Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
C O M
AFTER
BERNIE
“The long, dark night of the end
of history has to be grasped as an
enormous opportunity. The very
oppressive pervasiveness of capi-
talist realism means that even
glimmers of alternative politi-
cal and economic possibilities can
have a disproportionately great
effect. The tiniest event can tear a
hole in the grey curtain of reaction
which has marked the horizons of
possibility under capitalist realism.
From a situation in which nothing
can happen, suddenly anything is
possible again.”
C R E AT I V E D I R E C TO R D E V E LO P M E N T
Remeike Forbes Roz Hunter
D E P U T Y E D I TO R C I RC U L AT I O N
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Features
Jared Abbott is a PhD candidate in Briahna Joy Gray is an American Alex Niven is lecturer in English
the Department of Government at political commentator, attorney, literature at Newcastle University
Harvard University. and political consultant who and editor-at-large at Repeater
served as the National Press Books. His latest book is
Seth Ackerman is Jacobin's
Secretary for the Bernie Sanders New Model Island: How to Build
executive editor.
2020 presidential campaign. a Radical Culture Beyond the
Marilyn Arwood was a field Idea of England.
Anton Jäger is a doctoral student
organizer for the Bernie
at the University of Cambridge, Hannah Proctor is a Wellcome
Sanders 2020 campaign, and is
working on the history of populism Trust Research Fellow at the
presently the chair of the
in the United States. University of Strathclyde in
Philadelphia chapter of the
Glasgow, interested in histories
Democratic Socialists of America. Cedric Johnson is associate
and theories of radical psychiatry.
professor of African American
Phoebe Braithwaite is a PhD
studies and political science Ari Rabin-Havt served as deputy
student at Harvard University
at the University of Illinois at campaign manager on Bernie
working on Stuart Hall and
Chicago and editor of The Sanders’s 2020 presidential
British Cultural Studies.
Neoliberal Deluge: Hurricane campaign and deputy chief of staff
David Broder is Jacobin’s Europe Katrina, Late Capitalism and in his Senate office.
editor and a historian of French the Remaking of New Orleans.
David Sirota is editor-at-large
and Italian communism.
Matt Karp is an associate professor at Jacobin. He edits the Too Much
Ronan Burtenshaw is the editor of history at Princeton University Information newsletter and
of Tribune. and a Jacobin contributing editor. previously served as a senior
He is the author of This Vast adviser and speechwriter on Bernie
Meagan Day is a staff writer at Southern Empire: Slaveholders Sanders's 2020 presidential
Jacobin. She is the coauthor at the Helm of American campaign.
of Bigger than Bernie: How We Foreign Policy.
Go from the Sanders Campaign Jeff Weaver is a political strategist
to Democratic Socialism. Dominik A. Leusder is an economist who served as campaign manager
and writer. He is currently a for the Bernie Sanders 2016
Daniel Finn is the features editor graduate student at the London presidential campaign and an
at Jacobin. He is the author of School of Economics. advisor for the Bernie Sanders
One Man’s Terrorist: A Political 2020 presidential campaign.
History of the IRA.
Departments
08 12 32 35 39 43
party lines the soapbox vulgar uneven & canon fodder field notes
empiricist combined
We Won’t Letters The Prophet The Enemy
Forget the The Social How We Lost of Inequality Within
Questions Democracy Michigan
Bernie Asked Index
13 14 52
the soapbox struggle session canon fodder
Internet Speaks The Oral Reading
History of Victor Serge
the Bernie from the
Campaign Depths
of Defeat
109 132
ways of seeing means and ends
Mark Fisher’s The Victory
Popular to Come
Modernism
8 № 37 / SPRING 2020
Front Matters
GLORY DAYS
PANDEMIC POLITICS 9
FRONT MATTERS
PARTY LINES BY MEAGAN DAY
ILLUSTRATION BY
DANIEL HASKETT
We Won’t Forget
the Questions
Bernie Asked
I didn’t know I was a socialist until you tolerate a system that privileges
Bernie Sanders’s first presidential the profit-making activities of a
campaign. I knew I was repulsed tiny minority over the humanity of
by exploitation and oppression, and the vast majority? He asked: Are
I even understood that capitalism you willing to fight for someone you
perpetuated much of the injustice I don’t know? He asked: Which side
saw around me. But I had never are you on?
even once considered the possibility These questions cut right to the
that I myself was a socialist. No one core of what it means to even have a
had ever asked. society: what we believe to be the
It was Bernie Sanders, eventually, purpose of the institutions we’ve
who asked. He asked: Why should erected to facilitate our coexistence,
AFTER BERNIE 11
PARTY LINES
AFTER BERNIE 13
FRONT MATTERS
THE SOAPBOX LETTERS@JACOBINMAG.COM
Letters
I am a first-year internal medicine resident in New I came across your magazine while researching the
York City, working on the front lines since the socialist congressman Vito Marcantonio. My
beginning of this pandemic. grandmother’s family came from Italian Harlem, and
one relative worked for Mayor Fiorello La Guardia,
People cheer us for putting our lives on the line, but
Dominic Felitti.
in reality, we don’t have much choice. We don’t
voluntarily come into work everyday knowing we will Uncle Mimi, as we called him, would sometimes
be unprotected. We risk our lives, or we risk our discuss Marcantonio with my dad. They would say he
livelihoods. was a good guy, just a little “too left.” I knew he was
for civil rights and that he was a suspected communist
We need to redirect our focus from idolizing
during the McCarthy era.
martyrdom to policies that guarantee the protection
and safety of all. The fact of the matter is, nobody Anyway, thanks for writing about him [“New York’s
wants to be a hero right now. We just want to live to Last Socialist Congressperson” by Benjamin Serby],
see another day. and I loved the photo of him with Paul Robeson and
W. E. B. Du Bois. He was AOC before AOC.
– Zaki Azam, New York, NY
– Claudia Tedesco-Colmer, Los Angeles, CA
AFTER BERNIE 15
FRONT MATTERS
STRUGGLE SESSION BRIAHNA JOY GRAY
ARI RABIN-HAVT
DAVID SIROTA
JEFF WEAVER
ILLUSTRATION BY
DANIEL HASKETT
The Oral
History
of the Bernie
Campaign
same in person. There’s literally the more rural parts of Vermont. congressional office that — you’re
no difference other than, you Bernie was incredibly popular in the foxhole. You’re behind
know, he’ll plop down on a sofa with French Canadian folks living enemy lines and surrounded by
more casually and loosen his tie, in northern Vermont. the enemy on all sides. You don’t
take his jacket off, maybe use I remember distinctly being at know exactly who the hell your
language that’s a little bit more a place with Bernie called Saint allies are. Sometimes your best
colorful ... Anne’s Shrine, which is a religious allies are right-wing Republicans
shrine in the islands between New on certain issues, and the
ARH I always viewed my work York and Vermont. We went to Democrats are your huge
for John Kerry, Harry Reid, and the cafeteria at Saint Anne’s problem; other times, the right-
others as a kind of training ground Shrine, and it was an old-style wing Republicans are your
for when I could work for an cafeteria, with metal rails where problem, and the progressive
ultimate fantasy candidate. And you run your tray down and caucus is your best ally.
that was Bernie Sanders, a shelves of food, the Jell-Os with
candidate who actually fulfilled the whipped cream on it, the ARH The demarcation moment
the vast majority of the agenda cellophane on top. It was of those years that to me
that I personally believe in. everything you’d think of in an demonstrated, beyond policy, the
old-style cafeteria. It was staffed separation between insiders and
DS I wish my foundational story outsiders was the reaction to
with Bernie was more of a by a lovely group of French
Canadian grandmothers, much Stephen Colbert’s speech at the
lifelong-dream, movie-scripted White House Correspondents’
kind of thing, where I always like my own. When we were
in there, Bernie Sanders was not Dinner.
wanted to work with Bernie.
Actually, the night before I took hugely known, but they were DS There was a me — a political
the job, I almost turned it down literally, and I mean literally, me before Bernie, and a political
because I was afraid that — and crawling through the food to get me after Bernie, and they’re not
you have to remember, this was to shake hands with Bernie the same people. It’s just not the
the late ’90s — I was afraid that Sanders. It really was a powerful same human being. It absolutely,
going to work for a self-described demonstration of the way he could positively changed my entire life,
socialist would mean getting connect with ethnic communities working for him for about two and
blacklisted for the rest of my life in that have faced oppression and a half years.
politics. economic disadvantage.
JW I became Bernie’s driver and ARH On the Kerry campaign, I The First Run
constant companion, his “guy saw Democrats being scared. It for the White House
Friday,” and he got 14 percent of was a carryover from the post-9/11
the vote in a three-way race period, where Democrats were
JW I left the Hill in 2009 and
against a liberal Democrat just fearful and didn’t want to
had a comic book store, which I
incumbent and a moderate fight and didn’t have the moral
love. I love sitting in the back
Republican. So, in the traditional fortitude. It wasn’t ideological. It
room with my old books. And then
metric of “did you win,” [his didn’t have to do with economic
Bernie tells me he’s going to run
gubernatorial campaign] did not progressivism. It didn’t have to do
for president — I said, if this isn’t
go well. But he had a strong base with an issue difference. It had to
a campaign to win, if it’s just an
of support in the working-class do with the fact that they were so
educational campaign, where
parts of Burlington, where he was scared of taking on people and
we’re going to go out and you’re
still mayor at the time. But he fighting.
going to talk about some issues,
also did disproportionately well in DS It was such an eye-opening raise consciousness and whatever,
the northern parts of Vermont, experience. It was very much a then I said, “I’ll send you the
“You’re behind
enemy lines and
surrounded by
the enemy on all sides.
You don’t know
exactly who the hell
your allies are.”
maximum contribution, and I’ll everybody’s socialist. But that is person is. What’s going on?” She
talk you up, but to upend my life not what Vermont is. And I saw, was like, “Oh, I’ve always loved
to do that? I’m not willing to do over the years, Bernie’s incredible Bernie Sanders! He’s one of the
that.” He assured me that it was a appeal with working-class people, few people in Congress who
campaign to win. Having worked both in Burlington and in rural actually reflects my values.” I
with him on so many campaigns, I parts of the state, so I knew the started watching the debates, and
knew it was a long, long shot but potential. And, as we saw in it became immediately clear that
that it was possible. his career in Vermont, the more Bernie was, for the first time in my
people got to know him over life, I think, someone I could
ARH To be frank, I didn’t think I time, the better he did electorally. unreservedly get behind.
wanted to be part of what was
coming in 2016, when Hillary BJG In 2015, I remember I was JW The media derisively called
Clinton was going to just waltz at work one day, working on a July and August 2015 the
through. weekend, and I had a Skype call “Summer of Sanders,” which
from my mom and my brother, suggested that Bernie would get
JW Everybody has this notion who were at a Bernie rally. I was big crowds in the summer, but
that Vermont is a deep blue, like, “I don’t even know who this they wouldn’t vote for him when
hippie-dippie place, where
AFTER BERNIE 19
STRUGGLE SESSION
the time came. But that summer, door-knocking, they did all kinds go, and an incredibly sharp
the events that he held across of things on their own. analysis of why things were the
the country — tens of thousands, way they were.
in some cases, came out to a BJG It was enormously
single event — I think that took frustrating to watch the coverage BJG It was easy to forget how
everybody by surprise. of those debates, and the coverage much work it was in 2016, how
of the campaigns being so enor- simplistic the argument was. It
ARH Then Bernie was thinking mously biased — not reflecting was really, “How could you like
of running, and early on, before he what you could see with your own Bernie? Black people don’t,” and
officially announced, I was eyes as a viewer. That very quickly you’re literally saying it to a black
thinking, “I hope they do well can push you from being a casual woman’s face. I was getting into
enough that it doesn’t diminish supporter to being a radicalized, fights with everybody at the
progressive ideological causes.” active person. workplace — all of my friends —
That’s the fear — that you run a because the only comeback they
Dennis Kucinich campaign. That JW Suddenly, you had this army had to why Bernie was superior
fear was quickly dissipated in of people, and the campaign had was that black people didn’t like
one day of his campaign. Literally the financial resources to deploy Bernie.
one day after seeing the public all the modern tools of
reaction to his campaign. campaigning, and that put Bernie JW Just by looking at the
Sanders in a position that nobody outcomes and where the votes
JW At the end of July 2015, we else with his politics has been in, come from, you can see that you
had twenty-eight staffers total, maybe not ever in US history. On do have this split [in the
including the people we had top of that, critical to that, is that Democratic Primary electorate],
on the ground in Iowa and New you have a trusted messenger, an and it’s not so much progressive
Hampshire. So we told people, authentic messenger — he hates versus moderate; it’s called wine
“You should self-organize,” and the word “authentic” — but an track versus beer track. Hillary
they did, incredibly. You know, authentic messenger, with a clear Clinton was the beer-track
farmers’ markets, they did vision of where the country should candidate in 2008. In 2016, she
was the wine-track candidate. joke. I think there’s a much better [Democratic National Committee]
Bernie Sanders was the beer-track argument to be made — not a as an institution in 2016, was
candidate. criticism, but a “What could actively trying to keep Bernie
Bernie have done more in ’16?” It Sanders from [winning] — and
DS Bernie benefited from a would have been to be far more that was not the case in 2020, by
relatively unique situation in contrasting with Hillary Clinton. I the way, in my opinion. I’m not
which it was a one-on-one race, always go back to the ’08 race saying that the establishment wing
and the candidate he was running between Clinton and [Barack] of the party wasn’t opposed to
against was arguably uniquely Obama, which wasn’t even one of him, but the institutional party
unpopular. the nastiest races ever, but it was a was not deployed against us in
JW As people got to know lot of back-and-forth! If Bernie 2020.
Bernie, when we started off the Sanders in ’16 had done the kind
of daily, every-single-day, sharp ARH I covered election night at
campaign, he was at 3 percent the Javits Center for Sirius. At that
in Iowa, and by the end of the Iowa contrast with Hillary Clinton that
Barack Obama did in 2008, I don’t point, I thought that Hillary was
caucuses, with state delegate equiv- going to win, and that it would be
alents, we were tied with Hillary. know — maybe he would have
won! progressives’ job to fight her
Given what I know now about the administration every day. It was
Iowa caucuses, I’m fairly confident JW I know a lot of people have very early in the night, and I was
that he won the popular vote in feelings about 2020, which I share, interviewing Mary Kay Henry
Iowa quite handily in 2016. but the posture of the party as an from SEIU [Service Employees
DS I don’t want to second-guess institution in 2016 was very International Union]. A Hillary
the ’16 campaign — I wasn’t on different than in 2020. The truth staffer came into the hall and
it — but if he had hit a little of 2016 has come out over time, in literally ripped all of the surrogates
harder ... People who say, “Oh, he WikiLeaks, and in Donna Brazile’s out. Mary Kay was at my table,
was so negative on Clinton” — book, and in other places — the and the staffer was trying to phys-
that’s a joke, that’s a complete party as an institution, the dnc ically pull her away.
AFTER BERNIE 21
STRUGGLE SESSION
At first, I was like, “Oh, she Around early 2019, they reached ARH The Bernie Blackout had a
has to go to another interview. out and asked if I was available. silver lining, because unlike other
That happens.” And then I look It became clear that they were candidates, our base would not
around, and I see that she’s interested in me coming onto the turn on us based on a cable news
running around the hallway, campaign. It was a big decision narrative. Bernie’s 15 percent was
getting all of the surrogates out of to make, because I was very happy never going anywhere. Nobody
there. That’s when I went on air at the Intercept, and it wasn’t else had a floor like that.
and said, “I think Hillary’s lost.” clear to me that it would be useful Everybody else had a base that was
for Bernie to take one of these extremely reactive to the national
reporters who openly shared their media narrative. At some points in
The Second Run
politics, especially a black reporter the campaign, that was to our
for the White House who was a progressive, and advantage. In the doldrums of the
prevent me from speaking freely summer, while we weren’t moving
DS I was wondering if he was as an independent party. forward, we could hold our
going to do it in early 2019, and to 15 percent. And post–heart attack,
be honest, I really didn’t think he ARH I know this sounds like
our floor remained high.
was going to do it. I knew he had pure bullshit, but Bernie did not
concerns about the slog of doing make his decision to run for
another national campaign against president until January 2019. The Heart Attack
the odds, and how a campaign When we started talking about
would once again require him to what 2020 would look like, there DS It wasn’t a good summer.
be away from Vermont and his were lots of side conversations. The campaign was languishing.
grandkids for long periods of time. We figured that somebody would The polls showed that.
Then all of a sudden, I got a call, rise out of nowhere, but nobody
thought that it would be Pete BJG We were all at work, and
and it was like, “This is going to
Buttigieg. People generally they called us into an impromptu
happen. Would you want to do it?”
believed Kamala Harris and Cory meeting, and they told us, minutes
ARH The first big conversation Booker would be more formidable before the rest of the world knew.
about 2020 took place in January candidates than they ultimately It was really sad and scary. It was
2018, in my apartment. Bernie was were. very quiet; it was a very solemn
there, Jane was on the phone, and Whether or not Biden would atmosphere. Some people started
many of the people who ultimately run would hugely impact our to cry.
became part of the senior team strategy. If Biden wasn’t in, we
DS I don’t want to say I thought
were there. Also, the dml [Devine would be number one in the polls
the race was over with the heart
Mulvey Longabaugh, the from the start. If Biden was in, we
attack, but the campaign had not
campaign strategists] guys were would be number two in the polls.
been going in the right direction
there — specifically Julian Mulvey This would heavily influence how
for a while now. And now this! We
and Mark Longabaugh — and the campaign was treated by the
had navigated some icebergs, and
some prominent surrogates. One media and other candidates.
the hull of the ship had been
of the variables that got discussed
JW I don’t want to just beat scratched up, and now we just hit
was: Does Joe Biden run? Does
up on the media, but let’s be clear the big one. That’s really how it
Elizabeth Warren run? Each
of the extent to which Bernie felt.
scenario would create a different
dynamic in the race. Sanders was discounted. There
BJG The reality of what Bernie
was a huge period of time which is
represented and how unique it
BJG I had a reporter’s well known as the Bernie Blackout.
was, and how there was no
relationship with some of the
substitute for that, really hit
Sanders communications team.
home. With him, if he hadn’t handled it really well. The upsurge I will never forget what they
pulled through, all of those ideas in support for him after that did for us. The office was jubilant.
would have died with him, is how was — some of it was people If I recall correctly, the news came
it felt. There are a lot of amazing suddenly realizing what politics out after a debate in which Bernie
progressives coming up the ranks. would be like without somebody had done well, and it was the first
But in terms of having that kind of carrying the torch. I think that debate after the heart attack. Two
stature and ability to command shook people up, like, “Wow, we weeks after the heart attack.
attention, there is only Bernie. would really lose something here,” They had a bus for us, and we
and that was a big boost to the went down to New York. It felt
ARH In terms of electoral campaign. like anything was possible.
position, we had a 15 percent base Standing in that crowd, it could
that wasn’t leaving, regardless of not have been a more beautiful
the national media narrative, The Comeback
day. It could not have been more
whereas every other candidate had perfect. It felt like it was — I
a 15-point swing. Look at Kamala BJG First the news trickled joined the campaign, and I didn’t
Harris’s campaign. She bounced in — I think it was Ilhan Omar, think about whether we were
into second place in the polling and then Rashida Tlaib, and then going to win or lose; it just felt like
after the first debate and then fell aoc. It really did feel like the end something I had to do. But in that
off the face of the earth. of an action movie, where your moment, I think it was the first
hero’s down and out, and there’s time I allowed myself to think,
DS The aoc [Alexandria that nice ending, the figure that
Ocasio-Cortez] thing was huge in truly, that this was possible,
steps in ... I felt a level of affection despite all we know about all of
the sense of creating a for those women, a gratitude, a
comeback-kid narrative, which those institutions that are going to
sense of camaraderie. line up to try to block us. It was so
served us really, really well. Bernie
beautiful.
ARH The truth is, electability JW That was very effective at almost at 30 percent in Iowa and
arguments were a real problem blunting Pete Buttigieg’s New Hampshire, and rising
that we knew about from the start. momentum, allowing Bernie to steadily.
It’s why you saw the “Bernie Beats win in New Hampshire.
ARH Warren’s campaign could
Trump” messaging constantly
ARH In early 2019, if you asked have killed us in October. I
echoed by our campaign. We
me, “What is the ideal world for remember conversations where
needed it to sink in with those
the Bernie campaign coming out we’d say, “She’s going to go on air
voters.
of Iowa?”, it would be to win Iowa and could blow us out of the
JW At the heart of this is the fact without Joe Biden coming in water.” She had the financial
that Bernie Sanders is a principled second. Ideally, second place in resources to do it in the early fall.
candidate. He doesn’t like Iowa would go to a clearly weak Instead, they stayed off tv, except
scorched-earth politics. I will say candidate, who was unlikely to win for a few minor buys. That allowed
that, in this campaign, we did run the Democratic nomination us to start rising. Remember, the
contrast ads against Joe Biden elevating them. That happened. Des Moines Register poll had us in
on Social Security. It was the first fourth in Iowa, and her in first, in
time in Bernie’s career that he JW I’ve also heard some early October.
ran those kinds of ads; we ran them criticism that we were not focused
enough on the activist left. We JW I don’t like to Monday-
in Iowa, and they, in fact, were
were trying to mobilize young morning-quarterback other
effective, frankly.
people, who are on college people’s campaigns, because
ARH The Social Security campuses, trying to mobilize obviously I could be Monday-
contrast was effective against working-class people who have morning-quarterbacked myself.
