Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
LIMITED
Submitted by
Raunak Chandra Prasad
BBA (B&I)-Semester VI
Enrl. No.0781221807
Hence, I would like to acknowledge all of their valuable support and convey
humble gratitude to them.
I would also like to thanks our respected Director Sir Dr. Narinder Mohan
and the faculty member and staff member of Delhi college of advance
studies for their kind support and help during the project work.
DECLARATION
There are two methods generally being adopted to collect the data i.e. from
the Primary sources or from the Secondary sources. Data can be of two
types:
Primary sources: Any data which have been gathered earlier for some
other purpose are secondary data in the hands of the researchers. In contrast,
those data collected at first hand either by the researcher or by someone else
especially are for the purpose of study are known as primary data.
Thus, primary data collected by one person may become the secondary data
for another.
Secondary sources: In some cases the researcher may realise the need for
collecting first hand information. As in the case of everyday life, if we want
to have first hand information or any happening or event, we either ask
someone who knows about it or we observe it ourselves, we do the both.
Thus, the two methods by which primary data can be collected are
Observation and Communication.
The data collected for this project has been taken from secondary
sources. Various books of some famous authors have been uses to make this
project. Also we have taken help of some websites concern this project.
Limitations
1. Though it has been tried to provide all the information required, all
3. Given the topic the information available was very vast and hence to
determine the appropriate information was very difficult given the
specific requirements.
Introduction Of Financial Market And Capital Market
Capital Market
The capital market is the market for securities, where companies and
governments can raise long term funds. Selling stock and selling bonds are
two ways to generate capital and long term funds. Thus bond markets and
stock markets are considered capital markets. The capital markets consist of
the primary market, where new issues are distributed to investors, and the
secondary market, where existing securities are traded .The Indian Equity
Markets and the Indian Debt markets together form the Indian Capital
markets Indian Equity Market at present is a lucrative field for investors.
Indian stocks are profitable not only for long and medium-term investors but
also the position traders, short-term swing traders and also very short term
intra-day traders. In India as on December 30 2007, market capitalization
(BSE 500) at US$ 1638 billion was 150 per cent of GDP, matching well
with other emerging economies and selected matured markets. For a
developing economy like India, debt markets are crucial sources of capital
funds. The debt market in India is amongst the largest in Asia. It includes
government securities, public sector undertakings, other government bodies,
financial institutions, banks and companies.
Financial Market
Both general markets (where many commodities are traded) and specialized
markets (where only one commodity is traded) exist. Markets work by
placing many interested buyers and sellers in one "place", thus making
easier for them to find each other. An economy which relies primarily on
interactions between buyers and sellers to allocate resources is known as
a market economy in contrast either to a command economy or to a non-
market economy such as a gift economy.
Typically a borrower issues a receipt to the lender promising to pay back the
capital. These receipts are securities which may be freely bought or sold. In
return for lending money to the borrower, the lender will expect some
compensation in the form of interest or dividends.
The term "market" is sometimes used for what are more strictly exchanges,
organizations that facilitate the trade in financial securities, e.g., a stock
exchange or commodity. This may be a physical location (like the NYSE) or
an electronic system (like NASDAQ). Much trading of stocks takes place on
an exchange; still, corporate actions (merger, spinoff) are outside an
exchange, while any two companies or people, for whatever reason, may
agree to sell stock from the one to the other without using an exchange.
STOCK MARKET
The size of the world stock market was estimated at about $36.6 trillion US
at the beginning of October 2008. The total world derivatives market has
been estimated at about $791 trillion face or nominal value, 11 times the
size of the entire world economy. The value of the derivatives market,
because it is stated in terms of notional values, cannot be directly compared
to a stock or a fixed income security, which traditionally refers to an actual
value. Moreover, the vast majority of derivatives 'cancel' each other out (i.e.,
a derivative 'bet' on an event occurring is offset by a comparable derivative
'bet' on the event not occurring.). Many such relatively illiquid securities are
valued as marked to model, rather than an actual market price.
The stocks are listed and traded on stock exchanges which are entities of a
corporation or mutual organization specialized in the business of bringing
buyers and sellers of the organizations to a listing of stocks and securities
together. The stock market in the United States is NYSE while in Canada, it
is the Toronto Stock Exchange. Major European examples of stock
exchanges include the London Stock Exchange, Paris Bourse, and
the Deutsche Börse. Asian examples include the Tokyo Stock Exchange,
the Exchange, the Bombay Stock Exchange and the Karachi Stock
Exchange. In Latin America, there are such exchanges as the BM&F
Bovespa and the BMV
Trading
Some exchanges are physical locations where transactions are carried out on
a trading floor, by a method known as open outcry. This type of auction is
used in stock exchanges and commodity exchanges where traders may enter
"verbal" bids and offers simultaneously. The other type of stock exchange is
a virtual kind, composed of a network of computers where trades are made
electronically via traders.
Once a trade has been made the details are reported on the "tape" and sent
back to the brokerage firm, which then notifies the investor who placed the
order. Although there is a significant amount of human contact in this
process, computers play an important role, especially for so-called "program
trading".
The NASDAQ is a virtual listed exchange, where all of the trading is done
over a computer network. The process is similar to the New York Stock
Exchange. However, buyers and sellers are electronically matched. One or
more NASDAQ market makers will always provide a bid and ask price at
which they will always purchase or sell 'their' stock.
