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and R?50Qrch
Thoory
corporatist command state, he speaks from experience. of the "rise of the Right" in the "world crisis of capital
Prior to leaving Chile, Frank increasinglyfocused on accumulation, in the adaptive responses of national and
transnational capital on the one hand, and the acute, radical
the nature of the current economic crisis. In fact, in 1972
and potentially violent social dislocation such adaptations
he publicly expressed the opinion that the capitalist world
had entered another major crisis of capital accumulation. provoke on the other" (Dixon, 1982b: i-ii). There is likewise
This essay is now Chapter 1 of Frank's book Reflections on agreement that any neofascist arrangement in the capitalist
core will unfold according to a logic of its own and will
theWorld Economic Crisis (1981b). Frank here argues that
assume a form unlike that of classical German or Italian
as of themid-1960s, theworld-economy entered a long-cycle
Fascism.
contraction.
The policies of national and transnational capital will
As noted earlier, capitalism as a global mode of produc?
demand thepillaging of theworking classes and underclasses
tion tends always towards uneven development spatially
and sectorally, which we call the industrialized core and the of the advanced countries and the intensification of exploi?
tation for the emerging working classes of the semi
superexploited periphery. Capitalist development and
accumulation are also uneven. accumula? periphery (Dixon, op. cit). This makes clear the ideological
temporally Capital
tion is a cyclical phenomenon - the business cycle is well function of Huntington^ essay The Crisis of Democracy: it
is a call for the consolidation of oligarchic power and for
known to practically all observers. What has been less
the imposition of national controls to assure that the
accepted by government economists is the thesis that the
transnational corporate powers, given their nonterritorial
world capitalist economy is also governed by "long waves"
character, are able to keep their concentration of wealth
of 50 to 75 years in duration. These waves consist of two
intact.
phases: thefirst is a period of growth, of expansion econom?
It is for this reason that the following selections by
ically, such as characterized the world-economy from the
end of World War II to 1966; the second is a period of no Frank begin with an examination of the rise of theRight by
growth, of stagnation, which today takes the form of introducing the worldview of the Trilateral Commission in
stagflation. These long-wave cycles ceased to be denied by regard to the "democratic distemper." This emerging
1978 when the Bank for International Settlements (the worldview, as Gross and Dixon have noted, insists upon a
nonterritorial
"central bankers'" central bank), the Club of Rome, and supra-governmental, managerial formula
even the Trilateral Commission seriously began to consider capable of consolidating ever greater concentrations of
an economic downturn of the Kondratieff type (Frank, wealth and power. Dixon (1982b: iv) in particular has
1980a: 22). observed that the "complexities of modern forms of
The long-cycle downswing which ensued in 1966 is neofascism are thus complicated by the fact that it is not a
characterized by worldwide stagnation in investment and question of subduing a single nation-state,
"
but a whole
system of states within theworld-economy.
growth, declining and lower profits, stagflation, the intro?
duction of cost-saving measures, and the failure of major While it is clear that a policy of global reaction has
financial and industrial concerns. As Frank (1980a: 23) been implemented by capital, the outcome is by no means
notes, "downswings have exhibited certain political/ predetermined. The experience which has been solely that
economic transformations that have made a recuperation of of the periphery will now come to haunt the U.S.: we will
profits possible, thereby stimulating innovativemajor new likely experience a stripping away of democratic veils in the
investments and then expansion of production in the next
" face of a hostile transnational power, but not a dismantling
upswing. The mechanism at work is this: the capital/labor of the formal democratic machinery. The Reagan adminis?
ratio has become too high in the boom, resulting in lower tration is the beginning of a long period of conservative rule
levels of investment.The major enterprisesmove to recuper in which the share of the national wealth allotted to the
Summer 1982/ 5
working class and underclass will diminish with the imple? working classes and the imposition of restrictions on civil
mentation of reactionary social policies and direct rollbacks rights where bourgeois democracy places restraints on the
inwage levels. centralization of oligarchic power and concentration of
The abandonment of the New Deal (high-growth wealth. This shift to the right in the centers of power was
capitalism) policy of industrialpeace, as well as thedeliber? initially reflected in the electoral arena, where the organized
ate immiseration of the unemployed population, will have Right took the initiative in theface of bankrupt policies of
profound social consequences for which the ruling powers social reform that require a high-growth economy. Frank
are prepared. First, an accentuation of sexism (Kress, also spoke to the continuing development of religious and
1982), of racism (Bush, 1982), and of incarceration (Platt, paramilitary right-wingformations: today we see the Ku
1982) are certainties. The deliberate fostering of right-wing Klux Klan, theMoonies, and theU.S. Labor Party (National
evangelical movements by the rightwing of the ruling class Democratic Policy Committee) on themove and functioning
is well documented (Huntington and Kaplan, 1982). Abov'e as "organizational provocateurs." The current trends in
ly organized and equipped with leadership and political 1974 Accumulation on a World Scale. New York: Monthly
policies to deflect the attack thatwill certainly intensifyas Review Press.
the crisis is aggravated.