Biden and did help Bernie move given up on the political process, It’s justifiable — you make
up in Iowa. In Iowa, the more trying to mobilize Latino voters. decisions in the moment that you
voters got to see Biden, the less You have to reach people who are believe are right and that turn out
they liked him. The more voters beyond the normal reach of the not to be right, but you make the
see Bernie, the more they were activist left. It’s just not a big best decision you can in the
reminded of why they liked him. enough pool of people. moment. But I will say that
structurally, her campaign and her
JW After Iowa, with Pete reliance upon inside-the-Beltway
Buttigieg rising rapidly in the polls The Warren Factor
actors, at the end of the day,
and gaining 2 points a day, about became a huge problem that cost
to overcome us, Bernie went to a ARH In 2018, I remember her the nomination. If they had, in
traditional political event in New hearing reports from people that the fall, when they were
Hampshire called Politics & Elizabeth Warren was calling ascendant, gone on TV in a
Eggs — a breakfast event. Bernie them. These are people who would massive way, I think she would
Sanders took out a sheet that had never have endorsed Elizabeth have locked up the nomination
headlines about Pete Buttigieg’s Warren, even if Bernie wasn’t in probably by November, and the
corporate ties and bad positions, the race. campaign would have been over.
and basically just read the But in my view, they had an almost
headlines. JW Obviously, Elizabeth Warren
digital-exclusive notion of politics,
was a complicating factor in the
which in 2080 may be the way to
ARH And it worked. You could race. I don’t think that would
run a race, but in 2020 is not going
see immediately, in the tracking come as a shock to anyone. And it
to do it.
polling, that [Buttigieg’s] was more complicating in the early
momentum just ceased once we fall, when she almost had the ARH If you are asking me what
did that. nomination sealed up. She was Bernie could have done to
convince Elizabeth Warren not biggest acts of political be above the fray for most of the
to run, I don’t think there was malpractice that has ever race and then made her big thing
anything. happened in the Democratic “I’m going to attack Bernie” —
Party. what is wrong with you?
BJG I’d never run a campaign
before. I didn’t really have a sense JW Electoral politics is a very BJG It’s very difficult [to
of what was normal, or what kind specialized endeavor. In many counterattack], for all the reasons
of position you should expect to be ways, it is like a war. And you you understand. We had a
in at a given moment. At that require soldiers to win a war. And month-long media cycle about the
point, it did feel as if Warren was a I think our campaign was better snake emojis, and Elizabeth
much bigger threat, because she staffed with soldiers. Warren’s internet post — at the
was getting a lot of positive media same time that someone brought a
attention, and the argument was Nazi flag to a Bernie Sanders rally,
The Accusation
that if you care about these and it wasn’t covered once.
policies, why not take them
coming from a woman, and then ARH That was probably the most DS I was a fan of Elizabeth
you also get the representational difficult moment in the campaign. Warren; I’ve known her for a long
value? time. How she goes from Joe
DS My first reaction [to the Biden’s biggest critic — which
ARH With the heat they took on sexism accusation] was: “Let me is literally how she’s been in
Medicare for All, they created that get this straight. You haven’t American politics since the
problem for their campaign. criticized or juxtaposed yourself mid-2000s, it’s who she is — and
Bernie was willing to acknowledge against [Biden]? You’re the then she finally gets into the
that the middle class would pay anti-corruption candidate who will championship match with her
more in taxes but save money not ever mention, now, the longtime nemesis, and she
overall. Warren was unwilling to corruption in your own party, suddenly goes silent? I mean, it’s
acknowledge this, which put their won’t punch to the right in the unbelievable. I’ll never be over
campaign in a position of having primary, but the one time you’re that.
a difficult time raising the revenue, going to get in the squabble,
if you accept the claim that you’re going to punch left? That’s
what you’re going to do?” The Front-Runner
you have to pay for it. But you just
have to be willing to have that BJG Well, has Bernie ever had a
conversation and understand that BJG People say a lot of things,
conversation where he said, “It’s but folks tend to be surer with
Republicans are going to say going to be tough, given [Donald]
you’re raising taxes anyway. And their money. [After the Nevada
Trump and his misogyny, and how caucuses,] when the betting
if you are going to make the misogynistic America is — it’s
argument, do it early on in the markets had us winning every
going to be tougher for her to win Super Tuesday state, or close to
campaign. Not in October or this cycle”? I can believe that. I
November. every state ... it was thrilling. We
can believe something like that, had just won, depending on how
DS [Warren] had it in the bag. but it’s very different from what you see it, the first three states.
But she couldn’t close the deal. Warren said, and what Warren Depending on how you feel about
Her campaign collapse is one of hoped to imply was very clear. Iowa, which was ultimately havoc,
the most epic political collapses in DS I don’t even want to engage we had just won. Even the polls in
modern history. We had our in the “Oh, was it true, did he say South Carolina had showed us
mistakes — sure, absolutely. But it?” You only have a certain within 5 points.
the collapse of the Elizabeth number of proverbial punches to
Warren campaign is one of the [throw in a campaign]. She tried to
AFTER BERNIE 25
STRUGGLE SESSION
JW That week after Nevada — excited, hugging Bernie and criticized — he did not want the
we had a theory of the case, as getting selfies. We turn in to the campaign pushing on Elizabeth
every campaign does, about how employee cafeteria, which is a big Warren to drop out. He did not
you win, including how you meeting and congregating place. feel that was the right thing to do.
consolidate the party at some In the front of the room, it was the
same atmosphere. We turn right, BJG Right after Nevada, I
point, and if you look at the week
and there is a guy who is clearly a remember Soledad O’Brien —
after Nevada, what clearly set in
Culinary Union organizer, who they were having the same
was panic among establishment
begins coordinating a group of conversation; they were saying,
players in the party and their allies
workers, sending them over to “Oh, Bernie maybe can do this,”
outside the party. Bernie had just
Bernie, reading stories like, “My and she tweets, “I’ll wait to see
gone three for three.
kid has this disability. Why are what happens when a diverse state
BJG In February, Bernie was you trying to take away my health votes.” [Laughter.] You know,
number one with both black and care?” complete Latino erasure — this is
Latino voters in the polls. Both. I don’t begrudge it at all — it a woman of Cuban descent.
Both! Okay? I never saw a single was good organizing, but you Complete Latino erasure, like,
news story on that. I never turned could see it happening. Now, literally, Latinos did not matter in
on the TV once and saw anybody Bernie’s really good in those this election. Nobody cared about
mention that fact. situations, and he responded that, them. If you were at all paying
of course, they would have health attention, you realized that the
ARH Chris Matthews compared states that are electorally relevant
care under his plan. He wasn’t
Bernie Sanders winning Nevada to in a general election are very
taking it away. They were
the Nazi army advancing across heavily Latino. We’re talking
organizing against Medicare for
Europe, while Chuck Todd about the swing states in the
All and essentially against Bernie.
compared our actual supporters to Southwest, and we’re talking
And it was a complete failure. We
Nazis. about Texas, we’re talking about
won every Strip caucus except
one, which are nearly all Culinary. Florida. Bernie Sanders had 60, 70
BJG And in Nevada, he
percent of the Latino vote. I think
completely exploded the Bernie
JW The demonstration he had to it was 70! It was an outrageous
Bro myth by overwhelmingly
make in terms of electoral supermajority.
winning the Latino vote, although
strength to force a surrender was a
people still don’t appreciate the JW It sure looked like the wheels
much higher bar for him. Nevada
extent to which the Latino vote were coming off our opponent —
almost got us there, but with Joe
helped to propel him in Iowa in Joe Biden had not only lost but
Biden’s better-than-expected
2020. was just decimated in those first
performance in South Carolina,
we needed Super Tuesday, really, three states. They were in panic
ARH We thought we were going
and the delegate lead to create the and rapidly trying to figure out
to win Nevada, but those fifteen
environment where the party what to do. And I think there were
Strip caucuses? That would be a
establishment would acknowledge other people who were Bernie-
tough climb. The Culinary Union
defeat. sympathetic or, let’s say, open to
controls those rooms, and we were
Bernie, who were waiting for just a
obviously not in a good place with
ARH There was a concerted little bit more of a push, and the
their union’s leadership. We were
effort to work hard to get more expectation was that that push
staying at an mgm property, and
mainstream endorsements. Bernie would come after Super Tuesday,
we did a back-of-house visit at the
did call a bunch of the candidates with a demonstration of support
Grand.
who had dropped out. He actually broadly across the country.
So, we walk in. All of these
did make those calls. The thing we
culinary workers are super
did not do, that people have
AFTER BERNIE 27
STRUGGLE SESSION
ARH Buttigieg makes the these problems we have are so Obama and all of that stuff, but at
decision to drop out simply to enormous.” And Biden said, “If the end of the day, 30 percent of
prevent Bernie from winning. you elect me, for the next eight voters in North Carolina and
years, you can all just go back to Michigan, some of those earlier
JW The media narrative in that sleep! I’ll fix everything, and it will voting states — that’s why I know,
period, that short period between go back to normal.” And if you’re because it’s before we went into
South Carolina and Super the average voter, you’re like: quarantine — thought that Joe
Tuesday, was overwhelming. “You’re telling me I can vote for Biden supported Medicare for All.
Joe Biden, and everything will be Sanders was thought to be the
ARH That was what ultimately
easy? Cool!” best, most trusted person on
beat us. The question is, what
health care, close next to Joe
could the campaign do to stop that
Biden, who was up there.
collective action among moderates The End of the
Enormous percentages of Joe
that took place over the course of Campaign Biden supporters, people who
basically twenty-four hours?
actually pulled the lever for him,
JW If you look at the Warren- ARH Now lockdowns are thought that he supported
plus-Bernie total in Texas, Bernie starting, and there are two Medicare for All. That’s true. The
wins; Bernie wins Massachusetts, elements — Bernie rightfully vast majority of voters have no
Bernie wins Maine, Bernie wins believes his voice is important. He idea about his record on Social
Minnesota. Everybody’s voting wants to make sure the issues he Security, including black voters.
base is complicated and diverse. I cares deeply about are still part of
the national dialogue. It’s not ARH The secret about Social
don’t just mean racially diverse, I
about him, it’s about the issues. Security is that older voters are
mean politically diverse.
not as impacted by Social Security
Motivations are diverse. But I
DS I reject the idea that in the messaging. Whereas voters
think it is fair to say — certainly
2020 campaign, the problem was approaching Social Security age
the research I saw showed that the
that Bernie didn’t reach out [to the are very responsive. People in
overwhelming [majority] — not
Democratic establishment]. I just their fifties are much more
entirely, but the vast majority — of
fundamentally reject that idea. I responsive to messages about
Warren voters were second-choice
think folks with that analysis Social Security than people in
Bernie. With Biden consolidating
fundamentally do not understand their eighties.
the center and us having votes
campaigns in general, and
split on the Left, we just were not BJG I think it’s a mistake to give
specifically the challenges of what
able to get over that last hurdle. up on older voters. I think it was a
we were trying to accomplish.
When people conflate the fact mistake for the campaign not to
that the establishment rallied ARH Bernie actually met with target older voters. I felt like a lot
around Joe Biden after Nevada [Jim] Clyburn a number of times of times, our advertising on
with the rigging that went on in in 2018 and 2019. They were Twitter was preaching to the
2016 — to me, those are very meeting about community health choir. Bernie had a platform for
different things. It’s not a shock to center legislation. That’s much older voters. He had Social
me, nor do I think it’s out of line more effective and important than Security expansion and
that the establishment would rally a conversation between Bernie protection — a record of actually
around their candidate in the and Clyburn focused on “will you protecting it. He had home health
election. endorse me in the primary,” which care.
was always an impossibility.
DS Bernie said, “If you elect me, DS Former vice presidents have
the next eight years are going to be BJG You can sit around and talk never run for president and not
all struggle and fighting, because about black voters and Barack won their party’s nomination.
They are the archetype of the debate. That was the last time I one-foot-out-of-the-tent ... it
inside establishment, by went to the office, watching the probably won’t work. If you’re
definition. debate. Bernie did a good job, but going to run as a revolutionary,
he needed to eviscerate Biden — it and that’s Bernie’s word —
BJG Literally no one, of the didn’t happen that way. It “political revolution” — if you’re
twenty-six candidates or however probably wasn’t his fault; the going to run as a revolutionary,
many there were, took any media coverage just allowed Biden you’re off-brand when you are
meaningful aim at Joe Biden, with to lie repeatedly throughout that trying to show or behave in a way
the exception of Julián Castro, debate, didn’t call him on it, so it that suggests that you’re on the
who basically got slapped on the was perceived to be an even draw. inside.
wrist for it — for being a mean, But then, that same night, you had
ungrateful boy! For dipping his toe Symone Sanders telling people BJG We had tools in our arsenal
in that water. And Cory Booker that it was safe to go and vote, that, I think, could have put a dent
had one little line — he had a when the cdc [Centers for in Joe Biden’s support. But Joe
post-debate interview where he Disease Control and Prevention] Biden was in the lead the entire
hinted at it, and I think the mood had just issued recommendations time, and there were other
in the room shifted such that he that it was not, in fact, safe to be in moments in the campaign when
basically petered off and dropped a group of more than fifty people. the other candidates rallied
it because it was toxic. together to come for the one who
ARH I think those of us who are had emerged at the top.
ARH Bernie is a fighter. If he’s more ideologically inclined or on Sometimes that was Bernie,
punched, he will punch back. But the activist left, we underestimate obviously — pretty much every
he does not like personal attacks. the extent to which a lot of debate — but there was a moment
That is not how he believes politics working-class people who vote in when it was Michael Bloomberg.
should work. Democratic Party primaries like There is strength in numbers, and
DS If you’re like, “I realize I’m their party and its leaders. Unlike it’s interesting that nobody ever
running for a real political in the Republican field, voters tried that with Joe Biden, either
revolution; that means I wouldn’t stand [it] if Bernie because they didn’t see him as a
understand that I’m going to need started making comments like real threat, which would have been
to take down and defeat the Trump made about Ted Cruz in naive, or because they didn’t want
former vice president in a singular 2016 — which Bernie would never to hurt him. Depending on how
way, and I’m going to wake up do. Especially with regard to conspiratorial you’re feeling at a
every day knowing that that is my Biden, who was generally well given moment ...
job,” I think that would have given liked, even by those not voting for
him. JW Bernie had said from the
us the best chance to win. I’m not beginning of 2020, just as he had
sure we would have won. Really, DS It is very, very difficult, in 2016, that he was going to
I’m not. But I think that would arguably impossible, to run from support the Democratic nominee.
have given us the best chance to the actual outside. Not the fake And it became clear after Super
win. outside, but the real outside — to Tuesday, and confirmed by the
BJG It seems that, out of the represent an actual challenge to contests after that, that Biden was
tragedy that was the coronavirus the system. And we haven’t had a going to get the requisite number
crisis, there was an opportunity to candidate who has really mounted of delegates; Bernie was not. But
break through on messaging. And a serious campaign challenging the the fight for a more equitable,
remember, what we had was that system from the Left in ... I mean, more progressive America is not
last debate — we immediately at the presidential level, I can’t over.
went into quarantine after the name one in a hundred years. The
one-foot-in-the-tent,
AFTER BERNIE 29
STRUGGLE SESSION
ARH What I am amazed by gaslighting was worse — it was our problem. Our biggest problem
sometimes, in the online like they hadn’t organized yet; it at the tail end of the primary was
discourse, is that sometimes you was less effective. It felt, in some the sheer quantity of negative
get, “You should have just gotten ways, more hopeful, looking at it messages being directed at us and
Bernie to do x, and then from the outside. positive messages about Biden on
everything would have been There’s not a ton you can do to cable news and other media. There
better.” I don’t think silver bullets push back against millions of was a study that showed we faced a
exist, or they rarely exist in dollars in free advertising for your more than $70 million earned
politics. There is the occasional opponent, unless you’re willing to media blitz in the three days
Todd Akin moment, but they are take on a truly outsider position, between South Carolina and Super
very rare, and it’s usually a the way that, frankly, Donald Tuesday. But I don’t know what
mistake by your opponent, not Trump did, and go whole hog on another $10 million in paid media
something you’ve done. the media, completely invest in does for us on Super Tuesday,
your own independent messaging, especially considering the fact that
BJG It’s hard for me to sit here throw money at Facebook ads and Joe Biden wasn’t spending shit.
and Monday-morning- your own videos, and do stunts
quarterback when, in many ways, that command the attention of the BJG Sometimes I do wonder if a
2016 was more successful. It was media, draw strong contrasts with last-ditch Hail Mary, where Bernie
very different. We won more your opponents. morphed into the person that he
states; the race was closer; the race was portrayed as but never
went longer; the opposition was ARH The problem we faced in was — you know, actually loud,
openly disgusted; the Stop Bernie the end, the deficit that existed, actually aggressive, actually in
movement was less explicit, or was not the amount of paid media your face and critical of the other
something. It felt like the or field staff we had. That was not candidates — then it might have
turned it around. But I don’t know Where We Go Now progressive, or social democratic,
how helpful it is to imagine, or in some cases even socialist. But
because I also want to respect that even if we are successful, that
JW One of the areas we have
not doing it that way did [in 2016], other part of the party is not going
seen progress is in the
I think, contribute to Bernie’s to go away in the two-party
composition of the party. I
being the most trusted, most liked, system. You have got to make sure
remember the first dnc meeting
most popular politician in the that the social-democratic wing of
that I was with Bernie at in
country. the party is the dominant wing.
2015 — the summer meeting held
The good news is the seeds of
DS This whole “revolutionary in Minneapolis. We walked into
that change are happening. In the
versus reformer” thing — Bernie that meeting, and it was like a
wake of 2016, there were huge
tried to thread the needle, and by procession of exotic animals that
numbers of Bernie-aligned people
the way, I think you can thread the people had never seen, from
who were elected to the dnc as a
needle as a legislator. I actually another planet. We were so
result of Bernie winning in states
think you can as a senator or as a removed from their world.
across the country. You go to a
House member. I do think you can That shouldn’t be surprising,
meeting now, and 25, 30 percent
represent a political revolution because with the ascendancy of
of the dnc-elected officials are
and also operate in the system. the neoliberals in the 1990s, the
Bernie people, maybe more. And
But I think if you’re running to orientation of the Democratic
the tone — the room is just
actually run the system and Party switched to being one
different. You can’t believe the
change the paradigm at the very, controlled by neoliberal
progressive wing of the party
very top, you’ve got to pick one or professional classes — but that
doesn’t exist when a third of the
the other. retained a wing which is
room is Bernie people.
AFTER BERNIE 31
STRUGGLE SESSION
75%
Social-democratic
policy views Sanders
70% net favorability
65%
60%
55%
50%
45%
R² = 0.7492
40%
115%
105%
Social-democratic
95% policy views
85%
75%
65%
55%
45%
35% R² = 0.5437
25%
Sanders-Biden preference
15%
AFTER BERNIE 35
VULGAR EMPIRICIST
The chart divides white registered Despite their very real Republican The average social-democratic
voters into nine groups, defined leanings, non-college-educated score for lower-income whites
by three education categories whites are more supportive without college degrees (0.58) is
(no college, some college, and four- of Bernie Sanders’s core social- 0.12 points higher than that for
year degree) and three income democratic policy agenda than are upper-income whites with college
categories (the lower, middle, and whites with college degrees, degrees (0.46). That difference
upper thirds of the income even though levels of Democratic is large — amounting to more than
distribution). identification are much greater 20 percent of the gap between
within the latter group. Taken as the average liberal Democrat
Importantly, we have adjusted
overall averages, the difference and the average conservative
incomes for differences in age, so
between the two education groups Republican.
that a person in, say, the “top
isn’t that large — 0.54 versus 0.49.
third” income category is in the
But within each education Data from: Tausanovitch, Chris and
upper third of their age group,
group, income levels move steeply Lynn Vavreck. 2020. Democracy
rather than of Americans as a Fund + UCLA Nationscape, October
and negatively with scores on
whole. This way we can be sure 10-17, 2019 (version 20200131).
the social-democratic index.
that the income differences we see Retrieved from voterstudygroup.org,
here aren’t merely due to differ- compiled by Seth Ackerman.
ences in age.
How We Lost
Michigan
AFTER BERNIE 37
UNEVEN & COMBINED
AFTER BERNIE 39
Reading
Materiel
TAKE A LOOK,
IT’S IN A BOOK
READING MATERIEL
CANON FODDER BY ANTON JÄGER & DOMINIK LEUSDER
AFTER BERNIE 41
CANON FODDER
plainly outclasses most of them, into an established discourse society is destined to be unequal,
however, is in sheer empirical without a proper grasp of the he insists. Sweden was formerly
curiosity: here is a serious attempt notes. When asked whether he had one of the most unequal countries
to map our social world without read Karl Marx’s Capital at all, in the Western hemisphere —
resorting to easy abstractions. Piketty replied that he found the only after a decades-long struggle
Piketty loves a good graph, and it’s work “too difficult.” waged by the country’s labor
often a joy to behold. movement did it become an exem-
In the end, Piketty’s notion of
plar of social mobility. Inequality
But data sets are ultimately no capital is too rigidly economic,
declined, not because of culture or
substitute for a theory of history. lacking the rich social context
nature, but through the political
Too often, Capital and Ideology in which Marx embeds it, caught
will to replace one dominant
feels like a form of structuralism on the surface level of balance
ideology with another.
for the ted Talk age. Though sheets and inheritance sums.
Piketty has read the literature and Piketty’s methodology is quantita- Piketty summarizes his book’s
mastered the statistics, his tive, after all. Mesmerized by central argument near the
analysis lacks the glue needed to numbers, he barely explores the beginning: “every society must
tie all these facts together. question of how certain forms attempt to answer questions
of wealth differ across historical about how it should be organized,
There is, after all, some merit
periods. usually on the basis of its own
to the “Marxsplaining” criticism
historical experience but some-
of the great economist’s work.
times also on the experiences
Modern Times
As the French philosopher of other societies.” In this context,
Frédéric Lordon noted, Piketty Even so, Marxists can learn a lot “ideology” is a way of justifying
is effectively “playing the Marxist” from Piketty’s work. What it lacks social arrangements that might
without having learned the in synthesis, it makes up for in disproportionately benefit certain
instruments, Auto-Tuning his way sheer sophistication and scope. No groups. Each society will one
AFTER BERNIE 43
CANON FODDER
day have to come up with its own world, and a new round of
intellectual justification for how it quantitative easing is turbo-
is organized. charging inequality. In this
landscape, Piketty risks becoming
But Piketty also overstates the
a political equivalent of
importance of ideology — in his
WikiLeaks.
sense of the term — as an explana-
tion for the stability of modern WikiLeaks played a courageous
capitalism. That stability probably role, exposing the crimes that
owes far more to a mood of were being committed by govern-
resignation, as people make peace ments all over the world: mass
with a world that is hostile to surveillance, extrajudicial killings,
their flourishing. They know this and illegal wars. Yet the public
world to be a product of human impact of such revelations was
agency, but they cannot control it. limited. In the absence of a
credible social agency that could
Our everyday relationship to
challenge the status quo,
markets is a perfect example of this
whistleblowing alone can’t rouse
dynamic at work. Although we
people out of their complacence.
know that the action of human
Sure, things may be bad, but
beings is what establishes prices in
what difference does that knowl-
a market, we can’t simply decide
edge make if we see no way of ever
collectively to change those prices.
improving them?
