Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
Downstream
Upstream
Industrial
Scale
advantages + Unique
flexibility + Unrivalled
presence
IR – Date: 2010-09-14
2
Yara
Mosaic*
Agrium
2009
PCS 2008
K+S
ICL
CF
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14
* 12 months ending November
IR – Date: 2010-09-14
3
Global no 1 in NPK
Global no 1 in ammonia Global no 1 in nitrates complex fertilizer
Production capacity* (mill t) Production capacity* (mill t) Production capacity* (mill t)
9 7 8
8 6 7
7 6
5
6
5
5 4
4
4 3
3
3
2 2
2
1 1 1
0 0 0
Yara CF Agrium PCS Koch Yara Acron Euroc. OCI Chekas. Yara* Acron Police BASF Rossosh
IR – Date: 2010-09-14
4
Europe
10 mil tons
North America
13%
2.6 mil. tons Asia
12% 2.4 mil. tons
Africa
8% 1.6 mil. tons
Sales
Yara plants
Joint venture plants
Sales offices
IR – Date: 2010-09-14
5
LIFECO Burrup
QAFCO Rossosh
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6
NOK billions
60 Temporary plant closures can be
made speedy and with limited
50 stop/start costs
IR – Date: 2010-09-14
7
Million tons
6
5.0 3.2 Yara can swing 2/3 of European
5
ammonia production without affecting
4
fertilizer production
3
Almost all Yara nitrate and NPK
2
capacity has ammonia import flexibility
1.3
1
Land-locked
plants** 0.5
0
Yara Europe* Flexible Non-flex
IR – Date: 2010-09-14
8
+1%
102.4
+3% -3%
101.2 -21%
+9% 28.9
38.4 37.2 -1%
99.3
34.2 23.2 22.9
IR – Date: 2010-09-14
9
2,300 125
2,250 Consumption
115
2,200
2,150 105
2,100 95
2,050
Production 85
2,000 Reduced from
81 days in
1,950 75 May report to
1,900 72 days
65
1,850
1,800 55
99 01 03 05 07 09 11F 99 01 03 05 07 09 11F
May estimate
IR – Date: 2010-09-14
10
Agriculture (26%)
Production of mineral N fertilizer (0.8%)*
N2O from mineral N fertilizer use (1.3%)*
N2O from organic N sources (3.8%)
Other agricultural GHGs, mainly
CH4 (8.4%)
IR – Date: 2010-09-14
11
Production Application
Yara’s production more energy-efficient than Nitrates better than urea
competitor average Precision farming (N-tester etc.)
Yara developed N2O catalyst Balanced fertilization (NPK)
© Yara 2010
IR – Date: 2010-09-14
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Life-cycle perspective:
Fertilizer production Application to soil Production & application
Kg CO2 eq/Kg N
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0.9 0.84
0.8 0.75
0.7 0.63
0.6 0.57 0.56
0.49
0.5
0.41 0.42 0.40 0.38
0.4 0.34 0.35 0.34
0.28
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
2007 2008 2009 2010
IR – Date: 2010-09-14
18
Kemira GrowHow
realized synergies Other key acquisitions:
60-70 ~300 Rossosh: Low cost NPK
MEUR
Burrup: Low cost gas
Hard Qafco: Scale and low cost gas
Lifeco: Productivity and low cost gas
Soft
Balderton: Sourcing and trading capabilities
Synergies Employee reduction
IR – Date: 2010-09-14
19
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Additional information
21
IR – Date: 2010-09-14
22
USD/MMBtu
NAT.
9
GAS
15 % 8
OIL- 25 %
LINKED 7
6
70 % 65%
SPOT 55% 5
GAS
4
3
20% 20% 2
SPOT 30%
OIL 1
NON- 0
GAS 2006 2009 2010 Oil-linked* Forward Spot
The strategy of switching to spot based contracts has yielded savings of more than 2 billion NOK in
Europe last twelve month
* Ferrara, Brunsbüttel and Porsgrunn from January 2010
IR – Date: 2010-09-14
23
N+P+K NITROGEN
Wheat Wheat
15.1% 17.3%
Other Other
15.6% 16.0%
Rice
Fruit & veg 14.4% Rice
17.1% Fruit & veg
15.6% 15.6%
Sugar crops
Sugar crops 3.4%
4.5% Cotton Maize Cotton
15.3% 3.9% Maize
3.6%
Other oilseed Oilseed 16.8%
4.4% Soybean Other cereal 6.3%
Other cereal
3.7% 4.8% 5.1%
IR – Date: 2010-09-14
24
Index,
June 2007=1
1.8
1.6
1.4
1.2
06/07
1.0
08/09
0.8 09/10
07/08
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.0
Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Des Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Source: European Fertilizer Manufacturing Association, Yara estimate for June 2010
IR – Date: 2010-09-14
25
Nitrate premium
proxy*
50 %
45 %
40 %
35 %
30 %
25 %
20 %
15 %
10 %
5%
0%
Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
* Urea fob Black Sea adjusted for freight (USD 35) and duty (6.5%) to calculate a CFR NWE proxy
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0 0
08/09 09/10 2006 2007 3Q09 1Q10 2Q10
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Apr
Apr
Apr
Apr
Jul
Jul
Jul
Jul
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
Jan 07
Jan 08
Jan 09
Jan 10
Source: BOABC
IR – Date: 2010-09-14
28
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29
14 7 7.6
12 13.5 6
10 10.6 5
8 4 4.4
6 3
4 2
2 1
0 0
2Q10 4Q10 F Henry Hub Zeebrugge Hub
IR – Date: 2010-09-14
30
Thousand contracts
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
-50
Mar-08 Jun-08 Sep-08 Dec-08 Mar-09 Jun-09 Sep-09 Dec-09 Mar-10 Jun-10
IR – Date: 2010-09-14
31
12.0 6.0
10.0 5.0
+12%
8.0 4.0
6.0 3.0
4.0 2.0
2.0 1.0
0.0 0.0
Jul-May 08/09 Jul-May 09/10 08/09 09/10
Production Net imports Domestic Imports
Source: Yara estimate for fertilizer deliveries to selected West European countries.
