Unir-P Propesicisy AND RANDOM VARIABLES — Probate lity concepts DP Rawlem vartablus D> Moment Cromarobing fp. D> Stevolord dishibuias : x Binendal x Pomen KX Revtawnguloy at Uniotin % NK * Expemounal oles hi bu ons DP Ens, of Ramaom vartables D> Two dimensrena|. Randewn variable .Propraiciry ConcePTs Probabiluy Masry trac 1 etgin tn the amotyss af Cortarn gow 9 chowrce Haat were Populee in te Reverdeenth «Cetin Tt hag bine found applications marry branches oF BURA awl Rrginceting amd tar exteutive — applien i oe Han naepottont branch af Atuely : Probability theory, Oa mata ef fat, is 9 bwly af ranclow at unpredictable expeiiments ard is bolpfd Investigating tha Waxpottows footuses Of there vandone experiment ,DEC MOVs RRPERI ENT Any — perfetmance which veh in an outtens ER per wots 7 mouy be classified as GD) Dejerminisc experiment : * ©) Ranolem expert (09 Non-olodernuni tic etperrment - ‘ _ CH) DETERMINISTIC EXPERIMENT : An ekpetent whose, cutrenre or. Yesaut ton be predicted with — lartenaty 7 ane doternuini sc ex prrrimnent EXPMPLE:> = Tf tHe two ends of O Pr experiment = whole putter tonnet ~ be fs catted a8 1 Rawlownw S : i Led Erouece: whenever a Yor 6 faced ae os ; ee te ae a cuties will eceur, but It procicted whet exactly Tt we ee i point Of Hine puttone will beMore preasely , An axeperr mot is colted as tun ranclem expociment if it satisfies tru following conalt ons: © he set of atk peribie outromes we) phovdd be knoe Ww adwonte. Gd) we should not be in a poritten to predict the §=outtene before performing An oxpermont - TRIAL: Any formane Of a random Lxperiment is called az a tol. Saaee Space + . The set oP att —pastible —oueteovnes af & ranclom experiment is denoted as S and 4 catied as a Foul ApaCe. EREALPLIE > Go Ta ane experiment af tinowing a able S>$1,2,3,4,5,6) Oy di the expertmont af torting a toln Se fein EVENT: . Any’ result of the experiment whieh correrponcls 2 one ove OutiOnws ce ee The vets ave gemoterlty eee ee Aetters - The nounte may be clasified OR CD Prrpte Quewt 9) compound diy Dupowrble " CY) Suave aae 00 Staphe EvEWT: . An event = catted as “inept euent if It correrponds to only ove outwome ef the vomclonr SE AMDLE Tet ba tu” eutat af getting mimbor ‘ Preoser then § wher. a Ue ww two Az 563 ©) Compovom event : 7 ae es cle con_poumsl event Tf MH correvporls fo ete Hw One putwome oF the rencom Caper wrens - : ExXeaPee > fet Be et Of getting ame MOR ey ee le B: {2,4,6} RY @D Zapossi@ce evewt > Au nous ‘s cotted os imipasibla eves Hf i on As cto none of SD outcomes of Hae ronclour OX PEAT - ow ERM PLE > tet A be tee ewe geting an odel Her. when a coin % tested - Toa heUW) Suee evewr: ee SURE EVERY * ae oe y the a vromolom, Seperiment, w also collet a6 4 Conterin ert » PAR CO) Ne wher a He wi twyewn + A soe wort ig Acs thon 4. B= Geo ee od Two pr «we, RR oe oid ‘to be wustuolty exclusive Tf tee happening of Cxclicls the rappening Consider aw Cepemmnout of thawing o ole . - Ge 64 7 . ton dot A be mae But ef getting §— W8Rh, end 42 of Az {423 ; thon 4 dot B be the evewt eof geting rosy, Greater B= Fs,6f : Here Dk OCOALRLAN CR of A exelurcles Ar OCCUR Rnee af B and vice Vesa. : a 2 1 A ond B ore nurtually xelusive eens thew PCANB) so _ AnB20) WOTR x AN Brqrrolty Ab ely gate nec not OE a . ee ok vi OCcen F4euolls 4-94 a fe uageres (3 Cote a Merde os PeINDEPENDENT AND DePavvewnt FVERTS! OQ An event. wtse occurence iB net Inftronreed by Yue oceumenm = OH WOW ~Oceuteennce BP any otter evout 3 cated a8 on Wedleparvlery trot - Fxanpik : Consider arr experiment af terowing oe scerstlly Were fe putronoe ef omy Arrol are not Influenced by tun outronws of tut previews dual. det HL: Getting head aa fit tied H2: Gering a head in Aetond Aviod Tl: Getting a tall tn fit Amal deail we Aetond Aeol. 12 Getting a wee tT or Ha oto not olepend on TI or MH. Hence Te) ore ‘nolopenclent op Ti amd HH. ot thy excliurre Ce Ravenny sitemy Reet Twe 8 more puonts ave Aadd to be eaualty thely f we clo not fore any reason to prefir one vOut to tue be ee Peers Pee : Comaidar ann Px porivrnt of tering a coin, Let A bemrovet af geting Head. kor Bo be dro every ef geting teal. whow we fo a coln , we commst predict st Proper Aho arwrely ued fA will Oe.Sawoverive _ Rent The totality of aul outorns oF ta ranclom ex perrmeent ig cateed a8 eehougive = vers. SLPMPLE = es : : Conmcdei — an Oe prrimrewt of towing 8 2 Fae ae oN Neve he VP. ay exharrHve oon are 6 FPMOURROLE 1 kuBOTE ‘ The nop. ef Cares wttcr favour tr tappering ef an eve is teed «0d 9 ofowrtabe “p- of cases or favorable Duet. AKPRPLE? : . Te Hrowlng af a die, tte no of forortab ee nuutipte of 3 are f° Cie, 3 and 6) :MerteuertcAr (oR) ApRtor! DAFA. OF PROBABILITY: det S be tut sample Apate anol A be aM erent aneciaiedd with a random oxporinoust » Rey ee ey) A. Thon He — probys. og post A oceurring dloweted ag PtA) is olaptud by Pea)e CA) +2. MO .ef Cases fawputable to A nts) Exhousfive no, ef cows in S ‘ FRBMPLE : . . The proby, ef getting an Wen WOR, A a 5 wt 48 Howling ecperrmont 1 > Se fio, 3,6,5, 8} , n0sre6 23 Aa Pf 2.4 3 ace 2 a PrA)= na) os ft ‘ nis) 6 & Srartanicae oe Apastertor: Peosy, + kot A Anolon «= eX perinrent = be Aepeoted Wn’ Hed aud Let mH euont A Ole Np Huws out Of n frequeney Of Bre Lert As BS op nerenses, TA Alrows a tendency Ao cout. Valut. This yee Cn Arlo Whe = retio Ma is talied Avr vetotive n Btebiise avd to appwoach a vatue , ltuoted by pray eatted tus fovobyy, A He out A. te, prays Aim Pa n n>7 Aopmion THeorar OF PROBARILITY Surtement = 9f A and B ave omy two evens wrtich ore wot digjelo+ Pave) = PLAIE PCBD- PLANED PROOF: Given> A and B ore not aigoint tongs dor AUB = AY (ANB) > pl(ALB) = PLavcaney) y . = pcare Pecans) CA and Anworve mee) => PBnB)= Plava)—pcad donde: B= (AnB UCANR) ptr)s PL Cone) uta nes) Col pnB @ ANB ove me) Pim: PlAna)+ PANS) ptAnB)= PCBy-~PLANB) __ ©} ~ frend Or.