We depend on markets for
survival, and we have to accept Over the last ten years, we have
them as if they were an immutable witnessed an explosion of empir-
product of nature. “Ideology,” ical scholarship on inequality,
here, is not so much a matter of driven partly by a data revolution
conscious elite manipulation in econometrics and increasingly
as it is a fate to which we resign digitized archives. Political
ourselves. movements challenging these
inequalities have wielded Piketty’s
In the end, it’s easier to rationalize
data sets as intellectual weapons.
our own suffering than to imagine
But without a practical strategy
that things could be different.
and the organizational weight to
The Bernie Sanders campaign
bring it to fruition, these move-
asked Americans to make a bet on
ments struggled to win the broad
“political revolution”: many of
popular support they needed to
them found that bet too risky.
effect change.
As well as the specific issue of antisemitism, the comment on the Manchester Arena bombing of May
report sheds light on Labour’s wider organizational 2017 captures both aspects of their mentality: “In
culture during the first three years of Corbyn’s the face of a terror attack, normal people do not blame
leadership. Jennie Formby’s predecessor, Iain foreign intervention. They blame immigration.”
McNicol, remained in his post until March 2018,
Most British journalists have ignored the report, citing
along with many other staffers who effectively
vague legal concerns, although nobody has questioned
controlled the party’s considerable resources. The
the authenticity of the messages between party
report reproduces WhatsApp conversations between
officials. Keir Starmer set up an inquiry that bore all
those staffers, where they discussed their work
the hallmarks of a cover-up, though he had to
for Labour.
abandon plans to appoint one of the people who
It shows that they were bitterly hostile to Corbyn’s features heavily in the report as Labour’s new general
leadership at all times on ideological grounds, and secretary.
that they wanted Labour to suffer a heavy defeat
At a time when the history of British politics from
in the 2017 general election. They greeted Labour’s
2015 onward is being frantically rewritten to
unexpectedly strong performance in that election,
the detriment of Jeremy Corbyn, the leaked report
depriving the Conservatives of their parliamentary
confirms in abundant detail one of the principal
majority, with unconcealed horror.
claims made by Corbyn’s supporters: from the very
The report also reveals a deeply troubling attitude beginning of his leadership, he had to grapple with
toward racism on the part of Labour’s anti-Corbyn a campaign of sabotage from Labour’s intransigent
old guard, along with their strong commitment right-wing faction, who preferred a Tory government
to a militarized, neo-imperial foreign policy. One of any kind to a Labour Party with a left program.
AFTER BERNIE 45
FIELD NOTES
bombing and the wider issue of I have never been more ashamed to work
AFTER BERNIE 47
FIELD NOTES
campaign slowly and not doing and the polling was done after the
anything political Manchester attack
I despise these people more than ever so with a bit of luck this speech will show
a clear polling decline
Corbyn praised “the solidarity, and we shall all be able to point to how
humanity and compassion that disgusting they truly are
we have seen on the streets (now obviously we know it was never
real — but that isnt [sic] the point
of Manchester this week” and
in politics!
urged people not to hold
Muslims collectively responsible 09:13 Francis Grove-White
for the actions of the terrorist, Yeah I’m sure that’s right
Salman Abedi.
09:16 Francis Grove-White
I actually felt quite sick when I saw that And whether or not JC goes, lots of the
YouGov poll last night membership will buy that argument
Like after the referendum when they
The YouGov poll put Labour distorted the polling and claimed wee [sic]
at 38 percent — the party’s had overtaken the Tories before the
“coup” happpened
best polling score by that stage
of the campaign — with the A poll conducted by YouGov
Tories at 43 percent. after the Manchester speech
showed that a plurality of
09:12 Jo Greening
voters believed the UK was
no its [sic] great wrong to participate in mili-
tary action against Iraq in
09:12 Francis Grove-White 1991, Afghanistan in 2001,
Not that I think we will end up there or Iraq in 2003, and Libya in
probably anywhere near 2011. And 55 percent believed
that Tony Blair’s invasion
09:12 Jo Greening
of Iraq was wrong: just
and I shall tell you why
18 percent now supported
it is a peak
the war.
48 № 38 / SUMMER 2020
Leaked Labour Report
AFTER BERNIE 49
FIELD NOTES
those crazy people who now make up our I CANNOT WAIT to see Andrew Neil rip
membership never want us to win in him to pieces over it tonight
anycase [sic]
they are communists
and green supporters The campaign ended two weeks
even if Manchester hadnt [sic] happened after Corbyn’s Manchester speech,
and we got smashed with Labour winning 40 percent of
they would have never changed the vote — the party’s best result
their minds
since 2001, and the biggest increase
in vote share for either of the two
09:23 Francis Grove-White
main parties since 1945. While
Yeah that’s true
I agree with all of that. And I think you’re
Labour supporters were jubilant,
right — most people will see this speech for the mood in Southside was more
the nonsencial [sic] and ill-judged turd subdued: party officials described
that it really is
themselves as being “in need of
Andrew Grice of the liberal counseling,” “stunned and reeling,”
Independent confidently silent and grey faced.” According to
predicted that Corbyn’s speech one official, Tracey Allen, the result
would backfire: “This is a was “opposite to what i had been
debate the Tories are delighted working towards for the last couple
to have; it will help them a lot of years.”
more than it does Labour.”
YouGov, on the other hand, June 8, 2017
found that “voters from across
all parties were more likely to 22:24 Julie Lawrence
side with the Corbyn stance Patrick if anyone in war room needs some
safe space time they can come to gso
than not . . . in most instances
Corbyn appears to be on the GSO: General Secretary’s
right side of public opinion.” Office
Awful
22:48 Emilie Oldknow
Help
Oh no
June 9, 2017
22:47 Emilie Oldknow
And at least we have loads of
money now ... 13:30 Sarah Mulholland
Kensington and Chelsea? I’ve just woken
up and confused by Twitter. Did we
gain it???
AFTER BERNIE 51
FIELD NOTES
Days after the election, the 2019 general election after the
Grenfell Tower fire killed anti-Brexit “Best for Britain”
seventy-two people in Emma campaign and the liberal
Dent Coad’s new constituency. Observer urged pro-Remain
Dent Coad was widely praised voters in the constituency to
for her work representing the support the Liberal
families of the victims. Democrats. Dent Coad was an
opponent of Brexit who sup-
13:30 Patrick Heneghan
ported a second referendum;
Count again at 6pm the Lib Dem candidate was a
Tory defector who lied about
13:31 Sarah Mulholland Grenfell during the election
Omg. That Emma Coad is a grade 1 tool. campaign.
Dent Coad narrowly lost her
seat to the Conservatives in the
READING MATERIEL
CANON FODDER BY HANNAH PROCTOR
Reading Victor
Serge from the
Depths of Defeat
In Christian Petzgold’s 2018 film police cars are contemporary, most on a drifting wreck,” gambling
Transit, a man assumes the details are not updated. The for matchsticks and drinking on
identity of a dead anti-Nazi writer. parallels are oblique rather than deck, remarking on the incon-
He circles, alongside other direct, as Petzgold shows how gruous persistence of apparent
refugees, among bureaucrats in the violent regimes, persecutions, frivolities in dark times: the “true
Marseille in an attempt to secure and displacements of the present end of the world will be the day
the requisite paperwork to leave resemble, without being identical there are no more cocktails.”
Europe. Although it is based on to, those of the past. Notebooks: 1936–1947 documents
a 1944 novel of the same name by his final years. Following
Seghers herself left Marseille
the German Jewish Communist international protests, Serge was
for Mexico in 1941. On the same
Anna Seghers, the film is set in permitted to leave the Soviet
boat was the writer and agitator
something resembling the present, Union in 1936, just before Stalin’s
Victor Serge (1890–1947). He
shot through with anachronisms — purges, living in exile in Belgium
describes the “castoffs of Europe
though the streets, cafés, and and France and then escaping to
AFTER BERNIE 55
CANON FODDER
Serge’s rejection of the lives of people he knew who anti-Stalinist but non-Trotskyist
were executed in Stalinist and poum in the Spanish Civil War),
historical fatalism Francoist prisons or killed in Nazi Serge expresses exasperation that
is tied to his conviction concentration camps, battles, the “gossip of narrow-minded
that “we have an and sieges, as well as those who malevolent sectarians” continued.
died from disease, old age, or But despite tensions, he is
unforeseeable future suicide. He expresses occasional determined to maintain a relation-
in our hands.” guilt at sitting in calm gardens ship with Sedova, whom he sees as
listening to birdsong in the midst the only other survivor of “twenty
of war but acknowledges that years of struggles.” He describes
“it’s mad to wish, even subcon- her as a “living shadow,” mourning
sciously, unconsciously, for not only her partner but “an era
everyone’s participation in the and an uncountable crowd.”
catastrophe.” They share an “immense bereave-
ment” — for individuals, for a
Though long accustomed to exile,
collective, for an unrealized ideal.
Serge complains in his notebooks
But Serge makes clear that
of the absence of the “environ-
mourning should be combined
ment” previously provided by his
with a continued commitment
comrades: “Terribly difficult to
to life: “All our ideas about death
create in a void, without the least
are ideas of the living. To think
support, without any atmosphere.”
of death is an act of life, an act of
Yet despite struggling to find
faith in life.”
publishers, he wrote prolifically in
this period — novels, memoirs, Despite isolation, political defeat,
essays, articles, letters, poems — and incalculable grief, Serge
and described his capacity to persisted in writing in collective
continue working as a capacity for rather than personal terms.
hope. “Perhaps a secret joy is Petzgold’s adaptation of Seghers’s
needed to write a poem, even in the novel demonstrates that historical
depths of suffering,” he wrote. analogies are never precise, but
as another global catastrophe was
Serge does not doubt that the
unfolding, I found myself writing
“tyrannies will last longer than I
lines from Serge’s notebooks
have left to live,” yet he never
in mine: “In the depths of defeat
stops imagining that things might
what is left to us is nonconsent
one day improve through renewed
to the inhuman; the refusal to
collective efforts. Though he
close our eyes; the refusal to lose
expresses no optimism for the
hope in ourselves and so in
immediate future, his rejection of
everything.”
historical fatalism is tied to his
conviction that “we have an
Image Credits: Victor Serge. Death mask,
unforeseeable future in our hands.” from front, left and right. Serge, V. “Una
página del diario de Victor Serge. Los
In Mexico City, he pays visits to
Alemanes” typescript, corrected. Serge,
Leon Trotsky’s widow, Natalia V. (1940). “L'assassinat de Trotsky (d'après
Sedova. Alienated from the Fourth les journaux américains du moment)”
International (he supported the typescript, corrected.
3
Bernie Sanders’s MATT KARP
How he lost and where we
4
Five-Year War go from here.
5
8
One mild April afternoon in 2015, deep within Sanders lost. He waged a five-year war
the ideological dead zone of the second Obama against the billionaire class and the Democratic
9 administration, Bernie Sanders took a break Party’s leadership — a war across six Aprils —
from his Senate workday and stalked out to the and in the end, he was beaten on both fronts.
10 lawn in front of the Capitol building. Unfolding Those of us who soldiered in Bernie’s beaten
a crinkled sheet of notes, the Vermont senator army must reckon hard with the nature and
11 took less than ten minutes to tell reporters significance of this defeat.
why he was running for president: Americans The Sanders project was among the most
12 were working longer hours for lower wages, significant left political events of the twenty-
while the rich feasted on profits and billionaires first century, linking for the first time minimal
13
ruled the political system. The country faced but foundational socialist demands to a base
its greatest crisis since the Great Depression, of millions in the nerve center of global capi-
14
he said. talism. Its conclusive defeat this spring, amid
Five years later, on an April morning an apocalyptic atmosphere of disease, depres-
15
in 2020, Sanders stood inside his home in sion, and unrest, offers enormous temptation
16
Burlington, Vermont, and announced that for the Left to fall into despair.
he was suspending his second campaign for Already, we have seen a range of broad-
17 president. This race, like the contest four sides against Sanders and the legacy of his
years earlier, had ended in defeat, and though campaigns, whether inflected by the far left,
18 Bernie gave an inspirational fifteen-minute pleased to move on from a long detour into
speech — quoting Nelson Mandela and electoral politics; the liberal center, eager to
19 thanking supporters for their blood, sweat, submerge all possibility outside the present
tears, and social media posts — even a sym- field of vision; or the traditionalist right, only
20 pathetic viewer might wonder what, exactly, too happy to proclaim a left-wing retreat from
all this passionate effort had yielded. class to culture war.
21
Income and wealth inequality have soared The corporate press, meanwhile, has
to new heights; a billionaire sits in the White jumped at the chance to throw Bernie — and
22
House, while the opposition party turns to his insistent call for massive material redistri-
its own billionaires for leadership; and the bution, funded by corporate profits — straight
23
covid-19 pandemic has left the United States into the dustbin of history. Even the mass
24
not merely approaching its greatest crisis protests over the police murder of George
since the Great Depression but thoroughly Floyd somehow became an occasion for the
25 immersed in it. New York Times to announce the end of
26
AFTER BERNIE 57
BERNIE SANDERS’S FIVE-YEAR WAR
A B
the Sanders era. “Bernie Sanders Predicted testing scandal in Atlanta schools, and Martin
Revolution, Just Not This One,” blared the O’Malley’s record as Baltimore mayor. This
headline, building off intersectionality theo- was no more than what was due for a candi-
rist Kimberlé Crenshaw’s analysis that “every date polling at 3 percent, in a newspaper that
corporation worth its salt” has now surpassed had not actually printed the words “Medicare
Sanders in the battle against “structural racism for All” in the calendar year before Sanders
and anti-blackness.” Goodbye Medicare for entered the race.
All, hello Jeff Bezos clapping back against “All From the perspective of 2020, it is diffi-
Lives Matter.” cult to remember the narrowness of the policy
These are all artifacts of defeat. Sanders girdle that fitted American left liberalism in the
lost, and both his fair-weather friends and his years just before Bernie’s first campaign. As
permanent enemies are now eager to consign progressives like Keith Ellison, Michael Moore,
him to the grave. But neither a defeat at the and Susan Sarandon urged Elizabeth Warren
polls nor a shift in the discourse is reason to to run for president, the Massachusetts senator
abandon the essence of Bernie’s struggle. Mass appeared alongside Tom Perez at an afl-cio
protests against police violence and racism summit in January 2015. There, Warren won
can only begin to realize their aims if joined headlines for a “fiery” speech in which she
to a broader, Sanders-style democratic move- denounced “trickle-down economics” and
ment — large enough to shape national politics called for new financial regulations, the
and determined enough to challenge capital — enforcement of existing labor laws, protec-
capable of winning the material concessions tions for Medicare and Social Security, and
necessary for a truly free and equal society. an unspecified increase in the minimum wage.
An accurate balance sheet for the Sanders “The striking thing about this progres-
campaigns must have at least two columns: sive factional agenda,” noted Vox’s Matthew
first, an accounting of achievement, substantial Yglesias at the time, “is there’s really nothing
on its own terms and unprecedented in more on it that Barack Obama or Hillary Clinton
than fifty years of US political history; and would disagree with.”
second, a reckoning with limits, which now, Today, that 2015 reform package sounds
in the aftermath of 2020, appear both larger a lot like the Joe Biden 2020 platform, and
and more intractable than at almost any point no one, outside of a tiny caste of professional
since 2016. propagandists, affects to call it “left-wing.”
To this accounting we can add a third Bernie’s five-year war, even in defeat, taught
column, on the prospects for future struggle — the American left two fundamental lessons.
foreshortened in the present, blurry in the First, it demonstrated that bold social-
near future, but possibly brighter in the democratic ideas, well beyond the regulatory
decades ahead. ambitions of Obama-era progressives, can
win a mass base in today’s United States. An
uncompromising demand for the federal gov-
I. Bernie’s Achievement: ernment to provide essential social goods for
Two Lessons all Americans — from health care and college
tuition to childcare and family leave — stood at
When Bernie Sanders announced his candi- the heart of the Sanders project from beginning
dacy in 2015, his press conference appeared on to end. Starting at 3 percent in the polls and
page a21 of the New York Times, far behind conducting two presidential campaigns almost
articles about the Obama presidential library, a
C D
entirely on the strength of this platform, spectrum, from centrists like Claire McCaskill
Sanders built the most influential left-wing and Chris Matthews to liberals like Barney
challenge in modern history. Frank and Paul Krugman — universally
Yes, candidates from Jesse Jackson to scorned the Sanders campaign and its agenda.
Dennis Kucinich also supported single-payer Yet in other ways, the depth of Democratic
health insurance, but their campaigns did not opposition to Sanders was not obvious until
end with polls showing a newfound majority of this year, either to Bernie’s friends or to his
Americans backing Medicare for All, let alone enemies. Throughout February, as Sanders
massive supermajorities among Democrats won New Hampshire and lapped the field
and voters under sixty-five. Yes, leftists from in Nevada, panicked centrist commentators
Michael Harrington to Ralph Nader had long called on the remaining Democrats in the
declared that a bipartisan corporate class rules race to unite behind a single anti-Bernie can-
America, but they did not turn that insight didate. But their palpable angst betrayed a
into a political movement capable of winning near-universal belief that this would not actu-
primaries in New Hampshire, Michigan, ally happen. For “a critical mass” of Bernie’s
or California. rivals to withdraw at the last minute, reported
Nor is the partial success of the Sanders the New York Times on February 27, “seems
campaigns merely a hollow “discourse victory.” like the least likely outcome.”
It has presented concrete evidence for a prop- We all know what happened next. Just
osition that mainstream political observers three days later, on the evening before Super
scoffed at five years ago, and that the American Tuesday, Pete Buttigieg and Amy Klobuchar
left itself had grandly announced rather than suddenly withdrew from the race and endorsed
demonstrated: that “democratic socialism,” Joe Biden, joined by Beto O’Rourke, Harry
driven by opposition to billionaire-class rule Reid, and dozens more prominent Democrats
and dedicated to universal public goods, can and former Obama officials.
win the support of millions, not just thousands. This great consolidation around Biden,
Across the last half century, any activist with following his victory in South Carolina, pro-
a bullhorn could proclaim this to be true, but duced perhaps $100 million in “free” laudatory
Bernie Sanders actually fucking proved it. media coverage — more than Sanders spent on
Of course, as Bernie’s defeat makes clear, advertising all campaign long — compressed
there is a vast gulf between winning exit polls into a single weekend before the most critical
and winning power. If the Sanders campaigns election of the primary. The result was a Super
illuminated American social democra- Tuesday stampede for Biden, even in states
cy’s unknown political resources, they also where Sanders had led the pack only a week
revealed, in a dramatic fashion, the determi- before, from Maine to Texas. It gave Biden a
nation of their opponents. This is the second commanding lead that he never relinquished.
practical lesson of Bernie’s five-year war: the In retrospect, it may seem hopelessly naive
unanimity and ferocity of elite Democratic for Sanders and his allies to have counted on
resistance, not only to Sanders himself, but an indefinite division of the Democratic field.
to the essence of his platform. Yet there is a reason that even Bernie’s most
In its general outlines, this has been vis- bitter enemies shared the same calculus, with
ible since early in the 2016 campaign, when dozens of party operatives telling the Times
Democratic Party officials, TV pundits, and in late February that it might take a brokered
prestige print writers — across an ideological convention to stop him.
AFTER BERNIE 59
BERNIE SANDERS’S FIVE-YEAR WAR
A B
After all, Buttigieg was proclaimed the popular support in his own name than on
winner in Iowa and finished a close second in gamely joining the team effort to halt Sanders
New Hampshire; never since the birth of the and “save the party.”
modern primary system has a candidate with The speed and thoroughness of this elite
that profile quit the race nearly so early. Even consolidation — which also made Biden
as an ideological move to throttle the Left, an instant donor-class favorite — makes a
the Biden coalescence had no precedent in mockery of the implausible idea, floated by
its swiftness and near-perfect coordination. some reporters and pundits, that Sanders
When Jesse Jackson briefly threatened to blew a golden opportunity to win over the
take the Democratic Party by storm in 1988, Democratic establishment through better
establishment rivals Michael Dukakis, Al Gore, manners.
Dick Gephardt, and Paul Simon all remained Obama, Hillary Clinton, and their cor-
in the running until the end of March, when porate allies — never mind the consultants,
more than thirty-five primary contests were hedge fund managers, and tech ceos who
complete. built “Mayor Pete” — did not capriciously
This time, the core establishment forces decide to close ranks against Bernie because
managed to clear the field after just four prima- he did not make enough polite, endorse-
ries, leaving just a single centrist alternative to ment-seeking phone calls after Nevada.
Biden, the vain billionaire Michael Bloomberg. Their profound ideological opposition to
(Elizabeth Warren’s persistence in the race the Sanders project has been plain for a long
only helped the anti-Sanders effort, since she time; what we didn’t know is just how rapidly
was somewhat more likely to siphon votes and effectively that private opposition could
from the left than the center.) And after Super be translated into public fact.