The Paris Bourse, now part of Euro next, is an order-driven, electronic stock
exchange. It was automated in the late 1980s. Prior to the 1980s, it consisted
of an open outcry exchange. Stockbrokers met on the trading floor or the
Palais Brongniart. In 1986, the CATS trading system was introduced, and
the order matching process was fully automated.
Now that computers have eliminated the need for trading floors like
the Big Board's, the balance of power in equity markets is shifting.
By bringing more orders in-house, where clients can move big
blocks of stock anonymously, brokers pay the exchanges less in fees
and capture a bigger share of the $11 billion a year that
institutional investors pay in trading commissions as well as the
surplus of the century had taken place.
The stock market is one of the most important sources for companies to
raise money. This allows businesses to be publicly traded, or raise
additional capital for expansion by selling shares of ownership of
the company in a public market. The liquidity that an exchange
provides affords investors the ability to quickly and easily sell
securities. This is an attractive feature of investing in stocks,
compared to other less liquid investments such as real estate.
History has shown that the price of shares and other assets is an
important part of the dynamics of economic activity, and can
influence or be an indicator of social mood. An economy where the
stock market is on the rise is considered to be an up and coming
economy. In fact, the stock market is often considered the primary
indicator of a country's economic strength and development.
Rising share prices, for instance, tend to be associated with
increased business investment and vice versa. Share prices also
affect the wealth of households and their consumption.
Therefore ,central banks tend to keep an eye on the control and
behavior of the stock market and, in general, on the smooth
operation of financial system functions. Exchanges also act as the
clearinghouse for each transaction, meaning that they collect and
deliver the shares, and guarantee payment to the seller of a
security. This eliminates the risk to an individual buyer or seller
that the counterparty could default on the transaction. The smooth
functioning of all these activities facilitates economic growth in that
lower costs and enterprise risks promote the production of goods
and services as well as employment. In this way the financial
system contributes to increased prosperity. An important aspect of
modern financial markets, however, including the stock markets, is
absolute discretion. For example, American stock markets see
more unrestrained acceptance of any firm than in smaller markets.
Over a sixty-year period, for year ended 2009, on a Total Return Basis,
the S&P 500 Index year-to-year grew at an average annualized rate
of 9.2%; on a compounded basis an average annualized rate of
5.6%.
Irrational Behavior
The Dow Jones Industrial Average biggest gain in one day was 936.42
points or 11 percent, this occurred on October 13, 2008.
Crashes
LEVERAGE STRATEGY
Stock that a trader does not actually own may be traded using short
selling; margin buying may be used to purchase stock with
borrowed funds; or, derivatives may be used to control large
blocks of stocks for a much smaller amount of money than would
be required by outright purchase or sale.
BOND MARKET :The bond market (also known as the debt, credit,
or fixed income market) is a financial market where participants
buy and sell debt securities, usually in the form of bonds. As of
2009, the size of the worldwide bond market (total debt
outstanding) is an estimated $82.2 trillion , of which the size of the
outstanding U.S. bond market debt was $31.2 trillion according to
BIS (or alternatively $34.3 trillion according to SIFMA). Nearly all
of the $822 billion average daily trading volume in the U.S. bond
market takes place between broker-dealers and large institutions
in a decentralized, over the counter market(OTC).
Bond Investment
Spot Trading
Oil
There are signs, however, that this regime is far from perfect. U.S. trade
sanctions against Canadian softwood lumber (within NAFTA) and
foreign steel (except for NAFTA partners Canada and Mexico) in
2002 signaled a shift in policy towards a tougher regime perhaps
more driven by political concerns - jobs, industrial policy, even
sustainable forestry and logging practices.
Money Market
The money market is a component of the financial markets for assets
involved in short-term borrowing and lending with original
maturities of one year or shorter time frames. Trading in the
money markets involves Treasury bills, commercial
paper, bankers' acceptances, certificates of deposit, federal funds,
and short-lived mortgage-backed and asset-backed securities. It
provides liquidity funding for the global financial system.
In the United States, federal, state and local governments all issue paper
to meet funding needs. States and local governments
issue municipal paper, while the US Treasury issues Treasury
bills to fund the US public debt. Trading companies often
purchase bankers' acceptances to be tendered for payment to
overseas suppliers.
Futures Markets
Futures exchanges, such as Euro next .life and the Chicago Mercantile
Exchange, trade in standardized derivative contracts. These
are options contract sand futures contracts on a whole range
of underlying products. The members of the exchange hold
positions in these contracts with the exchange, who acts as
central counterparty. When one party goes long (buys) a futures
contract, another goes short (sells). When a new contract is
introduced, the total position in the contract is zero. Therefore, the
sum of all the long positions must be equal to the sum of all the
short positions. In other words, risk is transferred from one party
to another. The total notional amount of all the outstanding
positions at the end of June 2004 stood at $53 trillion.
Insurance
As such, it has been referred to as the market closest to the ideal perfect
competition, notwithstanding market manipulation by central banks.[citation
needed] According to the Bank for International Settlements, average daily
turnover in global foreign exchange markets is estimated at $3.98 trillion as
of April 2007. Trading in the world's main financial markets accounted for
$3.21 trillion of this. This approximately $3.21 trillion in main foreign
exchange market turnover was broken down as follows:
(C) Asset market model: views currencies as an important asset class for
constructing investment portfolios. Assets prices are influenced
mostly by people’s willingness to hold the existing quantities of
assets, which in turn depends on their expectations on the future
worth of these assets.