For while the crisis in capitalism is being used by Arrighi, Giovanni
1978 The Geometry of Imperialism. London: New Left
capital to launch a dangerous offensive against thefunda? Books.
mental rights of labor and democratic forces, the additional
danger exists that thepopular resistance to the restructuring Bahro, Rudolph
of the world-economy will, according toFrank, be derailed 1979 The Alternative. London: New Left Books.
the factual data presented, Frank's analytical framework 1982b "Tyranny Will Come Silently, Slowly, Like Fog Creeping
in on Little Cat Feet. . . ." Contemporary Marxism 4
proves to be of enormous value in the prediction of future
(Winter).
trends. It is themethod of analysis that should be learned
from, for the exposition of empirical data follows from the Imposed by the Capitalist
1981a "Limitations World-System."
Our Socialism 2, 2 (May).
tedious gathering of newspaper clippings which validate the
analysis. Frank (along with Ernest Mandel and Giovanni 1981b "On the Situation in the USA Today." Our Socialism
famous Keynesian advisers took to be short-termrecessions, 1981c "The Transition to Socialism as a World Process." Our
broken chain of capitalist prosperity, were indeed the 198Id "Abstract: The Degradation of Waged Labor and Class
accumu?
early signs of a long-termcapitalist crisis of capital
Formation on an International Scale." Our Socialism
administration and intensified in theReagan era reflect the 1980 "The Challenge of Transnational Capitalism." Our
Sweezy, Paul
Emmanuel, Arghiri 1981 "Economic Crisis in the United States." Monthly
1972 Unequal Exchange. New York: Monthly Review Press. Review 33 (December).
Trilateral Commission
Frank, Andre Gunder on the Governability
1975 The Crisis of Democracy: Report
1982 "After Reaganomics and Thatcherism, What? From
of Democracies to the Trilateral Commission. New
Keynesian Demand Management via Supply-Side Eco?
York: New York University Press.
nomics to Corporate State Planning and 1984." Con?
temporary Marxism 4 (Winter).
Wallerstein, Immanuel
1981a Crisis: In the Third World. New York: Holmes & Meier 1982 "The USA in Today's World." Contemporary Marxism
Publishers, Inc. 4 (Winter).
1981b Reflections on the World Economic Crisis. New York: 1980 "The Future of the World Economy." In Terence K.
Monthly Review Press. Hopkins and Immanuel Wallerstein (eds.), Processes
of theWorld-System. Beverly Hills: Sage Publications.
1980a Crisis: In the World Economy. New York: Holmes &
Meier Publishers, Inc. 1979 The Capitalist World Economy. Cambridge: Cambridge
University Press.
1980b "World System in Crisis." Contemporary Marxism
2 (Winter). 1976 "A World-System Perspective on the Social Sciences."
British Journal of Sociology 27 (September).
1979 Dependent Accumulation and Underdevelopment. New
York: Monthly Review Press. 1974a The Modern World System. New York: Academic Press.
1977 "Long Live Transideological Enterprise! The Socialist 1974b "The Rise and Future Demise of the World Capitalist
Economies in the Capitalist International Division of System: Concepts for Comparative Analysis." Compara?
Labor." Review 1, 1 (Summer). tive Studies in Society and History 6, 4 (September).
Summer 19821 7
government for the industrialized countries of exists in these countries and even in Sweden.. . .
Europe, North America, and Asia? In recent years, In Denmark, the Netherlands, and Britain, the
acute observers on all three continents have seen a social democratic consensus is breaking down.. . .
least, as serious as those posed in the past by the democracy yet that did not commit suicide." That
aristocratic cliques, fascist movements, and com? suicide is more likely to be the product of over?
... a
munist parties. In addition parallel and
indulgence than of any other cause (Trilateral
possibly related trend affecting the viability Commission, 1975).
of democracy concerns broader changes in social
. . .The
This "suicide" of democracy is even more likely with a
values. new values may not survive reces?
little help from its "friends" who have discovered the
sion and resource shortages. But if they do,
to democracy from a sustained economic down?
challenges
they pose an additional new problem for democrat? turn and?as Brzezinski emphasizes in his "Introductory
ic government in terms of its ability tomobilize its
Note"?are concerned that "their discussion of 'The Crisis
citizens for the achievement of social and political . . .
of Democracy' is designed to make democracy stronger
goals and to impose discipline and sacrifice upon and more democratic."
its citizens in order to achieve those goals.
There is widespread and increasing evidence that the
Finally, and perhaps most seriously, there are Trilateral Commission is not merely whistling in the dark.
the intrinsicchallenges to the viability of democrat?
However, we can convey here only the very smallest?and
ic government. ... In recent the operations
years,
perhaps most superficial?part of this evidence; our sources
of the democratic process do indeed appear to
includemostly press reports.
have generated a breakdown of traditional means
of social control, a delegitimation of political and Poll Finds Conservative Mood
other forms of authority, and an overload of No Move to theRight inU.S.
demands on government, exceeding its capacity to What many perceive as a
groundswell of conser?
respond.
. . . vatism in the United States?a new right, as
... a very sizeable part of it has been called?may instead be only an expres?
[In] France and Italy
the electorate will always vote for extremist sion of extreme dissatisfaction with the federal
... A drift toward a Washington Post . . .
parties. general alienation, government, poll suggests.
irresponsibility, and breakdown of consensus also The Post's findings cast doubt on the assertion by
July 12, 1976). during New York City's second blackout made some people
reflect upon the same "alienation, irresponsibility and
Since then, in its spring 1978 session, theUnited States breakdown of consensus" that worries the Trilateral Com?
