Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
(INTRODUCTION)
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1.1 Introduction for the Study
The exciting world of stock markets will pay way to fortune, money and
professional challenge. In a world that is shrinking in size due to
information technology and blurring boundaries between nations, the
stock market (or the equities market) is all set to grow in size.
The "company" form of organization changed the way the world did
business. The company raised the capital required to do business by
issuing financial instruments (or assets) called "equity shares" to the
general public. Such a purchase of shares from the company itself is a
"primary market" activity. Such a purchase did not tie the investor to the
company forever because they could sell these shares in the "secondary
market" (or in other words, the stock exchange) unlock their
investments. Purchase of equity shares in the market offered high returns
to the investors. Apart from the dividend income that they received, the
investors also made capital gains when the share prices shot up due to
various reasons.
Common man could not understand the nuances of stock market and
equity valuation. Also, the concept of pooled funds like insurance funds,
retirement funds and mutual funds required professional investment
management. Consequently, the field of market analysis emerged and
gave rise to finance professionals who excelled at valuation of such
financial assets. Market analysis (research analysis or equity research)
work will be done for various organizations like:
• Investment Banks
• Mutual funds
• Financial Institutions
• Stock Brokers
• Financial newspapers
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• Financial websites
In a market analysis one has to use various financial models, tools and
techniques to arrive at simple decisions like buying or selling or standing
still regarding the particular stock. If the research and analysis show that
the stock price of a particular company may rise, you "go long" (buy it). If
you have already bought it, you "hold" it. Alternatively, if the research
indicates a possible downtrend in the stock price, you would immediately
"go short" (sell it) so that you don't incur a loss (or reduced profit) at a
later date. When once the decision is taken, there is absolutely no time to
spare in implementing it.
INTRODUCTION TO EQUITIES:
Stocks, also known as Equities, are shares in a company. It is the
certificate of ownership of a corporation. In simple terms, when you invest
in a company’s stock or buy its shares, you own part of a company. Thus,
as a stockholder, you share a portion of the profit the company may make,
as well as a portion of the loss a company make take. As the company
keeps doing better, your stocks will increase in value and yield higher
dividends.
Some basic terms and meanings
• Dividend:
• Equity:
• Equity markets:
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A market where investors buy and sell securities providing ownership of a
company’s shares.
• Equities:
• STOCK MARKET:
A stock market is a market for the trading of publicly held company stock
and associated financial instruments ( including stock, options,
convertibles and stock index futures).
Financial Markets
• Money market
• Capital Market
Further Capital Market is divided in to two types
• Primary Market
• Secondary Market
1. Evidence of Ownership
3. Par Value
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• To study the concept of equity analysis of selected companies of
Pharma Industry are: Dr.Reddy, Aurobindo, Sun Pharmacy, Ran Baxy,
NATCO.
• To analyze and interpret the trend of equity and share price
movement of selected above said companies.
• To evaluate performance of the above said companies.
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Due to time constraint, a comprehensive and meticulous study was not
possible. As a result, there might be change of errors creeping in.
• Owing to the busy schedule of the executives and the staff in the
company, exhaustive primary data couldn’t be collected. Which
might affect the result of the study?
• Recommendations of the study are only personal options.
• Hence judgments may not be considered as ultimate and standard
solution.
CHAPTER-II
(EQUITY ANALYSIS AN OVERVIEW)
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2.1 A Theoretical Back Ground of Equity Analysis
• Potential for Profit: The potential for profit is greater in equity shares
than in any other investment security. Current dividends yield may be
low but potential of capital gains is great. The total yield or yields to
maturity may be substantial over a period of time.
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• Paid up Capital: Fully paid shares are those shares for which the
corporation has received full payment up to the par-value, or up to
the amount established as the selling price of no-par-shares. Partly
paid shares are those shares that have been issued for less than par-
value or the agreed subscription.
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
The analysis of movement of share prices is known as equity analysis.
Equity analysis has two approaches, which are used in the analysis of
share.
1. Fundamental Analysis
2. Technical Analysis
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framework, known as Economy Industry Company framework, for rational
investment decision making.
Economic Analysis:
Economic factors play major role in any investment decisional, which is
made for making a gain and better returns. Economic analysis and
forecasting company performance and of returns is necessary for making
investments.
In the Indian economy, the matters to be considered in the first place all
the behavior of the monsoon and the performance of agriculture. India has
a mixed economy, where the public sector plays a vital role. The
government being the biggest investor and spender, the trends in public
investment and expenditure would indicate the likely performance of the
Indian economy. Concomitant with this, the government budget policy,
tone levies and government borrowing program along with the extent of
deficit financing will have a major influence on the performance of the
Indian economy. The monitory situation along with the budgetary policy
influences the movement in price inflation do have a major influence on
the economy.
The economy and political stability in the form of stable and long term
economic policies and a stable political with no uncertainty would also be
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necessary for a good performance of the economy in general and of
companies in particular.
All the above factor of the economy influences the corporate performance
and the industry in general. In the investment analysis, a broad picture of
their factor and a forecast of the growth of the economy and of industry
would be necessary to decide when to invest and what to invest in.
Industry Analysis:
On the economic analysis is made and the forecast of the economy is
known the investor will then have some ides of the likely growth of the
economy and its trend. After that, the analyst would look into the industry
groups that are promising in the coming year or years and then only he
will be able to choose the companies in those industry groups.
At any point of time, there may be industries, which are on the up swing of
the cycle called sunshine industries and those, which are on the decline
called sunset industries. In India, there are some growth industries like
electronics and Tele communications, which are the key industries. The
engineering, petrol chemicals and capital goods industries are in the core
sector. A few industries like diamonds, engineering etc. are in the export
sector. Jute and cotton textiles are the decedent industries. At present,
Tele communications, energy etc., are some examples of sunrise
industries.
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• Attitude of Government towards the industry.
• Labors Conditions.
• Supply of Raw Materials.
• Cost Structure.
• Past Sales & Earnings Performance.
• Growth Rate of the Industry etc.
The gap between Demand and Supply in an industry is a fairly good
indicator of its short-term or medium-term prospects. Excess supply
reduces the profitability of the industry through a decline in the unit-price
realization. On the contrary, insufficient supply tends to improve the
profitability through higher unit-price realization. In an industry where
supply exceeds Demand and there are many competing firms, the
increased rivalry among the firms leads to price cuts and heavy
advertising. In such a situation, the companies lose their competitive edge
and their profitability gets erode.
Company Analysis:
Company Analysis is the final stage of the Fundamental Analysis, which is
to be done to decide the company in which the investor should invest. The
Economy Analysis provides the investor a broad out line of the prospects
of growth in the economy. The industry analysis helps the investor to
select the industry in which the investment would be rewarding. Company
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Analysis deals with the estimation of the Risks and Returns associated with
individual shares.
The stock price has been found on depend on the intrinsic value of the
company’s share to the extent of about 50% as per many research
studies. Graham and Dodd in their book on “security analysis” have
defined the intrinsic value as “that value which is justified by the facts of
assets, earnings and dividends”. These facts are reflected in the earnings
potentials of the company. The analyst has to project the expected future
earnings per share and discount them to the present time, which gives the
intrinsic value of the share. Another method to use is to take the expected
earnings per share and multiplying it by the industry average price earning
multiple.
By this method, let the analyst estimate the intrinsic value or fair value of
share and compare it with the market price to know whether the stock is
over valued or under valued. The investment decision is to buy under
valued stock and sell over valued stock.
Financial Analysis:
Share price depends partly on its intrinsic worth for which financial
analysis for a company is necessary to help the investor to decide whether
to buy or not the shares of the company. The soundness and intrinsic
worth of a company is known only by such analysis. An investor needs to
know the performance of the company, its intrinsic worth as indicated by
some parameters like book value, EPS, P/E multiple etc., and come to a
conclusion whether the share is rightly priced for purchase or not. This, in
short is the importance of financial analysis of a company to the investor.
1. Comparative statement
2. Trend analysis
3. Common size statement
4. Fund flow analysis
5. Cash flow analysis
6. Ratio analysis
Fundamental Analysis has a very broad scope. One aspect looks at the
general (qualitative) factors of a company. The other side considers
tangible and measurable factors (quantitative). This means crunching
and analyzing numbers from the financial statements. If used in
conjunction with other methods, quantitative analysis can produce
excellent results.
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Ratio analysis isn't just comparing different numbers from the balance
sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. It's comparing the
number against previous years, other companies, the industry, or even the
economy in general. Ratios look at the relationships between individual
values and relate them to how a company has performed in the past, and
might perform in the future. For example current assets alone don't
tell us a whole lot, but when we divide them by current liabilities
we are able to determine whether the company has enough money
to cover short-term debts.
