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MÉTODO LINEAL

AÑO POBLACIÓN K 2027 2032 2037 2042 2047


1964 6548 89.9074074074 10593.8333333 10144.2963 9694.75926 9245.22222 8795.68519
1973 7668 83 10656 10241 9826 9411 8996
1986 8453 92.1875 10573.3125 10112.375 9651.4375 9190.5 8729.5625
1993 8947 98.24 10518.84 10027.64 9536.44 9045.24 8554.04
2005 10342 81.6153846154 10668.4615385 10260.3846 9852.30769 9444.23077 9036.15385
2018 11403
PROMEDIO 88.9900584046 10602.0894744 10157.1392 9712.18889 9267.2386 8822.28831

MÉTODO GEOMÉTRICO

AÑO POBLACIÓN R 2027 2032 2037 2042 2047


1964 6548 0.0103254773 12507.5102253 13166.7136 13860.6601 14591.1807 15360.2032
1973 7668 0.00857231933 12313.5286651 12850.4326 13410.7471 13995.4928 14605.735
1986 8453 0.0093987393 12404.63375 12998.6346 13621.0794 14273.3303 14956.8144
1993 8947 0.00974955481 12443.4886961 13062.025 13711.3072 14392.8637 15108.2988
2005 10342 0.00754084424 12200.6528981 12667.6593 13152.5415 13655.9835 14178.6959
2018 11403
PROMEDIO 0.0091173870 12373.9628469 12949.093 13551.2671 14181.7702 14841.9495

MÉTODO EXPONENCIAL

AÑO POBLACIÓN K 2027 2032 2037 2042 2047


1964 6548 0.00761927039 8738.787757 8941.26591 9148.43549 9360.40519 9577.28625
1973 7668 0.00325605883
1986 8453 0.00352379548
1993 8947 0.00524392467
2005 10342 0.00326266084
2018 11403
PROMEDIO 0.00458114204 8739 8941 9148 9360 9577

MÉTODO WAPPUS

AÑO POBLACIÓN i 2027 2032 2037 2042 2047


1964 6548 1.00169803807 12585.1883181 13311.7965 14095.7711 14944.185 15865.3237
1973 7668 0.87043154528 10571.3238742 11072.5599 11604.0326 12168.5629 12769.3344
1986 8453 0.92856063658 9626.98888504 10104.4452 10610.9461 11149.225 11722.3695
1993 8947 0.9655036855 9119.61356956 9585.50736 10079.9581 10605.6742 11165.7183
2005 10342 0.75065886057 7726.69706142 8024.79131 8335.60113 8659.95784 8998.76684
2018 11403
PROMEDIO 0.9033705532 9925.96234166 10419.8201 10945.2618 11505.521 12104.3025

PROYECCIÓN FINAL
AÑO LINEAL GEOMETRICO LOGARITMICO WAPPUS PROMEDIO
2027 10602.0895 12373.96285 8739 9925.96234 10410.2537
2032 10157.14 12949.093 8941 10419.8201 10616.7633
2037 9712.189 13551.267 9148 10945.2618 10839.1795
2042 9267.239 14181.77 9360 11505.521 11078.6325
2047 8822.288 14841.949 9577 12104.3025 11336.3849
2052 8377338 15533.216 9799 12745.8743 2103854.02
2057 7932.388 16257.051 10026 13435.182 11912.6553
2052 2057
8346.14815 7896.61111
8581 8166
8268.625 7807.6875
8062.84 7571.64
8628.07692 8220

8377.33801 7932.38772

2052 2057
16169.7567 17021.9773
15242.5855 15907.2045
15673.0275 16423.5367
15859.2964 16647.6244
14721.4163 15284.9104

15533.2165 16257.0507

2052 2057
9799.19245 10026.2402

9799 10026

2052 2057
16868.9566 17966.685
13409.9524 14094.5172
12333.8804 12987.7434
11763.5659 12403.1784
9353.01607 9723.78561

12745.8743 13435.182

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