Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
January 3, 2011
Albuquerque, NM; Augusta, ME; Casper, WY; Chicago, IL; Columbia, SC; Dallas, TX; Des Moines, IA; Detroit, MI;
East Palo Alto, CA; Grand Forks, ND; Jackson, MS; Louisville, KY; Missoula, MT; Overland Park, KS; Pasadena, CA;
Philadelphia, PA; Portland, OR; Portsmouth, NH; Richmond, VA and 38 additional community conversations
Our Budget, Our Economy
National Advisory Committee
John Rother, AARP Diana Furchtgott-Roth, Hudson Institute
Joseph Antos, American Enterprise Institute George Muñoz, Muñoz Group
Norman Ornstein, American Enterprise Institute Janice Gregory, National Academy of Social Insurance
Henry Aaron, Brookings Institution Barbara Kennelly, National Committee to Preserve Social
Thomas Mann, Brookings Institution Security and Medicare
John Castellani, Business Roundtable Sarah Hicks, National Congress of American Indians
Neera Tanden, Center for American Progress Linda Rosenberg, National Council of Community
Robert Greenstein, Center on Budget Behavioral Health Association
and Policy Priorities Leticia Miranda, National Council of La Raza
Deborah Weinstein, Coalition on Human Needs Duane Parde, National Tax Payers Union
Maya MacGuineas, Committee for a
Marc Morial, National Urban League
Responsible Federal Budget
Mark Paul, New America Foundation
Jonathan Gruskin, Concerned Youth of America
Robert Bixby, Concord Coalition George C. Wu, OCA National
15
town meeting sites. Additional input comes
What Did They Say?
from data submitted by the 38 smaller
Findings from the National Discussion
community conversation sites and preliminary
findings from independent evaluators at 16 Economic Recovery and Values Trade Offs
Harvard University and the University of
California.
20 Making Tough Choices
21 Health Care Options
Participants were not recruited through
24 Raising Taxes
a randomized sample and went through
a day-long deliberation. As such, their 27 Other Options Submitted by Tables Groups
preferences should not be characterized as 29 Community Conversation Results
representing the views of the general public.
Rather, the results reflect the views of a large,
diverse group of Americans who spent a day
deliberating about the issue. 31 Initial Evaluation Findings
usabudgetdiscussion.org 1
At tables across the country,
people from every walk of life
sat together and deliberated
about the steps our nation can
take over the coming decades
to ensure that our fiscal
house is in order. Liberals
and conservatives, young and
old, rich and poor, people
of all races and ethnicities
sat together in authentic
conversation.
Something interesting
happened at the tables across
the country. No fights broke
out. There were no disruptive
arguments. People didn’t
scream at each other. Rather,
members of local Tea Parties
sat together with activists
from MoveOn and people from
every other walk of life, and
had civil conversations.
2 usabudgetdiscussion.org
WHAT HAPPENED?
An Executive Summary
usabudgetdiscussion.org 3
in g t o have
s s o r e fresh e ople of
It w a n g p
ou rs e amo s , and
d i sc s io n
civil
a g e s, persua could
fe re n t g re s s
dif n d s. Con e nce.
k g r o u x p e r i
bac
t f r o m our e s was
r n a lo u s s io n
lea
e o f o u r disc e r yone
to n d e v
The
es p e ct ful, an
r
polite, con tr ib uted.
NM
., Albuq uerque,
- Ma ryEllen S
A National Discussion
On Our Fiscal Future
3,500 Americans came together across At 19 of the sites, participants used
57 sites around the country to discuss the electronic voting keypads and groupware
nation’s long-term fiscal challenges on June computers to identify their shared priorities
26, 2010. Participants worked in small groups over the course of the day-long meeting.
with skilled facilitators to learn about the They were joined by participants at 38
issues, weigh trade offs, and express their smaller, volunteer-organized Community
4 usabudgetdiscussion.org
What did participants say?
Participants in the discussion Raise the Cap on Payroll Taxes
evaluated 42 spending and tax 60% of participants expressed support for
options to reduce the deficit in raising the earnings cap on payroll taxes.
2025 by $1.2 trillion. The strongest
messages that emerged from the Raise Income Taxes on those in
Higher Tax Brackets
discussion included: 54% supported an extra 5% tax on those
earning more than $1 million a year and 52%
Reduce Defense Spending by 15% supported raising income taxes for the top
85% of participants supported at least a 5% two tax brackets.
cut in defense spending; 51% supported a
15% cut. Establish Carbon and Securities
Taxes
Reduce Health Care Spending by at 54% of participants expressed support for a
least 5% carbon tax and 50% supported a securities
62% of participants expressed support for transaction tax.
reductions in health care spending.
Don’t Reduce Social Security
Reduce All Other Spending by at Benefits or Establish a VAT Tax
least 5% No reduction in Social Security benefits
68% of participants expressed support for received majority support from participants
reductions in other spending. and only 24% supported the creation of a 5%
Value Added Tax.
usabudgetdiscussion.org 5
A Plea For Civility
and Finding Common Ground
Liberals and conservatives, young and old, When asked to compose messages to
rich and poor, and people of all races and leaders in Washington, there was little
ethnicities sat together and deliberated doubt about what was most important to
about the steps our nation can take over participants around the nation. The most
the coming decades to ensure that our fiscal popular messages generated by the group
house is in order. Together they learned had to do with the tone of our politics and
about the issues, weighed the trades offs, the ability of our leaders in Washington to
and sent a strong message to leaders in represent their constituents.