For example, suppose A and B make Rs. 50,000 in one year, but they only
spend Rs.40,000 that year. They can invest the 10,000 - their savings -
in a mutual fund investing in stocks and bonds all over the world. They
know that making such an investment is riskier than keeping the 10,000
at home or in a savings account. But they hope that over the long-term
the investment will yield greater returns than cash holdings or interest
on a savings account. The borrowers in this example are the companies
that issued the stocks or bonds that are part of the mutual fund
portfolio. Because the companies have spending needs that exceeds
their income, they finance their spending needs by issuing securities in
the capital markets.
The Structure of Capital Markets
Primary markets:
The primary market is where new securities (stocks and bonds are the most
common) are issued. The corporation or government agency that needs
funds (the borrower) issues securities to purchasers in the primary
market. Big investment banks assist in this issuing process. The banks
underwrite the securities. That is, they guarantee a minimum price for a
business's securities and sell them to the public. Since the primary
market is limited to issuing new securities only, it is of lesser
importance than the secondary market.
The primary market is that part of the capital markets that deals with
the issuance of new securities. Companies, governments or public
sector institutions can obtain funding through the sale of a
new stock or bond issue. This is typically done through a syndicate
of securities dealers. The process of selling new issues to investors is
called underwriting. In the case of a new stock issue, this sale is
an initial public offering (IPO). Dealers earn a commission that is
built into the price of the security offering, though it can be found
in the prospectus.
Financial Institution
1) Deposit -taking institutions that accept and manage deposits and make
loans (this category includes banks, credit unions, trust companies, and
mortgage loan companies);
Secondary market:
The vast majority of capital transactions, take place in the secondary market.
The secondary market includes stock exchanges (like the New York
Stock Exchange and the Tokyo Nikkei), bond markets, and futures and
options markets, among others. All of these secondary markets deal in
the trade of securities.
The secondary market, also known as the aftermarket, is the financial
market where previously issued securities and financial
instruments such as stock, bonds, options, and futures are bought
and sold. The term "secondary market" is also used to refer to the
market for any used goods or assets, or an alternative use for an
existing product or asset where the customer base is the second
market (for example, corn has been traditionally used primarily
for food production and feedstock, but a "second" or "third"
market has developed for use in ethanol production). Another
commonly referred to usage of secondary market term is to refer to
loans which are sold by a mortgage bank to investors such
as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. With primary issuances of
securities or financial instruments, or the primary market,
investors purchase these securities directly from issuers such as
corporations issuing shares in an IPO or private placement, or
directly from the federal government in the case of treasuries.
After the initial issuance, investors can purchase from other
investors in the secondary market. The secondary market for a
variety of assets can vary from loans to stocks, from fragmented to
centralized, and from illiquid to very liquid. The major stock
exchanges are the most visible example of liquid secondary
markets - in this case, for stocks of publicly traded companies.
Exchanges such as the New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq and
the American Stock Exchange provide a centralized, liquid
secondary market for the investors who own stocks that trade on
those exchanges. Most bonds and structured products trade “over
the counter,” or by phoning the bond desk of one’s broker-dealer.
Loans sometimes trade online using a Loan Exchange. Secondary
marketing is vital to an efficient and modern capital market. In
the secondary market, securities are sold by and transferred from
one investor or speculator to another. It is therefore important that
the secondary market be highly liquid (originally, the only way to
create this liquidity was for investors and speculators to meet at a
fixed place regularly; this is how stock exchanges originated,
see History of the Stock Exchange). As a general rule, the greater
the number of investors that participate in a given marketplace,
and the greater the centralization of that marketplace, the more
liquid the market. Fundamentally, secondary markets mesh the
investor's preference for liquidity (i.e., the investor's desire not to
tie up his or her money for a long period of time, in case the
investor needs it to deal with unforeseen circumstances) with the
capital user's preference to be able to use the capital for an
extended period of time.
SECURITIES
Equity Security: When investors (savers) buy stock, they become owners
of a "share" of a company's assets and earnings. If a company is
successful, the price that investors are willing to pay for its stock will
often rise and shareholders who bought stock at a lower price then
stand to make a profit. If a company does not do well, however, its
stock may decrease in value and shareholders can lose money. Stock
prices are also subject to both general economic and industry-specific
market factors. In our example, if Carlos and Anna put their money in
stocks, they are buying equity in the company that issued the stock.
Conversely, the company can issue stock to obtain extra funds. It must
then share its cash flows with the stock purchasers, known as
stockholders.
Funds can be raised in the primary market from the domestic market as well
as from international markets. After the reforms were initiated in 1991,
one of the major policy changes was allowing Indian companies to
raise resources by way of equity issues in the international markets.
Earlier, only debt was allowed to be raised from international markets.
In the early 1990s foreign exchange reserves had depleted and the
country’s rating had been downgraded. This resulted in a foreign
exchange crunch and the government was unable to meet the import
requirement of Indian companies. Hence allowing companies to tap the
equity and bond market In Europe seemed a more sensible option. This
permission encourages Indian companies to become global.
