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I. Summary Points
‘Cancun Agreements’ have restored confidence in the UNFCCC process.
Prospects for a deal at COP17 improved, but form still not clear.
New mechanisms/processes are important achievements, but much to do.
Mitigation ambition still too low, but inadequacy acknowledged.
Future of Kyoto Protocol still in doubt.
Momentum favours ‘bottom-up’ outcome under Convention track.
Major players working better but domestic politics still key to UN progress.
New, progressive coalitions likely to play increasing role in shaping talks.
Immediate impacts on business from Cancun Agreements minor.
But greater recognition of need for public-private partnerships.
And new opportunities for business to influence institutional arrangements.
Positive shift in discourse from focus on cost to low-carbon opportunities.
Consultation, transparency, and political capital: the secret to COP success.