Washington about their priorities.
6 usabudgetdiscussion.org
Summary of
Independent Evaluation
Independent evaluators from Harvard University and the University of California conducted
an analysis of Our Budget, Our Economy participants to understand who participated and how
participation in the deliberation impacted them.
• Moderating Policy Preferences: Liberals and conservatives seem to have given ground
on their specific priorities in order to help achieve their goal of reducing the deficit. For
example, conservatives became more supportive of raising taxes on the very wealthy.
To a similar degree, liberals became more supportive of a 5% across the board cut to
discretionary programs after one day of deliberation.
• Positive Experiences at the Event: Large majorities of OBOE event participants had
positive evaluations of their experience with deliberation on fiscal matters. Notably,
85 percent of the participants felt more informed about the challenges and options for
cutting the federal budget deficit, 97 percent believed all participants listened to one
another respectfully and courteously, and 93 percent felt that other participants seemed
to hear and understand their views.
usabudgetdiscussion.org 7
ta n t th ing I
m o s t impor e s s is that
h e o c
T
fr o m this pr t ac kle
learn ed u l d
y c iti zens co c ivilly
or din a r lte r it
le x i s sue, fi ec tive,
m p r s p
a co
th e ir own pe nsus. I
th ro u g h c o n s e
m e u p with i s was
co k th
and
y d id not thin
literall possibl
e.
, OR
Portland
- Fran G.,
8 usabudgetdiscussion.org
How Did The National
Discussion Work?
usabudgetdiscussion.org 9
Learning, Deliberating, National Themes
Expressing Preferences: and Priorities:
In 19 cities across the country, Americans Periodically, participants shared their ideas
gathered at meeting sites of several hundred and opinions with the rest of the nation
people each. At each site, participants through a video link connecting the sites.
sat around tables of 8-10 with volunteer Participants used computers at their tables
facilitators. to submit their ideas, which were read and
analyzed by a team of analysts looking for
Participants spent most of the day nation-wide themes. Participants also used
deliberating with their table mates. They wireless voting keypads to express their
began by talking about the nation’s economic individual priorities.
recovery and the values that they believed
should guide our long-term fiscal policies. For Community Conversations:
nearly three hours, they then learned about,
discussed and voted on options for reducing Participants in the 19 town meeting sites
the nation’s long-term deficits. Finally, they were joined by participants in 38 “community
developed messages to send to leaders in conversations.” These smaller, volunteer-led
Washington. forums participated in the national meeting
via webcast, but they varied with regard to
the length of the discussion and diversity of
participation.
10 usabudgetdiscussion.org
Virtual Community
Conversations
Participants at meeting sites across the country were also
from the national program via the webcast and used the chat
function in Second Life to deliberate about the issues. The Second Life forums were co-sponsored
by the California National Issue Forums Network, Deliberative IDEAS, the Center for Voter
Deliberation of Northern Virginia, Public Decisions, Texas Forums, and The World Cafe.
usabudgetdiscussion.org 11
Who Participated?
Early in the day, participants at the 19 town meeting sites shared
their demographic information using individual keypad voting.
12 usabudgetdiscussion.org
Current & Former Members of Congress Took Part in
the National Town Meeting in Person and by Video
Senator Kent Conrad (D-ND)
Albuquerque, NM; Augusta, ME; Casper, WY; Chicago, IL; Columbia, SC; Dallas, TX; Des Moines, IA; Detroit, MI;
East Palo Alto, CA; Grand Forks, ND; Jackson, MS; Louisville, KY; Missoula, MT; Overland Park, KS; Pasadena, CA;
Philadelphia, PA; Portland, OR; Portsmouth, NH; Richmond, VA and 38 additional community conversations
usabudgetdiscussion.org 13
tic al will to
f in d th e poli co ming
Ple as e ere
pu t a s if it w roup –
th is in yin g g
use
o w er fu l lobb
from a p cause we are!
be
#4,
m itte d by Table
Sub
Message es, IA
Des Moin
14 usabudgetdiscussion.org
What Did They Say?
Findings From The National Discussion
usabudgetdiscussion.org 15
Economic Recovery
Early on in the day, participants in the National Town Meeting briefly discussed the nation’s
economic recovery. They were asked three questions through the keypad voting system about
the recovery and government policy.
16 usabudgetdiscussion.org
I welc
omed
share th
my vi e opportuni
allowe ews w ty to
d me to ith others.
indivi
dual’s lis te n to ot It
to und v h
erstan iews and at er
d how tempt
felt th an d why
at way they
.
- Christ
opher
B., Phil
adelph
ia, PA
Economic Conditions: Liberal and moderate participants tended to be more likely to believe
that the economy is doing somewhat better this year, while conservative participants tended to
believe the economy is doing worse.
usabudgetdiscussion.org 17
45%
40%
35%
30%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Taking Care of Taking Care of
Participants were asked to identify Current vs. Future Generations
Current Generations Future Generations
20% 20%
10%
15% 15%
5%
10% 10%
0%
5% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
5%
Share the burden of Place a greater burden for
reducing the deficit reducing the deficit on
equally those more capable
0% 0%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Share the burden of Place a greater burden for The government’s Individual
reducing the deficit reducing the deficit on responsibility to take care of responsibility
equally those more capable the most vulnerable citizens to take care of self
25%
20%
25%
15%
20%
18 usabudgetdiscussion.org 10%
I learned a g
reat deal from
the greatest my table ma
of which was tes;
of our politic th at regardles
al perspectiv s
widely, there es, which va
is deep conc ried
deficit, the w e r n regarding th
ays in which e
will handica our overspen
p the next ge ding
fiscal stabili n e ration and th
ty of our way e
at the table w of life. Ever y
as willing to one
things right. s a crifice to set
This central
group, replic tendency of t
ated in the d he
national par a ta w e saw from th
ticipants, wa e
s inspiring.