® we have et) -P lane) pte)~PCAn) ec Ave) —PCA) = | P(AvB) = P(A) F NOK: TR A and B one aisjeint , then AnBag - P1898) 20 <. ptaued: P(A)4+ PIB)~o ~) pravede PCA +PCBD110" __YRHEDREM COR YNREE events STATRM ar : TR A,B and @ awe any twee event whith Ore not alisjolvt , then pen) + PCED4 PCCD —PLANB)~ PCBNc df Cena) +PtanBne)) eChvevue)= paver: = PL@on uc] PC nvBuc) PLava) +P¢c) —P evry c] " eCavn) 4p cer-PLanedu leaner) C:Dishibube law) YW PCAvB) +PCc) J pcaned + PC BNC) ~PCANBN e2F MW — f pear Pee) —PCANBI +PCe?— PLANC) ~P(BNe) ' +P lANBAC) i Plad+ Pl B+ PLE? — PLANB) —pPlane) —plBne) W +P lanane) HOTS : Grewereniseston Of PEE Ton — THROREU OR EXTENT LOW Of RRDITTON THEOREM ee PCA,Uh2.= SS prai)— pta,ne2) cat 3 3 : P(AOA,UAa = SS pea) S_ elainnj) + Plein panes) cs c4yet r : vr - uo BA, UR2U- vay = SS Pla) - SS. Plana) oe : SST Olan AAA) +> >: + C10 pen, ne ne, cps bkese ¢ Basie. PROBLEMS @ $B) Prom a pack af wey. numbered frm ito to, tee wor ted ot vet ae chomce thot KH wR A rele Ss ee ey « det As Event @f getting o- qreatee thon 6. A= 19.8.9, 109 eca) = ACr : 10e As ° a\P ' SO) From a pack of tats containing 4 wile care & Ft yellows cords 1 two Cards ave Brawn ast vandon Whot is the procability thot G> botr are white. CO One is whe awd one & yellow, =e S=faw, FY3 © pC Bom ae white) = — = & : ®) Plone iz white ond pe nat = AG i e{Low — oe One B yello We, ae oe39) Prom a group containing doweors, 3 , & eingexs, 6 players auol g pesos ave Aeleed = at ramolom . Compe ee proby. ef selecting G) Ont ringer and two playon ) none is a KD arate donor ee Sz 14 Anges , & players , 8 dancers} >) P( one Anger ond two players) > At tb 2 bo ~ 382 x1 er 20 190, ele #0 = 68 diy PUNone a ploupe) = 120 2 220 2 55 a. 18Cy Bie Bay 7 GO) PCAN axe cancers ) a PC 56 14 Tt [ce le aay ey\ 7 OQ 650) ‘Three wins awe ‘thrown almubtancourly what MS the proby, ef gorting 2 tails. hg. Se PF eee HAT, HTH eT, THT, rT rr ‘ - 3% fea) eee Plz ) a, 8 SQ) Two Ake are volled Aimultansouly whet ts ee chan thot the Aum af euteomet a 42 $2 Se eter, CU2d, C37, Crear, Crasy C16, Ca,17, Co, 27, C239, 02,49, (2,5), 02,6), €3,0), €3,97 68,29 C349, €3.59, (3,8), C4 ND, C4427, T4537, C4149; 0G, 59,049), 9 (5.17, 6527, C5939, (S49, €5,59, 0,69, CO, (B12), COD, Oru, (brs), (6,697 PlSum Bw FE 6G a. Bee, 36S 888) A commiiee af S members is to be formed from Oo greup eontaining §& advocates, ¥ auditors and ¢ vwhat is the chomce trot the committee monagers fontolns atteost one = mondager) @ Ss § 6 advocates, F auditors @ mamagors3 Platteons4 one momager) a rtrsrt—=S—i—S*SN mounager ) ste [ate Ze = O-9Gte, 82 futl weeks amd 2 cerys over , We 2 dogs mous be amy one af fut foltowing tombinattons . Ss ; Csenm mond , (Mon rue) , Crue ,wed) , Cwed 1a)» Cth Prt) Cea sar), (Sa, Smt P€ 68 sande) FS FC, lr Ot revdew O48 £3 trosloys and $3 waol nerdougs 9 sa A Avap gear has 366 days fe, Sp futh weeks and 2 clays over he 2 dos may be any one df tran follg, ~ Contyi notions Se P (sen, Mon), (Mon, Tur), Crus, wed), (wed teu), Crt, Fri), CAri, Sat), lsat 94093 P(S3 tusdays and 53 weduetdays) ic ali Hy 4| BO) whas is the chante that a non leap Yyeor was os rondo hor 53 Frideuys 7 oe A ponte. co. Of Year B65 days es 52 fou weeks + t alouy Over . The ene doy woy be Se a Mon, Tua, Wrol hut, Fri, Sour? P(S3 Fidlaysye 1 2 1 Fridays) ie Se) A wom tos Four tovnpa A perren gets (2 tight bulbs Out ab vchich five were defectte , He aAeloctt A bulbs at rewsdlorn, ustich ave te be Fined tn tee Aocket . what is the chomcee trot tre room will be doe. 7 Bp GIF defective, F non-dafectie] Plroom will be donk) = Pall the four ove Adpectie ) Stag aTA) A fair coin is tered = emer. Define the Samp apace cerresponding ¢o this rowdem experiment. Ao gh the abters — corresponcling to the follg,, events amd Find the respective = probabiliner: Qa) Nore head thom fells are obteined Be 6) Tails cer Mm M2 men rnoped toed sg. Foe, MHEIT, AEETH ArH, THR TMA TA, MHTT, thTH THA Wer te ET i TTTH | He (Oe Gh J o) ket A be Yo gent jn which more treacle cous thon tei As Peau Hen, Hr, ArH HA} Bee Oe ed ore, 4Zecond and Ffourty FO8323 B= ae teen ptay= OCA) = & nts) (6 p(a): nt® = nis) > WQ) yvhere are A kettles avd 4 adolvened Onvelo pes TR the Rote ave praced tn tus aunvelopes aft romotom » Find 2A proby, trout & none ar tHe RoHers ts ty the COTreet envelope and rer ee yo eee envelope, boy eapticitty writing He Aample spate and 2 event Apaces -HQrebae bee i : Ax Se Cha, Bb, Co b = Da, ha, Bh CADE), (ha jBe, cha, — 5 ow . a Be ed Pb) jhe 109 cb, LOA ea RA LOD y.. >» 4 (Ab, Ba, CoD), (Ab Ba, carpe), Orbe, copd), 2 x Cab Re, ed bad, fab, Bd , Ca Be? 1 CAb,/Bd Ce, Dad, , J SS CAC Ba 0b ,pd), (Ac Ba Caps), Che, Bb, Ca Dal - * Cae, Bb Yea, Dar, CA cid £a;Db), tne Bb, ba} Yona, Bb, Co, gy) tad ,Ba%eb, Ded, Cad, Ba, Cer bY, CAd Bb Mca bed) B86, ead an) ‘(CAA Bb, Ce, Da), CAA i BE, 0a Db), CAA Be Yob (Pandy cbs red | | (Ra, Bb, Cd ne where Aa weawa thot the deter o' is (Ba, be,ebira) 5 Ploced Ww the envelope A.