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Contact: Rachel Friedman, 727-443-7115, ext.

206
Rachel@newsandexperts.com

Do “Naked Investing” Techniques Work?


Expert Reveals Secrets to Statistical Prediction Methods
Conventional wisdom is neither conventional nor wise on Wall Street, anymore.

“Traditional methods are obscure and based on a portfolio manager’s judgment,”


said Fischer, a senior portfolio manager at a national brokerage firm and author
of The Naked Portfolio Manager by Abbalucci Press
(www.thenakedportfoliomanager.com). “An enormous body of evidence indicates
that rule-based decision strategies (which are called statistical or mechanical
methods by researchers) consistently result in better decisions than the typical
expert judgment used in the portfolio management and brokerage profession.
When financial managers employ these rules, emotion and gut feelings that often
lead to poor choices are eliminated from the equation.”

In his position as a portfolio manager, Fischer predominantly uses what he has


identified as “statistical prediction methods” (SPMs) to oversee client’s portfolios
for high-net-worth individuals. He has employed SPMs for more than ten years
and said he has observed, over time, how this methodology consistently puts
clients’ earnings on par with those managed by the smartest minds on Wall
Street.

“For people in the industry to achieve similar success for their clients, all they
need to do is to adopt a clear set of rules for choosing investments, and apply the
character necessary to stick to those rules,” he said. “Rules trump reason on
Wall Street. Financial planners are constantly reading about this expert’s advice
or that expert’s advice. They would do much better if they simply used a set of
clearly defined, empirically-based, transparent rules and followed those rules in a
disciplined fashion.”

Fischer said that SPMs are relatively simple, empirically-based rules for selecting
securities. They are completely transparent, and the planner intrinsically
understands exactly how the securities in the portfolio are selected, and can
easily explain it to the client.

The key is for planners and brokers to be able to change their way of thinking
about how they approach their clients’ investments, according to Fischer.

“My daughter Abigail taught me a lesson about how to do that when she was
seven years old,” he said. “She came to me and asked, ‘Daddy, if God did not
want Adam and Eve to eat from the apple tree, why didn’t he put a fence around
it? Actually, Daddy, why did he put the tree there in the first place?’ Just as she
was thinking critically beyond the religious dogma of the story of Adam and Eve,
planners need to divest themselves of the dogma of Wall Street. This relates to
how so many industry professionals have been brainwashed to use mutual funds
instead of selecting securities by themselves.”
The key is for professionals to forget what they think they know about the market
and start from scratch, or be “naked,” Fischer added.

“If you simply start with a blank sheet of paper, and assemble a set of rules that
are based on empirical data – and stick to them – you’d be surprised at how
much better you can do for your clients,” Fischer added.

About Bob Fischer

Bob Fischer is a senior portfolio manager and advisor for affluent individuals at a
national brokerage firm. His noteworthy success in the investment field is based
upon his in-depth knowledge of decision-making, which he applies in a
disciplined rule-based approach: the application of Statistical Prediction Methods.
Bob has written numerous articles on investment and financial planning for
respected industry publications. He lives with his family in Midlothian, Virginia.

To interview Bob Fischer or request a review copy of "The Naked Portfolio


Manager” contact Rachel Friedman at (727) 443-7115 ext. 206 or email
Rachel@NewsAndExperts.com Please include your name, publication, and
mailing address with your request.

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