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Weekly E-Newsleeter | Week 31th of 2010

Terminated negotiations leads company to go it alone


Gamesa’s Board of Directors has resolved to end the company’s negotiations with
Germany’s Bard and to roll out Gamesa’s strategy for the offshore wind market in
the short and medium term using in-house resources. Gamesa and Bard began talks at the end of
February with the goal of combining potential synergies from the activities of a world leader in the
design and manufacture of wind turbines – a company with a global commercial presence
and a supplier to major electricity firms – with those of a pioneer in the offshore wind
industry. However, during the course of negotiations and detailed study of the potential transaction
both parts have found a significant discrepancy in the terms of the deal. To play a significant role in
the offshore wind market, the board’s decision does not affect the offshore strategy
Gamesa designed in October 2009, through which the company aims to play a significant role in
this market in the medium and long term. Its offshore strategy is geared towards ensuring that
Gamesa capitalises on demand in the Northern European market, specifically the United Kingdom,
beginning in 2015. Using its multi-megawatt turbine technology (which has already been tailored
for the G10X-4.5 MW system) and addressing its customers’ needs, Gamesa is currently at
work to develop two families of offshore wind turbines. Pre-series of these turbines, which will each
have capacity of either 5 MW or 6/7 MW, are slated for launch in 2013 and 2015, respectively.Both
systems address the key concerns currently dominating the market: the efficiency of civil
engineering (the No. 1 cost component of investment in offshore wind), wind turbine reliability, grid
code compliance, low maintenance needs and minimising the cost of electricity generation.

Fuel-Flexible gas turbines selected to help meet growing demand


GE will supply fuel-flexible gas turbine technology for the Kenitra Power Plant, which will help the
Office National de l’Electricité (ONE) of Morocco meet an increasing demand for electricity
to support the country’s strong economic and industrial growth. GE and its consortium
partner, Cegelec SAS of France, have received a contract totaling more than €200 million for
the project, which will feature three GE Frame 9E gas turbines that offer the flexibility to burn heavy
fuel oil, with distillate as a backup. The new, 300-megawatt power plant will be located in the
harbor of Kenitra, which is 40 kilometers north of Rabat, the capital city of Morocco. The project is
part of the Moroccan government’s plan to develop and modernize the nation’s
harbors, to help support economic growth. The plan calls for commercial traffic in Morocco’s
harbors to increase more than threefold between 2010 and 2030. "Morocco’s electricity
consumption is increasing by 6-8% a year," said Fouad El Kaouri, Director for realization of
engineering and production projects of ONE. "In addition to helping to meet this demand, the new
power plant is a key to the expansion and modernization of the port of Kenitra, part of the overall
plan to upgrade six strategic harbors throughout the country. The expansion of the Kenitra harbor
will support the exportation of products from Gharb, a key agricultural region of Morocco." The

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Kenitra project marks the second time ONE has selected GE’s Frame 9E gas turbines;
three similar machines were supplied three years ago for the Mohammedia project, which also
uses heavy fuel oil. "We are very pleased to again have the opportunity to provide technology that
will help meet Morocco’s need for reliable power to support its strong economic growth,"
said Ricardo Cordoba, GE Energy President – Western Europe & North Africa. "With their
quick installation times and their capability to burn a variety of fuels including heavy fuel oil, our 9E
gas turbines are an excellent fit for ONE’s projects." The 9E gas turbine is the workhorse of
GE's 50-Hertz fleet. With more than 450 units installed, the fleet has accumulated over 22 million
hours of utility and industrial service worldwide. With its flexible fuel handling capabilities, the 9E
accommodates a wide range of fuels including natural gas, light and heavy distillate oil, naphtha,
crude and residual oil. The Kenitra 9E gas turbines will be produced at GE Energy’s Belfort
facilities in France. ONE is a state-owned company. With more than four million customers, its
mission is to satisfy electricity demand in Morocco including production, transportation and
distribution.

