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E QUITY W EEKLY W ATCH


SPRINT RESISTED NEAR 5950, AS EXPECTED April 09, 2011

After a meteoric rise of 10% in 10 days, markets finally took a breather. Nifty opened the
week with a hefty 1.4% gain on Monday, followed by a flat Tuesday. On Wednesday, after
touching a high of 5944, the level very near to the resistance level of 5950 indicated by us in
last week's report, the benchmark witnessed profit booking which got accentuated on
Friday, after which Nifty finally settled at 5842, gaining 0.3% week-on-week.

We, ever since Nifty broke the 5600 resistance, had been telling that there is no meaningful
resistance before 5900-5950 zone. The benchmark, by touching a high of 5944 this week,
has clearly vindicated our view. After such a heady rise, subsequent consolidation/pull-back
should be seen as a healthy development. The 38.2%, 50% and 61.8% retracement levels
of the 5348-5944 rally, placed at 5716, 5646 and 5575 respectively as shown in the daily
chart below, would serve as the supports on the way down. The 200 day simple moving
average, currently at 5716, coincides with the 38.2% retracement level and makes it a
strong support. On the upside, a decisive crossover of 5944 is required for the further up
th
move. If that happens, Nifty would set it's eyes on 6181, the top made on 4 January 2011.

Daily Chart of Nifty

6181

5944

200 DMA at
5716

DAILY CHART OF NIFTY


5348

Weekly Chart of Nifty

Weekly Chart of Nifty

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Equity Weekly Watch 09 April 2011

MARKET INDICATORS
Indices 08.04.11 01.04.11 Chg(Pts) % Chg
NIFTY 5842.00 5826.05 15.95 0.27
SENSEX 19451.45 19420.39 31.06 0.16
BSEMIDCAP 7173.50 6982.94 190.56 2.73
BSESMLCAP 8772.55 8358.19 414.36 4.96
BSE-100 10157.07 10104.68 52.39 0.52
BSE-200 2402.67 2384.95 17.72 0.74
BSE-500 7538.20 7464.43 73.77 0.99
BSE IPO 1816.45 1767.60 48.85 2.76

SECTORAL INDICES
Indices 08.04.11 01.04.11 Chg(Pts) % Chg
BSE CAP GOODS 13741.77 13345.18 396.59 2.97
BSE REALTY 2464.15 2397.82 66.33 2.77
BSE CONS DURA 6427.10 6281.04 146.06 2.33
BSE POWER 2773.94 2737.26 36.68 1.34
BSE HEALTH CARE 6123.18 6058.30 64.88 1.07
BSE BANKEX 13299.17 13189.85 109.32 0.83
BSE PSU 9052.23 8980.84 71.39 0.79
BSE METAL 16460.42 16346.90 113.52 0.69
BSE TECK 3871.01 3844.34 26.67 0.69
BSE FMCG 3637.42 3612.52 24.90 0.69
BSE IT 6557.95 6517.47 40.48 0.62
BSE AUTO 9397.13 9355.86 41.27 0.44
BSE OIL&GAS 10088.41 10180.14 -91.73 -0.90

WEEKLY SENSEX GAINERS & LOSERS


Top Gainers Top Losers
Company Price Gain% Company Price Loss%
BHEL 2200.75 4.11 DLF 259.45 -4.37
HERO HONDA 1663.50 3.80 NTPC 183.65 -2.78
M&M 727.75 2.49 HUL 276.35 -2.71
A.C.C. 1117.70 2.36 REL INFRA 677.75 -2.40
SBI 2779.00 2.19 WIPRO 465.45 -2.19

WEEKLY: A - GROUP GAINERS & LOSERS


Top Gainers Top Losers
Company Price Gain% Company Price Loss%
SUZLONENERGY 55.15 13.36 D B REALTY 110.30 -5.32
JAI CORP LTD 188.20 12.32 TVS MOTOR L 58.95 -4.53
AREVA 279.40 11.14 DLF LIMITED 259.45 -4.37
UNITECH 46.50 11.11 APOLLO TYRES 66.50 -3.83
THERMAX 698.45 10.47 GODREJ IND 186.40 -3.52

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Equity Weekly Watch 09 April 2011

ADVANCE –DECLINE
BSE 30 Companies A GROUP COMPANIES
Positive 16 Positive 136
Negative 14 Negative 62
Unchanged 0 Unchanged 1
Total 30 Total 199

