Time & Price Forecasting: Time As A Mathematical Object: Michael S. Jenkins May 15, 2009 MTA Symposium

Time & Price Forecasting:
Time as a Mathematical Object

Michael S. Jenkins
May 15, 2009
MTA Symposium
History of Technical Analysis
Simple trendlines, volume studies, and moving averages gave

primitive trend projections. What was lacking was the TIME
element
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www.StockCyclesForecast.com
Measured Moves
First approach to a ‘duration’

period married to price trends
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Circular Arcs Around Measured Moves
Provide Support & Resistance
Resistance in Price
Resistance Resistance in Time

In Time
Support in Price
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Circular Arcs Describe Emotions
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First Step to Universal Vector
Adjusted
Arc
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Arcs Expansion Support & Resistance
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Arc Time & Price Resistance
Initial Impulse
Vector
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Price & Time Are Interchangeable
Common Denominator
Of Highs & Lows ‘Gap’
Top Cycles of 66 hours, days
Price
$66
Price
$55 Bottom Cycles 55 Days
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25 Day Cycle From Price Of $25
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8th Harmonic Grids
All Intersecting Grid Points

Cause Changes In Trend
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‘Square’ the High, Low, & Range
Low Price baseline
‘Zero’ Price baseline Copyright 2009

Zero Angles and Fractals
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Time Incorporated Into Price
Even Squares
(SqRt(265) + 2)^2 =
334 Next row
19 x 19 = 361
Odd Squares
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Jenkins True Trend Line ( JTTL )
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Square the Range With JTTL’s
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Use Of JTTL’s For Time Cycles
Calculate 1 year
target. Get ‘net’
advance, divide
by 365 days to get
daily rate. Divide
daily rate into
origin price to get
days to square out
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Just ONE
Price and
Harmonics of JTTL’s
Date
Yields
Many Harmonics
1/3rd
3/4th
Full Square
1/4th
Each section of the lineCopyright

has strong
2009 time & price harmonics
Half and Full Square Outs Of JTTL’s
Top Price & date
Full Square
1/2
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Simple Way To Create JTTL’s
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Universal Vectors –
Pythagorean Theory
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Arcs And Natural Ratio Lines
Arc & Ratio Line
Predict Endings
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OBJECTS
• In the late 1980’s computer programmers came
up with the IDEA of a programming code
OBJECT. Instead of long lines of programming
code that had to be run sequentially all the
time, the idea of an GUI or ‘graphical user
interface’ made use of an ‘object’ like this:
Click Me
• This object contained subroutines that only ran

when the object was activated.
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• A recent book called the ‘Bible Code’ offers
the hypothesis that it is possible to take a
document like the Bible and using equally
spaced distances of letter sequences, that the
resulting string of letters could spell out
encrypted messages that are not readily
apparent in the typical reading of the printed
text. These messages could also be arranged
in multi-dimensional slices of cubes, squares
or spheres which the consecutive letters form.
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The Stock Market Object
This circle covers some 30-31 years
And the radius is @ 1530 points
Note that angles from

center create support an
resistance and the
intersection point is a ne
impulse wave beginning
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Whale Watching
Visible Whale Surfacing
Invisible Whale Diving Path
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Dow Jones Whales Surfacing
2500 4000
5000
1.732 x 1000 days
PI x 1000 days
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Time & Price Interchangeability
Time Cycle Frequency is Part of Price
10/10/02 low 768.5 / 10 = 76.85

76.85 x 30.437 (days in month) = 2339 days
10/10/02 + 2339 = 3/06/09
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10% Decimal Shifts
1576 / 10 = 1576
157 / 10 = 157
10/11/07 + 10
157 = 3/17/08
1257 / 10 = 125.7
3/17/08 + 125 = 7/20/08
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Often The Fractals Repeat
1462 / 10 = 146.7
2/22/07 + 147 = 7/18/07
Same drops following
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Square Root Frequencies
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Annual Frequencies
July 1932 Low

Was 40 to 42 range
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The 1998 Harmonics: Time
Time: Tan(30) x Price

.57735 x 923.32 = 533
10/08/98 + 533 days = 3/24/00
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1998 Harmonics: Price
Musical Octave 8
Square Root(8)
SqRtSqRt (8) = 1.68179
923.32 x 1.68179 =1552.83
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1998-2001 : Time
10/08/98
923.32 x (8^.25) = 1552.83
Tan (30) x 1552.87 = 896
10/08/98 + 896 = 3/22/01
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1998-2001: Price
First Top 8^.25 x 923.32 = 1552.83

Next Low 1552.83 / ( (8^.5) / 2) = 1098
High: 1124
Low: 1081
Ave: 1102
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1998 to 2006 Decimal Conversion
923.32 / 10 = 92.33 months