162 kW solar photovoltaic installation on a historic industrial building


Just 5 weeks from receipt of the order from ETTLIN Immobilien, Parity Solar has successfully
commissioned a state-of-the-art 162 kW solar system in the historical Albtal industrial park in
Ettlingen, Germany. Building owners, ETTLIN Immobilien, are intent on developing a commercial
environment that respects the rural surroundings. The generation of electricity using natural
sunlight seemed an obvious step. This latest Parity Solar installation alone will save around 150
tonnes of CO2 from entering the earth’s atmosphere each year. Covering a flat rooftop of
1150 m2, the so-called "Envelope Hall" development comprises 900 modules from CETC 48th
Institute in China, mounted on a ballast system to avoid impact to the roof. The electricity
generated is converted from DC to AC by four central inverters manufactured by the German
company, REFU Elektronik. Parity Solar has long term supply agreements with a variety of
component manufacturers. President, Alexander Gramm, explains how important it is to have this
flexibility. "With access to a wide variety of world class inverters, mounting systems and other
components, we are able to optimise every system we design, ensuring maximum output and the
best possible financial returns." Facilities Manager with ETTLIN Immobilien, Norbert Ochs, was
clearly happy with the way the project was managed as Parity Solar has already been asked to
work on another of his projects in Berlin.

PV inverter market grew 17.4% in 2009 to $2.8 billion according to IMS


research
2009 was a record year for the PV inverter market, with shipments of 8.3 GW generating $2.8
billion, according to IMS Research’s latest report on the global solar inverter market. IMS
Research’s recently published report ‘The World Market for PV Inverters -
2010’ has revealed that huge demand for PV inverters, fuelled by uncertainty around
several European countries incentive schemes led to more than 1 million inverters being shipped
for the first time in 2009. This 35% increase in shipments was primarily driven by Germany which
consumed over 4.2 GW of inverters and generated revenues of $1.4 billion. IMS Research analyst

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Tom Haddon commented "Several European markets recorded growth above all expectations
including Germany, Italy and Czech Republic in 2009. These three markets combined generated
close to $2 billion in 2009 (€1.5 billion) and are predicted to continue to drive high growth for
the PV inverter market in 2010." Haddon added "high demand was seen for almost every inverter
type and size, with single-phase inverters contributing most to the industry’s growth in 2009.
However we expect this to change in 2010". Strong demand is projected to characterize the PV
industry in 2010 as uncertainty regarding incentives continues. IMS Research’s analysis of
the PV industry has produced a projected market size of 14.6 GW in 2010. However, growth of
almost 70% per year is unlikely to be sustainable in the long term. It is forecast that in 2011 new
installations will be roughly the same and as such PV inverter revenues will grow to around $4.5
billion. IMS Research also found that SMA Solar Technology retained its position as the
world’s largest solar inverter supplier, with a market share of more than 37%; however, due
to extreme shortages and supply issues, IMS Research predicts many inverter suppliers are in a
position to both gain and lose major market share in 2010.

Small and medium-scale solar thermal power stations: the new "Multi-
Talents
In the near term, such power stations can make an important contribution to a sustainable energy
supply.Concentrating collectors generate heat at temperatures up to 400 degrees Celsius which
can be used in many ways: electricity, cooling and industrial process heat. Further information can
be obtained at: http://www.mss-csp.info. Large solar thermal power plants of over 20 MW have
been recognized for a long time as a cost-effective way to produce electricity using solar energy.
The large systems, however, require detailed planning and licensing procedures. "Small is beautiful
– and most of all fast," remarks Dr. Werner J. Platzer, Department Head at Fraunhofer ISE.
"Systems ranging from 20 kW up to 2 MW can be more easily realized and they offer greater
possibilities: the local heat or cooling demand can be combined with electricity production. This
increases the profitability and facilitates the financing." Small and medium-scale solar thermal
power stations consist of two basic parts. For one, there is a collector field of e.g. concentrating
parabolic mirrors or linear concentrating Fresnel collectors which collect the solar energy. The
other part, which consists in converting the collected solar energy, can have many forms. It can be
a thermal power unit, e.g. a steam turbine for generating electricity or an absorption chiller to
provide cooling. Also, the generated thermal energy can be directly utilized in the form of process
steam. Within a BMU project, Fraunhofer ISE investigated the potential of small and medium-scale
solar thermal power stations. According to Platzer, "For regional applications, the technology is
economical where there is a large fraction of direct sunlight. This applies, for example, to the
Mediterranean and the more southerly regions. For off-grid applications or for applications where
the provision from the grid is unreliable, this technology is more cost-effective than employing a
diesel generator. Air-conditioning could also be an important application. Over 40 million new air-
conditioning units are sold worldwide annually and the tendency is increasing. Up to now, this
potential application has not been used because market-ready products and demonstration
projects that serve as role models are still needed." Among experts, this technology is called by the
acronym "MSS-CSP" – Medium and Small Scale Concentrating Solar Power.