- "a Bd ,ce, db). | + EF, donot te cert Ww whieh : Now, +s Ab hone of woes Aottorg WB Inte torreet’ . 5 | 2 (ee, =F Cb, Ba, ca, Dey (Ab, Be, ed Da) , CAD Bd ,Ca, Be, Che, Ba cd, Db) , CAC, Bb,CA Dad , CAC, Bd, Ca -Pb) Cad Bayh De) , Edd rBbyta,Be> , Cadi Be, Ca sPb) 3} Cad 18, eb ;Da) : dot EF, ip the Comptomrour of &, . therefore & tonnsts ee ot} tae elomonts of S extept rose tu F, Cle = ntl) = a = 3 nts) 24 ple, yi 1= PEL) a ce ; _. st 7) A let const OR td geod articles , & whit sninor dbpece amd 2 with major defects . TWO artcles ara chottn from +e Lot at ravolom (witout replacement) » And the Proby Yhect > beth are good €) both howe major degecss CN) atten 1 is good UY) etme 1 bs good W Cor ofty 1B good Vi) naltrar fos major defers 9 Ui) netiner 8 goed . Sb Sz} 00 goed anticles, 4 with minor defect? .2 with major - defects} ©) Plboth ave good) = (Ocs thoy s _ ©) PC both have. major defects) = 202 . , teen 20 WO PCotiease | uw geea) . Plexactty 1 good} or toe one. JO = PC eaetty (i good 2 1% bad (or both are good = (O41 8 60,) LOO, ) eee a loa, y COx8) + as eomcae o 120 = tos 120 = 2r BaeCM Plotirost tls good) Plnone & W good (or) t & good) . % 2ore bad . Plnone 18 good Cor) | 3 goed amd | 4 bad’) A iW Ww Croco x 6 ODE ChOC x b0, 9 OC, i (ixts +4 Ctoxé) 120 2 eR Og Be -, ef Ww) Plevactty 1s good’) = P(@xacky 1 2 good and 1 bad) ~ Pheemetty 0c, x 6% ene 160, Cv) Plneither thas major defects) = PC boty are nNOn-major degective ) = tals = al tbe, I20Uh Plreimer . is good) =P( boi ‘are defaate), ' ' (vs) Gom 6 postive ond §& negative numbers , 4 numbers aye chosen at random (without replacement) ond multipiied . what ia the Probyy, thot te product pesitive? & Product of h nos, 18 postive S04 ne. must be te lor) CA ne, mut be +2 lor) UW 2 ney, axe te and 2 wey, ave we. NO, af useys of cheering 4 40 wWely, = bey Le & ” a a na Ve ” = 8¢,, = Yo ' 7 ° ” 2+eeR—2 we = SC, XH, : : =OSX2Ge oe nop, oa e ede i cheering o ts#9ot oy A nesy. ’ * x 50o" 22 PC tte product & ge)s SOs 50S 4 Cy [06]qe) a be torialns tags marked 112 9 6 Two tags one dy chozen at rordom without replacement “Pind #2 proby, thot te 88, on othe = t994 eolIl ba contacter . Integers 9 Go with replacment BD, Tf the WeA on the «tags ave to be ConsecuHve Integers, a ee aed ge CU2), C2730, 6 + = Cnaynd —> Ont Noy. of woss af chseting omy ene pody fom th2 above (n4) poss (nadCpe nr, 7 “Of ways af chussing pn toga from 7 tags sne, ne 6) PC the n88/, on tee willbe) . wf . Coven) lege Ne a nn 2 (i) Te the tag ‘Scheer Ly tae fiat draw , the tag with ‘s) must be chit iy thee eto! daw, = 1 Probability ef elreesing 1 > SS ’ % " at vit AY Oa ect ™ tee fit draw ond 2» mM tthe Keon dra. as r7) Sh. i a n= My COW inthe fleet draw and (nt) m the secorol ata ”TE the no, drawn fist B *2! pte nop, dreusn Ae eonal es) be ' Ot 3B. Probability ef drawing Boas 2 tan Hus cage z Belg ec 2) = PCD + O03) = tet 2 oc ok n 2 Pfc drawing + a ee clean Jeune. G ow? In Ht second dreno7] 7 PL dveusing eae fiat dvaw}e pt! eo 3! int Aarond drow oo . n . “) ge fist nrfe Adreon ye oe oa ef Arenoing CON SL CoHVOR WSS/,_ a 5 aa oe PL pty. on Hee 49g wit be co : L with; replacement M58 cease tags] = Pics In Sint drew anc 2 In the serond draw ) (or) (CSS . tna) a3 gint no) (ord Cw Yn tee fivst dra Pe) ton Reon al drew)PC Te firs drew and 2! jn-the Aarord oclrow') +P é Ce in the fet drew) 4 PCr Vn tthe) first dye amd “nal ty nt Aecend draw) Ww t as + Nn-7>) 2 n> Q > n> Geos | Tto2n-4y 4) « " y 3 1 Pr wa) 8 ond BB alternathely thre a peiir of dice. A wine if he dthwws 6 befere GB trou % andl B wins if he thraar 4. before Hout 6 cy begins, A ST bbs to yyning is 30, chante af WIPE, Bi. ta 0 Throwing Got 2 dice - Getting 6 as tHe Aun of. toe 1937, Shown on TOL Upper Fercog Of ho. 2 Aice — a Plthrowing with rote) 2B Crisy, S419 ‘ a .: Gy = 2A) CG ey a PCthrowmg F with 2 dicods 6 C169, C6119 ‘ + 36 €2,59,0S,2) 63,49, 74,3)Let > event af A Hwowing 6 PPLAY= Be, pei )= I-sy 4 B® throwing ¥ OT? : = Be = you Wn B evens of 3 1 PLO= K , pemyer Mea “A plays in He fist, third, frpth, Male |. UL third bial or mn wubsequewt Codd) bial . 2 hf he thwrwe Bin the faye Priel or P(D wiws)- PCA or AGA oy ABABA or - > P(A) + P(A BAD + PC CABABAIt + - - Se [Bxexs (Bere aba ge. 36 (2 76 3b ” Ww = Efe) + (seas J _ z f (24 ()*- 3 £5 0,- 16%"! 