Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
1
Table of contents
Page No Topic “The investment world is complex with thousands
of choices available, with a dizzying array of
3 Introduction
developments in financial markets, and the global
4 Rasameel’s Edge in Investment Management economy. Making sense of all this and building a
5 Rasameel’s investment objectives across strategies portfolio of suitable investments can leave even
experienced investors confused. The Navigator
6 Investors are facing multiple risks..
Fund has been specifically designed to shoulder
7-8 Introducing the “Navigator Fund” this burden”.
9 - 11 Investment Process
2
Introduction
3
Rasameel’s Edge in Investment Management
Well defined process
Our investment process is driven by a mixture of bottom up research, with a top down macro
overlay. We undertake detailed macro and valuation analysis to gain an understanding of
potential asset class returns and risks, as well as expected asset class performance in the
anticipated macro environment. Our Bottom-up fundamental research leverages proprietary
screening and modelling tools, to identify opportunities at the company level.
Experienced team
The team is led by Robert Aspin who has over 25 years of experience investing through
volatile markets. He is supported by a team of research analysts who focus on sector and
regional & global research.
Disclaimer - This document does not constitute a solicitation, an offer, or a recommendation to buy or sell any investment instruments, to effec t any transactions, or to
conclude any legal act of any kind whatsoever. When making a decision about your investments, you should seek the advice of a professional financial advisor. No 4
representation or warranty of any kind, either express or implied, with respect to the content is made. Reported performance is as of 31 st July 2020.
Rasameel’s Investment Objectives across strategies
1
Long-term capital ➢ Focussed on selecting and investing in those areas of the market that offer the best
appreciation upside, on a risk adjusted basis
➢ Opportunistic unconstrained approach – we take significant exposure when excellent
opportunities present themselves
2
Improved risk ➢ Control drawdowns by aggressively cutting market exposure should the fundamentals
adjusted returns or the opportunity set change
➢ Invest with ‘margin of safety’ – Growth at an attractive price
➢ Prefer to take exposure to uncorrelated opportunities
3
Absolute and ➢ Identifying early trends/themes and exploiting market inefficiencies
relative ➢ Exploit the narrow ‘cubicle’ approach of most investment managers.
Outperformance ➢ No structural biases in terms of sector or country. Not tied to any one business cycle
over the cycle
5
Investors are facing multiple risks….and excellent opportunities
We are entering a very exciting time in the markets. Significant dislocations and threats, but at the same
time numerous opportunity to profit.
Central Bank QE Threat: How much more can World Central Banks do? We think they will print a LOT more…so
inflation could be a risk
Opportunity: Precious metals perform fantastically during periods of negative rates and inflation
Threat: Uncertainty around the elections will create volatility and a Democratic win may result in
US elections
corporate higher taxes
Opportunity : We like areas that should benefit from increased domestic spend such as Healthcare
6
Introducing the Rasameel Navigator Fund ….
• Rasameel believes that taking exposure to multiple asset classes will improve returns. Not only that but certain asset classes
offer exceptional return prospects.
• We aim to be strategically aligned to those assets that offer the most upside on a risk adjusted basis
7
Rasameel’s Navigator Fund terms
Terms:
Navigator Fund Objective
The fund, a multi-asset investment product, has been specifically Target Return 8%+
designed to invest opportunistically across sectors and asset classes
Target Volatility 8%
that we believe provide the greatest upside. The Navigator fund is
expected to maximize risk-adjusted returns while limiting Performance Fee 10% over hurdle (300bps +
drawdowns and volatility. 10Year US Treasury)
Management Fee 1%
Disclaimer: The portfolio cash balance may be higher than 10% during periods of stress and market drawdown.
8
Investment Process
The Navigator Fund uses an exhaustive three-stage process. First, we conduct in depth macro research, which defines our big
picture outlook, and then assess the opportunity set across the various asset classes and sectors. Lastly, we use proprietary
screening and modelling tools, to identify opportunities at the company level. The process is very valuation driven, with a bias to
value or growth at a reasonable price. We constantly monitor risk to check potential variances in the portfolio’s investment
returns and where appropriate, adjust the allocation made in accordance with our outlook for the market.
Portfolio Construction
Research Strategy & Risk Management
A Top down/Macro
overlay approach is
taken to identify value
opportunities across
different geographies
10
Company & Peer group analysis
Company
cash flow
analysis
SWOT
analysis &
Industry
overview
Valuation
analysis
• Peer group
comparison
• Ratio analysis
11
Asset Allocation Process
Asset class exposures
are determined based
on their risk-reward
profile & Macro
Environment.