Supreme Court ruled in the Stanford University Daily case mission. This is "N.Y.C.'s Message for Carter," as conveyed
that thepolice may search the premises and seize testimony, by theNew York Times:
even of citizens against whom there is no suspicion of
criminal action or intent. (The police might thus find useful [Mr. Carter does not] need yet another commis?
sion to discover that half the black and Hispanic
information as they did at the StanfordDaily.)
The abuses of civil liberties by the executive branch of youths in his major cities are out of work and out
of hope and out of mainstream America. . . .
the United States government have received substantial
publicity through the Watergate scandal and revelations The need in our cities is for both defense of the
about the actions of theCIA and FBI as well as the repeated
society and insurance against the unemployment
perjury of their responsible officials, who deny these underclass. That is not a noble way of defining our
actions. these and even increase:
continuing Still, continue,
most urgent human problem, but . . . (IHT, July
"President Carter personally approved secret television
a U.S. . .The
21, 1977).
surveillance of citizen recently.. legal basis
for such surveillance is unclear. . ..
Attorney General What is the solution? If the "measures of apathy and
Griffin Bell also approved thewiretapping" (IHT, February noninvolvement of some individuals and groups" hamper
13, 1978). "the effective operation of a democratic political system,"
Summer 1982/ 9
as the Trilateral Commission fears, then the solution is refused to sign.The IrishGovernment claims ithas
"a greater degree of moderation in democracy" instead. constitutional difficulties about extraditing for
'political' offenses (FT, December 5, 1979).
POLITICALREPRESSIONON THE INCREASE
France, which originally held up the signature of this
In Europe, similar tendencies are "Holland's
convention, did indeed extradite the German lawyerKlaus
emerging.
Croissant without much ado and in the most scandalous
Chief of Government fearsRightward Trend inEurope. . . .
fashion. On the other hand, right before a demonstration
Prime Minister Joop den Uyl [says] the 'present tendency
"
in all of Europe [is] to restoration toward the right' (FR, by French and foreign opponents of atomic energy at a
French nuclear power plant, theWest German police sent
September 21, 1976).
photographs ofWest German opponents of nuclear energy
In various political circles and in part of public ahead to the French police. And theywere used. Further,
opinion, the idea is abroad that a general process "the West German Interior Ministry said that its close
of a "political right turn" is going throughEurope. relationship with the Dutch police brought about the arrest
... I believe this is due to three economic reasons. last of two German terrorist . . . and that
year suspects
In the first place, and possibly most important.
. . teamwork displayed by French and Swiss authorities led to
[another] capture at a Swiss border post" (IHT, May 9,
a reaction the levels of tax pressure. . . .
[is] against
Another economic factor that seems to be rejected 1978).
by the ordinary European is the growing economic InWest Germany, "the danger for internal security of
intervention by the state. . . .Additionally, I the Federal Republic still comes from the 'left-extremists'
believe, there is a third socio-economic phenome? according to the Verfassungsschutz [the political police]"
non that the European citizen rejects: the express ?not from the who have received
"right-extremists"
power and lack of control of the labor unions increasing publicity (FR, June 28, 1978). Accordingly,
(EPA, November 29, 1979). political repression against the left has been increased by
the Social Democratic government to an extent in recent
The facts that the writer adduces to support his thesis are
that the labor and social-democratic parties have been voted years impossible to summarize here. The West German
out of office in England and Sweden, where taxes were weekly pictorial magazine Stern (July 6-12, 1978; circulation
1,876,444) published an expose of the "?berwachungstaat"
highest, but have been retained in office inGermany and
Austria, where the three factors he cites are at least in (surveillance state) with photographs of police officers
evidence. On the other hand, particularly at German identifyingand filming individuals at demonstrations:
initiative, there is taking place: "A European Convention These pictures are not out of a Nazi film.These
Against Terrorism. The end of the political offense?" pictures are German reality: West Berlin, 1 May
officers observe demonstra?
Inspired essentially by Federal Germany, itwas 1978?police peaceful
to be signed on 22 September at Strasbourg by the tors. Freedom 1978?that means, no citizen is safe
Committee of Ministers of the Council of Europe. anymore from being shadowed by the police and
. .. This text climaxes the repressive legislation put the Verfassungsschutz [politicalpolice]. No citizen
in force in the past few years by thewhole of the can escape the computers of the guardians of the
western countries. ... If it is it would
state. Millions are already registered. Freedom
ratified,
establish a sort of federalism of delinquency, '78?mobilization against the citizen, prohibition
to exercise one's profession and destruction of the
especially political. Its purpose: to facilitate
extradition. . . .The convention turns its back?to
democratic state of law. It means more police,
better and to kill. ... A demon?
begin with?on the liberal tradition on the Europe?
weapons shooting
an level?and consequently on the national level? strator whose neck and head are held by the
of a fundamental distinction of penal law: political police. Plainclothes policemen photograph him
with a police camera for the archives. .. .