Tuesday, of course, Bloomberg promptly quit This hard lesson is not only enough to
and endorsed Biden. Warren, when she left the prevent anyone in the Sanders camp from
race, would do Sanders no such favor. looking for meaningful concessions from
Though, in many ways, the Democratic the Biden campaign; it underlines the sharp
Party of 2020 is much weaker than it was thirty limits of any institutional politics within
years ago — it controls eleven fewer state legis- the existing Democratic Party. Whatever
latures, for instance — the current Democratic Democratic voters think — and most of them
leadership, in its influence over party politi- like Bernie Sanders and his platform — the
cians, is stronger than ever. Buttigieg, who had dominant bulk of Democratic officials oppose
campaigned hard in Super Tuesday states — them both with an organized vigor they
on February 29, he held the primary’s single seldom bring to combat with Republicans.
largest rally in Tennessee — did not drop out In 2016, Sanders won more than 40
because of a predictably poor showing in South percent of the primary popular vote but
Carolina. (Even there, he still finished ahead earned endorsements from just 3.7 percent
of Warren for the fourth consecutive race.) of congressional Democrats (seven of 187
Buttigieg abruptly abandoned millions representatives). Against a far more crowded
of dollars of advertising and perhaps thirty field in 2020, Sanders won the first three con-
thousand Super Tuesday volunteers because tests and around 35 percent of the vote, but
Barack Obama told him to — and because he got the support of just 3.8 percent of congres-
knew that his own career prospects, in today’s sional Democrats (nine of 232). That is not a
Democratic Party, depend less on winning marker of institutional progress.
C
Primary Popular
D
Vote vs.
Congressional Endorsements
2016
Even the Congressional Progressive
Caucus (cpc), whose cochairs gave Sanders
a splashy endorsement, furnished more sup-
port for Biden (twelve members) than for
Sanders (eight) before Super Tuesday. In the
brief two-way contest between March 3 and 43.3% 3.7%
March 17, Biden racked up twenty further
cpc endorsements, compared to just one
for Sanders.
In this critical respect, the institutional
Democratic Party did not really “move left”
at all between 2015 and 2020. Yes, various ele-
ments of the Sanders agenda have migrated Endorsements From
Primary Votes
onto party platforms and campaign websites, Congressional Democrats
and some left-leaning policies, like the $15
minimum wage, have even been introduced
at the state level. But in national politics,
the line guarding the party’s left flank — a
steel barricade that separates Obama-style
kludge politics from Sanders-style demands
for universal public health care, education, 31.2% 3.8%
3.8%
and family support — is now more heavily
policed than ever.
This hard-won knowledge itself is a
weapon against liberal elites who usually
prefer to obfuscate differences rather than
fight over them. “Bernie Sanders’s ideas are 2020 (Before March 17)
so popular that Hillary Clinton is running on
them,” gushed Vox in April 2015. Of course,
Democrats will peddle this message again in
2020, but for the millions of Sanders voters sour futility of third-party campaigns or the
who have just watched the party establish- saccharine cheerleading of party-approved
ment spend five years suffocating a platform “progressives.”
of Medicare for All and free public college, Yet this is where the real trouble begins.
it’s a much tougher sell. The Left, after Bernie, has finally grown just
The major achievement of Bernie’s strong enough to know how weak it really is.
five-year war, then, is an invigorated and The essential problem, after all, is not
a clarified movement for American demo- that the corporate establishment com-
cratic socialism — newly optimistic about mands Democratic politicians — it’s that it
the appeal of its platform, yet intimately still commands most Democratic primary
aware of the power of its enemies. Sanders voters. Given a clear choice between Bernie’s
has left the Left in a stronger position than demand for another New Deal and Biden’s
he found it, both larger and more self- call for a “return to normalcy,” about 60 per-
aware, and far less tempted by either the cent of the Democrats who went to the polls
AFTER BERNIE 61
BERNIE SANDERS’S FIVE-YEAR WAR
A B
C D
None of it seemed to make an appreciable margins among black voters; the same pattern
difference. In South Carolina, where Sanders was visible in gubernatorial races in Virginia,
won 14 percent of black voters in 2016, exit New Jersey, Michigan, and New York, where
polls showed him winning 17 percent in 2020. black voters overwhelmingly backed Ralph
In the state’s five counties with a black popu- Northam, Phil Murphy, Gretchen Whitmer,
lation over 60 percent, Sanders increased his and Andrew Cuomo against progressive out-
vote share from 11 percent to 12 percent. siders. In last year’s race for Queens district
It was no better for him on Super Tuesday attorney, Melinda Katz barely edged past
and beyond. In the rural South, from eastern Tiffany Cabán with the strong support of black
North Carolina to western Mississippi, Sanders voters in Southeast Queens.
struggled to break the 15 percent threshold in Nor have anti-establishment black can-
majority-black counties. In some black urban didates necessarily fared much better with
neighborhoods, like Northside Richmond and black primary voters. Jamaal Bowman’s recent
Houston’s Third Ward, he made small gains victory over Eliot Engel is a meaningful and
on his 2016 baseline, occasionally winning inspiring win for the Left, but not many left-
as much as a third of the vote; but in others, wing candidates have had the advantage of
like Southeast Durham and North St. Louis, facing a severely out-of-touch white opponent
Sanders fared even worse. On the whole, Biden in a plurality-black district. Far more often,
clobbered him just as comprehensively as under different circumstances, the result has
Clinton had four years earlier. gone the other way. In the 2017 Atlanta may-
After 2016, it was still possible to argue, oral race, the business-friendly party favorite
optimistically, that black voter preferences Keisha Lance Bottoms creamed Vincent Fort,
reflected Clinton’s advantage in name recogni- who had been endorsed by both Bernie Sanders
tion and resources, along with Sanders’s need and Killer Mike. And in congressional contests
to focus on the early contests in Iowa and New from St. Louis and Chicago to Columbus, Ohio
Hampshire. All the best survey data showed and Prince George’s County, Maryland, black
reliable and enthusiastic black support for progressive insurgent campaigns have failed to
the core items on Bernie’s social-democratic catch fire, with black voters ultimately helping
agenda. With improved messaging and a more establishment-backed incumbents coast to
serious investment in voter outreach, surely victory at the polls.
an insurgent left-wing candidate could breach Black voter support for mainline
the Democratic establishment’s “firewall” and Democrats is a broader trend in American
win a large chunk of black voters. politics — a trend approaching the status of a
Bernie Sanders was not that candidate,
either in 2016 or in 2020. But after years of
struggle, it is time to revisit the assumption
that superior policy, messaging, and tactics are
enough for any insurgent to overcome black Sanders’ Performance in South Carolina
voter support for establishment Democrats. Among Black Voters
After all, Sanders is far from the only left-wing
candidate who has struggled on this front.
In the 2015 Chicago mayoral election, 2016 14%
Rahm Emanuel beat Chuy García with huge
2020 17%
AFTER BERNIE 63
BERNIE SANDERS’S FIVE-YEAR WAR
A B
C D
for Joe Biden. Across the March primaries, parties, though winning more working-class
even as overall Democratic turnout soared in votes, largely remain under the thrall of a
comparison to 2016, it dropped absolutely in business-dominated “merchant right.”)
black neighborhoods across the country. The causes behind this shift on the Left
In Michigan, Democratic participa- are disputed: Piketty, along with Jacobin and
tion bloomed by more than 350,000 votes other socialist critics, blames globalized capi-
but wilted in Flint’s first and second wards, talism, the decline of organized labor, and the
where turnout declined from over 25 per- centrist policy turn of major party leaderships;
cent of registered voters to under 21 percent. many liberals, meanwhile — ironically joined
Similar declines from 2016 were recorded in by the “populist” right — tend to emphasize
Ferguson, Missouri, in North St. Louis, in the sharpening cultural conservatism of ethnic
Houston’s Kashmere Gardens, Sunnyside, and majorities within the working class.
Crestmont Park, and in Southeast Durham — To the extent that Bernie Sanders aimed
even as statewide Democratic turnout soared to reverse this global trend in the space of two
in Missouri, Texas, and North Carolina. presidential primary races, he failed. Yet the
This follows a pattern already evi- dynamics of that failure are more complex
dent in the 2016 general election, in which than most analysis so far has acknowledged.
poor and working-class black voters — like Compared to 2016, the Sanders campaign
working-class voters generally — appear to in 2020 struggled with what pundits call “the
comprise a smaller and smaller share of the white working class”: white voters without col-
active Democratic voting coalition. lege degrees. Against Hillary Clinton, Bernie’s
That is no consolation for Bernie Sanders, strength with this share of the primary elec-
whose campaign was premised on its ability torate propelled him to victory in states like
to help generate working-class participation Indiana and West Virginia. But this spring,
in politics. But it does suggest that in some as many analysts have highlighted, Joe Biden
ways, the Left’s struggles with black voters turned the tables on Sanders and beat him
are a specific symptom of a more general outright in predominantly white working-class
disease. The Sanders campaign, in both its counties across the South and Midwest.
remarkable strengths and its ultimately fatal In retrospect, it seems clear that some
weaknesses, illuminated the larger problem of Sanders’s former strength in these areas
that has plagued left politics across much of owed to the particular conjuncture of the
the developed world: a failure to mobilize, 2016 campaign. Low-turnout caucuses over-
much less organize, the majority of workers. stated Bernie’s actual rural support in states
like Maine, Minnesota, and Washington; a
Working-Class Complexities deep hostility to Clinton, as some suspected at
This is perhaps the central fact of transatlantic the time, seems to have boosted his vote total
politics in the last fifty years. In his recent book, everywhere, and particularly in conservative
Capital and Ideology, Thomas Piketty offers an regions like Appalachia, the Ozarks, and the
efficient summary of the basic problem: since Great Plains.
the 1960s, left-of-center parties in Europe and Bernie’s leading opponent in 2020 was
North America have lost support from the tra- much stronger on this terrain. Though Biden’s
ditional working class, remaking themselves actual record in the Senate is that of an exem-
into a “Brahmin left,” crucially dependent plary corporate neoliberal — apathetic if not
on the votes of professionals. (Conservative hostile to working-class interests — some
AFTER BERNIE 65
BERNIE SANDERS’S FIVE-YEAR WAR
A B
combination of age, guile, and good-natured to their party’s establishment, have flourished
imbecility have allowed him, even and perhaps only in open-year elections.
especially in his declining years, to produce The incumbent effect has hampered pri-
an effective impression of a vanished breed of mary challengers for forty years, but never has
New Deal Democrat, experienced enough to it been stronger than in 2020, when a dominant
know his way around Washington but always majority of Democrats believed that beating
willing to throw a punch for “the little guy.” In Donald Trump was more important than
this respect, the Sanders campaign knew from all other issues put together. Even in 2004,
the start that Biden would be a formidable rival much less than half of that memorably ner-
for working-class votes, white and black alike. vous Democratic electorate said that beating
But by far the most significant difference George W. Bush was so important.
between 2016 and 2020 is the incumbent pres- Any attempt to explain Bernie’s defeat
idency of Donald J. Trump. Since the creation chiefly through the desertion of white workers
of the modern primary system, the presence of must founder on the larger fact that Sanders
a rival in the White House has nearly always lost ground to Biden with every group of white
led opposition parties to pick nominees per- voters. (The richer the group, the more ground
ceived as moderate and safely electable: Mitt he lost — but more on this to come.) A gen-
Romney in 2012, John Kerry in 2004, Bob eral incumbent effect, as Dustin Guastella has
Dole in 1996, Bill Clinton in 1992, and Walter argued in Jacobin, was far more significant
Mondale in 1984 all fit that mold. (The only than any specific question of campaign tactics
partial exception is Ronald Reagan in 1980, or cultural signaling.
and the incumbent president he faced, Jimmy In fact, it is easy to overstate the scale of
Carter, was so weak that he could not even Bernie’s defeat among the so-called “white
avoid a serious primary challenge of his own.) working class.” In virtually every state, Sanders
Apparently riskier candidates like Trump and did better with white voters without a col-
Barack Obama, with more ambivalent relations lege degree than with their better-educated
counterparts.
In Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada,
South Carolina, California, Texas, Colorado,
White Voters and Vermont, Sanders actually led or tied
Without a Degree Biden among white voters without a degree.
Everywhere, too, Sanders fared even better
with white, working-class men, winning them
Biden Sanders outright in all of the above states, plus North
Carolina, Tennessee, Maine, and Washington.
Nevada 14 35 In both Michigan and Missouri, Sanders trailed
Biden among white men without degrees by
South Carolina 25 30
less than 5 points — but Biden won women in
this group by 17 and 30 points, respectively.
California 34 34
Bernie’s particular struggles with
women — much more concerned with beating
Texas 31 33 Trump than men, according to polls — fur-
ther suggest that the decline in his white
Colorado 21 26
Vermont 21 53
C D
AFTER BERNIE 67
BERNIE SANDERS’S FIVE-YEAR WAR
A B
C D
wards of Bay City, near Saginaw, are about suburban strategy, the primary vote soared by
85 percent white, but like Flint, the city has 70 percent, with nearly a hundred thousand
been punished by deindustrialization, and par- new voters joining the party of Biden.
ticularly by the decline of General Motors. In many areas, the power of the suburban
Meanwhile, the prosperous Oakland County surge was so great that even very small wealthy
town of Birmingham — original habitat of communities had a larger impact on the elec-
ur-suburban homeowner Tim Allen — boasts tion than much larger working-class areas. In
median property values ($488,000) and Massachusetts, compared to 2016, Sanders
income levels ($117,000) three to five times lost more votes to Biden and Bloomberg in just
greater than Bay City or Flint. three fancy South Shore towns — Hingham,
All three districts are largely Democratic; Duxbury, and Norwell (total population:
all contain between 16,900 and 18,100 regis- 51,753) — than in all of Hampden County,
tered voters. In Flint’s northwestern wards, home to the city of Springfield and its work-
where turnout sagged, Biden actually won 600 ing-class suburbs (population: 466,372).
fewer votes than Clinton received in 2016. In Last fall, with Elizabeth Warren leading
the northern bulk of Bay City — including the Democratic polls, debate swirled over the role
working-class neighborhood where Madonna of so-called Patagonia Democrats: affluent
Louise Ciccone was born to a gm employee — liberals in deep-blue districts who had flocked
Biden picked up 300 more votes than Clinton, to Warren’s planful policy agenda. Like many
just enough to beat Sanders citywide. But Sanders supporters, I was skeptical of the claim
among the tall backyard fences and expensive that such professional-class voters — whatever
mega-garages of Birmingham, Biden picked they told pollsters — could really serve as the
up nearly 2,300 votes — more than enough to electoral base for a redistributive agenda.
bury Bernie Sanders under a heap of luxury But in retrospect, neither Jacobin nor Vox
home improvement products. anticipated the real story of the 2020 primary,
This same pattern played out in every state which did not involve Warren-style liberals,
and metropolitan area where a primary vote but a much more conservative tribe of wealthy
was held. From the beachfront retirement
communities of coastal South Carolina to the
colonnaded ranch manors of Contra Costa,
California, wherever Democratic turnout
climbed from 2016, it climbed highest in the
wealthiest and whitest suburbs, which threw
In heavily Latino
their collective weight against Bernie Sanders. neighborhoods from
In North Carolina, where the total
Democratic vote dipped from the eastern East Los Angeles to
swamps to the western mountains, the rich
suburbs of Raleigh and Charlotte saw 40 to 50
Northside Houston,
percent bumps from 2016. In Missouri, where “Tío Bernie” often won
the vote declined in Ferguson and the Ozarks
alike, it climbed by 50 percent in the country more votes than Biden,
club precincts of St. Louis County. And in
wealthy Fairfax County, Virginia, the arche-
Bloomberg, and
type of the Democrats’ twenty-first-century Warren combined.
AFTER BERNIE 69
BERNIE SANDERS’S FIVE-YEAR WAR
A B
Joe Biden was boosted contest on offer. (In that sense, the incumbent
effect took another massive toll on the 2020
not just by Patagonia Sanders campaign.) And if Trump is convinc-
ingly repudiated in November, a fraction of
Democrats but by these wealthy suburbanites may attempt to
C D
general election vote in 2012, but nearly 30 Harris County Precinct 0269
percent in 2016 and over 34 percent in 2018, (DEMOCRATIC VOTE SHARE IN
with a higher share likely to follow in 2020. TANGLEWOOD, HOUSTON)
In recent weeks, even as Democrats have
sought to present themselves as the party
of George Floyd, it is worth knowing that
Houston’s River Oaks — home to Joel Osteen
and former Enron ceo Jeffrey Skilling — now
40%
boasts higher Democratic primary participa-
tion than the Third Ward, where Floyd was 30%
born and raised.
In the United States, at least, the margin 20%
between Piketty’s “Brahmin left” and “mer-
chant right” is rather blurry at the top of the
wealth pyramid, and it’s getting blurrier. Not
10%
only do many merchant princes of the bil-
lionaire class — perhaps a majority, outside a
handful of extractive industries — already lean
2012 2014 2016 2018
Democratic; their corporate vassals, in pros-
perous metropolitan areas from Houston to
Charlotte to Grand Rapids, are now trending
2012 17.7%
Democratic, too.
This year, Halliburton Democrats may
2014 18.8%
well have swung the election against Bernie
Sanders. With their voices amplified by pres-
2106 29.4%
tige media, and their votes eagerly courted
by leading candidates, they helped make sure
2018 34.2%
Democrats would emerge from the primary
season as something closer to the party of Bill
Kristol than the party of Krystal Ball. It is not
What we learned over the course of
likely that they will be going anywhere soon.
Bernie’s five-year struggle is that a national
presidential campaign, however successful
III. A Majority in Embryo in other ways, could not reverse or even
arrest these trends on its own.
No doubt, there are tactical lessons to be drawn Sanders-style democratic socialism
from the Bernie 2020 campaign, both in its has not yet won a majority in the United
achievements and in its possible missteps. States, either inside the Democratic Party
Yet the major electoral forces that defeated or outside it. But not having a majority is no
Sanders at the polls — the establishment pref- excuse for not building one. And while the
erence of black primary voters, the declining Sanders coalition was not ready for victory
participation of working-class Democrats, and in 2020, there are reasons to believe that
the mass arrival of rich suburbanites into the his five-year war has put social-democratic
party — all predate Sanders and will likely live reform on the path to a national majority
on beyond him, too. in the next decade.
AFTER BERNIE 71
BERNIE SANDERS’S FIVE-YEAR WAR
A B
C D
enhanced from 2016 — with younger urban for All, wealth taxes, and other significant
voters helping Sanders in the early states and reforms — they have shown, in two different
beyond, from Portland, Maine, to Duluth, primary campaigns, that those fundamental
Minnesota. redistributive commitments are strong enough
Although easily dismissed by critics as to guide their voting choices. This is not yet a
a phenomenon of the “gentrifier left,” latte- socialist majority, but it is, perhaps, a socialist
swilling graduate students did not power majority in embryo.
Sanders to victory in working-class cities like And even as the US population ages, this
Manchester, New Hampshire, or Brownsville, embryonic majority grows every year, and
Texas. A much broader group of younger and within every demographic. Despite the folk-
disproportionately urban voters, who make lore about voters growing more conservative
far less money and own far less property than as they age, the academic consensus is that
the Democratic electorate as a whole, formed ideological preferences are, in fact, quite stable
the core of the Sanders coalition. over time. Older millennials, locked out of an
increasingly unequal economy, do not appear
Working-Class Politics
to be moving to the right. The supermajority
Can Still Be the Future
that demands national health insurance today,
Across the world, from Norway to New we can bet, will demand national health insur-
Zealand, as working-class parties of the Left ance tomorrow, too.
have given way to their Brahminized descen- If Bernie Sanders was not fated to be the
dants, the scope and the horizon of left-wing Abraham Lincoln of the twenty-first-century
politics have changed. Less interested in trans- left, winning a political revolution under his
formative economic redistribution — and far own banner, he may well be something like
less capable of delivering it, anyway — con- our John Quincy Adams — the “Old Man
temporary progressives have put their faith Eloquent” whose passionate broadsides
and their energy in a range of other projects, against the Slave Power in the 1830s and 1840s
from environmentalism to questions of cul-
tural representation.
Yet socialists like Bernie Sanders under-
stand that few of these struggles for justice
can be won, in any meaningful or lasting way,
if they are not accompanied by a large-scale
transfer of power and resources, won by a By 2032, today’s Bernie
voters under fifty
determined working class.
All by itself, Bernie’s five-year war did not
succeed in reanimating twentieth-century class
politics. But if there is any hope for a return
will likely represent a
to the electoral alignment that produced every majority within the
party electorate. What
major social-democratic reform in history —
uniting a diverse working class around pressing
demands for redistribution — it lies with the
cohort of Sanders voters under age forty-five.
sort of left will be
Not only do two-thirds or more of these there to greet them?
younger, poorer Americans support Medicare
AFTER BERNIE 73
BERNIE SANDERS’S FIVE-YEAR WAR
A B
inspired the radicals who toppled it a gener- deeply concerned about patriarchy and I can
ation later. make them understand how patriarchy inter-
Over the next decade, this embryonic sects with capitalism,” argues Sean McElwee,
majority faces at least two considerable chal- “much more than I can take someone who’s
lenges. First and most pressing, it must face mad because gm took their job away and make
off against its principal antagonist within them understand socialism.” The broader
the primary electorate: the older, wealthy, decline of working-class participation in pol-
and ever-growing coalition of Fairfax and itics may even be something to celebrate, from
Halliburton Democrats, whose votes party this angle, if it turns more congressional dis-
leaders continue to court with gauzy patriotic tricts from red to blue.
rhetoric and concrete promises of tax relief. Sanders had a different theory, and his
In the short term, the most promising campaigns assembled a different coalition,
avenue for attack is in the scores of mostly centered on younger, lower-income voters
urban legislative districts, from Los Angeles to from Brownsville to Duluth. In 2020, that
Denver to San Antonio, where younger voters working-class coalition was not enough to win
predominate, and where Sanders outpolled the Democratic nomination. And no, Sanders
all of his centrist rivals combined. Recent did not manage to turn history on its head and
left-wing insurgent victories in Philadelphia, bring the vast reservoir of alienated, apolitical
Pittsburgh, Washington, DC, and New York workers back to primary politics.
suggest that there is more room for democratic- But by 2032, today’s Bernie voters under
socialist politics to grow in cities across the fifty will likely represent a majority, and cer-
Northeast, too. tainly a plurality, within the party electorate.
Even in the short term, though, younger What sort of left will be there to greet them?
urban districts alone will not be sufficient for Will it be a thoroughly post-Sanders progres-
Sanders-style left-wingers to outvote Fairfax sive movement, whose priorities are defined
Democrats within the party caucus — much by social media discourse, billionaire-funded
less to wield meaningful fiscal power in larger activist ngos, and a friendly working relation-
state governments or in Congress. ship with the corporate Democratic Party?