Efficient Market Hypothesis
This theory presupposes that the Stock Markets are so competitive and
efficient in processing all the available information about the securities
that there is “immediate price adjustment” to the changes in the
economy, industry and company. The Efficient Market Hypothesis model is
actually concerned with the speed with which information is incorporated
into the security prices.
Technical Analysis
Introduction
It is process of identifying trend reversals at earlier stage to formulate the
buying and selling strategy. With the help of several indicators they
analyzed the relationship between price volume and supply demand for
the overall market and the individual stock. Volume is favorable on the
upswing i.e., the number of share traded is greater than before and on the
downside the number of shares traded dwindles. If it is the other way
round, tread reversals can be expected.
There are two major types of analysis for predicting the performance of a
company's stock - fundamental and technical. The latter looks for peaks,
bottoms, trends, patterns, and other factors affecting a stock's price
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movement and then making a buy/sell decision based on those factors. It
is a technique many people attempt; though very few are truly successful.
Today, the world of technical analysis is huge. There are literally hundreds
of different patterns and indicators investors claim to be successful. There
are different types of stock charts and the various technical analysis tools.
Technical analysis has become popular over the past several years, as
more and more people believe that the historical performance of a stock is
a strong indication of future performance. The use of past performance
should not come as a big surprise. People using fundamental analysis have
always looked at the past performance by comparing fiscal data from
previous quarters and years to determine future growth. The difference
lies in the
technical analyst’s belief that securities move with very predictable trends
and patterns. These trends continue until something happens to change
the trend, and until this change occurs, price levels are predictable.
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Technical analyst believes that share prices are determined by the
demand and supply forces operating in the market. These demand and
supply forces in turn are influenced by a number of fundamental factors as
well as certain psychological or emotional factors. The combined impact of
this entire factor is reflected in the share price movement.
Although past shares prices are the major data used by the technical
analysts, other statistics such as volume of trading and stock market
indices are also utilized to some extent. A technical analyst, therefore,
analyses the price and volume movements of individual securities as well
as the market index. Thus technical analysis is really a study of past or
historical price and volume movements so as to predict the future stock
price behavior.
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• Patterns which are projected by charts record price movement and
these recorded patterns are use by analysts to make forecasts about
the movement of prices in future.
Mathematical Indicators:
Note: Factor =
• Oscillators are calculated with the help of closing price data which
helps to identify overbought and oversold conditions and also the
possibility of trend reversals. These indicators are called oscillators
because they move across a reference point. They are of two types:
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Note: RS =
Firms: A UK study
Abstract :
The profitability of mergers in Britain has not received the same attention
as in the USA. This study examines mergers for the UK industrial sector as
a whole for a period (1974-76) when merger activity was relatively slack. A
standard methodology is used, but the size effects and the activeness of
acquirers as well as the financing of the acquisition are examined. The
conclusions contradict to some extent those found by other researchers in
that the evidence was incenses-tent with the efficient markets hypothesis.
The effect of taking firm size into account was found to reduce the
standard deviations of the sample and it would appear that the cash
mergers were viewed as less desirable by the market compared to equity
exchange. For the separation of merger active Hon active firms it was
found that there was less dispersion of the residuals for non-merger active
firms.
ARTICLE
Article from:
January 1, 2006
Author:
ABSTRACT:
Abstract :
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takeover fights. The use of accounting to estimate equity exchange values
rather than justifying values to public stakeholders and interests indicates
that accounting information plays a broad role in corporate governance
and equity valuation. equity valuations demand a type of accounting
information that is distinct from information typically demanded by
management. Accounting information used for equity valuations affects
shareholder wealth by affecting real source allocations during assertions of
corporate control.
CHAPTER-III
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(PROFILE OF THE ORGANIZATION)
CONCEPT:
Inter-connected stock exchange of India limited [ISE] has been
promoted by 14 Regional stock exchanges to provide cost-effective trading
linkage/connectivity to all the members of the participating Exchanges,
with the objective of widening the market for the securities listed on these
Exchanges. ISE aims to address the needs of small companies and retail
investors with the guiding principle of optimizing the existing
infrastructure and harnessing the potential of regional markets, so as to
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transform these into a liquid and vibrant market through the use of state-
of-the-art technology and networking.
The participating Exchanges of ISE in all about 4500 stock brokers,
out of which more than 200 have been currently registered as traders on
ISE. In order to leverage its infrastructure and to expand its nationwide
reach, ISE has also appointed around 450 Dealers across 70 cities other
than the participating Exchange centers. These dealers are
administratively supported through the regional offices of ISE at Delhi
[north], Kolkata [east],Coimbatore and Hyderabad [south] and Nagpur
[central], besides Mumbai.
ISE has also floated a wholly-owned subsidiary, ISE securities and
services limited [ISS], which has taken up corporate membership of the
National Stock Exchange of India Ltd. [NSE] in both the Capital Market and
Futures and Options segments and The Stock Exchange, Mumbai In the
Equities segment, so that the traders and dealers of ISE can access other
markets in addition to the ISE markets and their local market. ISE thus
provides the investors in smaller cities a one-stop solution for cost-
effective and efficient trading and settlement in securities.
With the objective of broad basing the range of its services, ISE has started
offering the full suite of DP facilities to its Traders, Dealers and their
clients.
OBJECTIVES
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• Optimally utilize the existing infrastructure and other resources of
participating Stock Exchanges, which are understated now.
• Provide a level playing field to small Traders and Dealers by offering
an opportunity to participate in a national markets having
investment-oriented business.
• Reduce transaction cost.
• Provide clearing and settlement facilities to the Traders and Dealers
across the Country at their doorstep in a decentralized mode.
• Spread demat trading across the country.
Network of intermediaries:
The trading, settlement and funds transfer operations of ISE and ISS
are completely automated and state-of-the-art systems have been
deployed. The communication network of ISE, which has connectivity with
over 400 trading members and is spread across46 cities, is also used for
supporting the operations of ISS. The trading software and settlement
software, as well as the electronic funds transfer arrangement established
with HDFC Bank and ICICI Bank, gives ISE and ISS the required operational
efficiency and flexibility to not only handle the secondary market functions
effectively, but also by leveraging them for new ventures.
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Skilled and experienced manpower:
ISE and ISS have experienced and professional staff, who have wide
experience in Stock Exchanges/ capital market institutions, with in some
cases, the experience going up to nearly twenty years in this industry. The
staff has the skill-set required to perform a wide range of functions,
depending upon the requirements from time to time.
Aggressive pricing policy:
ISS, the wholly owned subsidiary of ISE, is one of the biggest Exchange
subsidiaries in the country. On any given day, more than 250 registered
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intermediaries of ISS traded from 46 cities across the length and breadth
of the country.
MISSION
BOARD OF DIRECTORS
3.3 MILESTONES
July 6, 1996 A report on Inter-connected Market System (ICMS) submitted
to the Federation of Indian Stock Exchange (FISE).
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November 18, 1998 SEBI grants recognition to ISE.
February 24, 2000 SEBI registers ISS for the Capital Market segment of NSE.
January 10 , 2001 Turnover in the Capital Market segment of NSE crosses Rs.
1000 million per day.
February 28, 2001 Turnover of Rs. 1508.80 million recorded by ISS in the Capital
Market segment of NSE.
May 4, 2001 Internet trading for clients started by ISS for the NSE
segment through Dot Ex Plaza.
February 13, 2002 SEBI registers ISS for the Futures & Options segment of NSE.
May 6, 2002 ISS commences trading in the Futures & Options segment of
NSE.
March 12, 2003 ISS admitted as a member of the Equities segment of BSE.
June 21, 2003 First Investor Education Program under the Securities Market
Awareness Campaign (SMAC) of SEBI conducted at Vashi.
December 27, 2004 Trading in the BSE equities segment started by ISS.
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multinational companies that had dominated the market, and while they
streamed out, Indian companies started to take their places. They carved a
niche in both the Indian and world markets with their expertise in reverse-
engineering new processes for manufacturing drugs at low costs. Although
some of the larger companies have taken baby steps towards drug
innovation, the industry as a whole has been following this business model
until the present.
In terms of the global market, India currently holds a modest 1-2% share,
but it has been growing at approximately 10% per year. India gained its
foothold on the global scene with its innovatively-engineered generic
drugs and active pharmaceutical ingredients (API), and it is now seeking to
become a major player in outsourced clinical research as well as contract
manufacturing and research. There are 74 U.S. FDA-approved
manufacturing facilities in India, more than in any other country outside
the U.S, and in 2005, almost 20% of all Abbreviated New Drug Applications
(ANDA) to the FDA are expected to be filed by Indian companies]. Growth
in other fields notwithstanding, generics are still a large part of the picture.
