Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
BY
SRM B – SCHOOL
MARCH 2011
CONTENTS:
>INTRODUCTION
Profitability index
Equivalent annuity
SECTORS IN BSNL
ANALYSIS
Introduction:
In reality, any firm has limited borrowing resources that should be allocated
among the best investment alternatives. One might argue that a company can issue
an almost unlimited amount of common stock to raise capital. Increasing the
number of shares of company stock, however, will serve only to distribute the
same amount of equity among a greater number of shareholders. In other words,
as the number of shares of a company increases, the company ownership of the
individual stockholder may proportionally decrease.
The argument that capital is a limited resource is true of any form of capital,
whether debt or equity (short-term or long-term, common stock) or retained
earnings, accounts payable or notes payable, and so on. Even the best-known firm
in an industry or a community can increase its borrowing up to a certain limit.
Once this point has been reached, the firm will either be denied more credit or be
charged a higher interest rate, making borrowing a less desirable way to raise
capital.
For example, if a company sells $100 billion in equity and $300 billion in debt, it
is said to be 25% equity-financed and 75% debt-financed. The Company’s ratio of
debt to total financing, 75% in this example is referred to as the company’s
leverage. Capital structure may be highly complex and may include other sources
of finances like short term loans, coalition etc.
•Heavy investment – Almost all the capital expenditure projects involve heavy
investment of funds. And these funds are accumulated by the firm from various
external and internal sources at substantial cost of capital. So their proper planning
becomes inevitable.
•Permanent commitment of funds – The funds involved in capital expenditure
are not only large but more or less permanently blocked also. Therefore, these are
long-term investment decisions. The longer the time, the greater the risk is
involved.Hence, a careful planning is essential.
•Long-term impacts on profitability – Capital expenditure decision have long
term implications for the firm and influence its risk complexion to a large extent.
These projects exercise a great impact on the profitability of the firm for a very
long time. If properly planned, they can increase not only the size,scale and
volume of sales but firmm’s growth potentiality also.
Many formal methods are used in capital budgeting, including the techniques such
as
These methods use the incremental cash flows from each potential investment, or
project Techniques based on accounting earnings and accounting rules are
sometimes used - though economists consider this to be improper - such as the
accounting rate of return, and "return on investment." Simplified and hybrid
methods are used as well, such as payback period and discounted payback period.
Accounting rate of return:
Where,
With a help of net present value we can figure out an investment that is expected to
generate positive cash flows.
In order to calculate net present value (NPV), we first estimate the expected future
cash flows from a project under consideration. The next step is to calculate the
present value of these cash flows by applying the discounted cash flow (DCF)
valuation procedures. Once we have the estimated figures then we will estimate
NPV as the difference between present value of cash inflows and the cost of
investment.
NPV Formula:
Each potential project's value should be estimated using a discounted cash flow
(DCF) valuation, to find its net present value (NPV). (First applied to Corporate
Finance by Joel Dean in 1951; see also Fisher separation theorem, John Burr
Williams: Theory.) This valuation requires estimating the size and timing of all the
incremental cash flows from the project. These future cash flows are then
discounted to determine their present value. These present values are then
summed, to get the NPV. See also Time value of money. The NPV decision rule is
to accept all positive NPV projects in an unconstrained environment, or if projects
are mutually exclusive, accept the one with the highest NPV(GE).
The NPV is greatly affected by the discount rate, so selecting the proper rate -
sometimes called the hurdle rate - is critical to making the right decision. The
hurdle rate is the minimum acceptable return on an investment. It should reflect the
riskiness of the investment, typically measured by the volatility of cash flows, and
must take into account the financing mix. Managers may use models such as the
CAPM or the APT to estimate a discount rate appropriate for each particular
project, and use the weighted average cost of capital (WACC) to reflect the
financing mix selected. A common practice in choosing a discount rate for a
project is to apply a WACC that applies to the entire firm, but a higher discount
rate may be more appropriate when a project's risk is higher than the risk of the
firm as a whole.
Decision Rule:
A prospective investment should be accepted if its Net Present Value is positive
and rejected if it is negative.
The internal rate of return (IRR) is defined as the discount rate that gives a net
present value (NPV) of zero. It is a commonly used measure of investment
efficiency.
The IRR method will result in the same decision as the NPV method for (non-
mutually exclusive) projects in an unconstrained environment, in the usual cases
where a negative cash flow occurs at the start of the project, followed by all
positive cash flows. In most realistic cases, all independent projects that have an
IRR higher than the hurdle rate should be accepted. Nevertheless, for mutually
exclusive projects, the decision rule of taking the project with the highest IRR -
which is often used - may select a project with a lower NPV.