Portfolio
Optimization is
achieved through
an optimal
allocation that
maximizes return
Capturing the for a given rate of
best across risk.
asset classes
Risk is controlled by
investing across low to
preferably negatively
correlated asset classes.
12
Exposure to multiple asset classes improves risk adjusted returns
Performance ▪ A Multi Asset Strategy provides the ideal mix between
Multi_-Asset
long term growth & capital preservation while Offering
$171,468,686 superior risk adjusted returns over varied economic
CAGR - 8.85% cycles.
$136,100,673 ▪ This is achieved primarily via equity exposure in bull
CAGR - 8.11% markets, protecting capital during bear markets or market
selloffs as witnessed in 2001 Dotcom crash via fixed
$72,182,149 income and precious metals exposure.
CAGR - 6.08%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 1H'20
REIT EM Stock US Sov EM Stock Gold US Sov EM Stock Sml Cap REIT REIT Sml Cap EM Stock US Sov Lag Cap US Sov
35.93% 39.70% 33.92% 78.91% 29.27% 33.95% 18.62% 38.82% 30.39% 2.52% 21.27% 37.78% (1.60%) 31.47% 21.86%
EM Stock Gold Gold HY Bond REIT Gold Intl Stock Lag Cap US Sov Lag Cap HY Bond Intl Stock Gold REIT Gold
32.51% 30.45% 4.92% 58.20% 28.35% 9.56% 17.95% 32.37% 27.29% 1.37% 17.12% 25.69% (1.94%) 25.88% 17.12%
Intl Stock Intl Stock Sukuk Intl Stock Sml Cap REIT REIT Intl Stock Lag Cap Intl Stock Lag Cap Lag Cap HY Bond Sml Cap Sukuk
26.96% 11.71% (22.57%) 32.63% 26.81% 8.70% 17.85% 23.44% 13.67% (0.27%) 11.95% 21.82% (2.08%) 25.48% 1.45%
Gold US Sov HY Bond REIT EM Stock HY Bond Sml Cap HY Bond Sml Cap US Sov EM Stock Sml Cap Sukuk Intl Stock Lag Cap
22.54% 10.29% (26.15%) 27.61% 19.24% 4.97% 16.38% 7.44% 4.89% (1.78%) 11.74% 14.62% (3.40%) 22.77% (3.08%)
Sml Cap Lag Cap Sml Cap Sml Cap HY Bond Lag Cap Lag Cap Sukuk Sukuk REIT Gold Lag Cap EM Stock HY Bond
REIT 2.50%
18.32% 5.57% (33.81%) 27.08% 15.12% 2.10% 15.99% 2.63% (2.26%) 8.61% 12.80% (4.39%) 18.82% (3.79%)
Lag Cap HY Bond Lag Cap Lag Cap Lag Cap Sukuk HY Bond EM Stock - HY Bond Sml Cap Gold US Sov REIT Gold EM Stock
15.77% 1.87% (36.99%) 26.44% 15.05% 1.50% 15.81% 2.26% 2.45% (4.41%) 8.03% 9.18% (4.50%) 17.85% (9.69%)
HY Bond Sml Cap REIT Gold US Sov Sml Cap Gold Sukuk EM Stock HY Bond Intl Stock HY Bond Sml Cap HY Bond Intl Stock
11.84% (1.58%) (38.01%) 24.02% 9.04% (4.17%) 6.59% (3.40%) (1.96%) (4.46%) 1.59% 7.50% (11.02%) 14.31% (11.02%)
US Sov Sukuk Intl Stock Sukuk Intl Stock Intl Stock Sukuk US Sov Gold Gold US Sov REIT Intl Stock US Sov Sml Cap
0.71% (1.94%) (42.99%) 22.47% 8.34% (11.68%) 3.68% (13.37%) (2.18%) (10.67%) 1.17% 5.13% (13.31%) 14.12% (12.98%)
Sukuk REIT EM Stock US Sov Sukuk EM Stock US Sov Gold Intl Stock EM Stock Sukuk Sukuk EM Stock Sukuk REIT
0.28% (16.25%) (53.17%) (21.80%) 5.85% (18.15%) 2.63% (28.33%) (4.31%) (14.60%) 0.81% 0.89% (14.28%) 6.86% (18.43%)
Assets at the top of the chart one year could be at the bottom the next, and vice versa. The chart shows annual returns for
eight key asset classes against a diversified portfolio. Diversification works to smooth out those big swings in the short-term.