And in the longer run, a laser-like focus Imagine Sean McElwee giving a keynote
on extremely liberal urban districts on address at the Walmart Center for Racial
the coasts — an electoral map that follows Equity — forever.
Brahminized progressives wherever they go — Or will it be a political left that con-
risks accelerating the Left’s drift away from tinues the work, to borrow from Lincoln at
the fundamental questions of class power and Gettysburg, that Sanders has thus far so nobly
material redistribution. advanced? A left grounded in class politics,
For some Brahmin activists, this is pre- and aimed fundamentally at majority-building
cisely the point: a retrograde focus on class has demands for material redistribution — health
prevented progressives from understanding care, education, jobs, and family support for
that their natural base lies with white-collar all, paid for by the rich? The future is still
suburbanites, who already share liberal cul- unwritten.
tural politics. “I can take someone who is
AFTER BERNIE 77
JARED ABBOTT THE TWO PATHS OF DEMOCRATIC SOCIALISM: COALITION & CONFRONTATION
organizing — in communities, among tenants, on the These measures can show skeptical Americans
shop floor — while strengthening our ties with labor, that real alternatives to the status quo do exist, and
we will be in a stronger position both to wage electoral can generate massive new constituencies committed
campaigns and to exert broader political influence. to defending and deepening gains. Many reforms
At the same time, however, the non-electoral strat- along these lines would also have the benefit of putting
egies proposed by skeptics are pitched at a scale that is working people in a stronger position to demand more
nowhere near adequate to build serious political strength by insulating them from the vagaries of the labor market.
in the foreseeable future. Crafting effective community In other words, these reforms represent potentially
organizations and progressive union locals takes years, epoch-defining changes in the terrain of US politics.
even decades, and generally does not allow leftists to The electoral paths that I explore in this essay would
reach a mass audience. face several barriers: a lack of institutional support
Under ordinary circumstances, such a focus would from the labor movement, the Left’s relatively weak
be understandable. When general political headwinds connections with working-class communities, and an
are against us, there is very little that the organized left overdependence on charismatic political leaders. And,
can do beyond engaging in various forms of political of course, a strategic focus on electoral politics by no
education to keep the home fires of socialism burning, means implies eschewing other forms of organizing at
and carrying out local experiments in community and the same time. On the contrary, these should be mutually
electoral organizing that might serve as models for future reinforcing activities.
struggles. Furthermore, under these conditions, most Yet sitting out the electoral fight, or putting it on the
progressive electoral struggles will be defensive, aimed back burner, would be a serious mistake in this period
more at stopping the rollback of previous gains than of extraordinary opportunity. Barring legal changes
pressing forward an assertive agenda. For around three that might tilt the playing field of industrial struggle
decades between the late 1970s and the late 2000s, there in favor of workers, a major upsurge in union strength
was little that electoral politics could do to advance a is not going to materialize, even under the most opti-
democratic-socialist agenda at state or national levels. mistic assumptions. Increased strike activity may well
Today, however, things are different. Our ideas are result from the economic downturn to come, but this is
very popular, and it is now conceivable that we could by no means inevitable, as strikes are historically more
win majority legislative support for some of them at the common in tight rather than slack labor markets.
state and even national level. Under these circumstances, To be sure, widespread strikes by workers in stra-
electoral organizing has the capacity to significantly tegic industries — particularly logistics — could help
alter the playing field on which future socialist struggles to force significant concessions from major corpora-
will take place. Election campaigns can popularize our tions, and could produce broader political ripple effects.
ideas among the public on a mass scale — just look at Beyond that, mass protests may intensify in response to
Bernie Sanders’s 2016 and 2020 efforts. They can also corporate greed, police brutality, and the government’s
be used to push through structural reforms that will poor response to the coronavirus crisis. As the dramatic
make future organizing easier (such as labor, voting upsurge of protest around the country after the killing
rights, and campaign-finance reforms), and to open the of George Floyd has shown, these protests can play an
door to major victories around racial justice, health care important role in shifting public opinion and ensuring
expansion, green infrastructure investment, or public progressive and democratic-socialist policies make it
jobs programs. onto the legislative agenda.
As important as these developments could be, alienating them. Justice Democrats communications
however, their impact would be severely limited in the director Waleed Shahid puts it this way:
absence of significant electoral advances. Our unfortu-
A good way of thinking about the situation in
nate reality is that the historic weakness of the US left
American politics today is that the left wing of the
and labor movement means that turning democratic
party — whatever label you want to use for it — is a
socialism into mass politics will depend heavily on a rel-
junior partner to a senior partner in a coalition gov-
atively narrow window of opportunity to make advances
ernment. The senior partner is the party of Pelosi
in the electoral realm. The legislative and broader polit-
and Schumer and Hakeem Jeffries and Dianne
ical effects of these advances can alter the structural
Feinstein. They have more power. But we are in a
limitations we face and create more favorable conditions
coalition together to get over 50 percent and keep
for future working-class struggles.
the Republicans out of power.
AFTER BERNIE 79
JARED ABBOTT THE TWO PATHS OF DEMOCRATIC SOCIALISM: COALITION & CONFRONTATION
Proponents
of the coalition
strategy can also argue that con-
ditions today may be even more
propitious for sweeping progressive
legislation than they were during the
New Deal era. While they will not
rack up the overwhelming congressional
Democrats were disappointing when compared with the majorities enjoyed by fdr, if Democrats can
advances made by social democrats in Europe around win majority control of both houses of Congress this
the same time, proponents of this strategy argue that time, they will not depend — as the party did in the ’30s
the key question is what would have happened if labor and ’40s — on a powerful bloc of reactionary Southerners
had pursued another strategy. to pass legislation. On the contrary, Democratic law-
Political scientist Daniel Schlozman, for instance, makers today have constituencies that support key
argues that cio leaders simply understood the limits planks of the progressive policy by often overwhelming
of their influence and crafted the best strategy pos- margins, and the Democratic establishment has shifted
sible given the constraints they faced. Consequently, further to the left in recent years than we have seen in
he contends, “the most plausible alternative to labor- decades. When you combine this with the possibility
Democratic alliance was not industrial democracy, that aspects of the progressive agenda might face less
but a far less consequential partnership that simply intransigent opposition from sectors of capital than we
entrenched the prerogatives of white unionists — or would expect under normal circumstances, when the
no alliance at all.” From this perspective, the labor- economy is not teetering on the brink of collapse, the
Democratic alliance facilitated the rise of civil rights coalition strategy appears plausible.
as a core issue on the Democratic agenda, giving rise Beyond its prospects for exerting legislative influ-
to the defection of Southern Dixiecrats from the party ence, there are also reasons to believe that the strategy
and paving the way for the Great Society reforms of the can deliver more progressive electoral victories, in work-
1960s. In sum, while leftists might have hoped for more, ing-class as well as middle-class districts. For instance,
the coalition strategy ultimately maximized progressive let’s take membership of the Congressional Progressive
gains under less than ideal circumstances. Caucus (cpc) as a rough proxy for progressive legislators
in the US House of Representatives who more or less
AFTER BERNIE 81
Share of CPC and Non-CPC Democratic Districts with Primarily
Low-Income or Low-Education Voters (Excluding Majority White
Non-College-Educated Districts)
Poor or
Low-Educated
Districts
Non-CPC Democrat Districts
Low-
Educated
Districts
CPC Districts
Poor Districts
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
CPC Districts
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
such voters currently make up most of the elec- If establishment Democrats can argue convincingly
torate in twenty-seven US states. This means that an overly progressive message amounts to electoral
that the coalition strategy is less suitable for win- suicide in national politics, they will continue to wield
ning the presidency or securing a majority in the an effective veto over any progressive legislation, even
Senate, not to mention in state houses across if Democrats control the presidency and both houses
the country. of Congress. And we will have no credible leverage
AFTER BERNIE 83
JARED ABBOTT THE TWO PATHS OF DEMOCRATIC SOCIALISM: COALITION & CONFRONTATION
among the electorate (middle-class liberals and strong than by an outsider bloc against party insiders writ large.
Democratic partisans, across class lines), but if suc- These efforts were also not particularly successful.
cessful, it could generate a larger number of new allies. Bernie Sanders’s two presidential campaigns rep-
While it’s been a common strategy employed by pop- resent something closer to the confrontation approach
ulist politicians around the world during periods of applied to groups outside the party establishment.
time when traditional parties have experienced sharp Sanders openly challenged Democratic Party leaders,
declines in electoral support, confrontation has rarely sought to build an electoral apparatus without depending
been employed effectively at the national level in the on any traditional sources of funding from within the
United States. This is because of the relative stability Democratic coalition, and enjoyed the support of only
of the two major parties over time, and the failure of a handful of elected Democrats. He explicitly sought
third-party electoral projects that have attempted to to bring nonvoters and low-propensity voters into his
supplant one or both of them. coalition, in order to compensate for the low levels of
That said, there have been attempts to execute a support he received among strong Democratic partisans
strategy along these lines at the national level through (particularly those over thirty-five). Yet this strategy
Democratic (and Republican) primaries. Generally, faced limitations that ultimately proved insurmountable,
however, these battles have been waged between and it underperformed expectations in key respects,
powerful blocs within the party establishment — the particularly in terms of mobilizing working-class voters
1912 Republican contest between Teddy Roosevelt to take part in the Democratic primary.
and William Howard Taft, for example, or Franklin The most successful examples of the confrontation
Roosevelt’s effort to purge the Democratic Party of strategy have come at the state level, most notably in
anti–New Deal Southern Democrats in 1938 — rather North Dakota and Minnesota in the 1910s and 1920s. In
North Dakota, the Nonpartisan League (npl) success-
fully took over the Republican Party between 1916 and
1918 by creating an electoral organization distinct from
that party. The organization used the primary system
to wage an open electoral war against the Republican
establishment in the state. By 1918, as Richard Valelly
describes, the npl had “seized control of North Dakota
government to an extent simply unknown in American
state politics before
or since then.”
Based on this
extraordinary
electoral suc-
cess, the n p l
in 1919 was able
to push through
wide-ranging
reforms in edu-
cation, health
care, and other
AFTER BERNIE 85
JARED ABBOTT THE TWO PATHS OF DEMOCRATIC SOCIALISM: COALITION & CONFRONTATION
committees), this organization would create a parallel the economic downturn caused by covid-19 could be
structure with its own internal decision-making proce- an effective way of creating a political home for people
dures, fundraising mechanisms, and political identity. who have lost faith in the Democratic Party establish-
We would be hearkening back to the npl strategy ment and its capacity to meet the needs of working
discussed above. Our formation would require all can- people. Even if its short-term electoral prospects were
didates it supported to commit to a clear platform, and relatively limited, an organization formed along these
would itself commit to withdrawing organizational and lines could be effective in long-term constituency and
financial support from elected officials who reneged on movement-building, while also playing a role in popu-
that commitment. If we were successful in winning a larizing leftist ideas among an increasingly sympathetic
significant bloc of seats in a state legislature (or in the working class.
US House), our threat to primary recalcitrant Democrats Such an organization would run primary challenges
might be taken seriously enough to push some of them against incumbent Democrats at all levels of government
leftward on key policies. (depending on its organizational and financial resources),
Finally, the confrontation strategy could help to and would also carry out sustained voter outreach cam-
build an organized long-term base for left politics in paigns in working-class communities between electoral
the United States. The exigencies of the electoral cycle cycles. If the group maintained a clear and consistent
mean that progressive moments come and go, and it program that distinguished it from the Democratic
is very difficult to convert the energy of an insurgent establishment, while offering its membership a more
electoral campaign into a durable political organization significant role in organizational decision-making, it
capable of patient movement-building. Indeed, virtually could conceivably maintain a loyal base of support even
every important national-level left-wing insurgency in the face of slow advances on the electoral front.
in the last century — from Robert La Follette and the
Conference for Progressive Political Action in 1924,
Why Confrontation Could Fail
to Jesse Jackson and the Rainbow Coalition in 1988 —
squandered any chance of building durable progressive All that said, the confrontation strategy also has serious
organizations through an excessive weaknesses. First, and perhaps most obvious, the elec-
reliance on the insurgent presi- toral viability of this approach is far from clear. Despite
dential candidate. the promising figures discussed above, the Sanders 2020
Employing a confronta- campaign fell far short of its own promise to dramatically
tional strategy in the wake of expand the electorate through bold redistributionist
Sanders’s 2020 demands. To the extent that Sanders did well in white
presiden- working-class districts in 2016, a prime cause was oppo-
tial bid sition to Hillary Clinton rather than the outright appeal
and of democratic socialism.
Hence in 2020, when more moderate but also more
popular figures — relative to Clinton — like Joe Biden
were on the menu, many white working-class voters
jumped from the Sanders ship. Others simply didn’t
participate in the Democratic primary. Additionally,
the evidence from recent electoral cycles that economic
AFTER BERNIE 87
Virtually every important insurgency in the
building durable progressive organizations
insurgent presidential candidate.
even consider the confrontational strategy lie at the mar- taking the plunge. An important example here is former
gins of Democratic politics. Even if these groups were United Auto Workers (uaw) president Walter Reuther.
willing to withhold support for mainstream Democrats, In response to growing disillusionment with the Truman
their resources are so limited that losing them would administration’s failure to press forward with the New
not prove fatal to many Democratic candidates. Most Deal agenda, Reuther in 1946 called on the uaw and its
Democrats would be perfectly happy to forgo the head- allies “to work toward the eventual formation of a broad
ache of appeasing marginally useful, and potentially new progressive party which will truly represent the
antagonistic, progressive forces in their coalition. needs of our nation and its people.” In the end, however,
Another alternative would be defection to a third understanding the extraordinary political risk associated
party, but unless that party’s constituency were large with splitting the Democratic coalition during a period
enough to convince Democrats they could not win of Republican resurgence, Reuther never took any con-
without it, the most likely result would be marginal- crete steps toward the formation of a labor party. It is
ization and a politically debilitated left. And given that conceivable that things might have looked different if
partisan polarization is, by many measures, higher today Truman had been routed in 1948 (indeed, third-party
than at any other time in modern US history, it is unlikely proponents in the uaw even planned an educational
that a significant percentage of the electorate will be conference to prepare for the formation of a labor party,
convinced any time soon that there is no meaningful dif- to be held on the date of Thomas Dewey’s 1949 inaugu-
ference between the Democratic and Republican parties. ration), but as it happened, no mass defection from the
This problem is compounded by the fact that the Democrats materialized.
most likely supporters of a Sanders-style third party The only real potential leverage that an organization
based on economic populism are the least likely to defect pursuing the confrontation strategy would have over
from the Democratic Party. As the figure below shows, Democratic candidates and lawmakers is the threat of
it is neither disillusioned former Democrats, nor inde- waging as many primary challenges as its organizational
pendents who may not feel the party represents their resources allowed (assuming, of course, that successful
interests but who vote for it on strategic grounds, who insurgents could win in general elections). This approach
are most eager for more left-wing economic policy. To could certainly prove effective in increasing the number
the contrary, voters who identify strongly with, and feel of disciplined progressives and leftists in Congress and
most adequately represented by, the Democratic Party state houses. Beyond the risk of alienating critical allies,
are the staunchest democratic socialists in the elec- however, it would also run up against serious limitations
torate. Hence, a “successful” third-party challenge that when it came to legislative influence.
garnered enough votes to hurt Democrats and reward Insurgent candidates could conceivably scare a fair
Republicans, but not enough to position itself as a viable number of legislators to the left; if elected in sufficient
electoral alternative, would make that party extremely numbers, they could serve as a consistent voting bloc
unpopular among the voters most receptive to its polit- to obstruct anti-progressive legislation. That said, left-
ical message. If anything, a third-party approach would ists’ ability to force Democratic leaders in Congress and
be likely to push progressive voters even closer to the state legislatures to actually pass progressive legislation
Democrats, as they sought to prevent further losses to is limited, among other things, by the fact that those
the Republicans. leaders don’t believe they can win majorities if their
The spoiler problem is precisely why even the most candidates in relatively moderate or conservative areas
vocal proponents of a third-party alternative from within are associated with overly progressive legislation. This is
the Democratic coalition have ultimately decided against the same problem already discussed above in connection
with the coalition strategy.
Even if left-wing candidates and lawmakers were However, if Democrats could find a progressive
totally willing to burn their political bridges with the rest message that was as effective in highly liberal urban and
of the Democratic Party, then, they would still have little suburban districts as it was in rural districts, this could
capacity to ensure the passage of progressive legislation. change. The Sanders movement has suggested such a
The only context in which the confrontation strategy message, and it may prove to be especially compelling
could succeed in guaranteeing such legislation would in the coming years if the Democratic Party is unable to
be if insurgent lawmakers held a majority of seats, so put forward economic solutions for working-class people
that they wouldn’t have to depend on alliances with any on the vast scale required by the coronavirus crisis. Even
other Democrats (as the nplers were able to do in North so, it remains to be seen how realistic such a strategy
Dakota in 1919, for example). This is unlikely to happen could be. Its proponents must continue experimenting
in the foreseeable future, either at state or national level. with models based on the most successful cases that
Short of that, it is possible that progressives could we’ve seen to date.
exert more legislative influence if the Democratic elec-
torate shifted decisively to the left. This is arguably
What’s Next?
why the Tea Party and its subsequent iterations have
been so successful in shaping the Republican agenda. In practice, the extent to which one approach is pursued
Republican leaders understand that their base is very over the other in the short to medium term will depend
conservative — more than three-quarters of Republicans on the outcome of this year’s presidential and congres-
identify as conservative — so they can afford to pass ele- sional elections, as well as on the political learning that
ments of the extreme-right agenda without generating occurs as we take stock of the last four years and update
serious divisions among the party base. our strategies based on dramatically evolving conditions,
By contrast, Democratic leaders face a more diverse both political and economic.
and less ideological base: only around half of Democrats At the national level, if Donald Trump is reelected,
identify as liberals today, which is still a historic high (up the prospects of either strategy will be limited in the
from 40 percent in 2010). As a result, in order to maintain medium term. We will be forced to focus our ener-
support among the broad set of interests and ideologies gies on defensive battles against an almost certainly
that characterize the Democratic coalition, candidates emboldened and more dangerous second-term Trump,
often have to distance themselves from elements of the and increasingly desperate Democratic voters will
progressive agenda. become even more risk-averse than they were during
Yet even if the current leftward shift of Democratic the 2020 primaries.
voters continues — assuaging the party’s fear of alien- It is important to remember that, however much
ating segments of its base by enacting progressive establishment Democrats are loath to pass bold reforms,
legislation — Democratic leaders will still face a major even Obama-era Democrats took important steps to
additional hurdle to progressive reforms: in order to stem the tide of rising inequality — though they were
win the Senate or the presidency, Democrats have to unwilling or unable to pass sweeping legislation to actu-
prevail in states with electorates that are majority con- ally reverse the decline in working-class living standards.
servative, and increasingly so. This means that they For almost all progressive voters, then, maximizing
have to appeal not only to centrist Democrats, but also Democratic electoral victories during a second Trump
to right-of-center voters. Democratic leaders worry, not administration will be much more important than
illogically, that they cannot win if they make too many attacking establishment Democrats Democrats for not
policy concessions to the Left. doing more.
AFTER BERNIE 89
4.0
Democratic Party Does Not Represent My
Interests (higher = stronger agreement)
3.5
3.0
Strong Dem.
2.5
Dem. to Ind.
2.0
Dem. Leaner
Weak Dem.
