UBL 100

No of experts % 0f experts Expected price Ri

20 0.2 99.8 -0.002
30 0.3 99.7 -0.003
15 0.15 99.85 -0.0015
10 0.1 99.9 -0.001
25 0.25 99.75 -0.0025
13 0.13 99.87 -0.0013
17 0.17 99.83 -0.0017
24 0.24 99.76 -0.0024
26 0.26 99.74 -0.0026
12 0.12 99.88 -0.0012
8 0.08 99.92 -0.0008
2 0.02 99.98 -0.0002
13 0.13 99.87 -0.0013
14 0.14 99.86 -0.0014
16 0.16 99.84 -0.0016
40 0.4 99.6 -0.004
45 0.45 99.55 -0.0045
32 0.32 99.68 -0.0032
23 0.23 99.77 -0.0023
21 0.21 99.79 -0.0021
32 0.32 99.68 -0.0032
22 0.22 99.78 -0.0022
11 0.11 99.89 -0.0011
19 0.19 99.81 -0.0019
10 0.1 99.9 -0.001
500 5 -0.002
Pi Pi*Ri Ri-R− (Ri-R−)2
0.04 -0.0000800 0.0000000 0.0000000
0.06 -0.0001800 -0.0030000 0.0000090
0.03 -0.0000450 -0.0015000 0.0000023
0.02 -0.0000200 -0.0010000 0.0000010
0.05 -0.0001250 -0.0025000 0.0000062
0.026 -0.0000338 -0.0013000 0.0000017
0.034 -0.0000578 -0.0017000 0.0000029
0.048 -0.0001152 -0.0024000 0.0000058
0.052 -0.0001352 -0.0026000 0.0000068
0.024 -0.0000288 -0.0012000 0.0000014
0.016 -0.0000128 -0.0008000 0.0000006
0.004 -0.0000008 -0.0002000 0.0000000
0.026 -0.0000338 -0.0013000 0.0000017
0.028 -0.0000392 -0.0014000 0.0000020
0.032 -0.0000512 -0.0016000 0.0000026
0.08 -0.0003200 -0.0040000 0.0000160
0.09 -0.0004050 -0.0045000 0.0000203
0.064 -0.0002048 -0.0032000 0.0000102
0.046 -0.0001058 -0.0023000 0.0000053
0.042 -0.0000882 -0.0021000 0.0000044
0.064 -0.0002048 -0.0032000 0.0000102
0.044 -0.0000968 -0.0022000 0.0000048
0.022 -0.0000242 -0.0011000 0.0000012
0.038 -0.0000722 -0.0019000 0.0000036
0.02 -0.0000200 -0.0010000 0.0000010
Pi(Ri-R−)2
0.0000000
0.0000005
0.0000001
0.0000000
0.0000003
0.0000000
0.0000001
0.0000003
0.0000004
0.0000000
0.0000000
0.0000000
0.0000000
0.0000001
0.0000001
0.0000013
0.0000018
0.0000007
0.0000002
0.0000002
0.0000007
0.0000002
0.0000000
0.0000001
0.0000000
0.0000072