While you’ll never get the biggest gains of any year, you avoid significant drawdowns.
Asset classes: Lag Cap - S&P 500, Sml Cap - Russell 2000, Intl Stock - MSCI EAFE index, EM Stock - MSCI EM index, REIT - MSCI US REIT INDEX,
US Sov – TLT, Sukuk - Dow Jones Sukuk Index, HY Bond - Bloomberg Barclays High Yield, Gold – GDL ETF. 14
Asset class performance is impacted by two key drivers:
Economic Growth and Inflation
The graphic reflects the sensitivity of the
various asset classes to the two key macro
variables: Economic Growth and Inflation
15
…and invest opportunistically to capture next strong cycle
1 2
Higher Risk Adjusted returns Lower Volatility and Drawdown
Aim to deliver high risk-adjusted returns by Reduce volatility through holding assets that
investing opportunistically in those areas of the demonstrate low correlation to one another.
market that we believe to provide the most Drawdowns are controlled through dynamic asset
upside, as well as low levels of correlation. allocation and aggressive reduction in market
exposure, driven by technical indicators.
3 4
Multiple sources of Alpha Wealth Preservation & Liquidity
The Navigator Fund will actively invest across No single asset class works well all the time.
multiple asset classes to capture multiple sources Wealth preservation is all about building a
of return. portfolio that will deliver more stable returns
across a variety of different business and
economic cycles.
17
Current Market
Environment
18
COVID and lockdowns have had a massive impact on global economies
19
…and many economies were already in the late stages of business cycle
20
Not only is the global economy weak but valuations in some markets are
unattractive
50 S&P 500 Cyclically Adjusted PE Ratio
Dotcom Bubble
45
Everything Bubble '20
40 Great Depression Begins
20
-1 Standard Deviation
15
5 Peak Stagflation
0
High market valuations and an expensive USD imply an unfavorable risk/reward profile for the S&P 500
PE10 Average for the last 20 years = 26X, and Average for last 50 years is 20X. Source: Robert Shiller's "Irrational Exuberance"
21
Published 2000
….particularly US Technology which has massively outperformed….
24
…and we expect the Governments will now step in with higher Fiscal spend
25
…all of which has driven money supply higher
26
Rasameel expects Precious Metals to perform well, driven by low real yields
Since 2006, Gold has closely tracked the inverse of real rates and we expect this trend to continue going forward…
27
..with Gold being an excellent hedge for inflation or fiat currency
debasement…
28
..and is still cheap against the Dow Jones Industrial Average
Source: Macrotrends.com
29
…though the real opportunity will be in Silver
Gold/Silver ratio
Source: Macrotrends.com
30
..and in the miners which have lagged (but lots of further upside)..
31
There are also good opportunities in some parts of the equity market …
32
Online gaming is also an exciting growth market..
Gaming and particularly Mobile gaming has been an area that we have been
bullish upon since 2019 and we are actively invested in companies across North
America, China, Europe and Japan that benefit from growth within this segment.
33
Global 5G adoption is set to take off…
5G network investment opportunities are starting to take shape. Global adoption of 5G technology presents increased
economic opportunity in IOT, vehicle automation, education, mobility, energy, and healthcare.
With global 5G penetration rates still very low, we see an opportunity for multi year growth, which would support 5G
network OEMs within the supply chain. Big data and work-from-home themes should help sustain this strong demand
beyond the short term.
34
We expect increase Fiscal spend and growth in ESG & Green Energy space
35
Healthcare will benefit from current pandemic and increased future spending
36
Sukuk offer a better Risk/Return profile compared to EM and Global Bonds
Source: Sourced from Franklin Templeton, S&P and JP Morgan. Global Sukuk are represented by Dow Jones Index. Global Bonds are represented by JP Morgan GBI index, EM Bonds by the EMBI index.
Global equities are represented by the MSCI All Country World Index. Confidential Document – The Strategy Performance is unaudited and is subject to change without prior notice. This is not an offer to
sell or the solicitation of an offer to purchase any interest in the Special Purpose Vehicle and is intended as supplemental information only. The strategies are rebalanced annually and the performance 37
above is indicative of a model balanced strategy’s performance in the given time frame. Past results are not indicative or a guarantee of future performance.