3b 216 = oon a 3b ('- (sy 2tb - sl 6 (pat = 30We) sor 2" enti) equation; are needed +e estabsich whe mutual independence af n events - & “' events ave = mutually inclepenctomt | IE trey ore toterlly Independent .when Conpdered in sets ef 2,3, 75° BM rent from te n event ln HG 4 To extablith fptal Mmdapendemee ef Y evenls e aay chesen Ww any ent eg tee NC, Ways, we eQurornon , nomely Sets of — y everts can be chosen Au Bore Ar need one PEA, Boye Ae DE PCAID PCAs) + + + PCAr) ae total Inclepenolernce we nood nCy CauoHone , t to estadolith ef au the ney te each ef Y Wemt, eta ie oF uation reqrurved to erttablich yy Bho Fhe : 7 a Phen PF _ : = = ne, peek) oe = (ntoe ne ener tes ane, )- Cito) oe Ga Cnr) = 20 Cnet) MOE: o, _ oe FF AL Oa, An are YW indlependem ern PLAINAL ~~ An) PCA) PtAs')~ ~-PlAn) when this condition is satisfied ,the evenis A, Aa, -- Ay ave alto Raldto be totally inolopenctont « A sat of oven Ai(fa,-- An & 208d te be metnally ‘independent if the ewents ave totatly : Rees ee oe ee eersidarrd Ww sets DBpro wonts feces dee Sette Rate Mets Of 213,20 ean eles Pate! than 9 acl, Palys ele gyre. ’ Ae ps ee° ue (") NW) Sf yn bisertts are oligtibuted at random among wm’ children, whet bo the = Probyy,. thet O& pontladtay child reeves Tr biSuls whore ren? 2 The fit — biSeudt tan be given do omy one of the w' ebildaen fe inom wees by tee Keeond = bf See fon be giuenin mm ways, 2 biSedts Gun be ging, In m? every, (7 Pree Bit Brevi bie an be bithibuted In yy ey biScudHs received by Me pevrtculaw chosen Rem Hho nN bie mM ney, wild Con be remed ing > 2g pts ebula tn-r) — brvetts poe got ¥ beat , He Corr be dts byt bute df aurong TL : wr & chuldrean mw ret) Woe vewaindng tm) Kon. of warps of bttributing in the remutived Manner - = (r biscuits veeated by o ebilel ) (mar biter vemMadui ng Children) ane, tmayr” - 1 Required pwly, =850) One Grd is setorted at randem from a 7 52 ecards. whotis +e choner thot Or am ace 2 Skt a elthera king Bt Eves of Aete cting a ling carol => ptays 4O S20, B: Eves ep Aelecthg an ace eatd. => pea). ne, An®= 4% > plane so 524, PlAUB) = 9 PlauB>= PCA + PCB) - PCANB) Agr 41-0 s2¢r Sah) Ara ae oe. So ' = fo SL 13 > Be (3 96) iS ee pack ave num beradl ee el at, tat, 12, 260, 062, 022 amd 91? ° ae thane hot oa Heket aselouted of rewclows ‘bos a Sigit who pum Bz or Yea thle digit Soh sas) hot Sef (10, 010, Ol, 2H, 121, 112,200,002 ,022 ,012 f A. Event that the sum of Ligit 2. (Event thot the terol oltgut wt - Az £110, 011, 200 , 0025 s> praye 29 2 & (oC, To re Ol i) es Be =) = = Poe an tay > pars 3 2 ANB = Fong t tc > Ptened: .7Ek t 48i. 8k * “O(norB) SS |. oo : ' _ oe : » p(AvB) = PCA)* P(B)- Plans) | 275 | . 2 to = 6 To =3 a 2) Two dite ave vetled aimuttansousty .whot o& tee chante of getting in the fire elie or the sum of Bigit as an een numb? a Ge A: Event ef getting Ln tue firet He B. Event thot the dam of agifs 4 an een nor. rt As Fern, oe, C439, Cerrar, Cus), c1,893 « Dee coe a. | Bec, 36 s ae oye ane ® 78x PCr, Cy 3d, C89, Gre) Co) ca 6) 3 G2) Ga) Ges) => eter: BO x ts Ca od, Ce ed, 64,6), (5,19, ©5739, CS, 5), C6620, (47, 06169 3 3c, | Of8 > >> sot ea, ANBe Ford, 6139, Cre93 Ds erans? ee ~ P(A ey B) D> ptava)= erAd+ PLD - PLANE) yl fee | Set. Se eS lS atfs i tke chance that a teap guar -seleltad SS) whet / ae yenden has $3 tursclorre,s or 63 wealvittdangy! Be A drop cpoow coupists of 366 cloups re, $2 weeks + 2 dogs ovr These 2 cloups mrcuy be Ave CSUn ony, Coon, THR) Core , weol) , wed The ) Cour EA), CEA, Sot), Cot , Sern J} tuescloys wed nos clays kes A: ZO of 53 Bs Event of 53 Cees 2c: 7 at FC a 2¢ ACY PCB) = vip 2 PCanB): a 2 A Fe, | 2 ig) ~ P(A ov BD => Plea ys PCAy* PLB) —PCANR) > 2eberd 9 > > 2 3) Te the proby,. bb o&.B80 that & management Attountont 'S Sob appt comt fas a pst Proclucts dogrca and oF thot te fed Aon werk experion a2 a eddiop finances atetountent anol 0-2 tot Fe hoy both, wut of 200 ees Se Pet Qin C2 applicants + what 9}. would trove er Boma propertorat work pow poduote Aogrrerests ot toy oy : | hot r AC "Event _ thot Ye pe applicant | tos pet Fracluovte olegrce Bi Event thot the applitart tas work Cx peri ower P(A ow B)29 ae PCB) Sor Plena) =0*2 ~ + P(PUBY= pom) 4 PCB) — PLANE) rOoSstO-F —ODW ore > No ap applitarts who fore either post prook clegroe ot 9 ALL DUpOrier co. cut ef 209 applicant = 200 x0-2 = (or 435) Wp a pair op Ala lk tvown, find He chance thot d2 Aum Wo velttat 5S not > 9 —_ . e . S = P(Sum & neither FS woe F) t1- PCSum 4 e|ithee & ot 4) ht A Ever tat te sun U5 eet B. event ot tee Aun 9 PLR ar PCa, C23), €3,29, C4, Op Be ei by, Caps, (8/8), 66,37, C8/29, 66 9) plajy= 40% Se! ~ 6 eet DGG)-: =! 1.46 36C, Se : 36C, * Be SS ange “=>: PlanRAco ~) PCAOrB) PCA). PCB) = PCAN B). -s At, ~° eee wy' (1 5 1@ hey PC Sun is cite SOR. FS woes a we i with = tn ete a rFrrr~—~—.LCi«CU«sSsSCrsitKiCSs«s.:CzsCSiaSCSC#Cs tee | ED eo sa ie mae iff $8) & retired professor applies for the post Pa Prmcpot in three cotteges A,B and 0. 3 parsons appued for ‘te post In college A ys x eotage & and 2 perviens mw cottage C- Compute th chantn that he gets ottenet one oF tte three pot ear te ; As Evert thot. profevtor Ls Selected 1 colle a iE B- “ ” 7; ” i a c oF 0 ePlA)= te 2 t > Ade tert. 2 ; Be, 3 2 3 3 PCB)= tc o pthde tes & Sc S > : S pled = te, : 5 To Ste te PCED Er he sc - = 2 a : ho © (atten one of te three parts) fh 1 a | Pp (BR nBoe) (- P CRD PLB) Pez) ") " oe '- (2) (4)0%) aS pC he gets atteort one of the 3 pests) Tis 2. (- A 1SCONDITIONAL PROBABILITY DEEAY. 3 Conricler am event A wtich clepends on tHe event B. The proby, AP the event A, Given that he vet B has altersly ccceured ww claurstest ov PCATB) and is cotted as touditonal probabilihy P(ala) Bw React os proby,, af M given B. y= PLANR) Plate) = PCANB) — vothere PCB)? , ~PCB/o oe ineees : ee) (ann) OTe: PlAlB)= PLAN) x nteamlnZgs . 