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Global warming is a critical issue that concerns all people. The greatest problem
that we have is that we are uncertain about the effects that global warming will cause.
We are not sure if global warming will happen in the next few years. However,
numbers of scientists are divided when it comes to discussing this specific issue.
Some believe that global warming poses a major threat to our future if it continues to
increase and raises the earth’s atmospheric temperatures, and the melting of the polar
ice caps could become a reality. This would cause serious devastation to many parts of
the world. There would be floods, record heat waves, and destruction of life. If this
scenario is likely to happen then we should be worried about this issue. Others argue
that there is insufficient evidence as yet that global warming is taking place. In my
worry about it because there is enough evidence that global warming is happening and
it may cause changes to climatic and weather patterns and rises in the sea level.
Bryce Mortlock in his article "History's Lesson is to keep a cool head on global
warming "(1998) asserts several arguments in defence of his view that we should not
there is not enough evidence that global warming is occurring and that warmer
periods are better than colder periods. He claims that temperatures have been
fluctuating violently for the last 100,000 years and that in the past the climate has
fluctuated between long cold periods interrupted by short warm periods (Mortlock
1998, p 12). This may be true, but his other points are contentions. His claim that
global warming is not happening. It is not a convincing argument for several reasons.
First of all, Scientists offer very precise historical measurements and have reached the
conclusion that the global average of the temperature has increased by “about 0.5
degrees centigrade over the past 100 years" (Alley et al 2007, p 3). Second, according
the average temperature is rising every year and is expected to be five to 10 degrees
higher by the end of the century, a faster rate of increase than has occurred in the last
ten millennia (Ibid). In addition, they also confirm that since the start of the industrial
30%, 145% and 15% respectively"(Ibid). Third, the report of the CSIRO which has
used computer models to determine the impact of global warming in South Australia
from now until 2070(Adelaide now stark on climate 2006), indicates that the negative
effect of the changes to weather patterns to 2070 would be mainly on the dry
inland(Ibid). By 2070, average temperatures over the north of the state could rise by
as much as six degrees(Ibid). For example, the CSIRO report predicts average
temperatures in South Australia will raise "up to 4.7C by 2070, up from the prediction
of 4.4C as outlined in the 2003 report" (Phillips 2006, p3). In the meantime, rainfall
will decrease by up to 35 per cent, up from predictions of 30 per cent in 2003 (Phillips
2006, p3). Moreover, if a warming climate continues to melt polar caps, port Adelaide
will be under water by the end of the century (Jenkin 2006, p 3). Therefore, Bryce
happening, that it is inevitable, and the impacts are becoming increasingly obvious, so
globe.
Bryce Mortlock also claims that warmer periods are better than colder periods. This
might be true, but it is not a convincing argument because warmer periods may
unexpectedly bring about glacial periods (Mortlock 1998, p12). Robert Lee Hotz in
his article "Greenland's Ice Sheet Is Slip-Sliding Away" (2006) believes that the
massive glaciers in Greenland are deteriorating twice as fast as they were five years
ago. If the ice thaws totally, sea level would rise about 6 metres (Hotz 2006).
Furthermore, Thom Hartmann in his article "How global warming may cause the next
ice age "(2004), argues that instead of warming we might face a glacial period in the
next few years, and. as a result many people will not have a place to live and some
may die. As evidence of this he cites possible changes in the Great Conveyor Belt
that is, the global movement of sea water which presently helps keep both Europe
and North America warmer (Hartmann 2004). He describes the process by which the
warm water of the Great Conveyor Belt comes from the Pacific to the Atlantic
because of the sea level in the Atlantic which is slightly lower than in the Pacific.
Therefore, when water reaches Greenland, it cools and sinks because it is saline, and
again returns to the Pacific (Hartmann 2004). Further, he points out that ice in
Greenland is melting, so the sea level in the Atlantic is rising and becoming less salty
and less colder , so it does not sink and return to the Pacific. The consequence of the
scenario described by Hartmann is that if global warming continues then the Great
Conveyor Belt might stop, and the weather in Europe and North America might be so
cold that we might face another next ice age (Hartmann 2004 ). His assessment of the
wrong because there is sufficient data to prove that warmer periods are not better than
colder periods because the melting of the icebergs could lead to the next ice age. So it
is apparent that regardless of the predicted scenario, human actions are changing
atmospheric and climatic conditions and so we should worry about it because the
evidence that climatic change is taking place and it might lead to either a hotter world
with higher sea levels, or a cooler world with many people displaced. These findings
prove global warming is an issue to be taken seriously therefore steps should be taken
Alley et al 2007, climate change: the physical basis summary for policy markets,
viewed 19 September 2007,< http://www.climatescience.gov/Library/ipcc/wg14ar-
review.htm>.
Hartmann T 2004, 'How global warming may cause the next ice age ',viewed 21
September 2007 ,<www.commondreams.org/views04/0130-11.htm>.
Hotz R 2006, "Greenland's Ice Sheet Is Slip-Sliding Away", Los Angeles Times ,5
June, viewed 18 September 2007,< http://www.latimes.com/news/printedition/la-sci-
greenland25jun25,0,5245607,print.story?coll=la-home-headlines>.