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London research company Global Insight estimates that India’s share of
the global generics market will have risen from 4% to 33% by 2007.
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CHAPTER-IV
(DATA ANALYSIS
&
INTERPRETATION)
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Our products are marketed globally, with a focus on India, US, Europe and
Russia. Dr. Reddy’s conducts NCE research in the areas of metabolic
disorders, cardiovascular indications, anti-infectives and inflammation.
Our strong portfolio of businesses, geographies and products gives us an
edge in an increasingly competitive global market and allows us to provide
affordable medication to people across the world, regardless of geographic
and socio-economic barriers.
Board of directors
Authoriz Issued
ed Capita
Period Instrument Capital l -PAIDUP-
Capita
(Rs. Shares Face l (Rs.
From To (Rs. cr) cr) (nos) Value Cr)
Equity 1688455
2009 2010 Share 120 84.4 85 5 84.4
Equity 1684687
2008 2009 Share 100 84.2 77 5 84.2
Equity 1681727
2007 2008 Share 100 84.1 46 5 84.1
Equity 1679121
2006 2007 Share 100 84 80 5 84
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Equity 7669457
2005 2006 Share 50 38.3 0 5 38.3
Equity 7651894
2004 2005 Share 50 38.3 9 5 38.3
Equity 7651894
2003 2004 Share 50 38.3 9 5 38.3
Equity 7651594
2002 2003 Share 50 38.3 8 5 38.3
Equity 7651594
2001 2002 Share 50 38.3 8 5 38.3
Equity 3158878
2000 2001 Share 50 31.6 0 10 31.6
Equity 2648723
1999 2000 Share 30 26.5 8 10 26.5
Equity 2648723
1995 1999 Share 30 26.5 8 10 26.5
Equity
1994 1995 Share 30 46.5 2250000 3 0.7
Equity 2397417
1994 1995 Share 30 46.5 6 10 24
Equity
1993 1994 Share 30 6.6 6557700 10 6.6
Equity
1992 1993 Share 10 6.6 6557700 10 6.6
Equity
1991 1992 Share 5 3.3 3278850 10 3.3
Equity
1989 1991 Share 3 2.2 2185900 10 2.2
Equity
1988 1989 Share 3 1.4 1366050 10 1.4
Equity
1986 1988 Share 1.5 1.4 1366250 10 1.4
Equity
1985 1986 Share 1.5 0.2 243500 10 0.2
Profit and Loss for the Year 773.4 598.4 433.08 1,207.48 206.36
Non Recurring Items 72.7 -37.5 40.65 -38.79 4.76
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Dr. Reddy Laboratories Ltd. Earning Per Share
Interpretation: In the Year 2006 when shares are issued of 766.95 then the
PAT is 211.12 then EPS showing at 27.53 where as in 2007 The Shares
issued by the company is higly then the PAT is increased and EPS is also
increased. In the Year 2008 shares issued highly when compared to 2006
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PAT and EPS is increased. In the year 2009 shares issued more than 2007
but the PAT & EPS is decreased in compare to 2007. In 2010 shares issued
highly as compare to back 4 years but PAT & EPS is decreased compare to
2007. Overall EPS is best in 2007 when compare to other years.
Interpretation: In the year 2006 the Market Price is 1421.40 EPS is 27.53
and P/E Ratio is 51.6 Whereas in 2007 M.P. has decreased of 728.25 but
EPS value is increased, and P/E decreased. In 2008 M.P, EPS, P/E totally
decreased. In 2009 M.P. share is less when compare to 2006 but EPS is
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increased of 33.29, and 14.72 P/E decreased. In 2010 M.P., EPS and P/E
has increased compare to previous 2 years.
No. of Equity
YEAR DIVIDEND Shares DPS
2006 1.5 766.95 0.001955
2007 2.5 1,679.12 0.001488
2008 3.25 1,681.73 0.001932
2009 4.5 1,684.69 0.002671
2010 5 1,688.45 0.002961
Interpretation: In table & Graph it shows that in the year 2010 Dividend
is 5 & No. of Equity shares is 1688.45 hence increases but DPS is
decreases but in the year 2006 DPS is increases of 0.001955 compare to
other years. Overall the Financial Position of the Company is Satisfactory.
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4) Dividend Pay Out Ratio:- It is the ratio of Dividend Per share to
Earning per share. It is calculated as
Formula:
DPS
EPS
Interpretation: The Dividend Pay out ratio is higher in the year 2009 of
8.0234, then in the year 2008 it is 6.8365 in 2006 it is decreases of 7.1013
then 2010 & 2007 is decreases of 5.909, & 2.1229
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5) Dividend Yield Ratio: It Expenses the relationship between
Dividend Earned Per share and the Market Price per share. In other words,
it expenses the return on investment by purchasing a share in the stock
market without accounting for any capital appreciation. It is calculated as
Formula:
Dividend Per Share
Market Price of Share
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Interpretation: The Dividend Yield Ratio is increases in the year 2009 of
6.12 When compare to other year but in the year 2010 it is decreases of
2.35. Overall the financial position of the company is satisfactory in the
year 2009.
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come down. In 2009 Sales increased and profit also little bit increased,
but in 2010 sales is increased if we compare last 5 years and profit also
increased but in 2007 sales increase little much but profit they got highly.
Overall the profit has been increased in the year 2007 of 1176.86 than
2010.
No of % Share
Holder's Name Shares Holding
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AUROBINDO PHARMA LTD
Company History
Aurobindo Pharma had gone public in 1995 by listing its shares in various
stock exchanges in the country. The company is the market leader in
semi-synthetic penicillin drugs. It has a presence in key therapeutic
segments like SSPs, cephalosporins, antivirals, CNS, cardio-vascular,
gastroenterology, etc.
Board of Directors
Dr. M.Sivakumaran
Whole-time Director
Dr.P.L.Sanjeev Reddy
Non-Executive Director
Vision
"To become Asia's leading and one among the top 15 generic Pharma
companies in the world, by 2015"
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Mission
Aurobindo's mission is to become the most valued Pharma partner for the
World Pharma fraternity by continuously researching, developing and
manufacturing a wide range of pharmaceutical products complying to the
highest regulatory standards.
Issued
Authorize Capita
Period Instrument d Capital l -PAIDUP-
Capita
(Rs. Shares Face l (Rs.
From To (Rs. cr) cr) (nos) Value Cr)
Equity 557288
2009 2010 Share 66 27.9 37 5 27.9
Equity 537652
2008 2009 Share 50 26.9 68 5 26.9
Equity 537652
2007 2008 Share 50 26.9 68 5 26.9
Equity 533486
2006 2007 Share 50 26.7 37 5 26.7
Equity 532700
2005 2006 Share 50 26.6 00 5 26.6
Equity 507700
2004 2005 Share 50 25.4 00 5 25.4
Equity 507700
2003 2004 Share 50 25.4 00 5 25.4
Equity 232500
2002 2003 Share 50 23.2 00 10 23.2
Equity 206700
2001 2002 Share 50 20.7 00 10 20.7
Equity 200020
2000 2001 Share 50 20 00 10 20
Equity 945000
1998 1999 Share 20 9.4 0 10 9.4
Equity 472500
1997 1998 Share 10 4.7 0 10 4.7
Equity 472500
1996 1997 Share 15 4.7 0 10 4.7
Equity 472500
1995 1996 Share 5 4.7 0 10 4.7
Equity 472500
1994 1995 Share 5 4.7 0 10 4.7
Equity 185000
1993 1994 Share 4 1.8 0 10 1.8
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Profit and Loss A/c - Aurobindo Pharma Ltd
Particulars 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
INCOME:
Sales Turnover 3,319.60 2,885.25 2,351.12 1,979.76 1,472.36
Excise Duty 67.54 90.35 116.49 103.67 78.72
NET SALES 3,252.06 2,794.90 2,234.63 1,876.09 1,393.64
Other Income 0 0 0 0 0
TOTAL INCOME 3,267.23 2,825.57 2,341.87 1,949.64 1,417.01
EXPENDITURE:
Manufacturing Expenses 194.62 164.4 139.36 121.94 96.76
Material Consumed 1,862.54 1,721.81 1,460.18 1,241.97 951.85
Personal Expenses 232.62 177.18 148.7 112.88 79.21
Selling Expenses 122.27 127.29 65.98 47.49 35.14
Administrative Expenses 82.73 87.35 102.88 73.07 50.62
Expenses Capitalized 0 0 0 0 0
Provisions Made 0 0 0 0 0
TOTAL
EXPENDITURE 2,494.78 2,278.03 1,917.10 1,597.35 1,213.58
Operating Profit 757.28 516.87 317.53 278.74 180.06
EBITDA 772.45 547.54 424.77 352.29 203.43
Depreciation 95.46 82.41 74.6 71.84 51.12
Other Write-offs 0 0 0 0 0
EBIT 676.99 465.13 350.17 280.45 152.31
Interest 62.58 81.2 59.01 76.07 60.64
EBT 614.41 383.93 291.16 204.38 91.67
Taxes 184.09 35.45 54.06 -0.1 17.08
Profit and Loss for the
Year 430.32 348.48 237.1 204.54 74.59
Non Recurring Items 97.05 -224.23 48.08 21.5 -2.72
Other Non Cash
Adjustments -1.61 4.29 5.6 3.04 -2.49
Other Adjustments 0 0 0 0 0
REPORTED PAT 525.76 128.54 290.78 229.08 69.38
KEY ITEMS
Preference Dividend 0 0 0 0 0
Equity Dividend 27.74 24.2 17.57 13.34 8.12
Equity Dividend (%) 99.56 90.02 65.36 50.01 30.49
Shares in Issue (Lakhs) 557.29 537.65 537.65 533.49 532.7
EPS - Annualised (Rs) 94.34 23.91 54.08 42.94 13.02
Misc. Expenses 0 0 0 0 0
TOTAL ASSETS 3,435.5 2,110.6
(A+B+C+D+E) 3,859.14 1 2,976.25 2,905.66 7
50
1) Earning Per Share (EPS) : It is the earnings accuring to the
Equity Share holder on every one share held by him. In other words,
Earning Per Share is the net profit after tax and preference dividend
that is earned on one unit of equity, which is one equity share. It is
calculated as
Interpretation: In the year 2006 PAT is 69.38 & shares issued is 532.7
EPS is 13.02. In the year 2007 PAT is increased of 229.08 shares is little
bit increased wheareas EPS is high of 42.93. In 2008 PAT, Shares issued &
EPS is totally increased then compare to other pervious years. As
compared to 2009 PAT, Shares Issued, & EPS is increased in 2010.