Introduction:
ADR stands for American Depository Receipt. Similarly, GDR stands for
Global Depository Receipt. Every publicly traded company issues
shares – and these shares are listed and traded on various stock
exchanges. Thus, companies in India issue shares which are traded on
Indian stock exchanges like BSE (The Stock Exchange, Mumbai), NSE
(National Stock Exchange), etc. These shares are sometimes also listed
and traded on foreign stock exchanges like NYSE(New York Stock
Exchange) or NASDAQ (National Association of Securities Dealers
Automated Quotation).But to list on a foreign stock exchange, the
company has to comply with the policies of those stock exchanges.
Many times, the policies of these exchanges in US or Europe are much
more stringent than the policies of the exchanges in India. This deters
these companies from listing on foreign stock exchanges directly. But
many good companies get listed on these stock exchanges indirectly –
using ADRs and GDRs.
1. The company deposits a large number of its shares with a bank located in
the country where it wants to list indirectly. The bank issues receipts
against these shares, each receipt having a fixed number of shares as an
underlying (Usually 2 or 4).
2. These receipts are then sold to the people of this foreign country (and
anyone who are allowed to buy shares in that country). These receipts
are listed on the stock exchanges.
3. They behave exactly like regular stocks – their prices fluctuate
depending on their demand and supply, and depending on the
fundamentals of the underlying company.
4. These receipts, which are traded like ordinary stocks, are called
Depository Receipts. Each receipt amounts to a claim on the predefined
number of shares of that company. The issuing bank acts as a
depository for these shares – that is, it stores the shares on behalf of the
receipt holders.
Definitions:
One ADR may represent a portion of a foreign share, one share or a bundle
of shares of a foreign corporation.
Pricing of ADR:
Dividend payments:
When dividends are paid, the custodian bank receives it and withholds any
foreign taxes, exchanges it for U.S. dollars, then sends it to the
depositary bank, which then sends it to the investors. The depositary
bank, being a U.S. bank, handles most of the interaction with the U.S.
investors, such as rights offerings, stock splits, and stock dividends, but
sponsored ADR investors may receive communications, such as
financial statements, directly from the company.
Risks involved:
Debt securities:
For a developing economy like India, debt markets are crucial sources of
capital funds. The debt market in India is amongst the largest in Asia. It
includes government securities, public sector undertakings, other
government bodies, financial institutions, banks and companies. The
debt markets in India is divided into three segments, viz., Government
Securities, Public Sector Units (PSU) bonds, and corporate securities.
The market for Government Securities comprises the Centre, State and
State-sponsored securities. Government securities (G-secs) or gilts are
sovereign securities, which are issued by the Reserve Bank of India
(RBI) on behalf of the Government of India (GOI). The GOI uses these
funds to meet its expenditure commitments. The PSU bonds are
generally treated as surrogates of sovereign paper, sometimes due to
explicit guarantee and often due to the comfort of public ownership.
Some of the PSU bonds are tax free, while most bonds including
government securities are not tax-free. The RBI also issues tax-free
bonds, called the 6.5% RBI relief bonds, which is a popular category of
tax-free bonds in the market. Corporate bond markets comprise of
commercial paper and bonds.
These bonds typically are structured to suit the requirements of investors and
the issuing corporate, and include a variety of tailor- made features
with respect to interest payments and redemption.
PARTICIPANTS IN THE DEBT MARKETS
1. Central Government:-
Reserve Bank Of India (RBI), the central bank of the country, acts as
investment banker to the government, raises funds for the government
through bond and T-bill issues, and also participates in the market
through open- market operations, in the course of conduct of monetary
policy.
3. Primary dealers:-
Public Sector Units are large issuers of debt securities, for raising funds to
meet the long term and working capital needs.
6. Corporate treasuries:-
Corporate treasuries issue short and long term paper to meet the financial
requirements of the corporate sector.
7. Banks:-
Commercial banks are the largest investors in the debt markets, particularly
the treasury bill and G-sec markets. They have a statutory requirement
to hold a certain percentage of their deposits (currently the mandatory
requirement is 24% of deposits) in approved securities (all government
bonds qualify) to satisfy the statutory liquidity requirements.
8. Mutual funds :-
Mutual Funds have emerged as another important player in the debt markets,
owing primarily to the growing number of bond funds that have mobilized
significant amounts from the investors.
9. Foreign Institutional Investors:-
Foreign Institutional Investors are permitted to invest in Dated Government
Securities and Treasury Bills within certain specified limits.
10. Provident funds:-
Provident funds are large investors in the bond markets, as the prudential
regulations governing the deployment of the funds they mobilize, mandate
investments pre-dominantly in treasury and PSU bonds.
FEATURES OF CAPITAL MARKET
This is the market for new long term equity capital. The primary
market is the market where the securities are sold for the first time.
Therefore it is also called the new issue market (NIM).
In a primary issue, the securities are issued by the company directly to
investors.
The company receives the money and issues new security certificates to
the investors.
Primary issues are used by companies for the purpose of setting up new
business or for expanding or modernizing the existing business.
The primary market performs the crucial function of facilitating capital
formation in the economy.
The new issue market does not include certain other sources of new long
term external finance, such as loans from financial institutions.
Borrowers in the new issue market may be raising capital for
converting private capital into public capital; this is known as
"going public."
The financial assets sold can only be redeemed by the original holder.