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Weekly E-Newsleeter | Week 31th of 2010

Cloudy horizon ahead for solar module market in 2011


from Q4’10 and that shipments will decline by close to 10% quarter-on-quarter in
Q1’11. IMS Research predicts the first quarter of 2011 will be very different to the first
quarter of 2010 when speculation of additional cuts to incentive schemes drove unusually high
demand in Europe and prompted extensive production capacity expansions across the globe.
Research Analyst, Sam Wilkinson commented, "We predict the return of classic seasonal
installation patterns and forecast that completed installations will decrease by nearly 40% in
Q1’11 versus Q4’10. This fall in demand for installations after 31st December 2010,
combined with huge capacity expansions certainly poses some problems for the market. We
predict a sharp slowdown in module shipments from Q4’10 and PV module prices are
forecast to decline once again during the first half of 2011." IMS Research predicts that PV module
prices will decline by 8% in Q1’11. According to IMS Research, after declining by an
average of 10% each quarter in 2009, high demand resulted in relatively small price decreases
from Q4’09 to Q1’10. Factory-gate prices of crystalline modules fell just 2% in Euros
between the two quarters, despite the German FIT reducing by 9 to 11% as planned at the end of
the year. In Q2’10, average crystalline module prices are estimated to have increased by
1% in Euros over the previous quarter. By the end of the year, prices are forecast to fall just 1%
from their levels in the final quarter of 2009.

Making grids even smarter


Siemens Energy has acquired Quick Stab from SCS Info Tech in New York, a software package
used to prevent blackouts in power supply grids, thus expanding its portfolio by a further key
component for setting up smart grids. This software is already in use among utilities in Asia and
Europe, Latin America and the USA. Quick Stab can not only be used to enhance the stability of
grids, but also provides for permanent monitoring, warning the control center when a power failure
seems imminent on account of changes to grid utilization and flow of power within the grid.
Operating power supply grids without being familiar with their defined stability limits is always a
risky matter. These limits shift continuously during operation, brought about by the changing load
on the grid. The first step in avoiding blackouts is to render the grid operator capable of rapidly
determining at any time how far the power supply grid actually is from a state of voltage instability
or disconnection of power plant generators from the grid. The Spectrum Power grid control system,
which Siemens has been providing for some time now with the blackout prevention software from
SCS Info Tech, supports the grid operator in this endeavor. "Our experience with Quick Stab and
that of our customers was so positive all along the line that we decided to acquire this software
instead of continuing to integrate it into our system as a third-party product. This adds a further vital
component to our existing, extensive smart grid portfolio," said Ralf Christian, CEO of the Power
Distribution Division within Siemens Energy. Acquisition of this blackout prevention software from
SCS now allows Siemens to offer utilities a complete package of real-time and off-line grid analysis
and stability applications. Siemens will also be responsible, starting immediately, for worldwide
sales and further development of the software. Energy-efficient, eco-friendly solutions for setting up
smart grids are part of Siemens’ Environmental Portfolio. In fiscal 2009, revenue from the
Portfolio totaled about EUR23 billion, making Siemens the world’s largest supplier of eco-
friendly technologies. In the same period, the company’s products and solutions enabled
customers to reduce their CO2 emissions by 210 million tons. This amount equals the combined
annual CO2 emissions of New York, Tokyo, London and Berlin.

