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BEST PRACTICE BASEL FRAMEWORK
Key Areas :
CVA Calculation
Stress testing VaR models
Measuring wrong way risk.
Scenario analysis in the
operational risk domain.
Methods for measuring liquidity
risk and approaches banks are
looking at.
Building a score card for banks in
the Middle East and Gulf Region to
improve credit Probability of
Default models.
Complete Basel III road map will be
explained. An exciting two day conference designed for Banks operating in Egypt in the
A statistical tool will be handed out to context of Basel II and Basel III. The conference is designed to be highly practical
all participants on a CD which can be and applicable includes a special morning session from the Central Bank of Egypt
used for many of the exercises that on what is expected from local banks and the timeline for delivery in regards to
meeting all of the regulatory requirements.
are demonstrated.
A complete road map for Basel III will be delivered to the participants in an interactive
Look at models for CVA – Credit manner which will allow participants to ask specific questions in the context of their
Value Adjustment. institution.
Look at applications of Monte Carlo
A look at specific models that have been used successfully by banks in Australia, Japan and
when used with VaR models.
Europe for dimensioning exposures in the realm of credit, market and operational risk.
What can be taken away by Egypt financial institutions will be outlined in detail.
COUNTERPARTY RISK FRONT‐TO‐BACK
DATE: 28, 29th of May 2011 Understand the new challenges that exist for counterparty risk in the realm of Basel III.
This includes measurement of wrong way risk, trade interconnectedness and the ability for
VENUE: Cairo International
banks to identify leverage on the trading book. Foundational methods for CVA will be
Conference Center (CICC) walked through so that banks can easily generate a price for counterparty risk. Understand
COST: 3000 L.E. the implications of Basel III on the banks counterparty risk function.
Contact us on: 0168822010 A look at new methods for building a scorecard using logistic regression and Bayesian
approaches that will allow for internal rating of corporate counterparties. Specific
info@developers‐egypt.org scorecard factors are discussed in detail.
www.developers‐egypt.com
DAY 1 BASEL II – PILLAR 1 MARKET, CREDIT, OPERATIONAL RISK
The first day begins with a speech from the central bank of Egypt on the requirements for Basel II and Basel III from
an Egypt perspective. This will be followed by a group of sessions that focus deeply on operational and credit risk
in the context of Basel II‐Pillar II which will assist banks streamline their final work for Basel III to complete the
framework.
09:30 – 11:00 Central Bank Perspective 14:00 - 15:00 Key Components for VaR Models
A speech from the Central Bank of Egypt on where Look at building a VaR model up from scratch
Egypt banks stand in respect to Basel II, what has whether for market risk, credit risk or operational
been done and what needs to be done to meet risk. Look at the problems with historical VaR
compliance. The expected time lines and what models and review various methods such as Monte
needs to be delivered at specific points throughout Carlo which can be used for creating a non
the Central Banks Agenda. deterministic function of exposure. How do banks
aggregate VaR across risk disciplines and
11:00 - 11:30 Questions & Coffee Break
understand how this translates into economic
There will be a short break where participants can
capital.
ask specific questions and relax before the next
session. 15:00 - 15:30 Egypt Data Experience
How can banks work together in Egypt to improve
11:30 - 12:30 The Global Basel Experience data quality, what are the specific issues with data
What has been the global banking experience for paucity for Basel and how do banks scale or
Basel II across the planet taking in both regulators benchmark for operational and credit risk will be
and banks. Gain insight into how Australian, discussed in a concise manner.
European and Japanese banks engaged their 15:30 - 15:45 Coffee Break
framework for Basel II, understand how gulf banks
have gone about the exercise of building a Basel II
framework and the general outcomes across the 15:45- 16:45 Building a PD Scorecard
planet. Look at how to build a factor scorecard model up
Understand how the credit crisis was driven and the from scratch for credit risk using either logistic
global outcomes including changes to regulation. regression or Bayesian approaches both
approaches will be explained. Most importantly
12:30 – 12:45 Short Break the various factors that need to be captured for
modelling with credit risk using corporate loans will
12:45 - 13:30 Mapping for Credit & Op Risk be investigated in detail.
A complete approach for mapping the banks for Many countries across the gulf are looking at such
both Operational and Credit risk will be engaged, approaches for modelling probability of default as
understand how to progress through a gap study standardised credit rating models are not existent.
for either assessing Basel II completeness or for
building a Basel II and Basel III framework. 16:45- 17:10 Egypt Scenario Events
Open discussion amongst the participants on issues
A key take away will highlight how to audit a Basel
that they are finding difficulties with in respects to
II framework, what specific data points need to be
Basel II or Basel III. This is an open question /
captured for back testing the modelling aspects of
debate panel forum which is designed to share
a Basel framework.
methods for measuring risk amongst the bankers in
13:30 – 14:30 Lunch the room.
DAY 2 PILLAR II AND BASEL III
in the second day, specific items which need to be addressed in Pillar II and major concerns for Basel III are investigated with
solutions throughout the day. This day extends on from the first day and moves into other areas of risk management other
than credit or operational risk taking in liquidity risk, counterparty risk, wrong way risk and many other new requirements for
Basel III which are challenging for banks across the globe.
