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Power Crisis in Bangladesh and Privatization in the Sector

of Power Generation as a Consequence

Md. Rajibul Islam Second Author


Department of Electrical & Electronic Zobayer Abdullah Khizir
Engineering Department of Electrical & Electronic
Bangladesh University of Engineering & Engineering
Technology Bangladesh University of Engineering &
Dhaka-1000, Bangladesh. Technology
Email: rajib106@yahoo.com Dhaka-1000, Bangladesh.
Email: kzr122@yahoo.com
Third Author
Dipen Sarkar
Department of Electrical & Electronic
Engineering
Bangladesh University of Engineering &
Technology
Dhaka-1000, Bangladesh.
Email: dipen_sarkar@yahoo.com

ABSTRACT service sector. Thus, in the sector of agriculture,


industry, health and education electrification is severely
According to the power sector growth in Bangladesh, the needed.
country needs 450 MW power each year to meet the
growing demands. Previously, all the power plants of Electrification brings indirect benefits to the unemployed
this third world country were in public sector. But all people. When industrial and commercial units flourish, it
must bear in mind that the building of this particular becomes the centre of attraction for the people of
infrastructure require large amount of capital and is neighboring non-electrified places. There are numerous
encountering increasing difficulties to finance the examples of residents of non-electrified villages having
required capacity either through the government budget shops in electrified markets in a third world country like
or even by the international development agencies and Bangladesh. Electrification gives people more scope to
financing organizations. But the Government of work and earn in both urban and rural areas.
Bangladesh (GOB) is unable to provide the finance to For the economic emancipation and in order to meet the
install new power plants according to the growing Millennium Development Goals necessary steps should
demand. That’s why in the year 1996 Government of be taken to meet the electricity demand. That’s why
Bangladesh decided to build power plants in private government decided to build power plants in private
sector. Instead of taking this step now the country is sector by the Independent Power Producers (IPP). Also
facing severe power crisis. This paper discusses the the government published a policy named “Private
problems to privatize power generation sector and Sector Power Generation Policy of Bangladesh”. And
prospects of private sector power plants. Necessary everyday 25%-30% of total electricity is being produced
recommendations will also be given in this paper for the by these Independent Power Producers (IPP).
benefit of the power sector of the country.
In summer, 2006 (this year) during pick hour the daily
1. INTRODUCTION electricity demand of the country was almost 4500 MW.
On the other hand the average production was in
Electricity, in the modern century, is the most important between 2500 MW -3000MW. The reason is that
infrastructure which contributes the most for the government is neither able to provide the finance to
economic development of a nation. For a developing install new power plants nor able to give license to new
country like Bangladesh whose per capita electricity Independent Power Producers (IPP). Now the question
consumption (130Kwh/160Kwh per annum) being can arise that why the government is not able to give
among the lowest in the neighboring least developed new license to install new power plant in private sector.
nations amply reflect the economic index of the country.
2. OBSTACLES IN PRIVATIZATION
Electricity has contributed largely in generating
resources, employment and income. Electricity The government can’t give frequent license to the
contributed this process by generating additional promoters in the private sector due to the following
employment in agriculture, generating income from new reasons.
industry, expansion of business and developing the
2.1. BAD LOAD MANAGEMENT during any socio-political instability government is
bound to pay them because they will have to recover the
According to the agreement, government is bound to buy investment cost and make profit within fifteen years.
electricity continuously from the private power
producers. Maximum companies are not stipulated by no Now, if they keep the power plant closed at any normal
electricity no payment system. So, if there is no need of time with a lame excuse nothing can be done by the
electricity the government is bound to buy electricity government and government is bound to pay them.
from the independent power producers. And the rate of
cost of power also increases when the power factor 2.3. FOREIGN CURRENCY RESERVE LIMITATION
decreases. That’s why the government faces a huge loss
during the off-peak hours. Most of the investors in the power sector are foreign
investor. As in the developing countries like us as the
supply of foreign currency is not sufficient, always
4500 money devaluates and as the demand of local currency is
4000
not enough the foreign investors are disagreed to take
Demand in MW

3500
3000 payment in local currency.
2500
2000 That’s why the government has to pay them from the
1500
1000
earning reserve of the country which is a great burden on
500 the economy of a third world country.
0
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 Besides, when local currency devaluates the government
Hour has to pay extra loss.