Wherever
offenses and offenses of common law. . .. With
this text, therefore, there is no more political Germans demonstrate ? the guardians of the state
. . .This in
are there. No matter whether it is about nuclear
offense. convention denies brutal
fashion one of the principles of the rights of man power plants, unemployment or slumhousing;
which has long been accepted by positive law: the whoever makes use of his basic rights is already
Summer 1982/11
refusing to vote in favor, passed a new series of "anti-terror would be required to restore the situation rapidly."
laws," one of which expressly permits the issuance of a It is against this background that the self-styled
single search warrant for one apartment to be used to action groups should be assessed. .. .Those at
search every apartment in the same apartment block/housing the private enterprise end of the political spectrum
project as well. That would have been useful atWatergate! are beginning to organize themselves to fight
In themeantime, in neighboring Switzerland laws and battles which no political party seems disposed
ordinances are said to allow still wider repression than in to fight for them. Large industrial concerns are
West Germany. Further, a certain Ernst Cincera has taken beginning to talk in termsof a coordinated defence
it on himself to organize the "fight against subversion" against industrial action or wholesale nationaliza?
through the maintenance of a privately financed file and tion. The voice of Aims of Industry is becoming
microfilm system of "subversives," some of whose names more insistent and more extreme (LT, August 5,
and activities he publishes in a regular bulletin, "What, 1974).
Who, How, When, Where" (NZZ, November 24, 1976).
Some people, including the British fascist leader of
The above-cited West German attack against the
the 1930s, Oswald Mosley, and the American rightist,
principle of political asylum in Europe, by denying the William Buckley, were expecting a military takeover in
political character of political offenses, together with the
similar West German initiative at the United Nations for 1974, a time which witnessed increasing strikes in Britain;
such a takeover has not occurred. It is not likely now, but
the worldwide combat against "terrorism," are only the
the threat remains and could arise again in the future. In
most visible signs that the increase of political repression in
the meantime, many "large industrial concerns" are increas?
West Germany is not limited to that country alone, but is
calculated to extend far beyond its borders. There is other ing their finance of "coordinated defence." (A major
bank thought it opportune publicly to deny having contrib?
evidence that West Germany?with the agreement of
uted to the fund.) At the same time, the League for the
right-wing supporters and even governing forces in certain
Defence of Freedom is becoming more insistent and more
countries?is being built up to become the "political
extreme?to the right. So is the outright fascist National
gendarme of Europe" to match its increasing economic Front. Meanwhile, inBritish-administered Northern Ireland,
dominance. The head of the Social Democratic Party,Willy
Brandt, intervened in Portuguese and Spanish politics with draconian powers against the IRA?unprecedented
West German funds; the Social Democratic Chancellor in peacetime?were announced. . . .The
legislation
Helmut Schmidt lentmoney to shore up Italy's balance of will also allow a policeman to arrest without a
payments in reaction to the increasing gravitation to the warrant. . . and
detaining suspects for up to a
ItalianCommunist Party. In Europe, West German economic week. . . .This
particular act, taken together with
power and West German political repressions aremeant to, its subsequent amendments, has already been
and do, go hand in hand. If theWest German bourgeoisie described by many international jurists as being
keeps its own house in order, the ruling class and its state more draconian than similar legislative provision
can intervene elsewhere in Europe more effectively if and in any non-Communist country in the world
when the "need" should arise. other than South Africa (FT, November 26,
Thepolitical right and "democratic" governments 1974).
elsewhere, however, are not simply waiting for eventual
West German help in combatting their "subversion" and Since then, there have been revelations and denunciations
"terrorism" at home. The article in the London Times, of systematic torture of detainees. The British Army has
cited above ?"Armoured Cars at Heathrow: A rehearsal for certainly gathered considerable experience in handling
a coup?"?went
on to give serious consideration to the civilian protest inNorthern Ireland (as theAmericans did in
following in the English "mother of democracies": Vietnam). The British armed forces could and would just as
well apply such expertise in Britain itself if the occasion
It would be wise to recognize that more and arose. to Mr. Jonathan an executive
According Rosenhead,
more people in this country, many of themmen of the British Society for Social Responsibility, "there
and women of impeccably liberal instincts, are is a rather disturbing parallel between what has been
beginning to contemplate seriously, and not happening inNorthern Ireland and what is now happening
without some satisfaction, the possibility of a in England" (GUA, April 27, 1979). This consideration
of authoritarian rule in Britain. . . .
period should also be assessed against the background of the
[An] officer was writing in a book to which self-styled action groups elsewhere in the British Isles.
the present Chief of Defense contributed a fore? Under the Labour government, "Scientists' warning after
word: "If a genuine and serious grievance arose, Southall rioting: Police 'may use gas and plastic bullets . . .'
such as might result from a significant drop and SPG [Special Patrol Group] officerswere being used as
"
in the standard of living, all those who now 'shock troops to spearhead this new aggressive policy'
dissipate their protests over a wide variety of (GUA, April 27, 1979). The new Conservative government,
causes might concentrate their effortsand produce of course, ran and won on an election promise significantly
a situation which was beyond the power of the to increase expenditures and other support to the police
police to handle. Should this happen, the Army and army.