WORLD INDICES
Index 08.04.11 01.04.11 Chg(Pts) % Chg
NIFTY 5842.00 5826.05 15.95 0.27
SENSEX 19451.45 19420.39 31.06 0.16
DJIA 12380.05 12376.72 3.33 0.03
NASDAQ 2780.42 2789.60 -9.18 -0.33
FTSE 6055.75 6009.92 45.83 0.76
NIKKEI 9768.08 9708.39 59.69 0.61
BOVESPA 68718.01 69286.29 -568.28 -0.82
SHANGHAI 3030.10 2967.00 63.10 2.13
KOSPI 2127.97 2121.01 6.96 0.33
HANG SENG 24396.07 23801.90 594.17 2.50
STRAITS TIMES 3187.31 3126.12 61.19 1.96

BSE 200 GROUP US LISTINGS


Scrips CMP(Rs) Weekly Scrips Close Weekly
% Chg ($) % Chg
Gainers NYSE
PATEL ENG 178.80 20.77 Dr Reddy 37.74 0.03
ESSAR SHIP 113.75 17.39 HDFC Bank 172.15 -0.14
SUZLON 55.15 13.36 ICICI Bank 49.30 -1.56
JAI CORP 188.20 12.32 MTNL 2.15 -0.92
AREVA T&D 279.40 11.14 Patni 21.34 0.66
Sterlite 10.19 -0.49
Losers Tata Motors 27.89 0.40
DLF 259.45 -4.37 TCL 11.33 1.80
GODREJ INDU 186.40 -3.52 WIPRO 15.05 0.80
ISPAT 23.60 -3.48 NASDAQ
BAJAJ HOUSING 780.75 -3.23 Infosys 72.05 -1.45
ASHOK LEYLAND 56.05 -3.20

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Equity Weekly Watch 09 April 2011

SUPPORT-RESISTANCE LEVELS FOR FORTHCOMING WEEK (Next Week)


Stock Close Pivot Avg. Res.1 Res.2 Support-1 Support-2
ACC 1121.00 1108.67 1156.33 1191.67 1073.33 1025.67
AMBUJACEM 150.00 150.07 153.38 156.77 146.68 143.37
AXISBANK 1457.50 1441.65 1476.30 1495.10 1422.85 1388.20
BAJAJ-AUTO 1415.00 1432.33 1457.07 1499.13 1390.27 1365.53
BHARTIARTL 361.90 378.67 411.63 461.37 328.93 295.97
BHEL 2205.00 2183.87 2267.63 2330.27 2121.23 2037.47
BPCL 598.50 602.67 612.63 626.77 588.53 578.57
CAIRN 347.00 354.12 365.23 383.47 335.88 324.77
CIPLA 318.40 319.88 324.52 330.63 313.77 309.13
DLF 260.05 264.12 270.63 281.22 253.53 247.02
DRREDDY 1633.95 1633.02 1658.93 1683.92 1608.03 1582.12
GAIL 469.00 468.45 481.85 494.70 455.60 442.20
HCLTECH 484.00 485.00 502.00 520.00 467.00 450.00
HDFC 711.60 709.13 724.97 738.33 695.77 679.93
HDFCBANK 2348.90 2366.15 2392.70 2436.50 2322.35 2295.80
HEROHONDA 1662.00 1661.23 1709.47 1756.93 1613.77 1565.53
HINDALCO 209.00 212.43 216.57 224.13 204.87 200.73
HINDUNILVR 277.00 278.63 283.27 289.53 272.37 267.73
ICICIBANK 1097.95 1105.73 1120.12 1142.28 1083.57 1069.18
IDFC 159.95 161.72 165.43 170.92 156.23 152.52
INFOSYSTCH 3226.00 3244.15 3280.85 3335.70 3189.30 3152.60
ITC 185.25 183.92 187.03 188.82 182.13 179.02
JINDALSTEL 700.35 707.42 716.83 733.32 690.93 681.52
JPASSOCIAT 94.35 96.07 98.08 101.82 92.33 90.32
KOTAKBANK 442.10 448.73 458.37 474.63 432.47 422.83
LT 1683.80 1677.38 1711.42 1739.03 1649.77 1615.73
M&M 727.00 728.65 747.25 767.50 708.40 689.80
MARUTI 1251.80 1276.63 1303.27 1354.73 1225.17 1198.53
NTPC 183.45 186.25 189.95 196.45 179.75 176.05
ONGC 287.50 292.10 298.85 310.20 280.75 274.00
PNB 1190.00 1190.98 1208.92 1227.83 1172.07 1154.13
POWERGRID 105.00 105.28 106.97 108.93 103.32 101.63
RANBAXY 464.20 463.13 474.77 485.33 452.57 440.93
RCOM 109.20 110.05 113.00 116.80 106.25 103.30
RELCAPITAL 603.95 613.68 624.97 645.98 592.67 581.38
RELIANCE 1024.00 1034.55 1048.45 1072.90 1010.10 996.20
RELINFRA 674.90 684.68 695.22 715.53 664.37 653.83
RPOWER 131.20 133.03 135.62 140.03 128.62 126.03
SAIL 170.40 172.20 175.50 180.60 167.10 163.80
SBIN 2780.80 2780.70 2835.10 2889.40 2726.40 2672.00
SESAGOA 313.00 312.27 331.53 350.07 293.73 274.47
SIEMENS 892.00 892.35 899.70 907.40 884.65 877.30
STER 174.45 175.85 180.55 186.65 169.75 165.05
SUNPHARMA 441.00 445.03 451.87 462.73 434.17 427.33
SUZLON 55.25 53.05 58.55 61.85 49.75 44.25
TATAMOTORS 1252.05 1264.25 1291.50 1330.95 1224.80 1197.55
TATAPOWER 1320.00 1321.07 1343.93 1367.87 1297.13 1274.27
TATASTEEL 629.35 631.53 639.82 650.28 621.07 612.78
TCS 1193.20 1208.05 1232.10 1271.00 1169.15 1145.10
WIPRO 465.00 471.22 483.78 502.57 452.43 439.87

