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http://www.mathwizz.com/statistics/choosehyp.htm
http://sites.google.com/site/fundamentalstatistics/unit-6-anova-and-advanced-
hypothesis-testing
http://faculty.ksu.edu.sa/69424/EXAM%20324%20frist%2014281429/ex2.pdf
http://cnx.org/content/m11271/latest/
.) a.)A large university provides housing for 10% of their students a survey done shows that 63 out of the
481 who responded will be looking for housing the upcoming year, does this show evidence that they
should buy more housing? If needed use alpha of .05
b.) Of the above survey, 19 students did not respond, if they did, would it have changed the outcome?
Explain.
2.) a.)A company claims to have a average of 2% defective products, a test is taken and determines that
3 out of 100 parts are defective. Determine if this give evidence that the 2% claim is not true.
b.) How large of a sample must be taken in order to get a 90% confidence interval within .1%
Answers:
Let X be the number of success in n independent and identically distributed Bernoulli trials, i.e., X ~
Binomial(n, p)
Assuming that n*p0 > 10 and n * (1-p0) > 10 (some will say the necessary condition here is > 5, I prefer
this more conservative assumption so that the approximations in the tail of the distribution are more
accurate) then
find the test statistic z = (pHat - p0) / sqrt(p0 * (1-p0) / n)
where pHat = X / n
The p-value of the test is the area under the normal curve that is in agreement with thealternate
hypothesis.
H1: p ≠ p0; p-value is the area in the tails greater than |z|
H1: p < p0; p-value is the area to the left of z
H1: p > p0; p-value is the area to the right of z
If the p-value is less than or equal to the significance level α, i.e., p-value ≤ α, then we reject the null
hypothesis and conclude the alternate hypothesis is true. If the p-value is greater than the significance
level, i.e., p-value > α, then we fail to reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the null is plausible.
Note that we can conclude the alternate is true, but we cannot conclude the null is true, only that it is
plausible.
Since the p-value is less than the significance level of 0.05 we reject the null hypothesis and conclude the
alternate hypothesis p > 0.1 is true.
if the 19 who did not respond did and all answered that they did not need housing you'd have:
Since the p-value is less than the significance level of 0.05 we reject the null hypothesis and conclude the
alternate hypothesis p > 0.1 is true.
Let X be the number of success in n independent and identically distributed Bernoulli trials, i.e., X ~
Binomial(n, p)
Assuming that n*p0 > 10 and n * (1-p0) > 10 (some will say the necessary condition here is > 5, I prefer
this more conservative assumption so that the approximations in the tail of the distribution are more
accurate) then
where pHat = X / n
The p-value of the test is the area under the normal curve that is in agreement with the alternate
hypothesis.
H1: p ≠ p0; p-value is the area in the tails greater than |z|
H1: p < p0; p-value is the area to the left of z
H1: p > p0; p-value is the area to the right of z
If the p-value is less than or equal to the significance level α, i.e., p-value ≤ α, then we reject the null
hypothesis and conclude the alternate hypothesis is true. If the p-value is greater than the significance
level, i.e., p-value > α, then we fail to reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the null is plausible.
Note that we can conclude the alternate is true, but we cannot conclude the null is true, only that it is
plausible.
Since the p-value is greater than the significance level of 0.01 we fail to reject the null hypothesis and
conclude p = 0.02 is plausible.
large sample confidence intervals are used to find a region in which we are 100 (1-α)% confident the true
value of the parameter is in the interval.
For large sample confidence intervals for the proportion in this situation you have:
here we are only concerned with the error term and the width w.
we have, w = 0.001
pHat = 0.02 from the above information
z = 1.645 for a 90% CI
n = 53038.09
n must be integer valued. always take the ceiling to make sure you have the correct size for the interval
n = 53039.
[2003] Joe Smith was running for mayor. His campaign manager
estimated that he needed at least 40% of the popular vote in order
to win. A poll of 400 people was taken and 150 indicated they would
vote for Smith.
a) If we use a 10% level of significance, does he have sufficient
support?
b) Construct a 90% confidence interval on the percentage who will
vote for Smith.
H0: p = 0.4
H1: p < 0.4
Because α = 0.1, we reject the null hypothesis if Z < -1.282, where:
Solution part b): The formula for our confidence interval for p is:
So the support for Smith lies between 33.52% and 41.48% based on
the evidence.
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We will reject the null hypothesis for low p-values where p-value =
P(Z < test statistic).
where q = 1 - p. We have:
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H0: µ = 1.2
H1: µ > 1.2
Because of the sample size of 500, we can use Z because of
the Central Limit Theorem. With α = 0.05, we reject the null
hypothesis if Z > 1.645. Our test statistic is:
where
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Solution part a): Our formula for the confidence interval is:
We have:
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E = 1; σ = 5; n = 100