Interpretation:
In the Year 2006 Market Price is 683.2 and EPS is 13.02, P/E is 52.47,
whereas in 2007 increase in M.P. & EPS but decrease in P/E of 15.8. In the
year 2008 M.P. & P/E is less when compare to both years but EPS is more.
In 2009 M.P. is 188.15 and EPS is 23.9 and P/E. is 7.87. In the Year 2010
M.P. is Huge when compare to 2009 hence EPS & P/E is increased.
52
3) Dividend Per Share (DPS): It is the amount of dividend payable
to the holder of one Equity Share. It is calculated as
53
4) Dividend Pay Out Ratio:- It is the ratio of Dividend Per share to
Earning per share. It is calculated as
Formula:
DPS
EPS
Interpretation: The Dividend Pay out ratio is higher in the year 2010
of 09509, then in the year 2008 it is 0.00035017 in 2006 it is decreases of
0.00021621 then 2007 & 2008 is decreases of 0.00010915 & 0.00011176.
54
5) Dividend Yield Ratio: It Expenses the relationship between
Dividend Earned Per share and the Market Price per share. In other words,
it expenses the return on investment by purchasing a share in the stock
market without accounting for any capital appreciation. It is calculated as
Formula:
Dividend Per Share
Market Price of Share
55
Trend Analysis – Aurobindo Pharma Ltd.
% Share
Holder's Name No of Shares Holding
57
CIPLA HISTORY
Khwaja Abdul Hamied, the founder of Cipla, was born on October 31,
1898. The fire of nationalism was kindled in him when he was 15 as he
witnessed a wanton act of colonial highhandedness. The fire was to
blaze within him right through his life.
Board of Directors
Founder
Dr. K.A. Hamied
(1898-1972)
Chairman & Managing Director
Dr. Y.K. Hamied
58
Authorize
d Issued
Period Instrument Capital Capital -PAIDUP-
Face Capit
(Rs. Shares Valu al (Rs.
From To (Rs. cr) cr) (nos) e Cr)
201 Equity 8029213
2009 0 Share 175 160.8 57 2 160.6
200 Equity 7772913
2008 9 Share 175 155.7 57 2 155.5
200 Equity 7772913
2007 8 Share 175 155.7 57 2 155.5
200 Equity 7772913
2006 7 Share 175 155.7 57 2 155.5
200 Equity 2998702
2005 6 Share 175 60.2 33 2 60
200 Equity 2998702
2004 5 Share 65 60.2 33 2 60
200 Equity 5997234
2003 4 Share 65 60.2 9 10 60
200 Equity 5997234
2002 3 Share 65 60.2 9 10 60
200 Equity 5997234
2001 2 Share 65 60.2 9 10 60
200 Equity 5997234
2000 1 Share 65 60.2 9 10 60
199 Equity 1999078
1995 9 Share 25 20.2 3 10 20
199 Equity 1864740 18.
1994 5 Share 25 18.7 0 10 6
199 Equity
1993 4 Share 25 3.2 3107900 10 3.1
199 Equity 10
1992 3 Share 10 3.2 310790 0 3.1
199 Equity 10
1991 2 Share 1.9 1.6 155395 0 1.6
199 Equity 10
1987 1 Share 1.9 1.6 150184 0 1.5
198 Equity 10
1985 7 Share 1.9 0.8 75092 0 0.8
198 Equity 10
1979 5 Share 0.5 0.4 37546 0 0.4
197 Equity 10
1962 9 Share 0.2 0.2 18773 0 0.2
196 Equity 10
1947 2 Share 0.2 0.2 17464 0 0.2
194 Equity 10
1945 7 Share 0.2 0.2 15000 0 0.2
59
194 Equity 10
1944 5 Share 0.1 0.1 6000 0 0.1
194 Equity 10
1943 4 Share 0.1 0 3000 0 0
194 Equity
1935 3 Share 0.1 0 1108 50 0
60
EBT 1,281.59 1,130.87 768.35 773.08 635.62
Taxes 243.5 124.5 136.93 139.95 102.2
Profit and Loss for the Year 1,038.09 1,006.37 631.42 633.13 533.42
Non Recurring Items 31.5 -229.56 70.01 34.9 74.22
Other Non Cash Adjustments 11.9 0 0 0 0
Other Adjustments 0 0 0 0 0
REPORTED PAT 1,081.49 776.81 701.43 668.03 607.64
KEY ITEMS
Preference Dividend 0 0 0 0 0
Equity Dividend 160.58 155.46 155.46 155.46 155.46
Equity Dividend (%) 100 100 100 100 259.22
Shares in Issue (Lakhs) 8,029.21 7,772.91 7,772.91 7,772.91 2,998.70
EPS - Annualised (Rs) 13.47 9.99 9.02 8.59 20.26
62
Interpretation: In the year 2006 the EPS value increases when
compare to after 4 years where as in 2010 PAT increases but EPS showing
down value.
63
Interpretation: The above table & graph shows that increase of Market
price, and EPS, and P/E in the year 2006 . whereas compare to other us
years it is decreases, and in 2010 Overall the position of the company is
satisfactory.
No. of
Year Equity
Dividend Shares DPS
2998.7 0.00066
2006 2 7
7772.91 0.00025
2007 2 7
7772.91 0.00025
2008 2 7
7772.91 0.00025
2009 2 7
8029.21 0.00024
2010 2 9
64
Interpretation: In table & Graph it shows that in the year 2006 – 2010
same Dividend is declaring of Rs.2 & No. of Equity shares is 8029.21 in
the year 2010 but DPS is increases in 2006 but not in 2010 by comparing
to other years. Overall the Financial Position of the Company is
Satisfactory.
65
7
0.00024 13.46
2010 9 1.8499
Interpretation: The Dividend Pay out ratio is higher in the year 2006 of
3.2922, then in the year 2007 it is 2.9918 in 2008 it is decreases of
2.84922 then 2010 & 2009s is decreases of 1.8499 & 0.0000257.
% Share
Holder's Name No of Shares Holding
68
GeneralPublic 168071913 20.93%
Company Profile
69
Mission
Our Products:
Tigecycline
Tamsulosin Hcl
Imipenem and Cilastatin
Amikacin
Voriconazole
Ganciclovir
Oseltamivir
Entecavir
Budesonide
Omeprazole
Zoledronic acid
Ibandronate
70
Authori Issued
zed Capita
Period Instrument Capital l -PAIDUP-
Capit
(Rs. Shares Face al (Rs.