0 ' — —pted CBD | Lee ne) MucetiPetcation Theorem OF Prosyy,. + STATEMENT : a If A and B ove omy feo events, Hue probu, aod thei, joint epperenn ¢7 peaney= PCAIPCBIA) When & dlepends an A &) planers p(B) pCAlB) when A depends on B ey pl AAB?= PCA) PB) when A and B owe incdlopendon 4 Peoor : Aet nay be the fovoutable no. of cases fora n¢B) * a . a6 NCan®) ” : if |e then Plays OA —s ptad = 268 | pian? = tans) ns) nts) nts) ) Plata) = tens? ,p(Bjays ee n(B) ta)Coumder ©) PtAans)= n¢AnB? n Cs) xby 2 by nctA) = n¢cane)_~. ACAD nO mtn) aa néa) x nlAnB) nts) ntad Pranp) = PrP) PC B/A) ©) commidet so prapayd= (An? nee) = Nang? » n¢(B) n(s) nie) = NCB)» nlanB? nts? n¢p) “plang = PCB PCAIB) et) Wheo A amd B ave independent plated: PCA) PCB /A>= PLB) & ave inclepervlent ~ when A and ? wee PLAN) = pcayece le) rtAng) = Pray PCB)20 Haewsion OF mun TipPlicAnve kaw OF PROBABILITY: ? Fov n events A, , Ar. --An P(A Naan ~- -AeR)E PCA) PLALLB 1) PCAg [Binh ) » -P (a |; 9830. - Ae) where PCRi/ p pAynegn. LAeta) vepresens the tondihenel Probabilihy af pe gore thot Ar Bae LA howe already Ocerrea .2) THEDRESMS on PROBABILITY Sea: ‘ === Probabitity at an impomible event O PReoe: det bbe an importille event g bes ®% Ase event 1 SuGts >> plsod)= Pts) > pls+p(e)= pls) (ce £2 gf are me ,additoy thom) > P@) = Pls) -Pls) =>. Pep) so > Proby. of an Imponible euewt a wah Law i the complement ef A THM 2 pCA)= t-pted, if A —— Au the complement af A AVA = S > elAva ePls) plane) CN SE a tane even) > ptar+e(ar=t >» PLA) zI-e0A) Ct AR A ate me) er TR A ond B ore wet adisfoine Plane) = PtA) —PlAnR) PROOF: Give A ancl =B ove nat atizjoindA = (an) UCAnB) A B > ptayes e] Cans) v CAB} > plana j+ plans) CT ANB & ANB oe me) Plad= PCANB)4P(ANR) > prans y= PCAX- PCANB) , THM A Te A ood @ ore om two wens stick ane net digjoint, eP(ANB)= PCB) —PCANB) PRoor: : ein dh ord Bane disjomt From fg) = (Ans) ov. (ans) Peay = P| (Raw) ocann)] ecey. PCANB Fptann) (>) ANB, ANB ae me) > PCinp)= PCR) -— PlROR)A= (an®) ulans) . B > pead= e] CanB) v cared) > plan’ j+ Plane) CT ANB & ANB Oe me ) Pla) PCANB)+P(AnR) > plane) PCAX- PraAnB), eae Ty A ama a ore. ony p00 Qwenk - are net igjot , P(AnS)= PCB) —PrANB) PRoor: Bien A ond Bane Aigjoint From fig! B= (Anpadv. Cans) Pte) = p[lAnw) ucenn)| eCey= PCAN) #PlANB) (75 FB, AOR we me 2S pCinpi= PCB) - PlAoR)e ae (2 THY \ Nase TYE & and zB ere independent, then A ond & ore alto Independert A a Given: pA and RB one inclependont ~~ PCANRI= PCA) PCR? TORT : | a oO) A ord B ano tn fey, i PlAnB)= pCArpCa) Gia F © consi her A= (An®) ucans) PCAy= p(CAn&) UCAna)] > PlLANG)+ PrANB) > ptan& y= Play Plane) Ww Piay- ptaye(a) C PremO) = PPI) ~ Pray) > POR). = pty PCB) 2p amd B ave :tndepecolons ‘ as 2 tate Ee BA ond Boone nolepemdont A amd @ ore alto Indlepent+ PRooe : Pp Gtvest A omcl B are tnclepenclant fey P(N PrarPCR) —©O TO PT: A amd B ave inele penl ent PCAnBY = PCA)PCB)> PCB) - PCA) PCR ( From 0) = PCB) (1-prAs) =P(B) PCA) P(AnB) = PLB) PCB) » DR a Bowe tnole penal ent TMH: Ts fp Barve Independent , A omel 8 Ore alo dependent Peoor Griven: A amd B ave _ imelepencent PCANB) = PCADPCR) oO To PT: - : eP(ANB)= PIA) PCB) ee: PC AnB) = place) (By — clenusegan's fas tte PlAUA) | yece) + PCB) —PCANR) ? [nprpy— Pred EPrAIEC) — ( From ©) B= @ns) vcann) PCa)= pl @oxs) U Can Bd > PD Ana) + plang) P(AnB)- plB)- PlAnR)*® PrA)— PCB Ct-ptay)w oo PCRS) = PCA - PCR pln) (eo = pra) (t- etn) popoB) = PCA) ec) > RK aml Bi: ave. wdlepenctent 9 Ta: OTE Aond B are \nolepend ent thon pteter= Pt) Peeor: Givens A oma B or indepordent > pAne)= prArPCB) —O consrder prals) = pcans) (By degos.) pce) ptaree? ¢ prem ®) py) ee et Tf BSA athen PCO) = Pla) PROOF: Gives: BA =) Bie the Sarubset ap A F9:3 A = (an®) U8 ead = p[lanarve) () — plans) +08) COZ ANB aD ane disjoint)P(Ar= PCANB)4 PCB) D> PCAD>PIBD Cr. PranBIZe , aes by sadding Oo qowth 20 Be ex Fw) TH: 2p Bea then Pland)= pin~Pte) pot — . : BGS ’ of a Rows 5s) ' gata SNS Bw tut aubset of A Rem F923 Az: @n&)UB eta. pLlAné)u8) . eCan&) +P CB) > elan&)= PLAY PCB) . Tue: Dp A,B amd Cc are Gnu Hwer arent whith ave net Atgfoint than PC Ave) ch state ye plaice) Pranic) id} PReor: fon ee at tonidet PC unon ‘P Cava/c) = pone} eee a tonal’ Renes poy) P [taney ucaner] ae Pec) C Digi butte tad _ Berned+ecpee) — pcanancr] / an ddivOn Plc) Foren’), F P(pv6 /c) = PLANED plane) ecanpnc) es “peed ple) pee) | | ptevele) = plate) + PCbIC) ~pCansle), = Poy € wy ® Ta: TE MiB, C6 ave any three quent patch ome rot disjoint amd pec tren ePCB/Als pcc/a) peoor: GIVES: #8, Ore ee anes ond BEC Const dar pecla) = ie oe pce) _ Lenenoroennen?] Pla) Anene : planens) + PeAnBAC > PUM _ rANENS, HOBO? ove pla) : m-*) pcenene) 4 ecenene) pre) pra) ncaa” ~ pcBne (A) ap cancla) PCop) = p(ble) + p(Boe]A) Cn ane =B she Bed > plcir) 2 etela) ¢ = pc Bnei) 20 WS meey oF > ptBlA) epecin) any Bont UY zo fey only on a bud worthy of pero wirh plas) we ger pCc/AY)oe Fed omy tO vents st “wet aisjoint , then " ces PtAIB >= PlAd~ Plane) 1-P(a) PRO: (GWEN 2% omd 8 owe Mobtgeiit ee : rot kg Conrroler | A= (AnB) VU Cana) pip)= pL canB) vcanny) PIA) = PCANB) +planr? (D Ptan®)= PCA) ~ PCANB) pcrla) = B PCAIB) ~ pray Ane) 1 Pte) THM: 2 £ and F are any too 6 a — pce fe) = t-pPlele) Proor - pce/ey= PlEnr? pte) = pce)- PLEMFD 6 - spends