Total nitrogen deliveries estimate in USA based on TFI, US Trade Commission, Blue-Johnson
IR – Date: 2010-09-14
32
Sales - Production
Kt
8,000
7,000 08/09
6,000 07/08
09/10
5,000
06/07
4,000
3,000
2,000 05/06
1,000
10/11 04/05
0
-1,000
-2,000
-3,000
Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar
IR – Date: 2010-09-14
33
Yearly averages 2004 – 2008, quarterly averages for 2009 and 2010 with forward prices for 2010**
USD per MMBtu
14
12 12.0
10
8.4 8.6
9.6 8.0
7.5
8 7.0 7.0
6.7 6.7
6.3
6.0 6.2 5.9
6 5.4 5.4
5.0 5.2
4.4 4.5
4.1 5.6 5.6 5.3
4
4.4
3.5
2
0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10
US gas price (Henry Hub) Yara Global Zeebrugge day ahead Yara Europe
IR – Date: 2010-09-14
34
NOK millions
2,500 Actual for quarter July 2010 estimate*
2,000
Cost change on previous year
1,500
1,000 550
500
500 186
0
-500 (314)
-1,000
-1,500 (1,153)
-2,000
-2,500
4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10
IR – Date: 2010-09-14
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Kilotons
Outside Europe Europe
7,000
6,284
6,104 6,017
6,000 2,835
2,575
5,256 5,179 3,015
5,210 5,216 5,129
4,763 4,742 4,882 4,791 4,759
5,000 2,388 2,827 2,658 2,765 2,146
2,629 2,290 2,355 2,412
2,180
4,000 3,496
3,710
1,540
3,000 3,269
2,868 3,002 2,983
2,562 2,592 2,551 2,451
2,436
2,000 2,352
2,135
2,347
1,956
1,000
0
2007 2008 2009 2010
Accumulated, Kt
IR – Date: 2010-09-14
38
Kilotons
2Q09 2Q10
3,000
2,551
2,500 2,347
2,000
1,500
764 805 859
1,000 719 631
485 459
500 349
0
Europe Latin America Asia North America Africa
Kilotons
3,000
2Q09 2Q10
2,000 1,619
1,385 1,458
1,163 1,102 1,075
1,000
517 468 380 350
206 245
0
NPK Nitrate Urea Other products UAN CN
IR – Date: 2010-09-14
39
Kilotons Kilotons
5,000 2,000
4,500 1,800
4,000 1,600
3,500 1,400
3,000 1,200
2,500 1,000
2,000 800
1,500 600
1,000 400
500 200
0 0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2007 2008 2009 2010
IR – Date: 2010-09-14
40
Mature markets
Growth markets
Industrial applications
Competitive
Sourcing
Middle
East/ North Sub
Qatar Australia Trinidad FSU Africa Sahara
IR – Date: 2010-09-14
41
NOK
millions
16,000
15,227
15,000 963
14,000
532 12,932
13,000 1,781 220 718
12,000 1,228
11,000 648
10,000
4,383
9,000
8,000
7,000
6,000
Net interest- Cash earnings* Dividends Net operating Fosfertil (net, Other Yara dividend Foreign Other Net interest-
bearing debt received** capital change after tax paid) investments and share exchange bearing debt
Mar10 (net) buybacks gain/loss Jun10
* Operating income plus depreciation and amortization, minus tax paid, net gain/loss on disposals, net interest expense and bank charges
** Dividend received from equity-accounted investees
IR – Date: 2010-09-14
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Oil Brent blend spot (USD/bbl) Urea prilled fob Black Sea (USD/t) CAN cif Germany (USD/t)
IR – Date: 2010-09-14
43
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44
200 100
0
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
400 600
400
200
200
0 0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
IR – Date: 2010-09-14
45
Corporate targets
Solid profitability
– CROGI over the cycle > 10% as average
New investment profitability
– Hurdle rate: IRR real, after tax > 10%
Relative competitiveness
– Gross Return (EBITDA/Total assets) Best quartile of peers
Financial strength
– Long-term rating target Mid investment grade
Expected cash return to shareholders
– Sum of dividend and buy-backs 40-45% of net income
HSE
– Health, Safety and Environment Best quartile of the industry
IR – Date: 2010-09-14