From To (Rs. cr) cr) (nos) Value Cr)
Equity
2009 2010 Share 30 28.1 28147952 10 28.1
Equity
2008 2009 Share 30 28 28040827 10 28
Equity
2007 2008 Share 30 28 28040827 10 28
Equity
2006 2007 Share 30 27.6 27644795 10 27.6
Equity
2005 2006 Share 30 27.2 27174414 10 27.2
Equity
2004 2005 Share 30 26.2 26161383 10 26.2
Equity
2003 2004 Share 30 23.4 23381600 10 23.4
Equity
2002 2003 Share 30 17.4 17381600 10 17.4
Equity
2000 2002 Share 30 17.4 17381600 10 17.4
Equity
1999 2000 Share 30 13.1 13111100 10 13.1
Equity
1997 1999 Share 30 13.1 13111100 10 13.1
Equity
1995 1997 Share 15 13.1 13111100 10 13.1
Equity
1994 1995 Share 10 7.2 7150000 10 7.2
71
Balance Sheet - Natco Pharma Ltd
74
Interpretation: The above table & graph shows that increase of
Reported PAT, and EPS, and Shares in Issue in the year 2007 & 2010
whereas compare to back years it is decreases, and Overall the position of
the company is satisfactory.
75
Interpretation: In above table & Graph shows that in the year 2006 P/E
increases of 15.26% compare to other years, whereas in the year 2007 P/E
is 13.14 decreases in the other years also. Overall the Financial Position of
the company is satisfactory in the 2006.
76
Interpretation: In table & Graph it shows that in the year 2006-2009
the Dividend is same of 1.25 but DPS is increasing in 2010 of 0.07%
comparing to other years. Overall the Financial Position of the Company is
Satisfactory.
77
Interpretation: The Dividend Pay out ratio is higher in the year 2006
of 0.0005707 at last decreases in 2009 of 0.0002624, Overall the
financial position of the company is satisfactory.
78
Interpretation: The Dividend Yield Ratio is increases in the year 2010
of 8.4477 When compare to other year but in the year 2007 it is decreases
of 3.4506. Overall the financial position of the company is satisfactory.
79
Interpretation: In the year 2006 sales is 170.12 & PAT is 23.79, whereas
in the year 2007 sales & PAT is increased little much. In the year 2008
sales & PAT is huge increased when compare to 2006 i.e., 237.75 & 40.05.
In the Year 2009 there is increase in sales of 275.93 & PAT is 42.74, In the
year 2010 sales is increased of 313.57 & PAT is 47.66. Overall the Position
of the Sales Turnover & PAT is satisfactory in the year 2010.
80
History of Sunpharmacy
Welcome to Sun India pharmacy began its journey in the year 1983, with a
small Ayurvedic unit at ORAI (U.P), set up by Dr. S.R.Niranjan. Under his
able guidance and dynamic leadership, Sun India is now an established
player in patent ayurvedic and generic drug segment with a nation wide
acceptance and a marketing network.o Sun Pharmacy Research.
81
Sun India Pharmacy is one of the largest distributors of Ayurvedic
medicines in India and among the top in Generics/OTC. The network of the
company spreads across the length and breadth of the country making our
products available even into several remote areas.
Board of Directors
The present strength of the Board of Directors
Dilip S. Shanghvi
Chairman and Managing Director
Sudhir V. Valia
Whole Time Director
Autho
rized Issued
Capit Capita
Period Instrument al l -PAIDUP-
Capita
(Rs. (Rs. Shares Face l (Rs.
From To cr) cr) (nos) Value Cr)
Equity 20711639
2009 2010 Share 150 103.6 1 5 103.6
Equity 20711639
2008 2009 Share 150 103.6 1 5 103.6
Equity 147. 20711639
2007 2008 Share 5 103.6 1 5 103.6
Equity 127. 19340212
2006 2007 Share 4 96.7 0 5 96.7
Equity 18573163
2005 2006 Share 154 92.9 7 5 92.9
Equity 18551135
2004 2005 Share 154 92.8 6 5 92.8
82
Equity
2004 2005 Share 154 92.8 14030430 1 1.4
Equity
2003 2004 Share 126 46.4 92755678 5 46.4
Equity
2002 2003 Share 100 46.5 93048478 5 46.5
Equity
2001 2002 Share 100 46.8 46774537 10 46.8
Equity
2000 2001 Share 50 46.8 46750000 10 46.8
Equity
1999 2000 Share 50 15.4 15422833 10 15.4
Equity
1998 1999 Share 25 15.4 15422833 10 15.4
Equity
1997 1998 Share 25 15.2 15214833 10 15.2
Equity
1996 1997 Share 15 14.8 14801200 10 14.8
Equity
1995 1996 Share 15 14.8 14801200 10 14.8
Equity
1994 1995 Share 15 14.8 14801200 10 14.8
Equity
1993 1994 Share 15 7.2 7185000 10 7.2
Equity
1992 1993 Share 1 0.9 900000 10 0.9
83
Sun Pharma Ltd. Profit & Loss A/c
84
Particulars 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
INCOME:
Sales Turnover 1,891.16 2,833.65 2,427.35 1,722.13 1,353.01
Excise Duty 46.07 59 58.84 59.57 61.37
85
Particulars 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Liabilities
Share Capital 103.56 103.56 103.56 98.07 94.27
5,614. 5,047.8 4,104.0 2,351.4 1,370.6
Reserves & Surplus 42 6 6 2 7
5,717. 5,151. 4,207. 2,449. 1,464.
Net Worth 98 42 62 49 94
Secured Loans 29.49 23.6 22.88 20.39 18.23
1,047.7 1,727.5
Unsecured Loans 0 0 79.64 6 9
TOTAL 5,747. 5,175. 4,310. 3,517. 3,210.
LIABILITIES 47 02 14 64 76
Assets
1,159. 1,061.9
Gross Block 76 0 935.03 838.7 744.26
(-) Acc.
Depreciation 419.24 362.64 304.99 249.41 208.07
740.5 630.0
Net Block 2 699.26 4 589.29 536.19
Capital Work in
Progress. 92.15 75.95 33.43 31.91 30.8
3,951. 2,694.5 1,843.5 1,057.4
Investments. 69 9 7 9 779.62
Inventories 570.14 486.74 389.63 333.38 263.41
1,055.4
Sundry Debtors 553.29 680.03 4 310 256.47
1,265.4 1,072.4 1,202.6 1,230.8
Cash And Bank 187.27 7 2 8 2
Loans And
Advances 383.34 311.42 394.13 345.82 509.25
Total Current 1,694. 2,743. 2,911. 2,191. 2,259.
Assets 04 66 62 88 95
Current Liabilities 388.45 696.34 845.73 345.23 273.3
Provisions 342.48 342.1 262.79 7.7 122.5
Total Current 730.9 1,038. 1,108.
Liabilities 3 44 52 352.93 395.8
NET CURRENT 963.1 1,705. 1,803. 1,838. 1,864.
ASSETS 1 22 10 95 15
Misc. Expenses 0 0 0 0 0
TOTAL ASSETS 5,747. 5,175. 4,310. 3,517. 3,210.
(A+B+C+D+E) 47 02 14 64 76
86
Sun Pharma Ltd - Share Holding Pattern
% Share
Holder's Name No of Shares Holding
Promoters 659830200 63.72%
ForeignInstitutions 196460091 18.97%
GeneralPublic 56410714 5.45%
OtherCompanies 51636924 4.99%
FinancialInstitutions 38977854 3.76%
NBanksMutualFunds 30076479 2.90%
Others 883923 0.09%
ForeignOcb 646455 0.06%
ForeignNRI 632395 0.06%
CentralGovt 26920 0.00%
87
Sun Pharmacy Ltd Earning Per Share
88
compare to back years it is decreases, and Overall the position of the
company is satisfactory.
1229.3
Market Price 1792.00 1111.45 5 1056.45 859.55
89
Interpretation: The above table & graph shows that increase of
Market price, and EPS, and P/E in the year 2010 & 2008 whereas compare
to back years it is decreases, but in the year 2007 Market Price and EPS is
& P/E ratio is increases hence, Overall the position of the company is
satisfactory.
90
Interpretation: In table & Graph it shows that in the year 2009 & 2010
the Dividend is same of 13.75 and DPS is also same of 0.007 as
comparing to 2006 – 2007 DPS is same of 0.003 but dividend is not same it
is 5.5 & 6.75. Overall the Financial Position of the Company is Satisfactory.
91
Interpretation: The Dividend Pay out ratio is higher in the year 2007
of 9.225 at last decreases in 2009 of 0.0001145, Overall the financial
position of the company is satisfactory.