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Platts Report: China's oil demand in June hits new high, up 10% from
year ago
China's apparent oil demand in June hits yet another record high, at 36.74 million metric tons (mt)
or about 8.98 million barrels per day (b/d), according to the just released Platts analysis of official
data from the People’s Republic of China. The June demand figure is up 10% from a year
ago and it eclipses the previous high of 36.48 million mt established in May 2010 by 0.7%.
China’s net oil product imports this June rebounded from recent lows, even as Chinese
refiners maintained high crude throughput in their plants, the analysis shows. Meanwhile, China's
apparent oil demand in the first half of 2010 jumped 13% to 210.81 million mt from the
corresponding period of 2009, Platts reports. The January-June average was 8.54 million
b/d.Chinese refiners in June processed a total 35.35 million mt of crude oil, or an average 8.64
million b/d, according to data recently released by China’s National Bureau of Statistics.
Thus, crude throughput is up 11% from a year ago, but is down 1.2% from the historic high of
35.79 million mt in May 2010. "The recent gradual appreciation of the renminbi versus the U.S.
dollar makes Chinese imports of refined products relatively cheaper and exports relatively less
attractive," said Vandana Hari, Platts’ Asia editorial director. "But it remains to be seen
whether the June climb in net oil product imports represents the start of a trend." "Chinese oil
demand growth is being led by sizable increases in production and consumption of naphtha
– a feedstock for petrochemicals – and of jet fuel/kerosene and gasoil," Hari said.
"The rise in gasoline consumption is trailing well behind these products, a somewhat puzzling
phenomenon in the face of runaway growth in the country's car sales," she notes. "This seeming
anomaly, and the continued lack of reliable official data on demand and oil stocks from China, is
once again prompting some unease, with the International Energy Agency earlier this month
suggesting that either implied Chinese oil demand data for previous years is inaccurate, or the
country's gross domestic product numbers inflated," Hari explains. China's net refined oil product
imports rebounded to 1.39 million mt in June from 0.69 million mt in May. But compared to a year
ago, net refined oil product imports were down 2.8%. For the January-June 2010 period, Chinese
imports of refined products totaled 19.86 million mt, down nearly 10% from a year ago. Meanwhile,
product exports were 14.77 million mt for the January-June 2010 period, marking a 35% increase
from the year-ago period. China’s crude imports in the first semester of 2010 were up 30%
from a year ago to 117.96 million mt.Monthly trade data in million metric tones: Ju
Chg May'10 Apr'10 Mar'10 Feb'10 Net crude imports 22.14 16.31 35.74 17.65 20
Crude production 16.88 15.71 7.45 17.16 16.26 16.91 15.11 Apparent demand*
36.48 35.42 35.25 33.28*Platts calculates China's apparent or implied or apparent oil demand
the basis of crude throughput volumes at the domestic refineries and net oil product imports, as
reported by the National Bureau of Statistics and Chinese customs. The government releases data
on imports, exports, domestic crude production and refinery throughput data, but does not give
official data on the country's actual oil consumption figure and oil stockpiles. Official statistics on oil
storage are released intermittently.

CSP Today award winner announced

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At the CSP Awards Ceremony held at the fourth annual Concentrated Solar Power (CSP) Summit
in San Francisco, USA, organized by CSP Today, Siemens Energy won the award for CSP
Competitiveness. Two key innovations were the decisive factors: improved solar field optical
efficiency, thanks to the new UVAC 2010 solar receiver, and the use of industrialized
manufacturing techniques to support the construction of solar fields for parabolic trough power
plants. "This award underscores our leadership position in CSP technology," said Avi Brennmiller,
CEO of Siemens Energy’s Solar Thermal Power Business Unit. "The cost of building solar-
thermal power plants can be reduced thanks to our optimized construction processes. In addition,
high-efficiency solar receivers increase the quantity of solar energy absorbed, and hence overall
energy efficiency. We are thus making an important contribution to increasing the competitiveness
of concentrated solar power." CSP Today, sponsor of the awards, is an independent company
providing news and information about the concentrated solar power industry. Finalists in each
category were chosen by a jury of industry experts, and the winners were decided through a vote
by more than 500 delegates at the conference in San Francisco.Siemens is now able to supply
– from a single source – modular solar fields whose components are manufactured
using automated industrial processes. Extensive and valuable experience gained in the
construction of the solar field at Lebrija, approximately 60 kilometers (38 miles) south of Seville,
Spain, can be leveraged for future projects. It is now possible, for example, to assemble a collector
in just 15 minutes. The solar field at the 50-megawatt Lebrija power plant measures over 400,000
square meters of mirrors which are installed on 6,048 collectors with 28 individual mirrors per each
collector. The plant is capable of supplying electricity up to 50 percent more efficiently than the
solar fields erected in the Mojave Desert during the 1980s. Solar receivers also have a
considerable influence on the overall efficiency of a parabolic trough power plant. Siemens’
latest solar receiver, the UVAC 2010, offers high solar energy absorption capability as well as low
emissivity (heat loss) and an increased effective surface area. The Siemens high-tech coatings
minimize heat loss, thereby increasing efficiency, while the larger effective surface area allows
greater insolation and thus increases the quantity of solar energy absorbed. These features
improve the optical performance of a solar field, and hence increase the entire plant’s
economic efficiency.