1.5
1 2 3 4 5
If Trump loses, by contrast, the medium-term pros- Source: Democracy Fund Voter Study Group data
pects of the coalition strategy will be enhanced. Under set. “Dem. to Ind.” indicates voters who identified as
these conditions — particularly if Democrats win the Democrats in 2011, but who no longer did so and did not
Senate — there is a chance of passing popular, progres- lean Republican in 2018.
sive policies to avert economic depression. Yet we should
not be overly optimistic. Even with Democratic control
of the White House and both chambers of Congress, the
possibility of sweeping progressive reforms would be The same logic might be applied to the confronta-
limited by — to name just a few factors — a president tion strategy’s prospects in the event of a defeat of Joe
with little political vision who is reliant on a neolib- Biden in 2020: in other words, mass disillusionment
eral brain trust, a non-filibuster-proof Democratic with the party establishment’s capacity to beat Trump
majority in the Senate, and opposition from conserva- (again) paves the way for an even stronger Sanders-style
tive Democratic senators like Joe Manchin and Kyrsten insurgency within the party in 2024. But this scenario is
Sinema. Nonetheless, the opportunities are real, and it less plausible. It is more likely that a Biden defeat would
is difficult to imagine advocates of the confrontation rally progressives further round the flag of electoral
strategy finding too many progressives sympathetic to pragmatism to stop additional Republican advances.
their arguments under such conditions. This possibility is all the more likely since we know
If Democrats win control of the presidency and both parties out of government are much more willing to
houses of Congress, but they fail to deliver at least some make rhetorical concessions to their activist base than
of the progressive agenda, however, the viability of the parties in power — after all, they have little to lose politi-
confrontation approach might increase significantly. cally from doing so. In other words, a Biden defeat would
More Democrats may become disillusioned with their give establishment Democrats more political space to
party, and more working-class Americans may be open appease progressive demands than a Biden presidency,
to a combative, populist message. Unfortunately, many and this would be likely to further constrain insur-
Americans may also become more receptive to an even gent challengers.
more insidious brand of Trumpism. At the state level, the coalition strategy has a much
greater chance of success in strongly Democratic states,
where a focused coalition of left and progressive electoral There is no simple means of adjudicating the relative
groups could conceivably win enough seats in the next merits of coalition and confrontation: inevitably, both
couple of electoral cycles to constitute an influential will continue to be tested to one degree or another —
minority in the Democratic caucus, if not a majority. often in combination. The coalition strategy offers a
In turn, if a wide range of progressive and left national realistic theory for how progressives might expand their
organizations concentrated their efforts on a confron- ranks substantially in state and federal legislatures and
tation strategy in one state or a small number of states, exert greater influence over lawmaking. Yet it does not
they could conceivably make real headway (especially explain how progressives and democratic socialists can
if the coalition included significant elements of the pro- hold elected officials accountable in the absence of a
gressive labor movement). serious electoral threat, nor does it offer a strategy for
That said, the negative consequences of paying less progressive success in the many red and purple states
attention to other states or to federal races could be where a traditional liberal message tends to fail.
considerable. If advocates of the confrontation approach For its part, the confrontation strategy offers a way
hope to demonstrate the viability of their strategy, to hold officials accountable and build electoral coalitions
however, focusing on state-level races in one or a small across the broad working class, but it bases its claims
handful of states that are not Democratic strongholds on limited evidence. If unsuccessful, the strategy could
might be the most effective way to do so. generate serious negative political consequences for
Finally, either approach might be successful in progressives and leftists. In other words, the coalition
specific municipalities, especially those with non- strategy offers less uncertainty but potentially fewer
partisan elections or with single-party Democratic benefits, while the confrontation strategy points to much
rule. Indeed, we have seen isolated successes of the broader political horizons but is based on a number of
confrontation strategy in the not-too-distant past in critical and largely untested assumptions.
places like Burlington, Vermont; Jackson, Mississippi; Ultimately, progressives and socialists have to
and Richmond, California — not to mention historical seriously assess whether the coalition strategy rests
examples in places like Milwaukee, Wisconsin; Reading, on a realistic assessment of the Left’s level of political
Pennsylvania; and Schenectady, New York, to name influence — or, alternatively, if it is based on a self-
but a few — and we have seen many more successful defeating aversion to disrupting existing political
examples of the coalition strategy. Progressives and alliances within the Democratic Party that hinders a
socialists should certainly take advantage of local-level bolder, and potentially more effective, confrontational
electoral opportunities, particularly in larger cities, to alternative. Conversely, is the confrontation approach
experiment with progressive policies, expand their elec- grounded in a hard-nosed appraisal of the objective
toral base (especially among working-class communities limits of reform and the nature of political leverage in a
and communities of color), and deepen their bench of capitalist democracy? Or is it based on a set of idealistic,
effective candidates. if not naive, assumptions about the prospects of class
As important as these efforts are, however, the politics in the United States that could undermine less
fiscal constraints facing municipal governments limit flashy but ultimately historic advances?
the broader impact of electoral gains at the local level. These are the questions we should be debating, as the
Where possible, then, regardless of whether they focus answers will have major implications for democratic-
on the confrontation or coalition strategy, progressives socialist strategy during a period when the stakes could
and socialists should set their sights on the state and not be higher.
federal levels.
AFTER BERNIE 91
How the
Labour Party
Lost the
Chance of a
Lifetime
BY RONAN BURTENSHAW
In 1959, Nye Bevan said of the Left that “we have wealth. But the entire apparatus of British politics — its
never suffered from too much audacity; we have suffered parties, its papers, its patrons — acts to ensure that this
from too little.” Sixty years later, the same was true of is not the basis on which national debates take place.
Corbynism. Instead of conflict between classes, their hope is that
the conflict is limited to the one within the ruling class,
between those with liberal and conservative worldviews.
Changing the Common Sense
It is not possible to overcome this dynamic inside
in the weeks since December’s defeat, the 2017 Westminster alone. For Corbynism to be successful, it
election has scarcely been mentioned in the media. had to change how politics was done, sustaining a vibrant
But the fact remains that Labour under Jeremy Corbyn grassroots movement that could fight for its policies
secured nearly 13 million votes, far surpassing not only outside of parliament as well. This meant fundamentally
the Gordon Brown and Ed Miliband election defeats, transforming the Labour Party and breaking with its
but even the last two Tony Blair victories. It was a tendency to see politics entirely through an electoral
remarkable comeback performance from a party that lens. And it meant rebuilding social institutions — the
had been more than 20 points behind at the beginning basis of working-class community across Britain — to
of the campaign. Euphoria ensued: Labour rose to a clear stem the tide of atomization that threatened the basis
lead in national polls, and mps who had savaged their of collective action.
leader only months earlier now proclaimed themselves Without such a strategy, class politics would always
Corbynites. be impossible to maintain. Corbynism had tapped into
However, the results of 2017 disguised serious widespread anger — but this anger could be released
problems. The Left had not won the battle for the party, through other forms of politics as well. The most potent
which remained largely unreformed and, especially in was one centered on globalization, which relied on
parliament, opposed to its agenda. It faced a ferociously culture wars and divided people based on their social
hostile media — not only in the right-wing press but views rather than their interests. Corbynism had one
in nominally left-leaning outlets such as the Guardian chance to prevent its rise: it had to seize on the 2017
and the Mirror. And in many heartland seats, from general election result to remake politics in its image.
Bassetlaw and Bolsover to Great Grimsby and Don
Valley, victory in 2017 came alongside major increases
The Months We Wasted
for the Tories, who had captured votes cultivated by the
UK Independence Party in the decade prior. in many ways, it is understandable that the movement
Fundamental and irreversible shifts in wealth and around Corbyn was disoriented by 2017. It had spent
power are not achieved without stubborn resistance. This the previous two years under siege. Corbyn was elected
should have been expected. But Corbynism had another Labour leader in September 2015 — by November, the
problem: in two years, it hadn’t managed to change the right-wing press had whipped up a frenzy over whether
broader political landscape outside Westminster. There he bowed deeply enough to the Queen, and half of his
was no sign of an uptick in class conflict; trade union shadow cabinet was in revolt over his refusal to bomb
membership was continuing its slow decline. Days lost Syria. The next year saw the Brexit referendum and then
to strike action were minimal; even social movements, an attempted coup against his leadership. The attacks
which had murmured with life in the years prior to were relentless.
2015, had fallen back into hibernation. Corbynism had June 2017 brought a very different experience:
a popular program — but not the popular insurgency it popularity. Corbyn himself had endured a remarkable
needed to fight for it. rise in his approval ratings during the campaign and was
The socialist premise has always been that now feted by many commentators who had previously
entrenched opposition can be overcome by uniting labeled him an extremist. The path forward for any
the working-class majority of the country. This means ambitious Labour mp was clear: they had to make their
building a coalition based on majoritarian material peace with Corbynism and its burgeoning support base
interests that can challenge the power of concentrated if they were to stand any chance at career progression.
For a brief moment, it seemed as though those obstacles inside and outside the party, the movement
obstacles — the opposition within the party, the hostility seemed intent on basking in the glory.
of the press — were not so great, and that a left-led The months after the summer of 2017 were the
Labour government was just around the corner. But, of moment when a second wave of Corbynism had to be
course, this was not the case. The establishment had not built. Questions should have been asked about why the
dropped its opposition to socialist policies just because level of struggle outside parliament — in workplaces and
they proved popular. movements — was so low. After surging in the cities and
Corbynism, meanwhile, put itself in “permanent among younger people, determined efforts needed to be
campaign mode.” There was talk about using this made to reach out to voters in heartland areas where the
strategy to keep the grassroots mobilized, but its chief Tories were making gains.
function was to prolong the high of the campaign for as Instead of mock-Glastonbury festivals like Labour
long as possible — and to avoid returning to the harder Live, which spoke only to the converted, resources
and more conflictual realities that had preceded it. needed to be directed to building lasting social
Instead of using the political capital earned by 2017’s institutions that could give the project a meaningful
remarkable performance to tackle the deeply entrenched presence in communities. There was a time when
AFTER BERNIE 95
HOW THE LABOUR PARTY LOST THE CHANCE OF A LIFETIME
had to be taken out of the Brexit divide. Labour had to The prospect of Corbynism being an insurgency in its
be the party that argued it was time for Britain to move own right was over.
on from the referendum. This didn’t mean avoiding
the issue or trying to triangulate between its two sides,
Taking the Easy Road
but instead putting forward a comprehensive policy
backing either a customs union or a Norway-style deal. the failure to be decisive on Brexit was
That kind of approach would have made life much immensely costly. Over the months that followed,
harder for Theresa May and Boris Johnson. They Corbyn, who had grown in popularity during the
wanted the culture war battles, which could give the election as a campaigner that exuded authenticity, was
Conservative Party the appearance of speaking on behalf reduced to a figure of calculation and parliamentary
of the people against a Westminster establishment. intrigue. In truth, the failures over Brexit summed up
These battles would also distract from the fact that, Corbyn’s limitations — he excelled as a moral leader
while in Westminster, successive Tory governments but failed as a political one. His greatest moments came
had overseen policies that savaged the living standards when defending principle under pressure, but he rarely
of millions in favor of the interests of millionaires. demonstrated the comfort with strategy necessary to
If Labour had put forward a viable alternative to Tory lead a project as ambitious as his own to power.
Brexit during the years of parliamentary wrangling that This strength as a moral leader also came under
followed 2017, it could have avoided being painted as attack throughout 2018. Labour’s antisemitism
merely an obstructionist force. And if this alternative controversy, which had developed prior to the 2017
had been complemented with a genuine commitment election, returned with a vengeance. It is easy to point
to renewed democracy and regional rebalancing of the to errors — from Corbyn’s endorsement of a clearly
economy, the party’s prospects of being seen as a vehicle conspiratorial mural to the party’s failure to put in place
for real change by many in its heartland areas would effective procedures soon enough. But the recently
surely have been significant. leaked report (excerpted in this issue of Jacobin) has
But Labour failed to take a decisive position. made clear that many of Corbynism’s early failings on
Week by week, the project was drawn further into a the issue were the result of deliberate sabotage on the
Westminster battle it could not win. Corbyn’s opponents part of the Labour right.
in the Parliamentary Labour Party grew stronger, using The truth is that only a tiny fraction of Labour’s
the wedge of a second referendum to undermine his members held antisemitic views — far less, in fact, than
leadership and speak to party members who had all but those of other parties. That this issue became headline
written them off only months earlier. national news owed far more to a campaign against
They were supported by a lavishly funded liberal the Corbyn project than to the specifics of the cases.
campaigning effort — whose leading figures, including This broader effort had a clear aim: to paint the entire
Alastair Campbell and Peter Mandelson, knew only movement as racist and thereby dent the moral appeal
too well that defeating Corbyn was as important as it possessed when challenging the genuine racism
defeating Brexit. Their focus was almost exclusively and class spite of the Tory government. Once again, a
on the Labour Party, which they attacked on a daily lack of decisive leadership had contributed to signifi-
basis while providing a stream of positive coverage for cant damage.
the Liberal Democrats. The same couldn’t be said of the Brexiteers. At each
Instead of remaking politics in its image, Corbynism moment when they possessed political capital, they used
was remade by Brexit. It was forced to adapt to its divides it. They pushed Theresa May into a hard-line position
and respond to its developments. By the time the 2018 she didn’t believe in, then sabotaged her deal when
Labour conference arrived, many party members saw she showed signs of compromise. They ensured her
Brexit and not the prospect of a Corbyn government departure when she refused to renegotiate, then backed
as the key political issue of the day. They duly voted the Brexit Party in European elections to remind the
through a motion — with the strong support of Keir Tories of the likely outcome if they did not replace her
Starmer — that opened the door to a second referendum. with someone committed to Brexit.
AFTER BERNIE 97
HOW THE LABOUR PARTY LOST THE CHANCE OF A LIFETIME
Later, upon Boris Johnson’s ascendancy, they wasted a real overhaul of transportation networks, proper
no time in disposing of those Tories who objected to the funding and powers for local councils, and thousands
trajectory — kicking Father of the House of Commons of green industrial jobs — would have substantially
Kenneth Clarke and Churchill’s grandson Nicholas undone the damage inflicted by Margaret Thatcher
Soames out of the parliamentary party. This is the kind on working-class areas. Sadly, in a political landscape
of ruthlessness that tends to characterize successful dominated by Brexit, they didn’t resonate — or at least
insurgencies. not sufficiently to drown out the Tory narrative: Labour
But, as time wore on, Corbynism increasingly took no longer respects the result of the referendum because,
the easy road. Not only did it refuse to mount a fight fundamentally, it doesn’t respect you.
within the parliamentary party, it leaned into those parts
of its base — the young, the urban, the well educated —
The Red Wall Crumbles
that were already onside and that best suited the terms of
the Brexit culture war. The project narrowed at precisely corbynism’s accumulated failures were laid
the moment it needed to broaden, and and by 2019 it bare on December 12, 2019. An opposition party with a
was tangibly speaking more to its own supporters and popular policy program had been thumped by a ten-year
less to the class as a whole. party of government that oversaw an economy most
In 2015, Labour had promised to reverse the long people felt was moving in the wrong direction. That
decline the party was suffering in its heartlands, a process simply does not happen without Brexit — which came
that dated back to losing 5 million votes during the Blair to dominate British politics and, in the process, rescued
government. But by 2019, it had become clear that this the Conservatives from their own record.
erosion was, in fact, continuing. Rather than being A lot of criticisms have been made of Labour’s
seen as a break with so much of what postindustrial election campaign. It lacked the dynamism of 2017,
communities hated about New Labour, Corbynism came with fewer and more sparsely attended rallies, a video
to be seen as similarly distant and associated with the campaign that only found inspiration in the dying days,
same aloof attitudes. and a slogan — “It’s Time for Real Change” — that felt
The Left has tended to blame this on objective every bit the focus-grouped fudge it was. The manifesto
factors, such as the malign influence of the right-wing had excellent policies, but it lacked a coherent vision of
press — and their impact shouldn’t be underestimated. what a Labour society might be about — allowing it to
But even here, the question has to be asked: What was be caricatured as a laundry list of fantastical promises.
the strategy to defeat them? More than 60 percent of the But, in truth, the die had been cast long before
newspapers people read each day in Britain are owned December. By 2019, Corbynism was not a project that
by Rupert Murdoch and the Daily Mail. This isn’t a working-class communities felt any ownership over. Its
new phenomenon. insurgent appeal had faded. Trapped in a Westminster
Corbynism wasn’t present in the vast majority of game it couldn’t win, Labour felt like just another
postindustrial communities in a way that might have political party. Meanwhile, the debate over the future of
circumvented their influence. Was the plan to win over the country revolved around Brexit. The class coalition
the existing left-leaning press? Little effort seemed to be that socialist politics relies upon was torn apart by its
exerted here, which is understandable, given the hostility. competing camps.
But social media alone could never be sufficient. In this Remain advocates would point to the fact that
context, the failure to seriously explore media alternatives Labour lost more than a million voters to anti-Brexit
seems even more shortsighted. After all, even the timid parties. This is true, although many of those votes were
Labour leadership of the 1980s had lent its support to in Scotland, where the dynamic was quite different. The
the abortive News on Sunday effort. Why was the project People’s Vote campaign’s relentless focus on Jeremy
so reluctant to explore building our own institutions? Corbyn and Labour had taken a toll. In the end, however,
The tragedy of all this was that, unlike in previous its strategy came up disastrously short. Not only did the
years, Labour had a message worth communicating. Liberal Democrats have a dismal night, Tory Remainers
Its proposed policies — a national investment bank, largely stuck with their party.
For all the multiple millions The Liberal Democrats’ post-election report was
scathing in its account of their “high-speed car crash”
of pounds poured into of a campaign. In fact, it went so far as to admit that
their efforts, the Remain the party’s policy of revoking Brexit “alienated large
campaign’s only meaningful chunks of the population” — including those who had
voted Remain.
contribution was to damage For all the multiple millions of pounds poured into
the Labour Party and defeat their efforts — and, at one stage, People’s Vote alone
Jeremy Corbyn. had a comparable number of staff in its headquarters to
the Liberal Democrats — the Remain campaign’s only
meaningful contribution was to damage the Labour
Party and defeat Jeremy Corbyn. We should be under
no illusions that this will be a worthy consolation for
many of those involved.
But it was Leave voting areas that defined the
election. Fifty-two of the sixty seats Labour lost had
voted Leave in 2016. A YouGov poll shortly after the
election showed that Labour lost 40 percent of its 2017
Leave vote to the Tories and the Brexit Party. Only the
Brexit Party’s decision not to stand down in contests
for Labour seats prevented another dozen or more
being lost where their vote was higher than the margin
of victory.
Another YouGov poll demonstrated the reason for
the switch: 49 percent changed their votes because of
Brexit, and only 27 percent because of Corbyn. The
Labour Party’s internal report into the election failing —
which was clearly written to justify Keir Starmer’s
moderate political line — nonetheless noted that the
Tories had managed to turn out almost 2 million previous
nonvoters, largely older white men, over the question
of Brexit.
Many of the seats that Labour lost were party
strongholds across generations. It had held Leigh since
1922, Newcastle-under-Lyme since 1919, and Rother
Valley since 1918. In many seats, Labour didn’t just
lose — it was decimated. In Ashfield, the party lost
18 points and finished third. In Great Grimsby, its vote
share fell by 17 points, and there is now a Tory majority
of more than 7,000 in a seat Labour had held since the
Second World War.
In all of these places, Labour’s downward trend
began more than a decade ago, with 2017 merely a blip
on the road. But even then, there were clear warning
signs. In Leave-voting seats that the party lost during
the Corbyn surge, 2019’s picture is truly disastrous.
The Tory majority in Stoke-on-Trent South is now
AFTER BERNIE 99
HOW THE LABOUR PARTY LOST THE CHANCE OF A LIFETIME
11,000; in Walsall North, it is almost 12,000; in North 16), water (53 to 18), energy (52 to 20), and mail (48
East Derbyshire, it is nearly 13,000; and in Mansfield, to 21). Renationalization of the nhs (48 to 19) gained
it is 16,000. These are seats that had Labour mps less similar approval. Even nationalized broadband —
than five years ago. widely cited by critics as a policy that contributed to
Labour’s downfall — was approved by a margin of
47 points to 21.
Winning the Battle, Losing the War
In the past four years, Labour under Jeremy Corbyn
the party’s right has used December’s election has profoundly transformed the debate over the
defeat to argue that the Corbyn project in its entirety economy. As recently as the 2015 general election, the
failed and should be consigned to history. Whatever party had accepted that austerity was a necessary evil.
Keir Starmer might have protested during his campaign, It promised to match the Tories cut for cut outside of a
this is the logic he is following, too — summed up by his small number of protected areas. Its headline manifesto
recent sacking of the most prominent Corbynite in his commitment was to “cut the deficit every year.”
shadow cabinet, Rebecca Long-Bailey. Today, the tide has turned against austerity. But
Starmer’s politics are an attempt to turn back more fundamentally, it has turned against the market.
the Labour clock to the “soft-left” positions of Ed In the 1980s, Margaret Thatcher sold the market as a
Miliband — ones that were soft enough to include attacks panacea for Britain’s economic problems — dynamic,
on benefit scroungers and trade unions, it should be efficient, and delivering benefits for consumers. That
added. Starmer hopes to carry this off more competently, common sense endured for decades, but Corbynism
by appealing to Britain’s right-wing press with “sensible brought it crashing down.
opposition” that, in reality, offers little resistance to the The pandemic has made clear the degree to which
Boris Johnson government. there is now a consensus that the state and the public
This program has produced a poll boost for the party, should play a larger role in the economy. Even the
but it still languishes well below where it was at the Conservative government has had to abandon its
height of Corbynism in late 2017 and 2018. And even if Thatcherite roots and flirt with a more interventionist
Starmer were to restore the party’s polling fortunes with approach. It has pledged increased spending on the
this approach, an election is probably five years away. nhs and infrastructure, and it has supported an
His politics will guarantee that those five years are spent unprecedented underwriting of wages in the form of
with a prolonged shift to the right on everything from the pandemic-induced furlough.Already, this is placing
the economy to civil liberties to foreign policy. its own coalition under pressure.
It is worth remembering that, even in defeat, Changing the economic debate wasn’t Corbyn’s only
Jeremy Corbyn received more than 10 million votes — legacy. After so many years in which party memberships
substantially more than the party had received under declined and politics appeared to be hollowing out,
soft-left Ed Miliband. In fact, the 2017 result of almost Corbynism produced a remarkable growth in Labour
13 million votes under Corbyn’s left-wing leadership is Party membership — taking it to more than 500,000
the only election since 1997 when Labour could claim at its height. It won a generation of younger people to
widespread support in the country. socialist politics and forced anti-war positions onto the
The reason for this is clear: Labour’s policy program political agenda. It made millions of people believe that
under Corbyn was enormously popular. Polling from real change could be achieved through collective action,
bmg Research after the election demonstrated its and that politics could be about more than choosing
enduring appeal. There were thumping majorities for between the lesser of two whatevers.
policies like free personal care (83 percent in favor, just These legacies must be built upon, not cast aside. The
3 percent against), net-zero carbon emissions by 2030 (70 battles Corbynism waged were ones that will confront
to 7), a £10 minimum wage (67 to 12) and tax increases any Labour Party that aspires to shift the balance of
for those earning over £80,000 (60 to 16). power in favor of workers. Now is not the time to shy
Labour’s nationalization plans also drew away from these fights — it is the time to prepare the
significant support — with clear support on rail (57 to ground to win them next time.
Don’t Look
Back in Anger
the 1980s and ’90s — its resent- This was the wellspring of the we need each other
ments, disappointments, bursts Oasis sound and worldview. As we believe in one another
of optimism, and spasms of one of Definitely Maybe’s most and I know we’re
political rage. Anyone looking for anthemic lyrics opined, over a riff
going to uncover
what’s sleepin’ in our soul.
answers to the big questions stolen from T. Rex: “I was looking
Britpop posed about class must for some action / But all I found
examine the Oasis narrative in all was cigarettes and alcohol.” Oasis
its seedy, intoxicating glory. emerged from the scorched earth
of Margaret Thatcher’s Britain, leader in July 1994, and he was
offering a dream of escape into a clearly the coming man.
sun-filled landscape of communal
Major was not duty-bound to call
I was looking for release. The quintessence of
some action an election until 1997. This was,
Gallagher’s idealistic side can be
but all I found was if you like, a classic Gramscian
heard on the chorus of 1995’s
cigarettes and alcohol. moment — the old was dying, but
“Acquiesce”: “We need each other/
the new could not be born. Yet,
We believe in one another / And
crucially, the long Britpop summer
I know we’re going to uncover /
that Oasis came to dominate was
What’s sleepin’ in our soul.”