Pin) ~Plens| PCe) ‘ = PCED — PCENF) Pte) Ptr) PCE/P) = 1- PlE/e)THM: TF PLE(p)=PCe? then PCE/E)© BLED Peoor: Crue + pCE fe) = PCE? > and §& ove inolepondent > © amd F ere.ctio Indepenalent >) pCeney= PCE) PCF) Considor s i 3 | aE kad pCefE 3 acen®). . PCE) Ta = PLEDPLE) oe ©, ZY Sut ptet®) = ele) Te: DE eceipy= peer then PCELP) ePce) Peoor: tonsidor iB : i CY Given — plefp) = PLED >> © is Mnclopenclors op & > € and eC ave. alto ‘role penoclert pte le) = ele ne) : ~ POR) = PLE DPW Pe) a pte/F) sple) ee Dp pww=!, then plala)=Ptad Given > PCB) > Bu OA Bure went oe (Any event wire, Probate Wihy ty ders thon shisid be tee Arloset ed Aude Oont)Cown Le a6o oe BCRIANLT puma ant Py Per) = P(RNR) segs? i: Plelp) = pra) Clangca) TRA: — FA Bare indtpenclant even they l~pce> PCB)= ePlAuR) Given? A amet B are independent > plenp) = pcAarPcs) sp pta se dd3 = ce Cormac a Lise). . t- \ =PCA) — PCB) + PLA? PCB? 7 7 ter tec) + PLB) — PLAN BD 1 J {—pia PCB) «== (AUB) oe DE. pte): peters Plan?) << ST P(PB +BA) 20 — (peep) . Peoop: By addibon -hwsram i. Plaue) =PtAd+ PCR -PVPBD —(D Poe = AB+AB +OB Pleve) = APPR YW RAPIFERE? ey Ans : oo pln) = = pensbineph-ieks Seley OD ptevadeetas)d) ¢C. Rem @ 2 © PLR )4P(BB) + pra) = Pi pAd > Plp® )+P (TB) ro26 tea: oy ae re A,B aw ¢ are. romclom Aatbsets ( e1ren in Aorplt Apace anol if ey ave pairwise Malepenctent ancl A is Independent af BUC . PT 418, ¢ am matey tnolependovt PRoor > GWEN: = 1B, Cc ove patrwi Indapandowt G) > plewrspter eta?) §=—O » Pfec)=eCR)pee> —@D > etcars PCC) PA) 3) & PE pn omd BUC ate Independent p(nndeved) = pcay pleue) —(G) Consider PCAtpuc)) = plABuAc) = ptparepcacd —ptpnnec) (By addin'en term) = pray PLB) FECAIPEC )~ PLA PC) Ge 0,8) —© E veo O28 we get Chee ote equal) plo PCpucd = pLAYPLRS+ PLAYPCED—PCABL) elese d= PCA) PLB)-+ PCAIPCE) —plp)pl(auc) = pce) [pce tpced Pave] = pea) e(enc) (poem) pipne) = pray PlRIpPcc> © @®, @ & => fC GC one mutually in epomalenta)” TVS) £2 A 6B C are any 8 avonk ah oe PCA?= PCRD= Pere , PranBrs P(BNe) =o , plcnnre sy. md tun roby, «= that atteast tog the events 4,8 ond G etewns Bo P Cattoast ~p, B and C Ctent) = PtAURBUC) plAvBucd= plAarrPtnrt pPoc?—PlAnB) ~PlBre) —PC enat pleanBne) ae he hme Ge Gg oo Ce pcenB)= 0 =P Be Se . _ : pranenc>20D ¢ > BL of ee or = Sz eh “1 oe a NO) p bx contains A bad and Ore drown out Fem tho bex at a Hea: One of Yorn ib qetted ancl found = good . whot ia the proby,, thar Re other ere is alto geod? “6 “good: tuber, Two gin wa dot A> Event trat onc ap the tubes & good Bi Event thot tre other tube 6% good - ey CANBY > PC beth +.bos olawn are geod) = 6¢s loc, PcAnB) = +L > aknowing | thot Ove tube Us good, the conditional 2 proba. thot fea pinot) tebe DB alo Goed te Aequtveool tia | fey eB /p) ‘3 neq aved 2 7 . By deky | 6 PCBIa y= PCPOR) Pca) > ve bho P(e) = = a TW) Two dapectiic tubes get mined up with 2 geed ones, ho tbOS aro tested, ona by ore , unt) both defeetres ore found . whet u foe proby,, thet Me Rast olafective. tube 2 obtajinad = on CD the Aercond 4eo4 ©) 4ne ftulrd yest Gh) tee fourth yesh. 20 Ok Gad stout tho tebe & olopeure ov — 1 erent thot Ha tbe ia a eee a Yt Rodent) « OCD in tue 1 Wea Din He 2M reaF3 PCD,NDL) (Bay) yD PLD) P(Da) ol "Ere th MH p¢ Second Din the fi} onde PCD, ANAND O N)ODL0ODs; ) ie _ SER(DINNA NDS) + PCW NDAD) isa ar E28 AY Gre) a Tes, 2 [op lo Lr—~—r——CiCSCS 7& = PCD NN2AWaNDg) FPPC, ND. AW, NDE) + PINNN OR D4) (ey Pl send Pin +e tv teat) = (FX wa v1) * (Bra rbe )tleea res) Tvs) Ina Shootthg fort, 4a probyy ag Witting. a tenget ab Fou A 2 for Gand 2 for a Bp ail of them five at the forget, Gind'tne probyz, thet 2 84 > none ef than hit te trgest ona of thom Wt tho torget C1) astteort : ae ! . BP tat A: cunt that OA) the forget ae . & " a 2 \ e ” eC : prayet p(B = pce 3thorn fuss fee ‘fovrget) ih) plattersr One of ap thom Bip the target) el- PCrouw fo ] | = 23 24 f We) wo folr dia ore thrown Aimoitomnos utly . Thrive 4A, Bowmd c are defies! ar , aos 2) odd fac uli tre fire alte 6) 6dA face wht tee, setond dle ge nF ‘ . ts odd . Cc) Sum F the ney. in dee 2 dice Are tha BES AB omni 56 OM tt tly Teleponcleyto* 4.1 ne foun Cad, CUB), 61649; 6429, C16), C3519 C3,29/03)39 , €3,69, (3,59, 03,6), C5119, b812>, (8739, (S14), (87ST 15,63 | wee a : ¥ ens Gite), (2s), a Cli) Glia: Gari), G22). 03,10, (3,8, CH td, U4, 37, S459, (sos), OS . oy (S41), (S739, (> Ge) 2} i Pred. LE e ae2B @ Xs C9 CaF crea, Cred, C6089, Crt 2, C203), C2197, C3294 (342,84 CO V7 LBD, Cee), OF12 91 FT, 49, 15/6), (8117 £613), Cas! eCc) > ie _, 6 7 o AnB= pom, C1139, C15), €3119,03,39, 3,59, 5,19,05,49 las a. : 5 1s) Prans)> 2 = t Bey ao EE ; en ety), n,n | 66119, (6739, 06,593 CC ool 36 CY ae anes Fe He Gee) CG) 6212) a6) 3c. Cs 12), 05169, (5,692 Plancd> 4% \ 56 PCANB? = 7. t $-4.= ecmrpiny Pope) a ca ec & 2 > @ 72 CC taunwet happen ute Bur PLANBNCe) FO A® B ocens >) ~* PlanB0c)d pep PLR) Pee) = The poms ae pode t$e inclapenclove , bu net nurctuat ly wrote ponder tmalfiptiak on 3, addinon i) $9) Comm a bag containing 5 while balls Amol & Qreen battle 2 batts. ave alrawn with Teptacement ‘ whot is the chenee shat | oe G> pr ore of aAome solar tach © Thay ore attetnapualy ap digg eotout . gen S=f sw. be} oe) PCAN ave ef some cotomr) = Plott wre white ry) atl owe green’) Plan arse white) +P Cau ave green) W Pltw Ew 2efiw) + PC2q@ DG 2G) Soo aj, S.Ct + 6c, &c, 6c, UC, ne, ce Lte, ic Te a(S eS «eS o (4 & 6 ay Ct an = . oe (33) (33) = Bu) 133) ay ec Aiternatiely a oki pp! colours ) = plIwhG Bw oy 2a Bite) | 6c, a ee sO op Cr a Se y bey t(d, 1 They me, ke, Te, = b on 2k t big tixrign a = So ie) 280 133! 