Summer 1982/ 13
taken in the capitalist countries by Gallup International in As the survey shows, many believe thatwe are
1975/1976, in the United States 33 percent, inWestern in the midst of an ideological transition.When a
Europe 39 percent, and in the Far East 30 percent of the traditional ideology loses acceptance, the com?
people thought that "living conditions for people like munity loses direction. Its institutions are no
yourself in this country are better. . . than theywere five longer legitimate. ... A society that ignores
years ago" (USN, January 24, 1977). The remainder,well ideological change may promote the anarchy
over half, thought that theywere the same or worse. In the that inevitably leads to totalitarian temptations;
United States 49 percent said "worse." Since then, although a history is replete with examples. . . . Ideology II
minority may still find that "life is improving," hardly ... is becoming the legitimizer for our great
anybody anymore considers full employment a realistic and essentially communitarian institutions?Exxon,
prospect for the foreseeable future. In mid-1976, 66 ITT, First National City Bank of New York, the
percent of Americans no longer felt that full employment U.S. government, Harvard University, and the like
in the United States was a realistic goal. Interestingly (HBR, November-December, 1975: 15).
enough, in the same poll 69 percent blamed the government, it seems that the alternative to "individualism" is
65 percent blamed the labor unions, and only 38 percent Thus,
less "communitarian" than corporativist.
thought that business should take some responsibility for The extent of the social, ideological, and political
inflation (USN, September 13, 1976). In his major nation?
wide television speech of July 15, 1979, President Carter problem and the urgency of corresponding countermeasures
manifest themselves visibly as the tip of the iceberg. There
observed thatmost Americans think the next five years will
has been Watergate in the United States and Lockheed
be worse than the last five (which were already worse than
and other scandals in Japan, Italy, and elsewhere, all of
those before). The president then went on to analyze the
which have forced the resignation of heads of government
"crisis of conscience," for which, however, he offered no
or of state. Their successors, like Jimmy Carter and his
remedy. Certainly, the dream of "ever bigger and better" "I'll never tell a lie" campaign and thenhis "human rights"
through the "American way of life" has vanished formost
campaign, have correctly sensed their principal immediate
people in the industrial countries, and has turned into a
political task to be the short-termrestoration of ideological
nightmare formany of them. As early as December, 1973,
Time magazine announced that thishad been the "last year legitimacy. Though they have had a measure of short-term
success during the 1976-77 economic recovery, none of
of the past"?that is, of the postwar era; and it pictured
them can be sure of its permanence, particularly if another
Western Europe as going downhill from then on. Perhaps
Time's editors and writers were not aware at the time just recession?and/or the one after that?is very deep. There
are other, less visible, but all themore real,manifestations.
how real, steep, and prolonged this descent would be; but a
largemajority of theWest's population has by now probably Mental Health in the U.S.: President's Study
become aware of it, and this awareness grows with each Panel Finds Emotional StressMore Widespread
recession. This situation poses a most serious Than Was Previously Believed
succeeding
problem for capital and the state on the ideological front, . . . and that one-quarter of the population suffered
where the erstwhile postwar "bigger and better" ideology is
severe emotional stress. . . and that itwas
probable
increasinglybelied by reality?not just by the "intellectuals, that about 40 million Americans had diagnosable
would-be intellectuals and para-intellectuals" that the
mental disturbances and were in need of profes?
Trilateral Commission cites. What new ideology is to
sional care. ... 16.4 cent of the populations of
per
replace the old, to offer the necessary legitimation of the North America and Europe could be defined as
system so as to achieve "social control" over the growing
number of people who are "alienated" from the "main? having "functional psychiatric disorders" (IHT,
stream" of life in capitalist society? That new ideology and September 17-18, 1977).
themeans to achieve its acceptance are still the subjects of Only suicide and homicide, among death rates,
insistent search. "A genetic defense of the freemarket" rise and fall with unemployment and its familiar
through sociobiology (BW, April 10, 1978) by Gary Becker consequences during depressions.
. . .The most
and other Chicago-trained economists might convince some dramatic indicator of the relation between job
para-intellectuals, but is unlikely to catch the imagination and stress is the suicide rate. .. .For
security
of the masses. The Harvard Business Review (November men of all labor market ages there is a peak in
December, 1975) published an opinion and attitude survey suicide for each peak in unemployment.
. . .
for theUnited States, and addressed the issue of "individual? Among working-age males, for each unemploy?
versus "communitarianism." ment there is an ulcer death rate . .
ism" Seventy percent preferred peak peak.
individualism, but only 62 percent thought that it existed with a lag of between 1 and 3 years. Alternatively,
in theUnited States at present. That is, 38 percent thought one might emphasize the stresses which rise
communitarianism already dominant today. Forty percent with the boom of the business cycle, such as
thought communitarianism more suitable for solving overwork . . . heart disease,
[which make] stroke,
problems in the future; and 73 percent anticipated that cancer, cirrhosis, diabetes, accidents, influenza
communitarianism would be dominant in theUnited States pneumonia, and many smaller causes of death
by 1985. such as ulcers rise during the boom with the
the
believe religion is increasing its influence on U.S.
measures, prospective increase in death rates
for this group as it moves into maximal risk life "is up sharply in recentmonths and has tripled
since 1971," Mr. Gallup said (IHT, June 18, 1977).
ages for heart disease, cancer, and cirrhosiswill be
that much larger (Eyer and Sterling, 1977: 9,
[Church] membership of groups with a funda?