92
Interpretation: The Dividend Yield Ratio is increases in the year 2009 of
6.298 When compare to other year but in the year 2007 it is decreases of
2.8397. Overall the financial position of the company is satisfactory.
93
Interpretation: In the year 2006 Sales is increased of 1353.01 & PAT is of
461.29, in the year 2007 sales is huge increase of 1722.13 & increase in
PAT of 628.93, In the year 2008 sales is little much increase of 2427.35 &
also PAT of 1014.04, and in the year 2009 sales increased compare to past
3 years of 2833.65 and PAT is also increased of 1265.29, whereas in the
year 2010 decrease in sales of 1891.16 and PAT is 898.65. Overall the
Position of the Company is satisfactory in the year 2009.
NATCO 53.46
AUROBINDO 90.39
DR REDDY 33.65
SUNPHARMA 35.4
Interpretation:
Average Return = (R)/N
(R) = Return of the Security for the year T
N = Number of years
95
STANDARD DEVIATIONS
CIPLA
AVG
RETURN RETURN
YEAR (R) R̅ R- R ̅ (R- R ̅)2
109.5
2006 147.27 37.74 3 11996.8209
2007 -8.77 37.74 -46.51 2163.1801
2008 -5.12 37.74 -42.86 1836.9796
2009 -0.4 37.74 -38.14 1454.6596
2010 55.77 37.74 18.03 325.0809
17776.721
TOTAL 1
Variance=1/n-1(R- R ̅) = 1/5-1(17776.7211)=4444.18
Standard Deviation = = = 66.66
NATCO
RETURN AVG
YEAR (R) RETURN R ̅ R- R ̅ (R- R ̅)2
102.7
2006 156.17 53.46 1 10549.3441
2007 6.67 53.46 -46.79 2189.3041
2008 -39.9 53.46 -93.36 8716.0896
2009 -43.48 53.46 -96.94 9397.3636
134.3
2010 187.8 53.46 4 18047.2356
TOTAL 48899.337
Variance=1/n-1(R- R ̅) = 1/5-1(48899.337)=12224.83
Standard Deviation = = = 110.56
AUROBINDO
RETURN AVG
YEAR (R) RETURN R ̅ R- R ̅ (R- R ̅)2
2006 136.02 90.39 45.63 2082.0969
2007 -1.29 90.39 -91.68 8405.2224
2008 -56.03 90.39 -146.42 21438.8164
2009 -34.8 90.39 -125.19 15672.5361
2010 408.11 90.39 317.72 100945.9984
148544.670
TOTAL 2
Variance=1/n-1(R- R ̅) = 1/5-1(148544.6702)=37136.17
Standard Deviation = = = 192.70
DR. REDDY
AVG
YEAR RETURN (R) RETURN (R) ̅ R- R ̅ (R- R ̅)2
2006 92.32 33.65 58.67 3442.1689
2007 -48.27 33.65 -81.92 6710.8864
2008 -17.36 33.65 -51.01 2602.0201
2009 -16.98 33.65 -50.63 2563.3969
2010 158.55 33.65 124.9 15600.01
TOTAL 30918.482
96
3
Variance=1/n-1(R- R ̅) = 1/5-1(30918.4823)=7729.62
Standard Deviation = = = 87.91
SUN PHARMACY
RETURN AVG
YEAR (R) RETURN(R) ̅ R- R ̅ (R- R ̅)2
2006 82.13 35.406 46.724 2183.132176
2007 22.2 35.406 -13.206 174.398436
2008 18.53 35.406 -16.876 284.799376
2009 -9.83 35.406 -45.236 2046.295696
2010 64 35.406 28.594 817.616836
TOTAL 5506.24252
Variance=1/n-1(R- R ̅) = 1/5-1(5506.24252)=1376.56
Standard Deviation = = = 37.102
STANDARD DEVIATION
CIPLA 66.66
NATCO 110.56
AUROBINDO 192.70
DR REDDY 87.91
SUNPHARMA 37.102
97
SHARE PRICE MOVEMENT OF SELECT PHARMA COMPANY
Moving Average: The Market indices do not rise or fall in straight line.
The upward and downward movements are interrupted by counter moves.
The underlying trend can be studied by smoothening of the data. The word
moving means that the body of data moves ahead to include the recent
observation. It is the 3 day moving average, on 4th day the body of data
moves to include the fourth day observation eliminating the first day
observation. Likewise it continues. In the moving average calculation,
closing price of the stock is used.
3days
CIPLA moving
DATE PRICE average
3-Jan-
11 372.5
4-Jan-
11 379.25
5-Jan-
11 376.35 376.0333333
6-Jan-
11 363.6 373.0666667
7-Jan-
11 357 365.65
10-Jan-
11 348.1 356.2333333
11-Jan-
11 346.65 350.5833333
12-Jan-
11 346.8 347.1833333
13-Jan-
11 344.5 345.9833333
14-Jan-
11 339.5 343.6
17-Jan-
11 346.8 343.6
18-Jan-
11 354.6 346.9666667
19-Jan-
11 351.55 350.9833333
20-Jan-
11 351.35 352.5
21-Jan- 354 352.3
98
11
24-Jan-
11 348.5 351.2833333
25-Jan-
11 343.15 348.55
27-Jan-
11 333.45 341.7
28-Jan-
11 335.1 337.2333333
31-Jan-
11 332.15 333.5666667
3days
moving
DATE Aurobindo average
3-Jan-11 1331.1
4-Jan-11 1359.65
5-Jan-11 1359.2 1349.983333
6-Jan-11 1355.45 1358.1
7-Jan-11 1312.7 1342.45
10-Jan-
11 1293.35 1320.5
11-Jan-
11 1295.05 1300.366667
99
12-Jan-
11 1331 1306.466667
13-Jan-
11 1297.65 1307.9
14-Jan-
11 1296.05 1308.233333
17-Jan-
11 1277.7 1290.466667
18-Jan-
11 1292.35 1288.7
19-Jan-
11 1276.5 1282.183333
20-Jan-
11 1259.95 1276.266667
21-Jan-
11 1266.4 1267.616667
24-Jan-
11 1264.05 1263.466667
25-Jan-
11 1255.55 1262
27-Jan-
11 1236.65 1252.083333
28-Jan-
11 1177.15 1223.116667
31-Jan-
11 1186.75 1200.183333
101
Interpretation: As above table and graph shows on 3 Jan DR.Reddy
open price at 1670.5 on 4th jan it increased more than 46.25 Rs. Laterly
continuously going down end of the month on 31st Jan it is closed at
1624.25 paise (1670.5-1624.25 = 46.25) It is fallen more than 2.76%.