Oasis had very little to do with decidedly not a time of morbid
Britishness per se. Their debut symptoms.
album, Definitely Maybe, appeared The Interregnum
As it turned out, Blair’s New
in the same year as Parklife. But
However, Oasis’s mix of simulated Labour government mostly ended
in place of that album’s knowing
euphoria and underlying melan- up continuing Thatcher’s political
cameos of life in suburban
choly also expressed a deeper legacy after it came to power in
London, Definitely Maybe offered
truth about ’90s Britain. As 1997. But before this disillusion-
a more universal vision, which
Britpop escalated, there was a ment kicked in, for a couple of
spoke of a Western postindustrial
growing sense in the country that years, the people of Britain were
proletariat undergoing its own
better times were coming. The able to dream of an enlightened
“end of history” moment.
political reasons for this were sequel to Thatcherism, founded in
Oasis songs were, on the surface, the purely imaginative, utopic
full of classic rock traits and world of popular culture.
simple lyrics about seizing the day.
Perhaps Britpop was nothing
But even in this superficial sense,
more than a fleeting, culturalist
they were a product of their social
daydream. But there is surely
context. For example, songwriter
something worth remembering
Noel Gallagher partly derived
about this strange glitch in the
his willingness to “steal” from the
neoliberal timeline, which hinted
rock canon, all in the service of
at what might have happened if
a good time, from his experience
the British working class really
of the “dole culture” of the quite specific. Thatcher’s suc-
had managed to regain its sense of
’80s and ’90s. One consequence cessor, John Major, presided over
power and pride after the defeats
of neoliberal mass unemployment a deeply unpopular Conservative
of the 1980s. If you listen hard to
was the rise of a subversive, government. Meanwhile, his
the best Britpop music, you can
hedonistic lifestyle fueled by opposition counterpart, Tony
hear the tragedy and the heroism
cheap intoxicants and enlivened Blair, enjoyed sky-high approval
of this failed dream echoing
by the nearest pop-cultural ratings after he became Labour
through the decades.
artifacts at hand.
ILLUSTRATION BY
CHARLIE LE MAIGNAN
Where Have
All the Political
Footballers
Gone?
Asif Kapadia’s film Diego As far as Messi himself is con- Falklands War; the world’s
Maradona is a superb documen- cerned, this is probably no bad greatest player coming to Naples,
tary, but it’s also a time capsule thing: he’s better off without at a time of mounting regional
from another age. Watching it, Maradona’s cocaine habit, alleged tensions, and lifting its team from
you can’t help comparing domestic violence, or compromis- mediocrity to claim the Italian
Maradona to his fellow Argentine ing ties with the Neapolitan championship at the expense of
Lionel Messi. Camorra. But something impor- richer clubs from Turin and Milan.
tant has been lost along the way,
If Kapadia wanted to make a study However, Maradona also took
too. Maradona’s career sheds light
of Messi’s life twenty years from political stances of his own,
on some of the great political
now, he would have little to work associating with Fidel Castro and
dramas of his time.
with: a highlights package of Hugo Chávez, and joining protests
wonderful goals, interspersed with In part, this was a matter of against George W. Bush in 2005.
talking heads paying tribute what he symbolized rather than Messi, who’s been carefully
to Messi’s footballing genius. The the opinions he expressed: an chaperoned by his club, Barcelona,
extracurricular drama of Argentinian footballer scoring since he was a teenager, keeps a
Maradona’s life would be entirely twice against England in the 1986 much lower profile.
absent. World Cup, four years after the
Corporate Men no need to worry, as long as they John Foot shows in his great
manage their money well. history Calcio. Roma and Lazio,
The gulf between the two men the two teams from the Italian
reflects the changing nature of the At the highest level of the game,
capital, had the image of being left-
game. In his book The Football players circulate freely between
wing and right-wing clubs,
Men, Simon Kuper describes how cities and countries, going from
respectively. No English team
the growing professionalization Madrid to Manchester, Munich,
enjoyed the same reputation.
and commercialization of and Milan without having to
European football has effectively change their habits or lifestyle. Marcello Lippi, who coached Italy
killed off two archetypes: the This is not an environment that to World Cup triumph in 2006,
hedonistic, rock-star player encourages people to develop is the son of a trade-union militant
(Maradona, George Best) and the strong political views, let alone at the Fiat auto plant in Turin.
charismatic leader (Franz express them in public. According to Lippi, when he took
Beckenbauer, Johan Cruyff ). a job in the ’90s as manager of
Juventus — owned, like Fiat, by the
As Kuper explains, modern
“The Socialism
Agnelli family — he went to his
footballers are “actively discour- I Believe In” father’s grave to apologize: Lippi
aged from developing interests Sr had despised the Turin club
This is not to say that football was
outside the game” and cut off from and “all it stood for.”
a hotbed of politics before the age
their peer group at a very early
of Sky Sports and the Champions In English football, it was often
stage. They receive media training
League. The degree of politiciza- managers rather than players who
to learn the art of speaking at
tion varied: football in Italy had were politically outspoken. Bill
length without saying anything
a strong connection with the Shankly, who first established
controversial. The clubs that
country’s political struggles, as Liverpool as one of England’s top
invest so heavily in a player’s
career want him to be “a slightly
monomaniac corporate man
and yes-man.”
clubs, was an avowed socialist, I grew up in a very working-class fabric. Modern-day footballers
whose concise definition of his area of Glasgow ... believing usually don’t have that experience.
political outlook still features Labour was the party of the
At the game’s summit, superrich
on T-shirts and banners in the city: working man, and I still believe
clubs produce a standardized
“The socialism I believe in is that . . . All my life I’ve seen
product for the world market, mimick-
everybody working for the same Labour as the party working to
ing the development of global
goal and everybody having a share get better health care for ordi-
capitalism. Most of them are
in the rewards. That’s how I nary people, and the Tories
no longer socially embedded in any
see football, that’s how I see life.” really only caring about the
meaningful sense. The company
people at the top.
Brian Clough and Jack Charlton that owns Manchester City
were vocal in their support for the In 2012, Ferguson sent a message has turned “City” into a transna-
miners’ union during the great of support to Irish factory workers tional brand, with franchise
strikes of the 1970s and ’80s. The who were occupying their plant in clubs in Melbourne, Mumbai, and
miners’ leader Arthur Scargill Cork, recalling his own career as a New York.
liked to tell a story about Charlton union activist half a century earlier.
Owners don’t even use their team
lending his car to the local union
as a vehicle for success in national
office during the 1984–85 strike.
Two Exceptions politics, in the way Silvio
He borrowed it for the day to drive
Berlusconi once used ac Milan as
to Nottingham for a professional Shankly, Clough, Charlton, and
a launchpad for his career as Italy’s
meeting with Clough, only to find Ferguson all grew up in working-
prime minister. The Russian
himself stopped on the way to class communities in Scotland
oligarch Roman Abramovich and
the city by a police blockade. or Northern England, at a time
the Emirati royal Mansour bin
when the Labour Party and the
The officers had orders to prevent Zayed Al Nahyan bought Chelsea
trade unions were part of the social
any flying pickets from entering
Nottinghamshire, so when
they saw Charlton’s coal not
dole sticker, they hauled him
aside. Charlton asked the police
to imagine what the famously
irascible Clough would do to them
all if he was late for his meeting,
and they immediately waved him
through.
LlIbErtAT
their business.
Liverpool, meanwhile, has earned the early ’90s, when the wounds why he cared far more about the
its reputation as the most left- from Hillsborough were still club than the English national team:
wing, anti-Tory city in England. raw. The long campaign of the
The Hillsborough disaster of 1989 [W]henever I returned home
Hillsborough families for justice
established an inextricable link from disappointing England
has done as much as anything to
between football and politics in the experiences one unshakeable
expose the dark heart of the British
city. Ninety-six fans died because overriding thought pushed itself
state: not only have the families
of gross negligence by the same to the forefront of my mind, no
established the culpability of the
police force that had stitched up matter how much the rest of
police for “gross negligence
the miners at Orgreave a few years the nation mourned. “At least
manslaughter,” their efforts have
earlier. Senior police officers lied it wasn’t Liverpool,” I’d repeat
also shed fresh light on the
about what had happened to cover to myself, over and over ... If
policing tactics used during the
their tracks, with the enthusiastic people want to condemn me and
miners’ strike.
support of Rupert Murdoch’s Sun, say I’m unpatriotic, so be it ...
which published revolting, We all hear about the impor-
defamatory lies about the club’s Gary Neville Is a Red tance of 1966 to the country. For
supporters on its front page. my family, the most important
It’s not surprising that the former
event at Wembley that year was
Three decades later, a boycott of Liverpool captain Jamie Carragher
Everton winning the fa Cup.
the Sun by Merseyside remains should have been a Labour
firmly in place. Liverpool fans supporter in last year’s general Carragher explicitly links this
have never forgiven their former election. Carragher, who grew up disdain for England’s fortunes with
manager Graeme Souness for in Liverpool and spent his whole a “them and us” mentality that
granting the paper an interview in career in the city, takes a few pages took root on Merseyside during the
in his autobiography to explain Thatcher years: “I’ve heard the
“The socialism I believe is sometimes enough to lift players understand the reasoning behind
out of the conformist, depoliti- his decision, no matter how many
in is everybody cizing marsh of the modern game. times he respectfully explains it.
working for the same
The Manchester United striker Like the Liverpool fans who have
goal and Marcus Rashford recently done more to challenge Rupert
everybody having spearheaded a successful cam- Murdoch than any center-left
paign pressuring the British politician in Britain, Australia, or
a share in the
government to extend the the United States, McClean and
rewards. That’s how provision of free school meals Rashford have shown that sport
I see football, for poor families into the summer can still be a tool for political
holidays. Rashford recalled mobilization as well as a profitable
that’s how I see life.”
his own experience of childhood enterprise.
poverty in a letter to mps:
Mark Fisher’s
Popular
Modernism
At the heart of the work of Mark It’s been three years since we lost
Fisher is something he called Mark Fisher, but his vision of a
“popular modernism.” By this, he
meant a kind of culture — most socialist future endures.
often found in music — that
straddled the experimental and
the mainstream. While popular, it
required work to be fully under-
stood, doing away with past forms,
following a modernist “make
it new” imperative. As an idea, it
was based on the claim that the of Dido. While he found a natural death was a great loss to socialist
most interesting postwar culture habitat in polemic, Fisher’s intellectual life.
had developed out of a flourishing primary work was a matter of
Fisher’s philosophy of “going
welfare state, made by the fleshing out alternative realities,
beyond the pleasure principle”
students of municipal art schools breathing form into the lost
underpins this writing. As he
and the recipients of higher futures that haunt our present.
argued in Capitalist Realism, we
education grants.
An 800-page volume, k-punk: The are trapped in a state of “depres-
Pop modernism, Fisher argued, Collected and Unpublished sive hedonia”: not “an inability to
embodied a sense of possibility Writings of Mark Fisher, was get pleasure” but “an inability
that never fully recovered from released in 2018 by Repeater to do anything else except pursue
the thoroughgoing attack it Books, the publishing house pleasure.” The work in the anthol-
underwent in the 1980s. However, Fisher set up with Tariq Goddard ogy explores this state through
he was by no means ignorant of after leaving Zero Books. It a wealth of genres, art forms, and
contemporary pop music: he went collects writings, interviews, and ways of life — hip-hop, indie,
from praising the “sadness” and blogs from 2004 to 2016 and neo-noir — in a style that mashes
“ambivalence” of early Rihanna to attempts to set in order the together a lay criticality with
applauding the “existentialism” thinking of a figure whose 2017 an eclectic array of philosophical
Did Americans
2020 Democratic primary have
been written, and the sniping,
mocking, and football-spiking is
dying down on social media. If
there is any lasting political lesson
Want a Political
Revolution?
from the yearlong race, it is
probably a simple and boring one:
former vice presidents are tough
candidates to defeat in nominating
contests.
“I believe history will look back on stop profiting off sickness. The On that score, the results of the
four years of this president and all private prison industry and the 2020 Democratic primary were
he embraces as an aberrant police are not going to voluntarily not a hopeful sign. However,
moment in time,” Biden said at the stop fortifying an inhumane and reality may finally be over-
beginning of his primary cam- racist criminal justice system. whelming the power of fantasy.
paign, and a year later, he capped Billionaires and corporations are
Since Biden became the presump-
off that primary run by telling nbc not going to voluntarily stop using
tive nominee, more than 120,000
News that “Americans aren’t an army of lobbyists to rig the tax
Americans have died in a lethal
looking for revolution.” system for the wealthy, and they
pandemic, and millions have lost
are not going to voluntarily stop
In the interim, Biden’s campaign their existing health care cov-
exploiting a system of legalized
spent months telling voters that erage — all as the economy has
bribery to buy our elections.
we can solve climate change with a continued to enrich billionaires.
“middle ground” policy, we can Fixing our country and our world At the same time, an explosion of
solve the health-care crisis with an will require transformational police violence and mass protest
incremental public option, and we policies — or, as Sanders calls it, a has spotlighted the bigotry and
can solve economic inequality “political revolution.” And inequality tearing apart the social
even if we make sure that “nothing yes — enacting those policies will fabric of communities across the
would fundamentally change” for require exactly the kind of country. Meanwhile, the climate
billionaires. struggle that Sanders envisioned crisis helped create a 100ºf day in
and earnestly acknowledged the Arctic Circle.
If the Sanders-Biden battle was
during the Democratic primary.
perceived as a choice between In light of these emergencies,
Those crises will not just go away
Sanders’s daunting promise of an politicians face an altered political
or get better by replacing Trump
exhausting revolutionary struggle topography. They risk looking
with a Democratic president who
and Biden’s promise of a glide tone-deaf if they try to pretend
prioritizes comity, decorum, and
path back to normal, then it’s no that the panacea is some easy half
incrementalism over struggle,
mystery why Biden ultimately measure or singular electoral
conflict, and radical change.
prevailed. Easy street was an victory. The converse is also
understandably alluring vision for But can candidates win office true — candidates may end up
an electorate already tired out by while admitting that? seeming more authentic and
Trump’s never-ending conflicts electable by fessing up to
In every contested primary,
and controversies. impending cataclysms and echoing
progressives will inevitably face
the call for the kind of struggle
In reality, though, this was not a Joe Bidens — corporate-backed
that will be necessary to rescue
choice between two possibilities — moderates who reassure us that
ourselves.
it was a choice between honesty there is no need for a slog, who tell
and fantasy, and Democratic us a fantastical and inspiring tale In short, events occurring outside
voters picked the latter. about how we can fix the country of the political arena in the
through half measures, bipartisan- terrestrial world — in the streets,
That’s a problem, because Sanders
ship, and polite requests for hospitals, schools, and communi-
was giving voice to truths that we
national unity. ties we live in — are intervening to
cannot keep avoiding, omitting, or
change elections in a way that
rejecting at the ballot box if we In the face of that appealing sales
could make honesty a winning
hope to survive the disasters pitch, can progressive candidates
strategy.
engulfing our society. up and down the ballot win power
while leveling with voters about If that shift continues, it will be
The fossil fuel industry isn’t going
how hard it will be to actually save unfolding at too late a moment to
to voluntarily stop exacerbating
our country and the planet? put Sanders in the White House —
the climate crisis. The health care
but if we are lucky, it will happen
industry isn’t going to voluntarily
in time to save the world.
116 № 38 / SUMMER 2020
Did Americans Want a Political Revolution?
MEDICARE?
For....All?
WELLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL....
POLITICAL REVOLUTION?
FOREIGN POLICY?
RACIAL JUSTICE?
11 Letter to organize
a nationwide general
strike against the Nazi
government, 1933. 10
KPD members in Berlin
during a protest against conservative MPs failed to cast
Nazi and right-wing groups. a single vote against the abolition
of Weimar democracy.
declared a republic, the spd entrenched in this stance by the sentiment in a small party faced
sought allies in the old military repressive actions of spd-led with the murder of hundreds of its
leadership to reimpose order; governments, combined with their militants, the trade unions’ retreat
in January 1919, its leaders made a own gloomy economic situation. into passivity, and the outright
pact with the far-right paramili- hostility of its “bigger brother” in
Damning Weimar’s failures, the
taries of the Freikorps in order to the spd.
kpd consistently denied support
crush the Spartacist uprising,
for any regional or national
itself led by communists who had
government from 1923 onward. Why Weimar?
opposed the war.
Such was its en-masse rejection
Yet the interesting thing about this
These bitter clashes — including of — and by — all other parties.
history is not so much the factors
the murder, still fresh in the kpd propaganda tended to
behind the kpd policy — aptly
memory, of communists Rosa present Hitler’s rise as another
addressed in Rosenhaft’s study —
Luxemburg and Karl Liebknecht — passing phase in the hardening
as the political reasons for its
created lasting hostilities between of bourgeois reaction, prepared by
frequent invocation today. The
the kpd and the spd. But this countless other instances of
claim that every fresh opponent of
was fed by a sociological divide. repression, rather than the
liberalism — from Saddam
The Communists were rooted in affirmation of the single figure
Hussein and Muammar Gaddafi to
sections of the population whom who would stabilize a dictatorship
Donald Trump — is really a “new
the spd most failed in govern- far more total than what had
Hitler” evidently seeks to drama-
ment — by 1932, the unemployed come before. The writer c. l. r.
tize the moral binary and serve as
made up a massive 85 percent James would lampoon this
a call to action. But what use is it
of the kpd’s membership. As Eve approach with a widely cited but
comparing our own situation with
Rosenhaft’s study Beating the inaccurate claim that the kpd had
that of Weimar Germany, even in
Fascists? documents, the Commu- raised the slogan “After Hitler,
countries that bear almost none of
nists built up their base through Our Turn,” creating the legend
its defining traits?
direct action, whether that meant that it had willed him to power
defending tenants against in order to destroy the spd and One insight comes from Jacobin
evictions, mounting rowdy allow its own ultimate victory. contributing editor Daniel
demonstrations at unemployment Bessner, who has compared the
Telling, however, is the fact that
offices, or resisting Nazi gangs. use of the Weimar analogy in
this specific slogan was first used
different eras. In his telling, in the
Hence, while the kpd theorization not by kpders but by spd
period around 1968, older
of impending revolution pointed supporters — indeed, after Hitler
intellectuals who had emigrated
to the industrial might of factory had already become chancellor in
from Germany to the United
workers, its revolutionary promise January 1933. This was an
States often brandished the
and confrontational organizing expression of defiance, not of
Weimar analogy in order to damn
methods — so adept in mobilizing complicity. For its part, the kpd’s
the excesses of the US extra-
the unemployed — set it at odds claims that Nazism would prove
paramilitary left. Such claims
with the defensive attitudes that ephemeral directly followed from
were repudiated not only by those
prevailed among employed its effort to recruit “honest
who defended anti–Vietnam
workers during the Depression. If workers” from Nazi ranks — a
War protests outright, but also by
Communists were hardened in botched tactical ruse rather than a
others who considered the
a militant but sectarian niche — in show of complacency, per se.
Weimar comparison hysterical.
essence, preparing a militarized The fact that most kpders went
However, according to Bessner,
organization for an ultimate clash along with this line suggests that,
when this same historical analogy
with the combined forces of rather than it being merely
was deployed in the 2016 election
reaction — they were only further “crazy,” this was a galvanizing
cycle — now taking Trump for a
new Hitler — even those histo- by the new mass politics has its purpose is to wish away the
rians who rejected the comparison often been used as an argument reasons why many are so unenthu-
tended to invoke definitional for technocratic alternatives, siastic about Biden’s candidacy.
distinctions rather than profess narrowing the range of political It should be enough, we’re told,
any deeper faith in the longevity of choice in order to protect it from that Biden is not a wannabe Hitler,
US democracy. the masses’ irresponsibility. and asking for anything more than
When Joe Biden has so little else that is putting our selfish whims
We would be wise not to jump to
with which to win our support, before the victims of fascism.
comparisons with post–World
what better way to glorify his
War I Germany. In the absence of It’s likely that Biden will be able to
campaign — and smear its left-
mass violence claiming hundreds mobilize enough people worried
wing critics — than to wrap it in
of thousands of lives, a recent about stopping Trump to win this
the colors of anti-fascism?
military defeat, or — for now, at November. But if we really are
least — large-scale paramilitary The history we’re told of the threatened with another Weimar,
mobilization, even our coronavirus- kpd’s errors neglects to mention we’ll need to do a lot more than
addled time is a pale shadow of why the Weimar Republic’s just get the “good guys” to vote
the chaotic Weimar era. Yet, as own social base fell apart. No against the Nazis.
Bessner argues, the claim that wonder the main use of that histor-
German democracy was destroyed ical fable today is as a diversion:
Leftovers
THE STRUGGLE CONTINUES
LEFTOVERS
POPULAR FRONT MARILYN ARWOOD
and more ideological — than the average Democratic primary time and energy from volunteers
the overall composition of the voter was focused on the that is ready to be put to use.
Democratic Party. imperative of “beating Trump.” Nothing else is quite like the
presidential race, and down-ballot
This mismatch between can- Though thousands of left-wing
races in which direct voter contact
vassers and voters doesn’t mean volunteers from coastal cities may
makes more of a difference will
that volunteers are totally not have been the ideal messen-
account for most left-wing
ineffective; it just means that gers to win over new voters, I
electoral activity in years to come.
they’d probably have more impact don’t believe that our field
on their home turf, and volunteers campaign was the decisive factor In the future, we can learn to focus
would do well to remember in the primary. Nor do I think it our messaging on core demands
that the people they are trying to could have been. However, if that have broad appeal. One thing
win over are likely to be less we’re going to continue knocking we learned from the primary is
ideological than they are. We saw on doors, it’s worth spending that although Bernie didn’t have
this divide playing out in the some time critically evaluating enough support to win the
primary this year: while Bernie how well the tactic works. nomination, his agenda is very
supporters were motivated by popular with voters. Never forget
Bernie’s 2020 campaign proved
a wide array of issues and causes, that in 2020, a majority wanted
that there’s a massive reservoir of
to replace private insurance with to bring you out for the candidate.