- Marion K., Ric
hmond, VA
Across ideological lines, most participants tended to support an equal emphasis on taking
care of today’s generation and taking care of future generations.
While more participants tended to believe that a greater burden for reducing the deficit
should be placed on those who are more capable, responses diverged somewhat by
ideology.
Finally, responses divided along ideological lines about the relative importance of
government’s responsibility to take care of the most vulnerable and an individual’s
responsibility to take care of one’s self.
usabudgetdiscussion.org 19
Making Tough Choices
Participants in the National Town Meeting were offered a challenge to reduce the deficit
in the year 2025 by $1.2 trillion. In order to do so, they were presented with 42 spending
and revenue options developed with the Our Budget, Our Economy National Advisory
Committee. Tables spent a half hour learning about options and two hours working in
diverse table groups with facilitators to weigh the trade offs and find agreement about
reaching targets.
Options supported by at least half of each table group were submitted as a table vote
towards their deficit reduction goal. Table groups also submitted new options and additional
comments. Following table deliberations, participants used keypads to express their
individual preferences for reaching the target.
The following several pages describe the level of support that participants expressed for
each of the 42 spending and revenue options and break preferences down by ideology and
other factors. Spending and revenue options were divided into eight categories:
20 usabudgetdiscussion.org
58% of somewhat
liberal participants
and 65% of moderate
participants
supported a cut of
5% or more.
usabudgetdiscussion.org 21
Social Security Options
Participants were presented with a range of Social Security 6/26
options to reform Social Security, described Raise Age Limit to 69 39%
in the table to the right. Limit Increase in 24%
Starting Benefits
60% of participants supported raising the Lower Measurement 24%
of Inflation
cap on payroll taxes to 90% of earnings –
Raise Payroll Tax to 13.4% 20%
the most popular option in this section. Raise Payroll Tax to 14.4% 30%
This option was supported by majorities in Raise Cap to Cover 90% 60%
every age group. Among liberal participants, of earnings
this option was supported by 73%. Among Create Personal 17%
Savings Account
somewhat conservative participants, it was
No Change 13%
supported by 62%. 36% of conservative
participants supported the option. No option to reduce benefits received
support from a majority of participants.
About half of participants supported an Among the options that reduced benefits,
increase of payroll taxes by at least one the most popular was raising the age of
percentage point (combining those who receiving full benefits to 69 by 2028, which
supported payroll tax increases to 13.4% received support from 39%. Greatest
and 14.4%.) support for this option came from those
who were between 25 – 34 years old
(48%). It received the least support from
those who were 35 – 44 (33%). 40% of
those over 65 supported the option and
62% of somewhat
37% under 25 supported it.
conservative
participants Among the packages submitted by tables,
supported raising 81% included raising the cap, 48% included
the cap on payroll an increase in payroll taxes, and 37%
raised the age for receiving full benefits.
taxes to 90% of
Additionally, some tables expressed an
earnings. interest in eliminating the cap on payroll
taxes all together and some tables
expressed support for some form of means
testing for benefits.
22 usabudgetdiscussion.org
All Other Non-Defense Options
68% of participants supported at least a 5% All Other Non-Defense 6/26
reduction in spending on all other non- Reduce Spending by 5% 26%
defense programs (the sum of supporters Reduce Spending by 10% 16%
of 5%, 10% and 15% cuts), and 32% of Reduce Spending by 15% 27%
participants preferred no reductions in No Change 32%
spending. 59% of conservative participants
in ensuring that cuts are not made across
supported cutting spending by 15%, while
the board. The area of the budget that
56% of liberal participants opposed any
some tables expressed an interest in
cuts in this category of spending.
protecting from cuts was education.
Agriculture subsidies were cited as an area
66% of table groups included a reduction
that should receive cuts.
in spending of at least 5% in their final
packages. Some tables expressed interest
Defense Options
Reductions in defense spending by at Defense 6/26
least 5% received support from 85% of Reduce Spending by 5% 16%
participants. More than half of participants Reduce Spending by 10% 18%
supported a 15% cut and an additional 18% Reduce Spending by 15% 51%
supported a 10% cut. No Change 15%
usabudgetdiscussion.org 23
Raising Taxes
Raising tax rates among those in the top Raising Taxes 6/26
income brackets – either those earning Raise personal income tax 14%
rates by 10% for everyone
more than $1 million or those in the top
Raise personal income tax 5%
two brackets – received majority support rates by 20% for everyone
Raise personal tax rates by 14%
from participants. 54% supported a 5% tax 10% for everyone in the top
two tax brackets
on earners of more than $1 million and 52%
Raise personal tax rates by 38%
supported raising taxes by at least 10% for 20% for everyone in the top
two tax brackets
those in the top two brackets.
Create an extra 5% tax for 54%
people earning more than
$1M per year
A tax on earners of more than $1 million
Raise the tax rate on capital 37%
was supported by 74% of liberals, 66% of gains and dividends
Raise the top corporate 44%
those somewhat liberal, 54% of moderates,
income tax rate to 40% from
43% of those somewhat conservative, and 35%
No change 27%
20% of conservatives. Raising income tax
rates on top brackets was supported by 77%
of liberals, 65% of those somewhat liberal, Notably, about 200 fewer people voted
49% of moderates, 31% of those somewhat on this set of options, probably because
conservative and 15% of conservatives. these options were mutually exclusive with
options to reform the tax code. Instead
of selecting “no change”, some may have
chosen not to vote.