The following table illustrates where financial markets fit in the
relationship between lenders and borrowers:
Interbank Individuals
Banks
Stock Exchange Companies
Individuals Insurance Companies
Money Market Central Government
Companies Pension Funds
Bond Market Municipalities
Mutual Funds
Foreign Exchange Public Corporations
Individuals
Many individuals are not aware that they are lenders, but almost everybody
does lend money in many ways. A person lends money when he or she:
Companies
There are a few companies that have very strong cash flows. These
companies tend to be lenders rather than borrowers. Such companies may
decide to return cash to lenders (e.g. via a share buyback.) Alternatively,
they may seek to make more money on their cash by lending it (e.g.
investing in bonds and stocks.)
Borrowers
Individuals borrow money via bankers' loans for short term needs or longer
term mortgages to help finance a house purchase.
Companies borrow money to aid short term or long term cash flows. They
also borrow to fund modernisation or future business expansion.
Municipalities and local authorities may borrow in their own name as well
as receiving funding from national governments. In the UK, this would
cover an authority like Hampshire County Council.
Many borrowers have difficulty raising money locally. They need to borrow
internationally with the aid of Foreign exchange markets.
Derivative products
During the 1980s and 1990s, a major growth sector in financial markets is
the trade in so called derivative products, or derivatives for short.
In the financial markets, stock prices, bond prices, currency rates, interest
rates and dividends go up and down, creating risk. Derivative products are
financial products which are used to control risk or
paradoxically exploit risk. It is also called financial economics.
Currency markets
Seemingly, the most obvious buyers and sellers of currency are importers
and exporters of goods. While this may have been true in the distant past,
when international trade created the demand for currency markets, importers
and exporters now represent only 1/32 of foreign exchange dealing,
according to the Bank for International Settlements.
• Banks/Institutions
• Speculators
• Government spending (for example, military bases abroad)
• Importers/Exporters
• Tourists
Reliance was the first Indian company to issue GDR in 1992. Since 1993,
number of Indian companies successfully tapped the global capital markets
& raised capital through GDR or foreign currency bond issues. Though there
was a temporary setback due to Asian crisis in 1997. Since 1999 even IT
majors have stepped the bandwagon of international markets & raised
capital. The average size of the issue was around 75USD. And the total
amount raised was around USD 6.5billion. India has the distinction of
having the largest number of GDR/ADR issues by any country.
The legal advisors will advise the issuer pertaining to the local & foreign
laws. Similarly, Auditors are required for preparation of the financial
statements, cash flows, and audit reports. The Auditors provide a comfort
letter to the lead manager on the financial health of the company. They also
prepare the financial statement as per GAAP requirements wherever
necessary.
Listing Agents & Stock Exchanges:
The listing Agent helps facilitate the documentation & listing process for
listing on stock exchange & keep file information regarding the issuer such
as Annual reports, depository agreements, articles of association,etc. The
stock exchange reviews the issuers application for listing of bonds/GDRs &
provides comments on offering circular prior to accepting the security for
listing.
Depository Bank:
It is involved only in the issue of GDRs. It is responsible for issuing the
actual GDRs ,disseminating information from the issuer to the DR holders,
paying any dividends or other distributions & facilitating the exchange of
GDRs into underlying shares when presented for redemption.
Custodian:
The Custodian holds the shares underlying the GDRs on behalf of the
depository &is responsible for collecting rupee dividends on the underlying
shares & repatriation of the same to the depository in US dollars/foreign
currency.
One of the most important developments since the 1970s has been the
internationalization, and now globalization, of capital markets. Let's look at
some of the basic elements of the international capital markets.
Circuit Breaker
Circuit breaker limit changes everyday and stock keeps moving from one
circuit breaker category to another, based on previous day’s closing price.
The intention of introducing the circuit-breaker was to reduce excessive
speculation by stopping order flow and help improve market liquidity. The
concept of circuit breaker was laid back to 1987 crash of US markets. This
crash left the surveillance system of US exchanges to introduce the concept
of circuit breakers. In India, both NSE and BSE introduced the concept of
circuit breaker. NSE has introduced it post 2000. Circuit breaker system
applies to both stocks and market as a whole.
Index wide circuit Limit
The index-based market-wide circuit breaker system applies at 3 stages of
the index movement, either way viz. at 10%, 15% and 20%. These circuit
breakers when triggered bring about a coordinated trading halt in all equity
and equity derivative markets nationwide. The market-wide circuit
breakers are triggered by movement of either the BSE Sensex or the NSE
S&P CNX Nifty, whichever is breached earlier. In case of a 10% movement
of either of these indices, there would be a one-hour market halt if the
movement takes place before 1:00 p.m. In case the movement takes place at
or after 1:00 p.m. but before 2:30 p.m. there would be trading halt for ½
hour. In case movement takes place at or after 2:30 p.m. there will be no
trading halt at the 10% level and market shall continue trading. In case if the
market hits 10% before 1 p.m. then as explained there would be a one hour
halt in trading and after resumption of trade in case if the market hits 15% in
either index, then there shall be a two-hour halt. If the 15% trigger is reached
on or after 1:00p.m. but before 2:00 p.m., there shall be a one-hour halt. If
the 15% trigger is reached on or after 2:00 p.m. the trading shall halt for the
remaining part of the day. As explained if the market fails to resume at 10%
then the next limit is placed at 15% and finally at 20%. In case if market
fails to resume from 15% and if it hits 20% irrespective of the time, the
trading shall be halt for remaining part of the day.