The Sukuk-Bond spread has also normalized following a sharp drop
38
Sukuk has shown resilience to low oil prices and economic growth
39
Meet the Team
Robert Aspin brings over two decades of investment experience across multiple markets and asset classes. He started his career
at JP Morgan Asset Management, based in London and Singapore. He then joined Deutsche Securities as co-Head EM Telecoms,
after which he joined Investcorp as PM and Member of the Investment Committee. He later joined Standard Chartered in 2011
as Head of Equity Strategy and, after seeing the opportunity to offer better service to accredited clients, established MWCM in
2016. He holds a Masters degree and is a CFA Charter holder.
Abdulmehsen Al Gharaballi joined Rasameel as part of the initial staff to set-up the Funds & Portfolios Management in
Rasameel in 2015. Abdulmehsen is the portfolio manager responsible for the Local and GCC strategies within the department.
Also, Abdulmehsen is part of the team managing the global equity mandate and is the lead analyst within the healthcare sector
globally. Previously, Abdulmehsen served as a portfolio manager in Dimah Capital from 2012-2015. Having worked his way up
from analyst to portfolio manager, He was responsible for the out-of-index picks that proved to add alpha to the mandate.
Abdulaziz Al Muraikhi joined the Asset Management Department at Rasameel in February 2016 after gaining significant
experience in the corporate banking sector. A graduate of Bentley University with Bachelor of Science in Finance and MBA with
concentration in Finance, Abdulaziz has gained an in depth understanding in financial analysis starting with his time at National
Bank of Kuwait - Corporate Banking Division, where he co-managed and maintained corporate clients and accounts. Abdulaziz
is registered with the CMA for fund and portfolio management and has a total of 6 years experience in the financial services
field. Abdulaziz’s focus in the equities markets has earned him the skills of stock selection and valuation in managing the
various portfolio strategies within the company.
40
Meet the Team
Abdullah Al Shalan has five years’ experience in the investment management industry. He graduated from Northeastern
University in Boston, earning a Bachelors of Science in Business Administration with a dual concentration in Finance and New
Venture Management. Abdullah joined the Kuwait Investment Authority’s academy, where he averaged a score of 96% as
per the evaluation from instructors in a 32-week course. As part of the program, he opted to take a 3-month internship at
Asiya Investment Company in Hong Kong where he covered the Chinese Engineering and Construction industry. Abdullah
then joined Rasameel Investment Company on October 25th 2015 in pursuit of managing equity portfolios with a Global
mandate. Abdullah passed the Level II CFA exam in June 2018.
Surin Gandhi joined Rasameel Investment Co as an Officer in the Asset Management division where he is part of a team which
seeks to generate Alpha by investing in fundamentally undervalued equities in Global markets. Surin has a bachelor’s degree in
commerce (Economics & Accounts) from Narsee Monjee College of Commerce and Economics, Mumbai. He is also a qualified
Chartered Accountant from the Institute of Chartered Accountants of India and has completed all three levels of the CFA
Program, awaiting his charter. Prior to joining Rasameel, Surin worked with Alghanim Industries as a Financial Analyst in the
Automotive Division (General Motors) where he was a part of the Finance team.
41
Disclaimer
This document is not directed at or intended for use by any person resident or located in any jurisdiction where the distribution
of such information is contrary to the laws of such jurisdiction, or such distribution is prohibited without obtaining the
necessary licenses or authorizations. No representation or warranty, either express or implied, is provided in relation to the
accuracy, completeness or reliability of the content. The information contained in this document is for informational purposes
only and should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment. This document does not
constitute a solicitation, an offer, or a recommendation to buy or sell any investment instruments, to effect any transactions, or
to conclude any legal act of any kind whatsoever. When making a decision about your investments, you should seek the advice
of a professional financial advisor. No representation or warranty of any kind, either express or implied, with respect to the
content is made. This document is provided on a confidential basis to invited parties and may not be copied or distributed
without prior written consent. Subject to contract. This document is prepared for promotional purposes and it may not be
presented or distributed in State of Kuwait except to the “Professional Clients” only according to the definitions contained in
the first book of the Executive Bylaws of Kuwait Capital Markets Authority. Rasameel Investment Company hereby undertakes
that it does not disguise, diminish or obscure important items from the investment subject of promotion.
Warning:
The past performance of any investment or a product is not a reliable indicator of future results and it cannot be relied upon for
investment decision making.
42