24 usabudgetdiscussion.org
Reducing Deductions & Credits
Participants were provided with options to Reduce Deductions & 6/26
reduce several of the largest deductions Credits
Limit the value of itemized 37%
and credits in the federal tax code; deductions to 28%
described in the table to the right. Convert the mortgage interest 34%
deduction into a credit
Separately, participants were also given
Limit the deduction for state 22%
options to eliminate all major deductions and local taxes, real estate,
and personal property
and credits by reforming the tax code -- see
Limit corporate deductions 40%
page 26. These options, however, were for equipment
mutually exclusive because it isn’t possible End the business deduction 12%
for domestic production
to eliminate an individual deduction and No change 32%
then do so again while reforming the tax
code.
Notably, about 250 fewer people voted on
this set of options, probably because they
Individually, no option in this category
were mutually exclusive with options to
received a majority of support from
reform the tax code. Instead of selecting
participants. However, strong preferences
“no change”, some may have chosen not to
for eliminating deductions and credits
vote.
can be seen if support for simplifying the
tax code (see page 26) is added to these
individual votes.
usabudgetdiscussion.org 25
Reform The Tax Code
Participants were offered options that would Reform Tax Code 6/26
reform the federal tax code by eliminating all Use 10% to Reduce Deficit 5%
major deductions and credits. Participants
Use 20% to Reduce Deficit 9%
could choose to apply between 10 and 30
Use 30% to Reduce Deficit 36%
percent of the savings from this reform to
No Change 50%
reducing the deficit with the remaining 90
to 70 percent going to reduce taxes. These Of those who did support one of these
options are overly simplified to illustrate options, participants preferred to provide
a type of reform and do not reflect actual more of the savings generated by eliminating
proposals being considered by policy major deductions to deficit reductions (e.g.
makers. 30% instead of 10% or 20%).
Half of those who voted on this option chose 30% of tables selected one of the tax
to reform the tax code and half chose no code reform options. Many table groups
change. However, about 500 fewer people expressed interest through their computers
voted on this set of options, probably in some form of flat tax, fair tax or other
because these options were mutually simplification of the tax code through their
exclusive of the raising rates and reducing laptop computers
deductions options. Instead of selecting “no
change,” some may have chosen not to vote.
26 usabudgetdiscussion.org
fin d a good
as p l e a sed to gender
“I w g e a n d
ea d o f race, a g re at to
spr e … It w a s
y ta b l hat we
at m ta b le t
ea r f r om the m e views
h e s a
a n y of th
shar e d m
ffe r e n t levels.
but at di
, SC
., Columbia
- James M
usabudgetdiscussion.org 27
Messages To Leaders
In Washington
Towards the end of the day, participants were asked to develop messages to leaders in
Washington. Messages that reflected common themes were presented to the group and voted
upon. The two messages that received the greatest support included:
Participants were also asked to reflect on the tone and quality of political discussion in our
country today, as well as the tone and quality of discussions at the town meeting.
How satisfied with the tone and How satisfied are you with the tone
quality of political discussion in our and quality of our discussions here
country today? today?
Very satisfied 1% Very satisfied 62%
Satisfied 3% Satisfied 29%
Neutral 8% Neutral 6%
Dissatisfied 31% Dissatisfied 2%
Very dissatisfied 58% Very dissatisfied 1%
Additionally, 91% said they would like to see leaders convene the public in this kind of forum on
other issues that are important to the country with 7% saying that
they may be interested in convenings on
other issues.
28 usabudgetdiscussion.org
Community
Conversation Results
More than 800 people joined the national • Tended to have fewer young people
discussion at volunteer-organized Community (4% between ages of 17-24 vs. 10%)
Conversations. Unlike the 19 main town
meeting sites, these Conversations were • Tended to be more moderate (36% vs
not convened by AmericaSpeaks’ staff or 23%) and less conservative (11% vs.
partners. Rather, individuals or organizations 20%)
with a passion for the process of citizen
engagement or the policy issue volunteered
They also tended to report their household
to recruit a group of local residents to join the
national discussion. income at a much lower rate (probably
because they were not able to use
anonymous keypad polling to share their
Community Conversation hosts received demographic information).
a handbook and participated in a series of
training calls to prepare them for their role.
Some hosts prepared for just a handful of Policy Preferences
participants, while others organized events
with dozens of participants. Conversation Support for revenue and spending options
participants watched the national from Community Conversation sites tended
presentations by webcast and used paper to be roughly consistent with the 19 town
worksheets to share their ideas and votes, meeting sites. Two options that received
which could be submitted by hosts over the substantially more support from Community
Internet. Conversation table groups were creating a
Value Added Tax (49% of tables supported
Each conversation host was encouraged to vs. 21% of tables from the 19 town meeting
recruit a diverse group of participants, but sites) and creating a carbon tax (71% of tables
the level of diversity varied greatly. Some supported vs. 53% of tables at the 19 town
conversations lasted the entire 7 hour meeting sites).
program, while others hosted abbreviated
discussions that ended early. Other options that received somewhat
higher levels of support from Community
Because the Community Conversations were Conversation table groups included creating
significantly less diverse and did not all go a securities transaction tax, raising the age
through the entire exercise, AmericaSpeaks is for receiving full retirement benefits, raising
holding data from the Conversations separate income taxes for those in the top income
from the 19 town meeting sites. brackets by 20%, reducing non-defense
spending by 5%, raising income taxes by those
in the top brackets by 10%, and reforming the
Who Participated? tax code and using 10% of savings to reduce
Data submitted by about half of the the deficit.