Both NSE and BSE have implemented the circuit limit system on the stocks.
They have applied the stock wise circuit limit system at four levels i.e. 2%,
5%, 10% and 20%. Circuit limits like any other concept have both pros and
cons. On the positive side, with the presence of circuit filters, the
traders/investors’ fear of erosion of wealth is not rapid when compared to
not having circuit limits. However, it may not be true with in all the cases.
Many times, the stock might see a rise due to announcement of any
corporate action. In that case, the rise of stock beyond a limit might be
genuine but still, due to application of this limit the trading in stock is held.
The need for circuit-filters can be questioned on several grounds. For
instance, empirical evidence on the effectiveness of price limits, circuit-
breakers and trading halts is ambiguous. But in the case of specific situations
where it is clear that the equilibrium value of the asset will change, then it
makes no sense to have circuit breakers.
b)Environmental Factors :-
Environmental Factor in India’s context primarily means- Monsoon . In
India around 60 % of agricultural production is dependent on monsoon.
Thus there is heavy dependence on monsoon. The major chunk of
agricultural production comes from the states of Punjab , Haryana & Uttar
Pradesh. Thus deficient or delayed monsoon in this part of the country
would directly affect the agricultural output in the country. Apart from
monsoon other natural calamities like Floods, tsunami, drought, earthquake,
etc. also have an impact on the capital market of a country. The Indian Met
Department (IMD) on 24th June stated that India would receive only 93 %
rainfall of Long Period Average (LPA). This piece of news directly had an
impact on Indian capital market with BSE Sensex falling by 0.5 % on the
25th June . The major losers were automakers and consumer goods firms
since the below normal monsoon forecast triggered concerns that demand in
the crucial rural heartland would take a hit. This is because a deficient
monsoon could seriously squeeze rural incomes, reduce the demand for
everything from motorbikes to soaps and worsen a slowing economy.
c)Macro Economic Numbers :-
The macro economic numbers also influence the capital market. It includes
Index of Industrial Production (IIP) which is released every month, annual
Inflation number indicated by Wholesale Price Index (WPI) which is
released every week, Export – Import numbers which are declared every
month, Core Industries growth rate ( It includes Six Core infrastructure
industries – Coal, Crude oil, refining, power, cement and finished steel)
which comes out every month, etc. This macro –economic indicators
indicate the state of the economy and the direction in which the economy is
headed and therefore impacts the capital market in India. A case in the point
was declaration of core industries growth figure. The six Core Infrastructure
Industries – Coal, Crude oil, refining, finished steel, power & cement –grew
6.5% in June , the figure came on the 23 rd of July and had a positive impact
on the capital market with the sensex and nifty rising by 388 points & 125
points respectively.
d)Global Cues :-
In this world of globalization various economies are interdependent and
interconnected. An event in one part of the world is bound to affect other
parts of the world , however the magnitude and intensity of impact would
vary. Thus capital market in India is also affected by developments in other
parts of the world i.e. U.S. , Europe, Japan , etc.
Global cues includes corporate earnings of MNC’s, consumer confidence
index in developed countries, jobless claims in developed countries, global
growth outlook given by various agencies like IMF, economic growth of
major economies, price of crude –oil, credit rating of various economies
given by Moody’s, S & P, etc. An obvious example at this point in time
would be that of subprime crisis & recession . Recession started in U.S. and
some parts of the Europe in early 2008 .Since then it has impacted all the
countries of the world developed, developing , and less- developed and even
emerging economies.
e)Political stability and government policies:-
For any economy to achieve and sustain growth it has to have political
stability and pro- growth government policies. This is because when there is
political stability there is stability and consistency in government’s attitude
which is communicated through various government policies. The vice-
versa is the case when there is no political stability .So capital market also
reacts to the nature of government , attitude of government, and various
policies of the government. The above statement can be substantiated by the
fact the when the mandate came in UPA government’s favour ( Without the
baggage of left party) on May 16 2009, the stock markets on Monday , 18th
May had a bullish rally with sensex closing 800 point higher over the
previous day’s close. The reason was political stability. Also without the
baggage of left party government can go ahead with reforms.
f)Growth prospectus of an economy:-
When the national income of the country increases and per capita income of
people increases it is said that the economy is growing . Higher income also
means higher expenditure and higher savings. This augurs well for the
economy as higher expenditure means higher demand and higher savings
means higher investment. Thus when an economy is growing at a good pace
capital market of the country attracts more money from investors, both from
within and outside the country and vice -versa. So we can say that growth
prospects of an economy does have an impact on capital markets.
g)Investor Sentiment and risk appetite :-
Another factor which influences capital market is investor sentiment and
their risk appetite .Even if the investors have the money to invest but if they
are not confident about the returns from their investment , they may stay
away from investment for some time. At the same time if the investors have
low risk appetite , which they were having in global and Indian capital
market some four to five months back due to global financial meltdown and
recessionary situation in U.S. & some parts of Europe , they may stay away
from investment and wait for the right time to come.
Equity Research
If a particular investor buy’s the same securities as other people, he will
have the same results as other people. It is impossible to produce a superior
performance unless that investor does something different from the majority.