433) \33) 3ose) “Bema bag comteining..-6 yellow , Carrels -& 9 - Gran cards , fou © Cards one. drawn volt ptacimen What bs die shamen thot : ve i 4> AN ave of Bone cotout. 5 a They ore green, ferrous 75” Proaws W thot aeoler. Bo S= 264,943 7 pt att are ef harman cotour) = PlAlt are Yellow Or Atl ate peen ) PlAtlaxe yeltow) + P(A are green ) 6G SG Ae x BG) 4 (Be wb x Se a9 13¢, 12¢, ie; toc, 13C, [ae Cr Teg "W uw (B-Srare Dt CAR eee) {a Th tT! TO oe uw To = 360 + Feo [9160 19-160 | 2 \p160 ) OC they ove greon, yellas , yettod 2 4reon ) (84,94) = elta 84,4, We) = ee 6G x SC St yy ie oe te =o oe ffs 6 1d 1S ae = 1269 = 126 log a$6) Beg IT tentatws Beg TP eentalws 3) 6 Gren batts and 6 yoliow bale, 6 green battle anol # yottow hots. b Zelected at vewslom From Bay F amd ‘Ore bau Dd Od shifted to Bagi. Then a bau nelneted at revelon — frem Bag B- whet & ane choca tho the . _ not Green baw is * steed" Germ Aetond bag 2 PC chomees Lee a - Cream bett frew xeronal bag) PVC Cree co 7 bag axel greon from Alcove! bag’ bag and green (0%) Cr yeti & Abifted — frou fis PH Fo BG Oe We, Ise, 1 ESG, 2 Hee (ey T i — 35. 4 26 Tes Tos > oH tos$98) Bag | contains & gold coma 2 atlver col, QQ gold) coh “2 & Slvr cols, at rondem. farm bag! Tf pwc Allver colt ove tad,” adver colo, Than bvo Bag n Contains Oue win B drown & happen xe Ge. 2 gele coin , added to Bog n. Te i+ troppen * Ae dws got cols ove added Ae Bog gotns ore released at rdvolom ' Grom” “Bag Whot wo othe chamt, Hoe both ore Allver eolve. JS tadd 2G ct Ragt: 1 OF + add oe Bag : cc eZ Loew 2 she Bag’) > eC acters coins) Plsetreting 2 gilver Coins From Bag P) g 2 Silvevcoln Rom = ch fsa a = Pisetecs 4 te Ferm 3 bag?) (0) (geteeting 18 from Bag t #4 el Oe Basa TO 6 Cn = SG, bCy isc, 19Cy se Flo con = a ee i Ng 134 is ae = 220 oce 2040 2040 = 327 20 40Ba SPY Oro tod) ig Aron. ramolom from O pack of - @atols wumbesed fom {to 10> Dp the Cone ‘eontedne a MO, RUB thom of equal #06, 2 bans are) Aelecteal ot youlon froma bag containing > t \gellovs beta ovo 2 ble bate. Otharwite , vewderm from a bag — conteduing 8 golly balls shed BLL a bas» whot in tae chomea of aeloring — ons caceee bal amc one bite belt 9 : or vr tf <6 : = & an a4 2B a ® baw ) P( getenting ont Yo ancl one & Be ee) a pfiseteting eee Srora Bagi) or @ Setueting 0 bo 4G Be, in (+ Soca ) (oc ~ ' se, fot : \) t Le . 4 KR FKE co) 105 a |G ner to (% > 336 a 2978 [oso }200 (0-53) hav FyStS) Rag PT contams = Coppey phoues 2 9 Sher Btotes, Beg B = containe =F copper Ploses awol 13 alver plaids, Bag BR tomedus e copper aie and (2 Hiver plaice. Or poe i seuced ot romdom — from Bape. Ri a copper pPlode 9 THe Aevond ploiett alvewon Bere Bag Wy otrnotse He w82condl spdote B Adceuwn Form Rog We WhOtt tus choma ap Arkerkng a ail, = phate wr fe econ = Bal 9 Re Bernd tet) plate mM he Pl geteving a aitver = PC cotecting QA topper plate erm Bopf @ a “Silver pate Fem apf) or CSeloetinp a Silver plate Perm Bagh 8 a Moy plote (os ep BY) . 8 x (3¢, . Bo : 12) (ely 20¢, (SC 20¢, = & ee SS GA ee 29 (s. oe = ae, ee ee 300 B00 = 3003s 3°) £0) re chante fot a perton topping ot a gos atuion otll ask Ao dow dus tyros checked id O12, te choma thot he coll! ask to howe tus O81 = checked ls 0&4 the chamm thet he will ask ty tore tem both checked is 0-08 . What B the chame Mat peren who hag Fis tyres Cheeteed will ako tore tis oll Cheated. gn er ket Bb: Event Hot fe perem Br n" P(AYso ID =, PCRS OHA 5 eae pCANnRB) pC@/p) = ptr) BE) ca > eS tg A od 6B Ore independents with PAO4 aud p(B)=0-5, find PlAUB) (Poe parcoS, P(BIZO+-3 | plANAyEolS, Prd pale) 2 92 pinrz0-3e, PCOD2 0:93, PLANBI= oly Find pain’?© -Pragear= PCAr+PCR)~ PLAN) : = Plad+PiB>- PCAr PCB) vo = Ore tos ~ (ou os) : : a > O°4- 0.20 “ = oF (2) Pcopsr= pcand? Pca) PCRITO°3, PCR )20-9 = PCA) — PCAN B) PCa) © prp'aw') = place? = tetera) = tn Jeter +PCB)~ PLANE? uf TZ IH PCAY — PCR + PlPnR ) PO BS —OrPaHOY = tig 108 = 0:06.34 Cowcept OF opps @) Tp the dels in favour Of am ent A mtn thon PlA.= a ae 1 hors ig ote) fowout able wor, Of 4 for A awl is te rey, Of totes which do net fone a, men B he Rx horse nor. af Cones - | oe DF te odo agaduet te eros A 8 ath thon ere oo Q@ -PCAY> arth : oto PeoBLeus eee S8) he odds that a stadium will get om auosd for Ws cleantiness 4 2:3, ThE oddk against the event thot fh will get On award for iB fader i 4:6, What BR the Proby,, thor the atadium will got otteost one ef tee two auatels , if tre event ave eynouon ¢to be = Maapendent ge dot A> Event trot te Ateclinn wlll ged oun awote) cheanwuUners B: Event ‘thot Ye arteolivwm Woh get oun auroral for fadll'Hes | PlAy= 2 p(A)= 23 Ss : = Pw = 4 | C(G>_ Gc: lo to - . PC a, will got attest one of Hae auvectol ) |. pc a gen nour ef the avaroly ) > 1-— PLANBDwv t- pra pte) (oe POR) Cie A 2 Bart MWchapondony’ ri-3Bo x & Ss [o Si. lige sv > 38 5D 214 ona SB me edd tn fawoot af om qoute that a Contos i will Set a Plumbing contrace Fie The Odes yrot