Medicare for All in twenty While this is effective for gotv
consecutive states — and that was (“get out the vote”) efforts, it’s a
before the coronavirus pandemic. fairly shallow type of engagement,
not to be confused with the project
of building a coalition that lasts
Strategic Organizing Conjuring a national
beyond election day.
We were also successful when we
A presidential campaign, even coalition every four
organized strategic constituencies:
when it’s well resourced, is a years is resource-
for example, Bernie won nearly all
of the Iowa satellite caucuses by
machine that is obliged to intensive and
constantly adapt and reconstitute
proactively registering workers unlikely to succeed,
itself. Only in early primary states
who were getting off the third shift
is there the time and the budget as we’ve now seen
at Tyson’s meatpacking plant, at
to build a long-lasting and from the two
mosques, and in Spanish-speaking
communities. Sanders dominated
effective field campaign. And Bernie campaigns.
“long-lasting,” in this case, is a
the caucuses on the Las Vegas
strictly relative term — something
Strip because his campaign had
like eight months. In states that
prioritized organizing taxi drivers
voted later, the Bernie campaign
and culinary union workers — in
increasingly relied on a combina-
spite of opposition from union
tion of featherweight state staff
leaders. Campus organizing led to
teams, nationally distributed incredible shortcut. While the
increased turnout from students,
digital organizing, and — to a huge zeal of supporters and the stalwart
whom Bernie won over in droves.
degree — volunteers to take on door-knocking effort we all put
Obviously, we didn’t get the result the work of planning and exe- in wasn’t enough to win this time,
we wanted, and any number of cuting canvasses and phone banks. the campaign showed us the
postmortems can reflect on opportunity we might have if we
perceived strategic missteps. were organized to compete in
Digging Deeper
Ultimately, though, it’s unlikely races on an ongoing basis, not just
that the presidential primary Conjuring a national coalition once every four years.
was — or could have been — every four years is resource-
It’s a huge testament to the
decided by ground game. Yes, we intensive and unlikely to succeed,
organizing strength and dedica-
have to keep knocking on doors, as we’ve now seen from the two
tion of everyone who worked
but it won’t be enough to foster the Bernie campaigns. Socialists need
with the Sanders campaign that
kind of political engagement that to build permanent organizations
we were able to conjure up
can seriously wrest power away that actually bring in more of the
such a formidable national
from the neoliberal consensus. disaffected, nonvoting working
voter-contacting network, and
class, developing the kind of class
Direct voter contact through there’s no doubt it was a huge
consciousness and political agency
canvassing and phone banking asset. But the less exciting
that runs deeper than the biennial
only has a marginal impact, races, the ones where the gap
reminder to turn out to the polls.
because it works through extrinsic in volunteer power can’t be
motivation to vote: the commit- Without any durable left political canceled out by $70 million in
ment of signing a pledge, coupled institutions that can compete earned media in three days,
with the thought that someone and wield power at a national are the ones where we might
will follow up on whether you level, a winning Bernie 2020 expect to see these efforts pay
actually go to the polls, is supposed campaign would have been like an off in the future.
The roots of this debacle, with its What Happened in Of course, there is some truth to
interplay of race whispering and the account — older voters tend to
South Carolina?
pandering, lay in Charlamagne’s be more pragmatic, and unlike the
home state, and the supersize role The South Carolina black vote younger voters of all races who
South Carolina has come to play in has taken on mythical propor- have been drawn to Sanders,
Democratic presidential nomina- tions. In 2016, it was Hillary older voters can recall the limited
tion contests. Clinton’s firewall. In 2020, it was political horizons imposed
Biden’s. For the liberal punditry, by Cold War anti-communism and
During the 2016 and 2020
it was their proof that Sanders’s Jim Crow segregation. They’re
Democratic primary elections,
democratic socialism was not less likely to believe that a viable
Sanders offered an alternative to
viable. And for the Democratic candidacy by a socialist, even
the New Democratic triangulation
elites over the last few election a democratic socialist, is possible.
of Hillary Clinton and Biden, but
cycles, the South Carolina black
in both contests, the Sanders However, most of these popular
vote was their saving grace in
campaign lost in South Carolina. explanations, especially as they
times when neoliberalism has
And in both campaigns, the were repeated incessantly by
been facing a crisis of legitimacy.
narrative of Democratic Party superdelegates and party insiders,
insiders, Twitter activists, and In South Carolina, blacks make up assume that race was the primary
the corporate chattering classes 56 percent of the Democratic theme motivating black voters in
alike was that Sanders lost because base, and in the 2020 primary, a South Carolina, a claim that
he wasn’t strong enough “on majority of those voters supported reduces the different interests and
race,” which was a vessel that Biden — some 64 percent, motivations of black publics to
could accommodate whoever was compared to only 17 percent for the discrete concerns advanced by
speaking on behalf of blacks at Sanders. party insiders and self-ordained
that moment. spokespersons for the “black
Extrapolating from those num-
community.”
That doesn’t mean we shouldn’t bers, pundits not only argued that
attempt our own accounting of Sanders failed to win most black The “black vote” is a powerful
Bernie’s struggles, despite the voters, which is empirically true, myth, one with roots in the world
popularity of his message. There but many took the line further, of Jim Crow, where African
are important lessons to be beyond the immediate results and Americans were restricted from
gleaned from the South Carolina exit polls, and beyond the state full participation in public life.
primaries in 2016 and 2020, but limits, to speculation about black Within that segregated context,
I’ll focus on three core points for voters nationally. educated blacks, ministers,
now. First, Sanders didn’t lose ward bosses, and precinct captains
In the run-up to the South
because of the “black vote,” and were called on to voice the
Carolina primary, Eugene Daniels
black voters are not simply concerns of the black body politic.
drew on the voting intentions of
motivated by racial appeals, as so
his grandmother Ruby Brown as a That segregated world, where all
many pundits and party insiders
portent of Biden’s good fortunes blacks were subjected to second-
assert. Second, Sanders won
among “one of the Democratic class status in the South, regard-
the ideological fight across the
Party’s most dependable constitu- less of education and wealth,
country, which is a different
encies: older black women.” “After has vanished, but the representa-
plane of struggle than an electoral
fighting so hard for the right to tional practices and leadership
campaign. Third, the South
vote — Nana included,” Daniels claims set in motion during Jim
Carolina defeats represent the
continued in an article for Politico, Crow persist. Some of this is kept
next battlefront for forces who
“older black voters have a alive by self-appointed brokers,
want to advance the egalitarian
pragmatic streak that Biden but these practices also have an
politics of the Sanders campaigns.
represents.” institutional basis.
name recognition as he did in the to make tuition free at public some have claimed, or even of
previous race, but the large field in universities would hurt black committing more time on the
2020 likely posed new challenges institutions was false, however, ground there. Clyburn’s influence
for his campaign in the state. since many black universities is maintained through his constant
Moreover, the successful election are public, and thousands of black presence; the dense social
of Donald Trump, which seemed students nationwide would relationships that he, his staffers,
highly unlikely to many Americans stand to benefit immensely from and his surrogates maintain with
in the spring of 2016, now such a program. local constituents and organiza-
intensified existing concerns and tions; the real, material benefits
The 2020 primary saw more of the
anxieties for many black South like jobs, economic investment,
same, with Clyburn saying at
Carolinians. scholarships, and infrastructure
one point, “I do not believe there
improvements that his office
As others have noted, the longtime are any free lunches. And certainly
delivers to black South Carolin-
South Carolina congressman and there’s not going to be any free
ians; and the reputation those
House majority whip James education,” again sounding more
deliverables have created over a
Clyburn played a critical role as like a budget hawk than a
long career of public service. That
kingmaker in both of these liberal Democrat. This time,
kind of clout can’t be achieved or
contests, and he emerged as a Louisiana congressman Cedric
dethroned in an election cycle,
vocal foe of Sanders’s social-dem- Richmond took over as Clyburn’s
certainly not through stop-and-
ocratic agenda. Clyburn’s stature sideman on the trail. Picking up
drop voter canvassing runs and
in the Democratic nomination his mentor’s script, Richmond
political rallies, but is rather
process has been years in the charged that Bernie’s free higher
earned by much more involved
making. In 2008, he may well have education proposal would
and intensive political organizing.
tipped the balance in favor of disadvantage black private
then-presidential-hopeful Barack colleges like Richmond’s alma
Obama, after Clyburn deemed mater, Morehouse College. As How Sanders Won the
some of former president Bill before, such claims were disingen- Ideological Battle
Clinton’s comments about Obama uous and deceptive, appealing to
disrespectful. The optics of that constituent needs through In the weeks after the South
exchange ultimately backfired on conservative common sense rather Carolina primary in 2020, Sanders
the former president and his wife’s than visionary public policy, but took to saying that the campaign
campaign. In 2016, however, this is precisely the kind of was winning the battle over
Clyburn made amends, throwing rhetoric that plays well in a state ideology but not the battle of
his support behind Hillary Clinton where blacks are far outnumbered electability. As the South Carolina
and against the democratic by white Republicans. results came in, Pete Buttigieg and
socialism of Sanders. Amy Klobuchar stepped aside and
Clyburn was not a fan of Medicare endorsed Biden, and the party
In both 2016 and 2020, Clyburn for All, either. How could he be, rapidly united around the former
engaged in a folksy form of when he is a darling of the vice president, with endorsements
red-baiting. In 2016, Clyburn was pharmaceutical industry, having coming from retired Senate
joined by congressman John Lewis received more than $1 million in majority leader Harry Reid and
in his attack on Sanders, claiming campaign donations from the Illinois senator Tammy Duck-
that the Vermont senator’s sector over the last decade — more worth. After Super Tuesday,
proposal of free higher education than any other sitting member of Sanders’s path to the presidential
was not feasible. At one point, Congress? nomination narrowed further still.
Clyburn even offered that old
Sanders’s troubles in the state Even in defeat at the ballot box,
chestnut of conservatives,
were not merely a problem of Sanders succeeded, however, in
“Nothing in life is free.” Clyburn’s
picking better surrogates, as building a popular base for
assertion that Sanders’s proposal
Medicare for All, the signature candidate selection than to their many more Americans now
legislation touted by his campaign. estimations of the issues that most support the expansion of public
As he exited the race, the policy concern them,” they write. “In goods. The Sanders campaigns
achieved majority support part that is the result of decades of provided a model for a different
nationally. bipartisan neoliberal hegemony in kind of left electoral politics
which electoral politics has been going forward, but in places like
Contrary to those who argue that
drained of serious policy South Carolina, much more work
blacks in general were cold
differences.” remains to be done.
toward Sanders’s social demo-
cratic program, African Americans Moreover, Reed and Legette
are the most likely group of contend that in South Carolina, Why South Carolina
voters to support single-payer “Democratic party politics is Still Matters
health care nationally, with some fundamentally transactional,
74 percent saying they are in favor where people are habituated to Over the last few years, I’ve
in some polls. making electoral choices based on listened to some on the Left rail
considerations like personal against any focus on the expansion
In their postmortem on the South of public goods as “mere social
relationships or more local
Carolina primary, Adolph Reed Jr democracy,” with the implication
concerns that do not center so
and Willie Legette, political being that a $15 minimum wage,
much on national policy issues.”
scientists and organizers of South single-payer health care, free
The result of these local and
Carolina’s “I’m a Medicare for All higher education, and the like are
personal voter determinations
Voter” campaign, reported that not radical enough, but are rather
within the context of neoliber-
half of Democratic primary voters simply modifications of capitalism.
alism is a citizenry that does not
in the state supported single-payer I have also been labeled —
view electoral politics as the
health care. Another measure of wrongly, I should say, by some
“appropriate domain for trying to
the campaign’s progress was in friends, comrades, and foes
pursue policies that address
garnering more than eighteen alike — a “social democrat,” often
people’s actual material concerns
thousand pledge cards from South for daring to suggest that there
like health care, education, jobs
Carolina voters, most of them were meaningful gains made by
and wages, or housing.”
African Americans, who said they blacks and other working people
would only vote for candidates The low expectations of the through the New Deal, or worse,
supportive of Medicare for All. political process Reed and Legette that the path to socialism might
describe here are the consequence actually begin with policy fights we
Over the course of the campaign,
of decades of neoliberal retrench- have a chance of winning.
black South Carolinians’ support
ment, and digging out from under
for government health insurance Two immediate problems are
this will take more than a few
grew despite the efforts of the always evident whenever the
election cycles. The experience of
Partnership for America’s Health “social democrat” epithet is
neoliberalization, which has left
Care Future, an anti-single- leveled. Usually, the person who’s
joblessness, a crisis of affordable
payer lobby that ran nonstop ads yakking is not particularly worried
housing, economic insecurity, and
against the policy. about where their next meal is
social precarity in its wake, has
Reed and Legette’s explanation of also softened the ground for the coming from, how they’ll pay off
the apparent disjuncture between Sanders campaign, as millions of their student loans, or whether
strong support for Medicare for Americans have warmed up to they’ll have to choose between
All and inadequate support for its socialist ideas, although most polls paying the electricity bill or their
foremost champion in the do not specify what that might ailing mother’s medical co-pays
democratic primary is insightful. entail. And even when they are not and prescriptions this month. The
“People take different criteria to committed to socialism per se, other problem is that most of
these critics of social democracy
hail from the most culturally The Palmetto State is tied for last
liberal and urbane corners of the place in union density among
country. South Carolina is not that the fifty states. In both South
place, and neither is my home Carolina and North Carolina,
state of Louisiana. only 2.7 percent of the workforce
are unionized, compared to 10.4
In places like South Carolina,
percent of American workers
Louisiana, and other states where
nationally.
left bookstores (or any bookstores,
for that matter), socialist study Not surprisingly, the state has
groups, liberal universities, also ranked consistently near the
reproductive justice campaigns, bottom in terms of poverty
lgbt progressivism, and militant (thirty-ninth in 2018) and the
trade unionism are not the norm, number of citizens relying on
a Sanders campaign seems less federal food assistance (thir-
viable, especially in the face of a ty-eighth). South Carolina ranked
powerful Republican Party. The forty-seventh in terms of property
electoral landscape and prevailing crimes per capita and forty-first
conservatism necessitate tough for violent crimes.
choices among voters with too few
The Sanders campaign looked
good options.
different in places like South
South Carolina matters because it Carolina. However, more work
represents the next frontier of left needs to be done to build a left
politics, beyond the coastal political majority around the kinds
population centers, metropolitan of policies Sanders popularized.
regions, college towns, and We should put the primary behind
union-dense locales where the us, but South Carolina remains a
Sanders campaign had the most critical battleground.
traction.
AFTER BERNIE
LEFTOVERS
MEANS AND ENDS SETH ACKERMAN
kept puffing himself up until he complete answer to the claim of and the views and methods of
burst. “The general opinion,” he the Socialists to speak for the which he is one of the most
reported in the Fortnightly working man and to represent the prominent exponents, have lost
Review, was that the ILP was now people.” In line after line, the hold on popular support
“extinct and will never be editorialists unspooled their where there has been the fullest
revived.” Beatrice Webb, the contempt: “The voters will not opportunity of observing them.”
Fabian socialist leader, called the have Socialism at any price.” “The
And yet, the 1895 election did not
election “the most expensive mass of the electorate are Anti-
mark the end of British socialism.
funeral since Napoleon’s.” Socialist through and through.”
Within five years, the ilp had
“Thousands of votes are in reality
As ilp militants plunged into joined with the trade unions to
turned purely by the dread of
despair and mutual recrimination, launch the Labour Representation
Socialism.”
a gleeful bourgeois press leapt Committee (lrc), an ad hoc
at the chance to declare the The contempt was bipartisan. vehicle that ran union-sponsored
fledgling movement defunct. A “There can be no doubt,” jeered candidates in selected races. When
crowing editorial in the Econo- the Tory Spectator as it zeroed in the lrc captured twenty-nine
mist — headlined “The Rebuff to on Hardie’s demoralizing defeat parliamentary seats in 1906, it
Socialism” — judged the ILP’s in his very left-wing London restyled itself the Labour Party
result “a most astonishingly district, “that Mr. Keir Hardie, and appointed Keir Hardie its first
parliamentary leader. In its new Unsettled Matters This notion — that the “theory” of
constitution of 1918, the party an insurgent campaign is dis-
formally embraced socialism, This story, and countless others proved if the candidate loses — is
pledging itself to the “common like it that litter the early history of the primordial delusion of political
ownership of the means of socialism, holds a lesson for those punditry, an eternally recurring
production, distribution and who despaired — and those who canard that appears at regular
exchange.” And in 1922, it finally exulted — at the failure of Bernie intervals only to be exploded by
surpassed the Liberals to become Sanders’s presidential bid. It the evidence of history. When
the largest parliamentary opposi- reminds us that political revolu- Barry Goldwater lost to Lyndon B.
tion to the Tories. tions are won or lost over Johnson in a historic landslide, it
generations, not individual did not disprove his “theory” that
Almost fifty years to the day after campaigns; that their progress can an unapologetically conservative
the Economist’s gloating eulogy for be gauged only loosely by any gop could win majorities by
British socialism, its editors grimly given vote; that they succeed courting Southern whites. When
relayed the news that Labour, through defeat as much as through William Jennings Bryan
campaigning as “a Socialist Party, victory. Unlike the general run of attempted to remake the Demo-
and proud of it,” had won a ambitious office seekers whose cratic Party into a liberal reform
crushing victory over Winston political horizons extend no coalition by uniting rural populists
Churchill’s Conservatives in the further than the next election and Northern workers, even his
1945 general election — ushering cycle, Sanders pursued a project two consecutive election debacles,
in a government that would, in that would have remained in 1896 and 1900, could not, in the
short order, nationalize one-fifth unfinished even had he spent eight long run, deal the concept a
of the UK economy, create the years in the White House. His aim, “hammer blow.”
National Health Service (nhs), like Hardie’s, was a permanent
and lay the foundations of the realignment of politics around the Yet that was not the impression
postwar welfare state. axis of working-class power. you would get from reading the
tide of triumphant commentary
There was just “one superlatively In the consensus view of commen- that followed both men’s respec-
good thing about the result of the tators, Sanders’s defeat proved the tive defeats. “Bryan and Bryanism
General Election,” the stunned futility of class politics. It was “a have passed into history,” declared
editorialists wrote: hammer blow to the left’s a jubilant New York Times in
It leaves no room for doubt class-based theory of winning November 1900, rejoicing that all
about the will of the people. political power,” as Vox’s Zack the issues Bryan had raised in his
The Labour landslide is Beauchamp put it. The Sanders two campaigns “have been settled
complete and surpasses the camp, entranced by the senator’s forever.”
wildest dreams of [party “Marxist political strategy,” had
wagered that “an unapologetically “The election has finished the
headquarters] ... Beyond any
socialist politics centering Goldwater school of political
possibility of mistake, the
Medicare-for-all and welfare state reaction,” the New Yorker’s
country wants a Labour
expansions would unite the Richard Rovere assured his
Government and a Socialist
working class and turn out young readers early in 1965 — though if
programme.
people at unprecedented rates.” they “keep at it,” he joked,
“Labour Landslide” was the When months of campaigning “Goldwaterism may triumph in
headline they chose for this failed to unite the working class, 1996 or thereabouts.”
two-page swallowing of fifty- and youth turnout failed to set Today, Bryan is remembered by
year-old crow. But “Political new records, Sanders’s strategy, in historians as, in his biographer
Revolution” would have been just Beauchamp’s account, stood Michael Kazin’s words, “the key
as fitting. discredited. figure in transforming his party
candidate doubled from 17 percent raises the intriguing question of attracted a tidal wave of Latino
to 33 percent, then surged to 51 whether he would have been less support: no less than 42 percent
percent after Super Tuesday. vulnerable to the party’s machina- in national polls post-New
Suddenly, 54 percent of Demo- tions had 2020 — like 2008 and Hampshire, and a staggering 50
crats planned to vote for Biden. 2016 — been an “open” race with percent of the Latino vote in
Sanders never recovered his no Republican incumbent the Nevada caucus, according to
momentum. running; such contests seem to entrance polls.
mellow the primary electorate’s
In short, Sanders was defeated Finally, there is the generational
obsession with electability.
because a sizable segment of phenomenon. Within almost
rank-and-file Democrats, anxious But what is most striking about every conceivable demographic —
to defeat Trump, opted for the the Sanders campaign in retro- from blacks, to rural whites, to
candidate who party leaders had spect is how consistently it drew second-generation immigrants —
assured them would stand the best the support of the expanding, as Sanders led the field among the
chance in November. It’s a simple, opposed to the declining, elements young, winning majorities and
obvious explanation, and if any of American society. At a time often supermajorities. Even his
more evidence is needed, consider when the fastest growing religious dismal showing with older voters
this fact: Sanders, who lost sixteen group in the United States is the points to the same conclusion: that
of the twenty-one primaries for “nones” (the religiously unaffili- the force of generational replace-
which there were exit polls, would ated), Sanders was by far the ment is working silently in the
have won seventeen of those leading candidate within that background, shifting the electoral
contests had self-declared group, and he received the least rolls in Sanders’s direction.
“electability” voters stayed home support from white evangelicals,
If a Martian were to land on Earth
and left the field to the “issue” the religious segment now
and watch the 2020 primaries
voters. experiencing the fastest decline.
unfold, I suspect they’d be puzzled
Sanders’ “Marxist” electoral At a time when Latinos are by the bluster of Sanders’s critics,
strategy had nothing to do with projected to reach nearly 20 who seem convinced that they
this sequence of events. The percent of the electorate in less dodged a bullet. They haven’t —
Democratic establishment than two decades, Sanders the bullet is still on its way.
marshaled its advantages against
Sanders — rank-and-file Demo-
crats’ hunger to defeat Trump, the
existence of a bloc of party
loyalists ready to be swayed by
endorsements, the self-propelling
dynamics of “momentum” in
primaries — but it could have done The Democratic establishment
that against any other candidate,
with any other “theory.”
marshaled its advantages against
Sanders but it could have done
A Possible Future that against any other candidate,
with any other “theory.”
That’s not to say that the manner
of Sanders’s defeat holds no
lessons for socialist electoral
politics. Among other things, it