30-32). mentalist or related viewpoint has increased
steadily, while membership of non-fundamen?
Under the headline "Jobless Youths Worry West Europe. talist groups peaked in the mid 1960's and has
Fears Grow on Crime, 'Unemployables'," the IHT (Decem? declined since then. . . .They seek to alleviate
ber 14, 1976) reports: these uncertainties and disruptions by turning
The blight of jobless youth has fallen over toward a traditional and fundamentalist religious
Western Europe outlook (SA, April, 1976: 35-36).
[leading to the] development
of a hard-core of long-term unemployed people.
... As in theUnited States, it is school ? As the above-cited article on "The Science-Textbook
dropouts Controversies" these fundamentalists have
documents,
often from the least favored strata, often with
launched a far-reaching campaign against "the authority
inadequate vocational or an education
training
mismatched with the needs of employers? represented by scientific dogmatism." But they seek to
who get the hardest hit. In U.S. cities, rising replace it with far more reactionary political dogmas,
such as that of the notorious "Moon" sect, whose ties
youth unemployment has been associated with to the South Korean CIA have been exposed in the world
increased crime and other violence, suicides, drug
press.
addiction and prostitution. An investigation has
There have been widespread attacks on the liberal
found fears running deep inmany Western Euro?
and progressive education reforms of the 1960s, such as set
pean countries that they may be headed down a
similar path. Economic and social forces are theory, which helped children reason inmathematics, and
to make into ... a new under?
notably also on integrated schooling, in which unequal
combining youths
educational were reduced somewhat. Reforms
privileged group. . . .There is a danger of making
opportunities
in educational content and organization are now on the
out of our . . . There is
unemployables employed. retreat in the face of a well-financed and organized counter?
too much similarity for comfort between what attack from the political right and ultra-right inside and
happened in the northern cities of the United
outside the churches in the United States, Britain, West
States and what ishappening here [inLondon]....
Youth unemployment has grown so much in Germany, and elsewhere. The pretext for the attacks
Britain that it is now genuinely reflected in delin? everywhere is that "Johnny can't read" or do arithmetic,
and that test scores and educational achievements have
quency, crime and anti-social behavior (IHT,
fallen everywhere in the industrialworld. The latter corre?
December 14, 1976).
sponds to fact and is another symptom of the crisis. But the
But since it is not possible to work to death all those proposed remedy of the economic, political, and ideological
who are employed or to wait for all those who are unem? right is to cut educational expenditures (as noted above),
ployed to commit suicide, some other social and ideological reduce educational opportunities intended for minorities
measures are necessary for the quarter of the and the poor (in which they have been backed up by
population
that ismentally disturbed and even for the three quarters "anti-busing" movements and the Bakke decision of the
that is not (yet). One possibility is the "Big Religious U.S. Supreme Court), and to give educational content a
Revival in U.S." and elsewhere as well. In his triumphant politically and ideologically reactionary turn to the right.
tours of Mexico, Ireland, the United States, and his native
Poland, the very conservative Pope John Paul II drew After 25 years of trying to follow America's
far greater numbers of people to hear or see him (3 million lead in mass education, many nations are finding
inMexico, 5 million in Poland, and in Ireland one thirdof they have gone too far, too fast, and are trying to
the entire population at a single mass) and elicited a far pull back. The once widely held idea that education
deeper response than conventional politicians of all hues for all would enhance economic progress and serve
put together ever have. Referring to the estimated 150,000 to equalize social classes is being abandoned in
young sect members of "substitute religions" in West much of Europe and the Far East, and in many
Germany, the Frankfurter Rundschau (July 11, 1978) "third world" countries. . . .Even the rapid
Summer 1982/ 15
growth of college and university systems is being by politically right-wing groups. The exploitation and
questioned in many nations. Many educators oppression of women is cemented in the social and economic
... an overeducated
contend and underemployed organization of our society, and most socialist and revolu?
. . . The
graduate population. result has been a
tionary movements have done little or nothing to reduce,
sweeping? and some would say regressive?reform. let alone to eliminate it.Therefore, themore than legitimate
... All these of academic counterrevo?
suggestions formation of women's liberation caucuses in left-wing
lution cause little surprise among American parties and any progressive leadership in the women's
educators (USN, November 8, 1976). movement are only to be welcomed. But almost everywhere
the women's movement seems already to have shed its
In West Germany, "conservative professors celebrated the erstwhile left leadership and increasingly to support the
450th anniversary of the University of Marburg in their political positions and status quo demanded by the right.
own way [with a call for the] return to 'leadership through The many environmental groups, movements,
ecological
the best. . . .' The so far most association of and "green" political parties that are springing up in the
important
professors . . . asked industry for contributions [and] West also represent much legitimate opposition to the
as 'retribution' promised its 8,500 members to help organ? reduced "quality of life" that capital is imposing on the
ize the necessary salvation of the German universities population at large. Even more than the women's movement,
frompolitical alienation and blind fanaticism" (FR, June 27, the ecological movement and the green parties bring to?