Offshore wind heads for record year


Those 118 turbines have a capacity of 333 MW – well over half the 577 MW installed
offshore last year - showing continuing strong growth in offshore wind power despite the financial
crisis. In addition, 151 turbines (440 MW) were installed but not yet connected to the grid, EWEA
revealed today. Overall 16 offshore wind farms totalling 3,972 MW were under construction. Of
these, four became fully operational: Poseidon in Denmark, Alpha Ventus in Germany, Gunfleet
Sands and Robin Rigg in the UK. To date in Europe there are 948 offshore wind turbines in 43 fully
operational offshore wind farms, with a total capacity of 2,396 MW. Among the developers, E.ON
Climate and Renewables developed 64% of the offshore capacity grid connected during the first
half of 2010, followed by DONG (21%) and Vattenfall (11%). Among the manufacturers, Siemens
accounted for 55% of the offshore capacity grid connected during the first half of 2010, Vestas 36%
and REpower 30.9%. "Despite the financial crisis, offshore wind continues to be a major growth
industry", said Justin Wilkes, Director of Policy at EWEA. "The number of offshore wind turbines
connected to the grid in the first half of this year is well over half the total amount installed all last
year and I am confident we are heading for a record year. "There is no doubt this burgeoning
industry is being held back by a lack of finance. Projects led by utilities are less affected thanks to
their ability to fund investments from their balance sheets, but independent developers are severely

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constrained. Loans from public institutions such as the European Investment Bank are crucial and
have already helped a number of projects, and this support must be extended further." "Europe is a
world leader in offshore wind energy, and continuing growth – and the availability of finance -
is essential for European jobs and competitiveness as well as for reducing CO² emissions."

China wind energy market breaks all records


Wind energy is a real boom industry – especially in China. The world’s wind
capacity in 2009 grew by 37.5 GW, or 31%. That brings cumulative global installations up to 157.9
GW, according to the Global Wind 2009 Report of the Global Wind Energy Council (GWEC). Of
this total, 13 GW of new wind power capacity were added in China, compared to 10 GW in
Europe and 9.9 GW in the United States. This impressive achievement turned China into the
world’s largest wind market in 2009. Furthermore, from 2005 onwards China has doubled
its wind power capacity each year, more than doubling in 2009 from 12.1 GW to 25.1 GW. Danish
wind industry research firm MAKE Consulting expects China to increase its total grid-connected
wind capacity to approximately 130 GW by the end of 2015. The exhibitors at Husum WindEnergy
2010 who are active in China can therefore expect special interest of trade visitors in their
products, projects and services. A number of delegations from China are expected to attend this
leading trade fair of the wind energy industry, to be held in Husum from 21 to 25 September. By
2017 China may have the world's largest cumulative wind capacity, said GWEC’s
spokeswoman Angelika Pullen, prior to the upcoming Husum WindEnergy 2010. "The China
Meteorological Administration has estimated that China enjoys 253,000 MW onshore wind power
potential and 750,000 MW offshore. There are 30 turbine producers and 40 suppliers in China,"
she added. "The country has also substantially boosted its electrical infrastructure capacity. Lack
of grid connections often meant that it took up to six months or more until new wind farms could
actually go online. Today, it takes only 1 or 2 months." There are now three Chinese companies
among the Top 10 list of the world’s largest wind turbine suppliers. Husum exhibitor
Sinovel is China’s largest and the world’s third-largest wind turbine manufacturer
based on its market share in 2009. In 2009, Sinovel shipped approximately 2,400 of its 1.5 MW
wind turbines and approximately 100 of it 3 MW wind turbines (branded SL3000). Sinovel is also
developing an even larger offshore wind turbine model in the 5 MW power rating range which, like
the SL3000, is a cooperation project with US-based wind technology developer/supplier and
Husum exhibitor AMSC Windtec. Goldwind Science & Technology ranked fifth in the 2009 Top 10.
It successfully manufactures 1.2 MW and 1.5 MW sister direct-drive turbine models originally
developed by Vensys Energy of Germany. Goldwind owns 70% of Vensys share capital and both
partners have installed prototypes of a more powerful 2.5 MW Vensys 90/100 model series in their
respective countries. Dongfang, a Chinese company, became the world’s seventh largest
wind turbine supplier in 2009. Another core activity of Dongfang is the manufacture of advanced
permanent magnet type wind turbine generators for Husum exhibitor The Switch of Finland.
European wind turbine suppliers with manufacturing facilities in China include Emergya Wind
Power, a Netherlands based company which is already manufacturing a 900 kW direct drive
turbine model in China, and will soon be producing a new 2 MW model there. Another example of
this kind of cooperation is Avantis Energy of Germany, which has signed a first wind turbine
manufacturing partnership agreement with Yinhe Avantis Wind Power Co. Ltd of Southern China.
Chinese companies are increasingly active in the world market, offering a wide range of
components to the global wind industry, ranging from castings, bearings and generators, to
complete sub-assemblies. The German subsidiary of Zhejiang Jiali Technology Development &
Research and its Wuppertal based business partner beotechnic GmbH represent Hangzhou