09:00 - 10:00 Tails and Operational Risk 14:00 - 15:00 Challenges for Counterparty Risk
How do banks generate tail events for operational risk Basel III has many new requirements for counterparty
that are forward looking. Review loss data risk including changes to collateral, treatments of
approaches and their issues and progress deeply into instruments on the trading book, changes to
the steps required to launch scenario based analysis netting/offsetting and how to capture leverage in
across the bank. Learn how specific scenarios are counterparty trades. Understand the new Basel III
generated for operational risk, how are scenarios agendas for counterparty risk in detail, how banks are
evidenced and then included into the model will be impacted and precisely what needs to be achieved
step through in a clear manner. from a counterparty risk perspective. Look at models
for generating a CVA charge for the counterparty risk
10:00 - 10:30 Case Study – Egypt Scenarios
desk.
Specific scenarios that are unique for Egypt are
entertained by opening the scenario based model 15:00 - 15:30 Case Study – A look at how to
onto the floor for discussion with the workshop measure
participants. interconnectedness and wrong way risk which is a
new requirement for Basel III which many banks
10:30 - 10:40 Coffee Break
across the globe are struggling on dimensioning.
10:40- 11:30 Liquidity Risk
Basel III has specific new requirements for building a
model for measuring liquidity risk. This is a complex 15:30 - 15:45 Coffee Break
risk to fit into the Basel III framework as it is new to
the Basel accord and different countries, trading desks
have various levels of liquidity which need to be 15:45- 16:45 Stress Testing VaR models
measured. Look at how liquidity risk can be measured Look at various methods for stress testing Value at
and then included into the risk framework for the Risk models, this session is applicable to both market,
bank. credit and counterparty risk and will give step by step
activities for building a stress test model that can be
11:30- 12:30 What is new for Basel III? used by the bank to generate stress EPE values.
A complete run down and summary of Basel III will be
Data examples are engaged live in a statistical system
delivered for each unique requirement that has been
so that participants can walk through a stress test
stipulated in the accord. Understand how this impacts
example using specific data sets.
each department (credit, counterparty, market risk
and treasury). Who needs to do what? 16:45- 17:15 What is next for Egypt
12:30 – 12:45 Short Break What are the main challenges for Middle East and Gulf
banks in respect to Basel III and what are the primary
12:45 - 13:00 Reserving for credit in good times
steps that Egypt banks need to engage to bring a
A short session on the implications for managing Basel III roadmap into existence.
countercyclical requirements of Basel III.
This session will be open to the floor allowing
13:00- 14:00 Lunch participants to engage with the instructor directly so
that specific questions can be answered.
THE EVENT MAIN SPEAKERS
T H E E V E N T M A I N S P E A K E R S
MR. MARTIN DAVIES MR. MOHAMED EL‐MOATAZ
IAFM, CRM is part of the Causal Capital consultancy He is the Assurance services leader in the Egyptian
working with banks and regulators from the Middle practice. He has more than twenty five years of
East through to Asia. experience.
COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA CENTRAL BANK OF EGYPT
Martin pioneered a project for the demarcation of Mr. El Moataz is a member in the CBE Standards
credit and operational risk with Australia’s largest Setting Committee.
retail bank on its Basel II AMA project.
NATIONAL STANDING ACCOUNTING AND
MIZUHO BANK –AUSTRALIA AUDITING STANDARDS
Working with Mizuho Corporate Bank on He is also a member in the National Standing
Operational Risk Control and exposure reporting Accounting and Auditing Standards setting
programs. committee.
ROYAL BANK OF SCOTLAND – SINGAPORE He is responsible for many areas including acting as
Lead for Emerging Markets Counterparty risk ethics officer for Egypt, Systems and Processes
function, supporting the calibration and integration Assurance Leader – Egypt, IFRS and ISA technical
exercises for the investment banks structured advisor for Egypt and the Middle East.
products counterparty risk trading division across
THE ACCOUNTING AND AUDITING
the trading book in China, Korea, India, Malaysia,
ORGANIZATION FOR ISLAMIC FINANCIAL
Singapore, Indonesia.
INSTITUTIONS
ROYAL BANK OF SCOTLAND – AUSTRALIA He is also a member in the Accounting and Auditing
Designed and programmed the banks margining Organization for Islamic Financial Institutions (CIPA
system for exchange traded options for Sydney unit.
FELLOW AND BOARD MEMBER OF
UOB – SINGAPORE EGYPTIANSOCIETY OF ACCOUNTANTS &
End to End risk framework development and AUDITORS (ESAA)
knowledge transfer program for the quantification
PARTNER IN PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS
of exposure for Basel reporting.
Working as Assurance Leader providing audit and
SUNCORP METWAY – AUSTRALIA other assurance services to a wide range of clients in
Working with the group risk department for the different industries. This include companies listed in
bank to develop risk frameworks for model the Stock Exchange and subsidiaries/branches of
regulatory capital. SEC registrants.
ASIA DEVELOPMENT BANK – PHILIPPINES He has developed a distinguished experience in the
Leading workshops and approaches for measuring banking sector, specially with his in‐depth
risk in treasury functions. knowledge of International Financial Reporting
Standards, with a practical hands on solutions, as
MALAYSIAN TREASURY FORUM well as the remarkable experience in the treasury
Leading the Malaysian treasury forum with regulator operations and derivatives.
and local bank involvement.