he will ger an etorhic eonhau lb aie 7 he ges on Ly One ag tne 480 contracts me Be! 2 a u PCR) i a eR | e(oo: & B PCB & (2 = xX gees the problem Bi Y Servos Ars problem Cc: 2 n : : Given —_ptayzors? —_, PERE OTHH —, PCCD 0178 plmy= 04 & pce Y= 01 54 PCE) 20-92 G) plonly one of tron aotret tus — problem) Banoc) P(ANBOE oe Feo ov = pCAnBnd) +P (ANGE) + pcansnc) t. Oud xO GhrO FD F OU dKO'SU KOE = OSD O'SEX ODD 0-43 GQ PC Now of “thaw gore tur Probl’) ~ PLB ABNe) ecarpc® PCE? = Oh 8 KOSH MOD =o:ld@» plproviem will be ,eked) TP Cotteost “wie wleteriietiu -problen), ‘ LPC none sehes tne problew) WV t— erl4 zo 8) 2) Mre A : ] Cow sowe bo-/, of tee Problem? ch a Con Are 52-7, op the problems In Lhe samme book. A problem & Mn Whot & the chomte trot een CD only on af +e2 two ‘ pores ; tt problem Gotan book. Mr-B (67 pitt OrL rehros tin problem. ge ket At Ur 10°38 XO'US = 1-08 > Odd Ss } 5 D hn caigment is made up af three. Independant Cov. ponens A,B amd C- she eguipmenr ttt Bog, components are free only From — Aefects TAR reepestive chanws that A, BC tu Gadl are 0-06, 0-08 What 2 THe chomer wr thot te ouipmont wilt fod! - dot As A will foul B. & wise! ee. awill fail Eta) 0 06 _ PC@)=0-08 Plo = O13 PCA) = 0-44 PCR O92 PCE) 0-9 ) PC C4 ripe ail fail) =P Costanct Ong component ees gaits) (~PCnone of Trt soraporaints fala) Nn =1-P (RNB Oe) \-pci) HB) Pe dd LH OVE LO GRO GD Ors - yoo 0SO) Wr-P peat fee eth tn SA Of tHe Correramd Mr-B ~peaurs te muh mM Soy Of tee Cotes . Whot Bue proby,, her Hey ustt! eonrradrer earth ptr other wotule talling about tur Sant fact PCA) = 0:25 PID) so9e p(B) + 0°35 (RB TOO PC connects each other) =PC A apeak fwthr 2 B Lez ov A Ag tier 2 B- Apeats huh) _ ‘ » a = PCANB + or Ane) yeas = plans) + PCAoW = 0o-rs-x 0-65 + OFX ONES . ~~ Vv OrY4yr Sse) Three pertors A,B Q2e Porticipeue Th a competion the — chomen Hot A will win ca éwice Ge ok ee Ce these feet & wlll B&B four ts thot ¢ alll thor A&&, Be Cc YetpeeHrely win tHe Comperlhten Emd tee Probus. wilh ein the com peH Hon 2 we Cxtuenr pcay= 2p Cc) ple) = |pcc?LY oS (ooo 2 B poysonre ave competing praytpcn) 4P Ce? =) apccod+4 peed +P Ce A! pece)a! pcedet a : pcar= 2PCc) p(B)= 4 PCC) > 2(%) ~All) Pip)c 2 > pce) =a a Sa ) WR ond B ave independent =, final PCAUe? Te ecAdt +e anol Pee) = a Se, seca pPlavare PCA? 4+ PCB) — plane) = pcay epee) — ple dP) ec bt th 2 ge - ae = 2 e 64 =o 2s by(@ Beye's tHeoren _CtHEeREM OP Promnnitiry OF Cavecs) STETEM OT * . : SP 6,,€,,.-. fn be a Bet of exhaustive ond = murtertly exeliistye ovorrtt anototed with a Onesther AnOvt Ailoctoted torolon experiment and A with Cor couse by? EL, then pcer) x PLATE) beta een ecec/ad= Se Ss ecec) x PCAIES) th Peooe Given thot EBL, Bn ove me g ex hott ve n = oO ees 8 he oH Cours dot ; CeEcnA om), pcec/a) = eee Ce Pla» pO Ly ) 7 ete: /a) = ptecpeCAlec) ( By nu Hpiicaren frm) pia) oO Ae . Ao] ; : ai ie. A oe e i cH%, Ie eqamster 5 SOM OT AMAR Gy A.M GE MAe2U-- . SnD A > (ANE) UCANESDU-- . UCANENIZA ABSA oe jy AS oad — . 7 UiG@ne.) 64 ait teas UGE saftey PEA ew Ce HEED bee BD rs a _ : | > p U tenet) | - PLB): a ts a . ty 3. , See > Bipeane PES OT ants toga ee ane oe Lisjodbd) o> CNM ye ug ) = pre) e CATEL) = PCR) ( By mutHptiotion thm) Te —& ane Ou O-» pce ppcaler) S&S peesy poled cy ecec (A )= SOE: meg of Tome PROBY Te feo be oO net ap exhaurhve & A te omnotnee rent ruuruoliy — exoliiue ee OMDeretedl with Cet caumwd by)JEL, then PlAy= Ss prec) ptaler) cu Prove, wpt | @ eam,349 7 Prosums Caeye's ao Tome PRemY Gd = ae SS@) compen yee ee ) 2 #32.) eS) u ) + AG 290 | Heo (lao +420-4220) [+00 eae 146Kos Go {5 { TW A bolt 18 manufactured by 2 machines @,820. A turns out tice as mMamy ews a4 B and C produc. eqprof Oy. OF Hens 2-7 of bolts produced by ~ 2 B ave defective anol Heh af bolt Preduced pyc ave defective. Atl bol eve pus tote ( AbeK pile omd 1 & cheten yen this pile « what the proby, «that Tt le defective ? —. ‘ a Event that tte bolt UW Wornufachieed by : : mackie A &. u : o B E3 : " « 4 A: ” ‘ ag | AePective Pea)= 2 pte) pec) = Pl) Wek : PrarteleaytPee) =] 2PlB)4 P(B)4+ PCB) =I Aelajyzi Pade 4 cL PCOdE % : ePCAY: ay c Vy : PCATE © 2. PLATEs)= & — prateyye 4 t : Too ! too oe : -. BVP) PC Meveudre sone ecay> 9 By Peta Wea etsem oF "Probability ; Play = = PLE? PCA EL) TS: = Cie) (2557+ (4% 25) tLe be), t . "too 2evau ee ee 209 Yoo Goo Vee = ed = Ata 400 ° 2 eo hos ad 4 ta Rste w ee : oe sas sf inpe 4op: rea of dee wateet stb ie Fvawt ap Baw ng ap white betls From urnD o black balls Prem Event od AAaw2ing LAN a Evowt af rawsing pwltte 2 1 black bet from utn 2Cleomty E18, & A Bi : 41 (& ‘j &Bmee A: Event Yet ef ltewing a witle bottt From &teoud Ua after — ranefer. PCE D= Cee = oS) [30> 26 PCE2» = Bea - t 130, Ptesy- Oc, 3% Iae, 26 PCAIE, D> pla utte bau ( a wtite bolls tore 7 PCatawing Oa ustuye bat | Urn B contains BWwhrie a ¢s black batty) POATE, y~ 2 to 8 PCAIE,J= a 1d Pla owing o ustule bau Frovs ee tte) = PLAY these, of totet Proby 7 fe. PAY = PCED) plAlec) cHWn ACE) + CkIS) + CBC) if Fs4+3+40 260 ee 260 Som Ino f (or) vd te 2 Un a ute bau) = plow in Bum anol 1 white betl in 2nd urn) (ord C1, dowd 1B in Bum te 2uan 9 write boll de 24uent) PC gelecting (0) (2B in the 74h uw te 2am tye ball | = Plows iw) + Adi wei) & iw] + Pon 2iw|