3days
Sun moving
DATE Pharma average
3-Jan-11 487.3
4-Jan-11 489.9
5-Jan-11 488.05 488.4166667
6-Jan-11 500 492.65
7-Jan-11 493.35 493.8
10-Jan-11 477 490.1166667
11-Jan-11 475.8 482.05
12-Jan-11 485.25 479.35
13-Jan-11 483.1 481.3833333
14-Jan-11 474.8 481.05
17-Jan-11 465.4 474.4333333
18-Jan-11 484.35 474.85
103
19-Jan-11 484.45 478.0666667
20-Jan-11 488.4 485.7333333
21-Jan-11 485.35 486.0666667
24-Jan-11 484.75 486.1666667
25-Jan-11 473.7 481.2666667
27-Jan-11 461.45 473.3
28-Jan-11 448.8 461.3166667
31-Jan-11 440.85 450.3666667
OR
Formula : Opening Price – Closing Price x 100
Opening Price
104
CIPL 3 days price roc=
DATE A ago ratio ratio-100
3-Jan-
11 372.5
4-Jan-
11 379.25
5-Jan-
11 376.35
6-Jan- 0.97610
11 363.6 372.5 74 -0.0238926
7-Jan- 0.94133
11 357 379.25 16 -0.0586684
10-Jan- 0.92493
11 348.1 376.35 69 -0.0750631
11-Jan- 0.95338
11 346.65 363.6 28 -0.0466172
12-Jan- 0.97142
11 346.8 357 86 -0.0285714
13-Jan- 0.98965
11 344.5 348.1 81 -0.0103419
14-Jan- 0.97937
11 339.5 346.65 4 -0.020626
17-Jan-
11 346.8 346.8 1 0
18-Jan- 1.02931
11 354.6 344.5 79 0.02931785
19-Jan- 1.03549
11 351.55 339.5 34 0.03549337
Aurobind
20-Jan- 3 days price roc=ratio-100
11 351.35 346.8 1.01312 0.01311995
Date o 21-Jan- ago ratio
0.99830
3-Jan-11 1331.1 11 354 354.6 8 -0.001692
4-Jan-11 1359.65
24-Jan- 0.99132
5-Jan-11 1359.2 11 348.5 351.55 41 -0.0086759
25-Jan- 0.97666
6-Jan-11 1355.4511 343.151331.1
351.35 14
101.82931 1.8293141
-0.0233386
7-Jan-11 1312.7
27-Jan- 1359.65 96.546905
0.94194 -3.4530945
10-Jan-11 1293.3511 333.451359.2
354 9295.155238 -4.8447616
-0.0580508
28-Jan-
1295.05 1355.45 0.96154
95.543915 -4.4560847
11-Jan-11
11 335.1 348.5 95 -0.0384505
12-Jan-11 1331
31-Jan-
1312.7 101.39407
0.96794
1.39407328
13-Jan-11 1297.6511 332.151293.35
343.15 4 100.33247 0.33246994
-0.032056
14-Jan-11 1296.05 1295.05 100.07722 0.0772171
17-Jan-11 1277.7 1331 95.995492 -4.0045079
18-Jan-11 1292.35 1297.65 99.591569 -0.4084306
19-Jan-11 1276.5 1296.05 98.491571 -1.5084295
20-Jan-11 1259.95 1277.7 98.610785 -1.389215
21-Jan-11 1266.4 1292.35 97.99203 -2.00797
24-Jan-11 1264.05 1276.5 99.024677 -0.9753231
25-Jan-11 1255.55 1259.95 99.65078 -0.3492202
27-Jan-11 1236.65 1266.4 97.650821 -2.3491788
28-Jan-11 1177.15 1264.05 93.125272 -6.8747281
31-Jan-11 1186.75 1255.55 94.52033 -5.4796703
105
3 days
DATE Dr Reddy ago price ratio Roc=ratio-100
3-Jan-11 1670.5
4-Jan-11 1696.25
5-Jan-11 1715.25
6-Jan-11 1716.35 1670.5 102.74469 2.744687219
7-Jan-11 1672.65 1696.25 98.608696 -1.391304348
10-Jan-11 1654.35 1715.25 96.449497 -3.550502842
11-Jan-11 1670.9 1716.35 97.351939 -2.648061293
12-Jan-11 1669.4 1672.65 99.805698 -0.194302454
13-Jan-11 1642.2 1654.35 99.265573 -0.734427419
14-Jan-11 1651.45 1670.9 98.835957 -1.16404333
17-Jan-11 1640.7 1669.4 98.280819 -1.719180544
18-Jan-11 1671.65 1642.2 101.79333 1.793326026
19-Jan-11 1657.85 1651.45 100.38754 0.387538224
20-Jan-11 1666.25 1640.7 101.55726 1.557262144
21-Jan-11 1651.95 1671.65 98.821524 -1.178476356
24-Jan-11 1636.1 1657.85 98.68806 -1.311940163
25-Jan-11 1578.85 1666.25 94.754689 -5.245311328
27-Jan-11 1555.05 1651.95 94.134205 -5.86579497
28-Jan-11 1563.3 1636.1 95.550394 -4.44960577
31-Jan-11 1624.25 1578.85 102.87551 2.875510656
106
NATC
DATE O 3 days ago price ratio roc=ratio-100
3-Jan-11 312.45
4-Jan-11 319.25
5-Jan-11 318.2
6-Jan-11 310.15 312.45 99.263882 -0.736117779
7-Jan-11 301.9 319.25 94.565388 -5.434612373
10-Jan-11 294.15 318.2 92.44186 -7.558139535
11-Jan-11 288.9 310.15 93.148477 -6.851523456
12-Jan-11 297.9 301.9 98.675058 -1.324942034
13-Jan-11 291.3 294.15 99.031107 -0.968893422
14-Jan-11 287.5 288.9 99.515403 -0.484596746
17-Jan-11 284.3 297.9 95.43471 -4.565290366
18-Jan-11 292.35 291.3 100.36045 0.360453141
19-Jan-11 287.4 287.5 99.965217 -0.034782609
20-Jan-11 305.6 284.3 107.49209 7.492085825
21-Jan-11 300.45 292.35 102.77065 2.770651616
24-Jan-11 302.7 287.4 105.32359 5.323590814
25-Jan-11 297.5 305.6 97.349476 -2.65052356
27-Jan-11 297.15 300.45 98.901648 -1.098352471
28-Jan-11 285.55 302.7 94.334324 -5.665675586
31-Jan-11 279.6 297.5 93.983193 -6.016806723
107
Sun 3 days price roc=ratio-
Date Pharma ago ratio 100
3-Jan-11 487.3
4-Jan-11 489.9
5-Jan-11 488.05
6-Jan-11 500 487.3 102.6062 2.606197414
7-Jan-11 493.35 489.9 100.70423 0.704225352
10-Jan-
11 477 488.05 97.735888 -2.264112284
11-Jan-
11 475.8 500 95.16 -4.84
12-Jan-
11 485.25 493.35 98.358164 -1.641836424
13-Jan-
11 483.1 477 101.27883 1.278825996
14-Jan-
11 474.8 475.8 99.789828 -0.210172341
17-Jan-
11 465.4 485.25 95.909325 -4.09067491
18-Jan-
11 484.35 483.1 100.25875 0.258745601
19-Jan-
11 484.45 474.8 102.03243 2.032434709
20-Jan-
11 488.4 465.4 104.94199 4.941985389
21-Jan- 485.35 484.35 100.20646 0.206462269
108
11
24-Jan-
11 484.75 484.45 100.06193 0.061925895
25-Jan-
11 473.7 488.4 96.990172 -3.00982801
27-Jan-
11 461.45 485.35 95.075719 -4.924281446
28-Jan-
11 448.8 484.75 92.583806 -7.416193914
31-Jan-
11 440.85 473.7 93.065231 -6.934768841
Note: RS =
109
Date Cipla Gain Loss
3-Jan-11 372.5 0 0
4-Jan-11 379.25 6.75 0
5-Jan-11 376.35 0 2.9
6-Jan-11 363.6 0 12.75
7-Jan-11 357 0 6.6
10-Jan-
11 348.1 0 8.9
11-Jan-
11 346.65 0 1.45
12-Jan-
11 346.8 0.15 0
13-Jan-
11 344.5 0 2.3
14-Jan-
11 339.5 0 5
17-Jan-
11 346.8 7.3 0
18-Jan-
11 354.6 7.8 0
19-Jan-
11 351.55 0 3.05
20-Jan-
11 351.35 0 0.2
21-Jan-
11 354 2.65 0
24-Jan-
11 348.5 0 5.5
25-Jan-
11 343.15 0 5.35
27-Jan-
11 333.45 0 9.7
Rule of RSI: If 28-Jan-
RSI crosses 11 335.1 1.65 0
31-Jan-
seventy there 11 332.15 0 2.95
total 26.3 66.65
may be
4.3833 5.5541
downturn and it Average 33 67
0.7891
is time to sell. If RS 97
the RSI falls 44.190
RSI 9
below thirty it is
time to pick up the scrip. If the share price is falling and RSI is rising, a
divergence is said to have occurred. Divergence indicates the turning
point of the market. If the RSI is rising in the overbought zone, it would
indicate the downfall of the price.
110
If RSI falls in the overbought zone, it gives a clear signal of ‘sell’. The term
‘overbought’ describes the price level at which momentum can no longer
be maintained and the price has to go down. This condition occurs after a
sharp rise in price during a period of heavy buying. When the RSI is in the
oversold region, it generates the buy signal. The term oversold is used to
describe a security or market that has declined unreasonably low level.
This condition is characterized by an increase in sales and excess of net
declines.