92.33 x 30.437 =2810 = 6/18/08
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1987 -1990 10% Shift
337.89 / 10 = 33.789 months

33.789 x 30.437 = 1028
8/25/87 + 1028 = 6/18/90
Price: 337.89 + 33.789 = 371.68
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Time & Price ARE Interchangeable!
Time: 3/24/00
Price: 923.32
Add Together = 10/03/02
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Origins of Cycles For Forecasting
• The Bible- God worked for 6 days
• 6 x 6 = 36 Completion
• 10 is the next most important number
• 10 x 10 =100
• 10 x 6 = 60
• 10 x 36 = 360
• The best cycles in the market are 100, and 60
years, with their 50, and 30 half harmonics
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Looking Ahead
• The combination of the 100 and 60 year cycles create
a Fibonacci interplay of 161.8 years. This dominant
cycle is the origin of Karl Marx’s Communist
Manifesto published in 1848 and will create a
socialist society in the United States leading to a
major world war or civil in 4-5 years.
• Background: Marx was in Paris in 1848 and learned
from the French about their Revolution 60 years
earlier. 60 years after 1848 was 1908 and the first
‘Progressives’ brought Marx’s ideas
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to the US instituting the first income tax 100
years from this year. 100 years after Marx was
1948 and that year saw the first ‘Fairness
Doctrine’ in the US and now 60 years later it
comes back again. 150 years back was the big
depression of 1857 when Abraham Lincoln
came to power. 200 years back was the rise of
Napoleon a child of the Revolution brought to
power by the underclass masses. 100 years
from Marx was Chairman Mao in 1948-49.
When we combine the smaller harmonics of
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the 100 and 60 year cycles we find our
standard decennial patterns and the following:
• 1857 market collapse
• 1907 financial panic
• 1937 second Depression collapse
• 1957 major top
• 1987 panic
• 2007 market collapse
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War Cycles Coming From Populist Unrest and
Rising Socialism
• Cycles of War for U.S.:
• 200 years back = 1809 + 3 =British burn White House
• 1857 + 4 = Civil War
• 1907 + 7 = WW I
• 1937 + 4 = Pearl Harbor
• 1947 + 3 Korea
• 1957 + 7 Vietnam
• 1907 + 10 Bolshevik Revolution
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Stock Market Outlook
• Top 10/11/2007 @ 1576
• Tan(30) x 1576 = 910
• 1576 – 910 = 666 first low
• 10/11/2007 + 910 = 4/8/2010 Last Low
• 3/6/2009 666 x Tan (30) = 3/24/2010
• 10/11/2007 + 666 = 8/7/2009 Beginning Crash
• 3/12/03 789 = 78.9 months = 10/07/09
• 2 year anniversary, 7 year, 11 year, 19 year etc.
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Patterns: 1990, 1979
• 1990 up to July down to final low October
• 1979 Mar low, July low, October crash
• 1906-1907 length of days = 8/15/2009(2002-2003,
5 months between bottoms, Mar & Aug ‘09)
• 1937-1939 length of days = 11/3/2009
• March 6, 2009 @ 666, 6.66 months = 9/24/2009
(October)
• Summary: up 90 days to June 8th, roll over top
throughout June and July, down into October, rally
until December then final low April 2010 price: 468
i.e. 1576 x (8^.125 -1) Copyright 2009
Final Thoughts
1984 to 2000 was the Jehovah 16 year Bull cycle. 2000 to 2019 is
the 19 year Yahweh Bear cycle which ends on the anniversary of
the 1917-1919 Bolshevik Revolution. Tough times ahead.
1974 low was Tan 30 x top

And (1-Tan 30) x 1576 = 666
2007
2000
BUT we may only

be half way down
To 468 target
Copyright 2009 2009-2010
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Time & Price Forecasting: Time As A Mathematical Object: Michael S. Jenkins May 15, 2009 MTA Symposium

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Time & Price Forecasting: Time As A Mathematical Object: Michael S. Jenkins May 15, 2009 MTA Symposium

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Time & Price Forecasting:

Time as a Mathematical Object

Simple trendlines, volume studies, and moving averages gave

First approach to a ‘duration’

Resistance Resistance in Time

Top Cycles of 66 hours, days

All Intersecting Grid Points

Low Price baseline

‘Zero’ Price baseline Copyright 2009

Each section of the lineCopyright

Top Price & date

• This object contained subroutines that only ran

Note that angles from

Invisible Whale Diving Path

1.732 x 1000 days

10/10/02 low 768.5 / 10 = 76.85

July 1932 Low

Time: Tan(30) x Price

10/08/98 + 533 days = 3/24/00

First Top 8^.25 x 923.32 = 1552.83

923.32 / 10 = 92.33 months

337.89 / 10 = 33.789 months

Price: 337.89 + 33.789 = 371.68

1974 low was Tan 30 x top

BUT we may only

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