1977). Several right-wingparliamentarians, state ministers gether people from a very large range of the political
of education, and others inWest Germany have formed a spectrum from left to right.(Many of them have concluded
"Working Group for a Free Society [which] wants to drive that "left" and "right" have become unidentifiable and/or
political education into the right corner . . . [and] has meaningless.) But even if these social movements and
taken the counter-offensive against all left?and liberal? political parties include many people who are subjectively
enlightening developments in educational guidelines and left, the objective political consequence of their joint action
textbooks" (FR, November 4, 1976). The counteroffensive is likely to be to reinforce the political movement to the
is in full swing at the local and state or district school-board right.They help to divide or otherwise weaken progressive
levels in one country after another. and revolutionary movements and parties on the left,
Another development is "Dwindling Coverage of destroy center-left parliamentary coalitions, and throw the
Foreign News inU.S." (IHT, February 6, 1978) as well as elections in this or that country or region over to the
elsewhere. At the same time, concerted political and parties of the political right.The renewed rise of nationalist
financial attacks from the right are increasing against and regionalist parties may have similar but even more
television programming that is not sufficiently "balanced" far-reaching consequences.
or not exclusively conservative. Programming or entire The renewed spread and intensification of nationalism
networks in Munich, Hamburg, and Paris have suffered and regionalism in the developed countries as well as
such attacks. In short, the political righthas launched a elsewhere in the world could be the subject of a book in
widespread ideological and literally reactionary counter itself. Indeed, many books written by spokesmen of one
offensive all around the industrial capitalist world and the or another of these movements are appearing (in English,
Third World. This worldwide counteroffensive includes the for instance, The Break-Up of Britain: Crisis and Neo
visible reactivation?and now international coordination?of Nationalism by Tom Nairn, 1977, and Scotland 1980:
fascist groups in the United States (Skokie, Illinois, and The Economics of Self Government, edited by Donald
elsewhere), Britain (National Front campaigns against MacKay, 1977). Many of these nationalist and regionalist
"coloureds"), West Germany (the new Hitler wave, local movements have made headlines elsewhere, and they
Nazi demonstrations, exposes of Nazi activities in the are destined to do so increasingly as the crisis deepens in
army), France, Italy, Japan, and elsewhere, which are Scotland and Wales; Euzkadi, Pais Vasco, Cataluna, Anda?
only a glimpse of the tip of the iceberg. lusia, and Galicia in Spain; Flemings and Walloons in
Three increasinglywidespread recent developments on Belgium; Bretagne and Corsica in France; Sardinia in Italy;
the ideological and sociopolitical frontmerit special atten? the Jura in Switzerland; Quebec in Canada; in Cyprus and
tion. They are the women's liberation movement, the elsewhere. Nationalism and regionalism are also becoming
ecological movement, and the revival of nationalist or acute forces of contention in Yugoslavia, Eastern Europe,
regionalist movements. None of these are authoritarian the Soviet Union, China, Vietnam, Kampuchea, elsewhere
per se. On the contrary, each of them, and perhaps the in Southeast Asia, Sri Lanka, various parts of India, the
gay and other movements as well, in its own way contains Middle East, and Africa, in many of which the forces of
an antiauthoritarian response to existing organized exploita? nationalism seem to be mobilizing themasses and preoccu?
tion and/or repression of large sectors of the population, pying the political leadershipmore than the ideological and
which is to be welcomed by progressives and people of political struggle between classes at the regional, national,
goodwill everywhere. All three of thesemovements contain or international levels. Perhaps the accelerated differentia?
important progressive, socialist, and even revolutionary tion of development levels from one region to another,
currents. But at the same time, it is possible to point to an acceleration generated by the economic crisis, is an
strong escapist tendencies in thesemovements and to note important determinant of this nationalist and regionalist
that they seem increasingly to be joined and/or taken over response. But the political implications of the ever more
searching by Marxists and others, fromMarx and Engels tially reactionary interests to divide and conquer popular
to Lenin and Stalin, between 50 and 100 years ago. They movements of resistance to capital as it seeks to confront
faced the dilemma of supporting or opposing popular mass the new crisis of capitalism. The United States playing
movements at a time when many of these nationalist "the Chinese card" in its global poker game with the
movements, especially after 1870, served political ends Soviet Union, the Soviet Union's sudden abandonment
manipulated by themost reactionary and imperialist sectors of Somalia and perhaps of Eritrea in favor of Ethiopia
of the bourgeoisie, as Carlton J.Hayes (1941) showed inhis in its power play against the West and China in Africa,
classic study. To some extent, notably in Germany, this and theVietnamese invasion of Kampuchea and the Chinese
tendency persisted throughmuch of the twentieth century. invasion of Vietnam are suggestive of the divisive and
But with the rise of the anticolonial and national liberation unprogressive uses and consequences of nationalism on the
movements, particularly during and since World War II global level. But the neonationalism and regionalism that
are growing inmany parts of Europe and elsewhere, as well
(except in the socialist countries thatwere liberated from
fascism and where nationalism has often been manipulated as their flowering in China, Vietnam, and Kampuchea,
for reactionary purposes by outside political interests), portend the additional danger that popular resistance to the
nationalism became a cause that Marxists and progressives restructuring of the world economy by capital will be
were able and anxious to support. The present writer and derailed into nationalist protests that are ineffective at best
others like him certainly supported nationalist causes all and literally reactionary at worst. While the crisis of capital
around the globe inwriting and otherwise. Particularly after ism is differentiating the economy and society further and
the war against, and the liberation of, Vietnam and other while some sectors of capital are launching dangerous
parts of Indochina, nationalism retains a deservedly authoritarian counteroffensives, nationalism and regionalism,
large
political capital of goodwill and support throughout the like fundamentalist religion,may seem to offer ideological
world. escapes for many individuals and another safety-valve for
Summer 1982/ 17
may be sacrificedon the altar of nationalism and/or religion. the sort of struggle that has marked the 1970s and
Of course, mystical, spiritualist, and fundamentalist will continue to mark the rest of the 1970s and
the 1980s, just as itmarked the 1920s and 1930s
religious waves; nationalist or regionalist movements;
. . .