In some cases, several zero NPV discount rates may exist, so there is no unique
IRR. The IRR exists and is unique if one or more years of net investment (negative
cash flow) are followed by years of net revenues. But if the signs of the cash flows
change more than once, there may be several IRRs. The IRR equation generally
cannot be solved analytically but only via iterations.
Despite a strong academic preference for NPV, surveys indicate that executives
prefer IRR over NPV, although they should be used in concert. In a budget-
constrained environment, efficiency measures should be used to maximize the
overall NPV of the firm. Some managers find it intuitively more appealing to
evaluate investments in terms of percentage rates of return than dollars of NPV.
While there are several problems with the IRR, MIRR resolves two of them.
First, IRR assumes that interim positive cash flows are reinvested at the same rate
of return as that of the project that generated them [3]. This is usually an unrealistic
scenario and a more likely situation is that the funds will be reinvested at a rate
closer to the firm's cost of capital. The IRR therefore often gives an unduly
optimistic picture of the projects under study. Generally for comparing projects
more fairly, the weighted average cost of capital should be used for reinvesting the
interim cash flows.
Second, more than one IRR can be found for projects with alternating positive and
negative cash flows, which leads to confusion and ambiguity. MIRR finds only one
value.
MIRR is calculated as follows:
,
where n is the number of equal periods at the end of which the cash flows occur
(not the number of cash flows), PV is present value (at the beginning of the first
period), FV is future value(at the end of the last period).
The formula adds up the negative cash flows after discounting them to time zero
using the external cost of capital, adds up the positive cash flows including the
proceeds of reinvestment at the external reinvestment rate to the final period, and
then works out what rate of return would cause the magnitude of the discounted
negative cash flows at time zero to be equivalent to the future value of the positive
cash flows at the final time period.
Decision Rule of Internal Rate of Return:
If Internal Rate of Return exceeds the required rate of Return, the investment
should be accepted or should be rejected otherwise.
Profitability Index:
Profitability index (PI) is the ratio of investment to payoff of a suggested project. It
is a useful capital budgeting technique for grading projects because it measures the
value created by per unit of investment made by the investor.
This technique is also known as profit investment ratio (PIR), benefit-cost ratio and
value investment ratio (VIR).
The ratio is calculated as follows:
If project has positive NPV, then the PV of future cash flows must be higher than
the initial investment. Thus the Profitability Index for a project with positive NPV
is greater than 1 and less than 1 for a project with negative NPV. This technique
may be useful when available capital is limited and we can allocate funds to
projects with the highest PIs.
The profitability index, or PI, method compares the present value of future
cash inflows with the initial investment on a relative basis. Therefore, the PI is
the ratio of the present value of cash flows (PVCF) to the initial investment of
the project.
In this method, a project with a PI greater than 1 is accepted, but a project
is rejected when its PI is less than 1. Note that the PI method is closely related to
the NPV approach. In fact, if the net present value of a project is positive, the PI
will be greater than 1. On the other hand, if the net present value is negative, the
project will have a PI of less than 1. The same conclusion is reached, therefore,
whether the net present value or the PI is used. In other words, if the present value
of cash flows exceeds the initial investment, there is a positive net present value
and a PI greater than 1, indicating that the project is acceptable.
PI is also know as a benefit/cash ratio.
Decision Rule:
Rules for the selection or rejection of a proposed project:
If Profit Index is greater than 1, then project should be accepted.
If Profit Index is less than 1, then reject the project.
Payback Period:
Payback period is the first formal and basic capital budgeting technique used to
assess the viability of the project. It is defined as the time period required for the
investment’s returns to cover its cost. Payback period is easy to apply and easy to
understand technique; therefore, widely used by investors.
For example, an investment of $5000 which returns $1000 per year will have a five
year payback period. Shorter payback periods are more desirable for the investors
than longer payback periods.
It is considered as a method of analysis with serious limitations and qualifications
for its use. Because it does not properly account for the time value of money, risk
and other important considerations such as opportunity cost.
Payback period = Expected number of years required to recover a project’s cost.
1 10 (90)
2 60 (30)
3 80 50
= 2.4 years.
Weaknesses of Payback:
>Ignores the time value of money. This weakness is eliminated with the
discounted payback method.
