Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
1
MOVING AVERAGE:
NEW COVID HOSPITAL ADMISSIONS
160
140
New Daily
120
COVID
100 Admissions
80 107
60
40 7-Day Moving
Average
20
0
95
4/3/2020
5/3/2020
6/3/2020
7/3/2020
8/3/2020
9/3/2020
10/3/2020
11/3/2020
12/3/2020
1/3/2021
• Includes COVID+ Only 2
MOVING AVERAGE:
TASK FORCE HOSPITALIZATIONS
1000
900
800
Daily Net
700 Hospitalizations
836
600
500
400
300
7-Day Moving
200
Average
100
0
802
4/10/2020
5/10/2020
6/10/2020
7/10/2020
8/10/2020
9/10/2020
10/10/2020
11/10/2020
12/10/2020
• Includes COVID+ Only 3
ST. LOUIS REGION
CONFIRMED COVID+ ONLY
AS OF January 4, 2021
48 8 3
5
TASK FORCE HOSPITAL DISCHARGES
AS OF January 4, 2021
62 14,957
6
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
10/5/2020
10/15/2020
10/25/2020
11/4/2020
11/14/2020
11/24/2020
12/4/2020
12/14/2020
12/24/2020
1/3/2021
TASK FORCE HOSPITAL COVID DEATHS
17
Deaths
17
Average
New Daily
7-Day Moving
7
MOVING AVERAGE:
ADMISSIONS, HOSPITALIZATIONS AND DEATHS
0 0 0
10/7 11/7 12/7 10/7 11/7 12/7
8
Comparison of Models from Dec 17 vs Dec 3
9
Source: St. Louis Metropolitan Task Force UPDATED 12/30
Alternate Models: More Optimistic and Less Optimistic
Scenarios
10
Source: St. Louis Metropolitan Task Force UPDATED 12/30
PROJECTIONS VS ACTUALS:
Inpatient Census for St. Louis MSA Hospitals
11
Source: St. Louis Metropolitan Task Force
PROJECTIONS VS ACTUALS:
ICU Census for St. Louis MSA Hospitals
12
Source: St. Louis Metropolitan Task Force
STL MSA EPIDEMIOLOGY CURVE
13
Source: NY Times UPDATED 12/30/2020
COVID-19 Cases by County/100K
14
Source: NY Times UPDATED 12/30/2020
COVID-19 Cases for MO Metro/100K
16
SOURCE: Based on 7-day average of new cases from the New York Times using EpiEstim with mean serial interval of 4.7 (SD: 2.9) days | UPDATED: 12/30/20
CHANGE IN NEW CASES BY COUNTY
UPDATED: 12/30/20 | SOURCE: NY Times (county map) and County Health Departments (zip code map) 17
CHANGE IN NEW CASES BY ZIP CODE
UPDATED: 12/30/20 | SOURCE: NY Times (county map) and County Health Departments (zip code map) 18
19