions and When to Use Linear Regression
Worked Example: Correlation and Linear Regression
sensory evaluation. This is because the goals of the two disciplines are different
and they can affect the appropriateness of various behavioral methods of
measurement to be used, as well as the statistical analysis employed. In psycho-
physics, the aim is t o measure the "natural" functioning of the senses and
cognitive processes. Extensive training will not be given if it alters a subject's
mode of responding or recalibrates the person, so obscuring his or her "natural"
functioning.
Consumer testing must also be considered. Whereas judges are used in sensory
analysis t o assess the flavor of a food per se, consumer testing selects samples of
consumers from the marketplace to find out whether they like or will buy the
food. For consumer testing, the people must be as representative as possible of
the potential buying population so that they do not give a misleading indication
of potential sales. To perform consumer tests on members of a panel used for
sensory analysis would be t o use a sample that was not representative of the
potential buying public. The panel would be comprised of a few people who
had been specially selected for their skill in sensory evaluation and who may
also have been made atypical as a result of their training. There is another
important point: The judges on a sensory panel are usually recruited from the
company; they are often laboratory or office workers who take time from their
regular duties to participate in the panel. These judges may have a knowledge of
the product which may bias their judgments of whether they like it; they may
even select responses that they feel might impress their bosses. Thus, t o use a
sensory panel for consumer testing would seem unwise. Despite this, some food
companies blindly adopt this research strategy.
The sample of consumers tested should be as representative as possible of the
potential buying population. It is a sample from which conclusions are drawn
about the population and so, as with sensory psychophysics, the people tested
are considered t o be random effects! Psychophysicists tend to pick a sample
as randomly as possible in the hope that it will turn out t o be representative
of the population. The strategy of random sampling is used in consumer testing,
but another strategy is also adopted. Here the demographics of the population
are studied and a sample carefully chosen so as to match the population demo-
graphically as closely as possible. If the population has 80% males, so will the
sample. If the population has 50% Hispanics, the sample will also. This approach
to making the sample as representative as possible of the population is called
stratified sampling. Sampling will be discussed further in the section on the
perils of sampling (Section 1.4).
As you read through the text, it will become apparent that statistical tests
are set up t o show that differences exist between sets of data. However, should
the reader be using statistics for quality assurance, trying to show that a
reformulated product has the same flavor as the regular product, the aim will
be to show that differences do not exist. This is using statistical analysis in a
6 Before You Begin
rather different manner, and readers are advised t o consult Appendix F before
analyzing their data.
Inferential statistics are used to infer, from the sample, facts about the popula-
tion.
A parameter is a fact concerning a population.
A statistic is a fact concerning a sample.
Data is plural; the singular is datum.
Members of the sample may also tell lies. This can occur when questions of
a personal nature (money, sex, etc.) are asked. In fact, if a subject guesses the
correct answer or feels that a certain response is right, he or she may give it to
you, regardless of whether or not it is true for him or her. The tendency to
please the experimenter and give the "right" answer is strong among human
subjects.
Control groups are often used to control for any other effects that might
be happening. With drug research, some patients are put in a control group
and are not given the drug being tested. Instead, they are given a harmless
placebo, which resembles the drug but has no action. Often these control
patients are cured as well-the "placebo effect." By comparing those who took
the drug with those who thought they took the drug, a measure can be obtained
for the efficacy of the drug itself, independent of any suggestion effects. Control
groups are often used in behavioral research and could sometimes be useful in
the sensory analysis of foods.
I t is not the intention here to go into detail about sampling procedures;
there are plenty of texts that do this. Suffice it to say that one of the common
errors in sensory work with foods is to sample from the wrong population. If
you wish to sample the likes and dislikes of consumers, do not ask people who
are not representative of consumers, such as expert panelists or scientists
working on the food product itself.
A final point. No amount of sophisticated statistical analysis will make good
data out of bad data. There are many scientists who try to disguise badly con-
structed experiments by blinding their readers with a complex statistical
analysis. Be cautious about all scientific papers, especially in behavioral research
(sensory analysis, psychology, etc.); some of them contain grotesque nonsense.