3. PROSPECT OF INDEPENDENT POWER


Figure 1: A typical daily load curve PRODUCERS
From a typical daily load curve given below we can see Because of the demand of electricity in the country and
that very pronounced lightening peak occur in the the inability of the government to install new power
evening and maximum load shading in the country occur plants according to the demand, the Independent power
at that time. Minimum load is about 40% to 55% of peak producers have a good prospect in Bangladesh.
demand depending upon seasonal variation. During the
Jumma prayer (Muslim’s weekly prayer) on Friday Besides, they have created some employment
(weekend) the demand declines more. So, the demand opportunities which are also helpful for economic
can be met by the installed capacity during off-peak development.
hour. But the government is bound to buy electricity
from the private power producers during off-peak hours According to the Hirschman’s unbalanced growth
also. theory, investment should be made in selected sectors
rather than simultaneously all sectors of the economy.
From the entrepreneur’s view it is not possible to shut So, we have to encourage Independent Power Producers
down the plant during off-peak hours. Small power (IPP) for the development of the country though it
plants can be shut on and off according to the demand creates pressure on the foreign currency reserve.
curve, but the large power plants cannot handle this Because, the development of the power sector will
variation in demand, resulting in huge inefficiency. encourage the development of the other sectors. But for
According to the Bangladesh Power Development Board these developments the government should take the
(BPDB) sources, only 35 MW of electricity from the 110 correct policy and the socio-political condition of the
MW capacities of KPCL (an independent power country should be improved.
producer) was utilised at 7:00 o’clock in the morning
(off-peak time) on a particular day (16th April, 2006). 4. RECOMMENDATIONS TO OVERCOME THE
OBSTACLES IN PRIVATIZATION
We know, Load factor= Lavg / Lmax ; where Lavg= average
load for a period and Lmax= peak load for that period. For Necessary recommendations are given below.
economic reasons, it is desirable to have high load
factor, as this would permit better utilization of plant 4.1. RECOMMENDATIONS TO IMPROVE LOAD
capacity. MANAGEMENT CONDITION
So, if the differences of power demand between peak
Differentiated rate should be maintained for peak and
hour and off-peak hour can be reduced, the government
off-peak consumption.
will not have to face the loss as described above.
Optimum use of electricity should be confirmed. Proper
2.2. PROBABILITY OF LOSS DUE TO LIMITATION IN accounting must be ensured of all the units of electricity
AGREEMENT in every stage that is production in the power station,
stepping up and transfer to the grid sub-station,
Another problem according to the agreement between transmitting to different grid sub-stations, stepping down
the government and the private power producers is that if and transfer to the different substations throughout the
the investors keep the plant closed during war time or country, transfer to distribution lines and distribution
transformers and finally to the end use consumers. Any Using the power generated from private sector more
kind of electricity leakage at any stage must be industries should be established and infrastructures
minimized. should be developed so that the country can earn more
foreign currency by exporting the goods to foreign
Attempt can be taken to apply two part tariff, by which countries.
consumers of certain categories will be billed at higher
rate for their consumption during peak hours, which will Necessary policies should be approved to create the
motivate them to use less electricity at peak hours and confidence in local currency.
more electricity during off-peak hours.
5. CONCLUSIONS
Advertising signboards which use search lights, neon
bulbs, motors etc. consume huge amount of power must Finally, the power crisis is increasing in Bangladesh with
be prohibited during peak hour. the growing demand. But new power plants are not
being installed to meet the growing demand. For the
Illumination for dressing and decorating markets during
benefit of the country the government should take
peak hour must be prohibited.
necessary steps to install new power plants. Otherwise,
Beside the off day of the week, every market in the city the development process of the country will be
area may be closed after 18:00 o’clock for any three obstructed.
days of the week.
6. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
Captive power generation should be encouraged in large
industries to use it during peak hour. But they will have The authors are grateful to Engineer Delwar Hossain,
to be ensured uninterrupted power supply during off- Engineer Mostafa Kamal and Engineer Fazlul Hoque of
peak hours. Bangladesh Power Development Board (BPDB) for
providing information and former Asian Development
Industries, especially the garment industries located in Bank (ADB) employee Anirban Bhoumik for helpful
the city centres can reschedule their operating hours discussion.
outside the peak hours. Welding works, operation of arc
furnaces and other heavy load consuming plants may
remain closed during peak hours and may be opened
REFERENCES
during off-peak hours. [1] Vopat and Skrotzki, “Power Station
Engineering And Economy,” Tata McGraw-
Consciousness of cultivators should be increased to close
Hill Edition1972, McGraw-Hill book company,
irrigation pumps during peak hours.
Inc.1960, Chapter 30, pp580-596, 1972.
Domestic consumers can grow their habit of not using [2] Abul Barkat, “Impact study on rural
unnecessary lightings, water pumps, iron and air electrification project – mechanism of poverty
conditions etc. during the peak hour. alleviation,” Presented to Bangladesh Rural
Electrification Board, 2003.
Small power plants should be encouraged which can be
turned on and shut down instantly at any time. [3] BPDB, “Annual Report 2004-2005,”
Bangladesh Power Development Board, 2005.
4.2. RECOMMENDATIONS TO SOLVE FOREIGN [4] BBS, “Private Sector Power Generation Policy
CURRENCY PROBLEM of Bangladesh,” Bangladesh Bureau of
statistics, Dhaka, 1996.
Local promoters should be encouraged to establish small
power plant in different suitable area of the country and [5] M L Jhingan, “The Economics of Development
they should be given opportunities and facilities for this. & Planning,” 33rd Edition, Konarch publishers
Thus, the profit will not go to abroad as foreign pvt. Limited, Chapter 22, pp187-197, 2003.
currency. [6] Mohammad Alam, “Trade And Financial
Liberalization in Bangladesh,” 1st Edition, Desh
The politicians should be aware about the socio-political publishers, Dhaka, pp80-100, 2000.
reliability of the country to the foreigners so that World
Bank (WB) and Asian Development Bank (ADB) issue
loans to our local promoters.

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