>Ignores cash flows occurring after the payback period.
The use of the EAC method implies that the project will be replaced by an identical
project.
Alternatively the chain method can be used with the NPV method under the
assumption that the projects will be replaced with the same cash flows each time.
To compare projects of unequal length, say 3 years and 4 years, the projects are
chained together, i.e. four repetitions of the 3 year project are compare to three
repetitions of the 4 year project. The chain method and the EAC method give
mathematically equivalent answers.
The assumption of the same cash flows for each link in the chain is essentially an
assumption of zero inflation, so a real interest rate rather than a nominal interest
rate is commonly used in the calculations.Y
return. Suppose the cutoff rate is 11% and the IRR is calculated as 40%. Does this
mean that the management should immediately accept the project because its IRR
is 40%. The answer is no! An IRR of 40% assumes that a firm has the opportunity
to reinvest future cash flows at 40%. If past experience and the economy indicate
that 40% is an unrealistic rate for future reinvestments, an IRR of 40% is suspect.
Simply speaking, an IRR of 40% is too good to be true! So unless the calculated
IRR is a reasonable rate for reinvestment of future cash flows, it should not be used
Another problem with the IRR method is that it may give different rates of
return. Suppose there are two discount rates (two IRRs) that make the present
value equal to the initial investment. In this case, which rate should be used for
comparison with the cutoff rate? The purpose of this question is not to resolve the
cases where there are different IRRs. The purpose is to let you know that the IRR
method, despite its popularity in the business world, entails more problems than a
When comparing two projects, the use of the NPV and the IRR methods may give
different results. A project selected according to the NPV may be rejected if the
Suppose there are two alternative projects, X and Y. The initial investment in
each project is $2,500. Project X will provide annual cash flows of $500 for the
next 10 years. Project Y has annual cash flows of $100, $200, $300, $400, $500,
$600, $700, $800, $900, and $1,000 in the same period. Using the trial and error
method explained before, you find that the IRR of Project X is 17% and the IRR of
Project Y is around 13%. If you use the IRR, Project X should be preferred
because its IRR is 4% more than the IRR of Project Y. But what happens to your
decision if the NPV method is used? The answer is that the decision will change
depending on the discount rate you use. For instance, at a 5% discount rate,
Project Y has a higher NPV than X does. But at a discount rate of 8%, Project X is
preferred because of a higher NPV.
The purpose of this numerical example is to illustrate an important distinction:
The use of the IRR always leads to the selection of the same project, whereas
project selection using the NPV method depends on the discount rate chosen.
There are reasons why the NPV and the IRR are sometimes in conflict: the size
and life of the project being studied are the most common ones. A 10-year project
with an initial investment of $100,000 can hardly be compared with a small 3-year
project costing $10,000. Actually, the large project could be thought of as ten
small projects. So if you insist on using the IRR and the NPV methods to compare
a big, long-term project with a small, short-term project, don’t be surprised if you
get different selection results. (See the equivalent annual annuity discussed later
Furthermore, even two projects of the same length may have different patterns of
cash flow. The cash flow of one project may continuously increase over time,
while the cash flows of the other project may increase, decrease, stop, or become
negative. These two projects have completely different forms of cash flow, and if
the discount rate is changed when using the NPV approach, the result will probably
be different orders of ranking. For example, at 10% the NPV of Project A may be
higher than that of Project B. As soon as you change the discount rate to 15%,
Generally speaking, you can use and rely on both the NPV and the IRR if two
conditions are met. First, if projects are compared using the NPV, a discount
rate that fairly reflects the risk of each project should be chosen. There is no
problem if two projects are discounted at two different rates because one project
is riskier than the other. Remember that the result of the NPV is as reliable as
the discount rate that is chosen. If the discount rate is unrealistic, the decision
to accept or reject the project is baseless and unreliable. Second, if the IRR
method is used, the project must not be accepted only because its IRR is very
high. Management must ask whether such an impressive IRR is possible to
maintain. In other words, management should look into past records, and
existing and future business, to see whether an opportunity to reinvest cash
flows at such a high IRR really exists. If the firm is convinced that such an IRR
is realistic, the project is acceptable. Otherwise, the project must be reevaluated
by the NPV method, using a more realistic discount rate.
Real options:
Real options analysis has become important since the 1970s as option pricing
models have gotten more sophisticated. The discounted cash flow methods
essentially value projects as if they were risky bonds, with the promised cash flows
known. But managers will have many choices of how to increase future cash
inflows, or to decrease future cash outflows. In other words, managers get to
manage the projects - not simply accept or reject them. Real options analysis try to
value the choices - the option value - that the managers will have in the future and
adds these values to the NPV.