individualist escapes into personal neuroses, drugs, and in Europe?has only just begun.
re? The capitalist world will not be able to pass
criminality; as well as other centrifugal ideological
sponses of escape, offer no more of a solution than the from its present phase of general social crisis and
a new
possible instability of multiple political parties, each pull?
economic recession to phase
generalized
of lasting and prolonged expansion except by
ing in its own direction. Therefore, at each criticalmoment
of the growing crisis, at least at the national levels, some first inflicting a crushing defeat on the working
class and by inflicting disasters in the form of
existing or potential political leadership makes increasingly
insistent calls for common sacrifice and self-discipline appalling famines, new bloody dictatorships,
. . .
for the national good. There have already been several and new murderous wars on all humanity.
serious suggestions for the formation of coalition govern? Increasingly, tough tests of strength between
ments of national unity, which would include the broad? capital and labor will occur inmany imperialist
and
est if not the entire parliamentary political spectrum. countries. Pre-revolutionary revolutionary
Some of these proposals have come from the political situations will arise in several of these countries
right,but, significantly, themost insistent
ones have been (Mandel, 1975a: 967-68).
made for their countries by the Communist parties of What is not yet clear, especially in view of the political
has not yet
Italy and Spain. So far, the political situation its organiza?
measures ?that is, experience of labor and the political policies of
ripened for such emergency political on the left reviewed and foreseen
tions and leadership
capital and the righthave not yet found themselves obliged be able
above, iswhether theworking class and its allies will
to or them. But the next economic reces?
accept impose to take of these and revolu?
advantage "pre-revolutionary
sion or another lagging "recovery" from it, or the next a
tionary situations," or whether capital will "inflict
recession after that, may well generate political emer? defeat on the class" and dictator?
crushing working "bloody
gencies in which such governments of national unity may
ships" on us all.
appear as the only or at least the first acceptable political
response. Of course, such governments would inherit and We are still, then, in a situation of extremely
incorporate the ideological preparations made
in themean? unstable and fragile equilibrium. ... In this situa?
time by the political right (and some by the "left"). But if tion, an accident of whatever kind?political,
the crisis persisted or got worse, these emergency govern? social, economic, or fiscal?can set off either a
ments would have to pave the way for more permanent revolutionary explosion,
or a counter-revolution?
economic, social, political, and ideological crisis manage? ary, much more aggressive offensive of the bour?
ment, which could only select and utilize those aspects of geoisie (Mandel, ICP, May 13, 1978).
be incorporated
previously centrifugal responses that could In the face of the inevitable conflicts generated during
into a centripetal and systematic crisismanagement.
another recession and the one after that (in time for 1984?),
The reactionary counteroffensive, like the growth and
of the 1930s, which will itbe?
spread of fascism during theGreat Depression
has its roots and raison d'etre in the deepening economic,
social, political, and ideological crisis of the capitalist
world economy. We can?and I believe must?agree with
Ernest Mandel when he says: ABBREVIATIONS:PERIODICALS
BW Business Week, New York
Under these conditions, the conclusion is one EPA El Pais, Madrid
that we have stressed continually for several FER Far Eastern Economic Review, Hong Kong
FT Financial Times, London
years: The possibility of a new period of acceler?
FR Frankfurter Rundschau, Frankfurt
ated growth of the type that occurred during the
GUA The Guardian, London
1950s and the beginning of the 1960s is, in the HBR Harvard Business Review, Cambridge, Mass.
final analysis, linked to a radical increase in the ICP Intercontinental Press, New York (incorporating
rate of surplus value through a sharp compression Inprecor, Brussels)
of the mass of direct and indirect wages. Only IHT International Herald Tribune, Paris
LM Le Monde, Paris
such a modification could seriously relaunch the LT The Times, London
rate of profit and the rate of self-financed invest? NZZ Neue Z?richer Zeitung, Z?rich
ment by the big monopoly trusts (that is, invest? SA Scientific American, New York
ments that are made without massive resort USN U.S. News and World Report, Washington
Under these conditions, it is clear that a struggle Amin, Samir, Andre Gunder Frank, and Hosea Jaffe
? 1984. Milano: Jaca Book.
for a substantial rise in the rate of surplus value 1975 Qu?le
Summer 1982/ 19