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Sound Foundry Co., LTD of China, based in Xiaoshan/Hangzhou, about 200 km from Shanghai.
Yantai Shougang Magnetic Materials Inc. is a leading rare earth magnet supplier with an annual
manufacturing capacity of 300 tonnes. These NdFeB-based magnet materials are in high demand
for a range of high-tech applications, including wind turbine generators. Many large European and
US-based wind turbine suppliers now have a manufacturing presence in China, including Husum
exhibitors Nordex and Siemens Wind Power of Germany, Vestas of Denmark, Gamesa of Spain,
and US-based GE Energy. Nordex has received several substantial orders from China since the
autumn of 2009. These were for the proven S77/1500 series including a cold-climate version, and
22 turbines of the new S82/1500 turbine series with enlarged 82-metre rotor diameter. Gamesa
has been active in China since 2000 and will again strengthen its presence in China with a fifth
manufacturing plant in Jilin province (northwest China), one of the country’s prime wind
energy regions. The factory, scheduled to begin operating in 2011, will manufacture 2MW G8X-
2.0MW megawatt wind turbines and have a production capacity of 500 MW per year. It
substantially adds to a first 400 MW facility for 2 MW turbine assembly that became operational
earlier this year. Vestas received an order from China Datang Renewable Power Co., Ltd. at the
end of 2009, for 58 of the latest V60-850 kW turbines. Based on the proven V52-850kW turbine
platform with a track record of over 3,000 units, the V60-850 kW is Vestas’ first-ever
market-specific turbine tailored for the dry, harsh wind and weather conditions of northern China.
Among many major component suppliers active in the fast growing Chinese wind market is
Husum exhibitor Hansen Transmissions International of Belgium. This global drive system
manufacturer and major supplier of wind turbine gearboxes has production facilities in Belgium
and India, and an assembly and testing plant for the Chinese market, located in Tianjin. Finally,
engineering maintenance of wind energy systems is of crucial importance. SKF, a globally active
company, is a good example of a leading service provider and supplier of bearings, seals,
mechatronics and lubrication systems. The company recently inaugurated a wind industry service
centre in Shanghai to cover the Asia-Pacific region. HUSUM WindEnergy 2010 – the
leading trade fair for the international wind industry – is organised in cooperation between
Messe Husum and Hamburg Messe. More than 800 companies from at least 30 countries will
present their products and services in Husum from 21 to 25 September, including the
world’s leading wind turbine manufacturers and their equipment suppliers. This dedicated
wind energy fair will be the international meeting point and forum for companies and trade visitors.

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