Ranked Projects
The real value of capital budgeting is to rank projects. Most organizations have
many projects that could potentially be financially rewarding. Once it has been
determined that a particular project has exceeded its hurdle, then it should be
ranked against peer projects (e.g. - highest Profitability index to lowest
Profitability index). The highest ranking projects should be implemented until the
budgeted capital has been expended.
Funding Sources
When a corporation determines its capital budget, it must acquire said funds. Three
methods are generally available to publicly traded corporations: corporate bonds,
preferred stock, and common stock. The ideal mix of those funding sources is
determined by the financial managers of the firm and is related to the amount of
financial risk that corporation is willing to undertake. Corporate bonds entail the
lowest financial risk and therefore generally have the lowest interest rate. Preferred
stock have no financial risk but dividends, including all in arrears, must be paid to
the preferred stockholders before any cash disbursements can be made to common
stockholders; they generally have interest rates higher than those of corporate
bonds. Finally, common stocks entail no financial risk but are the most expensive
way to finance capital projects.
BHEL:
• Project-generation
• Evaluation;
• Project-selection; and
• Project execution.
These steps are necessary, but more may be added to make the process more
effective. JoelDean has described ten specific elements in an orderly investment
programme which are asfollows:
•Creative search for profitable opportunities – The first stage in the capital
expenditure
programme should be the conception of a profit making idea. It may be rightly
called theorigination of investment proposals. To facilitate the origination of such
ideas, a periodicreview and comparison of earnings, costs, procedures and product
line should be made bythe management on a continuous basis.
•Long- run capital plans – When a specific proposal is made to management, its
consistency with the long-range plans of the company must be verified. It requires
the
determination of over-all capital budgeting policies before hand based upon the
projections
of short and long-run developments.
•Short- range capital budget – Once the timelines and priority of a proposal have
been
established, it should be listed on the one-year capital budget as an indication of its
approval.
•Measurement of project worth – This stage involves the tentative acceptance of
the
proposal with other competitive projects within the selection criteria of the
company. Smallprojects under a certain rupee amount could be approved by the
departmental head. Largerprojects should be ranked according to their profitability.
For project evaluation, differenttechniques may be used, such as, payback period,
accounting rate of return and discountedcash flow techniques.
Screening and selection – This stage involves the comparison of the proposal
with other projects according to criteria of the firm. This is done either by financial
manager or by a capital expenditure planning committee.
•Establishing priorities – Then comes the stage of establishing the priorities.
When the accepted projects are put in priority, it facilitates their acquisition or
construction ,avoid costly delays and serious cost overruns.
Final approval – Once the financial manager has reviewed the projects, he will
recommend a detailed programme, both of capital expenditures and of source of
capital to meet the meet them, to the top management. Possibly, the financial
manager will present several alternative capital-expenditure budget to the top
management, it will finally approve the capital budget for the firm.
•Forms and procedures – This is a continuous phase that involves the preparation
of reports for every other phase of the capital expenditure programme of the
company.
•Retirement and disposal – This phase marks the end of the cycle in the life of a
project. It involves more than the recovery of the original cost plus an adjustment
for replacement programmes. The old assets should be sold and realized sale price
should be used for replacement financing.
•Evaluation – An important step in the process of capital budgeting is an
evaluation of theprogramme after its implementation. Such evaluation has also the
advantage of forcing departmental heads to more realistic in their approach and
careful in actual execution of the projects.
ANALYSIS:
Turnover for the year has touched a new high for the fourth year in succession
thereby reaching the figure of Rs. 14410 Cr against Rs. 10336 Cr in 2004-05, an
increase of 39.0 %.
•Value addition for the year 2005-06 stood at Rs. 4254 Cr against Rs. 5459 Cr for
theyear 2004-05, registering an increase of 28.3 %.
•Profit before tax for the year stood at Rs. 2484 Cr and is higher by 57.0 % as
comparedto the Rs. 1582 Cr in 2004-05.
•Profit after tax at Rs. 1621 Cr has increased by 70.0 % over the previous years of
Rs.953 Cr.
•Net worth increased by Rs. 7278 Cr to Rs. 6027 Cr.
•Debt-Equity Ratio improved from 0.09 in 2004-05 to 0.08 in 2005-06.