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Equity Weekly Watch 09 April 2011

Date Time Country Event Survay Prior


11/4/2011 11:00 INDIA Industrial Production YoY FEB 5.10% 3.70%
12/4/2011 5:20 JAPAN Bank Lending Banks Adjust YoY MAR -- -1.70%
11:30 JAPAN Machine Tool Orders (YoY) MAR P -- 73.90%
14:00 UK Total Trade Balance (GBP/Mln) FEB -£4000 -£2950
14:00 UK CPI (YoY) MAR 4.40% 4.40%
14:00 UK Core CPI YOY MAR 3.30% 3.40%
18:00 USA Import Price Index (YoY) MAR 8.30% 6.90%
18:00 USA Trade Balance FEB -$44.3B -$46.3B
23:30 USA Monthly Budget Statement MAR -- --
13/04/2011 14:00 UK Claimant Count Rate MAR 4.50% 4.50%
14:00 UK Jobless Claims Change MAR -3.0K -10.2K
14:00 UK Average Weekly Earnings 3M/YoY FEB 2.60% 2.30%
14:30 EC Euro-Zone Ind. Prod. wda (YoY) FEB 8.00% 6.60%
16:30 USA MBA Mortgage Applications 8-Apr -- -2.00%
18:00 USA Advance Retail Sales MAR 0.50% 1.00%
19:30 USA Business Inventories FEB 0.80% 0.90%
23:30 USA Fed's Beige Book
14/04/2011 18:00 USA Initial Jobless Claims 9-Apr -- 382K
18:00 USA Continuing Claims 2-Apr -- 3723K
18:00 USA Producer Price Index (YoY) MAR 6.30% 5.60%
18:00 USA PPI Ex Food & Energy (YoY) MAR 1.90% 1.80%
19:15 USA Bloomberg Consumer Comfort 10-Apr -- -44.5
15/04/2011 7:30 CHINA Real GDP YoY 1Q 9.40% 9.80%
7:30 CHINA Consumer Price Index (YoY) MAR 5.20% 4.90%
7:30 CHINA Producer Price Index (YoY) MAR 7.20% 7.20%
7:30 CHINA Industrial Production (YoY) MAR 14.00% 14.90%
10:00 JAPAN Industrial Production YOY% FEB F -- 2.80%
12:00 INDIA Monthly Wholesale Prices YoY% MAR 8.39% 8.31%
12:00 INDIA Food Articles WPI YoY 2-Apr -- 9.18%
12:00 INDIA Fuel Power Light WPI YoY 2-Apr -- 13.13%
12:00 INDIA Primary Articles WPI YoY 2-Apr -- 12.97%
14:30 EC Euro-Zone CPI - Core (YoY) MAR 1.10% 1.00%
14:30 EC Euro-Zone CPI (YoY) MAR 2.60% 2.60%
14:30 EC Euro-Zone Trade Balance sa FEB -3.6B -3.3B
14:30 EC Euro-Zone Trade Balance FEB -4.0B -14.8B
18:00 USA Consumer Price Index (YoY) MAR 2.60% 2.10%
18:00 USA CPI Core Index SA MAR -- 223.029
18:00 USA Consumer Price Index NSA MAR -- 221.309
18:00 USA Empire Manufacturing APR 17.8 17.5
18:30 USA Total Net TIC Flows FEB -- $32.5B
18:30 USA Net Long-term TIC Flows FEB -- $51.5B
18:45 USA Industrial Production MAR 0.50% -0.10%
18:45 USA Capacity Utilization MAR 77.40% 76.30%
19:25 USA U. of Michigan Confidence APR P 69 67.5

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