Community Conversation hosts shows that:
Options that received less support from
• Participants tended to have higher Community Conversation table groups
numbers of white participants (76% included making no change to reform the tax
vs. 68%) code, reducing non-defense spending by 15%,
and creating no new taxes.
usabudgetdiscussion.org 29
n t a p p e a r s to have
v er all , th e OBOE eve together a
O f b r in g in g
goals o
achieved its a r y A m e r ic ans to
p of ordin ssion.
diverse grou u c ti v e d i sc u
e e a c h oth e r in constr a ppear
engag s e r v a t i v e s
and con
Both liberals in t h ei r p o l icy views
rated
to have mode ts a n d ta x i n creases.
g ar d in g sp e nding cu ave been
re a p p e a r to h
nizers
And the orga e a tin g a fo r um for
sful in cr
quite succes di s cu s s i o n , based on
anced
open and bal ti ci p a n ts a s well as
rts of par
the self-repo b y o u r 1 9 on-site
e x t e nsiv e o bser vation
the istants.
research ass
Lee,
rl in g , A rc h o n Fung and Taeku
vin Este
- Professors Ke rati o n M a ke s: Evaluating th
e
that Delib e
“The Difference m y P u blic Deliberatio
n”
u r Ec o n o
Our Budget, O
30 usabudgetdiscussion.org
HOW DID IT WORK?
Initial Evaluation Findings
usabudgetdiscussion.org 31
“ O ur B u dget,
W e b e li e ve that e l a rg est
“ s th
omy” i
Our Econ experiment in
national lic deliberation
tr u ct u re d pub S ta t es and
s te d
d a te in the Uni e c edented
to u n p r
c on s ti tu tes an o re both
so e x p l
ity to
opportun ews about the
public vi opic of public
ve t
substanti d more general
an of
spending ut the dynamics
o n s abo
q u e s ti
d e li b e ration.”
public
rling,
ro fe s s o rs Kevin Este e
-- P
n F u n g a n d Taeku Le
Archo
How Representative
Were Participants?
The evaluators first sought to understand who The evaluators wrote:
participated in the national discussion and how “We find that AmericaSpeaks did a reasonably
representative they were of the general public. good job of recruiting a broad representation
In order to answer this question, evaluators of Americans in the OBOE events. We reach
compared participant responses from the this conclusion by comparing the demographic
six largest town meeting sites (Philadelphia, background of our survey of participants to
Chicago, Portland, Dallas, Albuquerque, our [Random Digit Dial] survey of the general
Columbia) with responses from the control population and to Census ACS data, and in
groups described in the sidebar on page 33, as contrast to the Public Agenda survey of elites.”
well as the Census.
32 usabudgetdiscussion.org
How was
the evaluation
conducted?
Independent evaluators from Harvard
University and the University of California
are currently undertaking an extensive
evaluation of the Our Budget, Our
Economy process to understand who
participated in the national discussion,
how participation in the national
discussion impacted them, and what they
thought about the national discussion
itself. Information on the following pages
is based on the first round of analysis from
this evaluation, which will be followed by
several additional reports over the next
year.
usabudgetdiscussion.org 33
Demographics
In general, participants in the national discussion tended to more closely resemble the Census
demographics than those who were reached by the evaluators through random-digit phone calls,
including by income, age, and race. Participants were very close to the Census demographics by
income with slightly fewer participants earning a household income of more than $100,000 a year.
Fewer participants were between the ages of 35 and 44 than the Census. And more Our Budget, Our
Economy participants were African American, while fewer were Latino, compared to the Census.
Random
INCOME OBOE 1 Census Elites
Digit Dial
<$50K 46 31 44 --
$50-100K 36 40 32 --
>$100K 18 29 24 100
AGE OBOE RDD Census Elites
18-24 yrs 14 6 15 2
3
25-34 yrs 11 10 19 14
35-44 yrs 13 12 19 18
45-54 yrs 20 22 20 25
55-64 yrs 26 20 14 34
65+ years 16 30 13 7
RACE/ETHNICITY OBOE RDD ACS Elites
White 55 71 59 86
African-American 25 15 16 8
Latino 7 5 18 0
Asian American 3 3 5 1
Other / Multiple 10 6 2 3
EDUCATION OBOE RDD 3 ACS Elites
H.S. or less 12 25 40 --
Some college 19 28 21 9
College degree 31 24 27 38
Advanced degree 38 23 12 53
1
The demographic statistics used to evaluate Our Budget, Our Economy come from individuals at the Philadelphia,
Chicago, Portland, Dallas, Albuquerque and Columbia town meeting sites, who responded to the pre and post surveys
conducted by evaluators. They do not necessarily include everyone who responded to demographic questions using
a polling keypad at those six sites. Nor do the numbers include participants at the other 13 town meeting sites or 38
community conversations.
2
Census data are for 15-24 years, given the incompatibility between Census Bureau age ranges and those in our surveys.
Census columns also are the percentage of those in the 15 to 65-plus year age range.
3
Two percent of RDD respondents refused to state their education background.
