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Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis
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Volume 31
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Issue 03
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What Do Stock Splits Really Signal?
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Research Article
Abstract
We observe significant post-split excess returns of 7.93 percent in the first year and 12.15
percent in the first three years for a sample of 1,275 two-for-one stock splits. These excess
returns follow an announcement return of 3.38 percent, indicating that the market underreacts to
split announcements. The evidence suggests that splits realign prices to a lower trading range,
but managers self-select by conditioning the decision to split on expected future performance.
Presplit runup and post-split excess returns are inversely related, indicating that our results are