To buy when others are despondently selling and to sell when others are
greedily buying requires the greatest fortitude and pays the greatest reward.
Bear markets have always been temporary. And so have bull markets. Share
prices usually turn upward from one to twelve months before the bottom of
the business cycle and vice versa. If a particular industry or type of security
becomes popular with investors, that popularity will always prove temporary
and, when lost, may not return for many years. The investor should bear in
mind that while he makes investment decision, he should have idea of the
company’s break-even point and company’s position in the stock exchange.
For this EQUITY RESEARCH is done. Equity Research does the research
of company’s income and growth. In the process, it uses the various sources
of financial information available in the country and accordingly advises in
which company an investor should invest. Thus Equity Research Involves:-
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS :-
The investor while buying stock has the primary purpose of gain. If he
invests for a short period of time it is speculative but when he holds it for a
fairly long period of time the anticipation is that he would receive some
return on his investment. Fundamental analysis is a method of finding out
the future price of a stock, which an investor wishes to buy.
The method for forecasting the future behavior of investments and the rate
of return on them is clearly through an analysis of the broad economic forces
in which they operate. The kind of industry to which they belong and the
analysis of the company's internal working through statements like income
statement, balance sheet and statement of changes of income. The
fundamental analysis involves
(a) Company Analysis
(b) Industry Analysis
(C) Economic Analysis.
3. CAPITAL FORMATION: -
Another consideration of the investor should be the kind of investment that a
company makes in capital goods and the capital it invests in modernization
and replacement of assets. A particular industry or a particular company
which an investor would like to invest can also be viewed at with the help of
the economic indicators such as the place,
value and property position of the industry, group to which it belongs and
the year-to-year returns through corporate profits.
4. NATURAL RESOURCES AND RAW MATERIALS: -
The natural resources are to a large extent are responsible for a country's
economic development and overall improvement in the condition of
corporate growth. In India, technological discoveries recycling of materials,
nuclear and solar energy and new synthetics should give the investor an
opportunity to invest in untapped or recently tapped resources which would
also produce higher investment opportunity.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical analysis is simply the study of prices as reflected on price charts.
Technical analysis assumes that current prices should represent all known
information about the markets. Prices not only reflect intrinsic facts, they
also represent human emotion and the pervasive mass psychology and mood
of the moment. Prices are, in the end, a function of supply and demand.
However, on a moment to moment basis, human emotions, fear, greed,
panic, hysteria, elation, etc. also dramatically affect prices. Markets may
move based upon people’s expectations, not necessarily facts. A market
"technician" attempts to disregard the emotional component of trading by
making his decisions based upon chart formations, assuming that prices
reflect both facts and emotion.
CAPITAL MARKET REFORMS
BACKDROP
Stock Exchanges : SEBI issued directives that require that half the
members of the governing boards of the stock exchanges should be non
broker public representatives and include a SEBI nominee. To avoid
conflicts of interest, stock brokers are a minority in the committees of stock
exchanges set up to handle matters of discipline, default and investor-broker
disputes. The exchanges are required to appoint a professional, non member
executive director who is accountable to SEBI for the implementation of its
directives on the regulation of stock exchanges. SEBI has introduced a
mechanism to redress investor grievances against brokers. Further, all issues
are regulated through a series of disclosure norms as prescribed by SEBI and
respective stock exchanges through their listing agreement. After a security
is issued to the public and subsequently listed on a stock exchange, the
issuing company is required under the listing agreement to continue to
disclose in a timely manner to the exchange, to the holders of the listed
securities and to the public any information necessary to enable the holders
of the listed securities to appraise its position and to avoid the establishment
of a false market in such listed securities.
In brief the major reforms which have taken place in Indian markets include
screen based trading, electronic transfer of securities, dematerialization,
rolling settlement., risk management practices and introduction of derivative
trading and so on. The net result of these initiatives can be seen in the form
of efficient and transparent trading & settlement processes in our exchanges.
If we compare Indian markets today with some of the internationally
developed markets we find that we are not lagging behind. This judgment is
primarily based on the comparative study of two important ratios, that is
market capitalization ratio and the turnover ratio.
EMERGING CHALLENGES & ISSUES
Despite these significant developments, the Indian capital market has been
in decline in the recent past. However, currently the market has recovered
substantially and hopefully, the upward trend is expected to remain. The
Indian security market still faces many challenges and issues that need to be
resolved.
Further, SEBI need to monitor more closely cases of insider trading and
price manipulation and to meet the challenges of possible roles of market
makers.
Issues relating to market performance : Over the years the turnover of big
exchanges has increased but only at the cost of small exchange. The turnover
of NSE and BSE were Rs.1339510 crores and Rs.1000032 crores
respectively for the year 2000-2001. Further, the top six exchanges of India
out of a total of 23 accounted for over 99% of the total turnover of all
exchanges.
Further, on the one hand the object of circuit breaker is to prevent volatility
but on the other hand many feel that the breaker distorts the basic price
discovery process of scrip. This is again a matter of debate and whether the
breaker should stay or be done away with depends upon what is more
important for stock exchange, i.e. price discovery which should be
independent or controlled volatility.
The financial crisis facing the Wall Street is the worst since the Great
Depression and will have a major impact on the US and global economy.