34 usabudgetdiscussion.org
Partisanship, Ideology and Political Interest
Our Budget, Our Economy participants tended to have a higher percentage of Democrats and liberals
than the control group generated by random digit dial, but tended to have a lower percentage
of Democrats than the Cooperative Congressional Election Study. Our Budget, Our Economy
participants were somewhat less likely to be Republicans or conservatives compared to the random
digit dial survey and the election study.
The most dramatic difference between OBOE participants and the general population is in their
very high degree of interest in politics and public affairs. Whereas only 40% of random-digit dial
respondents and 50% of Election Study respondents report that they were “very” interested in
politics, fully 80% of Our Budget, Our Economy participants do so.
4
The CCES has a different set of response categories (only
three categories), slightly different question wording,
and a significantly higher proportion of respondents who
indicated that they were “not sure” or “don’t know.” The
column percentages do not sum to 100 because the
remainder (25 percent) are in this category.
usabudgetdiscussion.org 35
Impact of Deliberation on
Policy Positions
The second major area of inquiry for the
evaluators was to understand the degree to
which participants in the national discussion
reflected similar policy positions to the
general public and how participating in the
deliberation affected the policy positions of
participants.
36 usabudgetdiscussion.org
How closely did the policy perspectives of OBOE participants
match those of the randomly selected control group?
Generally speaking, participants in the national discussion came into the event with a similar set of
views as the general public. However, in some cases their views were somewhat more polarized –
which is to say that liberal and conservative participants tended to have slightly more extreme views
on the options than the control group reached through random digit dial polling.
40
In the case of creating a new federal 30
sales tax, on the other hand, OBOE liberal 20
30
20
10
0
strongly oppose somewhat neither somewhat strongly support
oppose support
usabudgetdiscussion.org 37
70
60
50
Liberal
40 Conservative
Neutral
How did the deliberation impact
30
20
the policy preferences of
OBOE participants? 10
90
Generally, the evaluators found that participants tended
0
80 to moderate their views towards the
Decrease Same Increase
common objective of reducing the deficit. On different
70 policy items, liberals and conservatives seem
to have compromised on their specific priorities in order
60 to achieve this goal over the course of the
deliberation. That pattern holds true on most of the 50
policy options.
Liberal
40 Conservative
Additionally, those who started out by expressing no30preference on a given option seem to have Neutral
60
dramatically increased their support for several of the
20
policy options based on the deliberation.
50
Liberal
10
40
For the two policy options that are most traditionally associated with liberal perspectives – Conservative
Neutral
0
30
raising taxes on the wealthy and cutting military spending – those who Same
Decrease described themselves
Increase as
20
conservative significantly increased their level of support after the deliberation. And those who
10
began by expressing no preference on the options (the “neutrals”) ended up dramatically increasing
0
their level of support for the options. The graphs below depict
70 the percentage
Decrease Same of liberal,
Increase conservative
and “neutral” participants who increased or decreased 60 their support for each option.
50
Liberal
90 40 Conservative
80 80 Neutral
30
70 70
20
60 60
10
50 50
0
Liberal Liberal
40 Decrease Same Increase
40 Conservative Conservative
Neutral Neutral
30 30
90
20 20
80
10 10
70
70
0 0
60
Decrease Same Increase Decrease Same Increase
60 50
50 Raise Taxes on the Wealthy 40
Reduce Military Spending Liberal
Conservative
Liberal
Neutral
40 Conservative 30
70
For
30
the two options most associated with conservative
Neutral 70 perspectives – cutting discretionary spending
60 20
and
20
the growth of entitlements – a similar shift occurred
60 across the aisle. Those who described
50 10
themselves
10
as liberal significantly increased their level
Liberal 50 of support. Again, those who began by
40 0 Liberal
expressing
0
no preference on the options (the “neutrals”)
Conservative
Neutral 40 ended
Decreaseup dramatically
Same increasing
Increase their level
Conservative
30
of support for the policies. In the case of slowing entitlement
Decrease Same Increase growth, conservatives also increased
Neutral
30
20
their level of support. The graphs below depict these20shifts.
10
10
70
0
Decrease Same Increase 0
60 60 Decrease Same Increase
50 50
Liberal Liberal
40 Conservative 40 Conservative
Neutral Neutral
70
30 30
60
20 20
50
10 10
Liberal
40
0 Conservative 0
Decrease Same Increase Neutral Decrease Same Increase
30
20 Reduce Discretionary Spending Reduce Growth of
10 Entitlement Spending
70
0 80
Decrease Same Increase
60 70
38 usabudgetdiscussion.org
50 60
Liberal
40
80
70 70
60 60
50 50
Liberal
Liberal
40 Conservative
40 Conservative
Neutral
Neutral 30
30
20 20
For
10
the final two options that would make taxes more 10 regressive through a new sales tax or higher
income
0
taxes for the middle class, liberal and “neutral”
0 participants tended to become more
Decrease Same Increase Decrease Same Increase
opposed out of the deliberations. Conservatives become significantly more opposed to a sales tax,
but increased their support for a tax increase that would include the middle class.
70 70
60 60
50 50
Liberal Liberal
40 Conservative 40 Conservative
Neutral Neutral
30 30
20 20
10 10
0 0
Decrease Same Increase Decrease Same Increase
Create a New Federal Sales Tax Increase Taxes for Middle Class
suggests that the packages were the result of creative20 and compromise processes at each table.”
