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R2 Q2 Variances
Modern codes have reliability index of about 3-3.5 for ultimate limit states for
members.
b R
Reliability
li bilit iindices
di may bbe hi
higher
h ffor connections.
ti
Probabilistic
obab st c Design
es g Philosophy
osop y
Probabilityy of Failure (pf) &
Reliability Index (β)
p f ( ) L dM
Load Multiplier
l i li
Cumulative Distribution
Function of Normal
Distribution Function = I D R
β pf
3 0 00135
0.00135
1 x
( x) e z / 2 dz
2
3.5 0.00023
2
101
Load Multiplier Load Multiplier
I = Importance factor D = Ductility factor (Brittle v.s. Ductile failure)
The owner may declare a bridge or any structural component and The structural system shall be proportioned and detailed to ensure the
connection to be of operational importance. development of significant and visible inelastic deformations at the
For strength and extreme event limit states strength and extreme event limit states before failure.
failure
1.05 for bridge considered of operational importance e.g. the only bridge For strength limit states
crossing the river 1.05 for nonductile components
p & connection which mayy fail in a brittle
1.00 for typical bridges manner
0.95 for bridge considered nonimportant 1.00 for conventional designs
For all other limit states 0 95 for
0.95 f components with i h enhanced
h d ductility
d ili e.g. has
h additional
ddi i l stirrups
i for
f
shear reinforcements
1.00 for all bridges
For all other limit states
1.00
Load Multiplier
R = Redundant factor
Multiple load path and continuous structures should be used. Main
elements whose failure is expected to cause the collapse of the bridge LLoad
d Factor
F &
L dC
Load Combinations
bi i
shall be designated as failure
failure-critical
critical (nonredundant)
For strength limit states
1.05 for nonredundant members e.g. g a simple
p span
p bridges g
1.00 for conventional level of redundancy
γi
0.95 for exceptional level of redundancy e.g. multi-girder continuous beam
b id
bridge
For all other limit states
1 00
1.00
Loads & Probabilities Load
oa & Probabilities
obab t es
(Ellingwood et al. 1980)
How do we apply all the loads for the structural analysis? Probabilityy that the
Add all the mean (average) value of loads together? maximum occurrence of
No, because we must consider the chance that the load may be larger or one load rarely occurs at
smaller than calculated.
calculated the
h same timei as the
h
Add all the extreme value of loads together? maximum occurrence of
No, because then the bridge must have to resist an enormous load and another load
that would make it really expensive!
The chance that the maximum value of one load occurring at the same
time
i as the
h maximum
i value
l off another
h load
l d is
i very small.
ll
We need to consider several cases where each case we have one load
at its maximum value expected while other loads are around their
mean values
108
Resistance Factor
Takes care of uncertainties in the
resistance
it
3 Main sources of uncertainties
R i
Resistance FFactors Material Property – uncertainty
in the strength, chemical
composition, defects
Fabrication – uncertainty in the
dimensions and construction
Φ
q
qualities
Analysis – many methods are
approximate so there are a lot of
uncertainties in predicting the
resistance
122
Resistance and Probabilities Resistance Factors
Resistance factor is Resistance factors are different for different types of action (moment or
d t
determined
i d so that
th t the
th shear,
h ffor example)
l ) and
d ffor different
diff t ttypes off materials
t i l (steel
( t l or
reliability index, β, is concrete). They are specified under each section of materials.
close to the target
g
value, βT (about 3.5)
Concrete Structures
Types Φ
Flexure and Tension
in Reinforced Concrete 0.90
0 90
in Prestressed Concrete 1.00
g Concrete
Shear in Normal Weight 0.90
Axial Compression 0.75
Bearing on Concrete 0.70
S
Steel
lSStructures
∑ γiQi ≤ ΦRn
Types Φ
Flexure 1.00 Load Factor Nominal Resistance
Shear 1.00 Nominal Load Effect Resistance Factor
Axial Compression (steel or composite) 0.90
Block shear 0.80
Estimate Loads on Combine Load Reduce Resistance Estimate Resistance
Tension structure using Load using Resistance based on the shape
Yielding limit state 0.95 DL, LL, W, E Combinations Factor and size selected
Fracture limit state 0 80
0.80
Factored Load < Factored Resistance OK
Factored Load > Factored Resistance Redesign
126