The ongoing global financial crisis will have a ‘domino’ effect and spill over
all aspects of the economy. Due to the Western world’s messianic faith in
the market forces and deregulation, the market friendly governments have no
choice but to step in. The top five investment banks in the US have ceased to
exist in their previous forms. Bears Stearns was taken over some time ago.
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are nationalised to prevent their collapse.
Fannie and Freddie together underwrite half of the home loans in the United
States, and the sum involved is of $ 3 trillion—about double the entire
annual output of the British economy. This is the biggest rescue operation
since the credit crunch began. Lehman Brothers, an investment bank with a
158 year-old history, was declared bankrupt; Merrill Lynch, another Wall
Street icon, chose to pre-empt a similar fate by deciding to sell to the Bank
of America; and Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley have decided to
transform themselves into ordinary deposit banks. AIG, the world’s largest
insurance company, has survived through the injection of funds worth $
85 billion from the US Government. Besides the cyclical crisis of capitalism,
there are some recent factors which have contributed towards this crisis.
Under the so-called “innovative” approach, financial institutions
systematically underestimated risks during the boom in property prices,
which makes such boom more prolonged. This relates to the
shortsightedness of speculators and their unrestrained greed, and they,
during the asset price boom, believed that it would stay forever. This
resulted in keeping the risk aspects at a minimum and thus resorting to more
and more risk taking financial activities. Loans were made on the basis
of collateral whose value was inflated by a bubble. And the collateral is now
worth less than the loan. Credit was available up to full value of the property
which was assessed at inflated market prices. Credits were given in
anticipation that rising property prices will continue. Under looming
recession and uncertainty, to pay back their mortgage many of those who
engaged in such an exercise are forced to sell their houses, at a time when
the banks are reluctant to lend and buyers would like to wait in the hope that
property prices will further come down. All these factors would lead to a
further decline in property prices.
Globalisation has ensured that the Indian economy and financial markets
cannot stay insulated from the present financial crisis in the developed
economies. In the light of the fact that the Indian economy is linked to
global markets through a full float in current account (trade and services)
and partial float in capital account (debt and equity), we need to analyze the
impact based on three critical factors: Availability of global liquidity;
demand for India investment and cost thereof and decreased consumer
demand affecting Indian exports. The concerted intervention by central
banks of developed countries in injecting liquidity is expected to reduce the
unwinding of India investments held by foreign entities, but fresh
investment flows into India are in doubt. The impact of this will be three-
fold: The element of GDP growth driven by off-shore flows (along with
skills and technology) will be diluted; correction in the asset prices which
were hitherto pushed by foreign investors and demand for domestic liquidity
putting pressure on interest rates While the global financial system takes
time to “nurse its wounds” leading to low demand for investments in
emerging markets, the impact will be on the cost and related risk premium.
The impact will be felt both in the trade and capital account. Indian
companies which had access to cheap foreign currency funds for financing
their import and export will be the worst hit. Also, foreign funds (through
debt and equity) will be available at huge premium and would be limited to
blue-chip companies. The impact of which, again, will be three-fold:
Reduced capacity expansion leading to supply side pressure; increased
interest expenses to affect corporate profitability and
increased demand for domestic liquidity putting pressure on the interest
rates. Consumer demand in developed economies is certain to be hurt by the
present crisis, leading to lower demand for Indian goods and services, thus
affecting the Indian exports. The impact of which, once again, will be three-
fold: Export-oriented units will be the worst hit impacting employment;
reduced exports will further widen the trade gap to put pressure on rupee
exchange rate and intervention leading to sucking out liquidity and
pressure on interest rates. The impact on the financial markets will be the
following: Equity market will continue to remain in bearish mood with
reduced off-shore flows, limited domestic appetite due to liquidity pressure
and pressure on corporate earnings; while the inflation would stay under
control, increased demand for domestic liquidity will push interest rates
higher and we are likely to witness gradual rupee depreciation and depleted
currency reserves. Overall, while RBI would inject liquidity through
CRR/SLR cuts, maintaining growth beyond 7% will be a struggle. The
banking sector will have the least impact as high interest rates, increased
demand for rupee loans and reduced statutory reserves will lead to improved
NIM while, on the other hand, other income from cross-border business
flows and distribution of investment products will take a hit. Banks with
capabilities to generate low cost CASA and zero cost float funds will gain
the most as revenues from financial intermediation will drive the banks’
profitability. Given the dependence on foreign funds and off-shore consumer
demand for the India growth story, India cannot wish away from the
negative impact of the present global financial crisis but should quickly
focus on alternative remedial measures to limit damage and look in-wards to
sustain growth!
The structure and pattern of securities markets in India and around the world
is undergoing many changes. The current trading environment is
charaterised by frequent regulatory interventions and competitive pressures.
Further, the proliferation of the Indian capital market, the market players ,
the trading pattern and the emerging market for corporate control, brings to
the forefront abovementioned issues which need immediate attention. As
these issues have implications for the trading strategies employed by
investors, the behavior of specialists, liquidity in the market, the
informational efficiency of prices, and ultimately the valuation of listed
companies and welfare of their shareholders.
BIBLOGRAPHY
INTERNATIONAL BANKING – K VISWANATHAN
FINANCIAL MARKETS AND INSTRUMENTS – L M BHOLE
INTERNATIONAL FINANCE – APTE
FINANCIAL MARKETS AND SERVICES – GORDAN & NATRAJAN
WEBLOGRAPHY:
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