10
They further elaborated on this observation: 0
“We do find that individuals, when responding individuallyDecrease Same
to our survey, Increase
tend to have preferences
that are highly structured by ideology. This suggests very strongly the difference between survey
responses and a structured public deliberation. When asked to discuss policies with their fellow
citizens, participants tended to set aside their ideological
80 commitments to work toward the common
goal of fiscal responsibility.” 70
60
“If one were to rely exclusively on individual survey responses
50 to gauge public opinion, one would be
Liberal
misled to believe that our society can only consider policy
40 options through a rigid ideological lens.
Conservative
Neutral
But public opinion surveys have their limits in helping30us understand the structure of public opinion.
Public deliberation helps to reveal the considered opinions
20 of citizens, a kind of opinion policy
makers should care about as well.” 10
0
Decrease Same Increase
70
60
50
Liberal
40 Conservative
Neutral
30
20
10
0 usabudgetdiscussion.org 39
Decrease Same Increase
p p e a r to
a n iz ers a s s f u l in
The o
rg
i te succe and
e n q u o p e n
have
be
r u m for e d on
a fo b a s
ing on,
creat d discussi rticipants
ce pa
balan -reports of tensive
lf x
the se ell as the e 19 on-site
as w by our
vat io n
is ta n ts.
obse r h ass
a r c
rese ev i n E sterlin
K
g,
e
essors eku Le
-- Prof Fung and Ta
Archon
Perceived fairness of the OBOE event was also high, with 73 percent of participants saying the event
was fair and unbiased and that no particular view was favored. Participant evaluations suggest the
learning from the exercise in deliberation had a positive effect on changing individuals’ views on the
budget deficit. Forty-seven percent of participants agreed that they personally changed their views
on the budget deficit, while 34 percent disagreed, and 20 percent neither agreed nor disagreed.
Participant evaluations of the quality of the OBOE event reveal a positive assessment of the
deliberative experience. Eighty-seven percent of participants had fun at the event, and 92 percent
would participate in a similar event in the future. Furthermore, 81 percent agreed decision makers
ought to incorporate the conclusions of the event into federal budget policy.
A statistical analysis of the results found no significant difference based on ideology, nor on the
ideological mix of each table group. Interestingly, they report that “liberals did not report their
experiences at the event as either higher or lower quality ... as the percent of conservatives at tables
increased, nor did conservatives report more or less [quality] as the percentage of liberals at tables
increased. This suggests that table-level conversations were constructive, even when they were done
across the ideological divide.”
40 usabudgetdiscussion.org
Strongly Somewhat Neither Somewhat Strongly
Disagree Disagree agree agree
I am more informed about 4 3 7 38 47
the challenges and options
for cutting the federal budget
deficit.
People at this meeting 1 2 1 24 73
listened to one another
respectfully and courteously.
Other participants seemed 1 2 4 38 55
to hear and understand my
views.
The meeting today was fair
and unbiased. No particular 8 11 8 24 49
view was favored.
Even when I disagreed, most 1 3 5 36 56
people made reasonable
points and tried to make
serious arguments.
Everyone had a real 1 3 3 22 71
opportunity to speak today.
No one was shut out and no
one dominated discussions.
Participating today was 1 1 4 18 75
part of my civic duty as an
American to speak out and
be heard on this issue.
I personally changed my 19 15 20 37 10
views on the budget deficit
as a result of what I learned
today.
I personally agree with 7 14 17 45 17
the voting results at the
conclusion of today’s
meeting.
Decision makers should 5 5 9 35 46
incorporate the conclusions
of this town meeting into
federal budget policy.
I had fun today. Politics 1 2 9 32 55
should be like this more
often.
I would participate in an 1 2 5 23 69
event like this one again.
Participants evaluations of Our Budget, Our Economy
(all numbers in cells indicate percentages; row percentages sum to 100%)
usabudgetdiscussion.org 41
Thanks to Outreach Partners
AmericaSpeaks is grateful for the assistance we have received from countless organizations and
leaders in communities across the country and nationally. Below is a partial list of individuals and
organizations who have helped to ensure that a large, diverse group of Americans participates in
the national discussion.
