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thinking critically
asking why
evaluating evidence
to come to a conclusion.
The scientific method is a problem-solving approach
which has five basic steps, plus one feedback step:
1. Make an observation.
2. Ask a question.
3. Form a hypothesis, or testable explanation.
4. Make a prediction based on the hypothesis.
5. Test the prediction.
6. Iterate: use the results to make new hypotheses or
predictions.
Model Argument
Significant Theory
Variable
Observation Law
Scientific Method
Process
-The mechanism that is responsible for
that pattern
Germ theory of disease
the theory that certain diseases are caused by the invasion of the body
by microorganisms, organisms too small to be seen except through a
microscope.
Theory
-An explanation for observations or
phenomena that has been supported
through repeated experimental tests
over a long period of time
Law
-A statement that summarises the
relationship between variables but
makes no attempt to explain it.
Newton’s Law of Gravitation
Correlation = Causation
Multiple Working
Hypotheses
-This approach attempts to
hypothesize every rational explanation
for an observation and then fairly
evaluate each
Exploratory Science
After 3 months
How do Scientists test
hypotheses when they
can’t manipulate any
variables?
The term "forecast
model" refers to any
objective tool used to
generate a prediction of
a future event, such as
the state of the
atmosphere. The
National Hurricane
Center (NHC) uses many
models as guidance in
the preparation of official
track and intensity
forecasts.
‘Ground-truthing’
https://origin.www.nhc.noaa.gov/modelsummary.shtml
Initially, little was known about
the virus’s transmissibility, but
that quickly changed. By about
the middle of January,
epidemiologists began reporting
the results of modelling studies,
which indicated that case
numbers were likely to be much
higher than had initially been
documented.
Their models suggested that infections and deaths could be
reduced if people wore face masks and maintained a degree of
distance from one another, and if more people stayed at home.
Model
-A physical/ mathematical/ conceptual
representation of a system of ideas,
events or processes. Scientists use
models to help explain ideas, to test
hypotheses and to make predictions.
‘models’ can be used to test ideas and
processes in ways that may be impossible
to do in the real world.
Science helps us
describe and
understand the
world, then we have
to decide how to use
that knowledge.
• Read class study tool, read your notes and all
the reading in the unit folder
Recognition
• Review the misconceptions and learning
objectives
Comprehension
• Ask yourself questions
Application
• Be careful with other websites
Some think that theories become laws, but theories and laws have separate and distinct
roles in the scientific method. A law is a description of an observed phenomenon in the
natural world that hold true every time it is tested. It doesn't explain why something is
true; it just states that it is true. A theory, on the other hand, explains observations that
are gathered during the scientific process.
"It was only then that scientists, such as T.H. Morgan working with fruit flies, explained
the Law of Independent Assortment using the theory of chromosomal inheritance. Still
today, this is the universally accepted explanation (theory) for Mendel's Law."
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4501050/
Abstract
When scientists want to explain some aspect of nature, they tend to make observations of the
natural world or collect experimental data, and then extract regularities or patterns from these
observations and data, possibly using some form of statistical analysis. Characterizing these
regularities or patterns can help scientists to generate new hypotheses, but statistical correlations
on their own do not constitute understanding. Rather, it is when a mechanistic explanation of the
regularities or patterns is developed from underlying principles, while relying on as few
assumptions as possible, that a theory is born. A scientific theory thus provides a unifying
framework that can explain a large class of empirical data. A scientific theory is also capable of
making predictions that can be tested experimentally. Moreover, a theory can be refined in the
light of new experimental data, and then be used to make new predictions, which can also be
tested: over time this cycle of prediction, testing and refinement should result in a more robust
and quantitative theory. Thus, the union of empirical and quantitative theoretical work should be
a hallmark of any scientific discipline.
“Science is cumulative. It builds steadily toward progress, and that’s
been my answer to despair during this last year. I can look back over my
life and see a degree of advancement that’s staggering.”