111
Aurobind
Date o Gain Loss
3-Jan-11 1331.1 0 0
4-Jan-11 1359.65 28.55 0
5-Jan-11 1359.2 0 0.45
6-Jan-11 1355.45 0 3.75
7-Jan-11 1312.7 0 42.75
10-Jan-11 1293.35 0 19.35
11-Jan-11 1295.05 1.7 0
12-Jan-11 1331 0 35.95
13-Jan-11 1297.65 33.35 0
14-Jan-11 1296.05 0 1.6
17-Jan-11 1277.7 0 18.35
18-Jan-11 1292.35 0 14.65
19-Jan-11 1276.5 0 15.85
20-Jan-11 1259.95 0 16.55
21-Jan-11 1266.4 6.45 0
24-Jan-11 1264.05 0 2.35
25-Jan-11 1255.55 0 8.5
27-Jan-11 1236.65 0 18.9
28-Jan-11 1177.15 0 59.5
31-Jan-11 1186.75 9.6 0
total 79.65 258.5
18.464
Average 15.93 29
0.8627
RS 47
46.315
RSI 84
112
Date Natco Gain Loss
3-Jan-11 312.45 0 0
4-Jan-11 319.25 6.8 0
5-Jan-11 318.2 0 1.05
6-Jan-11 310.15 0 8.05
7-Jan-11 301.9 0 8.25
10-Jan-11 294.15 0 7.75
11-Jan-11 288.9 0 5.25
12-Jan-11 297.9 9 0
13-Jan-11 291.3 0 6.6
14-Jan-11 287.5 0 3.8
17-Jan-11 284.3 0 3.2
18-Jan-11 292.35 8.05 0
19-Jan-11 287.4 4.95 0
20-Jan-11 305.6 18.2 0
21-Jan-11 300.45 0 5.15
24-Jan-11 302.7 2.25 0
25-Jan-11 297.5 0 5.2
27-Jan-11 297.15 0 0.35
28-Jan-11 285.55 0 11.6
31-Jan-11 279.6 0 5.95
total 49.25 72.2
5.5538
Average 9.85 46
1.7735
RS 46
63.945
RSI 07
113
Date Sun Pharma Gain Loss
3-Jan-11 487.3 0 0
4-Jan-11 489.9 2.6 0
5-Jan-11 488.05 0 1.85
6-Jan-11 500 11.95 0
7-Jan-11 493.35 0 6.65
10-Jan-
11 477 0 16.35
11-Jan-
11 475.8 0 1.2
12-Jan-
11 485.25 9.45 0
13-Jan-
11 483.1 0 2.15
14-Jan-
11 474.8 0 8.3
17-Jan-
11 465.4 0 9.4
18-Jan-
11 484.35 18.95 0
19-Jan-
11 484.45 0.1 0
20-Jan-
11 488.4 3.95 0
21-Jan-
11 485.35 0 3.05
24-Jan-
11 484.75 0 0.6
25-Jan-
11 473.7 0 11.05
27-Jan-
11 461.45 0 12.25
28-Jan-
11 448.8 0 12.65
31-Jan-
11 440.85 0 7.95
total 47 93.45
7.8333 7.1884
Average 33 62
1.0897
RS 09
52.146
RSI 45
114
Interpretation: Cipla is showing RSI 44.19% & Aurobindo showing RSI
46.31% Dr. Reddy RSI 46.9%, NATCO RSI 63.9%, Sun pharmacy RSI
52.14% Cipla & Aurobindo, Dr.Reddy is nearly oversold position if it is
fallen another 10 to 13% it can start buying in above companies NATCO if
it is increase 7% we can sell NATCO, Sunpharma continuously moving
constantly.
(FINDINGS,
SUGGESTIONS
AND CONCLUSIONS)
115
FINDINGS
DR. REDDY
1. There is an increase in Sales Turnover, as sales turnover increases
the Operating Profit is also increases, and EBIT is increases,
Reported PAT, & issuing of shares, and atlast EPS is increases in the
year 2010.
116
4. Price Earnings Ratio is increases in 2010 which shown in Graph of
25.44.
AUROBINDO
117
3. Earnings Per Share is increases in 2010 which shown in Graph of
94.34.
CIPLA
NATCO
119
Reported PAT, & issuing of shares, and atlast EPS is increases in the
year 2010.
120
Sun Pharmacy
121
SUGGESTIONS
Dr. Reddy:
1. The Dr.Reddy Labs increases its EPS in the year 2007 of 70.09 but
decreases in the year 2010 of 50.11 hence it should be improved.
2. The Dr.Reddy Labs increases its P/E in the year 2006 of 51.6 but
decreases in the year 2010 of 25.44 hence it should be improved.
3. The Dividend Pay Out Ratio is increases in the year 2009 of 8.0234
and decreases in 2010 of 5.909 hence, it should be improved.
8. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) of Dr. Reddy Labs is 46.9 Price
hence it should be nearer to Oversold Region.
Aurobindo:
1. The Aurobindo Pharma increases its P/E in the year 2006 of 52.7 but
decreases in the year 2010 of 10.16 hence it should be improved.
123
5. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) of Aurobindo Pharma is 46.3 Price
hence it should be nearer to Oversold Region.
Cipla:
1. The Cipla increases its EPS in the year 2006 of 20.26 but decreases in
the year 2010 of 13.46 hence it should be improved.
2. The Cipla increases its P/E in the year 2006 of 32.68 but decreases in
the year 2010 of 25.14 hence it should be improved.
3. The Dividend Per Share of Dr. Reddy Lab is decreases in the year
2010 of 0.000249, and it is constant of 0.000257 in 2007, 2008, 2009.
4. The Dividend Pay Out Ratio is increases in the year 2006 of 3.2922
and decreases in 2010 of 1.8499 hence, it should be improved.
124
5. In Cipla Ltd Average Return is less than the Average Risk i.e., 37.74 <
192.70 hence return should be improved.
6. The moving Average of Cipla is fallen by 11% means the Price of the
share is decreases hence it should be improved.
NATCO:
1. The Cipla increases its P/E in the year 2006 & 2007 of 15.26 & 13.14
but decreases in the year 2010 of 7.87 hence it should be improved.
125
2. The Dividend Pay Out Ratio is increases in the year 2006 of 0.0005707
and decreases in 2010 by 0.4134 hence, it should be improved.
3. In NATCO Ltd Average Return is less than the Average Risk i.e.,
4. The moving Average of Natco is fallen by 11% means the Price of the
share is decreases hence it should be improved.
Sun Pharmacy:
1. The Sun Pharma increases its EPS in the year 2009 of 61.09 but
decreases in the year 2010 of 43.39 hence it should be improved.
126
2. The Dividend Yield Ratio is increases in 2009 of 6.298 but it is
decreases in 2010 by 3.90 hence the improvement must be made by
issuing shares to the investor.
4. In Sun Pharma Average Return is less than the Average Risk i.e.,
5. The moving Average of Sun Pharma is fallen by 10% means the Price
of the share is decreases hence it should be improved.
6. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) of Sun Pharma is 52.14 Price hence it
should be nearer to Oversold Region.
CONCLUSION
127
In my project, I have taken five Companies in a select Pharma Industry,
i.e, Dr. Reddy Labs Ltd, Aurobindo Pharma, Cipla Ltd, NATCO, Sun
Pharmacy. As Dr. Reddy, being the most preferred sector among the
investors, I have taken the base Dr. Reddy Labs to compare with other
industries in regard of Trend Analysis, Price Earning Multiple, Earning
Per share Dividend Per share, Dividend Pay Out Ratio.
Can conclude the Dr. Reddy Labs is an better option for the investors to
invest i.e. to give it a first preference then the preference goes to other
Pharmaceutical companies.
Dr. Reddy
1. The Sales Turnover is increases and overall the Profit margin is high.
2. The EPS, DPS and Dividend Payout ratio is satisfactory.
3. The Share Price movement is fallen hence it should be improved.
Aurobindo:
1. The Sales Turnover is increases and overall the Profit margin is high.
2. The EPS, DPS and Dividend Pay out ratio is satisfactory.
3. The Share Price movement is fallen by 11% hence it should be
improved
Cipla:
1. The Sales Turnover is increases and overall the Profit margin is high.
2. The Dividend Pay out, Return & Risk, DPS decreases.
3. The Share Price movement is fallen by 11% hence it should be
improved.
128
NATCO:
1.The P/E, Return & Risk, Dividend Payout ratio, Moving average
decreases.
Sun Pharmacy:
1. EPS, Dividend Yield Ratio, Sales Turnover, Moving Average, Return is
decreases.
129
BIBLOGRAPHY
Books:-
INVESTMENTS
- Punithavathy Pandian
• Financial Management
Web References :-
• http://nseindia.com
• http://www.bseindia.com
• http://www.investopedia.com
• http://www.hseindia.org
• http://www.hseindia.org
• http://www.economictimes.com
• http://www.business-standard.com
• http://www.investmartindia.com
130
The study Reveals that ther exist very high fluctuations in return of
pharmaceutical industry. High fluctuations in return indicate high risk
,enters the possibility of gain & loss will be very high in the particular
period Variations in return Cipla was high in February when compare to
other companies Return , aurob variation , dr.reddy had moderate
variance, Risk iis very high, Cipla has high risk, then return Cipla stock
prices decline , moderate increase, stabilize. Stock price of aurbindo
increasingly then fall Closing prce decrease , in 2 months stabilize The
overall study results that investin in variety of securities will minimize
the possibility tof risk to some extent. They is a very high risk in return
of selected Pharma company, but it can be minimize, if we see the
volatility in price movement is very high in all companies. Thus
investing in a particular stock will be more risky. When compare to
portfolio securities..
132
BIBLOGRAPHY
Books:-
Websites:-
• http://Inventorymanagement.com
• http://www.inventorymanagementguide.co.uk
• http://www.google.com
Company Website:-
• http://www.lgindia.com
• http://www.sso.lge.com
133