1000 Friends of Oregon, Eric Stanchon, Portland, OR Berachah Baptist Church, Rev. Robert Shine, Philadelphia, PA
AARP South Carolina, Patrick Cobb, Columbia, SC BlueCross BlueShield of South Carolina,
Ed Sellers, Columbia, SC
AARP, National
Bremer Bank, Grand Forks, ND
ACCESS, Detroit, MI
Business and Professional Women, National
African American Chamber of Commerce of New
Mexico, Ron Hinson, Albuquerque, NM Business Roundtable, National
Altru Health System, Grand Forks, ND Cascade Policy Institute, Steve Buckstein, Portland, OR
American Leadership Forum, Robin Teater, Portland, OR Casper Community Foundation, Casper, WY
Asian American United, Ellen Sokowana, Philadelphia, PA Center for Tax and Budget Accountability,
Kathy Miller, Chicago, IL
Asian-American Association of New Mexico,
Hwa Soon Thorson, Albuquerque, NM Central Carolina Community Foundation, JoAnn
Turnquist and Susie VanHuss, Columbia, SC
Asociacion Puertorriquenos en Marcha,
Jennifer Rodriquez, Philadelphia, PA Central Dallas Ministries, Gerald Britt
and Jessica Davila, Dallas, TX
Association of Government Accountants, National
Chicago Community Trust, Ngoan Lee, Chicago, IL
Bank of America, Melissa Drescher, Columbia, SC
Chicago Urban League, Angila Faison, Chicago, IL
BB&T, Mike Brennan, Columbia, SC
Chicagoland Chamber of Commerce, Jerry Roper, Chicago, IL
Benedict College, Love Collins, Columbia, SC
42 usabudgetdiscussion.org
Child and Family Policy Center, Des Moines, IA Fels Institute of Government at UPenn,
David Thornburgh, Philadelphia, PA
Chinese-American Service League,
Bernarda Wong, Chicago, IL Friends Committee on National Legislation, National
City of Columbia Mayor, Robert Coble, Columbia, SC Grand Forks Mayor’s Office, Grand Forks, ND
DFW International, Anne Marie Weiss-Armush, Dallas, TX Johnson, Toals & Battiste PA, Luther Battiste III, Columbia, SC
Dr. Gail Zimmerman, Casper, WY Joint Venture: Silicon Valley Network, Silicon Valley, CA
Ecumenical Ministries of Oregon, David Leslie, Portland, OR Kennebec Valley Chamber of Commerce, Augusta, ME
usabudgetdiscussion.org 43
League of United Latin American Citizens, MOSES, Detroit, MI
Ricardo Carlos Cabellero, Albuquerque, NM
Muskie School of Public Policy, University
League of Women Voters of Chicago, Chicago, IL of Southern Maine, Augusta, ME
League of Women Voters, Jan Bray, Albuquerque, NM National Association of Counties, National
League of Women Voters, Kelly Green, Philadelphia, PA National Coalition for Dialogue and Deliberation, National
LISC Chicago, Sandra Womack, Chicago, IL New Mexico Federation of Labor, Chris
Chavez, Albuquerque, NM
Little Village Environmental Justice Organization,
Kimberly Wasserman, Chicago, IL New United Majority, Philadelphia, PA
Maranatha Church of Portland, Dr. T. Novinger QTR LLC / MHA, Cathy Novinger, Columbia, SC
Allen Bethel, Portland, OR
Oak Cliff Chamber of Commerce, Bob Stimson, Dallas, TX
Margaret Chase Smith Policy Center,
Office for Civic Engagement at the University
University of Maine, Augusta, ME
of Montana, Missoula, MT
Mayor’s Commission On Asian American
Office of Neighborhood Involvement, City of
Affairs, Nina Ahmad, Philadelphia, PA
Portland, Jeri Williams, Portland, OR
Member of American Federation of Musicians,
Oregon 9/12 Project, Bob Swift, Portland, OR
Local 99, Bruce Fife, Portland, OR
Oregon TEA Party, Jeff Ludt and Randi Kainz, Portland, OR
Metro United Way, Louisville, KY
oregon volunteers!, Kathleen Joy, Portland, OR
Metropolitan Mayors Caucus, Dave Bennett, Chicago, IL
Palmetto Health, Vince Ford, Columbia, SC
Metropolitan Planning Council, Mary Sue Barrett, Chicago, IL
Pennsylvania Horticultural Society,
MIHAC, Dr. Moss Blachman, Columbia, SC
Joan Reilly, Philadelphia, PA
Mike Kelly Law Group LLC, Mike Kelly, Columbia, SC
Pennsylvania Horticultural Society,
Mikva Challenge Foundation, Miriam Martinez, Chicago, IL Joan Reilly, Philadelphia, PA
44 usabudgetdiscussion.org
Policy Consensus Initiative/PSU, Wendy Willis, Portland, OR United Way of the Midlands, Mac Bennett, Columbia, SC
Portland Community College, David Martinez, Portland, OR University of Louisville College of Business, Louisville, KY
Rebuild Oregon, Jeff Anderson, Portland, OR University of Pennsylvania, Penn Project for Civic Engagement,
Harris Sokoloff and Linda Breitstein, Philadelphia, PA
Resource Associates, Anne Sinclair, Columbia, SC
University of South Carolina, Eddie Yazdani, Columbia, SC
Resurrection Project, Raul Raymundo, Chicago, IL
University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI
Rev. Robert Shine
Urban League Greater Dallas, Beverly
Richland County Public Library, Melanie Huggins, Columbia, SC
Mitchell-Brooks, Dallas, TX
Richland School District 1, Dr. Percy A. Mack, Columbia, SC
Urban League of Greater Dallas, Beverly
Rio Grande Foundation, Paul Gessing, Albuquerque, NM Mitchell-Brooks, Dallas, TX
SC Arts Foundation, Pat VanHuss, Columbia, SC Urban League, James (JT) McLawhorne, Columbia, SC
Sisters of Charity, Tom Keith and Brook Bailey, Columbia, SC USAction, National
Small Business Monthly, Overland Park, KS Voices for Illinois Children, Kathy Ryg, Chicago, IL
The Cooperative Ministry, David Kunz, Columbia, SC WIS-TV, Donita Todd, Columbia, SC
The Foundation for the Mid South, Jackson, MS Women, Work, and Community, Augusta, ME
The Skillman Foundation, Detroit, MI Women’s Action for New Directions, National
The State Media Company, Henry Haitz III, Columbia, SC Wyoming Business Alliance/Wyoming
Heritage Foundation, Casper, WY
Trinity United Church of Christ, Rev. Otis Moss III, Chicago, IL
Wyoming Medical Center, Casper, WY
TrueMajority, National
Young Involved Philadelphia, Claire
United Community Services of Johnson Robertson-Kraft, Philadelphia, PA
County, Overland Park, KS
Young Involved Philadelphians, Claire
United States Student Association, National Robertson-Kraft, Philadelphia, PA
usabudgetdiscussion.org 45
1050 17th Street, Ste 350
Washington, DC 20036
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