De La Salle University – Dasmariñas

COLLEGE OF SCIENCE AND COMPUTER STUDIES

MATHEMATICS AND STATISTICS DEPARTMENT
City of Dasmariñas, Cavite

SMATH311LC - MANAGEMENT SCIENCE

1st Semester / Midterm Period / S.Y. 2020-2021

ENABLING ASSESSMENT 3a
PROBABILITY and BAYES’ THEOREM
Score:
NAME: __________________________________ DATE: ____________________

COURSE/YEAR & SECTION: __________________ PROF.: ____________________

Read, understand and solve each item carefully. Write your answer in the answer sheet provided. Express your answer
in fraction form (lowest term) or in decimal form (four decimal places).
1. A survey of MBA students obtained the following data on “Students’ first reason for application to the school in
which they enrolled.
Enrollment Reason for Application
Total
Status School Quality School cost or Other
Full Time 421 convenience
393 76 890
Part Time 400 593 46 1039
Total 821 986 122 1929
a. What is the probability that a student enrollment status is full time?
b. What is the probability that the students first reason for application to the school in which they enrolled was
school quality?
c. If a student goes full time, what is the probability that school quality will be the first reason for choosing a
school?
d. If a student goes part time, what is the probability that school quality will be the first reason for choosing a
school?
e. From the table given what is the most important reason for choosing a school? Explain.
2. The checking accounts of Sun Bank are categorized by the age of account and the account balance. Auditors will
select accounts at random from the following 1000 accounts (numbers in the table are the number of accounts in each
category):
Account Balance
Age of the account
$0 - $499 $500 - $999 $1000 or more
Less than 2 years 120 240 90
2 years or more 75 275 200
a. What is the probability that an account is less than 2 years old?
b. What is the probability that an account has a balance of $1000 or more?
c. What is the probability that an account has a balance of $500–$999 given that its age is 2 years or more?
d. What is the probability that an account is less than 2 years old and has a balance of$1000 or more?
e. What is the probability that an account has a balance of $0 - $499 or its age is 2 years or more?
3. The probabilities of poor print quality given no printer problem, misaligned paper, high ink viscosity, or printer-head
debris are 0, 0.3, 0.4, and 0.6, respectively. The probabilities of no printer problem, misaligned paper, high ink
viscosity, or printer-head debris are 0.8, 0.02, 0.08, and 0.1, respectively. Given poor print quality, what problem is
most likely? Justify your answer.
ANSWER SHEET

1a. 2a. 3.
b. b.
c. c.
d. d.
e. e.